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虎虎生威
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-12-20
老虎呀老虎，你还好吗？[安慰]
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编组 21备份 2
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-11-05
$凤凰新媒体(FENG)$
我不卖，它不冲；我一卖，它就冲[无语]
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-24
[惊讶]
大揭秘：今晚Windows 11来袭！我们能看到哪些更新
被微软CEO纳德拉称之为Windows十年来“最重要的更新”即将到来。
大揭秘：今晚Windows 11来袭！我们能看到哪些更新
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编组 21备份 2
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-20
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
降息？那只是个美丽的误会
国元证券分析表示，在报价方式改变后，不同期限存款利率升降不一；当前环境下，货币政策宽松概率很低，若通胀下半年继续超预期，货币政策可能不松反紧。 编者注：此前券商中国报道称，多家银行向分行下发了调整
降息？那只是个美丽的误会
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编组 21备份 2
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-18
[微笑]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-17
加油
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-15
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-14
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-14
说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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J_CHS
J_CHS
·
2021-06-12
[比心]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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","listText":"老虎呀老虎，你还好吗？[安慰] ","text":"老虎呀老虎，你还好吗？[安慰]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693844885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842954371,"gmtCreate":1636127254149,"gmtModify":1636127259594,"author":{"id":"3577270152274062","authorId":"3577270152274062","name":"J_CHS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d26f0a1bfa759e8ca256e9739b27bedd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577270152274062","idStr":"3577270152274062"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FENG\">$凤凰新媒体(FENG)$</a>我不卖，它不冲；我一卖，它就冲[无语] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FENG\">$凤凰新媒体(FENG)$</a>我不卖，它不冲；我一卖，它就冲[无语] ","text":"$凤凰新媒体(FENG)$我不卖，它不冲；我一卖，它就冲[无语]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842954371","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126943760,"gmtCreate":1624543112950,"gmtModify":1634004634116,"author":{"id":"3577270152274062","authorId":"3577270152274062","name":"J_CHS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d26f0a1bfa759e8ca256e9739b27bedd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577270152274062","idStr":"3577270152274062"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[惊讶] ","listText":"[惊讶] ","text":"[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126943760","repostId":"1121154040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121154040","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624539354,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121154040?