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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-15
  That's great
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  In Lisa Su we trust! Great execution by AMD in datacenter.
  AMD’s stock has been left behind, but not for long — here’s why<blockquote>AMD的股票已经落后，但不会太久——原因如下</blockquote>
  Advanced Micro Devices has a slew of new cutting-edge products, not to mention a key acquisition, to
  AMD’s stock has been left behind, but not for long — here’s why<blockquote>AMD的股票已经落后，但不会太久——原因如下</blockquote>
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Good news!
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  AMD too
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Again?
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  surprising
  What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>
  As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a
  What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Renewable energy ftw
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Buy?
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Let's go PDD
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- ttm17396ttm17396
  ·2021-06-14
  Going up!
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Great execution by AMD in datacenter.&nbsp;","listText":"In Lisa Su we trust! Great execution by AMD in datacenter.&nbsp;","text":"In Lisa Su we trust! Great execution by AMD in datacenter.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185729263","repostId":"1163127718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163127718","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623640604,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163127718?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 11:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD’s stock has been left behind, but not for long — here’s why<blockquote>AMD的股票已经落后，但不会太久——原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163127718","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices has a slew of new cutting-edge products, not to mention a key acquisition, to","content":"<p>Advanced Micro Devices has a slew of new cutting-edge products, not to mention a key acquisition, to accelerate growth.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices拥有一系列新的尖端产品，更不用说一项关键收购来加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f527aa40d36fd2c1a5697760ca79d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>(GETTY IMAGES)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Technology as a sector still looks like a buy after a recent rebound, but&nbsp;one chip stock stands out in particular.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的反弹之后，科技作为一个行业看起来仍然值得买入，但一只芯片股尤其突出。</blockquote></p><p> While the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;and Nvidia Corp.NVDAhave recovered from their May swoons, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.&nbsp;hasn’t yet fully rebounded. This makes the stock look like one to own, even though it is up 517% since I last suggested itin February 2017, compared with gains of 80% for the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and 140% for Nasdaq Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>虽然iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF和Nvidia Corp.NVDA已经从5月份的低迷中恢复过来，但Advanced Micro Devices Inc.尚未完全反弹。这使得该股看起来值得持有，尽管自我上次在2017年2月建议该股以来，该股已上涨517%，而标普500和纳斯达克综合指数分别上涨了80%和140%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a look at why, and how AMD stacks up against competitors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看为什么，以及AMD如何与竞争对手相比。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key dynamics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键动态</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices designs central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) used in data center servers, PCs and videogame consoles. That makes it a play on two of the biggest trends in tech right now — migration to the cloud and videogame hardware. Historically, the company lagged Intel Corp..But it has now surpassed its rival because of innovative chip designs and manufacturing issues at Intel.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices设计用于数据中心服务器、PC和视频游戏机的中央处理器（CPU）和图形处理器（GPU）。这使得它成为目前科技领域两大趋势的一部分——向云和视频游戏硬件的迁移。从历史上看，该公司落后于英特尔公司。但由于英特尔的创新芯片设计和制造问题，它现在已经超过了竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past few years, AMD has rolled out highly competitive lines of chips, thanks to the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, who took the helm in 2014, says tech analyst Peter Karazeris at Thrivent. This put AMD back in the game. AMD’s EPYC series of processors for servers has been endorsed by broad usage among the main cloud providers — including Amazon Inc.,Alphabet Inc.,Microsoft Corp.,Oracle Corp.&nbsp;and Tencent Holdings Ltd.AMD’s Radeon GPUs for gaming hardware and its Ryzen line of chips used in PCs and laptops are equally successful.</p><p><blockquote>Thrivent的技术分析师Peter Karazeris表示，在2014年上任的首席执行官Lisa Su的领导下，AMD推出了极具竞争力的芯片系列。这让AMD重新回到了游戏中。AMD用于服务器的EPYC系列处理器已被主要云提供商广泛使用，包括亚马逊公司、Alphabet公司、微软公司、甲骨文公司和腾讯控股控股有限公司。AMD用于游戏硬件的Radeon GPU及其用于PC和笔记本电脑的Ryzen系列芯片同样成功。</blockquote></p><p> Besides better chip design, AMD has pulled ahead by drawing on advanced manufacturing capabilities of Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;Manufacturing Co. Ltd.,which can pack more punch in chips through the use of smaller, 7 nanometer transistors. Intel is stuck back at 10 nanometers.</p><p><blockquote>除了更好的芯片设计，AMD还通过利用台积电制造有限公司的先进制造能力取得了领先，该公司可以通过使用更小的7纳米晶体管来封装更多的芯片。英特尔被困在10纳米。