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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-11-23
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-10-13
Great
JPMorgan Chase Q3 EPS $3.74 Beats $3.00 Estimate<blockquote>摩根大通第三季度每股收益 3.74 美元，超出预期 3.00 美元</blockquote>
-Dow Jones
JPMorgan Chase Q3 EPS $3.74 Beats $3.00 Estimate<blockquote>摩根大通第三季度每股收益 3.74 美元，超出预期 3.00 美元</blockquote>
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-10-13
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-10-08
👍🏻
September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>
After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo
September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-10-03
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-09-22
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Totoroido
Totoroido
·
2021-09-21
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Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE), Support.com (SPRT) Stock News and Forecast: Why is GREE down?<blockquote>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE)、Support.com (SPRT) 股票新闻和预测：格力为何下跌？</blockquote>
GREE shares continue to collapse after the merger deal with Support.com (SPRT). GREE stock falls ove
Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE), Support.com (SPRT) Stock News and Forecast: Why is GREE down?<blockquote>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE)、Support.com (SPRT) 股票新闻和预测：格力为何下跌？</blockquote>
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Totoroido
Totoroido
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2021-09-17
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Totoroido
Totoroido
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2021-09-16
Yes
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Totoroido
Totoroido
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2021-09-15
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut t
Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
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Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1634122062,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2175152592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 18:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase Q3 EPS $3.74 Beats $3.00 Estimate<blockquote>摩根大通第三季度每股收益 3.74 美元，超出预期 3.00 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2175152592","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"-Dow Jones","content":"<p>JPMorgan Chase & Co reported a jump in third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, as the largest U.S. bank's Wall Street arm capitalized on a global dealmaking boom.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三公布第三季度收益大幅增长，这家美国最大银行的华尔街分支机构利用了全球交易热潮。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan's net income rose to $11.7 billion, or $3.74 per share, in the quarter ended Sept. 30, compared with $9.4 billion, or $2.92 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>截至 9 月 30 日的季度，摩根大通的净利润增至 117 亿美元，即每股 3.74 美元，而去年同期为 94 亿美元，即每股 2.92 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average had expected earnings of $3.00 per share, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预期每股收益为 3.00 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9a19448ee10d9f8c7752c706a1008e4\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The shares rose 0.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b93eba6cab488f2d83cd244be3c9369b\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>THIRD-QUARTER 2021 RESULTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021 年第三季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Reported revenue of $29.6 billion; managed revenue of $30.4 billion</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Credit costs net benefit of $1.5 billion included $2.1 billion of net reserve release and $524 million of net charge-offs</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average loans up 5%; average deposits up 19%$1.6 trillion of liquidity sources, including HQLA and unencumbered marketable securities</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average deposits up 20%; client investment assets up 29%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average loans down 2% YoY and up 1% QoQ; Card net charge-off rate of 1.39%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Debit and credit card sales volume up 26%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Active mobile customers up 10%</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>报告收入为 296 亿美元；管理收入304亿美元</li></ul><ul><li>信贷成本净收益为 15 亿美元，其中包括 21 亿美元的净准备金释放和 5.24 亿美元的净冲销</li></ul><ul><li>平均贷款增长5%；平均存款增长 19% 1.6 万亿美元流动性来源，包括 HQLA 和无负担有价证券</li></ul><ul><li>平均存款增长20%；客户投资资产增长 29%</li></ul><ul><li>平均贷款同比下降 2%，环比上升 1%；卡净扣款率为1.39%</li></ul><ul><li>借记卡和信用卡销售量增长 26%</li></ul><ul><li>活跃移动客户增长 10%</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase Q3 EPS $3.74 Beats $3.00 Estimate<blockquote>摩根大通第三季度每股收益 3.74 美元，超出预期 3.00 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase Q3 EPS $3.74 Beats $3.00 Estimate<blockquote>摩根大通第三季度每股收益 3.74 美元，超出预期 3.00 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 18:47</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase & Co reported a jump in third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, as the largest U.S. bank's Wall Street arm capitalized on a global dealmaking boom.