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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-21
  Will the recent crypto losses affect Coinbase ?
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-21
  I would say the surprising thing that could threaten Tesla's profitability is Elon's antics.[开心]
  Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>
  Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate,
  Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-20
  Exciting!
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-19
  Ok.
  3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测 3 只模因股票将暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>
  Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them del
  3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测 3 只模因股票将暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-18
  Cool!
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-17
  Interesting
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- GainGoodGainGood
  ·2021-06-17
  Nice
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the recent crypto losses affect Coinbase ?","listText":"Will the recent crypto losses affect Coinbase ?","text":"Will the recent crypto losses affect Coinbase ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167433275","repostId":"1164918098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167494201,"gmtCreate":1624281264603,"gmtModify":1634008488553,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I would say the surprising thing that could threaten Tesla's profitability is&nbsp;Elon's antics.[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"I would say the surprising thing that could threaten Tesla's profitability is&nbsp;Elon's antics.[开心]&nbsp;","text":"I would say the surprising thing that could threaten Tesla's profitability is Elon's antics.[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167494201","repostId":"1100861051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100861051","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624280482,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100861051?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100861051","media":"The Street","summary":"Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, ","content":"<p>  Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.  The explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域日益激烈的竞争不仅会抑制特斯拉的增长率，还会减少一个重要的收入来源。电动汽车（EV）需求的爆炸式增长证明了特斯拉的愿景（<b>特斯拉</b>) -获取名人首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的报告。事实上，电动汽车需求的激增不仅证明了他的远见，而且使他的公司仍然是超越后来竞争对手的市场领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管马斯克领导的 Technoking 公司无疑是市场领导者，但它并不仅仅是通过在销售额方面击败竞争对手来获利。相反，该公司最近扭亏为盈的一个关键来自于利用政府激励措施并将其持有的多余激励措施出售给这些完全相同的竞争对手。现在，这些竞争对手中的许多人正在更积极地涉足电动汽车领域，特斯拉可能很快就会发现自己失去了许多这样的客户，因此，其利润也没有一个重要的贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raking in the Regulatory Credits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘监管信用</b></blockquote></p><p> The credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉从中获得丰厚利润的积分是世界各国政府为零排放汽车提供的可交易积分。它们是可交易的这一事实至关重要，因为这使得特斯拉能够将积分出售给其他汽车制造商，如果不使用这些积分，这些汽车制造商可能无法遵守排放标准。这种安排允许特斯拉将积分纯粹作为其营收的附加物来预订，汽车制造商购买这些积分可以避免监管机构的巨额罚款。</blockquote></p><p> Per Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.</p><p><blockquote>根据特斯拉最新的 10-K 文件，该公司在 2020 年从出售这些信用额度中获得了 15.8 亿美元，高于上一年的 5.94 亿美元和 2018 年的 4.19 亿美元。尽管同比有所增长，但考虑到该公司 2020 年 315 亿美元的总收入，赊销销售额似乎微不足道。然而，与资本密集型汽车制造业相比，它们的纯粹利润性质意味着它们一直是特斯拉实现盈利的关键部分。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，特斯拉在 2020 年获得了备受赞誉的 7.21 亿美元利润，这是其历史上第一个盈利的全年，这显然是由于监管信贷销售的激增而高于预期的。如果与前期保持一致，这一具有里程碑意义的一年将无法实现收支平衡，从而延续该公司自成立以来的年度亏损趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.</p><p><blockquote>这一趋势一直持续到 2021 年，该公司报告第一季度信贷销售收入为 5.18 亿美元，这使该公司的季度利润再次达到 4.38 亿美元。虽然汽车交付量一直占据头条新闻，但很明显，监管信贷正在推动这家汽车制造商陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Cuts Into Cash Flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争削减现金流</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford&nbsp;(<b>F</b>) -Get Report, General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特等传统汽车制造商越来越多地进入市场，利润率问题也可能比一些人预期的更快（<b>F</b>）-获取报告，通用汽车公司（<b>通用汽车</b>) -获取报告，Stellantis STLA 进入电动汽车领域。