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franklinzy

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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-04
  $Sportradar Group AG(SRAD)$Maybe another good day?
  2,346 评论
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-03
  $BlackBerry(BB)$Bout time Sir
  2,743 评论
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-03
  $Histogenics(OCGN)$Going strong?
  3,911 评论
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-03
  Hodl
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-02
  $Squarespace Inc.(SQSP)$When
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-11-01
  $FIGS, Inc.(FIGS)$About time to ramp up again
  2,443 评论
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-10-26
  $B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$Gogogo
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-10-26
  $B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$Will it rocket further today?
  3,938 评论
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-10-15
  $Histogenics(OCGN)$Finally going to see the sky
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- franklinzyfranklinzy
  ·2021-10-14
  Hi
  How Options Investors Should Play This Earnings Season<blockquote>期权投资者应如何应对这个财报季</blockquote>
  At the start of the third-quarter earnings season, let it be said that investors are nervous, analys
  How Options Investors Should Play This Earnings Season<blockquote>期权投资者应如何应对这个财报季</blockquote>
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again","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd2ed7deaab569784568da40ec93c7c2","width":"1242","height":"1968"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849681006","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2443,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852112211,"gmtCreate":1635252397774,"gmtModify":1635252398041,"author":{"id":"3581740492210669","authorId":"3581740492210669","name":"franklinzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c48cf35ab3df2cea6e0458de0caf42","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581740492210669","idStr":"3581740492210669"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPM\">$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$</a>Gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPM\">$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$</a>Gogogo","text":"$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$Gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/700c209f7fa9a2b2339a0b2c310f9fc4","width":"1242","height":"1968"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852112211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852304921,"gmtCreate":1635238907223,"gmtModify":1635238907463,"author":{"id":"3581740492210669","authorId":"3581740492210669","name":"franklinzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c48cf35ab3df2cea6e0458de0caf42","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581740492210669","idStr":"3581740492210669"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPM\">$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$</a>Will it rocket further today?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRPM\">$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$</a>Will it rocket further today?","text":"$B. Riley Principal 150 Merger Corp(BRPM)$Will it rocket further today?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e0ee685477847ffa3a4a58acf41d28e","width":"1125","height":"3670"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852304921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824378524,"gmtCreate":1634285467240,"gmtModify":1634285467355,"author":{"id":"3581740492210669","authorId":"3581740492210669","name":"franklinzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c48cf35ab3df2cea6e0458de0caf42","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581740492210669","idStr":"3581740492210669"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Finally going to see the sky","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Histogenics(OCGN)$</a>Finally going to see the sky","text":"$Histogenics(OCGN)$Finally going to see the