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  ·2021-11-17
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  U.S. retail sales surge as Americans kick off holiday shopping, brighten economic outlook<blockquote>美国人开始假日购物，美国零售销售激增，经济前景光明</blockquote>
  WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales surged in October as Americans eagerly started their holida
  U.S. retail sales surge as Americans kick off holiday shopping, brighten economic outlook<blockquote>美国人开始假日购物，美国零售销售激增，经济前景光明</blockquote>
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early November. Rising household wealth, thanks to a strong stock market and house prices, as well as massive savings and wage gains appear to be cushioning consumers against the highest annual inflation in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国商务部周二发布的可靠报告表明，高通胀尚未抑制支出，尽管对生活成本上升的担忧导致消费者信心在 11 月初跌至 10 年来的最低点。由于强劲的股市和房价，以及巨额储蓄和工资增长，家庭财富不断增长，似乎正在缓冲消费者应对三十年来最高的年度通胀。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s more important to look at what consumers do than what they say,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. “They are concerned about higher inflation, but they are still in good shape and are continuing to spend.”</p><p><blockquote>“宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡 PNC Financial 首席经济学家 Gus Faucher 说：”更重要的是看消费者做了什么，而不是他们说了什么。“他们担心通货膨胀率上升，但他们的情况仍然很好，并在继续消费”。</blockquote></p><p> Retail sales jumped 1.7% last month, the largest gain since March, after rising 0.8% in September. It was the third straight monthly advance and topped economists’ expectations for a 1.4% increase. Sales soared 16.3% year-on-year in October and are 21.4% above their pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>继 9 月份增长 0.8% 之后，上月零售额增长 1.7%，为 3 月份以来的最大增幅。这是连续第三个月增长，增幅超过了经济学家 1.4% 的预期。10 月份销售额同比飙升 16.3%，比疫情前水平高出 21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Several of the top U.S. retailers this week have noted an earlier start to holiday shopping. While this could lead to declines in November and December, economists and retailers expect holiday sales this year will be the best in a while.</p><p><blockquote>本周，几家美国顶级零售商注意到假日购物提前开始。虽然这可能导致11月和12月的销量下降，但经济学家和零售商预计今年的假日销售将是一段时间以来最好的。</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s numbers show that consumers are getting a jump on their holiday shopping,” said Matthew Shay, president of the National Retail Federation in Washington. “We continue to urge consumers to shop early and shop safely, and we fully expect this holiday season to be one for the record books.”</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿全国零售联合会主席马修-谢伊（Matthew Shay）说：”今天的数据显示，消费者在假日购物方面取得了进展。“我们将继续敦促消费者尽早购物，安全购物，我们完全期待这个假日季将创纪录。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail sales are mostly made up of goods, with services, including healthcare, education and hotel accommodation, making up the remaining portion of consumer spending. The nearly two-year long COVID-19 pandemic has caused an acute shortage of labor, delaying deliveries of raw materials to factories as well as shipments of finished goods to markets.</p><p><blockquote>零售销售主要由商品组成，包括医疗保健、教育和酒店住宿在内的服务占消费者支出的其余部分。持续近两年的新冠后遗症-19疫情导致劳动力严重短缺，延误了向工厂运送原材料以及向市场运送成品的时间。</blockquote></p><p> October’s broad increase in sales partly reflected higher prices as monthly consumer inflation surged 0.9% in October, which boosted the annual rate to 6.2%.</p><p><blockquote>10 月份销售额的普遍增长部分反映了价格上涨，因为 10 月份月度消费者通胀率飙升 0.9%，将年通胀率推高至 6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks on Wall Street were trading higher on the data and also as Walmart forecast a strong holiday quarter. The dollar rose against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices fell.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，华尔街股市走高，沃尔玛预测假日季度将表现强劲。美元兑一篮子货币上涨。美国国债价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p> BROAD GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛收益</blockquote></p><p> Sales were led by motor vehicles, with receipts at auto dealerships advancing 1.8% after gaining 1.2% in September. The rise reflected the first increase in unit sales in six months, as well as higher prices. The tight supply of automobiles because of a global semiconductor shortage is driving up prices.</p><p><blockquote>销售以汽车为主，汽车经销商的收入继 9 月份增长 1.2% 后增长 1.8%。这一增长反映了六个月来单位销量的首次增长，以及价格上涨。全球半导体短缺导致汽车供应紧张推高了价格。