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s the upshot in all of this: AMD is a solid play on the megatrend of cloud computing and the related data center buildout. It’s a bet on the increasing complexity of artificial intelligence and big data analytics. And its GPU chips give Nvidia a run for the money. That makes AMD a play on the new Xbox and Sony PlayStation console upgrade cycle and the potential release of a new Nintendo Switch later this year. AMD is also now a serious contender in PCs and notebooks.</p><p><blockquote>这一切的结果是：AMD在云计算和相关数据中心建设的大趋势中发挥了坚实的作用。这是对人工智能和大数据分析日益复杂的押注。它的GPU芯片让英伟达物有所值。这使得AMD在新的Xbox和索尼PlayStation游戏机升级周期中发挥了作用，并有可能在今年晚些时候发布新的任天堂Switch。AMD现在也是个人电脑和笔记本电脑的有力竞争者。</blockquote></p><p> “Our goal at AMD is to really be the leader in the high-performance computing wave,” says Su.</p><p><blockquote>“我们AMD的目标是真正成为高性能计算浪潮的领导者，”Su说。</blockquote></p><p> She’s getting her way, and you can see the success in the numbers. First-quarter sales grew 93% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. AMD guided for 50% sales growth for the year, up from prior guidance of 37% growth.</p><p><blockquote>她正在如愿以偿，你可以从数字中看到成功。第一季度销售额同比增长93%，环比增长6%。AMD预计今年销售额增长50%，高于之前37%的增长指引。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe this guidance should be easily attainable, particularly as Intel deals with manufacturing challenges,” says Morningstar analyst Abhinav Davuluri.</p><p><blockquote>晨星分析师Abhinav Davuluri表示：“我们相信这一指导应该很容易实现，特别是在英特尔应对制造挑战的情况下。”</blockquote></p><p> In CPUs, sales are growing faster than those of the overall industry, which tells us AMD is gaining share from competitors.</p><p><blockquote>在CPU领域，销售额的增长速度快于整个行业，这告诉我们AMD正在从竞争对手那里获得份额。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect continued share growth through the balance of the year and into 2022,” says Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari, who has a buy rating and a $106 price target on AMD. The chip company is on Goldman’s “conviction list” of highly favored companies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师Toshiya Hari表示：“我们预计今年剩余时间和2022年股价将持续增长。”他对AMD给予买入评级和106美元的目标价。这家芯片公司在高盛高度青睐公司的“定罪名单”上。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s how AMD stacks up against competitors in terms of growth in the most recent quarter, profit margins and valuation:</p><p><blockquote>以下是AMD在最近一个季度的增长、利润率和估值方面与竞争对手的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc890546f0d4079834223660e88bc00d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"387\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash and cash flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金及现金流量</b></blockquote></p><p> Big cash positions and solid cash flow are positives for investors because they give companies freedom that comes from reliance on banks for financing. Strong cash positions also support investor-friendly moves, such as buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>大量现金头寸和稳健的现金流对投资者来说是积极的，因为它们为公司提供了依赖银行融资的自由。强劲的现金头寸也支持对投资者友好的举措，例如回购和股息。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks to all the growth, AMD’s cash position rose sharply last year to $2.3 billion, from $1.5 billion in 2019. AMD doesn’t pay a dividend, but its board recently approved a large $4 billion share repurchase. As the company’s first big return of cash to shareholders, this represents about 4% of AMD’s market capitalization. It also signals the company’s confidence in its business and ability to continue generating solid free cash flow despite rising concerns about intensifying competition, says Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore.</p><p><blockquote>得益于所有的增长，AMD的现金头寸从2019年的15亿美元大幅上升至去年的23亿美元。AMD不支付股息，但其董事会最近批准了40亿美元的巨额股票回购。作为该公司首次向股东返还大笔现金，这约占AMD市值的4%。德意志银行分析师罗斯·西莫尔表示，这也表明该公司对其业务充满信心，尽管人们越来越担心竞争加剧，但仍有能力继续产生稳定的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at AMD’s cash position and cash flow&nbsp; growth, relative to competitors. The numbers for Marvell Technology Inc.&nbsp;are through Jan. 30, 2021. The rest are for the first quarter:</p><p><blockquote>以下是AMD相对于竞争对手的现金状况和现金流增长情况。Marvell Technology Inc.的数据截至2021年1月30日。其余为第一季度：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798ea9650ce6e4247ba91b6912e48a82\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球影响力</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMD books sales in many regions. That’s a positive when global growth is as strong as it is now — lifted by $30 trillion in fiscal and monetary stimulus worldwide. Big exposure to China could be a risk because of U.S.-China tensions, but this issue seems to be diminishing a bit under President Biden, at least so far.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在许多地区都有销售记录。当全球经济增长像现在这样强劲时，这是一个积极的因素——在全球30万亿美元的财政和货币刺激措施的推动下。由于美中紧张局势，大量接触中国可能是一种风险，但在拜登总统的领导下，这个问题似乎有所减少，至少到目前为止是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e42a7c55f914ecd7ddb2cbf8562253\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"772\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock valuation and performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票估值和表现</b></blockquote></p><p> By most measures, AMD is the second-priciest stock in its group. But given the growth, it’s justified.</p><p><blockquote>从大多数指标来看，AMD是同类股票中第二贵的股票。但考虑到增长，这是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b26407edc4248424b878d3024bb9ac2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"550\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的观点</b></blockquote></p><p> As a group, Wall Street analysts are predicting the biggest gains for AMD, among all the companies in its space. It’s also notable that only 61% of analysts have a buy rating, lower than the percentages for Nvidia, Broadcom Inc.,Marvell and Analog Devices Inc..For investors, this is a positive because it tells us there’s more room for sell-side analysts to turn bullish and drive their clients into the name.