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Hihydro
Hihydro
·
2021-12-16
$Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-18
Wow!
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-17
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-16
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-15
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-14
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-13
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-13
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-06
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Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>
Summary Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my "Take Profits" article was publishe
Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>
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Hihydro
Hihydro
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2021-06-03
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AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares<blockquote>AMC院线控股公司拟出售最多 1155 万股股票</blockquote>
AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s
AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares<blockquote>AMC院线控股公司拟出售最多 1155 万股股票</blockquote>
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","text":"Likes & Comments please!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115660924","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li> <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li> <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li> <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The <b>Zillow Group</b> (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that <b>will be down considerably</b> from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March <i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering <b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary & Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li> <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li> <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li> <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The <b>Zillow Group</b> (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that <b>will be down considerably</b> from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March <i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering <b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary & Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118115464,"gmtCreate":1622723268158,"gmtModify":1634098756140,"author":{"id":"3577586719085224","authorId":"3577586719085224","name":"Hihydro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d43b82b9b50b35f7e878602f8c9befa6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577586719085224","authorIdStr":"3577586719085224"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Likes & comments! ","listText":"Likes & comments! ","text":"Likes & comments!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118115464","repostId":"2140542610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2140542610","kind":"live","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622718376,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2140542610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares<blockquote>AMC院线控股公司拟出售最多 1155 万股股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2140542610","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment s","content":"<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><blockquote>新股出售公告后，AMC 暴跌 10%，抹去了 20% 的盘前涨幅。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布出售股票后，AMC院线股价抹去了 20% 的涨幅，并在周四盘前交易中暴跌两位数。</blockquote></p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p><blockquote>meme 股票在周四早些时候开盘前飙升超过 20% 后，最后下跌 10%。</blockquote></p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 在一份监管文件中表示，它可能会不时发行和出售最多 1155 万股 A 类普通股。</blockquote></p><p>The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>此前，AMC 在周三常规交易时段飙升 95%，收于 62.55 美元的历史新高。FactSet 数据显示，其之前的收盘纪录为 35.86 美元，是在 2015 年创下的。</blockquote></p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 的股价飙升，盘中创下 72.62 美元的高点，远高于之前创下的 36.72 美元的盘中纪录。</blockquote></p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p><blockquote>一月份游戏驿站等模因股票也出现了类似的情况，挑衅的卖空者在过去一个月增加了对 AMC 股票的押注，这可能会推动股价走高。据 S3 Partners 称，截至周三，约 18% 的可供交易的 AMC 股票仍被卖空。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p><blockquote>据 S3 称，周三，随着该股飙升，卖空者损失了 28 亿美元。据 S3 称，这使得他们今年迄今为止的亏损超过 50 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金等卖空者从投资银行借款股票并出售，希望以较低的价格回购并归还股票，将差价收入囊中。然而，当股票飙升时，可能会发生所谓的空头挤压，投资者被迫回购股票以减少损失。</blockquote></p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p><blockquote>由于股价一度上涨超过 100%，周三交易多次暂停。截至当天收盘，超过7.1亿股股票易手。这几乎是 AMC 流通股数量的两倍。该公司 30 天的平均成交量仅为 1.43 亿股。</blockquote></p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者--许多人活跃在 Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛上--引领了 AMC 的涨势，AMC 的高管也注意到了这一点。周三，该公司宣布推出一个与个人投资者联系的新门户网站，并向持有其股票的人提供免费爆米花、独家放映和其他福利。</blockquote></p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通指出，上周进入AMC的零售订单量跃升至5.83亿美元，比过去一年的平均水平高出6.9个标准差。根据他们的量化策略，这种不平衡可能会导致该股在未来几周内表现出色。</blockquote></p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，AMC 股价已上涨 2850%，市值超过 310 亿美元。这使得它比达美航空、道富银行和百思买等股票更有价值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，一家投资公司出售了其在该公司的股份，但周三的交易活动依然猖獗。周二，AMC 透露，它向 Mudrick Capital 出售了 850 万股新发行的股票，这是该股一系列融资中的最新一笔。据彭博新闻社报道，该对冲基金后来在同一天出售了其所有 AMC 股票以获利。</blockquote></p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>大多数华尔街分析师认为 AMC 股价最终将暴跌。