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1.66万
人生舵手__小琳
·
2025-07-24
精准关税重塑全球市场格局?
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$丰田汽车(TM)$
$日经225指数(N225.JP)$
美股再创历史新高——标普和纳指都冲上新高;与此同时,日本日经225狂飙到了41000点以上,欧洲股市也不甘示弱,汽车股直接“飞天”——丰田一口气涨了14%,五大商社平均也有5%涨幅。一、精准关税,特朗普的“生意谈判”套路这回特朗普没搞“一刀切”,而是祭出分国分产业的精准关税——税率从15%到50%不等。逻辑很简单:对你开放市场:一毛钱关税都不用收,还得往美国市场砸钱投产,我就给你低税率。不听话? 高关税伺候,狠狠地。你要拼命在美国投资能源、半导体、汽车这些“核心产业”,我就给你打折;要是不配合,就用关税把你逼到墙角。二、美日率先“组CP”:15%关税+5500亿美元投资日本当仁不让,第一个签了15%关税协议,承诺在美国投资5500亿美元,重点是能源和半导体。日本汽车市场、大米市场也跟着敞开门。结果:丰田一夜飙涨14%斯巴鲁直接暴涨近20%这就是“谈得好才给你实惠”的典型范例。三、欧洲紧随其后:汽车降税、飞机烈酒免税欧盟也盯上这杯“甜头”:汽车关税从27.5%降到15%,飞机、烈酒、医疗器械都有望免税。斯特兰蒂斯(Stellantis)涨了9.1%,沃尔沃涨了7%。大家见风使舵,怕被落下。四、东南亚阵线:有的欢喜、有的哭泣菲律宾、印尼乖乖接受19%的关税,印尼甚至99%的对美出口免关税,甩开膀子继续卖货。孟加拉、泰国谈不拢,8月1日就要面临35%–36%的高
精准关税重塑全球市场格局?
# 【讨论】特朗普亲赴美联储!鲍威尔要下台了?
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有钱就有爱0:
精准关税恐怕反弹后影响更大,谨慎对待
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3
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18
编组 21备份 2
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1.44万
马虎恶魔号
·
2025-07-24
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
想跟大家说一说,就是特斯拉现在这个情况,特斯拉现在这个情况其实。认为他肯定是出现问题的,然后肯定今天就要有七八个点搂不住了。因为原因是在与马斯克承认接下来几个月是很难办的,然后可能会产生很不及预期的这种情况。但是他所说的是因为无人驾驶出租车,还有廉价车型的 但是大家有没有想过一个问题,就是他现在是在承认他有经济及财报上的问题。承认他的不及预期。然后有人说他都承认了,他完了他嗝屁了。 我想说这么认的人才完了才嗝屁了。作为一个经历了很多事情的投资者,大家依然记得当时p to p网站上挂出的大干100天。 记着乐事的一面海水一片火焰。记得那些要跑路的人还在宣扬自己又牛了。记得蔚来交付也不行,订单也有问题的这种情况斌哥上次来一个不是账上还有300亿吗? 当他们觉得这个问题出现了自己觉得我特别没有问题,他们说的都是假的,反而这样问题就出现了。因为他们是在做维稳,维稳是为了掩盖事实。但是马斯克却没有做维稳,他把东西抖了出来是为了什么?就证明他根本就是有能力去度过现在的这个问题,所以他才敢把真正的问题抛出来。他之所以去说这个问题是因为他能解决,如果他掩盖问题,他绝对不会有足够的把握去把这个问题解决。 这个才是真正宣传上怎么去看这些新闻内在及底层的思考逻辑的问题。 所以我并不能去猜测今天的特斯拉是不是可以跌8个点。但是我想说的是,如果潜在的是在300以上。我认为今天可能会向上去收,但这谁又说得准呢? 我是马虎恶魔号
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 想跟大家说一说,就是特斯拉现在这个情况,特斯拉现在这个情况其实。认为他肯定是出现问题的,然后肯定今天就要有七八个点搂不住了。因为原...
