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- PerumalPerumal
  ·2021-12-23
  Ok
  Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>
  What happened Hot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its
  Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>
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- PerumalPerumal
  ·2021-09-15
  Go up
  You might think investors’ extreme bullishness would be good for stocks. This analysis says you’re wrong<blockquote>你可能认为投资者的极度看涨对股市有利。这个分析说你错了</blockquote>
  Wall Street’s ‘wall of worry’ needs to get higher for stocks to do the same AFP via Getty Images D
  You might think investors’ extreme bullishness would be good for stocks. This analysis says you’re wrong<blockquote>你可能认为投资者的极度看涨对股市有利。这个分析说你错了</blockquote>
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- PerumalPerumal
  ·2021-09-15
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- PerumalPerumal
  ·2021-09-13
  Which stock will go up soon
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- PerumalPerumal
  ·2021-08-01
  Okay
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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热议股票

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10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140552564","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140552564","content_text":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received yet another glorious review that's called the carTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"\nSo what\nOn Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.\nInclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the only factor driving the EV stock higher today.\nLucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.\nAs of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.\nAll of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.\nMeanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel Throttle House just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models. Throttle House calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.\nNow what\nJust yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of Nikola to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.\nI expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks in the long run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882515296,"gmtCreate":1631706806615,"gmtModify":1632806717368,"author":{"id":"3586927598172340","authorId":"3586927598172340","name":"Perumal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93dd13e5e16f0b364ef0713d6d419ad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586927598172340","idStr":"3586927598172340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go up","listText":"Go up","text":"Go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882515296","repostId":"1118561142","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118561142","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631698272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118561142?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 17:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You might think investors’ extreme bullishness would be good for stocks. This analysis says you’re wrong<blockquote>你可能认为投资者的极度看涨对股市有利。这个分析说你错了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118561142","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Wall Street’s ‘wall of worry’ needs to get higher for stocks to do the same \nAFP via Getty Images\n\nD","content":"<p>Wall Street’s ‘wall of worry’ needs to get higher for stocks to do the same </p><p><blockquote>华尔街的“担忧之墙”需要走高，股市才能做同样的事情</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e9654a9ae3181ab6a3c529ae7a25c44\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect U.S. stocks to mount anything more than an anemic rally in coming weeks. That’s because there’s still too much bullish sentiment. According to contrarian analysis, the most impressive rallies begin when there is widespread pessimism, just as market risk is highest when there is widespread optimism.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望美国股市在未来几周内只会出现乏力的反弹。那是因为仍然有太多的看涨情绪。根据逆向分析，当普遍存在悲观情绪时，最令人印象深刻的反弹开始，正如当普遍存在乐观情绪时，市场风险最高。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below paints the picture. It plots the average recommended equity exposure level among a subset of Nasdaq-focused stock market timers I monitor (as measured by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI). The HNNSI is my most sensitive barometer of stock market sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>下面的图表描绘了这幅画面。它绘制了我监测的专注于纳斯达克的股市计时器子集的平均推荐股票敞口水平（通过赫伯特·纳斯达克时事通讯情绪指数（HNNSI）衡量）。HNNSI是我最敏感的股市情绪晴雨表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534bfc17ea666411eaeb10187386c49\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"587\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Notice that March of 2020 was the last time that there was widespread pessimism, as defined by the HNNSI being in the lowest 10% of the historical distribution (the lower shaded box in the chart). Over the 18 months since then, in contrast, there have been many occasions in which the market timers were excessively bullish — as defined by the HNNSI being in the highest 10% of the historical distribution (the higher shaded box).