FactSet 的数据显示，分析师 12 个月平均目标价为 5.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares<blockquote>AMC院线控股公司拟出售最多 1155 万股股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Files To Sell Up To 11.55Mln Shares<blockquote>AMC院线控股公司拟出售最多 1155 万股股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-03 19:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.</p><p><blockquote>新股出售公告后，AMC 暴跌 10%，抹去了 20% 的盘前涨幅。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df04643ab4f4847afdb5d9d3285e25fa\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布出售股票后，AMC院线股价抹去了 20% 的涨幅，并在周四盘前交易中暴跌两位数。</blockquote></p><p>The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.</p><p><blockquote>meme 股票在周四早些时候开盘前飙升超过 20% 后，最后下跌 10%。</blockquote></p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 在一份监管文件中表示，它可能会不时发行和出售最多 1155 万股 A 类普通股。</blockquote></p><p>The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>此前，AMC 在周三常规交易时段飙升 95%，收于 62.55 美元的历史新高。FactSet 数据显示，其之前的收盘纪录为 35.86 美元，是在 2015 年创下的。</blockquote></p><p>AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 的股价飙升，盘中创下 72.62 美元的高点，远高于之前创下的 36.72 美元的盘中纪录。</blockquote></p><p>In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.</p><p><blockquote>一月份游戏驿站等模因股票也出现了类似的情况，挑衅的卖空者在过去一个月增加了对 AMC 股票的押注，这可能会推动股价走高。据 S3 Partners 称，截至周三，约 18% 的可供交易的 AMC 股票仍被卖空。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.</p><p><blockquote>据 S3 称，周三，随着该股飙升，卖空者损失了 28 亿美元。据 S3 称，这使得他们今年迄今为止的亏损超过 50 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.</p><p><blockquote>对冲基金等卖空者从投资银行借款股票并出售，希望以较低的价格回购并归还股票，将差价收入囊中。然而，当股票飙升时，可能会发生所谓的空头挤压，投资者被迫回购股票以减少损失。</blockquote></p><p>Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.</p><p><blockquote>由于股价一度上涨超过 100%，周三交易多次暂停。截至当天收盘，超过7.1亿股股票易手。这几乎是 AMC 流通股数量的两倍。该公司 30 天的平均成交量仅为 1.43 亿股。</blockquote></p><p>Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者--许多人活跃在 Reddit 的 WallStreetBets 论坛上--引领了 AMC 的涨势，AMC 的高管也注意到了这一点。周三，该公司宣布推出一个与个人投资者联系的新门户网站，并向持有其股票的人提供免费爆米花、独家放映和其他福利。</blockquote></p><p>JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通指出，上周进入AMC的零售订单量跃升至5.83亿美元，比过去一年的平均水平高出6.9个标准差。根据他们的量化策略，这种不平衡可能会导致该股在未来几周内表现出色。</blockquote></p><p>AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，AMC 股价已上涨 2850%，市值超过 310 亿美元。这使得它比达美航空、道富银行和百思买等股票更有价值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，一家投资公司出售了其在该公司的股份，但周三的交易活动依然猖獗。周二，AMC 透露，它向 Mudrick Capital 出售了 850 万股新发行的股票，这是该股一系列融资中的最新一笔。据彭博新闻社报道，该对冲基金后来在同一天出售了其所有 AMC 股票以获利。</blockquote></p><p>Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>大多数华尔街分析师认为 AMC 股价最终将暴跌。FactSet 的数据显示，分析师 12 个月平均目标价为 5.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2140542610","content_text":"AMC tumbles 10% after new stock sale announcement, wipes out 20% premarket rally.AMC Entertainment shares erased a 20% rally and plunged double digits in premarket trading on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.The meme stock last traded down 10% after soaring more than 20% earlier Thursday before markets opened.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.AMC’s stock spiked as it hit an intraday high of $72.62, well above its previous intraday record of $36.72.In a similar occurrence seen in January with the meme stocks like GameStop, defiant short-sellers have increased their bets against AMC shares over the last month, possibly fueling the move higher. About 18% of the AMC shares available for trading are still sold short through Wednesday, according to S3 Partners.On Wednesday, short-sellers lost $2.8 billion as the stock surged, according to S3. That brings their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3.Short sellers like hedge funds borrow the stock from an investment bank and sell it in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price and returning the shares, pocketing the difference. However, when a stock surges higher, a so-called short squeeze can occur where investors are forced to buy back the stock to cut their losses.Trading was halted several times Wednesday as shares were up more than 100% at one point. At the end of the day, more than 710 million shares exchanged hands. That’s nearly double the number of AMC’s shares outstanding. The company’s 30-day average volume is just 143 million shares.Retail investors — many active on Reddit’s WallStreetBets forum — led the AMC rally, and AMC executives have taken note. On Wednesday, the company announced a new portal to connect with individual investors and offered free popcorn, exclusive screenings and other perks to those who hold its stock.JPMorgan noted that in the last week, retail order flow into AMC jumped to $583 million, 6.9 standard deviations above the average level of the last one year. According to their quantitative strategy, this kind of imbalance can lead to more outperformance by the stock in coming weeks.AMC shares are up 2850% so far this year, bringing its market capitalization to more than $31 billion. That makes it worth more than stocks like Delta Air Lines, State Street and Best Buy.Wednesday’s wild trading activity comes even after an investment firm reportedly sold off its stake in the company. On Tuesday, AMC revealed it sold 8.5 million newly issued shares to Mudrick Capital, the latest in a series of capital raises for the stock. The hedge fund later sold all of its AMC stock for a profitthat same day, according to Bloomberg News.Most Wall Street analysts believe AMC shares will plummet eventually. The average 12-month target price of analysts is $5.11, according to FactSet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}