个人中心 - 老虎社区

DYDFC

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 25帖子 · 25
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-08-01
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,552 评论
  2
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-31
  F
  Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>以下是您在股市下一次暴跌前的待办事项清单</blockquote>
  After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t
  Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>以下是您在股市下一次暴跌前的待办事项清单</blockquote>
  2,804 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-30
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,526 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-29
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,601 评论
  2
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-28
  F
  How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>
  Summary PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market
  How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>
  2,463 评论
  3
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-27
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,264 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-26
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,053 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-25
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,343 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-23
  F
  Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合，黑石盈利增长</blockquote>
  The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion. Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX
  Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合，黑石盈利增长</blockquote>
  2,084 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- DYDFCDYDFC
  ·2021-07-22
  F
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,639 评论
  1
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3578574228106809","uuid":"3578574228106809","gmtCreate":1615480203992,"gmtModify":1623409190704,"name":"DYDFC","pinyin":"dydfc","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":57,"tweetSize":25,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":802227623,"gmtCreate":1627783805662,"gmtModify":1633756443578,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802227623","repostId":"1149124606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802310887,"gmtCreate":1627717148249,"gmtModify":1633756836029,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802310887","repostId":"1127411624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127411624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627715622,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127411624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>以下是您在股市下一次暴跌前的待办事项清单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127411624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t","content":"<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日从洞穴中走了出来。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数JIA,-0.42%下跌725点，跌幅2.1%。熊队打出了本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>和往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们也准备好了答案，从 COVID-19 的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售的原因有很多，所以把责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，导致销量下降的一个重要因素是自动的、计算机生成的销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始出售，就会出现疯狂的抢购潮。没有人愿意成为最后一个出局的人，因此零售商和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI-0.54%在周线上为71.36，这是一个极度超买的读数。这是否意味着明天指数将暴跌？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险地带的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息：熊队无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>空头还没来得及说 “我早就告诉过你 ”，第二天，也就是 7 月 20 日，道琼斯指数 700 多点的抛售就被道琼斯指数 550 点的反弹抹去了。公牛队忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯接一杯地啜饮着他们最喜欢的饮料 “bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次，公牛队的心中却涌起了一丝恐惧。以前，唯一的恐惧就是害怕错过下一次集会。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌时，您又经历了各种情绪，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1. 如果你惊慌失措</b>：不要做某事；坐那儿。不买，不卖，坐稳就行了。事实上，关闭电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定下来时，重新评估你所拥有的。不要在这样的日子里做出任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2. 如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场清醒过来时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3. 如果您不受影响：</b>尽管如此，检查你的投资组合，以确保你是适当的多元化。虽然人们不在乎市场是否下跌，但一定要为最坏的情况做好对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取哪些具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有所帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您拥有的股票或指数跌破 200 天移动平均线，请卖出。注：标准普尔 500SPX,-0.54% 等主要指数十年来从未跌破（并一直低于）其 200 天平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么，都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的美元成本平均值。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只拥有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天，这种策略不会奏效，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是一个产生额外收入的好方法。这种策略也是处理不需要的库存并获得报酬的理想选择。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>经过 13 年的牛市，美国股市的时间正在流逝。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但总有一天市场不会逆转方向，会开始大幅回调，甚至更糟的是，会进入熊市。这时，你会庆幸自己有一个计划和一个投资脚本，可以在最糟糕的日子里遵循。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解自己拥有什么，卖出到 “睡个好觉 ”点，分散投资各种金融产品，包括现金和债券。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出情绪化的决定，也不会焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>以下是您在股市下一次暴跌前的待办事项清单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>以下是您在股市下一次暴跌前的待办事项清单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日从洞穴中走了出来。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数JIA,-0.42%下跌725点，跌幅2.1%。熊队打出了本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>和往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们也准备好了答案，从 COVID-19 的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售的原因有很多，所以把责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，导致销量下降的一个重要因素是自动的、计算机生成的销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始出售，就会出现疯狂的抢购潮。