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个整体，华尔街分析师预测AMD的涨幅是该领域所有公司中最大的。同样值得注意的是，只有61%的分析师给予买入评级，低于英伟达、博通公司、Marvell和ADI公司的比例。对于投资者来说，这是一个积极的因素，因为它告诉我们卖方分析师有更多的空间转向看涨并推动他们的客户进入该名称。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995f76673215ab81971fbc2e8ace0641\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"551\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> One big risk for AMD is that Intel stages a comeback, notes Tony Wang, a tech analyst at T. Rowe Price. Intel has done so before. But AMD still has a few tricks up its sleeve.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price科技分析师Tony Wang指出，AMD面临的一大风险是英特尔卷土重来。英特尔以前也这样做过。但AMD仍然有一些锦囊妙计。</blockquote></p><p> It recently launched a more advanced version of its EPYC processor, codenamed Milan. This line of server chips will ramp up sales in the second half of this year. AMD is making the leap to even more efficient 5 nanometer production with a line of chips dubbed Genoa, slated for release in 2022. These two rollouts will allow AMD to continue its market-share gains against competitors including Intel, says Jefferies analyst Mark&nbsp;Lipacis — one reason he has a “buy” rating and a $110 price target on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>它最近推出了更高级版本的EPYC处理器，代号为Milan。该系列服务器芯片将在今年下半年提升销量。AMD正在向更高效的5纳米生产迈进，推出了一系列名为Genoa的芯片，计划于2022年发布。杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师马克·利帕西斯(Mark Lipacis)表示，这两项产品的推出将使AMD在相对于英特尔等竞争对手的市场份额中继续增长，这也是他给予该股“买入”评级和110美元目标价的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is also rolling out next-generation GPUs based on its Compute DNA (CDNA)&nbsp;chip architecture, for use in data centers. And AMD’s merger with Xilinx Inc.&nbsp;later this year should help AMD produce even more sophisticated chips by incorporating Xilinx’s field-programmable gate array (FPGA) capabilities into its chip designs. FPGA gives customers more leeway to customize chips for their own needs.</p><p><blockquote>AMD还推出了基于其计算DNA（CDNA）芯片架构的下一代GPU，用于数据中心。AMD今年晚些时候与Xilinx Inc.的合并应该会通过将Xilinx的现场可编程门阵列（FPGA）功能整合到其芯片设计中来帮助AMD生产更复杂的芯片。FPGA为客户提供了更多的余地，可以根据自己的需求定制芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Other risks include the cyclical nature of the chip industry and the unpredictable demand from consumers and companies as economic growth rates change. One more threat is the broader adoption of competing chips based on ARM (advanced RISC machines) technology.</p><p><blockquote>其他风险包括芯片行业的周期性，以及随着经济增长率的变化，消费者和企业的需求不可预测。另一个威胁是基于ARM（高级RISC机器）技术的竞争芯片的更广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important dates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>重要日期</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>July 26:</b>Second-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote><b>7月26日：</b>第二季度财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oct. 25:</b>Third-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote><b>10月25日：</b>第三季度财报发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD’s stock has been left behind, but not for long — here’s why<blockquote>AMD的股票已经落后，但不会太久——原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD’s stock has been left behind, but not for long — here’s why<blockquote>AMD的股票已经落后，但不会太久——原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 11:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices has a slew of new cutting-edge products, not to mention a key acquisition, to accelerate growth.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices拥有一系列新的尖端产品，更不用说一项关键收购来加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f527aa40d36fd2c1a5697760ca79d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>(GETTY IMAGES)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（盖蒂图片社）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Technology as a sector still looks like a buy after a recent rebound, but&nbsp;one chip stock stands out in particular.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的反弹之后，科技作为一个行业看起来仍然值得买入，但一只芯片股尤其突出。</blockquote></p><p> While the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF&nbsp;and Nvidia Corp.NVDAhave recovered from their May swoons, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.&nbsp;hasn’t yet fully rebounded. This makes the stock look like one to own, even though it is up 517% since I last suggested itin February 2017, compared with gains of 80% for the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and 140% for Nasdaq Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>虽然iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF和Nvidia Corp.NVDA已经从5月份的低迷中恢复过来，但Advanced Micro Devices Inc.尚未完全反弹。这使得该股看起来值得持有，尽管自我上次在2017年2月建议该股以来，该股已上涨517%，而标普500和纳斯达克综合指数分别上涨了80%和140%。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a look at why, and how AMD stacks up against competitors.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看为什么，以及AMD如何与竞争对手相比。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key dynamics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键动态</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices designs central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) used in data center servers, PCs and videogame consoles. That makes it a play on two of the biggest trends in tech right now — migration to the cloud and videogame hardware. Historically, the company lagged Intel Corp..But it has now surpassed its rival because of innovative chip designs and manufacturing issues at Intel.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices设计用于数据中心服务器、PC和视频游戏机的中央处理器（CPU）和图形处理器（GPU）。