</p><p><blockquote>请注意，2020年3月是最后一次普遍悲观情绪，定义为HNNSI处于历史分布的最低10%（图表中较低的阴影框）。相比之下，在此后的18个月里，市场计时器多次过度看涨——定义为HNNSI处于历史分布的最高10%（较高的阴影框）。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month was the most recent such occasion. Since then, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the NASDAQ Composite index have both fallen 2%.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候是最近一次这样的场合。此后，道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数均下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> This decline provided a good opportunity to assess the strength of the bullishness held by the market timers. It would have been a good sign, from a contrarian perspective, if these timers had reacted to last week’s weakness by running for the exits. That would have suggested that their erstwhile bullishness was skittishly held; that’s far different from the stubbornly-held bullishness that is particularly toxic. But that didn’t happen, as you can see from the chart.</p><p><blockquote>这次下跌提供了一个很好的机会来评估市场计时器持有的看涨情绪的强度。从逆向思维的角度来看，如果这些计时器对上周的疲软做出反应，纷纷退出，这将是一个好兆头。这表明他们以前的看涨情绪被动摇了；这与顽固的看涨情绪有很大不同，后者尤其有毒。但这并没有发生，正如你从图表中看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, the HNNSI has carved out a pattern of higher lows in recent months. That means that the average Nasdaq market timer has grown progressively more confident that any decline is nothing to worry about and should instead be treated as a buying opportunity. As a result, the sentiment foundation beneath the bull market is becoming weaker and weaker.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，近几个月来，HNNSI已经形成了更高低点的模式。这意味着纳斯达克市场的普通计时器越来越有信心，认为任何下跌都无需担心，而应该被视为买入机会。如此一来，牛市背后的情绪基础越来越弱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Watch what they do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看他们做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> You may wonder how to square this conclusion with that of a recent Deutsche Bank survey, which found a growing “wall of worry” among 550 global market professionals. Specifically, a majority of them now say that they expect a 5% to 10% market pullback between now and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你可能想知道如何将这一结论与德意志银行最近的一项调查相一致，该调查发现，在550名全球市场专业人士中，“担忧之墙”越来越大。具体来说，他们中的大多数人现在表示，他们预计从现在到年底市场将回调5%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> My explanation: The HNNSI reflects what market timers are doing, as opposed to what they are saying. It’s one thing for an adviser to say where he thinks the market will be at the end of the year, and quite another to increase or decrease his equity exposure level. Though the Deutsche Bank survey doesn’t report the average equity exposure level among the 550 professionals who participated, I’m confident that, on average, they have not significantly increased their recommended cash level.</p><p><blockquote>我的解释是：HNNSI反映了市场计时器在做什么，而不是他们在说什么。对于顾问来说，说出他认为年底市场的走势是一回事，增加或减少他的股票敞口水平则是另一回事。尽管德意志银行的调查没有报告参与的550名专业人士的平均股票敞口水平，但我相信，平均而言，他们并没有显着增加建议的现金水平。</blockquote></p><p> Over the years, we have found that actions speak louder than words. Average exposure levels tell us more about prevailing market sentiment than opinions, so it behooves contrarians to pay attention to what advisers are doing as opposed to what they’re saying.</p><p><blockquote>这些年来，我们发现行动胜于雄辩。平均风险敞口水平比观点更能告诉我们当前的市场情绪，因此逆向投资者应该关注顾问在做什么，而不是他们在说什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even though a growing number of market professionals may be expressing concern, they appear not to be concerned enough to make big changes to their portfolios. Only when they are that concerned will contrarians become confident that a strong rally is imminent.</p><p><blockquote>尽管越来越多的市场专业人士可能表达了担忧，但他们似乎还没有足够的担忧来对自己的投资组合做出重大改变。只有当他们如此担心时，逆向投资者才会相信强劲的反弹即将到来。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You might think investors’ extreme bullishness would be good for stocks. This analysis says you’re wrong<blockquote>你可能认为投资者的极度看涨对股市有利。这个分析说你错了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou might think investors’ extreme bullishness would be good for stocks. This analysis says you’re wrong<blockquote>你可能认为投资者的极度看涨对股市有利。这个分析说你错了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-15 17:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wall Street’s ‘wall of worry’ needs to get higher for stocks to do the same </p><p><blockquote>华尔街的“担忧之墙”需要走高，股市才能做同样的事情</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e9654a9ae3181ab6a3c529ae7a25c44\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>AFP via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect U.S. stocks to mount anything more than an anemic rally in coming weeks. That’s because there’s still too much bullish sentiment. According to contrarian analysis, the most impressive rallies begin when there is widespread pessimism, just as market risk is highest when there is widespread optimism.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望美国股市在未来几周内只会出现乏力的反弹。那是因为仍然有太多的看涨情绪。