</blockquote></p><p> While much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大部分焦点都集中在这些公司对特斯拉核心汽车销售的威胁上，但特斯拉在其忠实车迷中的受欢迎程度可能会让它在激烈的竞争中得以维持。因此，其销售轨迹虽然现在受到竞争对手的威胁，但目前仍有些模糊。</blockquote></p><p> The question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>监管信用影响的问题要简单得多。如果特斯拉的竞争对手生产自己的电动汽车和更少的内燃机汽车，他们就没有必要花费如此巨资从特斯拉购买积分。</blockquote></p><p> Per a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社报道，菲亚特克莱斯勒同意从 2019 年到 2021 年从特斯拉购买价值 24 亿美元的排放信用额，这可能占特斯拉 2019 年和 2020 年 10-K 文件中出售的约 22 亿美元信用额总额的最大份额。然而，在菲亚特克莱斯勒5月份与法国汽车制造商PSA集团合并成立Stellantis后，这种可靠的收入来源看起来可能会消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis 首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯 (Carlos Tavares) 在合并后对法国媒体表示：“凭借 PSA 为 Stellantis 带来的电气技术，我们最早将在今年自主满足二氧化碳排放法规。”“因此，我们将不再需要看涨期权欧洲二氧化碳信用额，[菲亚特克莱斯勒]也不再需要与特斯拉或任何人合作。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Already Anticipated?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已经预料到了？</b></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，监管信贷销售侵蚀的迫在眉睫的威胁绝不是一个新的发展。首席财务官扎卡里-柯克霍恩（Zachary Kirkhorn）在 2020 年年中与分析师举行的看涨期权上指出：“我们在管理业务时不会假设监管信贷将对未来做出重大贡献。最终，这种情况会减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Kirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>柯克霍恩专注于核心业务，尤其是电池技术方面，而不是监管信贷销售，这得益于特斯拉著名看涨者的想法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”</p><p><blockquote>“Jennison Associates 分析师 Owuraka Koney 说：”我们拥有特斯拉已有十年，从第一天起，我们就预计监管信用将在三年内归零。“他们没有这些监管信用也很舒服，当你排除这些信用和他们面临的这些非经常性成本时，他们就能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Koney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.</p><p><blockquote>科尼认为，埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）为公司近期股价飙升提供的巨额薪酬是这种情况下的一个关键非经常性成本。此外，科尼认为，监管信贷优势与整体盈利能力进行了不公平的比较，他认为这是苹果和橙子的比较。他解释说，更相关的比较是特斯拉的经营利润，按公认会计准则计算，2020 年的经营利润为 19.9 亿美元，比 2019 年的数字增加了 20 多亿美元。在他看来，这一飞跃表明的实力比仅仅通过监管信贷优势实现的实力更大。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Dovororany, VP of Automotive &amp; Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.</p><p><blockquote>市场研究公司 Escalent 的汽车与移动性副总裁 Mike Dovorany 赞同 Koney 的乐观观点，重申精明的投资者都清楚监管信用消退的风险，并进一步指出，现任美国政府实际上可能会帮助特斯拉利用监管的能力。</blockquote></p><p> “Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”</p><p><blockquote>“他解释说：”由于赊销一直是特斯拉盈利的主要驱动力，投资者应该对这种风险非常熟悉。“此外，随着拜登政府寻求重新考虑更严格的排放法规，电动汽车信贷市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加重要”。</blockquote></p><p> With the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>随着政府现在提议在《美国就业法案》之外对电动汽车市场投资1740亿美元，包括新的税收抵免，当然有足够的理由感到兴奋。鉴于特斯拉有能力利用这些激励措施，当最终法案提交给拜登时，值得关注的是最终法案会带来什么，以及它是否可能意味着为特斯拉带来更大的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s Profitability and the Surprising Thing That Could Threaten It<blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力以及可能威胁它的令人惊讶的事情</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 21:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.  The explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域日益激烈的竞争不仅会抑制特斯拉的增长率，还会减少一个重要的收入来源。电动汽车（EV）需求的爆炸式增长证明了特斯拉的愿景（<b>特斯拉</b>) -获取名人首席执行官埃隆·马斯克的报告。事实上，电动汽车需求的激增不仅证明了他的远见，而且使他的公司仍然是超越后来竞争对手的市场领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管马斯克领导的 Technoking 公司无疑是市场领导者，但它并不仅仅是通过在销售额方面击败竞争对手来获利。相反，该公司最近扭亏为盈的一个关键来自于利用政府激励措施并将其持有的多余激励措施出售给这些完全相同的竞争对手。现在，这些竞争对手中的许多人正在更积极地涉足电动汽车领域，特斯拉可能很快就会发现自己失去了许多这样的客户，因此，其利润也没有一个重要的贡献者。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Raking in the Regulatory Credits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>挖掘监管信用</b></blockquote></p><p> The credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉从中获得丰厚利润的积分是世界各国政府为零排放汽车提供的可交易积分。它们是可交易的这一事实至关重要，因为这使得特斯拉能够将积分出售给其他汽车制造商，如果不使用这些积分，这些汽车制造商可能无法遵守排放标准。这种安排允许特斯拉将积分纯粹作为其营收的附加物来预订，汽车制造商购买这些积分可以避免监管机构的巨额罚款。</blockquote></p><p> Per Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.</p><p><blockquote>根据特斯拉最新的 10-K 文件，该公司在 2020 年从出售这些信用额度中获得了 15.8 亿美元，高于上一年的 5.94 亿美元和 2018 年的 4.19 亿美元。尽管同比有所增长，但考虑到该公司 2020 年 315 亿美元的总收入，赊销销售额似乎微不足道。然而，与资本密集型汽车制造业相比，它们的纯粹利润性质意味着它们一直是特斯拉实现盈利的关键部分。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，特斯拉在 2020 年获得了备受赞誉的 7.21 亿美元利润，这是其历史上第一个盈利的全年，这显然是由于监管信贷销售的激增而高于预期的。如果与前期保持一致，这一具有里程碑意义的一年将无法实现收支平衡，从而延续该公司自成立以来的年度亏损趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.</p><p><blockquote>这一趋势一直持续到 2021 年，该公司报告第一季度信贷销售收入为 5.18 亿美元，这使该公司的季度利润再次达到 4.38 亿美元。