这使得它成为目前科技领域两大趋势的一部分——向云和视频游戏硬件的迁移。从历史上看，该公司落后于英特尔公司。但由于英特尔的创新芯片设计和制造问题，它现在已经超过了竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past few years, AMD has rolled out highly competitive lines of chips, thanks to the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, who took the helm in 2014, says tech analyst Peter Karazeris at Thrivent. This put AMD back in the game. AMD’s EPYC series of processors for servers has been endorsed by broad usage among the main cloud providers — including Amazon Inc.,Alphabet Inc.,Microsoft Corp.,Oracle Corp.&nbsp;and Tencent Holdings Ltd.AMD’s Radeon GPUs for gaming hardware and its Ryzen line of chips used in PCs and laptops are equally successful.</p><p><blockquote>Thrivent的技术分析师Peter Karazeris表示，在2014年上任的首席执行官Lisa Su的领导下，AMD推出了极具竞争力的芯片系列。这让AMD重新回到了游戏中。AMD用于服务器的EPYC系列处理器已被主要云提供商广泛使用，包括亚马逊公司、Alphabet公司、微软公司、甲骨文公司和腾讯控股控股有限公司。AMD用于游戏硬件的Radeon GPU及其用于PC和笔记本电脑的Ryzen系列芯片同样成功。</blockquote></p><p> Besides better chip design, AMD has pulled ahead by drawing on advanced manufacturing capabilities of Taiwan Semiconductor&nbsp;Manufacturing Co. Ltd.,which can pack more punch in chips through the use of smaller, 7 nanometer transistors. Intel is stuck back at 10 nanometers.</p><p><blockquote>除了更好的芯片设计，AMD还通过利用台积电制造有限公司的先进制造能力取得了领先，该公司可以通过使用更小的7纳米晶体管来封装更多的芯片。英特尔被困在10纳米。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s the upshot in all of this: AMD is a solid play on the megatrend of cloud computing and the related data center buildout. It’s a bet on the increasing complexity of artificial intelligence and big data analytics. And its GPU chips give Nvidia a run for the money. That makes AMD a play on the new Xbox and Sony PlayStation console upgrade cycle and the potential release of a new Nintendo Switch later this year. AMD is also now a serious contender in PCs and notebooks.</p><p><blockquote>这一切的结果是：AMD在云计算和相关数据中心建设的大趋势中发挥了坚实的作用。这是对人工智能和大数据分析日益复杂的押注。它的GPU芯片让英伟达物有所值。这使得AMD在新的Xbox和索尼PlayStation游戏机升级周期中发挥了作用，并有可能在今年晚些时候发布新的任天堂Switch。AMD现在也是个人电脑和笔记本电脑的有力竞争者。</blockquote></p><p> “Our goal at AMD is to really be the leader in the high-performance computing wave,” says Su.</p><p><blockquote>“我们AMD的目标是真正成为高性能计算浪潮的领导者，”Su说。</blockquote></p><p> She’s getting her way, and you can see the success in the numbers. First-quarter sales grew 93% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. AMD guided for 50% sales growth for the year, up from prior guidance of 37% growth.</p><p><blockquote>她正在如愿以偿，你可以从数字中看到成功。第一季度销售额同比增长93%，环比增长6%。AMD预计今年销售额增长50%，高于之前37%的增长指引。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe this guidance should be easily attainable, particularly as Intel deals with manufacturing challenges,” says Morningstar analyst Abhinav Davuluri.</p><p><blockquote>晨星分析师Abhinav Davuluri表示：“我们相信这一指导应该很容易实现，特别是在英特尔应对制造挑战的情况下。”</blockquote></p><p> In CPUs, sales are growing faster than those of the overall industry, which tells us AMD is gaining share from competitors.</p><p><blockquote>在CPU领域，销售额的增长速度快于整个行业，这告诉我们AMD正在从竞争对手那里获得份额。</blockquote></p><p> “We expect continued share growth through the balance of the year and into 2022,” says Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari, who has a buy rating and a $106 price target on AMD. The chip company is on Goldman’s “conviction list” of highly favored companies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师Toshiya Hari表示：“我们预计今年剩余时间和2022年股价将持续增长。”他对AMD给予买入评级和106美元的目标价。这家芯片公司在高盛高度青睐公司的“定罪名单”上。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s how AMD stacks up against competitors in terms of growth in the most recent quarter, profit margins and valuation:</p><p><blockquote>以下是AMD在最近一个季度的增长、利润率和估值方面与竞争对手的比较：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc890546f0d4079834223660e88bc00d\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"387\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash and cash flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金及现金流量</b></blockquote></p><p> Big cash positions and solid cash flow are positives for investors because they give companies freedom that comes from reliance on banks for financing. Strong cash positions also support investor-friendly moves, such as buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>大量现金头寸和稳健的现金流对投资者来说是积极的，因为它们为公司提供了依赖银行融资的自由。强劲的现金头寸也支持对投资者友好的举措，例如回购和股息。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks to all the growth, AMD’s cash position rose sharply last year to $2.3 billion, from $1.5 billion in 2019. AMD doesn’t pay a dividend, but its board recently approved a large $4 billion share repurchase. As the company’s first big return of cash to shareholders, this represents about 4% of AMD’s market capitalization. It also signals the company’s confidence in its business and ability to continue generating solid free cash flow despite rising concerns about intensifying competition, says Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore.</p><p><blockquote>得益于所有的增长，AMD的现金头寸从2019年的15亿美元大幅上升至去年的23亿美元。AMD不支付股息，但其董事会最近批准了40亿美元的巨额股票回购。作为该公司首次向股东返还大笔现金，这约占AMD市值的4%。德意志银行分析师罗斯·西莫尔表示，这也表明该公司对其业务充满信心，尽管人们越来越担心竞争加剧，但仍有能力继续产生稳定的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a look at AMD’s cash position and cash flow&nbsp; growth, relative to competitors. The numbers for Marvell Technology Inc.&nbsp;are through Jan. 30, 2021. The rest are for the first quarter:</p><p><blockquote>以下是AMD相对于竞争对手的现金状况和现金流增长情况。Marvell Technology Inc.的数据截至2021年1月30日。其余为第一季度：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/798ea9650ce6e4247ba91b6912e48a82\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球影响力</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> AMD books sales in many regions. That’s a positive when global growth is as strong as it is now — lifted by $30 trillion in fiscal and monetary stimulus worldwide. Big exposure to China could be a risk because of U.S.