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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-20
Let’s see
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-16
This is piece of good news for all investor .
Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions<blockquote>在央行做出更多决定之前，股市将扩大涨幅</blockquote>
Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank o
Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions<blockquote>在央行做出更多决定之前，股市将扩大涨幅</blockquote>
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-13
Interesting to read this article
Bull Run Enters Late Cycle<blockquote>牛市进入后期周期</blockquote>
Summary The short-term correction has probably not ended yet. Macroeconomic indicators signal furth
Bull Run Enters Late Cycle<blockquote>牛市进入后期周期</blockquote>
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-12
$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$
Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-10
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$
No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-10
$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$
Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-10
Looks very bad dropping so much
Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%<blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价暴跌超过 10%</blockquote>
Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.
Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%<blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价暴跌超过 10%</blockquote>
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-10
$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$
Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-09
$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$
All can fly soon
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Sabre78
Sabre78
·
2021-12-07
$Alibaba(BABA)$
Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.
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","listText":"This is piece of good news for all investor . ","text":"This is piece of good news for all investor .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690808402","repostId":"1184616731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184616731","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639650290,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1184616731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 18:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions<blockquote>在央行做出更多决定之前，股市将扩大涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184616731","media":"WSJ","summary":"Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank o","content":"<p>Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲央行和英格兰银行做出政策决定之前，股市有望延续涨势，而美联储也将转向更高的利率。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, a day after the broad stocks gauge closed at its second-highest level on record. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.6%, pointing to a strong start to the session for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周四上涨 0.5%，一天前，该指数收于有记录以来的第二高水平。道琼斯工业平均指数合约上涨 0.4%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 0.6%，表明科技股开局强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Brent-crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 0.9% to $74.51 a barrel. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 1.451% Thursday from 1.460% Wednesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and barely moved in response to the Fed’s shift to tighten monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>国际石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨0.9%，至每桶74.51美元。10 年期国债收益率从周三的 1.460% 降至周四的 1.451%。收益率的变动方向与债券价格相反，几乎没有因美联储收紧货币政策的转变而变动。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks rallied when the central bank completed that pivot Wednesday, approving plans to end a program of asset purchases by March and penciling in three rate rises in 2022. Investors said the change of stance—ending months in which the Fed said higher inflation would fade—removed the risk of runaway growth in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>当央行周三完成这一转变时，股市上涨，批准了在 3 月份结束资产购买计划并计划在 2022 年加息三次的计划。投资者表示，立场的转变——结束了美联储表示通胀上升将会消退的几个月——消除了消费者价格失控增长的风险。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a goldilocks interpretation,” said Edward Park, chief investment officer at Brooks Macdonald, referring to a situation in which the Fed tames inflation but doesn’t push rates high enough to kill the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>“布鲁克斯-麦克唐纳（Brooks Macdonald）首席投资官爱德华-帕克（Edward Park）说：”有一种金发姑娘的解释，他指的是美联储抑制通胀，但没有将利率推高到足以扼杀经济复苏的程度。