精彩
丹尼尔加:
听你这么说,感觉特斯拉确实不简单,不能只看表面
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2.92万
Richvip
·
2025-07-24
$特斯拉 VERTICAL 250725 PUT 300.0/PUT 310.0$
特斯拉期权策略分析(2025年7月24日) 一、核心策略:卖出虚值看跌期权(Cash-Secured Put) 策略逻辑: 权利金收益最大化:当前TSLA隐含波动率达70%(8月到期合约),处于近一年高位,虚值期权权利金显著高于历史平均水平 风险可控性:选择行权价310美元(较现价折价7.3%),需确保账户有足够保证金覆盖潜在行权风险 时间价值衰减:Theta值-0.508(8月1日到期合约),日均权利金衰减速度达市场前15%水平 二、合约筛选(数据截止7月24日美东早盘) 到期日 行权价 权利金 Delta值 隐含波动率 盈利概率 保证金要求 年化收益率 2025-08-01 310 5.65 -0.243 70.75% 78.73% 31,000 68.4% 2025-08-15 315 8.25 -0.286 60.85% 75.63% 31,500 62.1% 参数对比优势: 310P合约:权利金/保证金比率达18.2‰,显著高于行业均值12.5‰ 315P合约:波动率溢价空间更大(IV/HV比率1.32),历史回测胜率超75% 三、风控要点 止损触发:股价跌破305美元(技术面支撑位下移3%)时平仓 波动率对冲:当VIX指数单日涨幅超15%,买入10%仓位的350C对冲 资金管理:单笔交易不超过账户权益的5%,避免个股风险过度暴露 四、市场情绪验证 大单动向:近5日机构资金净流入3.2亿美元,空头回补比例达42% 隐含波动率曲面:1个月期限波动率偏斜(25Δ Put-Call)达+8.
$特斯拉 VERTICAL 250725 PUT 300.0/PUT 310.0$ 特斯拉期权策略分析(2025年7月24日) 一、核心策略:卖出虚值看跌...
# 晒晒更赚钱
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莫尔斯密码:
这个策略稳健,低风险高收益,值得借鉴
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2
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7
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1.29万
小蜗牛也是牛
·
2025-07-24
$维立志博-B(09887)$
执行新股卖出止盈策略,最近打新还挺赚的。虽然觉得会涨200%,但还是不去博了[微笑]
$维立志博-B(09887)$ 执行新股卖出止盈策略,最近打新还挺赚的。虽然觉得会涨200%,但还是不去博了[微笑]
# 晒晒更赚钱
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AlaricX:
100%,今天还没卖 [开心] [开心] [开心]
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12
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4
编组 21备份 2
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1.42万
卖方笔记
·
2025-07-24
通俗易懂玩赚微软Q4财季财报
安全追涨微软财报。2025年Q4财报预期:微软的2025财年第四财报季度,按日历季度计算是2025年第二季度;预计Azure同比增长率可能达到35.5%(AI贡献18%),高于此前34.2%(AI贡献17%)预测;商业Office业务增长率可能达到13%,得益于E3/E5升级和Copilot的采用预测2026财年收入将增长14%,与2025财年持平预计2026财年的资本支出将增至991亿美元,但占收入的比例将保持在31%左右。如何评价微软财报预期:微软股价自Q3以来上涨了30%;财报前景乐观,几乎没有负面评价;预计财报波动4.5%,浮动区间482~528。交易策略:没有重大利空,股价不会跌破区间,可以做空(即卖出)看跌期权。财报前卖出看跌期权,财报披露当天开盘平仓。持有正股可做空(即卖出)价外看涨期权获得额外收益。行权价到期日选择参考:备兑卖出看涨期权策略:
$MSFT 20250801 535.0 CALL$
(胜率86%)卖出看跌期权策略:
$MSFT 20250801 482.5 PUT$
(胜率80%)想要了解更多卖方机会,可点击app最下方“行情”,选择股票页面里的期权,点击期权笔笔易筛选更多热门卖方机会。也可直接点击跳转:
期权笔笔易
对具体个股卖出策略更感兴趣,可以在个股概览页面,下拉找到权利金专区,这里有针对性卖出看跌期权和备兑看涨策略推荐。
通俗易懂玩赚微软Q4财季财报
# 期权Q&A:期权知识,你问我答
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九洲仙人:
有数据支撑,操作建议很稳
