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期权小班长
最简单的期权策略实践者
IP属地:北京
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
00:56
$英伟达(NVDA)$
我有点怀疑川普在周五盘前对欧洲做收税声明,是想在英伟达财报前低价抄底,要不怎么好兄弟马斯克的财报就捧场,轮到英伟达就做空呢?期权套利机构周四就进行了roll仓,从结果来看下周股价不低。sell call行权价提升至144~146区间,对冲buy call157.5~162.5。分析来看下周不管是财报前也好还是财报后,股价有概率会冲击140。财报披露后股价大约在130~144之间。如果是去年,这种情况可以满仓,问题是川普这个声明发表的实在不是时候,大盘本身就有回调压力,所以下周英伟达的看涨有一定风险,需要适当调整仓位。机构long call roll仓,平仓7月18日到期110call
$NVDA 20250718 110.0 CALL$
,roll到相同到期日130call
$NVDA 20250718 130.0 CALL$
。虽然行权价提高了,与其说看涨不如说是正统的roll仓逻辑,阶段获利减仓,毕竟roll仓后成交量不变但成交额下降了。
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
依然是远期看跌开仓活跃,远期看涨开仓很少。因为市场对远期看涨没有预期,反而更愿意布局下跌。目前来看6月底前有概率会回调550。
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
期权套利机构进行roll仓
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-22 22:41
不受大盘波动影响的财报策略
$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$
周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call
$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$
出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call
$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$
。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。
$英伟达(NVDA)$
可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put
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不受大盘波动影响的财报策略
期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-22 01:03
$英伟达(NVDA)$
波动很平淡,甚至期权成交和开仓量都下降了,简单聊两句英伟达三巫日到期期权。周二看涨开仓数据140敞口变多,比如
$NVDA 20250606 140.0 CALL$
,方向有看多跟看空,这个不重要,主要看整体开仓情况。看跌数据这边开始押注delta绝对值小于0.2的价外看跌,比如
$NVDA 20250530 115.0 PUT$
这种,这种敞口选择有多种原因,可以先记下观望。6月20日是今年第二个三巫日,期权未平仓数量巨大。粗略来看英伟达股价倾向于在三巫日到期前回调到120左右,所以如果财报利好不够突出,不应该追高而是sell call更合适。蓝色标注是2亿哥开仓120call
$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$
,3月5日开仓10万手。往常来说他都会在财报前再进行一次roll仓,但这次他选择减仓。未平仓数据显示5月12日
$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$
期权关仓4.89万手。5月12日减仓的那一半肯定是亏的,12块成本价,平仓价格9块,为什么亏了也要减仓呢?那一天中美关税会议结果落地,市场反弹,我认
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-20
英伟达财报,机构大单押注上涨目标价144
$英伟达(NVDA)$
5月19日,台北国际电脑展开幕,英伟达ceo黄仁勋发表演讲。演讲内容并无重大惊喜:主要表达公司聚焦AI通信基础设施(如NVLink Fusion)和长期项目(如机器人与Omniverse)。以及虽然短期内面对商务部禁令会有影响,但利空因素明确,下半年有望重新加速增长对于下周财报,利空同样很明确。摩根士丹利分析师表示,他认为投资者预期Q2会小幅超预期,而指引将持平或微增(这或将低于通常的 20 亿美元季度环比增⻓指引)。综合当前信息的反馈,有机构开始对下周财报着手布局策略。5月20日期权开仓数据显示,5月30日到期144call
$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$
和150call
$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$
未平仓增量显著,分别新增1.7万手和1.1万手。经过详细调查,发现这是一组看涨价差策略,即买入144call
$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$
,卖出150call
$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$
。根据行权价直观目测他们的涨幅预期是144以上150以下
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英伟达财报,机构大单押注上涨目标价144
期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-19
$英伟达(NVDA)$
本周波动区间125~140。区间上限价格参考机构的价差套利策略。虽然机构在上周连续两次roll仓失败,但在周五对套利策略进roll仓时,sell call行权价仍然选择了139~141区间,buy call选择了145、149、150、152.5四个行权价。也可以理解,除非出现重大利好,比如特朗普又带货了,否则即使股价达到140,也难突破继续上涨。140以上阻力还是挺大的。看跌期权方面,本周到期125put
$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$
新增开仓5.7万手,方向有买有卖,仅当作回调下限考虑。本周未平仓情况如图,看涨期权未平仓量最大的行权价是140
$NVDA 20250523 140.0 CALL$
,看跌期权未平仓量最大行权价是125
$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$
。当前价格135比较适合双卖策略。
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
穆迪下调评级对市场影响很大,不过上周五已经有大单押注见顶,所以市场会顺势而为。周五预期周一看跌到591~592左右。6月三巫日前大盘会回调补缺口,但回调时间点不是本周。
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-16
段永平同款大盘见顶保护高性价比策略
$英伟达(NVDA)$
下周目标140。5月15日周四
$NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$
开仓5.8万手,方向大部分是买入,合计成交额约170多万。交易者预期周五回调132。从成交明细来看,132put买入时机选在了股价最高点,再结合考虑成交金额,说明这笔大单交易者对回调颇有信心。不过,大家现在都盼着回调,好做一些看多操作,感觉市场一般不会如此顺从情绪,我觉得会收平可能性更高。不过就算股价不回调也可以做sell put,预计财报前股价会在130以上徘徊。目前机构给出最高目标价是大摩分析师的160美元,普遍目标价是150。比较低的目标价120来自HSBC分析师,他认为尽管AI需求向好,但今年下半年存在供应链不确定性,而且Q1Q2营收很难超预期。不过我认为这几点并不影响财报前利好兑现。所以130~150这个区间外做卖方问题应该不大。(昨天把sell call打成140了,这周问题不大但下周有点危险)
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
spy期权开仓继续一如既往,趋势继续缓慢向上,目标600;短期内没有明显利空,大批看空开仓选择远期,目标也很合理570~580。对于大盘顶部看法,QQQ有两个值得一提的大单。分别是备兑sell call515
$QQQ 20250919 515.0 CALL$
和备兑sell call525
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段永平同款大盘见顶保护高性价比策略
期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-15
$英伟达(NVDA)$
