高位震荡,可能有两天薅羊毛的机会
大盘
周五,三大指数表现得不错,收盘时候还是小幅上行。因为隔夜市场出现一些地缘政治风险,因此期指一度有一点下跌,让市场周五早盘有一点困难。到了盘前,非农数据大幅高于预期,让加息预期继续上升。目前7月加息75个基点的概率已经达到90%以上,9月大幅加息的概率都出现了攀升。
纳指
从期指来看,纳指30分钟级别向上攀升以后拉到了压力点。如果从QQQ的图形来看,已经到了296附近的绝对压力点。同时大的低点也是上移的状态,已经到了上升三角的绝对高点的位置。
操作
Brant老师认为,现在的情况是,上涨是有压力的,可以不追涨,但是没必要做空。本周周一周二可能会形成震荡的行情,因为要等待来自周三的CPI数据。同时7月13日还会公布非农数据,这些都有可能给市场带来变盘。当然如果本周数据出来之前直接给上升通道突破了,那就直接看涨就好了。会跳的低点288左右仍然作为买点。
原油
原油Brant老师依然倾向于继续回踩,108左右是比较好的做空的位置。
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