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1
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6
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1.88万
小虎财报
·
2025-07-23
【财报异动】|MEDP飙升 48%、德州仪器暴跌超过 9%
[财迷]本栏目主要追踪财报季各大公司的财报异动情况,为大家提供最新、最热、及时、准确的财报关键信息,内容涵盖公司资讯、股价涨跌幅、关键财务指标数据等等,欢迎虎友们关注、评论、转发!不错过精彩财报内容![爱心][爱心]
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$
在第二季度的销售额和收益超过华尔街的预期后,这家模拟和嵌入式处理芯片制造商暴跌超过 9%,而第三季度的低端指引则低于预期。在业绩公布前的过去三个月里,该股飙升了 46%。
$Costar Technologies, Inc.(CSTI)$
在线房地产市场的股价上涨 1%,此前该公司公布了第二季度的收益好于预期。CoStar 每股收益为 17 美分(不包括项目),收入为 7.813 亿美元,而接受 FactSet 调查的分析师预计每股收益为 14 美分,收入为 7.722 亿美元。
$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$
股价下跌超过5%。尽管第二季度的收益超过了华尔街的预期,但该公司表示,预计本季度收入将在3.3亿至3.7亿美元之间,而LSEG调查的分析师普遍估计为3.68亿美元。
$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$
股价下跌超过5%。尽管第二季度的收益超过了华尔街的预期,但该公司表示,预计本季度收入将在3.3亿至3.7亿美元之间,而LSEG调查的分析师普遍估计为3
【财报异动】|MEDP飙升 48%、德州仪器暴跌超过 9%
# 老虎财报季
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1.20万
话题虎
·
2025-07-24
【社区主题活动】积极参与主题发帖,周周领取代金券奖励!
恭喜以下五位虎友成为上周(7.14-7.20)主题发帖活跃&精彩用户,可获得5美元代金券奖励![梭哈]
@大冬瓜呱呱呱
@geekbing
@今生任逍遥
@Roy野野
@Simon L
(主题发帖虎币奖励已陆续发放,若有疑问可咨询虎妞:itiger2014)(7.21-7.27)热议话题,点击发帖,各主题500-1000虎币不等!🎁🎁
维立志博-B暗盘大涨!能否继续持有?
【社区主题活动】积极参与主题发帖,周周领取代金券奖励!
# 今天该炒啥?
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大冬瓜呱呱呱:
呱,呱呱,呱呱呱 [财迷]
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2
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4
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1.51万
陈达美股投资
·
2025-07-24
抗妒忌与反内卷
恒生科技指数ETF (513180)与恒生互联网ETF(513330) 的投资者虽然今年已赚得盆满钵满,但前段时间仍感到自己有些踏空。人生三大痛:挚爱踏青,江湖踏雷,牛市踏空。牛市踏空的那种痛苦有充分的学术研究与理论支持,主要来自于损失厌恶(loss aversion theory): 你赚1w块钱的快乐<你亏1w块钱的痛苦<别人赚1w块钱但你没赚钱的痛苦 <别人赚1w块钱但你亏1w块钱的痛苦 第四个痛可谓是锥心之痛、切肤之痛、搅髓之痛,痛到不能呼吸。因此仅仅是贪婪和恐惧,远不足以解释宛如烟尘一般弥漫、氤氲于市场半空的所有情绪;市场情绪里唱主角的,尤其是牛市情绪里唱主角的,总是妒忌。 所以总有人怅惘:踏空比套牢更痛苦!本质是妒忌比恐惧更有毒。 投资顺人性,不然要变态;与其每天嫉妒到面目全非,不如适度参与,牛市一个人一生或许就这么几次,人生得意须尽欢,莫使金坤空对月。看多的人会赚钱,看空的人可能正确,但他们又穷又苦又刻薄。 再来说说恒生科技目前阶段。首先恒生科技是不是牛市?当然是,2025年上涨了28%的指数,放眼全球去看有几个?而港股通才过去七个月,南向资金净流入已经接近了2024年全年水平。不管你信不信牛市,以机构资金为主(机构大概占港股通70%-75%)的北水已经相信: (2024年一年8080亿港币,2025年1-7月,已经接近这个数字) 但恒生科技牛市有点一波三折,就像奥特曼打怪兽,先一顿痛扁之后总要被怪兽反锤到滴嘟滴嘟,然后才发奥特光波、终结比赛。你当然会问奥特曼为什么不一上来就发波终结比赛,非要贱不嗖嗖地拖时间、水剧情。大概是因为,奥慢与偏贱。 嗔怪外卖大战? 外卖大战的事情让我尬住了,京东不谈,因为我长期也不看好;阿里或者说淘宝闪购的逻辑,是他们才反应过来,我手里屠龙刀,但却忘了杀龙。意思是,我明明有“即时零售”最大入口,为什么一直没去抢做“即时零售”最大的生