虽然汽车交付量一直占据头条新闻，但很明显，监管信贷正在推动这家汽车制造商陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Cuts Into Cash Flow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争削减现金流</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford&nbsp;(<b>F</b>) -Get Report, General Motors&nbsp;(<b>GM</b>) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特等传统汽车制造商越来越多地进入市场，利润率问题也可能比一些人预期的更快（<b>F</b>）-获取报告，通用汽车公司（<b>通用汽车</b>) -获取报告，Stellantis STLA 进入电动汽车领域。</blockquote></p><p> While much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大部分焦点都集中在这些公司对特斯拉核心汽车销售的威胁上，但特斯拉在其忠实车迷中的受欢迎程度可能会让它在激烈的竞争中得以维持。因此，其销售轨迹虽然现在受到竞争对手的威胁，但目前仍有些模糊。</blockquote></p><p> The question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>监管信用影响的问题要简单得多。如果特斯拉的竞争对手生产自己的电动汽车和更少的内燃机汽车，他们就没有必要花费如此巨资从特斯拉购买积分。</blockquote></p><p> Per a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.</p><p><blockquote>据路透社报道，菲亚特克莱斯勒同意从 2019 年到 2021 年从特斯拉购买价值 24 亿美元的排放信用额，这可能占特斯拉 2019 年和 2020 年 10-K 文件中出售的约 22 亿美元信用额总额的最大份额。然而，在菲亚特克莱斯勒5月份与法国汽车制造商PSA集团合并成立Stellantis后，这种可靠的收入来源看起来可能会消失。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis 首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯 (Carlos Tavares) 在合并后对法国媒体表示：“凭借 PSA 为 Stellantis 带来的电气技术，我们最早将在今年自主满足二氧化碳排放法规。”“因此，我们将不再需要看涨期权欧洲二氧化碳信用额，[菲亚特克莱斯勒]也不再需要与特斯拉或任何人合作。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Already Anticipated?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>已经预料到了？</b></blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，监管信贷销售侵蚀的迫在眉睫的威胁绝不是一个新的发展。首席财务官扎卡里-柯克霍恩（Zachary Kirkhorn）在 2020 年年中与分析师举行的看涨期权上指出：“我们在管理业务时不会假设监管信贷将对未来做出重大贡献。最终，这种情况会减少。”</blockquote></p><p> Kirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.</p><p><blockquote>柯克霍恩专注于核心业务，尤其是电池技术方面，而不是监管信贷销售，这得益于特斯拉著名看涨者的想法。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”</p><p><blockquote>“Jennison Associates 分析师 Owuraka Koney 说：”我们拥有特斯拉已有十年，从第一天起，我们就预计监管信用将在三年内归零。“他们没有这些监管信用也很舒服，当你排除这些信用和他们面临的这些非经常性成本时，他们就能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Koney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.</p><p><blockquote>科尼认为，埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）为公司近期股价飙升提供的巨额薪酬是这种情况下的一个关键非经常性成本。此外，科尼认为，监管信贷优势与整体盈利能力进行了不公平的比较，他认为这是苹果和橙子的比较。他解释说，更相关的比较是特斯拉的经营利润，按公认会计准则计算，2020 年的经营利润为 19.9 亿美元，比 2019 年的数字增加了 20 多亿美元。在他看来，这一飞跃表明的实力比仅仅通过监管信贷优势实现的实力更大。</blockquote></p><p> Mike Dovororany, VP of Automotive &amp; Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.</p><p><blockquote>市场研究公司 Escalent 的汽车与移动性副总裁 Mike Dovorany 赞同 Koney 的乐观观点，重申精明的投资者都清楚监管信用消退的风险，并进一步指出，现任美国政府实际上可能会帮助特斯拉利用监管的能力。</blockquote></p><p> “Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”</p><p><blockquote>“他解释说：”由于赊销一直是特斯拉盈利的主要驱动力，投资者应该对这种风险非常熟悉。“此外，随着拜登政府寻求重新考虑更严格的排放法规，电动汽车信贷市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加重要”。</blockquote></p><p> With the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>随着政府现在提议在《美国就业法案》之外对电动汽车市场投资1740亿美元，包括新的税收抵免，当然有足够的理由感到兴奋。鉴于特斯拉有能力利用这些激励措施，当最终法案提交给拜登时，值得关注的是最终法案会带来什么，以及它是否可能意味着为特斯拉带来更大的利润。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/surprising-thing-that-could-threaten-teslas-profitability\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/surprising-thing-that-could-threaten-teslas-profitability","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100861051","content_text":"Rising competition in the electric vehicle space could not only put a crimp in Tesla’s growth rate, but diminish a big source of income as well.\n\nThe explosion in electric vehicle (EV) demand has served to vindicate the vision of Tesla’s (TSLA) -Get Report celebrity CEO Elon Musk. Indeed, the surge in demand for EVs has not only vindicated his foresight, but allowed his company to remain a market leader above late-coming competitors.\nHowever, while the company Musk leads as Technoking is no doubt a market leader, it has not solely cashed in by beating its competitors in terms of sales. Instead, a key to the company's recent turn to profitability has come from taking advantage of government incentives and selling the excess incentives it holds to these very same competitors. And now that many of these competitors are engaging more aggressively in EVs themselves, Tesla may soon find itself without many of these customers and, therefore, without a significant contributor to its profits.