</blockquote></p><p> Sales at service stations increased 3.9%, boosted by more expensive gasoline. Online retail sales rebounded 4.0%. Receipts at building material stores advanced 2.8%. There were also increases in receipts at furniture outlets as well as sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and book stores. Sales at electronics and appliance stores rebounded 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>受汽油价格上涨的推动，加油站销售额增长了 3.9%。网上零售额反弹4.0%。建材商店的收入增长了2.8%。家具店、体育用品店、爱好店、乐器店和书店的收入也有所增加。电子产品和电器商店的销售额反弹 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> But sales at clothing stores fell 0.7%. Sales at restaurants and bars were unchanged despite an ebb in COVID-19 infections, driven by the Delta variant. Restaurants and bars are the only services category in the retail sales report. These sales were up 29.3% from last October.</p><p><blockquote>但服装店的销售额下降了0.7%。尽管受德尔塔变异毒株的影响，COVID-19 感染人数有所下降，但餐馆和酒吧的销售额保持不变。餐馆和酒吧是零售销售报告中唯一的服务类别。这些销售额比去年10月增长了29.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Economists speculated that either high inflation was forcing consumers to cut back on eating out or that spending had permanently shifted in favor of goods.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家推测，要么是高通胀迫使消费者减少外出就餐，要么是消费已永久转向有利于商品的消费。</blockquote></p><p> “If services spending has largely recovered, strong goods demand increasingly looks to be a structural shift in consumer preferences, rather than a temporary COVID-related outcome,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, chief U.S. economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>“花旗集团驻纽约首席美国经济学家安德鲁-霍伦霍斯特（Andrew Hollenhorst）说：”如果说服务支出已基本复苏，那么强劲的商品需求越来越看起来是消费者偏好的结构性转变，而不是与COVID相关的暂时结果。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales shot up 1.6% last month after rising 0.5% in September. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product. Adjusting for inflation, retail sales are up at a roughly 5% annualized rate from the third-quarter average.</p><p><blockquote>不包括汽车、汽油、建筑材料和食品服务，零售额继 9 月份增长 0.5% 后，上月增长 1.6%。这些所谓的核心零售额与国内生产总值的消费者支出组成部分最为密切。经通胀调整后，零售额年化率较第三季度平均水平增长约 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity rose at a tepid 1.7% rate last quarter. Economists at JPMorgan boosted their fourth-quarter GDP growth estimate to a 5% rate from a 4% pace. Goldman Sachs raised its estimate by 0.5 percentage point to a 5.0% rate. The economy grew at a 2% rate in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>占美国经济活动三分之二以上的消费者支出上季度以 1.7% 的不温不火速度增长。摩根大通经济学家将第四季度 GDP 增长预期从 4% 上调至 5%。高盛将其预期上调了0.5个百分点，至5.0%。第三季度经济增长率为2%。</blockquote></p><p> The economic picture was further brightened by a separate report from the Federal Reserve on Tuesday showing manufacturing output surged 1.2% last month to its highest level since March 2019, after falling 0.7% in September.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二发布的另一份报告进一步提亮了经济前景，该报告显示，继 9 月份下降 0.7% 后，上个月制造业产出飙升 1.2%，达到 2019 年 3 月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “The economy has thrown off whatever lethargy it might have had in the summer, and it is growing quite strongly,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economics in Holland, Pennsylvania.</p><p><blockquote>“宾夕法尼亚州荷兰市纳罗夫经济公司（Naroff Economics）首席经济学家乔尔-纳罗夫（Joel Naroff）说：”经济已经摆脱了夏季可能出现的低迷状态，而且增长相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses are also making steady progress replenishing depleted inventories, which should help to keep factories humming and support the economy. Business inventories increased 0.7% in September, a third report from the Commerce Department showed.</p><p><blockquote>企业在补充枯竭的库存方面也在稳步取得进展，这将有助于保持工厂运转并支持经济。商务部的第三份报告显示，9月份企业库存增长了0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. retail sales surge as Americans kick off holiday shopping, brighten economic outlook<blockquote>美国人开始假日购物，美国零售销售激增，经济前景光明</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. retail sales surge as Americans kick off holiday shopping, brighten economic outlook<blockquote>美国人开始假日购物，美国零售销售激增，经济前景光明</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-17 07:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales surged in October as Americans eagerly started their holiday shopping early to avoid empty shelves amid shortages of some goods because of the ongoing pandemic, giving the economy a lift at the start of the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿（路透社） - 美国 10 月份零售额飙升，因为美国人急切地提前开始假日购物，以避免因疫情持续导致部分商品短缺而导致货架空空，从而在第四季度初提振了经济。