抗妒忌与反内卷
# 阿里财报带动!大举看多中国AI,中概布局时机?
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Inmoretion:
炒股心态很重要[捂脸]
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2
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5
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2.70万
人生舵手__小琳
·
2025-07-24
Meme股现象:历次大涨回顾与风险展望
$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$
$柯尔百货(KSS)$
$Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$
$GoPro(GPRO)$
$ROUNDHILL MEME ETF(MEME)$
一、Meme股定义及历史背景“Meme股”指的是那些因社交媒体和网络社区集体追捧而出现剧烈价格波动的股票。此类股票的走势往往与其公司基本面脱节,更多依赖情绪、信仰和互联网“抱团”行为。这一现象最早可追溯至2020-2021年间,以**Reddit社区WallStreetBets联合做多GameStop(GME)**为起点,掀起史无前例的“散户逼空华尔街”风潮。随后AMC(院线)、Blackberry(黑莓)、Bed Bath & Beyond(寝具零售)等老牌困境企业也轮番登上炒作舞台。散户以“钻石手”、“不卖就不会亏”为信仰,群体力量短时间内冲击了传统金融秩序,成为一代投资文化现象。二、历次大涨回顾✅ 2021年初:GameStop与AMC首轮爆发GameStop 从十几美元暴涨至近500美元,单日涨幅超100%;AMC 随后跟进,从2美元上涨至近20美元以上,市值突破百亿美元;空头基金如Melvin C
Meme股现象:历次大涨回顾与风险展望
# 【Meme】BYND三天六倍!该空or继续多?
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星空下的暗恋:
真是太精彩了,感谢分享这种深入的分析![强]
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1
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5
编组 21备份 2
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1.74万
三市波段笔记
·
2025-07-24
谷歌和特斯拉财报后的短线方向
今早谷歌和特斯拉公布了最新财报结果。和昨天文章预期的一致,谷歌财报偏多,特斯拉财报偏空。 财报之后,来分享下基于这两个巨头的相关交易机会。 一、谷歌: 谷歌(GOOGL)盘后涨2%,主要受四因素驱动: 1)营收超预期(搜索/YouTube同比增12-13%); 2)AI产品线加速交付; 3)搜索付费点击量提速(同比+4%); 4)2025年资本支出上调至850亿美元(原指引750亿美元,且2026年将继续增长)——利好亚洲TPU供应链(Isu Petasys、金像电子、台耀科技、欣兴电子、楠梓电子、联发科、广达、英业达、鸿海、爱德万测试、京元电子) 核心业绩表现: 搜索营收同比+11.7%(预期11-12%,一季度+10%加速增长) YouTube营收同比+13%(预期12-13%,一季度+10%加速增长) 云业务同比猛增+32%(预期高20%区间,上季度+28%),成为最大亮点 二季度营运利润312.7亿美元,利润率32.4%(市场预期33-34%),主要因德克萨斯州数据隐私和解产生14亿美元一次性法律费用,经调整后利润327亿美元符合卖方/买方机构预期。 AI产品与搜索进展: 搜索总量及商业搜索量持续同比增长,付费点击量加速至+4%(上季度+2%); AI Overviews 月活超20亿(上季度15亿); Gemini应用活跃用户4.5亿(5月I/O大会时4亿),使用量年增35倍,企业客户超8.5万家(含LVMH、Salesforce、星展银行); AI Mode在美印两国月活破1亿; Meet智能会议纪要功能单月超5000万人使用(6月数据); Veo 3视频生成工具自5月推出后,Gemini内生成视频超7000万部,AI电影制作工具Flow上线; 智能代理技术:Sundar预期2026年将成为智能代理应用普及之年; 资本支出计划: 2025财年