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三公布第三季度收益大幅增长，这家美国最大银行的华尔街分支机构利用了全球交易热潮。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan's net income rose to $11.7 billion, or $3.74 per share, in the quarter ended Sept. 30, compared with $9.4 billion, or $2.92 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>截至 9 月 30 日的季度，摩根大通的净利润增至 117 亿美元，即每股 3.74 美元，而去年同期为 94 亿美元，即每股 2.92 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average had expected earnings of $3.00 per share, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>路孚特表示，分析师平均预期每股收益为 3.00 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9a19448ee10d9f8c7752c706a1008e4\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The shares rose 0.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b93eba6cab488f2d83cd244be3c9369b\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>THIRD-QUARTER 2021 RESULTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021 年第三季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Reported revenue of $29.6 billion; managed revenue of $30.4 billion</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Credit costs net benefit of $1.5 billion included $2.1 billion of net reserve release and $524 million of net charge-offs</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average loans up 5%; average deposits up 19%$1.6 trillion of liquidity sources, including HQLA and unencumbered marketable securities</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average deposits up 20%; client investment assets up 29%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Average loans down 2% YoY and up 1% QoQ; Card net charge-off rate of 1.39%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Debit and credit card sales volume up 26%</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Active mobile customers up 10%</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>报告收入为 296 亿美元；管理收入304亿美元</li></ul><ul><li>信贷成本净收益为 15 亿美元，其中包括 21 亿美元的净准备金释放和 5.24 亿美元的净冲销</li></ul><ul><li>平均贷款增长5%；平均存款增长 19% 1.6 万亿美元流动性来源，包括 HQLA 和无负担有价证券</li></ul><ul><li>平均存款增长20%；客户投资资产增长 29%</li></ul><ul><li>平均贷款同比下降 2%，环比上升 1%；卡净扣款率为1.39%</li></ul><ul><li>借记卡和信用卡销售量增长 26%</li></ul><ul><li>活跃移动客户增长 10%</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2175152592","content_text":"JPMorgan Chase & Co reported a jump in third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, as the largest U.S. bank's Wall Street arm capitalized on a global dealmaking boom.\nJPMorgan's net income rose to $11.7 billion, or $3.74 per share, in the quarter ended Sept. 30, compared with $9.4 billion, or $2.92 per share, a year earlier.\nAnalysts on average had expected earnings of $3.00 per share, according to Refinitiv.\n\nThe shares rose 0.5% in premarket trading.\n\nTHIRD-QUARTER 2021 RESULTS\n\nReported revenue of $29.6 billion; managed revenue of $30.4 billion\n\n\nCredit costs net benefit of $1.5 billion included $2.1 billion of net reserve release and $524 million of net charge-offs\n\n\nAverage loans up 5%; average deposits up 19%$1.6 trillion of liquidity sources, including HQLA and unencumbered marketable securities\n\n\nAverage deposits up 20%; client investment assets up 29%\n\n\nAverage loans down 2% YoY and up 1% QoQ; Card net charge-off rate of 1.39%\n\n\nDebit and credit card sales volume up 26%\n\n\nActive mobile customers up 10%","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822696847,"gmtCreate":1634123126758,"gmtModify":1634123126876,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822696847","repostId":"1182958686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821042246,"gmtCreate":1633680166579,"gmtModify":1633680213724,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821042246","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li> <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li> <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li> <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li> <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li> <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, <b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal benefits early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment benefits</b>. The expiration of federal benefits in some states boosted labor supply and job-finding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-finding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all benefits.