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Park said stocks are likely to keep rising through to year end. “You have people saying, you know, it’s painful being in fixed income or cash.”</p><p><blockquote>朴先生表示，股市可能会持续上升直至年底。“有人说，你知道，靠固定收入或现金是很痛苦的”。</blockquote></p><p> European stock markets followed Wall Street higher Thursday. The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.4%, led by tech, energy, travel and leisure stocks.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲股市周四跟随华尔街走高。泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 1.4%，科技、能源、旅游和休闲股领涨。</blockquote></p><p> Turkey’s currency crisis deepened ahead of a potential interest-rate cut by the central bank, which has come under pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to lower borrowing costs. The lira weakened 2.5% to trade at 15.18 per dollar.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其央行在总统雷杰普-塔伊普-埃尔多安（Recep Tayyip Erdogan）的压力下降低借贷成本，在央行可能降息之前，土耳其的货币危机加深。里拉贬值2.5%，至1美元兑15.18。</blockquote></p><p> Like the U.S., the eurozone and the U.K. are experiencing their highest inflation in years. Central banks there are also contending with waves of coronavirus infections that complicate the outlook for consumer prices and economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>与美国一样，欧元区和英国正在经历多年来最高的通胀。那里的央行还在应对一波又一波的冠状病毒感染，这使得消费者价格和经济增长的前景变得复杂。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of England, which will publish its decision at 7 a.m. ET, was until recently expected to raise interest rates Thursday. However, a jump in Covid-19 cases driven by the Omicron variant might encourage the central bank to keep policy on hold, Mr. Park said. The pound rose 0.2% to $1.3293 before the decision.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行将于美国东部时间上午 7 点公布决定，直到最近人们还预计将在周四加息。然而，朴槿惠表示，奥密克戎变种导致的 Covid-19 病例激增可能会鼓励央行搁置政策。在做出决定之前，英镑上涨 0.2%，至 1.3293 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank, meanwhile, is expected to signal that it will continue buying bonds for some time, and that it won’t increase interest rates next year. The central bank is due to publish its decision at 7:45 a.m. The euro traded 0.2% higher at $1.1316.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，欧洲央行预计将发出信号，表示将在一段时间内继续购买债券，明年不会加息。央行将于上午7点45分公布决定。欧元兑美元上涨 0.2%，至 1.1316 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse surveys of purchasing managers in the U.S. and Europe for evidence of the extent to which rising coronavirus cases have knocked economic growth. The reports—due at 9:45 a.m. for the U.S.—are expected to show factory output is growing, though at a slower pace than in November.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将分析对美国和欧洲采购经理的调查，以寻找冠状病毒病例增加在多大程度上打击了经济增长的证据。美国将于上午 9:45 发布的报告预计将显示工厂产量正在增长，但增速低于 11 月份。</blockquote></p><p> In individual European stock moves, Novartis rose 4.3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical firm said it would use the proceeds from the recent sale of its stake in Roche to buy back up to $15 billion of its shares. Food-delivery firms Just Eat Takeaway.com and Delivery Hero both rose more than 5%. Électricité de France dropped 11% after the French utility cut earnings forecasts to reflect the safety-related outages at nuclear-power plants.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲个股走势中，诺华上涨 4.3%，此前这家瑞士制药公司表示将利用最近出售罗氏股份的收益回购高达 150 亿美元的股票。送餐公司 Just Eat Takeaway.com 和 Delivery Hero 的股价均上涨超过 5%。法国电力公司下调盈利预测以反映核电站与安全相关的停电，该公司股价下跌 11%。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，日本日经 225 指数上涨 2.1%，上证综合指数上涨 0.8%，香港恒生指数上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions<blockquote>在央行做出更多决定之前，股市将扩大涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Set to Extend Gains Ahead of More Central Bank Decisions<blockquote>在央行做出更多决定之前，股市将扩大涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 18:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲央行和英格兰银行做出政策决定之前，股市有望延续涨势，而美联储也将转向更高的利率。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, a day after the broad stocks gauge closed at its second-highest level on record. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.6%, pointing to a strong start to the session for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周四上涨 0.5%，一天前，该指数收于有记录以来的第二高水平。道琼斯工业平均指数合约上涨 0.4%，纳斯达克 100 指数期货上涨 0.6%，表明科技股开局强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Brent-crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 0.9% to $74.51 a barrel. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 1.451% Thursday from 1.460% Wednesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and barely moved in response to the Fed’s shift to tighten monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>国际石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨0.9%，至每桶74.51美元。10 年期国债收益率从周三的 1.460% 降至周四的 1.451%。