谷歌和特斯拉财报后的短线方向
# 谷歌I/O大会来袭!是否是上车好时机?
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西瓜有味:
app同车,我主要日内
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小虎AV
·
2025-07-24
特朗普的新朋友,黄仁勋!英伟达,今晚能创新高吗?
在华盛顿人工智能峰会上,特朗普点名评价了多位科技界领袖,包括
$英伟达(NVDA)$
、
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
、
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
,谈到英伟达,特朗普表示之前不认识黄仁勋-“英伟达是什么?为什么不能拆一拆?”,会上高度赞扬黄仁勋为“势不可挡的人物”。特朗普和黄仁勋的关系何时变得这么好了[吃瓜] 加之谷歌财报利好,大家觉得英伟达今晚能否站上$175?评论区分享你的观点或操作策略,一起赢取虎币奖励!
特朗普的新朋友,黄仁勋!英伟达,今晚能创新高吗?
# 英伟达$170保卫战!这次多少价位加仓?
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盲人摸大象:
英伟达现在都已经172,怎么还上150?
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9,625
Richvip
·
2025-07-24
$Robinhood STRANGLE 250725 PUT 95.0/CALL 110.0$
继续调整中,等待年报后确定方向;在波动中用宽夸式策略获取波动值和时间价值,收取租金依然是最佳策略。
$Robinhood STRANGLE 250725 PUT 95.0/CALL 110.0$ 继续调整中,等待年报后确定方向;在波动中用宽夸式策略获取波...
# 晒晒更赚钱
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女娲后人:
太聪明了,用策略赚租金真是牛![强]
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美港股观察社
·
2025-07-24
禾赛科技:ADAS+Robotics双轮驱动,投资价值凸显
一、公司概况与主营业务 禾赛科技作为全球激光雷达领域的领军企业,专注于为智能驾驶和机器人领域提供高性能激光雷达产品及感知解决方案。公司产品矩阵覆盖L2至L4级自动驾驶需求,主要分为两大核心业务板块: ADAS激光雷达:面向乘用车及商用车高级辅助驾驶场景,代表产品包括AT系列(如AT128、AT1440)、FT系列(如FT120、FTX)及ET系列(如ETX)。其中,AT1440是全球最高线数的车规级超高清激光雷达,角分辨率达0.02°,探测距离达300米;ETX作为全球测距最远的车规级激光雷达,可实现400米超远测距,专为L3级自动驾驶设计;FTX则以180°×140°超广视场角成为纯固态补盲雷达的标杆产品。截至2025年4月,公司已与22家国内外车企达成超120款车型的量产定点合作,客户涵盖理想、比亚迪、极氪、凯迪拉克等头部品牌。 Robotics激光雷达:聚焦服务机器人领域,核心产品为JT系列(如JT16、JT128),主要应用于割草机器人、泳池清洁机器人、无人物流车、移动机器人(AGV/AMR)等场景。2025年第一季度,该业务板块交付量达4.97万台,同比激增649.1%,其中割草机器人领域已与主流厂商达成战略合作,计划一年内交付30万台JT系列产品。 二、近期财务表现 2024年公司全年营收达2.9亿美元(约20.77亿元人民币),同比增长10.7%;20202024年营收复合增长率(CAGR)高达50%,展现出强劲的增长动能。2025年第一季度营收进一步加速,达0.73亿美元(约5.23亿元人民币),同比增长46%,主要受益于Robotics激光雷达交付量的爆发式增长。 利润层面,公司已实现从亏损到盈利的跨越。2024年非GAAP净利润达1369万元人民币,经营性现金流净额为0.05亿美元,成为全球首家全年盈利且现金流为正的激光雷达企业。2025年第一季度延续向
禾赛科技:ADAS+Robotics双轮驱动,投资价值凸显
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考股学家:
激光雷达市场前景广阔,期待禾赛创新力继续发光
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1.75万
玉台
·
2025-07-23
$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$
我这5百股是经历了三次合股剩下的!专业的人士算一算我是多少万股合过来的!希望继续保持,以后赶上正向拆分,把股数变多些后再往上涨😀
$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 我这5百股是经历了三次合股剩下的!专业的人士算一算我是多少...