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all benefits on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li> <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li> <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li> <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li> <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li> <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray & Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li> <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li> <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li> <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li> <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li> <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, <b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal benefits early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment benefits</b>. The expiration of federal benefits in some states boosted labor supply and job-finding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-finding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all benefits.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all benefits on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li> <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li> <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li> <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li> <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li> <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray & Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal benefits early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment benefits. The expiration of federal benefits in some states boosted labor supply and job-finding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-finding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all benefits.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all benefits on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867803327,"gmtCreate":1633232511107,"gmtModify":1633232512729,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867803327","repostId":"2172964606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869297929,"gmtCreate":1632289174061,"gmtModify":1632801460235,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869297929","repostId":"2169324976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869912481,"gmtCreate":1632234687443,"gmtModify":1632801873789,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869912481","repostId":"1140143812","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140143812","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632233062,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140143812?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-21 22:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE), Support.com (SPRT) Stock News and Forecast: Why is GREE down?<blockquote>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE)、Support.com (SPRT) 股票新闻和预测：格力为何下跌？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140143812","media":"fxstreet","summary":"GREE shares continue to collapse after the merger deal with Support.com (SPRT).\nGREE stock falls ove","content":"<p><ul> <li><b>GREE shares continue to collapse after the merger deal with Support.com (SPRT).</b></li> <li><b>GREE stock falls over 20% on Monday.</b></li> <li><b>Equity markets suffer, but retail names really fall as volatility is high.</b></li> </ul> GREE shares continue to make a name for themselves for all the wrong reasons as the calamitous fall continues on Monday. Things were already bleak for those long from the old SPRT ticker, but since GREE took over things have gone from bad to worse. GREE fell another 22% on Monday to close just over $30. GREE peaked at $60 last week and so had lost half of its value in just four trading sessions. What investors and traders must be wondering is how much more pain is to come?</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>与 Support.com (SPRT) 合并交易后，格力股价继续暴跌。</b></li><li><b>格力股价周一下跌超过20%。</b></li><li><b>股市受到影响，但由于波动性较高，零售股确实下跌。</b></li></ul>随着灾难性的下跌在周一继续，格力股价继续因各种错误的原因而声名鹊起。对于那些做多旧 SPRT 股票代码的人来说，情况已经很暗淡了，但自从格力接管以来，情况每况愈下。格力周一再次下跌 22%，收盘价略高于 30 美元。格力上周达到 60 美元的峰值，因此在短短四个交易日内就损失了一半的价值。投资者和交易者一定想知道的是，接下来还会有多少痛苦？</blockquote></p><p> GREE stock news</p><p><blockquote>格力股票新闻</blockquote></p><p> Just as a back story, GREE was formed as Greenidge Generation Holdings took over Support.com. Support.com had traded under the ticker SPRT and was a meme stock favourite with a large retail following enthusiastically discussing the stock on social media. SPRT stock had exhibited huge price swings just as with a lot of other retail or meme names. Back in March of this year is when things started to get interesting and when retail traders started to really notice the stock. The deal with Greenidge was announced in March. Support.com was a good fit for retail traders as it was a facilitator of remote working solutions, which grew in popularity during the pandemic. However, Support.com is a much smaller entity despite having a public listing.</p><p><blockquote>作为背景故事，格力是在 Greenidge Generation Holdings 接管 Support.com 时成立的。Support.com 的股票代码为 SPRT，是大型零售商最喜欢的模因股票，在社交媒体上热情讨论该股票。与许多其他零售或模因名称一样，SPRT 股票也表现出巨大的价格波动。