根据逆向分析，当普遍存在悲观情绪时，最令人印象深刻的反弹开始，正如当普遍存在乐观情绪时，市场风险最高。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below paints the picture. It plots the average recommended equity exposure level among a subset of Nasdaq-focused stock market timers I monitor (as measured by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI). The HNNSI is my most sensitive barometer of stock market sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>下面的图表描绘了这幅画面。它绘制了我监测的专注于纳斯达克的股市计时器子集的平均推荐股票敞口水平（通过赫伯特·纳斯达克时事通讯情绪指数（HNNSI）衡量）。HNNSI是我最敏感的股市情绪晴雨表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534bfc17ea666411eaeb10187386c49\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"587\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Notice that March of 2020 was the last time that there was widespread pessimism, as defined by the HNNSI being in the lowest 10% of the historical distribution (the lower shaded box in the chart). Over the 18 months since then, in contrast, there have been many occasions in which the market timers were excessively bullish — as defined by the HNNSI being in the highest 10% of the historical distribution (the higher shaded box).</p><p><blockquote>请注意，2020年3月是最后一次普遍悲观情绪，定义为HNNSI处于历史分布的最低10%（图表中较低的阴影框）。相比之下，在此后的18个月里，市场计时器多次过度看涨——定义为HNNSI处于历史分布的最高10%（较高的阴影框）。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month was the most recent such occasion. Since then, the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;and the NASDAQ Composite index have both fallen 2%.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候是最近一次这样的场合。此后，道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数均下跌2%。</blockquote></p><p> This decline provided a good opportunity to assess the strength of the bullishness held by the market timers. It would have been a good sign, from a contrarian perspective, if these timers had reacted to last week’s weakness by running for the exits. That would have suggested that their erstwhile bullishness was skittishly held; that’s far different from the stubbornly-held bullishness that is particularly toxic. But that didn’t happen, as you can see from the chart.</p><p><blockquote>这次下跌提供了一个很好的机会来评估市场计时器持有的看涨情绪的强度。从逆向思维的角度来看，如果这些计时器对上周的疲软做出反应，纷纷退出，这将是一个好兆头。这表明他们以前的看涨情绪被动摇了；这与顽固的看涨情绪有很大不同，后者尤其有毒。但这并没有发生，正如你从图表中看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, the HNNSI has carved out a pattern of higher lows in recent months. That means that the average Nasdaq market timer has grown progressively more confident that any decline is nothing to worry about and should instead be treated as a buying opportunity. As a result, the sentiment foundation beneath the bull market is becoming weaker and weaker.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，近几个月来，HNNSI已经形成了更高低点的模式。这意味着纳斯达克市场的普通计时器越来越有信心，认为任何下跌都无需担心，而应该被视为买入机会。如此一来，牛市背后的情绪基础越来越弱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Watch what they do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看他们做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> You may wonder how to square this conclusion with that of a recent Deutsche Bank survey, which found a growing “wall of worry” among 550 global market professionals. Specifically, a majority of them now say that they expect a 5% to 10% market pullback between now and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你可能想知道如何将这一结论与德意志银行最近的一项调查相一致，该调查发现，在550名全球市场专业人士中，“担忧之墙”越来越大。具体来说，他们中的大多数人现在表示，他们预计从现在到年底市场将回调5%至10%。</blockquote></p><p> My explanation: The HNNSI reflects what market timers are doing, as opposed to what they are saying. It’s one thing for an adviser to say where he thinks the market will be at the end of the year, and quite another to increase or decrease his equity exposure level. Though the Deutsche Bank survey doesn’t report the average equity exposure level among the 550 professionals who participated, I’m confident that, on average, they have not significantly increased their recommended cash level.</p><p><blockquote>我的解释是：HNNSI反映了市场计时器在做什么，而不是他们在说什么。对于顾问来说，说出他认为年底市场的走势是一回事，增加或减少他的股票敞口水平则是另一回事。尽管德意志银行的调查没有报告参与的550名专业人士的平均股票敞口水平，但我相信，平均而言，他们并没有显着增加建议的现金水平。</blockquote></p><p> Over the years, we have found that actions speak louder than words. Average exposure levels tell us more about prevailing market sentiment than opinions, so it behooves contrarians to pay attention to what advisers are doing as opposed to what they’re saying.</p><p><blockquote>这些年来，我们发现行动胜于雄辩。平均风险敞口水平比观点更能告诉我们当前的市场情绪，因此逆向投资者应该关注顾问在做什么，而不是他们在说什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even though a growing number of market professionals may be expressing concern, they appear not to be concerned enough to make big changes to their portfolios. Only when they are that concerned will contrarians become confident that a strong rally is imminent.</p><p><blockquote>尽管越来越多的市场专业人士可能表达了担忧，但他们似乎还没有足够的担忧来对自己的投资组合做出重大改变。只有当他们如此担心时，逆向投资者才会相信强劲的反弹即将到来。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-are-still-too-bullish-for-the-stock-market-to-rally-from-here-11631634536?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/investors-are-still-too-bullish-for-the-stock-market-to-rally-from-here-11631634536?