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木瓜:
现在市值2亿,如果到100亿贾会计说可以把所有债务还了,如果真到百亿他可以载入史册,就只靠生产车很难很难!
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3
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1.85万
李邱意
·
2025-07-23
$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$
坚持看好,单车变摩托
$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 坚持看好,单车变摩托
# 晒晒更赚钱
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Lynwy:
我开户完了,1块多买的 [捂脸]要是早有户,去年5.1节就逮到40倍
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1.43万
股海彦祖
·
2025-07-24
用AI评价自己 最近公众号写的有些意兴阑珊,恢复每个交易日写公众号,保持了有一年多,公众号这边300个出头关注,xhs那里550多个关注,从付出和回报来看,我明显属于没什么网感的那类。再坚持写下去,写上十年,恐怕关注人数也难超过几万。我白天上班,其实挺心累的,晚上写文章大约要再花接近1小时。开始能坚持主要是新鲜感,但一段时间下来,没什么成就感,以后我就佛系更新吧,没话说就不硬找话水文章了。 前天晚上清掉了杠杆,短期内应该都不会有什么操作了,除非再发生黑天鹅、指数大跌、跌出价值来。 我闲来无事,分别用deepseek和grok问怎么评价我自己,grok可能代码搜索不涉及gzh,所以没有成功总结,dpsk给了个算是挺高的评价,给大家瞅一眼,但我不确定3年49%收益率是哪来的,虽然结论正确。 我以前遇到不会的喜欢搜索,现在变成了问AI。国内最好用的感觉还是deepseek,国外的我习惯了grok,其他AI体验不是很深。但deepseek有个问题,就是回答问题越来越正确了,经常前一秒还在显示思考过程,后一秒突然撤回答案,提示无法回答,就……能理解但很无奈。如果你用元宝的deepseek,他在其上还又有一层保护,dpsk能回答的有时元宝不能回答,大无语。 昨晚盘后谷歌发布了财报,盘后涨3%。稍微拉长看,谷歌今年跑输大盘,但比Apple强。谷歌是因为市场担心AI替代搜索,苹果是因为在AI上有点没跟上。我个人看法是,谷歌在大模型上依然是行业领先的,无论搜索还是AI,最终变现可能还是依赖广告收入的,所以前期谷歌下跌是个很好的机会。以前我也不止一次说想买谷歌,但没有钱了,也没想好拿谁换,等着等着,发现谷歌已经涨了不少,虽然我觉得他依然挺便宜的。苹果就更不用担心了,苹果强的是生态和设备端的巨大用户基数,你们看腾讯也没怎么跟上AI,但元宝一出,很快使用量就上来了。所以我一点不担心苹果,如果再入金
用AI评价自己 最近公众号写的有些意兴阑珊,恢复每个交易日写公众号,保持了有一年多,公众号这边300个出头关注,xhs那里550多个关注,从付出和回报来看...