收益率的变动方向与债券价格相反，几乎没有因美联储收紧货币政策的转变而变动。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks rallied when the central bank completed that pivot Wednesday, approving plans to end a program of asset purchases by March and penciling in three rate rises in 2022. Investors said the change of stance—ending months in which the Fed said higher inflation would fade—removed the risk of runaway growth in consumer prices.</p><p><blockquote>当央行周三完成这一转变时，股市上涨，批准了在 3 月份结束资产购买计划并计划在 2022 年加息三次的计划。投资者表示，立场的转变——结束了美联储表示通胀上升将会消退的几个月——消除了消费者价格失控增长的风险。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a goldilocks interpretation,” said Edward Park, chief investment officer at Brooks Macdonald, referring to a situation in which the Fed tames inflation but doesn’t push rates high enough to kill the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>“布鲁克斯-麦克唐纳（Brooks Macdonald）首席投资官爱德华-帕克（Edward Park）说：”有一种金发姑娘的解释，他指的是美联储抑制通胀，但没有将利率推高到足以扼杀经济复苏的程度。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Park said stocks are likely to keep rising through to year end. “You have people saying, you know, it’s painful being in fixed income or cash.”</p><p><blockquote>朴先生表示，股市可能会持续上升直至年底。“有人说，你知道，靠固定收入或现金是很痛苦的”。</blockquote></p><p> European stock markets followed Wall Street higher Thursday. The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.4%, led by tech, energy, travel and leisure stocks.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲股市周四跟随华尔街走高。泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 1.4%，科技、能源、旅游和休闲股领涨。</blockquote></p><p> Turkey’s currency crisis deepened ahead of a potential interest-rate cut by the central bank, which has come under pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to lower borrowing costs. The lira weakened 2.5% to trade at 15.18 per dollar.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其央行在总统雷杰普-塔伊普-埃尔多安（Recep Tayyip Erdogan）的压力下降低借贷成本，在央行可能降息之前，土耳其的货币危机加深。里拉贬值2.5%，至1美元兑15.18。</blockquote></p><p> Like the U.S., the eurozone and the U.K. are experiencing their highest inflation in years. Central banks there are also contending with waves of coronavirus infections that complicate the outlook for consumer prices and economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>与美国一样，欧元区和英国正在经历多年来最高的通胀。那里的央行还在应对一波又一波的冠状病毒感染，这使得消费者价格和经济增长的前景变得复杂。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of England, which will publish its decision at 7 a.m. ET, was until recently expected to raise interest rates Thursday. However, a jump in Covid-19 cases driven by the Omicron variant might encourage the central bank to keep policy on hold, Mr. Park said. The pound rose 0.2% to $1.3293 before the decision.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行将于美国东部时间上午 7 点公布决定，直到最近人们还预计将在周四加息。然而，朴槿惠表示，奥密克戎变种导致的 Covid-19 病例激增可能会鼓励央行搁置政策。在做出决定之前，英镑上涨 0.2%，至 1.3293 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The European Central Bank, meanwhile, is expected to signal that it will continue buying bonds for some time, and that it won’t increase interest rates next year. The central bank is due to publish its decision at 7:45 a.m. The euro traded 0.2% higher at $1.1316.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，欧洲央行预计将发出信号，表示将在一段时间内继续购买债券，明年不会加息。央行将于上午7点45分公布决定。欧元兑美元上涨 0.2%，至 1.1316 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse surveys of purchasing managers in the U.S. and Europe for evidence of the extent to which rising coronavirus cases have knocked economic growth. The reports—due at 9:45 a.m. for the U.S.—are expected to show factory output is growing, though at a slower pace than in November.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将分析对美国和欧洲采购经理的调查，以寻找冠状病毒病例增加在多大程度上打击了经济增长的证据。美国将于上午 9:45 发布的报告预计将显示工厂产量正在增长，但增速低于 11 月份。</blockquote></p><p> In individual European stock moves, Novartis rose 4.3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical firm said it would use the proceeds from the recent sale of its stake in Roche to buy back up to $15 billion of its shares. Food-delivery firms Just Eat Takeaway.com and Delivery Hero both rose more than 5%. Électricité de France dropped 11% after the French utility cut earnings forecasts to reflect the safety-related outages at nuclear-power plants.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲个股走势中，诺华上涨 4.3%，此前这家瑞士制药公司表示将利用最近出售罗氏股份的收益回购高达 150 亿美元的股票。送餐公司 Just Eat Takeaway.com 和 Delivery Hero 的股价均上涨超过 5%。法国电力公司下调盈利预测以反映核电站与安全相关的停电，该公司股价下跌 11%。</blockquote></p><p> In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.2%.