本周 TOP 10 IB Insight 3月3日 – 3月8日 本周一个字:炸。 伊朗战争全面升级,霍尔木兹海峡实质性封锁,原油从年初 $60 飙到 $90——巴克莱直言债券作为避险资产失灵了,美银警告欧央行可能从降息掉头转向加息,德银做出极端情景推演:若能源再涨 50%,欧元区通胀多 1 个百分点、GDP 少 0.7 个百分点。 与此同时,美国非农意外录得 -9.2 万,滞胀正从纸面走向现实。 科技侧同样火热:汇丰判定存储超级周期才走到中场,野村发现买方在主动加价抢货签长约,高盛首次量化 AI 将贡献标普 40% 的盈利增长。 十大洞察,看谁押对了方向。 📊 #1 · 宏观·利率 | Macro · Interest Rates 债券避险功能失灵:伊朗战争将冲击导向通胀+财政赤字而非增长放缓,美债收益率逆势飙升 15-20bp,欧股暴跌近 7% "Bonds failed as safe havens this week as the Iran war skews the shock more toward inflation and wider budget deficits than slower growth in the US… Such an escalation will ultimately lead to higher defense spending, leading to more fiscal risk premium" Barclays 巴克莱 · United States: Interest Rates, Tough luck · 2026-03-06 📊 #2 · 宏观·滞胀 | Macro · Stagflation 美国非农意外减少 9.2 万(2020 年来第二次负值)叠加油价飙至 $85+,滞胀风险从纸面走向现实 "U.S.
Form 25-NSE - Notification filed by national security exchange to report the removal from listing and registration of matured, redeemed or retired securities
Form 25-NSE - Notification filed by national security exchange to report the removal from listing and registration of matured, redeemed or retired securities
Form 25-NSE - Notification filed by national security exchange to report the removal from listing and registration of matured, redeemed or retired securities
Form 25-NSE - Notification filed by national security exchange to report the removal from listing and registration of matured, redeemed or retired securities