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118561142","content_text":"Wall Street’s ‘wall of worry’ needs to get higher for stocks to do the same \nAFP via Getty Images\n\nDon’t expect U.S. stocks to mount anything more than an anemic rally in coming weeks. That’s because there’s still too much bullish sentiment. According to contrarian analysis, the most impressive rallies begin when there is widespread pessimism, just as market risk is highest when there is widespread optimism.\nThe chart below paints the picture. It plots the average recommended equity exposure level among a subset of Nasdaq-focused stock market timers I monitor (as measured by the Hulbert Nasdaq Newsletter Sentiment Index, or HNNSI). The HNNSI is my most sensitive barometer of stock market sentiment.\n\n\nNotice that March of 2020 was the last time that there was widespread pessimism, as defined by the HNNSI being in the lowest 10% of the historical distribution (the lower shaded box in the chart). Over the 18 months since then, in contrast, there have been many occasions in which the market timers were excessively bullish — as defined by the HNNSI being in the highest 10% of the historical distribution (the higher shaded box).\nEarlier this month was the most recent such occasion. Since then, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite index have both fallen 2%.\n\nThis decline provided a good opportunity to assess the strength of the bullishness held by the market timers. It would have been a good sign, from a contrarian perspective, if these timers had reacted to last week’s weakness by running for the exits. That would have suggested that their erstwhile bullishness was skittishly held; that’s far different from the stubbornly-held bullishness that is particularly toxic. But that didn’t happen, as you can see from the chart.\nIn fact, the HNNSI has carved out a pattern of higher lows in recent months. That means that the average Nasdaq market timer has grown progressively more confident that any decline is nothing to worry about and should instead be treated as a buying opportunity. As a result, the sentiment foundation beneath the bull market is becoming weaker and weaker.\nWatch what they do\nYou may wonder how to square this conclusion with that of a recent Deutsche Bank survey, which found a growing “wall of worry” among 550 global market professionals. Specifically, a majority of them now say that they expect a 5% to 10% market pullback between now and the end of the year.\n\nMy explanation: The HNNSI reflects what market timers are doing, as opposed to what they are saying. It’s one thing for an adviser to say where he thinks the market will be at the end of the year, and quite another to increase or decrease his equity exposure level. Though the Deutsche Bank survey doesn’t report the average equity exposure level among the 550 professionals who participated, I’m confident that, on average, they have not significantly increased their recommended cash level.\nOver the years, we have found that actions speak louder than words. Average exposure levels tell us more about prevailing market sentiment than opinions, so it behooves contrarians to pay attention to what advisers are doing as opposed to what they’re saying.\nEven though a growing number of market professionals may be expressing concern, they appear not to be concerned enough to make big changes to their portfolios. Only when they are that concerned will contrarians become confident that a strong rally is imminent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882512799,"gmtCreate":1631706756611,"gmtModify":1632806717694,"author":{"id":"3586927598172340","authorId":"3586927598172340","name":"Perumal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93dd13e5e16f0b364ef0713d6d419ad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586927598172340","idStr":"3586927598172340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882512799","repostId":"2167649562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888176962,"gmtCreate":1631468208756,"gmtModify":1632810310646,"author":{"id":"3586927598172340","authorId":"3586927598172340","name":"Perumal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93dd13e5e16f0b364ef0713d6d419ad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586927598172340","idStr":"3586927598172340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Which stock will go up soon","listText":"Which stock will go up soon","text":"Which stock will go up soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df72ad4c5939bef84a52323304309dd3","width":"3468","height":"4624"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888176962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802750414,"gmtCreate":1627811771538,"gmtModify":1633756183338,"author":{"id":"3586927598172340","authorId":"3586927598172340","name":"Perumal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93dd13e5e16f0b364ef0713d6d419ad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586927598172340","idStr":"3586927598172340"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802750414","repostId":"1147877145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}