</blockquote></p><p> The solid report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday suggested high inflation was not yet dampening spending, even as worries about the rising cost of living sent consumer sentiment tumbling to a 10-year low in early November. Rising household wealth, thanks to a strong stock market and house prices, as well as massive savings and wage gains appear to be cushioning consumers against the highest annual inflation in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国商务部周二发布的可靠报告表明，高通胀尚未抑制支出，尽管对生活成本上升的担忧导致消费者信心在 11 月初跌至 10 年来的最低点。由于强劲的股市和房价，以及巨额储蓄和工资增长，家庭财富不断增长，似乎正在缓冲消费者应对三十年来最高的年度通胀。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s more important to look at what consumers do than what they say,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. “They are concerned about higher inflation, but they are still in good shape and are continuing to spend.”</p><p><blockquote>“宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡 PNC Financial 首席经济学家 Gus Faucher 说：”更重要的是看消费者做了什么，而不是他们说了什么。“他们担心通货膨胀率上升，但他们的情况仍然很好，并在继续消费”。</blockquote></p><p> Retail sales jumped 1.7% last month, the largest gain since March, after rising 0.8% in September. It was the third straight monthly advance and topped economists’ expectations for a 1.4% increase. Sales soared 16.3% year-on-year in October and are 21.4% above their pre-pandemic level.</p><p><blockquote>继 9 月份增长 0.8% 之后，上月零售额增长 1.7%，为 3 月份以来的最大增幅。这是连续第三个月增长，增幅超过了经济学家 1.4% 的预期。10 月份销售额同比飙升 16.3%，比疫情前水平高出 21.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Several of the top U.S. retailers this week have noted an earlier start to holiday shopping. While this could lead to declines in November and December, economists and retailers expect holiday sales this year will be the best in a while.</p><p><blockquote>本周，几家美国顶级零售商注意到假日购物提前开始。虽然这可能导致11月和12月的销量下降，但经济学家和零售商预计今年的假日销售将是一段时间以来最好的。</blockquote></p><p> “Today’s numbers show that consumers are getting a jump on their holiday shopping,” said Matthew Shay, president of the National Retail Federation in Washington. “We continue to urge consumers to shop early and shop safely, and we fully expect this holiday season to be one for the record books.”</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿全国零售联合会主席马修-谢伊（Matthew Shay）说：”今天的数据显示，消费者在假日购物方面取得了进展。“我们将继续敦促消费者尽早购物，安全购物，我们完全期待这个假日季将创纪录。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail sales are mostly made up of goods, with services, including healthcare, education and hotel accommodation, making up the remaining portion of consumer spending. The nearly two-year long COVID-19 pandemic has caused an acute shortage of labor, delaying deliveries of raw materials to factories as well as shipments of finished goods to markets.</p><p><blockquote>零售销售主要由商品组成，包括医疗保健、教育和酒店住宿在内的服务占消费者支出的其余部分。持续近两年的新冠后遗症-19疫情导致劳动力严重短缺，延误了向工厂运送原材料以及向市场运送成品的时间。</blockquote></p><p> October’s broad increase in sales partly reflected higher prices as monthly consumer inflation surged 0.9% in October, which boosted the annual rate to 6.2%.</p><p><blockquote>10 月份销售额的普遍增长部分反映了价格上涨，因为 10 月份月度消费者通胀率飙升 0.9%，将年通胀率推高至 6.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks on Wall Street were trading higher on the data and also as Walmart forecast a strong holiday quarter. The dollar rose against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices fell.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，华尔街股市走高，沃尔玛预测假日季度将表现强劲。美元兑一篮子货币上涨。美国国债价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p> BROAD GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛收益</blockquote></p><p> Sales were led by motor vehicles, with receipts at auto dealerships advancing 1.8% after gaining 1.2% in September. The rise reflected the first increase in unit sales in six months, as well as higher prices. The tight supply of automobiles because of a global semiconductor shortage is driving up prices.</p><p><blockquote>销售以汽车为主，汽车经销商的收入继 9 月份增长 1.2% 后增长 1.8%。这一增长反映了六个月来单位销量的首次增长，以及价格上涨。全球半导体短缺导致汽车供应紧张推高了价格。</blockquote></p><p> Sales at service stations increased 3.9%, boosted by more expensive gasoline. Online retail sales rebounded 4.0%. Receipts at building material stores advanced 2.8%. There were also increases in receipts at furniture outlets as well as sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and book stores. Sales at electronics and appliance stores rebounded 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>受汽油价格上涨的推动，加油站销售额增长了 3.9%。