财报前,英伟达震荡区间来到130~150。两天前130还是股价上限,现在就变成了回调下限,这种转变有点剧烈。机构在一周内连续两次roll仓,清理了130~137的价差头寸,roll为140~145,理论上周四周五应该不会发生逼空了,股价突破135失败,有概率回到130。机构roll仓后,本周看涨期权未平仓数量最大的行权价是140。周四周五股价差不多区间稳定了,高于140的sell call跟低于130的sell put都可以做。看涨期权新增开仓第一的期权
$NVDA 20250718 125.0 CALL$
,是买入看涨roll仓。从
$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$
4.5万手roll到7月18日到期125call6万手。这笔策略追溯最早开仓在4月4日~10日最低位置抄底买入
$NVDA 20250620 85.0 CALL$
陆续买入3.9万手 ,然后5月5日roll仓
$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$
。每次roll仓加注成交量降低成交额,逐步保留成本,用利润roll仓。英伟达Q1业绩预计超出市场预期
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-14
$英伟达(NVDA)$
很惆怅,周二机构sell call套利因为逼空移仓后,英伟达股价涨势不减,很大原因在于移仓后可能会继续逼空。周二看涨期权开仓情况如图,本周到期看涨期权132~139call,全部都是机构的套利策略开仓。这种大批量连续行权价的看涨期权开仓,不分买卖方,最终结果就是会有概率形成一定的逼空。要么股价直接冲上140,要么回调到132以下。这个行情真是太疯狂了。5月30日150call
$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$
出现卖出大单,预计月底前股价低于150。股价暴涨本周到期110call,120call和125call大规模减仓,目前本周到期看涨期权未平仓第一是135。
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
目前来看6月20日之前回调意向不大。
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
跟英伟达一样,机构重新进行了sell call移仓,sell call 355,buy call375。355会成为本周最新阻力。
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-13
$英伟达(NVDA)$
沙特订单成交带来了逼空行情。周一本周到期看涨期权新增开仓量最大的行权价是125,然而机构sell call没来得及及时移仓,股价直接突破127对冲点位来到了130。从未平仓来看130是本周极限价格,机构移仓本周sell call
$NVDA 20250516 132.0 CALL$
,对冲137。我也跟着做了一点挽回损失。不得不说,特朗普说看涨的威力还是有点大的。
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
spy在6月20日三巫日前可能会到600。
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
如果spy上触600的话,特斯拉股价保持同样的趋势。6月6日到期370的call
$TSLA 20250606 370.0 CALL$
新增开仓2.36万手。
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期权小班长
期权小班长
·
05-12
月权到期,逢高做空
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
不出意外,又有人提前看涨。周五spy三个不同到期日行权价为580的看涨期权开仓看涨:
$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$
开仓5.2万手 ,
$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$
开仓2.9万手 ,
$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$
开仓2.5万手 大单异动筛选可知这三张期权大单的成交时间在收盘前。有人可能会问了,现在盘前已经涨到了,这个信息是不是没用了?交易者选择580行权价,其实意味着盘前已经涨到位了,上涨空间有限,现在该做sell call看空了。如果没有前一阵145%的胡闹定价做对比,30%的关税可一点都不低,在我看来周末谈判完全算不上什么利好消息。本周月权到期日,预计spy会在580~550窄幅震荡。
$英伟达(NVDA)$
英伟达同理可做sell call,我卖出了
$NVDA 20250620 135.0 CALL$
。机构继续在上周五做看涨价差套利,sell call区间119~121,对冲buy ca
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月权到期,逢高做空
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期权套利机构进行roll仓","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bf7dad71df507bc79a368beddd87193","width":"1042","height":"930"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3dad00c524e54af454f1b6afab60c78","width":"2334","height":"152"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9de292fdc5bb38732f72980a858f6c4c","width":"1042","height":"898"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/438251966042176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":437864468874000,"gmtCreate":1747924904093,"gmtModify":1747925202536,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"不受大盘波动影响的财报策略","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a>周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT%2020250627%2083.5%20CALL\">$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$</a> 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT 20250718 83 CALL\">$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ </a> 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TLT\">$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$</a>周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT%2020250627%2083.5%20CALL\">$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$</a> 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TLT 20250718 83 CALL\">$TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ </a> 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put","text":"$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$周三下午1点20年期美债拍卖出了点小问题,买家购买意愿不强导致30年美债收益率突破5%,接近2023年四季度前高。值得注意的是美债拍卖前,美东时间上午10点,此时tlt股价约为84.9,然而6月27日到期83.5call$TLT 20250627 83.5 CALL$ 出现大量新增开仓,经成交明细核实,这个行权价为价内的看涨期权交易方向为卖出。毫无疑问,这就是内幕大单。一般来说预期股价下跌,似乎买put是更好的选择。但根据tlt的k线来看,目前股价已处于底部位置,再比对看跌和看涨期权权利金价格,做看涨期权卖方更有利可图。83.5put从周三开盘1.23涨到周四开盘1.7,83.5call从周三开盘2.7跌到周四开盘1.86。根据周三tlt期权开仓情况,看跌开仓敞口81,策略以roll仓看跌和对冲看跌为主,比如卖89call买81put这种。