</p><p><blockquote>在亚洲，日本日经 225 指数上涨 2.1%，上证综合指数上涨 0.8%，香港恒生指数上涨 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-16-2021-11639643633?mod=hp_lead_pos1\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-16-2021-11639643633?mod=hp_lead_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184616731","content_text":"Stocks were poised to extend gains ahead of policy decisions by the European Central Bank and Bank of England, which follow the Federal Reserve’s pivot toward higher interest rates.\nFutures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5% Thursday, a day after the broad stocks gauge closed at its second-highest level on record. Contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% and Nasdaq-100 futures climbed 0.6%, pointing to a strong start to the session for technology stocks.\nBrent-crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 0.9% to $74.51 a barrel. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 1.451% Thursday from 1.460% Wednesday. Yields move in the opposite direction to bond prices and barely moved in response to the Fed’s shift to tighten monetary policy.\nStocks rallied when the central bank completed that pivot Wednesday, approving plans to end a program of asset purchases by March and penciling in three rate rises in 2022. Investors said the change of stance—ending months in which the Fed said higher inflation would fade—removed the risk of runaway growth in consumer prices.\n“There’s a goldilocks interpretation,” said Edward Park, chief investment officer at Brooks Macdonald, referring to a situation in which the Fed tames inflation but doesn’t push rates high enough to kill the economic recovery.\nMr. Park said stocks are likely to keep rising through to year end. “You have people saying, you know, it’s painful being in fixed income or cash.”\nEuropean stock markets followed Wall Street higher Thursday. The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 1.4%, led by tech, energy, travel and leisure stocks.\nTurkey’s currency crisis deepened ahead of a potential interest-rate cut by the central bank, which has come under pressure from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to lower borrowing costs. The lira weakened 2.5% to trade at 15.18 per dollar.\nLike the U.S., the eurozone and the U.K. are experiencing their highest inflation in years. Central banks there are also contending with waves of coronavirus infections that complicate the outlook for consumer prices and economic growth.\nThe Bank of England, which will publish its decision at 7 a.m. ET, was until recently expected to raise interest rates Thursday. However, a jump in Covid-19 cases driven by the Omicron variant might encourage the central bank to keep policy on hold, Mr. Park said. The pound rose 0.2% to $1.3293 before the decision.\nThe European Central Bank, meanwhile, is expected to signal that it will continue buying bonds for some time, and that it won’t increase interest rates next year. The central bank is due to publish its decision at 7:45 a.m. The euro traded 0.2% higher at $1.1316.\nInvestors will parse surveys of purchasing managers in the U.S. and Europe for evidence of the extent to which rising coronavirus cases have knocked economic growth. The reports—due at 9:45 a.m. for the U.S.—are expected to show factory output is growing, though at a slower pace than in November.\nIn individual European stock moves, Novartis rose 4.3% after the Swiss pharmaceutical firm said it would use the proceeds from the recent sale of its stake in Roche to buy back up to $15 billion of its shares. Food-delivery firms Just Eat Takeaway.com and Delivery Hero both rose more than 5%. Électricité de France dropped 11% after the French utility cut earnings forecasts to reflect the safety-related outages at nuclear-power plants.\nIn Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.8% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604600974,"gmtCreate":1639379000281,"gmtModify":1639379000404,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting to read this article ","listText":"Interesting to read this article ","text":"Interesting to read this article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604600974","repostId":"1169099899","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169099899","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639367858,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169099899?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bull Run Enters Late Cycle<blockquote>牛市进入后期周期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169099899","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal furth","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The short-term correction has probably not ended yet.</li> <li>Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.