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 20:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大揭秘：今晚Windows 11来袭！我们能看到哪些更新","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121154040","media":"腾讯科技","summary":"被微软CEO纳德拉称之为Windows十年来“最重要的更新”即将到来。","content":"<p>北京时间6月24日晚11点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>将召开一场新品发布会，被微软CEO纳德拉称之为Windows十年来“最重要的更新”即将到来。</p>\n<p>尽管微软并没有在任何的公开场合确认过即将发布的新品，但因为6月16日Windows 11开发版本的重大泄露，让这件事变得没有那么神秘了。Windows 11将会成为今晚发布会的主角，而微软口中Windows十年最重要的更新，也已经在发布会之前就全方位的展示给我们了。</p>\n<p>但关于这场发布会，也不能说完全没有看点，其中还有一些细节值得我们关注。</p>\n<p><b>Windows 11在触摸和手势上能有何改善？</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bd9316044d53f9972729e9b791817e4\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"421\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>很多人在体验过Windows 11的开发版本之后，发现这个所谓的“大版本”和之前的Windows 10相比，除了在界面上进行了一些设计调整，让它更贴合微软Fluent Design设计语言外，并让没有非常明显的功能性改进。</p>\n<p>甚至有的用户在体验完Windows 11开发版之后，给它了一个Windows 10皮肤的定位。</p>\n<p>从一定程度上讲，Windows 11确实不如之前从Win8转Win10时，设计改进巨大。但实际上如果你了解之前微软在Windows上的设计演进外，你会发现当下这个版本Windows 11实际上和已经被微软砍掉的Windows 10X有着极为相似的设计。</p>\n<p>包括“开始菜单居中、同屏多任务布局”等等在Windows 11开发版上出现的功能，原来都是Windows 10X的标配。</p>\n<p>所以目前泄露的Windows 11，更像是之前Windows 10X的迭代版本。但由于10X是微软为触摸双屏幕打造的产品，因此Windows 11将会在系统上增加哪些支持触摸操作的特性，将会成为今晚发布会上重要的看点。</p>\n<p>微软方面已经确认，正计划为未来的Windows版本 “创新和开发令人兴奋的传感器技术”。作为Windows 11或即将到来的Windows更新的一部分，“用户存在检测”、手势检测和环境光等流行功能将得到改进，以 “实现Windows上令人眼花缭乱的用户体验”。</p>\n<p>这意味着微软希望通过新的Windows 11来实现桌面和移动端的融合，尽管微软目前的手机项目基本上处于半放弃状态，但Surface依然需要触摸操作来实现在更多使用场景下的出色体验，因此Windows 11在触摸和手势上的改进，非常重要。</p>\n<p><b>全新的Windows App Store？</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f95bc54f95bce56f6cd39680c5670f5e\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"410\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>尽管MacOS的App Store存在感也不强，但是相比之下，Windows 10目前提供的应用商店显得更加鸡肋。</p>\n<p>不过这件事可能会在今晚到来的Windows 11上大为改善。</p>\n<p>据媒体报道，微软一直在开发一个全新的应用商店，它更加的海纳百川也更加的自由。微软计划在新的应用商店中引入更多的开发者，比如Chorme或者Firefox这样的应用，未来都可以在微软应用商店进行下载。</p>\n<p>另外一个重大的改进，将会是支付机制上。微软或许将在新的应用商店中允许开发者绕过微软的支付机制，通过第三方的支付机制实现App内付款，以换得减免15%的微软抽成。</p>\n<p>如果这件事在今天晚上的发布会上成真，请别惊讶，毕竟微软现在正和Epic统一战线，以抵制<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>App Store高昂的“苹果税”。此举可能会影响到未来几年内，微软、苹果、Google这样的大公司，在应用服务上的收费方式重新洗牌。</p>\n<p>微软最近也宣布了将自家App Store中上架游戏的购买抽成从之前的30%降到12%，这大幅的优惠，让Steam这样的应用商店倍感压力。</p>\n<p><b>Windows 11将重点提升专业用户的使用感受？</b></p>\n<p>Windows作为全球最大的桌面操作系统，其专业能力其实一直被很多人忽视。而在此次Windows 11开发版中，我们其实看到了微软对于一些专业用户的优化改进。</p>\n<p>微软在新的Windows 11中，改善了多桌面之间切换的显示方式，同时对于多显示器的支持，也更加的出色，这从一定程度上解决了高端用户对于多任务处理上，多年积累的问题。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9e63bb5de9abe3a6b4ddd323172017f\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>同时Windows 11也更专注的改善了游戏用户的体验。在这套全新的操作系统上，新的Xbox应用程序现已集成到Windows 11中，提供对Xbox Game Pass游戏、Xbox网络的社交部分和Xbox商店的快速访问。