sky","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a5d62231a6e0414c56b18fccfb3cdd","width":"1242","height":"1968"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824378524","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825117409,"gmtCreate":1634209228610,"gmtModify":1634209228684,"author":{"id":"3581740492210669","authorId":"3581740492210669","name":"franklinzy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7c48cf35ab3df2cea6e0458de0caf42","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581740492210669","idStr":"3581740492210669"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825117409","repostId":"1161146997","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161146997","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634201365,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161146997?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 16:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Options Investors Should Play This Earnings Season<blockquote>期权投资者应如何应对这个财报季</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161146997","media":"Barrons","summary":"At the start of the third-quarter earnings season, let it be said that investors are nervous, analys","content":"<p>At the start of the third-quarter earnings season, let it be said that investors are nervous, analysts are generally worried about earnings growth, and the options market is a cauldron of coiled anxiety.</p><p><blockquote>在第三季度财报季开始之际，可以说投资者很紧张，分析师普遍担心盈利增长，期权市场是一个盘绕焦虑的大熔炉。</blockquote></p><p> The cause for this sour sentiment? Expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon raise interest rates, for a variety of reasons.</p><p><blockquote>这种不愉快情绪的原因？预期美联储可能很快加息，原因多种多样。</blockquote></p><p> The economy is beset by inflationary pressures. Supply chains are struggling to keep pace with consumer and corporate demand for everything from semiconductors to toilet paper. Economic growth, which ultimately drives corporate earnings, appears to be slowing, and that generally portends poorly for stock prices. The drama in Washington over raising the debt ceiling, and dueling legislative agendas, adds a circus-like air to the market.</p><p><blockquote>经济受到通货膨胀压力的困扰。供应链正在努力跟上消费者和企业对从半导体到卫生纸等各种产品的需求。最终推动企业盈利的经济增长似乎正在放缓，这通常对股价不利。华盛顿关于提高债务上限的戏剧性事件，以及立法议程的决斗，给市场增添了马戏团般的气氛。</blockquote></p><p> What is less discussed is that the rules of the game are changing. When the Fed finally raises interest rates, most investors will have to learn some new tricks.</p><p><blockquote>较少讨论的是游戏规则正在改变。当美联储最终加息时，大多数投资者将不得不学习一些新花样。</blockquote></p><p> After 20 years of easy-money policies, investors have come to rely on the mighty “Fed put”—the belief that the Fed will do whatever it takes to keep the stock market from falling too far. Now, it seems the Fed put&nbsp;might expire after this earnings season, and making money in the stock and options markets may no longer be so easy.</p><p><blockquote>经过 20 年的宽松货币政策，投资者开始依赖强大的 “美联储看跌期权 ”--即相信美联储会不惜一切代价防止股市下跌过多。现在，美联储看跌期权似乎可能会在本财报季后到期，在股票和期权市场赚钱可能不再那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> The good news? There are ways to monetize these unusual conditions during an event-heavy calendar.</p><p><blockquote>好消息？在事件密集的日历中，有一些方法可以将这些不寻常的情况货币化。</blockquote></p><p> There are many crosscurrents moving above and below the market’s surface. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is dancing around historic highs. Yet earnings estimates for the third quarter show little expectation that corporate earnings reports will prove to be much of anything—and this could create some opportunities for aggressive investors.</p><p><blockquote>市场表面之上和之下都有许多横流。标普500指数正在历史高位徘徊。然而，对第三季度的盈利预测显示，人们对企业盈利报告将证明是多么重要的期望——这可能会为激进的投资者创造一些机会。</blockquote></p><p> John Marshall,Goldman Sachs’ derivatives strategist, recently advised clients that analyst estimates for the third quarter have been revised upward by 12% over the past three months but still remain 2% below the second-quarter’s level (not including the financial sector).</p><p><blockquote>高盛（Goldman Sachs）衍生品策略师约翰-马歇尔（John Marshall）最近告诉客户，分析师对第三季度的预期在过去三个月中上调了12%，但仍比第二季度的水平低2%（不包括金融业）。