早在今年三月，事情开始变得有趣，散户交易者开始真正注意到这只股票。与 Greenidge 的交易于 3 月份宣布。Support.com 非常适合零售商，因为它是远程工作解决方案的推动者，而远程工作解决方案在大流行病期间越来越受欢迎。然而，尽管有公开上市，Support.com是一个小得多的实体。</blockquote></p><p> After the merger, Support.com became a small part or subsidiary of Greenidge. SPRT shares spiked on the announcement of this deal back in March but went quiet again until retail interest appeared to pick up in August. SPRT stock was circulating around various social media chat sites as the short interest was high, meaning the retail traders decided to try and instigate a short squeeze. This has obviously worked well in other meme names such as GME and AMC, but SPRT was not exactly in the same situation. SPRTstockwas to become a much smaller piece of the overall GREE company. There have also been valuation concerns that the SPRT spike had put a much too high valuation on the combined GREE company. Investors sold as a result. Usually in a merger or takeover, positions in the old ticker are rolled into the new one.</p><p><blockquote>合并后，Support.com成为Greenidge的一小部分或子公司。SPRT 股价在 3 月份宣布这笔交易后飙升，但直到 8 月份零售兴趣似乎有所回升，SPRT 股价才再次平静。由于空头兴趣很高，SPRT 股票在各种社交媒体聊天网站上流传，这意味着散户交易员决定尝试煽动空头挤压。这显然在GME和AMC等其他模因名称中效果很好，但SPRT的情况并不完全相同。SPRTStock 将成为整个格力公司中一个小得多的部分。还有人担心，SPRT 股价飙升给合并后的格力公司带来了过高的估值。投资者因此抛售。通常在合并或收购中，旧股票代码中的头寸会转移到新股票代码中。</blockquote></p><p> GREE stock forecast</p><p><blockquote>格力股票预测</blockquote></p><p> As we can see from the chart below, the point of control since GREE launched is at $47.56 with the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) just below at $43. This is a volume resistance then as most of the volume has been here. There is not much historical data to look through for the chart otherwise, and thevolatilitymakes anyanalysisrather difficult. Please use risk control in all names, but particularily one as volatile as this.</p><p><blockquote>从下图可以看出，格力推出以来的控制点为 47.56 美元，成交量加权平均价格 (VWAP) 略低于 43 美元。这是一个成交量阻力，因为大部分成交量都在这里。否则，没有太多历史数据可以查看图表，而且波动性使得任何分析都相当困难。请使用各种名称的风险控制，尤其是像这样不稳定的名称。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4002c7efb50cc1afa912ddea168ab7b7\" tg-width=\"2097\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Greenidge Generation falls nearly 9% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cb93fe02339099c8852eaa00d07bd9d\" tg-width=\"1185\" tg-height=\"583\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>Greenidge Generation 在早盘交易中下跌近 9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1617153743470","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE), Support.com (SPRT) Stock News and Forecast: Why is GREE down?<blockquote>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE)、Support.com (SPRT) 股票新闻和预测：格力为何下跌？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGreenidge Generation Holdings (GREE), Support.com (SPRT) Stock News and Forecast: Why is GREE down?<blockquote>Greenidge Generation Holdings (GREE)、Support.com (SPRT) 股票新闻和预测：格力为何下跌？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fxstreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-21 22:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li><b>GREE shares continue to collapse after the merger deal with Support.com (SPRT).</b></li> <li><b>GREE stock falls over 20% on Monday.</b></li> <li><b>Equity markets suffer, but retail names really fall as volatility is high.</b></li> </ul> GREE shares continue to make a name for themselves for all the wrong reasons as the calamitous fall continues on Monday. Things were already bleak for those long from the old SPRT ticker, but since GREE took over things have gone from bad to worse. GREE fell another 22% on Monday to close just over $30. GREE peaked at $60 last week and so had lost half of its value in just four trading sessions. What investors and traders must be wondering is how much more pain is to come?</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>与 Support.com (SPRT) 合并交易后，格力股价继续暴跌。</b></li><li><b>格力股价周一下跌超过20%。</b></li><li><b>股市受到影响，但由于波动性较高，零售股确实下跌。</b></li></ul>随着灾难性的下跌在周一继续，格力股价继续因各种错误的原因而声名鹊起。对于那些做多旧 SPRT 股票代码的人来说，情况已经很暗淡了，但自从格力接管以来，情况每况愈下。格力周一再次下跌 22%，收盘价略高于 30 美元。格力上周达到 60 美元的峰值，因此在短短四个交易日内就损失了一半的价值。投资者和交易者一定想知道的是，接下来还会有多少痛苦？</blockquote></p><p> GREE stock news</p><p><blockquote>格力股票新闻</blockquote></p><p> Just as a back story, GREE was formed as Greenidge Generation Holdings took over Support.com. Support.com had traded under the ticker SPRT and was a meme stock favourite with a large retail following enthusiastically discussing the stock on social media. SPRT stock had exhibited huge price swings just as with a lot of other retail or meme names. Back in March of this year is when things started to get interesting and when retail traders started to really notice the stock. The deal with Greenidge was announced in March. Support.com was a good fit for retail traders as it was a facilitator of remote working solutions, which grew in popularity during the pandemic. However, Support.com is a much smaller entity despite having a public listing.</p><p><blockquote>作为背景故事，格力是在 Greenidge Generation Holdings 接管 Support.com 时成立的。