没有人愿意成为最后一个出局的人，因此零售商和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI-0.54%在周线上为71.36，这是一个极度超买的读数。这是否意味着明天指数将暴跌？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险地带的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息：熊队无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>空头还没来得及说 “我早就告诉过你 ”，第二天，也就是 7 月 20 日，道琼斯指数 700 多点的抛售就被道琼斯指数 550 点的反弹抹去了。公牛队忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯接一杯地啜饮着他们最喜欢的饮料 “bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次，公牛队的心中却涌起了一丝恐惧。以前，唯一的恐惧就是害怕错过下一次集会。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌时，您又经历了各种情绪，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1. 如果你惊慌失措</b>：不要做某事；坐那儿。不买，不卖，坐稳就行了。事实上，关闭电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定下来时，重新评估你所拥有的。不要在这样的日子里做出任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2. 如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场清醒过来时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3. 如果您不受影响：</b>尽管如此，检查你的投资组合，以确保你是适当的多元化。虽然人们不在乎市场是否下跌，但一定要为最坏的情况做好对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取哪些具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有所帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您拥有的股票或指数跌破 200 天移动平均线，请卖出。注：标准普尔 500SPX,-0.54% 等主要指数十年来从未跌破（并一直低于）其 200 天平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么，都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的美元成本平均值。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只拥有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天，这种策略不会奏效，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是一个产生额外收入的好方法。这种策略也是处理不需要的库存并获得报酬的理想选择。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>经过 13 年的牛市，美国股市的时间正在流逝。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但总有一天市场不会逆转方向，会开始大幅回调，甚至更糟的是，会进入熊市。这时，你会庆幸自己有一个计划和一个投资脚本，可以在最糟糕的日子里遵循。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解自己拥有什么，卖出到 “睡个好觉 ”点，分散投资各种金融产品，包括现金和债券。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出情绪化的决定，也不会焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127411624","content_text":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.\nAs usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.\nThe truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.\nTechnical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.  After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.\nThe bad news bears can’t catch a break\nBefore the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.\nWhat to do now\nThe next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:\n1. If you’re panicked: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.\n2. If you’re afraid: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.\n3. If you’re unaffected:Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.\nWhat specific actions should you take?\nNow that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:\n\nSell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.\nCreate a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.\nDollar-cost average into index funds.\nDiversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.\nBuy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.\nSell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.\n\nPlan for the next correction or bear market\nAfter a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.\nKnow what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808439381,"gmtCreate":1627605165043,"gmtModify":1633757898371,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808439381","repostId":"1131907757","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801878129,"gmtCreate":1627512816861,"gmtModify":1633764383002,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801878129","repostId":"1148922985","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803145428,"gmtCreate":1627429742064,"gmtModify":1633765149868,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803145428","repostId":"1165178450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165178450","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627399581,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165178450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165178450","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 23:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165178450","content_text":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.\nThe company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.\nWe outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.\nThat said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.\n\nJONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images\nPlug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.\n#1. Addressable Market Potential\nWith the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.\nFirst and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.\nSecond, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.\nThird, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.\nFinally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.\nAll of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.\n\n#2. Market Share Drivers\nWe believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.\nFirst and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.\nSecond of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.\nThird, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.\nIn fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.\n#3. Valuation\nWhile PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.\nOn the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.\nIn fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.\nIf PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.\nAt a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.\nData by YCharts\n#4. Risks\nIf this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.\nData by YCharts\nOf course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.\nFirst and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.\nAdditionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.\nThird, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.\nInvestor Takeaway\nPLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.\nGiven our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.\nThat said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.\nOverall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809048119,"gmtCreate":1627341929031,"gmtModify":1633766037886,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809048119","repostId":"1117559759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800374389,"gmtCreate":1627283068041,"gmtModify":1633766542631,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800374389","repostId":"2154531659","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3053,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177150008,"gmtCreate":1627188755404,"gmtModify":1633767296961,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177150008","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175089630,"gmtCreate":1626998491120,"gmtModify":1633768994609,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175089630","repostId":"1151614377","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151614377","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626959882,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151614377?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 21:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合，黑石盈利增长</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151614377","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.\n\nBlackstone GroupInc.’sBX","content":"<p>  The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.  Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司公布第二季度净利润为 13.1 亿美元。在投资价值创纪录升值的推动下，黑石集团第二季度盈利大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司周四表示，第二季度净利润为 13.1 亿美元，即每股收益 1.82 美元。相比之下，去年同期利润为 5.683 亿美元，即每股 81 美分。</blockquote></p><p> The value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&amp;P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.</p><p><blockquote>黑石私募股权投资组合的价值在最近一段时间攀升了 13.8%，超过了标普500约 8% 的涨幅。其各个业务线的合并基金增值是该公司历史上最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Aiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团最近强调将资金投入快速增长的公司，这对其强劲业绩起到了推动作用。外包公司 TaskusInc. 和印度电动汽车零部件制造商 Sona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd. 的首次公开募股推高了该公司的私募股权投资组合，而出售美国和澳大利亚的最后一英里物流地产也帮助增加了其房地产持有量。</blockquote></p><p>   ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone  Blackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.</p><p><blockquote>黑石公司总裁乔纳森-格雷（Jonathan Gray）鼓励公司总裁乔纳森-格雷（Jonathan Gray）更有针对性地思考投资问题，确定全球趋势，并想方设法将资金投入到能从中受益的领域。其中包括物流、软件、数字支付和生命科学，这些经济领域正在经历巨大的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>“格雷先生在接受采访时说：”转向睦邻友好确实取得了成效。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>黑石本季度的可分配利润（即可以返还给股东的现金金额）为 10.7 亿美元，即每股收益 82 美分。相比之下，去年同期为 5.48 亿美元，即每股 43 美分。</blockquote></p><p> The firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，本季度将支付每股 70 美分的股息，而 2020 年第二季度为 37 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman &amp; Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团在第二季度投资了 238 亿美元，并承诺追加 285 亿美元，创下另一项纪录。其承诺之一是 6 月份与竞争对手凯雷集团 (Carlyle Group Inc.) 和 Hellman &amp; Friedman LLC 合作收购 Medline Industries Inc.，该协议对这家医疗设备供应商的估值超过 300 亿美元，是金融危机以来最大的杠杆收购。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>黑石的基础设施业务和非贸易房地产投资信托公司也以 67 亿美元的价格收购了数据中心运营商 QTS Realty Trust Inc.</blockquote></p><p> The firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.</p><p><blockquote>该公司本季度资金流入 373 亿美元，其中大部分来自其信贷业务及其庞大的 Core+ 房地产战略。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>管理资产较上年增长 21%，达到 6,840 亿美元。所谓的永久资本同比攀升 55%，达到 1695 亿美元，因为它不需要很快返还给投资者，因此会产生源源不断的锁定费用。</blockquote></p><p> That figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这一数字将会上升，部分原因是黑石集团上周宣布与保险公司美国国际集团建立全面合作伙伴关系。这家投资公司将管理 AIG 的部分资产，并将支付 22 亿美元收购其人寿保险和退休服务部门 9.9% 的股份。到 2021 年底，这笔交易将使黑石管理的保险资产达到约 1500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.</p><p><blockquote>“格雷先生在谈到美国国际集团的安排时说：”它确实概括了我们业务的演变。</blockquote></p><p> A decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，十年的低利率和强劲业绩促使该公司超越了投资机构资金的传统重点。</blockquote></p><p> The combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，保险和零售业的综合市场机会价值要高得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合，黑石盈利增长</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackstone Earnings Rise as Growth Strategy Boosts Portfolio<blockquote>随着增长战略增强投资组合，黑石盈利增长</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 21:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.  Blackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司公布第二季度净利润为 13.1 亿美元。在投资价值创纪录升值的推动下，黑石集团第二季度盈利大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>这家私募股权公司周四表示，第二季度净利润为 13.1 亿美元，即每股收益 1.82 美元。相比之下，去年同期利润为 5.683 亿美元，即每股 81 美分。</blockquote></p><p> The value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&amp;P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.</p><p><blockquote>黑石私募股权投资组合的价值在最近一段时间攀升了 13.8%，超过了标普500约 8% 的涨幅。其各个业务线的合并基金增值是该公司历史上最高的。</blockquote></p><p> Aiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团最近强调将资金投入快速增长的公司，这对其强劲业绩起到了推动作用。外包公司 TaskusInc. 和印度电动汽车零部件制造商 Sona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd. 的首次公开募股推高了该公司的私募股权投资组合，而出售美国和澳大利亚的最后一英里物流地产也帮助增加了其房地产持有量。</blockquote></p><p>   ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone  Blackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.</p><p><blockquote>黑石公司总裁乔纳森-格雷（Jonathan Gray）鼓励公司总裁乔纳森-格雷（Jonathan Gray）更有针对性地思考投资问题，确定全球趋势，并想方设法将资金投入到能从中受益的领域。其中包括物流、软件、数字支付和生命科学，这些经济领域正在经历巨大的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.</p><p><blockquote>“格雷先生在接受采访时说：”转向睦邻友好确实取得了成效。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>黑石本季度的可分配利润（即可以返还给股东的现金金额）为 10.7 亿美元，即每股收益 82 美分。相比之下，去年同期为 5.48 亿美元，即每股 43 美分。</blockquote></p><p> The firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，本季度将支付每股 70 美分的股息，而 2020 年第二季度为 37 美分。