看涨开仓比较激进,在下跌发生后,有人交易了7月到期89-96call的看涨价差,以及买入7月到期83call $TLT 20250718 83 CALL$ 。所以这个阶段tlt进一步恶化空间很窄,不用太恐慌大盘被国债拖累下跌,至少英伟达财报前还能挺一会儿。$英伟达(NVDA)$可能是大盘回调压力比较大,以及各种意外事件频出,交易者开始偏向保守操作,比如选择sell put","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c8cadd514c61771ec4b7264074d7070"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1208fbab3d1b79249852f044a831e8f"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffdeab45114dba7ebb7df9e51325d226"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":36,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437864468874000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4133986523526472","authorId":"4133986523526472","name":"Bambam","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfb1c1a01a438ee7e9b40fa95d9ba063","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4133986523526472","authorIdStr":"4133986523526472"},"content":"spy那个怎么会是fly呢? OI对不上,方向也不对","text":"spy那个怎么会是fly呢? OI对不上,方向也不对","html":"spy那个怎么会是fly呢? OI对不上,方向也不对"}],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":437523505832168,"gmtCreate":1747846983500,"gmtModify":1747847018908,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 波动很平淡,甚至期权成交和开仓量都下降了,简单聊两句英伟达三巫日到期期权。周二看涨开仓数据140敞口变多,比如 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250606%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250606 140.0 CALL$</a> ,方向有看多跟看空,这个不重要,主要看整体开仓情况。看跌数据这边开始押注delta绝对值小于0.2的价外看跌,比如 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250530 115.0 PUT$</a> 这种,这种敞口选择有多种原因,可以先记下观望。6月20日是今年第二个三巫日,期权未平仓数量巨大。粗略来看英伟达股价倾向于在三巫日到期前回调到120左右,所以如果财报利好不够突出,不应该追高而是sell call更合适。蓝色标注是2亿哥开仓120call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$</a> ,3月5日开仓10万手。往常来说他都会在财报前再进行一次roll仓,但这次他选择减仓。未平仓数据显示5月12日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$</a> 期权关仓4.89万手。5月12日减仓的那一半肯定是亏的,12块成本价,平仓价格9块,为什么亏了也要减仓呢?那一天中美关税会议结果落地,市场反弹,我认","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 波动很平淡,甚至期权成交和开仓量都下降了,简单聊两句英伟达三巫日到期期权。周二看涨开仓数据140敞口变多,比如 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250606%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250606 140.0 CALL$</a> ,方向有看多跟看空,这个不重要,主要看整体开仓情况。看跌数据这边开始押注delta绝对值小于0.2的价外看跌,比如 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250530 115.0 PUT$</a> 这种,这种敞口选择有多种原因,可以先记下观望。6月20日是今年第二个三巫日,期权未平仓数量巨大。粗略来看英伟达股价倾向于在三巫日到期前回调到120左右,所以如果财报利好不够突出,不应该追高而是sell call更合适。蓝色标注是2亿哥开仓120call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$</a> ,3月5日开仓10万手。往常来说他都会在财报前再进行一次roll仓,但这次他选择减仓。未平仓数据显示5月12日<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$</a> 期权关仓4.89万手。5月12日减仓的那一半肯定是亏的,12块成本价,平仓价格9块,为什么亏了也要减仓呢?那一天中美关税会议结果落地,市场反弹,我认","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 波动很平淡,甚至期权成交和开仓量都下降了,简单聊两句英伟达三巫日到期期权。周二看涨开仓数据140敞口变多,比如 $NVDA 20250606 140.0 CALL$ ,方向有看多跟看空,这个不重要,主要看整体开仓情况。看跌数据这边开始押注delta绝对值小于0.2的价外看跌,比如 $NVDA 20250530 115.0 PUT$ 这种,这种敞口选择有多种原因,可以先记下观望。6月20日是今年第二个三巫日,期权未平仓数量巨大。粗略来看英伟达股价倾向于在三巫日到期前回调到120左右,所以如果财报利好不够突出,不应该追高而是sell call更合适。蓝色标注是2亿哥开仓120call $NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$ ,3月5日开仓10万手。往常来说他都会在财报前再进行一次roll仓,但这次他选择减仓。未平仓数据显示5月12日$NVDA 20250620 120.0 CALL$ 期权关仓4.89万手。5月12日减仓的那一半肯定是亏的,12块成本价,平仓价格9块,为什么亏了也要减仓呢?那一天中美关税会议结果落地,市场反弹,我认","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f1a95700c44775a37ad240f858535f","width":"1040","height":"830"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9418a1a994eb6e4c8ec4d4cdbd459ada","width":"1040","height":"896"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/398a09fc2500ca7f4e9348469b73af0d","width":"2012","height":"1432"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":29,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437523505832168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":437159942082720,"gmtCreate":1747751127235,"gmtModify":1747751636036,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"英伟达财报,机构大单押注上涨目标价144","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>5月19日,台北国际电脑展开幕,英伟达ceo黄仁勋发表演讲。演讲内容并无重大惊喜:主要表达公司聚焦AI通信基础设施(如NVLink Fusion)和长期项目(如机器人与Omniverse)。以及虽然短期内面对商务部禁令会有影响,但利空因素明确,下半年有望重新加速增长对于下周财报,利空同样很明确。摩根士丹利分析师表示,他认为投资者预期Q2会小幅超预期,而指引将持平或微增(这或将低于通常的 20 亿美元季度环比增⻓指引)。综合当前信息的反馈,有机构开始对下周财报着手布局策略。