$FUT:黄金主连(_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

yuripapa
2019-07-18

$FUT:黄金主连(GCmain)$ 小赞自己一下，其实comex非商净多头最近几日已稍有降温迹象，so即使拉高出货也应该有根大阳线做伪突破，暂时还在日线旗型整理区间，先看1431再看前高吧，作为长线投资者和保守派，不怎么喜欢预测点位
要说事件驱动的话:美国经济联动的前哨站加拿大的经济数据呈消费与商业双双小幅降温趋势，另外原油的疲软进一步拖累了通胀预期。黄金中线个人维持之前所说的在联储月底议息前呈偏窄幅震荡格局。
另外我多嘴一句，布雷顿森林体系后(也就是全球性金本位消亡后)并没有出现几次比较大的贵金属周期性行情，所以不用过分参考金银比的历史数据。

@yuripapa：

$FUT:黄金主连(GCmain)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 猜中了恐怖数据，但黄金空头和美指多头不要过于兴奋，虽然美国零售表现强劲，但就如我之前发帖所说，美国零售端的强劲得益于温和的薪资数据和强劲的就业以及高于预期的消费者信心。但连续的工商业数据(投资，生产)均呈现衰退之势，并且较紧的就业市场和薪资反而会对企业造成利润压力，经济学上有个共识:投资相比消费更能促进经济扩张，并且美元的强势抑制了进口物价，进而部分抑制了物价通胀，所以整体通胀和经济热度依然呈现受抑制状态。美指和通胀仍暂时互相制衡。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

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胖虎哒哒
·2019-07-18
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·2019-07-18
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