</li> <li>The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35de74b68a683fda3b95d3fd873bc678\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MundusImages/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>短期调整可能尚未结束。</li><li>尽管存在短期调整潜力，但宏观经济指标表明股市将进一步上涨。</li><li>美联储的宽松货币立场可能比许多人预期的更早面临严峻挑战。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MundusImages/E+ 来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.</p><p><blockquote>商业周期正在成熟，但尚未结束。根据Stouff capital的估计，它可能正在进入周期后期阶段。他们的美国长期宏观指数指标达到了90%的阈值，这是经济衰退的早期指标。这是相关的，因为经济衰退对股市熊市有着完美的记录。过去 170 年的每一次 NBER 衰退都涉及美国股市的熊市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631eab7d5b7d2c62994d942fc86cdcfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、Stouff Capital）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，进入商业周期的后期阶段并不意味着股票处于熊市。相反，股票在上个世纪商业周期的后期发展良好。如果投资者相信统计证据，商业周期的衰退阶段是他们想要避开的时间窗口。其他历来可靠的领先指标尚未预示着经济衰退即将到来。在上一份报告之前，劳动力市场一直是建设性的。此外，世界大型企业联合会领先经济指数（LEI）的最新读数创下历史新高。从历史上看，劳动力市场和LEI比经济提前几个月达到周期峰值。最常见的情况是，在美国经济陷入衰退之前，这两个指数甚至先于美国股市达到峰值。同样，收益率曲线尚未出现衰退信号。从历史上看，它在经济衰退到来前不久反转，也是周期性股市高点的领先指标。今天的情况也不是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fed5b5760550aa77356656aee41f1d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、CEIC、百达资产管理）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our mid-November article here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股市从 12 月初的最新高点回调了 5%-10%。正如我们 11 月中旬在 Seeking Alpha 上发表的文章所解释的那样，这种下降并不奇怪，因为市场正在火爆。情绪和技术指标表明即将出现 5%-10% 的调整。尽管如此，修正可能不会在短期内完成。在接下来的几周里，更多的疲软仍然是基本情况。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当前的周期还有一些奇特之处。它正以前所未有的速度展开。因此，周期后期阶段可能会让许多人感到惊讶，因为它不会像通常那样持续很长时间。此外，随着通胀迅速上升，当前的环境可能对央行来说极具挑战性。上图显示，欧洲采购价格比去年高出20%以上。这是自 70 年代以来该指数的最大涨幅。70年代是布雷顿森林汇率体系解体后最近一个记录两位数通货膨胀的时期。美国的通胀压力也在加大。不仅商品因供应短缺而变得昂贵，服务最近也加入了这一行列。这一发展对央行来说是一个问题，因为它们没有有效的工具来应对供应方短缺。因此，我们不太可能在短期内看到货币宽松。近年来，这一直是股市的阻力。再说一次，这不是一个肇事逃逸的事件，我们还没有到那一步。从历史上看，股市通常在首次加息后很久就达到周期性高点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdb33a6b0c068438eae297a0bd32d1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、CEIC、百达资产管理）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Technicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.</p><p><blockquote>技术支持上述宏观证据。大多数主要指数可能从 11 月高点展开看跌艾略特波浪。标普500是12月6日低点的延伸领先对角线。这是短期调整可能尚未结束的信号。该模式可能会转变为朝向 4250-4390 的三浪修正腿。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，短期内有可能造成更多损害。技术证据表明，在看到下一次可持续上涨之前，4390 S/R 将再次受到攻击。时间会证明这是否是周期结束前的最后一站。上面讨论的一些宏观指标可能会在事情变得糟糕之前提供进一步的暗示。底线是，尽管短期有进一步修正的潜力，但牛市趋势很可能保持不变。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bull Run Enters Late Cycle<blockquote>牛市进入后期周期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBull Run Enters Late Cycle<blockquote>牛市进入后期周期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The short-term correction has probably not ended yet.</li> <li>Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.</li> <li>The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35de74b68a683fda3b95d3fd873bc678\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MundusImages/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>短期调整可能尚未结束。</li><li>尽管存在短期调整潜力，但宏观经济指标表明股市将进一步上涨。</li><li>美联储的宽松货币立场可能比许多人预期的更早面临严峻挑战。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MundusImages/E+ 来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.</p><p><blockquote>商业周期正在成熟，但尚未结束。根据Stouff capital的估计，它可能正在进入周期后期阶段。他们的美国长期宏观指数指标达到了90%的阈值，这是经济衰退的早期指标。这是相关的，因为经济衰退对股市熊市有着完美的记录。过去 170 年的每一次 NBER 衰退都涉及美国股市的熊市。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/631eab7d5b7d2c62994d942fc86cdcfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、Stouff Capital）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，进入商业周期的后期阶段并不意味着股票处于熊市。相反，股票在上个世纪商业周期的后期发展良好。如果投资者相信统计证据，商业周期的衰退阶段是他们想要避开的时间窗口。其他历来可靠的领先指标尚未预示着经济衰退即将到来。在上一份报告之前，劳动力市场一直是建设性的。此外，世界大型企业联合会领先经济指数（LEI）的最新读数创下历史新高。从历史上看，劳动力市场和LEI比经济提前几个月达到周期峰值。最常见的情况是，在美国经济陷入衰退之前，这两个指数甚至先于美国股市达到峰值。同样，收益率曲线尚未出现衰退信号。从历史上看，它在经济衰退到来前不久反转，也是周期性股市高点的领先指标。今天的情况也不是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fed5b5760550aa77356656aee41f1d0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、CEIC、百达资产管理）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our mid-November article here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股市从 12 月初的最新高点回调了 5%-10%。正如我们 11 月中旬在 Seeking Alpha 上发表的文章所解释的那样，这种下降并不奇怪，因为市场正在火爆。情绪和技术指标表明即将出现 5%-10% 的调整。尽管如此，修正可能不会在短期内完成。在接下来的几周里，更多的疲软仍然是基本情况。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当前的周期还有一些奇特之处。它正以前所未有的速度展开。因此，周期后期阶段可能会让许多人感到惊讶，因为它不会像通常那样持续很长时间。此外，随着通胀迅速上升，当前的环境可能对央行来说极具挑战性。上图显示，欧洲采购价格比去年高出20%以上。这是自 70 年代以来该指数的最大涨幅。70年代是布雷顿森林汇率体系解体后最近一个记录两位数通货膨胀的时期。美国的通胀压力也在加大。不仅商品因供应短缺而变得昂贵，服务最近也加入了这一行列。这一发展对央行来说是一个问题，因为它们没有有效的工具来应对供应方短缺。因此，我们不太可能在短期内看到货币宽松。近年来，这一直是股市的阻力。再说一次，这不是一个肇事逃逸的事件，我们还没有到那一步。