Support.com 的股票代码为 SPRT，是大型零售商最喜欢的模因股票，在社交媒体上热情讨论该股票。与许多其他零售或模因名称一样，SPRT 股票也表现出巨大的价格波动。早在今年三月，事情开始变得有趣，散户交易者开始真正注意到这只股票。与 Greenidge 的交易于 3 月份宣布。Support.com 非常适合零售商，因为它是远程工作解决方案的推动者，而远程工作解决方案在大流行病期间越来越受欢迎。然而，尽管有公开上市，Support.com是一个小得多的实体。</blockquote></p><p> After the merger, Support.com became a small part or subsidiary of Greenidge. SPRT shares spiked on the announcement of this deal back in March but went quiet again until retail interest appeared to pick up in August. SPRT stock was circulating around various social media chat sites as the short interest was high, meaning the retail traders decided to try and instigate a short squeeze. This has obviously worked well in other meme names such as GME and AMC, but SPRT was not exactly in the same situation. SPRTstockwas to become a much smaller piece of the overall GREE company. There have also been valuation concerns that the SPRT spike had put a much too high valuation on the combined GREE company. Investors sold as a result. Usually in a merger or takeover, positions in the old ticker are rolled into the new one.</p><p><blockquote>合并后，Support.com成为Greenidge的一小部分或子公司。SPRT 股价在 3 月份宣布这笔交易后飙升，但直到 8 月份零售兴趣似乎有所回升，SPRT 股价才再次平静。由于空头兴趣很高，SPRT 股票在各种社交媒体聊天网站上流传，这意味着散户交易员决定尝试煽动空头挤压。这显然在GME和AMC等其他模因名称中效果很好，但SPRT的情况并不完全相同。SPRTStock 将成为整个格力公司中一个小得多的部分。还有人担心，SPRT 股价飙升给合并后的格力公司带来了过高的估值。投资者因此抛售。通常在合并或收购中，旧股票代码中的头寸会转移到新股票代码中。</blockquote></p><p> GREE stock forecast</p><p><blockquote>格力股票预测</blockquote></p><p> As we can see from the chart below, the point of control since GREE launched is at $47.56 with the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) just below at $43. This is a volume resistance then as most of the volume has been here. There is not much historical data to look through for the chart otherwise, and thevolatilitymakes anyanalysisrather difficult. Please use risk control in all names, but particularily one as volatile as this.</p><p><blockquote>从下图可以看出，格力推出以来的控制点为 47.56 美元，成交量加权平均价格 (VWAP) 略低于 43 美元。这是一个成交量阻力，因为大部分成交量都在这里。否则，没有太多历史数据可以查看图表，而且波动性使得任何分析都相当困难。请使用各种名称的风险控制，尤其是像这样不稳定的名称。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4002c7efb50cc1afa912ddea168ab7b7\" tg-width=\"2097\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Greenidge Generation falls nearly 9% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cb93fe02339099c8852eaa00d07bd9d\" tg-width=\"1185\" tg-height=\"583\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>Greenidge Generation 在早盘交易中下跌近 9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fxstreet.com/news/greenidge-generation-holdings-gree-supportcom-sprt-stock-news-and-forecast-why-is-gree-down-202109211205\">fxstreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fxstreet.com/news/greenidge-generation-holdings-gree-supportcom-sprt-stock-news-and-forecast-why-is-gree-down-202109211205","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140143812","content_text":"GREE shares continue to collapse after the merger deal with Support.com (SPRT).\nGREE stock falls over 20% on Monday.\nEquity markets suffer, but retail names really fall as volatility is high.\n\nGREE shares continue to make a name for themselves for all the wrong reasons as the calamitous fall continues on Monday. Things were already bleak for those long from the old SPRT ticker, but since GREE took over things have gone from bad to worse. GREE fell another 22% on Monday to close just over $30. GREE peaked at $60 last week and so had lost half of its value in just four trading sessions. What investors and traders must be wondering is how much more pain is to come?\nGREE stock news\nJust as a back story, GREE was formed as Greenidge Generation Holdings took over Support.com. Support.com had traded under the ticker SPRT and was a meme stock favourite with a large retail following enthusiastically discussing the stock on social media. SPRT stock had exhibited huge price swings just as with a lot of other retail or meme names. Back in March of this year is when things started to get interesting and when retail traders started to really notice the stock. The deal with Greenidge was announced in March. Support.com was a good fit for retail traders as it was a facilitator of remote working solutions, which grew in popularity during the pandemic. However, Support.com is a much smaller entity despite having a public listing.\nAfter the merger, Support.com became a small part or subsidiary of Greenidge. SPRT shares spiked on the announcement of this deal back in March but went quiet again until retail interest appeared to pick up in August. SPRT stock was circulating around various social media chat sites as the short interest was high, meaning the retail traders decided to try and instigate a short squeeze. This has obviously worked well in other meme names such as GME and AMC, but SPRT was not exactly in the same situation. SPRTstockwas to become a much smaller piece of the overall GREE company. There have also been valuation concerns that the SPRT spike had put a much too high valuation on the combined GREE company. Investors sold as a result. Usually in a merger or takeover, positions in the old ticker are rolled into the new one.