网上零售额反弹4.0%。建材商店的收入增长了2.8%。家具店、体育用品店、爱好店、乐器店和书店的收入也有所增加。电子产品和电器商店的销售额反弹 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> But sales at clothing stores fell 0.7%. Sales at restaurants and bars were unchanged despite an ebb in COVID-19 infections, driven by the Delta variant. Restaurants and bars are the only services category in the retail sales report. These sales were up 29.3% from last October.</p><p><blockquote>但服装店的销售额下降了0.7%。尽管受德尔塔变异毒株的影响，COVID-19 感染人数有所下降，但餐馆和酒吧的销售额保持不变。餐馆和酒吧是零售销售报告中唯一的服务类别。这些销售额比去年10月增长了29.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Economists speculated that either high inflation was forcing consumers to cut back on eating out or that spending had permanently shifted in favor of goods.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家推测，要么是高通胀迫使消费者减少外出就餐，要么是消费已永久转向有利于商品的消费。</blockquote></p><p> “If services spending has largely recovered, strong goods demand increasingly looks to be a structural shift in consumer preferences, rather than a temporary COVID-related outcome,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, chief U.S. economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>“花旗集团驻纽约首席美国经济学家安德鲁-霍伦霍斯特（Andrew Hollenhorst）说：”如果说服务支出已基本复苏，那么强劲的商品需求越来越看起来是消费者偏好的结构性转变，而不是与COVID相关的暂时结果。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales shot up 1.6% last month after rising 0.5% in September. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product. Adjusting for inflation, retail sales are up at a roughly 5% annualized rate from the third-quarter average.</p><p><blockquote>不包括汽车、汽油、建筑材料和食品服务，零售额继 9 月份增长 0.5% 后，上月增长 1.6%。这些所谓的核心零售额与国内生产总值的消费者支出组成部分最为密切。经通胀调整后，零售额年化率较第三季度平均水平增长约 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity rose at a tepid 1.7% rate last quarter. Economists at JPMorgan boosted their fourth-quarter GDP growth estimate to a 5% rate from a 4% pace. Goldman Sachs raised its estimate by 0.5 percentage point to a 5.0% rate. The economy grew at a 2% rate in the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>占美国经济活动三分之二以上的消费者支出上季度以 1.7% 的不温不火速度增长。摩根大通经济学家将第四季度 GDP 增长预期从 4% 上调至 5%。高盛将其预期上调了0.5个百分点，至5.0%。第三季度经济增长率为2%。</blockquote></p><p> The economic picture was further brightened by a separate report from the Federal Reserve on Tuesday showing manufacturing output surged 1.2% last month to its highest level since March 2019, after falling 0.7% in September.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周二发布的另一份报告进一步提亮了经济前景，该报告显示，继 9 月份下降 0.7% 后，上个月制造业产出飙升 1.2%，达到 2019 年 3 月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “The economy has thrown off whatever lethargy it might have had in the summer, and it is growing quite strongly,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economics in Holland, Pennsylvania.</p><p><blockquote>“宾夕法尼亚州荷兰市纳罗夫经济公司（Naroff Economics）首席经济学家乔尔-纳罗夫（Joel Naroff）说：”经济已经摆脱了夏季可能出现的低迷状态，而且增长相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Businesses are also making steady progress replenishing depleted inventories, which should help to keep factories humming and support the economy. Business inventories increased 0.7% in September, a third report from the Commerce Department showed.</p><p><blockquote>企业在补充枯竭的库存方面也在稳步取得进展，这将有助于保持工厂运转并支持经济。商务部的第三份报告显示，9月份企业库存增长了0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy/u-s-retail-sales-surge-as-americans-kick-off-holiday-shopping-brighten-economic-outlook-idUSKBN2I11I1\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy/u-s-retail-sales-surge-as-americans-kick-off-holiday-shopping-brighten-economic-outlook-idUSKBN2I11I1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173429999","content_text":"WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales surged in October as Americans eagerly started their holiday shopping early to avoid empty shelves amid shortages of some goods because of the ongoing pandemic, giving the economy a lift at the start of the fourth quarter.\nThe solid report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday suggested high inflation was not yet dampening spending, even as worries about the rising cost of living sent consumer sentiment tumbling to a 10-year low in early November. Rising household wealth, thanks to a strong stock market and house prices, as well as massive savings and wage gains appear to be cushioning consumers against the highest annual inflation in three decades.