</p>\n<p>同时目前Windows 11也已经在XBox上进行了测试，我们也希望看到更多XBox的功能被纳入到桌面端来，比如提供自动HDR显示功能，或者是更快的游戏加载速度等等，一次提升PC在游戏方面的体验。</p>\n<p><b>免费升级？</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3eb69ed623b5cc7b7239d753886fda0b\" tg-width=\"641\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>是的，这是我们最希望在Windows 11上看到的。</p>\n<p>微软之前在Windows 7/8升级Windows 10时，采用了免费升级的方式，所有用户都可以升级对应的Win10版本。我们希望免费这件事，依然会出现在Windows 11上。</p>\n<p>市场已经成功的告诉微软，从用户手里收钱升级系统这件事是没有意义的，微软作为一家操作系统开发公司，更多软件的收入要来自OEM授权和商业许可。因此很有可能Win11依然会采用之前Win10免费升级的方式。</p>\n<p>尽管微软Windows 11已经偷跑，但实际上微软还是留下了不少悬念给我们。北京时间6月24日23点，微软正式召开新品发布会之时，这些答案可能会被揭开。</p>","source":"lsy1580517846866","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大揭秘：今晚Windows 11来袭！我们能看到哪些更新\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-24 20:55 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g8NrMXShsncnruGuc8TTjw><strong>腾讯科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间6月24日晚11点，微软将召开一场新品发布会，被微软CEO纳德拉称之为Windows十年来“最重要的更新”即将到来。\n尽管微软并没有在任何的公开场合确认过即将发布的新品，但因为6月16日Windows 11开发版本的重大泄露，让这件事变得没有那么神秘了。Windows 11将会成为今晚发布会的主角，而微软口中Windows十年最重要的更新，也已经在发布会之前就全方位的展示给我们了。\n但关于...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g8NrMXShsncnruGuc8TTjw\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a04bf2da8ab76e823e11aa8e2f8fa5a2","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g8NrMXShsncnruGuc8TTjw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121154040","content_text":"北京时间6月24日晚11点，微软将召开一场新品发布会，被微软CEO纳德拉称之为Windows十年来“最重要的更新”即将到来。\n尽管微软并没有在任何的公开场合确认过即将发布的新品，但因为6月16日Windows 11开发版本的重大泄露，让这件事变得没有那么神秘了。Windows 11将会成为今晚发布会的主角，而微软口中Windows十年最重要的更新，也已经在发布会之前就全方位的展示给我们了。\n但关于这场发布会，也不能说完全没有看点，其中还有一些细节值得我们关注。\nWindows 11在触摸和手势上能有何改善？\n\n很多人在体验过Windows 11的开发版本之后，发现这个所谓的“大版本”和之前的Windows 10相比，除了在界面上进行了一些设计调整，让它更贴合微软Fluent Design设计语言外，并让没有非常明显的功能性改进。\n甚至有的用户在体验完Windows 11开发版之后，给它了一个Windows 10皮肤的定位。\n从一定程度上讲，Windows 11确实不如之前从Win8转Win10时，设计改进巨大。但实际上如果你了解之前微软在Windows上的设计演进外，你会发现当下这个版本Windows 11实际上和已经被微软砍掉的Windows 10X有着极为相似的设计。\n包括“开始菜单居中、同屏多任务布局”等等在Windows 11开发版上出现的功能，原来都是Windows 10X的标配。\n所以目前泄露的Windows 11，更像是之前Windows 10X的迭代版本。但由于10X是微软为触摸双屏幕打造的产品，因此Windows 11将会在系统上增加哪些支持触摸操作的特性，将会成为今晚发布会上重要的看点。\n微软方面已经确认，正计划为未来的Windows版本 “创新和开发令人兴奋的传感器技术”。作为Windows 11或即将到来的Windows更新的一部分，“用户存在检测”、手势检测和环境光等流行功能将得到改进，以 “实现Windows上令人眼花缭乱的用户体验”。\n这意味着微软希望通过新的Windows 11来实现桌面和移动端的融合，尽管微软目前的手机项目基本上处于半放弃状态，但Surface依然需要触摸操作来实现在更多使用场景下的出色体验，因此Windows 11在触摸和手势上的改进，非常重要。\n全新的Windows App Store？\n\n尽管MacOS的App Store存在感也不强，但是相比之下，Windows 10目前提供的应用商店显得更加鸡肋。\n不过这件事可能会在今晚到来的Windows 11上大为改善。\n据媒体报道，微软一直在开发一个全新的应用商店，它更加的海纳百川也更加的自由。微软计划在新的应用商店中引入更多的开发者，比如Chorme或者Firefox这样的应用，未来都可以在微软应用商店进行下载。\n另外一个重大的改进，将会是支付机制上。微软或许将在新的应用商店中允许开发者绕过微软的支付机制，通过第三方的支付机制实现App内付款，以换得减免15%的微软抽成。\n如果这件事在今天晚上的发布会上成真，请别惊讶，毕竟微软现在正和Epic统一战线，以抵制苹果App Store高昂的“苹果税”。此举可能会影响到未来几年内，微软、苹果、Google这样的大公司，在应用服务上的收费方式重新洗牌。