-China tensions, but this issue seems to be diminishing a bit under President Biden, at least so far.</p><p><blockquote>AMD在许多地区都有销售记录。当全球经济增长像现在这样强劲时，这是一个积极的因素——在全球30万亿美元的财政和货币刺激措施的推动下。由于美中紧张局势，大量接触中国可能是一种风险，但在拜登总统的领导下，这个问题似乎有所减少，至少到目前为止是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e42a7c55f914ecd7ddb2cbf8562253\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"772\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock valuation and performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票估值和表现</b></blockquote></p><p> By most measures, AMD is the second-priciest stock in its group. But given the growth, it’s justified.</p><p><blockquote>从大多数指标来看，AMD是同类股票中第二贵的股票。但考虑到增长，这是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b26407edc4248424b878d3024bb9ac2\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"550\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street’s opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街的观点</b></blockquote></p><p> As a group, Wall Street analysts are predicting the biggest gains for AMD, among all the companies in its space. It’s also notable that only 61% of analysts have a buy rating, lower than the percentages for Nvidia, Broadcom Inc.,Marvell and Analog Devices Inc..For investors, this is a positive because it tells us there’s more room for sell-side analysts to turn bullish and drive their clients into the name.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个整体，华尔街分析师预测AMD的涨幅是该领域所有公司中最大的。同样值得注意的是，只有61%的分析师给予买入评级，低于英伟达、博通公司、Marvell和ADI公司的比例。对于投资者来说，这是一个积极的因素，因为它告诉我们卖方分析师有更多的空间转向看涨并推动他们的客户进入该名称。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995f76673215ab81971fbc2e8ace0641\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"551\"><span>(FACTSET)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（事实集）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> One big risk for AMD is that Intel stages a comeback, notes Tony Wang, a tech analyst at T. Rowe Price. Intel has done so before. But AMD still has a few tricks up its sleeve.</p><p><blockquote>T.Rowe Price科技分析师Tony Wang指出，AMD面临的一大风险是英特尔卷土重来。英特尔以前也这样做过。但AMD仍然有一些锦囊妙计。</blockquote></p><p> It recently launched a more advanced version of its EPYC processor, codenamed Milan. This line of server chips will ramp up sales in the second half of this year. AMD is making the leap to even more efficient 5 nanometer production with a line of chips dubbed Genoa, slated for release in 2022. These two rollouts will allow AMD to continue its market-share gains against competitors including Intel, says Jefferies analyst Mark&nbsp;Lipacis — one reason he has a “buy” rating and a $110 price target on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>它最近推出了更高级版本的EPYC处理器，代号为Milan。该系列服务器芯片将在今年下半年提升销量。AMD正在向更高效的5纳米生产迈进，推出了一系列名为Genoa的芯片，计划于2022年发布。杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师马克·利帕西斯(Mark Lipacis)表示，这两项产品的推出将使AMD在相对于英特尔等竞争对手的市场份额中继续增长，这也是他给予该股“买入”评级和110美元目标价的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is also rolling out next-generation GPUs based on its Compute DNA (CDNA)&nbsp;chip architecture, for use in data centers. And AMD’s merger with Xilinx Inc.&nbsp;later this year should help AMD produce even more sophisticated chips by incorporating Xilinx’s field-programmable gate array (FPGA) capabilities into its chip designs. FPGA gives customers more leeway to customize chips for their own needs.</p><p><blockquote>AMD还推出了基于其计算DNA（CDNA）芯片架构的下一代GPU，用于数据中心。AMD今年晚些时候与Xilinx Inc.的合并应该会通过将Xilinx的现场可编程门阵列（FPGA）功能整合到其芯片设计中来帮助AMD生产更复杂的芯片。FPGA为客户提供了更多的余地，可以根据自己的需求定制芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Other risks include the cyclical nature of the chip industry and the unpredictable demand from consumers and companies as economic growth rates change. One more threat is the broader adoption of competing chips based on ARM (advanced RISC machines) technology.</p><p><blockquote>其他风险包括芯片行业的周期性，以及随着经济增长率的变化，消费者和企业的需求不可预测。另一个威胁是基于ARM（高级RISC机器）技术的竞争芯片的更广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Important dates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>重要日期</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>July 26:</b>Second-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote><b>7月26日：</b>第二季度财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oct. 25:</b>Third-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote><b>10月25日：</b>第三季度财报发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amds-stock-has-been-left-behind-but-not-for-long-heres-why-11623343634?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amds-stock-has-been-left-behind-but-not-for-long-heres-why-11623343634?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163127718","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices has a slew of new cutting-edge products, not to mention a key acquisition, to accelerate growth.\n(GETTY IMAGES)\nTechnology as a sector still looks like a buy after a recent rebound, but one chip stock stands out in particular.\nWhile the iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF and Nvidia Corp.NVDAhave recovered from their May swoons, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. hasn’t yet fully rebounded. This makes the stock look like one to own, even though it is up 517% since I last suggested itin February 2017, compared with gains of 80% for the S&P 500 and 140% for Nasdaq Composite Index.\nLet’s take a look at why, and how AMD stacks up against competitors.