狼不来了？！美国经济是否衰退这事该听谁的？_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

狼不来了？！美国经济是否衰退这事该听谁的？

金吾财讯
2023-07-21

“狼”不来了？从去年喊到今年的“美国经济衰退风险”可能真的不会来了。高盛最新预测美国经济在未来 12 个月内陷入衰退的可能性仅为 20%。早前这个值还是25%。高盛首席经济学家扬·哈齐乌斯周一在一份题为“The Narrative Turns.”的报告中写道：“最近的数据增强了我们的信心，将通胀降至可接受的水平并不需要经济衰退。” 当然，高盛的这个预测值远低于《华尔街日报》引用的 54% 的共识预测。

“经济衰退”这回事究竟该怎么看？

不管是高盛还是《华尔街日报》，投资者们也不要太迷信权威，要始终保持独立思考和谨慎态度。毕竟大家也都看到了，美股上半年走势把大多数华尔街专家们的脸都打肿了！

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

推荐
最新

抄底剁手啊
·2023-07-21
一点常识都没有，美国肯定是崩盘不会是衰退
回复
点赞
举报
哥教你怎么投
·2023-07-21
说了几十年了，也没见人家崩溃
回复
1
举报
焦糖布丁11
·2023-07-21
从小就听说美国马上要完蛋
回复
1
举报
每天涨停板敢死队
·2023-07-21
不如更多关注本国的经济发展
回复
点赞
举报
吾股丰登123
·2023-07-21
这总是只打雷不下雨啊
回复
点赞
举报
你还会爱吗
·2023-07-21
都坐下，这事应该听我的
回复
点赞
举报
云溪边民
·2023-07-21
向上趋势不变
回复
点赞
举报
Lydia758
·2023-07-21
阅
回复
点赞
举报
黄学惠
·2023-07-21
阅
回复
点赞
举报