\n微软最近也宣布了将自家App Store中上架游戏的购买抽成从之前的30%降到12%，这大幅的优惠，让Steam这样的应用商店倍感压力。\nWindows 11将重点提升专业用户的使用感受？\nWindows作为全球最大的桌面操作系统，其专业能力其实一直被很多人忽视。而在此次Windows 11开发版中，我们其实看到了微软对于一些专业用户的优化改进。\n微软在新的Windows 11中，改善了多桌面之间切换的显示方式，同时对于多显示器的支持，也更加的出色，这从一定程度上解决了高端用户对于多任务处理上，多年积累的问题。\n\n同时Windows 11也更专注的改善了游戏用户的体验。在这套全新的操作系统上，新的Xbox应用程序现已集成到Windows 11中，提供对Xbox Game Pass游戏、Xbox网络的社交部分和Xbox商店的快速访问。\n同时目前Windows 11也已经在XBox上进行了测试，我们也希望看到更多XBox的功能被纳入到桌面端来，比如提供自动HDR显示功能，或者是更快的游戏加载速度等等，一次提升PC在游戏方面的体验。\n免费升级？\n\n是的，这是我们最希望在Windows 11上看到的。\n微软之前在Windows 7/8升级Windows 10时，采用了免费升级的方式，所有用户都可以升级对应的Win10版本。我们希望免费这件事，依然会出现在Windows 11上。\n市场已经成功的告诉微软，从用户手里收钱升级系统这件事是没有意义的，微软作为一家操作系统开发公司，更多软件的收入要来自OEM授权和商业许可。因此很有可能Win11依然会采用之前Win10免费升级的方式。\n尽管微软Windows 11已经偷跑，但实际上微软还是留下了不少悬念给我们。北京时间6月24日23点，微软正式召开新品发布会之时，这些答案可能会被揭开。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"69262229036892","authorId":"69262229036892","name":"2461fbaf","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"69262229036892","idStr":"69262229036892"},"content":"我给你点赞了，你也给我点一个赞吧？","text":"我给你点赞了，你也给我点一个赞吧？","html":"我给你点赞了，你也给我点一个赞吧？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":164609663,"gmtCreate":1624197047552,"gmtModify":1634009587432,"author":{"id":"3577270152274062","authorId":"3577270152274062","name":"J_CHS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d26f0a1bfa759e8ca256e9739b27bedd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577270152274062","idStr":"3577270152274062"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164609663","repostId":"1130870510","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130870510","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624154800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130870510?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-20 10:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息？那只是个美丽的误会","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130870510","media":" 国元证券杨为敩","summary":"国元证券分析表示，在报价方式改变后，不同期限存款利率升降不一；当前环境下，货币政策宽松概率很低，若通胀下半年继续超预期，货币政策可能不松反紧。\n\n 编者注：此前券商中国报道称，多家银行向分行下发了调整","content":"<p>国元证券分析表示，在报价方式改变后，不同期限存款利率升降不一；当前环境下，货币政策宽松概率很低，若通胀下半年继续超预期，货币政策可能不松反紧。</p>\n<blockquote>\n 编者注：此前券商中国报道称，多家银行向分行下发了调整存款利率授权管理的通知。自律机制针对不同类型的银行设置了不同的基点上限。报价方式改变后，一年期以下的存款利率有所上升，一年期利率水平维持不变，一年期以上的存款产品大多要下调。有市场分析将其解读为变相降息。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>1、市场利率定价自律机制实际上是在2015年央行存款利率幅度限制取消后，各个地方对利率上浮幅度进行软性限制而成立的自律机制。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、存款利率上限的界定方式由“基准利率*上浮比例”调整到“基准利率+上浮基点”，其初衷很可能是将存款利率上限与贷款利率上限的计量方式统一起来，监管层未必有通过该机制将利率朝一个方向引导的考虑。</b></p>\n<p><b>3、在报价方式改变之后，不同期限的存款利率也是升降不一的。对于大多数银行来说，1年期以上的存款利率会下降，而1年期以下的存款利率则会上升。</b></p>\n<p><b>4、理论上，这会增加银行资产端的久期，降低全社会的资金成本，但现实未必会表现尽如人意：</b></p>\n<p>1）总存款利率未必会因此而出现太大变化。在合理的范畴之内，银行的存款利率是由存款供需所导致的，其利率水平并非单纯打到上限，此外，如果银行理性的话，银行的存款利率与非存款负债渠道的成本（金融债及CDS）的比价关系也会约束存款利率过度脱离市场化轨道；</p>\n<p>2）即使存款利率发生变化，存款利率对资产端成本的传导也并不顺畅。