\nKey dynamics\nAdvanced Micro Devices designs central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) used in data center servers, PCs and videogame consoles. That makes it a play on two of the biggest trends in tech right now — migration to the cloud and videogame hardware. Historically, the company lagged Intel Corp..But it has now surpassed its rival because of innovative chip designs and manufacturing issues at Intel.\nOver the past few years, AMD has rolled out highly competitive lines of chips, thanks to the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, who took the helm in 2014, says tech analyst Peter Karazeris at Thrivent. This put AMD back in the game. AMD’s EPYC series of processors for servers has been endorsed by broad usage among the main cloud providers — including Amazon Inc.,Alphabet Inc.,Microsoft Corp.,Oracle Corp. and Tencent Holdings Ltd.AMD’s Radeon GPUs for gaming hardware and its Ryzen line of chips used in PCs and laptops are equally successful.\nBesides better chip design, AMD has pulled ahead by drawing on advanced manufacturing capabilities of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd.,which can pack more punch in chips through the use of smaller, 7 nanometer transistors. Intel is stuck back at 10 nanometers.\nHere’s the upshot in all of this: AMD is a solid play on the megatrend of cloud computing and the related data center buildout. It’s a bet on the increasing complexity of artificial intelligence and big data analytics. And its GPU chips give Nvidia a run for the money. That makes AMD a play on the new Xbox and Sony PlayStation console upgrade cycle and the potential release of a new Nintendo Switch later this year. AMD is also now a serious contender in PCs and notebooks.\n“Our goal at AMD is to really be the leader in the high-performance computing wave,” says Su.\nShe’s getting her way, and you can see the success in the numbers. First-quarter sales grew 93% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. AMD guided for 50% sales growth for the year, up from prior guidance of 37% growth.\n“We believe this guidance should be easily attainable, particularly as Intel deals with manufacturing challenges,” says Morningstar analyst Abhinav Davuluri.\nIn CPUs, sales are growing faster than those of the overall industry, which tells us AMD is gaining share from competitors.\n“We expect continued share growth through the balance of the year and into 2022,” says Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari, who has a buy rating and a $106 price target on AMD. The chip company is on Goldman’s “conviction list” of highly favored companies.\nHere’s how AMD stacks up against competitors in terms of growth in the most recent quarter, profit margins and valuation:\n(FACTSET)\nCash and cash flow\nBig cash positions and solid cash flow are positives for investors because they give companies freedom that comes from reliance on banks for financing. Strong cash positions also support investor-friendly moves, such as buybacks and dividends.\nThanks to all the growth, AMD’s cash position rose sharply last year to $2.3 billion, from $1.5 billion in 2019. AMD doesn’t pay a dividend, but its board recently approved a large $4 billion share repurchase. As the company’s first big return of cash to shareholders, this represents about 4% of AMD’s market capitalization. It also signals the company’s confidence in its business and ability to continue generating solid free cash flow despite rising concerns about intensifying competition, says Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore.\nHere’s a look at AMD’s cash position and cash flow  growth, relative to competitors. The numbers for Marvell Technology Inc. are through Jan. 30, 2021. The rest are for the first quarter:\n(FACTSET)\nGlobal reach\nAMD books sales in many regions. That’s a positive when global growth is as strong as it is now — lifted by $30 trillion in fiscal and monetary stimulus worldwide. Big exposure to China could be a risk because of U.S.-China tensions, but this issue seems to be diminishing a bit under President Biden, at least so far.\n(FACTSET)\nStock valuation and performance\nBy most measures, AMD is the second-priciest stock in its group. But given the growth, it’s justified.\n(FACTSET)\nWall Street’s opinion\nAs a group, Wall Street analysts are predicting the biggest gains for AMD, among all the companies in its space. It’s also notable that only 61% of analysts have a buy rating, lower than the percentages for Nvidia, Broadcom Inc.,Marvell and Analog Devices Inc..For investors, this is a positive because it tells us there’s more room for sell-side analysts to turn bullish and drive their clients into the name.\n(FACTSET)\nRisks\nOne big risk for AMD is that Intel stages a comeback, notes Tony Wang, a tech analyst at T. Rowe Price. Intel has done so before. But AMD still has a few tricks up its sleeve.\nIt recently launched a more advanced version of its EPYC processor, codenamed Milan. This line of server chips will ramp up sales in the second half of this year. AMD is making the leap to even more efficient 5 nanometer production with a line of chips dubbed Genoa, slated for release in 2022. These two rollouts will allow AMD to continue its market-share gains against competitors including Intel, says Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis — one reason he has a “buy” rating and a $110 price target on the stock.\nAMD is also rolling out next-generation GPUs based on its Compute DNA (CDNA) chip architecture, for use in data centers. And AMD’s merger with Xilinx Inc. later this year should help AMD produce even more sophisticated chips by incorporating Xilinx’s field-programmable gate array (FPGA) capabilities into its chip designs. FPGA gives customers more leeway to customize chips for their own needs.