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投机任重道远:
经常看你的文章,第一次玩美股,要坚持写下去哦 [开心]
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小虎资管
·
2025-07-24
美国宏观暂时无碍,大中华坚守两条主线
全球重要股指表现(美元计价)和估值 数据来源:Bloomberg,老虎资管 上周,受到美国解除英伟达H20芯片出口限制的刺激,香港恒生科技指数出现明显上涨,单周涨幅超5%。由此也带动了香港恒指、上证综指与沪深300在内的大中华权益指数的普遍上涨。与此同时,上周美股的趋势没有发生改变,继续震荡走高,标普、纳指与罗素均有小幅上涨。 上周,美国6月通胀数据出炉,无论是CPI还是PPI,数值上均小幅优于市场预期。从分项上看,服务端的温和一定程度抵消或弥补了商品端的上涨。整体来说,这次通胀反映了些许关税的影响,但并不显著并且整体可控。此外,美国6月零售增长大超预期,各行业全线上涨,反映出美国目前的消费需求依然非常旺盛。两者综合判断,美联储大概率继续观望,市场也暂时无须担心衰退风险。此外,上周大中华也是市场的焦点,英伟达H20出口解禁,以及反内卷和雅江大工程的开工,刺激了大中华高质量科技股和低估值周期股的上涨。 本周重点关注美国耐用品订单,以及特斯拉、谷歌等科技巨头的财报。 全球重要股指表现(美元计价)和估值 美国宏观暂时无碍,大中华坚守两条主线 过去一周,美股走势依然震荡且焦灼。宏观层面,6月CPI、PPI和零售等多个硬数据陆续出炉,不仅没有意外暴雷,甚至都比市场预期要更好。首先,CPI我们在上周已经做了解读,这里就不展开了,用一句话概括就是“商品通胀在上涨,服务通胀在温和,两者一抵消,整体数据尚可”。次日,PPI也验证了这个结论。从数据上看,6月PPI录得环比零增长,看似大幅低于市场预期,但实则前值被偷偷上调了,所以整体看也不算特别惊喜。更重要的是,细分项中商品和建筑贡献了近0.1%的环比涨幅,而服务却贡献了近0.1%的负增长。所以,这次无论是CPI还是PPI,都在商品端能看出关税的痕迹,但都被服务端的降温成功地掩盖了。 另一方面,6月的零售数据也是同样强劲。环比上涨0.64%,不
美国宏观暂时无碍,大中华坚守两条主线
# 【讨论】特朗普亲赴美联储!鲍威尔要下台了?
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1.22万
美国中文投资网
·
2025-07-24
特斯拉Q2财报为何凉了?理想太遥远,现实太骨感
7月24日,特斯拉
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
公布2025年第二季度财报,各项数据整体低于市场预期。营收与利润双双下滑,自由现金流创多年新低,而原本寄予厚望的Robotaxi和人形机器人业务仍处早期阶段,尚难以抵消主业的疲软压力。财报公布后,特斯拉盘后股价一度下挫超4%,全年跌幅已达18%,成为“科技七巨头”中表现最差的个股。 从关键财务数据来看,特斯拉Q2营收为225亿美元,略低于市场预期的227.4亿美元;调整后每股收益为0.40美元,未达到预期的0.43美元。净利润同比下滑16%至11.7亿美元;自由现金流仅剩1.46亿美元,创出近年来新低。而支撑其盈利能力的重要来源——碳排放积分收入,也同比暴跌至4.39亿美元,仅为去年同期的一半。汽车业务方面,季度交付量为38.4万辆,同比下降14%,汽车营收为167亿美元,亦同比减少16%。 本次股价下跌的导火索除了核心业务表现不佳,政策层面的不利因素也成为关键压制。公司高管在电话会议中确认,美国国会近期通过的新一轮“大而美法案”将在9月底终止7500美元的电动车联邦补贴,加上特朗普政府重新加征进口关税,使得特斯拉在供应链与定价方面面临双重压力。财报指出,受制于这些突发因素,特斯拉在美国本季度的车辆供应紧张,8月下旬之后的订单可能无法及时交付。 特斯拉首席执行官马斯克在财报电话会议中坦言,公司“可能会经历几个比较艰难的季度”。他同时继续强调长期愿景,试图稳定市场预期。特斯拉在奥斯汀已开始Robotaxi测试服务,目标是在2025年底前在美国一半地区实现无人打车服务。此外,旗下人形机器人“Optimus”已进入测试阶段,预计将于2026年量产,未来可应用于工厂、家庭等多场景。 不过,从现实落地角度看
特斯拉Q2财报为何凉了?理想太遥远,现实太骨感
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Inmoretion:
感觉接下来又进入了下跌通道了,起码得等无人出租正式批量上或者马斯克火箭有大突破
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价值投资为王
·
2025-07-24
海南封关在即,中国中免暴力拉升,免税龙头要反转了吗?