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, single-stock skew—the difference between bearish put-option and bullish call-option implied volatility—is at the highest level in over a year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，单股偏差（看跌看跌期权和看涨看涨期权期权隐含波动率之间的差异）处于一年多来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The elevated skew suggests that investors have bought bearish puts to hedge earnings reports, thus creating conditions that could spark relief rallies in certain stocks on earnings day, and even in broad indexes, Marshall told clients. Investors are so pessimistic about corporate earnings—and have positioned that way in the options market—that any bit of good news could prompt strong moves in individual stocks.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔告诉客户，这种偏差加大表明投资者购买了看跌看跌期权来对冲收益报告，从而创造了可能在收益日引发某些股票甚至广泛指数缓解反弹的条件。投资者对企业盈利非常悲观——并且在期权市场上也是如此——以至于任何一点好消息都可能引发个股的强劲波动。</blockquote></p><p> To trade these conditions, Marshall has assembled a list of stocks in which Goldman analysts are the most out of consensus with the Street view. On stocks that have the potential to beat earnings estimates, he has suggested that clients consider buying calls that expire in one month, with strike prices just above the current stock price.</p><p><blockquote>为了在这些条件下进行交易，马歇尔整理了一份高盛分析师与街头观点最不一致的股票清单。对于有可能超出盈利预期的股票，他建议客户考虑购买一个月后到期的评级，执行价格略高于当前股价。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s trading menu for stocks with potential upside to earnings estimates includes&nbsp;Starbucks&nbsp;(ticker: SBUX),Canadian Natural Resources&nbsp;(CNQ), YETI Holdings (YETI),Cenovus Energy&nbsp;(CVE), Carlyle Group (CG),Signature Bank&nbsp;(SBNY),Align Technology&nbsp;(ALGN),Maravai LifeSciences Holdings&nbsp;(MRVI),Fortune Brands Home &amp; Security&nbsp;(FBHS),Shoals Technologies Group&nbsp;(SHLS),CF Industries&nbsp;(CF),Okta&nbsp;(OKTA),Playtika Holding&nbsp;(PLTK), and&nbsp;Republic Services&nbsp;(RSG).</p><p><blockquote>高盛的交易菜单包括星巴克（股票代码：SBUX）、加拿大自然资源公司（CNQ）、YETI Holdings (YETI)、Cenovus Energy (CVE)、凯雷集团（CG）、Signature Bank (SBNY)、Align Technology (ALGN)、Maravai LifeSciences Holdings (MRVI)、Fortune Brands Home &amp; Security (FBHS)、Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS)、CF Industries (CF)、Okta (Okta)、Playtika Holding (PLTK) 和 Republic Services (RSG)。</blockquote></p><p> At a time when so many investors are confused about what to do, Goldman’s approach shows how a sophisticated strategist is thinking when change is in the air and investors are nervous about what comes next.</p><p><blockquote>在许多投资者对该做什么感到困惑的时候，高盛的做法显示了一位老练的策略师在变革即将来临、投资者对接下来会发生什么感到紧张时是如何思考的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Options Investors Should Play This Earnings Season<blockquote>期权投资者应如何应对这个财报季</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Options Investors Should Play This Earnings Season<blockquote>期权投资者应如何应对这个财报季</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 16:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the start of the third-quarter earnings season, let it be said that investors are nervous, analysts are generally worried about earnings growth, and the options market is a cauldron of coiled anxiety.</p><p><blockquote>在第三季度财报季开始之际，可以说投资者很紧张，分析师普遍担心盈利增长，期权市场是一个盘绕焦虑的大熔炉。</blockquote></p><p> The cause for this sour sentiment? Expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon raise interest rates, for a variety of reasons.</p><p><blockquote>这种不愉快情绪的原因？预期美联储可能很快加息，原因多种多样。</blockquote></p><p> The economy is beset by inflationary pressures. Supply chains are struggling to keep pace with consumer and corporate demand for everything from semiconductors to toilet paper. Economic growth, which ultimately drives corporate earnings, appears to be slowing, and that generally portends poorly for stock prices. The drama in Washington over raising the debt ceiling, and dueling legislative agendas, adds a circus-like air to the market.</p><p><blockquote>经济受到通货膨胀压力的困扰。供应链正在努力跟上消费者和企业对从半导体到卫生纸等各种产品的需求。最终推动企业盈利的经济增长似乎正在放缓，这通常对股价不利。华盛顿关于提高债务上限的戏剧性事件，以及立法议程的决斗，给市场增添了马戏团般的气氛。</blockquote></p><p> What is less discussed is that the rules of the game are changing. When the Fed finally raises interest rates, most investors will have to learn some new tricks.</p><p><blockquote>较少讨论的是游戏规则正在改变。当美联储最终加息时，大多数投资者将不得不学习一些新花样。</blockquote></p><p> After 20 years of easy-money policies, investors have come to rely on the mighty “Fed put”—the belief that the Fed will do whatever it takes to keep the stock market from falling too far. Now, it seems the Fed put&nbsp;might expire after this earnings season, and making money in the stock and options markets may no longer be so easy.