\nOther risks include the cyclical nature of the chip industry and the unpredictable demand from consumers and companies as economic growth rates change. One more threat is the broader adoption of competing chips based on ARM (advanced RISC machines) technology.\nImportant dates\nJuly 26:Second-quarter earnings release.\nOct. 25:Third-quarter earnings release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185765822,"gmtCreate":1623674258466,"gmtModify":1634030282087,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news!&nbsp;","listText":"Good news!&nbsp;","text":"Good news!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185765822","repostId":"1106104418","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185786173,"gmtCreate":1623673660192,"gmtModify":1634030291569,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMD too","listText":"AMD too","text":"AMD too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185786173","repostId":"1165811803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185789581,"gmtCreate":1623673503343,"gmtModify":1634030294185,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Again?","listText":"Again?","text":"Again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185789581","repostId":"2143778219","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185789968,"gmtCreate":1623673456854,"gmtModify":1634030294770,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"surprising","listText":"surprising","text":"surprising","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185789968","repostId":"1138219989","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1138219989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623650085,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138219989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 13:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138219989","media":"Barrons","summary":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again a","content":"<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to Expect in This Week’s Federal Reserve Meeting<blockquote>本周美联储会议有何期待</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 13:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>随着联邦公开市场委员会下周举行例行政策会议，分析师和投资者应该再次打破尼克松时代的陈词滥调，关注他们的言论，而不是他们的行动。每个人都想知道的是，该小组是否最终开始讨论放弃其超级宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> We all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).</p><p><blockquote>我们都知道，FOMC不会在其大规模证券购买方面采取任何实质性措施，目前仍以每月1200亿美元的速度运行。至于其关键的联邦基金利率目标，则停留在0%至0.25%（尽管美联储管理的其他一些利率有可能进行技术调整，以解决货币市场上流动的数十亿过剩现金）。</blockquote></p><p> We’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted&nbsp;on the Fed’s website&nbsp;at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.</p><p><blockquote>我们将寻找FOMC的正式政策声明和该小组最新的经济预测摘要中的内容，其中将包括委员会成员对国内生产总值、通胀和失业率等关键经济指标的猜测。最有可能的是，当该消息于下午2点发布在美联储网站上时。周三东部夏令时，大多数人可能会直接关注FOMC对联邦基金利率的猜测，特别是何时最终有望从接近零的利率上升。</blockquote></p><p> The “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.</p><p><blockquote>“点阵图”——或FOMC成员共识猜测的图表——将首次加息一直推迟到2023年之后。这似乎是一个非常长期的预测，正如约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯（John Maynard Keynes）著名指出的那样，从长远来看，我们都死了。一些美联储观察人士，例如摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)，认为这些点表明2023年的经济起飞。</blockquote></p><p> The markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for&nbsp;Natixis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经预计到2023年联邦基金将加息一次或多次。但在之前讨论的长期债券收益率下滑的同时，利率期货市场实际上已经消化了其中一次短期加息。此外，Natixis分析师表示，衍生品市场目前预计联邦基金利率将达到2%以下的峰值，比今年早些时候的定价低约0.4个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Long before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>早在加息之前，美联储就将开始通过放慢目前的证券购买步伐来减少宽松政策，其中包括每月800亿美元的美国国债和400亿美元的机构抵押贷款支持证券。根据美联储上周发布的新数据，美联储和其他央行创造的数万亿美元对提振资产价值大有帮助，第一季度资产价值增加了5万亿美元，达到136.9万亿美元。其中包括家庭持有的股票价值增加3.2万亿美元，房地产持有量增加9680亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.</p><p><blockquote>美联储宽松政策减少的关键标准是货币当局是否认为在实现他们认为的最大就业方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”，这可能是一个故意模糊的标准。</blockquote></p><p> But the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed&nbsp;a record 9.3 million unfilled openings&nbsp;in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.</p><p><blockquote>但就业人数的增长似乎既受到劳动力供应的限制，也受到企业招聘意愿的限制。最新的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查（Jolts）显示，4月份有创纪录的930万个职位空缺。此外，当月有38.4万人离职，自愿离职人数达到创纪录的400万人。</blockquote></p><p> Anecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.</p><p><blockquote>轶事证据，包括美联储为即将召开的会议准备的经济状况褐皮书总结中的一些证据，表明由于慷慨的失业补偿，雇主没有找到足够的工人。对于经济学等社会科学来说，不同寻常的是，随着25个州提前结束每周额外支付300美元的费用，将会有一个实时实验来检验这一假设。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons在一份研究报告中写道，这25个州约占所有失业工人的四分之一。他们估计，终止额外的失业救济金可能会在未来几个月内增加大约200万人的就业机会。在其余州的额外失业保险到期后，9月和10月应该会出现另一次井喷式增长；学校重新开放——为一些潜在工人，尤其是女性提供免费日托；他们补充说，许多上班族回到了办公桌前。</blockquote></p><p> At that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.</p><p><blockquote>到那时，美联储可能会开始谈论实际减少大规模证券购买。鉴于美联储在2013年放缓债券购买时市场引发的“缩减恐慌”，本届美联储将希望披露其计划如何、何时以及以多快的速度放缓注入潘趣酒碗。这就是我们本周要听的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-to-expect-in-next-weeks-federal-reserve-meeting-51623457837?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138219989","content_text":"As the Federal Open Market Committee holds its regular policy meeting this coming week, once again analysts and investors should flip the Nixon-era cliché and watch what they say, not what they do. What everybody wants to know is whether the panel finally has gotten around to talking about talking about moving away from its ubereasy monetary policy.