说来也是奇怪,昨日上午,国新办举行新闻发布会,发改委联合商务部及海南地方大员介绍海南自由贸易港建设有关情况,并回答记者提问。 在新闻发布会上,发改委宣布了一些列改革措施,如: 85个国家的人员可免签入境海南; 出台企业和个人所得税税率“双15%”优惠政策; 加工增值免关税政策试点范围扩大至全岛; “一线”进口的“零关税”商品税目比例将由21%提高至74%,工增值达到30%的可免关税销往内地; 2025年12月18日正式封关! 重磅消息公布后,海南自由贸易港概念股应声下跌,其中,中国中免港股逆势大跌4.3%,美兰空港跌超9.3%。
$美兰空港(00357)$
逆势下跌被投资者理解为利好出尽,但谁能想到,中国中免今日直线拉升,A股封涨停板,港股股价一度大涨近20%:
$中国中免(01880)$
$中国中免(601888)$
主力资金真是调皮,主打一个反向操作。 但是,如果海南封关真的是重大利好,中国中免昨日是如何在前期涨幅不大的情况下来了个高开低走?市场资金的反射弧需要用一天的时间来理解封关政策吗? 考虑到2020年6月,党中央、国务院就正式发布《海南自由贸易港建设总体方案》,市场早就预料到今年年底将封关。因此,参与交易的各方,理应对封关政策较为熟悉。 因此,中国中免戏剧性走势的背后,有一个残酷的现实,即封关对中免来说,有利有弊,并非像雅鲁藏布江概念股一样毫无争议。 先说好的一面,海南建设自由贸易港,势必会增加海南旅游的吸引力,无论是对内地居民还是歪果仁。 全岛封关之下旅游基础设施、营商环境、贸易活跃度、国际形象、服务质量等方面将继续
海南封关在即,中国中免暴力拉升,免税龙头要反转了吗?
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价值投资为王:
今天又大跌,昨天涨得真是莫名其妙,纯粹就是牛市情绪下,随便找了个利好消息就开始炒 $中国中免(01880)$
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上周,美国6月通胀数据出炉,无论是CPI还是PPI,数值上均小幅优于市场预期。从分项上看,服务端的温和一定程度抵消或弥补了商品端的上涨。整体来说,这次通胀反映了些许关税的影响,但并不显著并且整体可控。此外,美国6月零售增长大超预期,各行业全线上涨,反映出美国目前的消费需求依然非常旺盛。两者综合判断,美联储大概率继续观望,市场也暂时无须担心衰退风险。此外,上周大中华也是市场的焦点,英伟达H20出口解禁,以及反内卷和雅江大工程的开工,刺激了大中华高质量科技股和低估值周期股的上涨。 本周重点关注美国耐用品订单,以及特斯拉、谷歌等科技巨头的财报。 全球重要股指表现(美元计价)和估值 美国宏观暂时无碍,大中华坚守两条主线 过去一周,美股走势依然震荡且焦灼。宏观层面,6月CPI、PPI和零售等多个硬数据陆续出炉,不仅没有意外暴雷,甚至都比市场预期要更好。首先,CPI我们在上周已经做了解读,这里就不展开了,用一句话概括就是“商品通胀在上涨,服务通胀在温和,两者一抵消,整体数据尚可”。次日,PPI也验证了这个结论。从数据上看,6月PPI录得环比零增长,看似大幅低于市场预期,但实则前值被偷偷上调了,所以整体看也不算特别惊喜。更重要的是,细分项中商品和建筑贡献了近0.1%的环比涨幅,而服务却贡献了近0.1%的负增长。所以,这次无论是CPI还是PPI,都在商品端能看出关税的痕迹,但都被服务端的降温成功地掩盖了。 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