5月20日期权开仓数据显示,5月30日到期144call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20144.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$</a> 和150call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 未平仓增量显著,分别新增1.7万手和1.1万手。经过详细调查,发现这是一组看涨价差策略,即买入144call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20144.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$</a> ,卖出150call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 。根据行权价直观目测他们的涨幅预期是144以上150以下","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>5月19日,台北国际电脑展开幕,英伟达ceo黄仁勋发表演讲。演讲内容并无重大惊喜:主要表达公司聚焦AI通信基础设施(如NVLink Fusion)和长期项目(如机器人与Omniverse)。以及虽然短期内面对商务部禁令会有影响,但利空因素明确,下半年有望重新加速增长对于下周财报,利空同样很明确。摩根士丹利分析师表示,他认为投资者预期Q2会小幅超预期,而指引将持平或微增(这或将低于通常的 20 亿美元季度环比增⻓指引)。综合当前信息的反馈,有机构开始对下周财报着手布局策略。5月20日期权开仓数据显示,5月30日到期144call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20144.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$</a> 和150call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 未平仓增量显著,分别新增1.7万手和1.1万手。经过详细调查,发现这是一组看涨价差策略,即买入144call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20144.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$</a> ,卖出150call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 。根据行权价直观目测他们的涨幅预期是144以上150以下","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$5月19日,台北国际电脑展开幕,英伟达ceo黄仁勋发表演讲。演讲内容并无重大惊喜:主要表达公司聚焦AI通信基础设施(如NVLink Fusion)和长期项目(如机器人与Omniverse)。以及虽然短期内面对商务部禁令会有影响,但利空因素明确,下半年有望重新加速增长对于下周财报,利空同样很明确。摩根士丹利分析师表示,他认为投资者预期Q2会小幅超预期,而指引将持平或微增(这或将低于通常的 20 亿美元季度环比增⻓指引)。综合当前信息的反馈,有机构开始对下周财报着手布局策略。5月20日期权开仓数据显示,5月30日到期144call $NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$ 和150call $NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$ 未平仓增量显著,分别新增1.7万手和1.1万手。经过详细调查,发现这是一组看涨价差策略,即买入144call $NVDA 20250530 144.0 CALL$ ,卖出150call$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$ 。根据行权价直观目测他们的涨幅预期是144以上150以下","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/126b3d48ca08e75158bfa3491faf8a33"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09cddc70360763caaab5d8a4abf07f6c"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9439e098033b2561bc0cc6d02da2872c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437159942082720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3529413901074520","authorId":"3529413901074520","name":"幻想者_9454","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d11e2f388d2582e7c7b467637dbec7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3529413901074520","authorIdStr":"3529413901074520"},"content":"做这个策略,不怕财报出来,英伟达大跌","text":"做这个策略,不怕财报出来,英伟达大跌","html":"做这个策略,不怕财报出来,英伟达大跌"}],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":436818811826296,"gmtCreate":1747667759607,"gmtModify":1747667784805,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 本周波动区间125~140。区间上限价格参考机构的价差套利策略。虽然机构在上周连续两次roll仓失败,但在周五对套利策略进roll仓时,sell call行权价仍然选择了139~141区间,buy call选择了145、149、150、152.5四个行权价。也可以理解,除非出现重大利好,比如特朗普又带货了,否则即使股价达到140,也难突破继续上涨。140以上阻力还是挺大的。看跌期权方面,本周到期125put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20125.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$</a> 新增开仓5.7万手,方向有买有卖,仅当作回调下限考虑。本周未平仓情况如图,看涨期权未平仓量最大的行权价是140 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 140.0 CALL$</a> ,看跌期权未平仓量最大行权价是125 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20125.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$</a> 。当前价格135比较适合双卖策略。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 穆迪下调评级对市场影响很大,不过上周五已经有大单押注见顶,所以市场会顺势而为。周五预期周一看跌到591~592左右。6月三巫日前大盘会回调补缺口,但回调时间点不是本周。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 本周波动区间125~140。区间上限价格参考机构的价差套利策略。虽然机构在上周连续两次roll仓失败,但在周五对套利策略进roll仓时,sell call行权价仍然选择了139~141区间,buy call选择了145、149、150、152.5四个行权价。也可以理解,除非出现重大利好,比如特朗普又带货了,否则即使股价达到140,也难突破继续上涨。140以上阻力还是挺大的。看跌期权方面,本周到期125put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20125.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$</a> 新增开仓5.7万手,方向有买有卖,仅当作回调下限考虑。本周未平仓情况如图,看涨期权未平仓量最大的行权价是140 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 140.0 CALL$</a> ,看跌期权未平仓量最大行权价是125 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20125.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$</a> 。当前价格135比较适合双卖策略。