热议股票

关于我们·老虎社区守则·老虎社区账号管理规范·老虎社区服务协议·老虎社区隐私政策

公司名称：北京至简风宜信息技术有限公司

违法和不良信息投诉：010-5681-3562（工作时间9:30-18:30）

邮箱：service@laohu8.com

营业执照：91110105MA01A4U55R

ICP备：京ICP备18016422号

网安备：京公网安备11010502036490

关注我们

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":200354114297992,"tweetId":"200354114297992","gmtCreate":1689939405015,"gmtModify":1689939825162,"author":{"id":4113008293263880,"authorId":4113008293263880,"authorIdStr":"4113008293263880","name":"金吾财讯","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b7f44f5ceeeeb4eab30f0530c2a7157","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"d426093c78eb4275b15610fd1615d3a5","categoryId":"d316d8bd4a714fab9ea15fd7157c45e7","name":"美股牛市回归，你上车了没？","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":d426093c78eb4275b15610fd1615d3a5}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"随着标普500指数从年初迄今上涨13%，与年初相比市场情绪转向乐观，美股进入技术性牛市之后，每个人都想从中分一杯羹，交易员都在押注看涨期权，如果近期股市持续上涨，他们将从中获利，这场新的牛市才刚刚开始？你坐上这趟牛市的快车了吗？","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e412741f0eb14f8265073de515ff5157"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f2704aff9cd30bd30a1159d6a472d75"}],"title":"狼不来了？！美国经济是否衰退这事该听谁的？","html":"<html><head></head><body>\n<video poster=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f2704aff9cd30bd30a1159d6a472d75\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\" class=\"ql-video\" controls=\"true\" controlslist=\"nodownload\" playsinline=\"true\" webkit-playsinline=\"true\">\n <source src=\"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/958772213270835010898223609/BVA6wRe2IGkA.mp4\">\n</video>\n“狼”不来了？从去年喊到今年的“美国经济衰退风险”可能真的不会来了。高盛最新预测美国经济在未来 12 个月内陷入衰退的可能性仅为 20%。 早前这个值还是25%。 高盛首席经济学家扬·哈齐乌斯周一在一份题为“The Narrative Turns.”的报告中写道：“最近的数据增强了我们的信心，将通胀降至可接受的水平并不需要经济衰退。” 当然，高盛的这个预测值远低于《华尔街日报》引用的 54% 的共识预测。\n“经济衰退”这回事究竟该怎么看？\n不管是高盛还是《华尔街日报》，投资者们也不要太迷信权威，要始终保持独立思考和谨慎态度。毕竟大家也都看到了，美股上半年走势把大多数华尔街专家们的脸都打肿了！\n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> \n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> \n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> \n</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>\n<video poster=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f2704aff9cd30bd30a1159d6a472d75\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"1080\" class=\"ql-video\" controls=\"true\" controlslist=\"nodownload\" playsinline=\"true\" webkit-playsinline=\"true\">\n <source src=\"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/958772213270835010898223609/BVA6wRe2IGkA.mp4\">\n</video>\n“狼”不来了？从去年喊到今年的“美国经济衰退风险”可能真的不会来了。高盛最新预测美国经济在未来 12 个月内陷入衰退的可能性仅为 20%。 早前这个值还是25%。 高盛首席经济学家扬·哈齐乌斯周一在一份题为“The Narrative Turns.”的报告中写道：“最近的数据增强了我们的信心，将通胀降至可接受的水平并不需要经济衰退。” 当然，高盛的这个预测值远低于《华尔街日报》引用的 54% 的共识预测。\n“经济衰退”这回事究竟该怎么看？\n不管是高盛还是《华尔街日报》，投资者们也不要太迷信权威，要始终保持独立思考和谨慎态度。毕竟大家也都看到了，美股上半年走势把大多数华尔街专家们的脸都打肿了！\n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> \n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> \n <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> \n</body></html>","text":"“狼”不来了？从去年喊到今年的“美国经济衰退风险”可能真的不会来了。高盛最新预测美国经济在未来 12 个月内陷入衰退的可能性仅为 20%。 早前这个值还是25%。 高盛首席经济学家扬·哈齐乌斯周一在一份题为“The Narrative Turns.”的报告中写道：“最近的数据增强了我们的信心，将通胀降至可接受的水平并不需要经济衰退。” 当然，高盛的这个预测值远低于《华尔街日报》引用的 54% 的共识预测。 “经济衰退”这回事究竟该怎么看？ 不管是高盛还是《华尔街日报》，投资者们也不要太迷信权威，要始终保持独立思考和谨慎态度。毕竟大家也都看到了，美股上半年走势把大多数华尔街专家们的脸都打肿了！ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":45,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/200354114297992","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"cc05276a4d0e4b7c8f077df883af7a41","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/958772213270835010898223609/BVA6wRe2IGkA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f2704aff9cd30bd30a1159d6a472d75","desc":""},"viewCount":4797,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[".DJI",".SPX",".IXIC"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":561,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":8043877,"gmtCreate":1689941815937,"gmtModify":1689945612394,"authorId":10000000000010332,"author":{"id":10000000000010332,"authorId":10000000000010332,"name":"抄底剁手啊","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b51002b6d682b7196fce71fa3264623","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"一点常识都没有，美国肯定是崩盘不会是衰退","text":"一点常识都没有，美国肯定是崩盘不会是衰退","html":"一点常识都没有，美国肯定是崩盘不会是衰退","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043957,"gmtCreate":1689944139256,"gmtModify":1689945612975,"authorId":4146641941404342,"author":{"id":4146641941404342,"authorId":4146641941404342,"name":"哥教你怎么投","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"说了几十年了，也没见人家崩溃","text":"说了几十年了，也没见人家崩溃","html":"说了几十年了，也没见人家崩溃","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043880,"gmtCreate":1689941836079,"gmtModify":1689941839809,"authorId":10000000000010332,"author":{"id":10000000000010332,"authorId":10000000000010332,"name":"焦糖布丁11","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2f16969c066c927390c828865b22d18","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"从小就听说美国马上要完蛋","text":"从小就听说美国马上要完蛋","html":"从小就听说美国马上要完蛋","likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043882,"gmtCreate":1689941871328,"gmtModify":1689941875187,"authorId":10000000000010304,"author":{"id":10000000000010304,"authorId":10000000000010304,"name":"每天涨停板敢死队","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f7166a326215342170a47ea96e7e877","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"不如更多关注本国的经济发展","text":"不如更多关注本国的经济发展","html":"不如更多关注本国的经济发展","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043876,"gmtCreate":1689941776816,"gmtModify":1689941780724,"authorId":10000000000010302,"author":{"id":10000000000010302,"authorId":10000000000010302,"name":"吾股丰登123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0126a7d8aadf37410e3ec43acf556ad","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"这总是只打雷不下雨啊","text":"这总是只打雷不下雨啊","html":"这总是只打雷不下雨啊","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043873,"gmtCreate":1689941735118,"gmtModify":1689941739237,"authorId":10000000000010276,"author":{"id":10000000000010276,"authorId":10000000000010276,"name":"你还会爱吗","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94371e7a6d7c018c6069df01c292d612","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"都坐下，这事应该听我的","text":"都坐下，这事应该听我的","html":"都坐下，这事应该听我的","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8044120,"gmtCreate":1689950089657,"gmtModify":1689950093236,"authorId":3561751074525386,"author":{"id":3561751074525386,"authorId":3561751074525386,"name":"云溪边民","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aeb39c35e0d83166c6f20cc9b5a5248c","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6295840391b9cdc17115677ba51429c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"向上趋势不变","text":"向上趋势不变","html":"向上趋势不变","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8044175,"gmtCreate":1689953092299,"gmtModify":1689953095941,"authorId":3552609846285590,"author":{"id":3552609846285590,"authorId":3552609846285590,"name":"Lydia758","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28fe40b632359d10a879ebb9a9eef57b","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"阅","text":"阅","html":"阅","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":8043976,"gmtCreate":1689944615109,"gmtModify":1689944618704,"authorId":4120303278959440,"author":{"id":4120303278959440,"authorId":4120303278959440,"name":"黄学惠","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":200354114297992,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"阅","text":"阅","html":"阅","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}

狼不来了？！美国经济是否衰退这事该听谁的？

评论（9）

热议股票