\nRaking in the Regulatory Credits\nThe credits that Tesla has handsomely profited from are tradable credits offered by various governments around the world for zero-emission vehicles. The fact that they are tradable is crucial since this allows Tesla to sell the credits to other automakers who might not otherwise comply with emission standards without the use of these credits. The set-up allows Tesla to book the credits as purely additive to its top line, with the automakers buying these credits avoiding hefty fines from regulators.\nPer Tesla’s most recent 10-K filing, the company earned $1.58 billion from the sale of these credits in 2020, up from $594 million in the year prior and $419 million in 2018. The year-over -year jump notwithstanding, the credit sales might appear to be a paltry sum given the company’s $31.5 billion in total revenue in 2020. However, their nature as purely profit, in contrast to capital intensive auto manufacturing, means they have been a pivotal part of Tesla’s push towards profitability.\nIndeed, Tesla’s much-lauded $721 million profit in 2020, the very first profitable full year in its history, was clearly boosted over the top by the surge in regulatory credit sales. Had they remained consistent with the prior periods, the landmark year would have been left short of break-even, keeping up the company's trend of annual losses maintained since its inception.\nThe trend has continued into 2021 as the company reported $518 million in revenues from credit salesin the first quarter, which boosted the company once again to a $438-million quarterly profit. While vehicle deliveries consistently catch the headlines, it's clear that the regulatory credits are buoying the automaker into the black.\nCompetition Cuts Into Cash Flow\nThe problem with the profit margin may be approaching faster than some have anticipated as well, with the increased entry of traditional automakers like Ford (F) -Get Report, General Motors (GM) -Get Report, and Stellantis STLA into the EV space.\nWhile much of the focus revolves around these companies’ threat to Tesla’s core auto sales, the popularity of Tesla among its devoted fans might sustain it amidst the hard-charging competition. As such, the trajectory of its sales, while now threatened by competent competition, remains somewhat murky at the moment.\nThe question of regulatory credit impact is much more straightforward. If Tesla’s competitors are producing their own electric vehicles and fewer ICE autos, they have no need to spend so substantially on buying credits from Tesla.\nPer a Reuters report, Fiat Chrysler agreed to purchase $2.4 billion worth of emissions credits from Tesla from 2019 through 2021, likely accounting for a lion’s share of the roughly $2.2 billion recorded in total in credits sold in Tesla’s 2019 and 2020 10-K filings. However, after Fiat Chrysler merged with French automaker PSA Group in May to form Stellantis, this reliable revenue stream looks likely to fade.\n\"With the electrical technology that PSA brought to Stellantis, we will autonomously meet carbon dioxide emission regulations as early as this year,\" Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares told French media after the merger. \"Thus, we will not need to call on European CO2 credits and [Fiat Chrysler] will no longer have to pool with Tesla or anyone.\"\nAlready Anticipated?\nTo be sure, the looming threat of regulatory credit sales eroding is by no means a novel development. CFO Zachary Kirkhorn noted in a call with analysts in mid-2020 that “we don’t manage the business with the assumption that regulatory credits will contribute significantly to the future. Eventually this will reduce.”\nKirkhorn’s focus on the core business, especially in terms of battery technology, rather than the regulatory credit sales, is bolstered by the thoughts of prominent Tesla bulls.\n“We have owned Tesla for a decade and from day one we expected regulatory credits to go to zero within three years,” Jennison Associates analyst Owuraka Koney said. “They are comfortable without these regulatory credits and they make money when you exclude these credits and these non-recurring costs that they face.”