\nWe all know that the FOMC won’t take any substantive steps in terms of its massive securities purchases, which are still running at $120 billion a month. As for its key federal-funds rate target, that’s stuck at 0% to 0.25% (although there’s an outside chance of technical tweaking of some other Fed-administered rates to address the billions in excess cash sloshing around in the money markets).\nWe’ll be looking for what’s in the FOMC’s formal policy statement and the panel’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, which will include the amalgam of the committee members’ guesses on key economic gauges, such as gross domestic product, inflation, and unemployment. Most likely, when that is posted on the Fed’s website at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, most folks will probably head straight for the FOMC’s guesses on the fed-funds rate, and specifically when liftoff from near-zero is finally expected.\nThe “dot plot”—or graph of the FOMC members’ consensus guesses—puts the first hike all the way out past 2023. That seems a very long-term forecast, and as John Maynard Keynes famously pointed out, in the long run we’re all dead. Some Fed watchers, such as J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli, look for the dots to show a 2023 liftoff.\nThe markets, however, already had been pricing in one or more fed-funds rate hikes by 2023. But concurrent with the previously discussed slide in longer-term bond yields, the interest-rate futures markets have effectively priced out one of those short-term rate increases. In addition, the derivatives market now sees the fed-funds rate peaking under 2%, some 0.4 of a percentage point lower than what it had priced in earlier this year, according to analysts for Natixis.\nLong before making any rate hikes, the Fed will begin to lessen its accommodation by slowing its current pace of securities purchases, which consist of $80 billion of Treasuries and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities every month. The trillions that the Federal Reserve and other central banks have created have gone a long way to boost the values of assets, which rose by $5 trillion, to $136.9 trillion, in the first quarter, according to new Fed data released this past week. That includes a $3.2 trillion rise in the value of equities owned by households and a $968 billion rise in their real estate holdings.\nThe key criterion for reduced Fed accommodation is whether the monetary authorities see “substantial further progress” toward reaching what they deem as maximum employment, probably a deliberately ambiguous standard.\nBut the increase in payrolls appears to be constrained as much by the supply of labor as businesses’ desire to hire. The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or Jolts, showed a record 9.3 million unfilled openings in April. In addition, 384,000 people left their positions that month, bringing the total of voluntary job quitters to a record four million.\nAnecdotal evidence, including some in the Fed’s beige book summary of economic conditions prepared for the coming meeting, suggests that employers aren’t finding enough workers because of generous unemployment compensation. Unusual for a social science such as economics, there will be a real-time experiment to test this hypothesis as 25 states end the extra $300 weekly payment early.\nJefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons write in a research note that these 25 states account for about a quarter of all the unemployed workers. Ending their extra jobless benefits could boost employment by roughly two million in the next few months, they estimate. Another growth spurt should follow in September and October after the extra unemployment insurance expires in the remaining states; schools reopen—providing free daycare for some would-be workers, especially women; and many office employees return to their desks, they add.\nAt that point, the Fed might start talking about actually reducing its massive securities purchases. Given the “taper tantrum” thrown by the markets when the central bank slowed its bond buying in 2013, this Fed will want to disclose how, when, and how fast it plans to slow its pour into the punch bowl. That’s what we’ll be listening for this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185715493,"gmtCreate":1623673287412,"gmtModify":1631889809203,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Renewable&nbsp;energy ftw","listText":"Renewable&nbsp;energy ftw","text":"Renewable energy ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185715493","repostId":"2143857187","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185712477,"gmtCreate":1623673209499,"gmtModify":1634030298536,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy?","listText":"Buy?","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185712477","repostId":"1110538556","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185716439,"gmtCreate":1623673178121,"gmtModify":1634030299367,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go PDD","listText":"Let's go PDD","text":"Let's go PDD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185716439","repostId":"2140422463","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185716817,"gmtCreate":1623673160539,"gmtModify":1634030299853,"author":{"id":"3583669366978952","authorId":"3583669366978952","name":"ttm17396","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583669366978952","idStr":"3583669366978952"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going up!","listText":"Going up!","text":"Going up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185716817","repostId":"1174294980","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}