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KC878
KC878
·
2025-12-31
当前市场呈现避险与成长并存的格局，个人倾向采取「平衡布局」策略：配置部分黄金ETF（如GLD）抵御汇率与地缘波动，同时增持港股科技类ETF（如恒生科技指数）捕捉估值修复机会。另以宽基ETF（如沪深300）作为核心持仓，稳健参与市场长期成长。2026年将密切关注中美政策动向，动态调整比重，力求在波动中兼顾风险与收益。[财迷]
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-12-30
我也喜欢这样🤭
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-12-29
这是收取权利金、且看涨后市的策略。在GLD价格高位震荡或温和上涨时能稳定获利，其最大收益与亏损均被锁定，风险可控。然而，策略盈亏比约1:3.3，显示潜在亏损远大于收益，对进场时机及标的价格稳定性要求极高，若市场出现剧烈回调，将面临显著亏损。[财迷]
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-12-29
若要选择代表未来两年市场情绪的商品期货，我会选择原油。其价格紧密连结全球经济活动、地缘政治局势与能源转型进程，能综合反映风险偏好、通胀预期及增长担忧。相较黄金（避险情绪）或白银（工业与金融双重属性），原油更直接捕捉经济冷暖的脉动，尤其适合观察复苏与衰退的转折。[得意]
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-12-25
此熊市看涨价差策略，针对美光股价已处高位的判断而设计，在控制风险（最大亏损锁定为414美元）的前提下，透过收取净权利金获利。策略胜率取决于股价在到期时能否压在283.36美元以下，适合预期短期涨势停滞或小幅回调，属于风险与收益皆有限的保守型选择。
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-11-14
基于京东「增收不增利」的判断，可采用熊市看涨价差期权策略。例如，卖出接近市价的看涨期权并买入更高行权价的看涨期权，以收取权利金。这能在股价因利润下滑而上涨无力时获取最大收益，同时锁定下行风险。若财报后股价波动有限，此策略尤为适用。[开心]
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-11-10
$PayPal(PYPL)$
升升跌跌都习惯了
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-11-03
$PayPal(PYPL)$
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-10-27
$PayPal(PYPL)$
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KC878
KC878
·
2025-10-22
日经指数近期上涨，主因市场预期新首相高市早苗将延续宽松货币与财政刺激政策，带动日圆贬值有利出口企业，同时政治不确定性降低吸引资金流入。若政策方向不变，配合企业获利成长，市场预期指数有望挑战50,000点高位，但需关注日圆走势与政策落实风险。[得意]
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通胀预期及增长担忧。相较黄金（避险情绪）或白银（工业与金融双重属性），原油更直接捕捉经济冷暖的脉动，尤其适合观察复苏与衰退的转折。[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/516025284272224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":514561407205656,"gmtCreate":1766652911408,"gmtModify":1766652917126,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"此熊市看涨价差策略，针对美光股价已处高位的判断而设计，在控制风险（最大亏损锁定为414美元）的前提下，透过收取净权利金获利。策略胜率取决于股价在到期时能否压在283.36美元以下，适合预期短期涨势停滞或小幅回调，属于风险与收益皆有限的保守型选择。","listText":"此熊市看涨价差策略，针对美光股价已处高位的判断而设计，在控制风险（最大亏损锁定为414美元）的前提下，透过收取净权利金获利。策略胜率取决于股价在到期时能否压在283.36美元以下，适合预期短期涨势停滞或小幅回调，属于风险与收益皆有限的保守型选择。","text":"此熊市看涨价差策略，针对美光股价已处高位的判断而设计，在控制风险（最大亏损锁定为414美元）的前提下，透过收取净权利金获利。策略胜率取决于股价在到期时能否压在283.36美元以下，适合预期短期涨势停滞或小幅回调，属于风险与收益皆有限的保守型选择。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/514561407205656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":500037757493904,"gmtCreate":1763104512465,"gmtModify":1763104517961,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"基于京东「增收不增利」的判断，可采用熊市看涨价差期权策略。例如，卖出接近市价的看涨期权并买入更高行权价的看涨期权，以收取权利金。这能在股价因利润下滑而上涨无力时获取最大收益，同时锁定下行风险。若财报后股价波动有限，此策略尤为适用。[开心]","listText":"基于京东「增收不增利」的判断，可采用熊市看涨价差期权策略。例如，卖出接近市价的看涨期权并买入更高行权价的看涨期权，以收取权利金。这能在股价因利润下滑而上涨无力时获取最大收益，同时锁定下行风险。若财报后股价波动有限，此策略尤为适用。[开心]","text":"基于京东「增收不增利」的判断，可采用熊市看涨价差期权策略。例如，卖出接近市价的看涨期权并买入更高行权价的看涨期权，以收取权利金。这能在股价因利润下滑而上涨无力时获取最大收益，同时锁定下行风险。若财报后股价波动有限，此策略尤为适用。[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/500037757493904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":498539389952056,"gmtCreate":1762736139498,"gmtModify":1762736144461,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 升升跌跌都习惯了","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 升升跌跌都习惯了","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$ 升升跌跌都习惯了","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/417fb417c936179fbc9b756d9b3d55f0","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/498539389952056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":496265849434656,"gmtCreate":1762181181014,"gmtModify":1762181186027,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 有信心","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 有信心","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$ 有信心","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a40e49cfcc4e0cc1281d2ff5ad72df3e","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/496265849434656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493555927339760,"gmtCreate":1761519693489,"gmtModify":1761519698313,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 几持升","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$ </a> 几持升","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$ 几持升","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8ba79b056748ee3e408116e36c6e7246","width":"981","height":"1637"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/493555927339760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":491944755523688,"gmtCreate":1761126259093,"gmtModify":1761126264836,"author":{"id":"4149134706475152","authorId":"4149134706475152","name":"KC878","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4149134706475152","idStr":"4149134706475152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"日经指数近期上涨，主因市场预期新首相高市早苗将延续宽松货币与财政刺激政策，带动日圆贬值有利出口企业，同时政治不确定性降低吸引资金流入。若政策方向不变，配合企业获利成长，市场预期指数有望挑战50,000点高位，但需关注日圆走势与政策落实风险。[得意]","listText":"日经指数近期上涨，主因市场预期新首相高市早苗将延续宽松货币与财政刺激政策，带动日圆贬值有利出口企业，同时政治不确定性降低吸引资金流入。若政策方向不变，配合企业获利成长，市场预期指数有望挑战50,000点高位，但需关注日圆走势与政策落实风险。[得意]","text":"日经指数近期上涨，主因市场预期新首相高市早苗将延续宽松货币与财政刺激政策，带动日圆贬值有利出口企业，同时政治不确定性降低吸引资金流入。若政策方向不变，配合企业获利成长，市场预期指数有望挑战50,000点高位，但需关注日圆走势与政策落实风险。[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/491944755523688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}