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 穆迪下调评级对市场影响很大,不过上周五已经有大单押注见顶,所以市场会顺势而为。周五预期周一看跌到591~592左右。6月三巫日前大盘会回调补缺口,但回调时间点不是本周。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 本周波动区间125~140。区间上限价格参考机构的价差套利策略。虽然机构在上周连续两次roll仓失败,但在周五对套利策略进roll仓时,sell call行权价仍然选择了139~141区间,buy call选择了145、149、150、152.5四个行权价。也可以理解,除非出现重大利好,比如特朗普又带货了,否则即使股价达到140,也难突破继续上涨。140以上阻力还是挺大的。看跌期权方面,本周到期125put $NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$ 新增开仓5.7万手,方向有买有卖,仅当作回调下限考虑。本周未平仓情况如图,看涨期权未平仓量最大的行权价是140 $NVDA 20250523 140.0 CALL$ ,看跌期权未平仓量最大行权价是125 $NVDA 20250523 125.0 PUT$ 。当前价格135比较适合双卖策略。 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 穆迪下调评级对市场影响很大,不过上周五已经有大单押注见顶,所以市场会顺势而为。周五预期周一看跌到591~592左右。6月三巫日前大盘会回调补缺口,但回调时间点不是本周。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b450ac33e283c26ce5505da4ea1ecaf","width":"1044","height":"994"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60338c3f53e74947df027f1d3c8d02eb","width":"1042","height":"772"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83e160b004200b4d28d8cf36105a090a","width":"1038","height":"738"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":34,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/436818811826296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":15445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574609203076960","authorId":"3574609203076960","name":"目光之后","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2516d9fcad49f5c5a9d0f19b33ab3b62","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574609203076960","authorIdStr":"3574609203076960"},"content":"大佬分析下联合健康呢?","text":"大佬分析下联合健康呢?","html":"大佬分析下联合健康呢?"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435754028454008,"gmtCreate":1747407802729,"gmtModify":1747407846884,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"段永平同款大盘见顶保护高性价比策略","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 下周目标140。5月15日周四 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%20132.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$</a> 开仓5.8万手,方向大部分是买入,合计成交额约170多万。交易者预期周五回调132。从成交明细来看,132put买入时机选在了股价最高点,再结合考虑成交金额,说明这笔大单交易者对回调颇有信心。不过,大家现在都盼着回调,好做一些看多操作,感觉市场一般不会如此顺从情绪,我觉得会收平可能性更高。不过就算股价不回调也可以做sell put,预计财报前股价会在130以上徘徊。目前机构给出最高目标价是大摩分析师的160美元,普遍目标价是150。比较低的目标价120来自HSBC分析师,他认为尽管AI需求向好,但今年下半年存在供应链不确定性,而且Q1Q2营收很难超预期。不过我认为这几点并不影响财报前利好兑现。所以130~150这个区间外做卖方问题应该不大。(昨天把sell call打成140了,这周问题不大但下周有点危险) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> spy期权开仓继续一如既往,趋势继续缓慢向上,目标600;短期内没有明显利空,大批看空开仓选择远期,目标也很合理570~580。对于大盘顶部看法,QQQ有两个值得一提的大单。分别是备兑sell call515 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QQQ%2020250919%20515.0%20CALL\">$QQQ 20250919 515.0 CALL$</a> 和备兑sell call525","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 下周目标140。5月15日周四 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%20132.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$</a> 开仓5.8万手,方向大部分是买入,合计成交额约170多万。交易者预期周五回调132。从成交明细来看,132put买入时机选在了股价最高点,再结合考虑成交金额,说明这笔大单交易者对回调颇有信心。不过,大家现在都盼着回调,好做一些看多操作,感觉市场一般不会如此顺从情绪,我觉得会收平可能性更高。不过就算股价不回调也可以做sell put,预计财报前股价会在130以上徘徊。目前机构给出最高目标价是大摩分析师的160美元,普遍目标价是150。比较低的目标价120来自HSBC分析师,他认为尽管AI需求向好,但今年下半年存在供应链不确定性,而且Q1Q2营收很难超预期。不过我认为这几点并不影响财报前利好兑现。所以130~150这个区间外做卖方问题应该不大。(昨天把sell call打成140了,这周问题不大但下周有点危险) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> spy期权开仓继续一如既往,趋势继续缓慢向上,目标600;短期内没有明显利空,大批看空开仓选择远期,目标也很合理570~580。对于大盘顶部看法,QQQ有两个值得一提的大单。分别是备兑sell call515 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QQQ%2020250919%20515.0%20CALL\">$QQQ 20250919 515.0 CALL$</a> 和备兑sell call525","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 下周目标140。5月15日周四 $NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$ 开仓5.8万手,方向大部分是买入,合计成交额约170多万。交易者预期周五回调132。从成交明细来看,132put买入时机选在了股价最高点,再结合考虑成交金额,说明这笔大单交易者对回调颇有信心。不过,大家现在都盼着回调,好做一些看多操作,感觉市场一般不会如此顺从情绪,我觉得会收平可能性更高。不过就算股价不回调也可以做sell put,预计财报前股价会在130以上徘徊。目前机构给出最高目标价是大摩分析师的160美元,普遍目标价是150。比较低的目标价120来自HSBC分析师,他认为尽管AI需求向好,但今年下半年存在供应链不确定性,而且Q1Q2营收很难超预期。不过我认为这几点并不影响财报前利好兑现。所以130~150这个区间外做卖方问题应该不大。(昨天把sell call打成140了,这周问题不大但下周有点危险) $标普500ETF(SPY)$ spy期权开仓继续一如既往,趋势继续缓慢向上,目标600;短期内没有明显利空,大批看空开仓选择远期,目标也很合理570~580。对于大盘顶部看法,QQQ有两个值得一提的大单。