\nKoney cited Elon Musk’smassive compensation packagetied to the company's recent stock surges as a key non-recurring cost in this context. Further, Koney argued that the regulatory credit benefits are being unfairly compared to overall profitability, which he sees as an apples-and-oranges comparison. He explained that the more relevant comparison is to Tesla’s operating income, which was $1.99 billion on a GAAP basis in 2020, up over $2 billion from the figure in 2019. The leap suggests strength greater than that simply achieved via the regulatory credit benefit, in his view.\nMike Dovororany, VP of Automotive & Mobility at market research firm Escalent, seconded the rosier view held by Koney, reiterating that the risk of regulatory credits fading is well understood by savvy investors, and further that the current U.S. administration might actually aid Tesla’s ability to capitalize on regulation.\n“Because credit sales have always been the main driver behind Tesla’s profitability, investors should be well-accustomed to this risk,” he explained. “Also, as the Biden Administration looks to reconsider stricter emissions regulations, the EV credit market could become more important than ever.”\nWith the administration now proposing a $174-billion investment in the electric vehicle market aspart of the American Jobs Act, including new tax credits, there is certainly ample reason to be excited. Given Tesla's ability to capitalize on these incentives, it will be worth watching what the final bill entails when it crosses Biden's desk and whether it might mean lead to more big profits for Tesla.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":164087176,"gmtCreate":1624161715595,"gmtModify":1634009995732,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Exciting!","listText":"Exciting!","text":"Exciting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164087176","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165832302,"gmtCreate":1624114188606,"gmtModify":1634010582253,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok.","listText":"Ok.","text":"Ok.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165832302","repostId":"1166679093","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166679093","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624065234,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1166679093?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-19 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测 3 只模因股票将暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166679093","media":"fool","summary":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them del","content":"<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票一直风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可能会下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的在线狂热不会持续。以下是华尔街认为未来 12 个月内将暴跌 20% 以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近 2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的 90%。即使是 Refinitiv 调查的最乐观的分析师也对 AMC 的目标价比当前股价低 70% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在好转吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC 可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远领先于其业务前景。该股的交易价格比 COVID-19 大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，它看起来像<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将 AMC 推到最热门的模因股票一边。散户投资者将三叶草视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨势不会持续。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health 的估值似乎确实失控了。该医疗保健股票目前的交易价格是过去 12 个月销售额的 170 多倍。这是一个令人鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health 今年仍有可能实现更好的财务业绩。该公司希望通过瞄准最初的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员数量。除了目前的 Medicare Advantage 业务之外，这代表着一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷生长器</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷生长器</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票中最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过 520%，然后回吐了大部分涨幅。然而，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻股可能会进一步下跌。Sundial 的一致目标价较其当前股价折扣 23%。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能会下跌 55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对 Sundial 的核心大麻业务感到悲观。