从历史上看，股市通常在首次加息后很久就达到周期性高点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfdb33a6b0c068438eae297a0bd32d1d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：路孚特、CEIC、百达资产管理）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Technicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.</p><p><blockquote>技术支持上述宏观证据。大多数主要指数可能从 11 月高点展开看跌艾略特波浪。标普500是12月6日低点的延伸领先对角线。这是短期调整可能尚未结束的信号。该模式可能会转变为朝向 4250-4390 的三浪修正腿。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，短期内有可能造成更多损害。技术证据表明，在看到下一次可持续上涨之前，4390 S/R 将再次受到攻击。时间会证明这是否是周期结束前的最后一站。上面讨论的一些宏观指标可能会在事情变得糟糕之前提供进一步的暗示。底线是，尽管短期有进一步修正的潜力，但牛市趋势很可能保持不变。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474830-bull-run-enters-late-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169099899","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe short-term correction has probably not ended yet.\nMacroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential.\nThe Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect.\n\nMundusImages/E+ via Getty Images\nThe business cycle is maturing but has not ended yet. It is probably entering the late-cycle stage, according to Stouff capital's estimates. Their US Long-Term Macro Index gauge reached the 90% threshold, an early indicator for economic recessions. That's relevant because recessions had a perfect track record for bear markets in stocks. Every NBER recession in the past 170 involved a bear market in US stocks.\n(Source: Refinitiv, Stouff Capital)\nNonetheless, entering the late stage of the business cycle does not imply that equities are in a bear market. On the contrary, equities developed positively during the late stage of the business cycle during the past century. The recession stage of the business cycle is the time window that investors want to avoid if they believe in statistical evidence. Other leading indicators, which have been reliable historically, do not signal an imminent recession yet. The labor market has been constructive until the last report. Moreover, the conference board Leading Economic Index (LEI) marked an all-time high on its latest reading. Historically, the labor market and the LEI reached their cycle peak several months ahead of the economy. Most often, both indices peaked even ahead of the US stock market before the US economy went into recession. Likewise, the yield curve is not flashing recessionary signals yet. Historically, it inverted shortly before a recession arrived and was also a leading indicator for cyclical stock market highs. That's neither the case today.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nHowever, equities corrected 5%-10% from their most recent highs into early December. The drop was not surprising because the market was running hot, as explained in our mid-November article here on Seeking Alpha. Sentiment and technical indicators signaled an imminent 5%-10% correction. Nonetheless, the correction is probably not finished short term. Some more weakness remains the base case during the next couple of weeks.\nMoreover, there is something peculiar about the current cycle. It is unfolding at an unprecedented speed. Therefore, the late-cycle stage may surprise many by not lasting as long as it usually does. Further, the current environment might prove extraordinarily challenging for central banks as inflation increases rapidly. The chart above shows that European purchasing prices are more than 20% higher versus last year. That's the steepest increase of the index since the '70s. The '70s were the latest period that recorded double-digit inflation after the breakup of the Bretton-Woods exchange-rate system. Inflation pressure is also mounting in the United States as well. Not only do goods become expensive due to supply shortages, but services also joined the party lately. The development is a problem for central banks as they have no effective tools against supply-side shortages. Consequently, we are unlikely to witness monetary easing short-term. That has been a headwind for equities in recent years. Yet again, that's not a hit-and-run event and we are not there yet. Historically, equities reached their cyclical high typically well after the initial rate hike.\n(Source: Refinitiv, CEIC, Pictet Asset Management)\nTechnicals support the macro evidence outlined above. Most of the major indices probably unfolded bearish Elliot waves from their November highs. The S&P 500 counts best as an extending leading diagonal into the December 6th low. That's a signal that the short-term correction may not be over yet. The pattern will probably morph into a three-wave corrective leg towards 4250-4390 instead.