\nGREE stock forecast\nAs we can see from the chart below, the point of control since GREE launched is at $47.56 with the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) just below at $43. This is a volume resistance then as most of the volume has been here. There is not much historical data to look through for the chart otherwise, and thevolatilitymakes anyanalysisrather difficult. Please use risk control in all names, but particularily one as volatile as this.\n\nGreenidge Generation falls nearly 9% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GREE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884336111,"gmtCreate":1631854683333,"gmtModify":1631888739628,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884336111","repostId":"2168528707","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885100526,"gmtCreate":1631760848865,"gmtModify":1631888739629,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885100526","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882528231,"gmtCreate":1631709674823,"gmtModify":1631888739636,"author":{"id":"4087537620314880","authorId":"4087537620314880","name":"Totoroido","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d6f731ba4e6c392e51172cb7506f447","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087537620314880","authorIdStr":"4087537620314880"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882528231","repostId":"1112301233","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112301233","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631707868,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112301233?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112301233","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut t","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施提前削减的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和企业税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午 08:00，美国标普500 e-mini 上涨 4.25 点，即 0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 10 点，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 21.75 点，涨幅 0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在盘前交易中上涨约 0.2%，此前在上一交易日暴跌 1%，原因是对其 Phone 13 和新款 iPad mini 的发布反应有些冷淡。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9点15分分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出将上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软（MSFT）</b>– 微软宣布将股息提高 11%，将季度派息从每股 56 美分提高到 62 美分，并宣布了一项 600 亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯</b>- 这家烧烤制造商的股价在盘前大涨 2%，这是该公司自 8 月份上市以来的首份季度报告。韦伯的销售额同比增长了 19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村 (WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙 (LVS)</b>- 随着监管机构开始为期 45 天的考虑对澳门博彩业实施更严格监管，与澳门相关的赌场股票在盘前交易中暴跌。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心 “持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌 5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌 4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA) – </b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA） –</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b> Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基（GSKY）</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团 (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.) 将以 22 亿美元收购专业贷款机构 GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步推动其从华尔街巨头转型为主街巨头。 GreenSky 股价在盘前交易中上涨 45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>- 据熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 记者大卫-费伯（David Faber）采访时透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空（KSU）的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司（CP）收购堪萨斯城南方公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价为 “优越 ”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药（雨）</b>- 该制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买 140 万剂 Regeneron 的 Covid-19 抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的剂量总数接近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>– 百胜中国警告称，Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株的传播将导致其第三季度利润受到 50% 至 60% 的打击。这家餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价在盘前交易中下跌 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>思杰系统(CTXS)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix 盘前上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>- 继周二上涨 8.5% 之后，Crocs 在盘前交易中上涨了 1.1%。在此之前，这家制鞋商在投资者日上预计全年收入将好于预期，并宣布了一项加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>技能软件（技能）</b>– 这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖（GRUB）</b>- 亚马逊（AMZN）和户户送宣布合作，将在英国为亚马逊 Prime 会员提供免费送餐服务后，这家食品配送服务的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>- 在美国食品和药物管理局（FDA）授予该公司治疗亨廷顿舞蹈症的实验性疗法快速通道资格后，该制药商的股价在盘前上涨了 3.3%。