2021年第一季度，该公司的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管 Sundial 正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial 的商业交易可能会让投资者有理由乐观。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司在第一季度公布了正调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润 (EBITDA)。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial 用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，而不得不采取孤注一掷的措施来维持其上市<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测 3 只模因股票将暴跌超过 20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Meme Stocks Wall Street Predicts Will Plunge More Than 20%<blockquote>华尔街预测 3 只模因股票将暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-19 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，模因股票一直风靡一时。这是可以理解的，其中一些公司实现了三位数甚至四位数的百分比增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>然而，上升的可能会下降。分析师预计，推动一些最受欢迎股票大幅上涨的在线狂热不会持续。以下是华尔街认为未来 12 个月内将暴跌 20% 以上的三只模因股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）被评为所有模因股票中表现最好的。今年迄今为止，这家电影院运营商的股价已飙升近 2,500%。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师的共识是，该股可能会损失当前价值的 90%。即使是 Refinitiv 调查的最乐观的分析师也对 AMC 的目标价比当前股价低 70% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> But isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.</p><p><blockquote>但AMC的业务不是在好转吗？是的。限制的放松使该公司能够重新开放99%的美国影院。随着州和地方政府施加的座位容量限制的提高，AMC 可能会受益。今年夏天和今年晚些时候上映的多部可能会大受欢迎的电影也会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> However, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>然而，华尔街显然认为AMC的股价已经远远领先于其业务前景。该股的交易价格比 COVID-19 大流行之前高出近八倍。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health Investments</p><p><blockquote>三叶草健康投资</blockquote></p><p> Only a few days ago, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Clover Health Investments</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.</p><p><blockquote>就在几天前，它看起来像<b>三叶草健康投资</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）可能会将 AMC 推到最热门的模因股票一边。散户投资者将三叶草视为主要的空头挤压候选者。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>自6月初以来，Clover Health的股价已上涨超过65%。然而，分析师预计这些涨势不会持续。该股的平均目标价比当前股价低25%。</blockquote></p><p> Clover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Clover Health 的估值似乎确实失控了。该医疗保健股票目前的交易价格是过去 12 个月销售额的 170 多倍。这是一个令人鼻血的水平，特别是考虑到该公司是美国调查的对象。司法部和证券交易委员会。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Clover Health 今年仍有可能实现更好的财务业绩。该公司希望通过瞄准最初的医疗保险计划来大幅增加其会员数量。除了目前的 Medicare Advantage 业务之外，这代表着一个重大的新市场机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial Growers</p><p><blockquote>日晷生长器</blockquote></p><p> At one point earlier this year,&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，<b>日晷生长器</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：SNDL）似乎是成为模因股票中最大赢家的合法竞争者。加拿大大麻股票今年迄今已上涨超过 520%，然后回吐了大部分涨幅。然而，Sundial的股价在2021年仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计大麻股可能会进一步下跌。Sundial 的一致目标价较其当前股价折扣 23%。一位分析师甚至认为该股可能会下跌 55%。</blockquote></p><p> There certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.</p><p><blockquote>当然有理由对 Sundial 的核心大麻业务感到悲观。2021年第一季度，该公司的大麻净收入同比下降。尽管 Sundial 正在采取措施，希望能够扭转局面，但这些努力是否会成功还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Sundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.</p><p><blockquote>Sundial 的商业交易可能会让投资者有理由乐观。毕竟，由于其投资，该公司在第一季度公布了正调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润 (EBITDA)。</blockquote></p><p> However, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq</b>&nbsp;stock exchange.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Sundial 用于进行这些投资的现金是以其股票进一步稀释为代价的。该公司无法承受任何额外的稀释，而不得不采取孤注一掷的措施来维持其上市<b>纳斯达克</b>证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/18/3-meme-stocks-wall-street-predicts-will-plunge-mor/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166679093","content_text":"Meme stocks have been all the rage so far this year. That's understandable, with several of them delivering triple-digit and even four-digit percentage gains.\nHowever, what goes up can come down. Analysts don't expect the online frenzy fueling the ginormous jumps for some of the most popular stocks will be sustainable. Here are three meme stocks that Wall Street thinks will plunge by more than 20% within the next 12 months.\nAMC Entertainment\nAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC)ranks as the best-performing meme stock of all. Shares of the movie theater operator have skyrocketed close to 2,500% year to date.