分别是备兑sell call515 $QQQ 20250919 515.0 CALL$ 和备兑sell call525","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67611813fd1bbf3a1717d70a2752171c","width":"1038","height":"894"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2fc672612f0ee206fe59db498ed16ef","width":"2512","height":"470"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ec481ad40302d206962e8f253791af4","width":"1042","height":"958"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":36,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":5,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435754028454008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435388813201640,"gmtCreate":1747318808981,"gmtModify":1747318930123,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>财报前,英伟达震荡区间来到130~150。两天前130还是股价上限,现在就变成了回调下限,这种转变有点剧烈。机构在一周内连续两次roll仓,清理了130~137的价差头寸,roll为140~145,理论上周四周五应该不会发生逼空了,股价突破135失败,有概率回到130。机构roll仓后,本周看涨期权未平仓数量最大的行权价是140。周四周五股价差不多区间稳定了,高于140的sell call跟低于130的sell put都可以做。看涨期权新增开仓第一的期权 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20125.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 125.0 CALL$</a> ,是买入看涨roll仓。从 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20105.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$</a> 4.5万手roll到7月18日到期125call6万手。这笔策略追溯最早开仓在4月4日~10日最低位置抄底买入 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%2085.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 85.0 CALL$</a>陆续买入3.9万手 ,然后5月5日roll仓 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20105.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$</a>。每次roll仓加注成交量降低成交额,逐步保留成本,用利润roll仓。英伟达Q1业绩预计超出市场预期","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>财报前,英伟达震荡区间来到130~150。两天前130还是股价上限,现在就变成了回调下限,这种转变有点剧烈。机构在一周内连续两次roll仓,清理了130~137的价差头寸,roll为140~145,理论上周四周五应该不会发生逼空了,股价突破135失败,有概率回到130。机构roll仓后,本周看涨期权未平仓数量最大的行权价是140。周四周五股价差不多区间稳定了,高于140的sell call跟低于130的sell put都可以做。看涨期权新增开仓第一的期权 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20125.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 125.0 CALL$</a> ,是买入看涨roll仓。从 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20105.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$</a> 4.5万手roll到7月18日到期125call6万手。这笔策略追溯最早开仓在4月4日~10日最低位置抄底买入 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%2085.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 85.0 CALL$</a>陆续买入3.9万手 ,然后5月5日roll仓 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250718%20105.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$</a>。每次roll仓加注成交量降低成交额,逐步保留成本,用利润roll仓。英伟达Q1业绩预计超出市场预期","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$财报前,英伟达震荡区间来到130~150。两天前130还是股价上限,现在就变成了回调下限,这种转变有点剧烈。机构在一周内连续两次roll仓,清理了130~137的价差头寸,roll为140~145,理论上周四周五应该不会发生逼空了,股价突破135失败,有概率回到130。机构roll仓后,本周看涨期权未平仓数量最大的行权价是140。周四周五股价差不多区间稳定了,高于140的sell call跟低于130的sell put都可以做。看涨期权新增开仓第一的期权 $NVDA 20250718 125.0 CALL$ ,是买入看涨roll仓。从 $NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$ 4.5万手roll到7月18日到期125call6万手。这笔策略追溯最早开仓在4月4日~10日最低位置抄底买入 $NVDA 20250620 85.0 CALL$陆续买入3.9万手 ,然后5月5日roll仓 $NVDA 20250718 105.0 CALL$。每次roll仓加注成交量降低成交额,逐步保留成本,用利润roll仓。英伟达Q1业绩预计超出市场预期","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06054ca351f7e08592abd1453da6edcf","width":"1036","height":"898"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2486429894525c0e2c2f6f030b448019","width":"1048","height":"834"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d031559e29cf37909c55db3efddfd7d0","width":"2516","height":"214"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":27,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435388813201640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":18878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548898342038460","authorId":"3548898342038460","name":"yukio999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3548898342038460","authorIdStr":"3548898342038460"},"content":"为什么NVDA的0718 105C 卖出了4.5w 未平仓量只减了1.5w还有3w呢","text":"为什么NVDA的0718 105C 卖出了4.5w 未平仓量只减了1.5w还有3w呢","html":"为什么NVDA的0718 105C 卖出了4.5w 未平仓量只减了1.5w还有3w呢"}],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435107589234864,"gmtCreate":1747230240827,"gmtModify":1747230372368,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 很惆怅,周二机构sell call套利因为逼空移仓后,英伟达股价涨势不减,很大原因在于移仓后可能会继续逼空。周二看涨期权开仓情况如图,本周到期看涨期权132~139call,全部都是机构的套利策略开仓。