个人中心 - 老虎社区

Nick2333

IP属地：山西

帖子 · 4帖子 · 4
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- Nick2333Nick2333
  ·07-17 14:21
  说说你对这篇新闻的看法...
  韩国市场率先变盘，一场动量交易逆转正席卷亚洲
  韩国成为亚洲动量交易崩解的震中，外资年内净抛售超千亿美元，散户填补外资离场留下的空缺成倍放大了跌幅，杠杆ETF机械平仓加速踩踏。这场逆转正从首尔蔓延至全球芯片股，有分析称6月或已是亚洲股市动量交易的顶点。Kospi波动率飙至历史新高，预示跌幅仍有进一步扩大的空间。
  韩国市场率先变盘，一场动量交易逆转正席卷亚洲
  96 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- Nick2333Nick2333
  ·2024-03-15
  特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价的下跌特斯拉
  82 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Nick2333Nick2333
  ·2024-03-15
  特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价下跌
  49 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- Nick2333Nick2333
  ·2023-09-13
  $苹果(AAPL)$
  14 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3572659002480041","uuid":"3572659002480041","gmtCreate":1609624736879,"gmtModify":1687964367737,"name":"Nick2333","pinyin":"nick2333","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c917451d40952625509dafa774213880","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":4,"tweetSize":4,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":2,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.06.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"10d8ad8d391644a888f8cb7af2d056a4-1","templateUuid":"10d8ad8d391644a888f8cb7af2d056a4","name":"2025元宝x1","description":"2025年度投资收益达成10万美金","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77da5fe9da608523f0fd7cf355adc306","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77da5fe9da608523f0fd7cf355adc306","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":3,"allocatedDate":"2026.01.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":6001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.27","exceedPercentage":"80.64%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.49%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":6,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"山西","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":3,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":586702205899888,"gmtCreate":1784269282943,"gmtModify":1784269909403,"author":{"id":"3572659002480041","authorId":"3572659002480041","name":"Nick2333","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c917451d40952625509dafa774213880","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572659002480041","authorIdStr":"3572659002480041"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/586702205899888","repostId":"2652472053","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2652472053","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1784268153,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2652472053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-17 14:02","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"韩国市场率先变盘，一场动量交易逆转正席卷亚洲","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2652472053","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"韩国成为亚洲动量交易崩解的震中，外资年内净抛售超千亿美元，散户填补外资离场留下的空缺成倍放大了跌幅，杠杆ETF机械平仓加速踩踏。