\nThe consensus among analysts, though, is that the stock could lose 90% of its current value. Even the most optimistic analyst surveyed by Refinitiv has a price target for AMC that's more than 70% below the current share price.\nBut isn't AMC's business picking up? Yep. The easing of restrictions has enabled the company to reopen 99% of its U.S. theaters. AMC could benefit as seating capacity limitations imposed by state and local governments are raised. Thereleases of multiple movies this summerand later this year that are likely to be hits should also help.\nHowever, Wall Street clearly believes that AMC's share price has gotten way ahead of its business prospects. The stock is trading at nearly eight times higher than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic.\nClover Health Investments\nOnly a few days ago, it looked like Clover Health Investments(NASDAQ:CLOV)might push AMC to the side as the hottest meme stock. Retail investors viewed Clover as a primeshort squeezecandidate.\nSince the beginning of June, shares of Clover Health have jumped more than 65%. Analysts, however, don't expect those gains to last. The average price target for the stock is 25% below the current share price.\nClover Health's valuation does seem to have gotten out of hand. The healthcare stock currently trades at more than 170 times trailing-12-month sales. That's a nosebleed level, especially considering that the company is the subject of investigations by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission.\nStill, Clover Health could deliver improving financial results this year. The company hopes to significantly increase its membership by targeting the original Medicare program. This represents a major new market opportunity in addition to its current Medicare Advantage business.\nSundial Growers\nAt one point earlier this year, Sundial Growers(NASDAQ:SNDL)appeared to be a legitimate contender to become the biggest winner among meme stocks. The Canadian marijuana stock vaulted more than 520% higher year to date before giving up much of its gains. However, Sundial's share price has still more than doubled in 2021.\nAnalysts anticipate that the pot stock could fall even further. The consensus price target for Sundial reflects a 23% discount to its current share price. One analyst even thinks the stock could sink 55%.\nThere certainly are reasons to be pessimistic about Sundial's core cannabis business. The company's net cannabis revenue fell year over year in the first quarter of 2021. Although Sundial is taking steps that it hopes will turn things around, it remains to be seen if those efforts will succeed.\nSundial's business deals could give investors reasons for optimism. After all, the company posted positive adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in Q1 due to its investments.\nHowever, the cash that Sundial is using to make these investments has come at the cost of increased dilution of its stock. The company can't afford any additional dilution without having to resort to desperate measures to keep its listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNDL":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166496016,"gmtCreate":1624021292335,"gmtModify":1634024015042,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool!","listText":"Cool!","text":"Cool!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166496016","repostId":"2144250776","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163165953,"gmtCreate":1623863147972,"gmtModify":1634026786465,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163165953","repostId":"2143978737","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163184627,"gmtCreate":1623862796669,"gmtModify":1634026794315,"author":{"id":"3577761588056789","authorId":"3577761588056789","name":"GainGood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0c3fa26146f663a7eb1dd904d6c7f1f","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577761588056789","idStr":"3577761588056789"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163184627","repostId":"2143792023","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}