这种大批量连续行权价的看涨期权开仓,不分买卖方,最终结果就是会有概率形成一定的逼空。要么股价直接冲上140,要么回调到132以下。这个行情真是太疯狂了。5月30日150call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 出现卖出大单,预计月底前股价低于150。股价暴涨本周到期110call,120call和125call大规模减仓,目前本周到期看涨期权未平仓第一是135。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 目前来看6月20日之前回调意向不大。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 跟英伟达一样,机构重新进行了sell call移仓,sell call 355,buy call375。355会成为本周最新阻力。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 很惆怅,周二机构sell call套利因为逼空移仓后,英伟达股价涨势不减,很大原因在于移仓后可能会继续逼空。周二看涨期权开仓情况如图,本周到期看涨期权132~139call,全部都是机构的套利策略开仓。这种大批量连续行权价的看涨期权开仓,不分买卖方,最终结果就是会有概率形成一定的逼空。要么股价直接冲上140,要么回调到132以下。这个行情真是太疯狂了。5月30日150call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250530%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$</a> 出现卖出大单,预计月底前股价低于150。股价暴涨本周到期110call,120call和125call大规模减仓,目前本周到期看涨期权未平仓第一是135。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 目前来看6月20日之前回调意向不大。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 跟英伟达一样,机构重新进行了sell call移仓,sell call 355,buy call375。355会成为本周最新阻力。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 很惆怅,周二机构sell call套利因为逼空移仓后,英伟达股价涨势不减,很大原因在于移仓后可能会继续逼空。周二看涨期权开仓情况如图,本周到期看涨期权132~139call,全部都是机构的套利策略开仓。这种大批量连续行权价的看涨期权开仓,不分买卖方,最终结果就是会有概率形成一定的逼空。要么股价直接冲上140,要么回调到132以下。这个行情真是太疯狂了。5月30日150call $NVDA 20250530 150.0 CALL$ 出现卖出大单,预计月底前股价低于150。股价暴涨本周到期110call,120call和125call大规模减仓,目前本周到期看涨期权未平仓第一是135。 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 目前来看6月20日之前回调意向不大。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 跟英伟达一样,机构重新进行了sell call移仓,sell call 355,buy call375。355会成为本周最新阻力。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a00c04641a52a7fedbf0c7e713fddc8","width":"1036","height":"930"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9260bc0e82cbb37708de445df7e16a","width":"1040","height":"866"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56b5ed4f85e534d733509b949be04a6f","width":"1040","height":"894"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435107589234864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576820237854471","authorId":"3576820237854471","name":"菜鸟趋势交易","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/651f918dbd36d125df8b254525c84ec2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576820237854471","authorIdStr":"3576820237854471"},"content":"班长,请问这些期权交易数据是从哪获取呀,谢谢 [微笑]","text":"班长,请问这些期权交易数据是从哪获取呀,谢谢 [微笑]","html":"班长,请问这些期权交易数据是从哪获取呀,谢谢 [微笑]"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434784862511280,"gmtCreate":1747151450123,"gmtModify":1747151460107,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 沙特订单成交带来了逼空行情。周一本周到期看涨期权新增开仓量最大的行权价是125,然而机构sell call没来得及及时移仓,股价直接突破127对冲点位来到了130。从未平仓来看130是本周极限价格,机构移仓本周sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%20132.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250516 132.0 CALL$</a> ,对冲137。我也跟着做了一点挽回损失。不得不说,特朗普说看涨的威力还是有点大的。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> spy在6月20日三巫日前可能会到600。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 如果spy上触600的话,特斯拉股价保持同样的趋势。6月6日到期370的call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250606%20370.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20250606 370.0 CALL$</a> 新增开仓2.36万手。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 沙特订单成交带来了逼空行情。周一本周到期看涨期权新增开仓量最大的行权价是125,然而机构sell call没来得及及时移仓,股价直接突破127对冲点位来到了130。从未平仓来看130是本周极限价格,机构移仓本周sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%20132.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250516 132.0 CALL$</a> ,对冲137。我也跟着做了一点挽回损失。不得不说,特朗普说看涨的威力还是有点大的。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> spy在6月20日三巫日前可能会到600。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 如果spy上触600的话,特斯拉股价保持同样的趋势。6月6日到期370的call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250606%20370.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20250606 370.0 CALL$</a> 新增开仓2.36万手。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 沙特订单成交带来了逼空行情。周一本周到期看涨期权新增开仓量最大的行权价是125,然而机构sell call没来得及及时移仓,股价直接突破127对冲点位来到了130。从未平仓来看130是本周极限价格,机构移仓本周sell call $NVDA 20250516 132.0 CALL$ ,对冲137。我也跟着做了一点挽回损失。不得不说,特朗普说看涨的威力还是有点大的。 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ spy在6月20日三巫日前可能会到600。