Sage 预计将在 2021 年底前开始该疗法的 2 期试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技（SOFI）</b>- 瑞穗开始给予 “买入 ”评级，目标价为 28 美元，而周二收盘价为 14.50 美元，该金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了 3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi 正在成为一家拥有下一代功能的 “成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-15 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施提前削减的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和企业税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午 08:00，美国标普500 e-mini 上涨 4.25 点，即 0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 10 点，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 21.75 点，涨幅 0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在盘前交易中上涨约 0.2%，此前在上一交易日暴跌 1%，原因是对其 Phone 13 和新款 iPad mini 的发布反应有些冷淡。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9点15分分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出将上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软（MSFT）</b>– 微软宣布将股息提高 11%，将季度派息从每股 56 美分提高到 62 美分，并宣布了一项 600 亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯</b>- 这家烧烤制造商的股价在盘前大涨 2%，这是该公司自 8 月份上市以来的首份季度报告。韦伯的销售额同比增长了 19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村 (WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙 (LVS)</b>- 随着监管机构开始为期 45 天的考虑对澳门博彩业实施更严格监管，与澳门相关的赌场股票在盘前交易中暴跌。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心 “持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌 5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌 4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA) – </b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA） –</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b> <b>–</b> Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基（GSKY）</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团 (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.) 将以 22 亿美元收购专业贷款机构 GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步推动其从华尔街巨头转型为主街巨头。 GreenSky 股价在盘前交易中上涨 45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>- 据熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 记者大卫-费伯（David Faber）采访时透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空（KSU）的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司（CP）收购堪萨斯城南方公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价为 “优越 ”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药（雨）</b>- 该制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买 140 万剂 Regeneron 的 Covid-19 抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的剂量总数接近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>– 百胜中国警告称，Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株的传播将导致其第三季度利润受到 50% 至 60% 的打击。这家餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价在盘前交易中下跌 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>思杰系统(CTXS)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix 盘前上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>- 继周二上涨 8.5% 之后，Crocs 在盘前交易中上涨了 1.1%。在此之前，这家制鞋商在投资者日上预计全年收入将好于预期，并宣布了一项加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>技能软件（技能）</b>– 这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖（GRUB）</b>- 亚马逊（AMZN）和户户送宣布合作，将在英国为亚马逊 Prime 会员提供免费送餐服务后，这家食品配送服务的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>- 在美国食品和药物管理局（FDA）授予该公司治疗亨廷顿舞蹈症的实验性疗法快速通道资格后，该制药商的股价在盘前上涨了 3.3%。Sage 预计将在 2021 年底前开始该疗法的 2 期试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技（SOFI）</b>- 瑞穗开始给予 “买入 ”评级，目标价为 28 美元，而周二收盘价为 14.50 美元，该金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了 3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi 正在成为一家拥有下一代功能的 “成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","YUMC":"百胜中国",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WYNN":"永利度假村","SKIL":"Skillsoft Corp.","AAPL":"苹果","REGN":"再生元制药公司",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路","LVS":"金沙集团","CROX":"卡骆驰","MSFT":"微软","GSKY":"Greensky Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112301233","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.\n\nApple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.\nInvestors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nMicrosoft(MSFT) – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.\nWeber(WEBR) – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.\nWynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.\nNikola(NKLA) – IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.\nGreenSky(GSKY) – Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.\nCanadian National Railway(CNI) – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN) – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.\nYum China(YUMC) – Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.\nCitrix Systems(CTXS) – Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.\nCrocs(CROX) – Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.\nSkillsoft(SKIL) – The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.\nJust Eat Takeaway(GRUB) – The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.\nSage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.\nSoFi Technologies(SOFI) – The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LVS":0.9,"YUMC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"REGN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"CROX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"SAGE":0.9,"GRUB":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"WYNN":0.9,"WEBR":0.9,"SKIL":0.9,"GSKY":0.9,"CTXS":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}