</p><p><blockquote>经过 20 年的宽松货币政策，投资者开始依赖强大的 “美联储看跌期权 ”--即相信美联储会不惜一切代价防止股市下跌过多。现在，美联储看跌期权似乎可能会在本财报季后到期，在股票和期权市场赚钱可能不再那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> The good news? There are ways to monetize these unusual conditions during an event-heavy calendar.</p><p><blockquote>好消息？在事件密集的日历中，有一些方法可以将这些不寻常的情况货币化。</blockquote></p><p> There are many crosscurrents moving above and below the market’s surface. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is dancing around historic highs. Yet earnings estimates for the third quarter show little expectation that corporate earnings reports will prove to be much of anything—and this could create some opportunities for aggressive investors.</p><p><blockquote>市场表面之上和之下都有许多横流。标普500指数正在历史高位徘徊。然而，对第三季度的盈利预测显示，人们对企业盈利报告将证明是多么重要的期望——这可能会为激进的投资者创造一些机会。</blockquote></p><p> John Marshall,Goldman Sachs’ derivatives strategist, recently advised clients that analyst estimates for the third quarter have been revised upward by 12% over the past three months but still remain 2% below the second-quarter’s level (not including the financial sector).</p><p><blockquote>高盛（Goldman Sachs）衍生品策略师约翰-马歇尔（John Marshall）最近告诉客户，分析师对第三季度的预期在过去三个月中上调了12%，但仍比第二季度的水平低2%（不包括金融业）。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, single-stock skew—the difference between bearish put-option and bullish call-option implied volatility—is at the highest level in over a year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，单股偏差（看跌看跌期权和看涨看涨期权期权隐含波动率之间的差异）处于一年多来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The elevated skew suggests that investors have bought bearish puts to hedge earnings reports, thus creating conditions that could spark relief rallies in certain stocks on earnings day, and even in broad indexes, Marshall told clients. Investors are so pessimistic about corporate earnings—and have positioned that way in the options market—that any bit of good news could prompt strong moves in individual stocks.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔告诉客户，这种偏差加大表明投资者购买了看跌看跌期权来对冲收益报告，从而创造了可能在收益日引发某些股票甚至广泛指数缓解反弹的条件。投资者对企业盈利非常悲观——并且在期权市场上也是如此——以至于任何一点好消息都可能引发个股的强劲波动。</blockquote></p><p> To trade these conditions, Marshall has assembled a list of stocks in which Goldman analysts are the most out of consensus with the Street view. On stocks that have the potential to beat earnings estimates, he has suggested that clients consider buying calls that expire in one month, with strike prices just above the current stock price.</p><p><blockquote>为了在这些条件下进行交易，马歇尔整理了一份高盛分析师与街头观点最不一致的股票清单。对于有可能超出盈利预期的股票，他建议客户考虑购买一个月后到期的评级，执行价格略高于当前股价。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s trading menu for stocks with potential upside to earnings estimates includes&nbsp;Starbucks&nbsp;(ticker: SBUX),Canadian Natural Resources&nbsp;(CNQ), YETI Holdings (YETI),Cenovus Energy&nbsp;(CVE), Carlyle Group (CG),Signature Bank&nbsp;(SBNY),Align Technology&nbsp;(ALGN),Maravai LifeSciences Holdings&nbsp;(MRVI),Fortune Brands Home &amp; Security&nbsp;(FBHS),Shoals Technologies Group&nbsp;(SHLS),CF Industries&nbsp;(CF),Okta&nbsp;(OKTA),Playtika Holding&nbsp;(PLTK), and&nbsp;Republic Services&nbsp;(RSG).</p><p><blockquote>高盛的交易菜单包括星巴克（股票代码：SBUX）、加拿大自然资源公司（CNQ）、YETI Holdings (YETI)、Cenovus Energy (CVE)、凯雷集团（CG）、Signature Bank (SBNY)、Align Technology (ALGN)、Maravai LifeSciences Holdings (MRVI)、Fortune Brands Home &amp; Security (FBHS)、Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS)、CF Industries (CF)、Okta (Okta)、Playtika Holding (PLTK) 和 Republic Services (RSG)。</blockquote></p><p> At a time when so many investors are confused about what to do, Goldman’s approach shows how a sophisticated strategist is thinking when change is in the air and investors are nervous about what comes next.</p><p><blockquote>在许多投资者对该做什么感到困惑的时候，高盛的做法显示了一位老练的策略师在变革即将来临、投资者对接下来会发生什么感到紧张时是如何思考的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-options-investors-should-play-this-earnings-season-51634196601?