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 如果spy上触600的话,特斯拉股价保持同样的趋势。6月6日到期370的call $TSLA 20250606 370.0 CALL$ 新增开仓2.36万手。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e6c8ae446c040edf6a18eb76b545f24","width":"1042","height":"962"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e5ed9878528a9e2b70587591d74e1a","width":"1042","height":"932"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641d4e203bca539a770ab05d14b261e7","width":"1040","height":"930"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":30,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434784862511280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":19735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4207548103878862","authorId":"4207548103878862","name":"People万岁","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/967cf78d1f8c3563d4ba57b34b41ed70","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4207548103878862","authorIdStr":"4207548103878862"},"content":"6.20 135的sell call要平嗎","text":"6.20 135的sell call要平嗎","html":"6.20 135的sell call要平嗎"}],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434400600600752,"gmtCreate":1747057636180,"gmtModify":1747057667397,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"月权到期,逢高做空","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 不出意外,又有人提前看涨。周五spy三个不同到期日行权价为580的看涨期权开仓看涨: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓5.2万手 , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓2.9万手 , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓2.5万手 大单异动筛选可知这三张期权大单的成交时间在收盘前。有人可能会问了,现在盘前已经涨到了,这个信息是不是没用了?交易者选择580行权价,其实意味着盘前已经涨到位了,上涨空间有限,现在该做sell call看空了。如果没有前一阵145%的胡闹定价做对比,30%的关税可一点都不低,在我看来周末谈判完全算不上什么利好消息。本周月权到期日,预计spy会在580~550窄幅震荡。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 英伟达同理可做sell call,我卖出了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20135.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 135.0 CALL$</a> 。机构继续在上周五做看涨价差套利,sell call区间119~121,对冲buy ca","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 不出意外,又有人提前看涨。周五spy三个不同到期日行权价为580的看涨期权开仓看涨: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓5.2万手 , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓2.9万手 , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL\">$SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ </a>开仓2.5万手 大单异动筛选可知这三张期权大单的成交时间在收盘前。有人可能会问了,现在盘前已经涨到了,这个信息是不是没用了?交易者选择580行权价,其实意味着盘前已经涨到位了,上涨空间有限,现在该做sell call看空了。如果没有前一阵145%的胡闹定价做对比,30%的关税可一点都不低,在我看来周末谈判完全算不上什么利好消息。本周月权到期日,预计spy会在580~550窄幅震荡。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 英伟达同理可做sell call,我卖出了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20135.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 135.0 CALL$</a> 。机构继续在上周五做看涨价差套利,sell call区间119~121,对冲buy ca","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 不出意外,又有人提前看涨。周五spy三个不同到期日行权价为580的看涨期权开仓看涨: $SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ 开仓5.2万手 , $SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ 开仓2.9万手 , $SPY 20250512 580.0 CALL$ 开仓2.5万手 大单异动筛选可知这三张期权大单的成交时间在收盘前。有人可能会问了,现在盘前已经涨到了,这个信息是不是没用了?交易者选择580行权价,其实意味着盘前已经涨到位了,上涨空间有限,现在该做sell call看空了。如果没有前一阵145%的胡闹定价做对比,30%的关税可一点都不低,在我看来周末谈判完全算不上什么利好消息。本周月权到期日,预计spy会在580~550窄幅震荡。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达同理可做sell call,我卖出了 $NVDA 20250620 135.0 CALL$ 。机构继续在上周五做看涨价差套利,sell call区间119~121,对冲buy ca","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc774d72587d20b001ca19c6d6d61075","width":"1042","height":"928"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b270b602719a0eb0ee6c70cbf792fd","width":"2514","height":"516"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31abc15710726e15201a999ae1ba8beb","width":"1042","height":"924"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434400600600752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":17568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559329655819166","authorId":"3559329655819166","name":"能不能别瞎搞","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":0,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559329655819166","authorIdStr":"3559329655819166"},"content":"spy那几个看空大单直接要归零了","text":"spy那几个看空大单直接要归零了","html":"spy那几个看空大单直接要归零了"}],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}