银行在此前会通过一定限度内的期限错配去维持一个合适的净息差水平，而在该政策缩窄了银行长短期负债成本的利差的情况下，银行期限错配的意愿不可避免地会下降，这会导致全社会资金成本未必会因此而下降。</p>\n<p><b>5、在当前的环境之下，货币政策宽松的概率是很低的：</b></p>\n<p>1）当前货币政策的位置已经明显比经济基本面给出的合理位置更加宽松，至少并没有反映当前迅速向上的通胀水平，若通胀在下半年继续超预期的话，则货币政策在下半年可能不松反紧。</p>\n<p>2）当前的政策利率已经过低，在去年Q1疫情导致经济严重衰退之时，MLF、逆回购、LPR等政策工具利率水平各下调30bp之多，而在后续环境恢复之后，这些政策利率仍然维持在超低的水平之内，这导致继续动用价格政策的宽松并无必要。</p>\n<p><b>6、尤其是，这一政策未必会对利率债产生明显利好，如果银行资产端的久期不升反降的话，无论长端或短端的利率债收益率都不见得会出现明显下降，如果债券市场岿然不动的话，其他资产受该政策的影响也应相当有限。</b></p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息？那只是个美丽的误会</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息？那只是个美丽的误会\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 10:06 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3633334><strong> 国元证券杨为敩</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>国元证券分析表示，在报价方式改变后，不同期限存款利率升降不一；当前环境下，货币政策宽松概率很低，若通胀下半年继续超预期，货币政策可能不松反紧。\n\n 编者注：此前券商中国报道称，多家银行向分行下发了调整存款利率授权管理的通知。自律机制针对不同类型的银行设置了不同的基点上限。报价方式改变后，一年期以下的存款利率有所上升，一年期利率水平维持不变，一年期以上的存款产品大多要下调。有市场分析将其解读为变相...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3633334\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab93f5b286e91abed33d5671db67c8b5","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3633334","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1130870510","content_text":"国元证券分析表示，在报价方式改变后，不同期限存款利率升降不一；当前环境下，货币政策宽松概率很低，若通胀下半年继续超预期，货币政策可能不松反紧。\n\n 编者注：此前券商中国报道称，多家银行向分行下发了调整存款利率授权管理的通知。自律机制针对不同类型的银行设置了不同的基点上限。报价方式改变后，一年期以下的存款利率有所上升，一年期利率水平维持不变，一年期以上的存款产品大多要下调。有市场分析将其解读为变相降息。\n\n1、市场利率定价自律机制实际上是在2015年央行存款利率幅度限制取消后，各个地方对利率上浮幅度进行软性限制而成立的自律机制。\n2、存款利率上限的界定方式由“基准利率*上浮比例”调整到“基准利率+上浮基点”，其初衷很可能是将存款利率上限与贷款利率上限的计量方式统一起来，监管层未必有通过该机制将利率朝一个方向引导的考虑。\n3、在报价方式改变之后，不同期限的存款利率也是升降不一的。对于大多数银行来说，1年期以上的存款利率会下降，而1年期以下的存款利率则会上升。\n4、理论上，这会增加银行资产端的久期，降低全社会的资金成本，但现实未必会表现尽如人意：\n1）总存款利率未必会因此而出现太大变化。在合理的范畴之内，银行的存款利率是由存款供需所导致的，其利率水平并非单纯打到上限，此外，如果银行理性的话，银行的存款利率与非存款负债渠道的成本（金融债及CDS）的比价关系也会约束存款利率过度脱离市场化轨道；\n2）即使存款利率发生变化，存款利率对资产端成本的传导也并不顺畅。银行在此前会通过一定限度内的期限错配去维持一个合适的净息差水平，而在该政策缩窄了银行长短期负债成本的利差的情况下，银行期限错配的意愿不可避免地会下降，这会导致全社会资金成本未必会因此而下降。\n5、在当前的环境之下，货币政策宽松的概率是很低的：\n1）当前货币政策的位置已经明显比经济基本面给出的合理位置更加宽松，至少并没有反映当前迅速向上的通胀水平，若通胀在下半年继续超预期的话，则货币政策在下半年可能不松反紧。\n2）当前的政策利率已经过低，在去年Q1疫情导致经济严重衰退之时，MLF、逆回购、LPR等政策工具利率水平各下调30bp之多，而在后续环境恢复之后，这些政策利率仍然维持在超低的水平之内，这导致继续动用价格政策的宽松并无必要。\n6、尤其是，这一政策未必会对利率债产生明显利好，如果银行资产端的久期不升反降的话，无论长端或短端的利率债收益率都不见得会出现明显下降，如果债券市场岿然不动的话，其他资产受该政策的影响也应相当有限。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166065408,"gmtCreate":1623985793904,"gmtModify":1634024614691,"author":{"id":"3577270152274062","authorId":"3577270152274062","name":"J_CHS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d26f0a1bfa759e8ca256e9739b27bedd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577270152274062","idStr":"3577270152274062"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑] 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