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CF":"CF工业",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OKTA":"Okta Inc.","SBNY":"签字银行","SBUX":"星巴克","PLTK":"Playtika Holding Corp.","CG":"凯雷","MRVI":"Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","YETI":"YETI Holdings Inc.","SHLS":"Shoals Technologies Group",".DJI":"道琼斯","ALGN":"艾利科技","CVE":"Cenovus能源","CNQ":"加国自然资源","RSG":"共和废品处理"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-options-investors-should-play-this-earnings-season-51634196601?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161146997","content_text":"At the start of the third-quarter earnings season, let it be said that investors are nervous, analysts are generally worried about earnings growth, and the options market is a cauldron of coiled anxiety.\nThe cause for this sour sentiment? Expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon raise interest rates, for a variety of reasons.\nThe economy is beset by inflationary pressures. Supply chains are struggling to keep pace with consumer and corporate demand for everything from semiconductors to toilet paper. Economic growth, which ultimately drives corporate earnings, appears to be slowing, and that generally portends poorly for stock prices. The drama in Washington over raising the debt ceiling, and dueling legislative agendas, adds a circus-like air to the market.\nWhat is less discussed is that the rules of the game are changing. When the Fed finally raises interest rates, most investors will have to learn some new tricks.\nAfter 20 years of easy-money policies, investors have come to rely on the mighty “Fed put”—the belief that the Fed will do whatever it takes to keep the stock market from falling too far. Now, it seems the Fed put might expire after this earnings season, and making money in the stock and options markets may no longer be so easy.\nThe good news? There are ways to monetize these unusual conditions during an event-heavy calendar.\nThere are many crosscurrents moving above and below the market’s surface. The S&P 500 index is dancing around historic highs. Yet earnings estimates for the third quarter show little expectation that corporate earnings reports will prove to be much of anything—and this could create some opportunities for aggressive investors.\nJohn Marshall,Goldman Sachs’ derivatives strategist, recently advised clients that analyst estimates for the third quarter have been revised upward by 12% over the past three months but still remain 2% below the second-quarter’s level (not including the financial sector).\nMeanwhile, single-stock skew—the difference between bearish put-option and bullish call-option implied volatility—is at the highest level in over a year.\nThe elevated skew suggests that investors have bought bearish puts to hedge earnings reports, thus creating conditions that could spark relief rallies in certain stocks on earnings day, and even in broad indexes, Marshall told clients. Investors are so pessimistic about corporate earnings—and have positioned that way in the options market—that any bit of good news could prompt strong moves in individual stocks.\nTo trade these conditions, Marshall has assembled a list of stocks in which Goldman analysts are the most out of consensus with the Street view. On stocks that have the potential to beat earnings estimates, he has suggested that clients consider buying calls that expire in one month, with strike prices just above the current stock price.\nGoldman’s trading menu for stocks with potential upside to earnings estimates includes Starbucks (ticker: SBUX),Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), YETI Holdings (YETI),Cenovus Energy (CVE), Carlyle Group (CG),Signature Bank (SBNY),Align Technology (ALGN),Maravai LifeSciences Holdings (MRVI),Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS),Shoals Technologies Group (SHLS),CF Industries (CF),Okta (OKTA),Playtika Holding (PLTK), and Republic Services (RSG).\nAt a time when so many investors are confused about what to do, Goldman’s approach shows how a sophisticated strategist is thinking when change is in the air and investors are nervous about what comes next.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CNQ":0.9,"ALGN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,"CF":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"YETI":0.9,"FBHS":0.9,"PLTK":0.9,"SHLS":0.9,"OKTA":0.9,"CVE":0.9,"RSG":0.9,"SBNY":0.9,"MRVI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}