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman &amp; Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>黑石集团在第二季度投资了 238 亿美元，并承诺追加 285 亿美元，创下另一项纪录。其承诺之一是 6 月份与竞争对手凯雷集团 (Carlyle Group Inc.) 和 Hellman &amp; Friedman LLC 合作收购 Medline Industries Inc.，该协议对这家医疗设备供应商的估值超过 300 亿美元，是金融危机以来最大的杠杆收购。</blockquote></p><p> Blackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>黑石的基础设施业务和非贸易房地产投资信托公司也以 67 亿美元的价格收购了数据中心运营商 QTS Realty Trust Inc.</blockquote></p><p> The firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.</p><p><blockquote>该公司本季度资金流入 373 亿美元，其中大部分来自其信贷业务及其庞大的 Core+ 房地产战略。</blockquote></p><p> Assets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>管理资产较上年增长 21%，达到 6,840 亿美元。所谓的永久资本同比攀升 55%，达到 1695 亿美元，因为它不需要很快返还给投资者，因此会产生源源不断的锁定费用。</blockquote></p><p> That figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这一数字将会上升，部分原因是黑石集团上周宣布与保险公司美国国际集团建立全面合作伙伴关系。这家投资公司将管理 AIG 的部分资产，并将支付 22 亿美元收购其人寿保险和退休服务部门 9.9% 的股份。到 2021 年底，这笔交易将使黑石管理的保险资产达到约 1500 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.</p><p><blockquote>“格雷先生在谈到美国国际集团的安排时说：”它确实概括了我们业务的演变。</blockquote></p><p> A decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，十年的低利率和强劲业绩促使该公司超越了投资机构资金的传统重点。</blockquote></p><p> The combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，保险和零售业的综合市场机会价值要高得多。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-earnings-rise-as-growth-strategy-boosts-portfolio-11626951596?mod=hp_lead_pos4\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/blackstone-earnings-rise-as-growth-strategy-boosts-portfolio-11626951596?mod=hp_lead_pos4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151614377","content_text":"The private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion.\n\nBlackstone GroupInc.’sBX1.88%earnings jumped in the second quarter, propelled by record appreciation in the value of its investments.\nThe private-equity firm posted second-quarter net income of $1.31 billion, or $1.82 a share, it said Thursday. That compares with a profit of $568.3 million, or 81 cents a share, a year earlier.\nThe value of Blackstone’s private-equity portfolio climbed by 13.8% in the latest period, exceeding the roughly 8% gain for the S&P 500. Combined fund appreciation across its various business lines was the highest in the history of the firm.\nAiding the strong performance was Blackstone’s recent emphasis on putting money into fast-growing companies. Initial public offerings of outsourcing companyTaskUsInc.and Indian electric-vehicle components manufacturerSona BLW Precision ForgingsLtd.pushed up the firm’s private-equity portfolio, while sales of last-mile logistics properties in the U.S. and Australia helped boost its real-estate holdings.\n\n ‘The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off.’— Jonathan Gray, Blackstone\n\nBlackstone President Jonathan Gray has encouraged the firm’s business heads tothink more thematicallyabout investing, identifying global trends and finding ways to put money to work in areas that would benefit from them. Among these are logistics, software, digital payments and life sciences, areas of the economy that are experiencing outsize growth.\n“The pivot into good neighborhoods has really paid off,” Mr. Gray said in an interview.\nBlackstone’s distributable earnings, or the amount of cash that could be returned to shareholders, came in at $1.07 billion, or 82 cents a share, in the quarter. That compares with $548 million, or 43 cents a share, a year earlier.\nThe firm said it would pay a dividend of 70 cents a share for the quarter, versus 37 cents in the second quarter of 2020.\nBlackstone invested $23.8 billion during the second quarter and committed to an additional $28.5 billion, another record. Among its commitments was a June agreement to partner with rivals Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman & Friedman LLC in adeal for Medline Industries Inc.that values the medical-equipment supplier at more than $30 billion and represents the largest leveraged buyout since the financial crisis.\nBlackstone’s infrastructure business and nontraded real-estate investment trustalso struck a deal to acquiredata-center operator QTS Realty Trust Inc. for $6.7 billion.\nThe firm had inflows of $37.3 billion in the quarter, with much of that coming from its credit business and its giant Core+ real-estate strategy.\nAssets under management rose 21% over the prior year to $684 billion. So-called perpetual capital, which generates a steady stream of locked-in fees because it doesn’t need to be returned to investors as quickly, climbed 55% year-over-year to $169.5 billion.\nThat figure is set to rise, thanks in part to a sweeping partnership Blackstone announced last week with insurance companyAmerican International GroupInc.The investment firm will manage a portion of AIG’s assets and will pay$2.2 billion for a 9.9% stakein its life-insurance and retirement-services unit. The deal is set to push Blackstone’s insurance assets under management to about $150 billion by the end of 2021.\n“It really encapsulates the evolution of our business,” Mr. Gray said of the AIG arrangement.\nA decade of low interest rates and strong performance has prompted the firm to venture beyond its traditional focus on investing institutional money, he said.\nThe combined market opportunity in insurance and retail is worth significantly more, he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176765918,"gmtCreate":1626916706434,"gmtModify":1633769780838,"author":{"id":"3578574228106809","authorId":"3578574228106809","name":"DYDFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/886091e1ab80cf468e97e847ef0f3f9d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578574228106809","authorIdStr":"3578574228106809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"F","listText":"F","text":"F","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176765918","repostId":"2153062824","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}