\n“It’s more important to look at what consumers do than what they say,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. “They are concerned about higher inflation, but they are still in good shape and are continuing to spend.”\nRetail sales jumped 1.7% last month, the largest gain since March, after rising 0.8% in September. It was the third straight monthly advance and topped economists’ expectations for a 1.4% increase. Sales soared 16.3% year-on-year in October and are 21.4% above their pre-pandemic level.\nSeveral of the top U.S. retailers this week have noted an earlier start to holiday shopping. While this could lead to declines in November and December, economists and retailers expect holiday sales this year will be the best in a while.\n“Today’s numbers show that consumers are getting a jump on their holiday shopping,” said Matthew Shay, president of the National Retail Federation in Washington. “We continue to urge consumers to shop early and shop safely, and we fully expect this holiday season to be one for the record books.”\nRetail sales are mostly made up of goods, with services, including healthcare, education and hotel accommodation, making up the remaining portion of consumer spending. The nearly two-year long COVID-19 pandemic has caused an acute shortage of labor, delaying deliveries of raw materials to factories as well as shipments of finished goods to markets.\nOctober’s broad increase in sales partly reflected higher prices as monthly consumer inflation surged 0.9% in October, which boosted the annual rate to 6.2%.\nStocks on Wall Street were trading higher on the data and also as Walmart forecast a strong holiday quarter. The dollar rose against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices fell.\nBROAD GAINS\nSales were led by motor vehicles, with receipts at auto dealerships advancing 1.8% after gaining 1.2% in September. The rise reflected the first increase in unit sales in six months, as well as higher prices. The tight supply of automobiles because of a global semiconductor shortage is driving up prices.\nSales at service stations increased 3.9%, boosted by more expensive gasoline. Online retail sales rebounded 4.0%. Receipts at building material stores advanced 2.8%. There were also increases in receipts at furniture outlets as well as sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and book stores. Sales at electronics and appliance stores rebounded 3.8%.\nBut sales at clothing stores fell 0.7%. Sales at restaurants and bars were unchanged despite an ebb in COVID-19 infections, driven by the Delta variant. Restaurants and bars are the only services category in the retail sales report. These sales were up 29.3% from last October.\nEconomists speculated that either high inflation was forcing consumers to cut back on eating out or that spending had permanently shifted in favor of goods.\n“If services spending has largely recovered, strong goods demand increasingly looks to be a structural shift in consumer preferences, rather than a temporary COVID-related outcome,” said Andrew Hollenhorst, chief U.S. economist at Citigroup in New York.\nExcluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales shot up 1.6% last month after rising 0.5% in September. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product. Adjusting for inflation, retail sales are up at a roughly 5% annualized rate from the third-quarter average.\nConsumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity rose at a tepid 1.7% rate last quarter. Economists at JPMorgan boosted their fourth-quarter GDP growth estimate to a 5% rate from a 4% pace. Goldman Sachs raised its estimate by 0.5 percentage point to a 5.0% rate. The economy grew at a 2% rate in the third quarter.\nThe economic picture was further brightened by a separate report from the Federal Reserve on Tuesday showing manufacturing output surged 1.2% last month to its highest level since March 2019, after falling 0.7% in September.\n“The economy has thrown off whatever lethargy it might have had in the summer, and it is growing quite strongly,” said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economics in Holland, Pennsylvania.\nBusinesses are also making steady progress replenishing depleted inventories, which should help to keep factories humming and support the economy. Business inventories increased 0.7% in September, a third report from the Commerce Department showed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}