\nAll in all, there is potential for more damage short term. Technical evidence hints at another attack at the 4390 S/R before seeing the next sustainable leg up. Time will tell if it is the last leg up before the cycle ends. Some of the macro indicators discussed above will probably provide further hints before things turn sour. The bottom line is that the bull trend is most likely intact despite further short-term correction potential.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604906111,"gmtCreate":1639294999173,"gmtModify":1639294999255,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\">$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$</a>Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried ","text":"$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$Interesting invest 100k 1 million return so confident. Sound worried","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604906111","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605123137,"gmtCreate":1639131950383,"gmtModify":1639131950535,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter. ","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$No one know which direction this stock will be heading. We all know grab transport and grab food. No dare to grab this counter.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605123137","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605169217,"gmtCreate":1639130389261,"gmtModify":1639130389340,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l. ","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Maybe up too much andwith all bad news sure need to face price correction. Hopefully see brightness after this dripping l.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605169217","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605033580,"gmtCreate":1639091566547,"gmtModify":1639091747304,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Looks very bad dropping so much ","listText":"Looks very bad dropping so much ","text":"Looks very bad dropping so much","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605033580","repostId":"1165217477","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165217477","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639067136,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165217477?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 00:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%<blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价暴跌超过 10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165217477","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.","content":"<p>Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价在周四的交易中暴跌超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3dbe26b3f4c86357541ed2ff3d7bfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c38542f4d2e6fa7aceb9fdf2aeb694ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10%<blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价暴跌超过 10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 00:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 和 Lucid 股价在周四的交易中暴跌超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3dbe26b3f4c86357541ed2ff3d7bfe\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c38542f4d2e6fa7aceb9fdf2aeb694ab\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165217477","content_text":"Grab and Lucid stocks plunged more than 10% in Thursday's trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9,"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605005401,"gmtCreate":1639090068833,"gmtModify":1639090068941,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level. ","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$Didn’t expect so fast this drop to this level.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605005401","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602208546,"gmtCreate":1639022336094,"gmtModify":1639022336216,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>All can fly soon ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>All can fly soon ","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$All can fly soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602208546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606692371,"gmtCreate":1638868386630,"gmtModify":1638868386752,"author":{"id":"3583662661619311","authorId":"3583662661619311","name":"Sabre78","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0245878eb3debb164249e113a3a68836","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3583662661619311","authorIdStr":"3583662661619311"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply. ","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$Let’s wait for the show time if this counter U turn sharply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606692371","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}