这场逆转正从首尔蔓延至全球芯片股，有分析称6月或已是亚洲股市动量交易的顶点。Kospi波动率飙至历史新高，预示跌幅仍有进一步扩大的空间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>主导亚洲股市上半年行情的动量交易正在瓦解，韩国成为这场逆转的震中。</p>\n<p>韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）的跌势正在加深，30日波动率升至历史新高，预示跌幅仍有进一步扩大的空间。据彭博，<strong>杠杆ETF的平仓抛压、外资持续撤离以及散户加杠杆行为的反噬，共同构成了这轮动量交易崩解的核心驱动力。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>这场逆转的影响已蔓延至整个亚洲科技板块，并向全球芯片股传导。</strong>费城半导体指数（SOX）较6月高点已累计下跌逾18%，日本股市年初至今同样遭遇逾外资净流出。市场情绪的转向正在重塑整个地区的资金格局。</p>\n<h2>动量交易的巅峰与转折</h2>\n<p>2026年上半年，动量因子是全球因子投资领域无可争议的王者，亚洲市场尤为突出。彭博Markets Live策略师David Savage指出，6月或已是亚洲股市动量交易的顶点。</p>\n<p>彼时，全球主要指数的定期再平衡为近期与AI主题高度契合的强势股提供了一批价格不敏感的买盘。SpaceX IPO进一步点燃散户热情，带动亚洲市场掀起一轮追涨浪潮。SpaceX、Marvell Technology等新晋纳入基准指数的成分股，如今正经历均值回归式的修正。</p>\n<p>随着再平衡窗口关闭，支撑动量交易的结构性买盘消退，趋势从&#34;顺风&#34;骤然转为&#34;逆风&#34;。</p>\n<h2>外资撤离，散户接盘埋下隐患</h2>\n<p>外资的大规模流出早已令亚洲市场对散户资金形成高度依赖。年初至今，海外基金累计抛售韩国股票逾1000亿美元——这一规模尤为引人注目，因为两个市场均于6月突破5万亿美元市值关口，跻身全球前八大交易所之列，超越英国和加拿大。</p>\n<p>散户投资者填补了外资离场留下的空缺，在韩国市场尤为明显。与受制于持仓约束、须定期削减赢利头寸的主动及被动基金不同，散户账户可以长期持有强势股，甚至在下跌时加仓，从而进一步强化了动量效应。然而，这种行为在趋势逆转时也会成倍放大跌幅。</p>\n<h2>杠杆ETF：从助涨工具到风险放大器</h2>\n<p>散户借助杠杆ETF和融资买入放大押注，而这一工具如今已从动量交易的核心产品，演变为市场的主要风险来源。</p>\n<p><strong>以内存芯片巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKHY\">SK海力士</a>为例，其单股杠杆ETF持仓集中度极高。韩国于5月下旬批准多只挂钩SK海力士和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSNLF\">三星电子</a>的国内上市单股杠杆ETF，迅速吸引大量资金涌入，提供2倍日收益敞口的相关产品规模急剧膨胀。在峰值时期，仅三只SK海力士杠杆ETF的资产规模合计便超过230亿美元，是该股日均成交额的2.5倍以上。</strong></p>\n<p>这类产品通过互换和期权维持2倍日内杠杆比率。当标的股价下跌时，基金须卖出持仓以将杠杆比率恢复至目标水平，由此形成机械性的被动抛售。这一平仓机制在7月集中触发，成为压制股市动量、加速板块轮动的重要推手。</p>\n<p>韩国监管机构已对此作出回应，宣布暂停新增单股ETF上市，并加强对此类产品交易的监管，以抑制市场波动。</p>\n<h2>地缘风险重燃，亚洲股市腹背受敌</h2>\n<p>动量交易的内部瓦解，与外部宏观环境的恶化同步发生。此前支撑动量因子跑赢的宏观条件——跨资产波动率回落、全球增长韧性持续、油价下行——正在逆转。</p>\n<p>美伊军事冲突重燃推动原油价格走高，美元随之走强，全球加息预期再度升温。亚洲股市对金融条件收紧和地缘政治风险的重新定价尤为敏感，在此轮调整中承压明显。</p>\n<p>Kospi 30日已实现波动率升至历史新高，这一信号表明近期跌势具备进一步延续的动能，并可能持续拖累亚洲整体市场情绪，乃至向全球芯片股蔓延。动量交易的逆转，正从韩国出发，向更广泛的市场传导。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>韩国市场率先变盘，一场动量交易逆转正席卷亚洲</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n韩国市场率先变盘，一场动量交易逆转正席卷亚洲\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-17 14:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>主导亚洲股市上半年行情的动量交易正在瓦解，韩国成为这场逆转的震中。</p>\n<p>韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）的跌势正在加深，30日波动率升至历史新高，预示跌幅仍有进一步扩大的空间。据彭博，<strong>杠杆ETF的平仓抛压、外资持续撤离以及散户加杠杆行为的反噬，共同构成了这轮动量交易崩解的核心驱动力。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>这场逆转的影响已蔓延至整个亚洲科技板块，并向全球芯片股传导。</strong>费城半导体指数（SOX）较6月高点已累计下跌逾18%，日本股市年初至今同样遭遇逾外资净流出。市场情绪的转向正在重塑整个地区的资金格局。</p>\n<h2>动量交易的巅峰与转折</h2>\n<p>2026年上半年，动量因子是全球因子投资领域无可争议的王者，亚洲市场尤为突出。彭博Markets Live策略师David Savage指出，6月或已是亚洲股市动量交易的顶点。</p>\n<p>彼时，全球主要指数的定期再平衡为近期与AI主题高度契合的强势股提供了一批价格不敏感的买盘。SpaceX IPO进一步点燃散户热情，带动亚洲市场掀起一轮追涨浪潮。SpaceX、Marvell Technology等新晋纳入基准指数的成分股，如今正经历均值回归式的修正。</p>\n<p>随着再平衡窗口关闭，支撑动量交易的结构性买盘消退，趋势从&#34;顺风&#34;骤然转为&#34;逆风&#34;。</p>\n<h2>外资撤离，散户接盘埋下隐患</h2>\n<p>外资的大规模流出早已令亚洲市场对散户资金形成高度依赖。年初至今，海外基金累计抛售韩国股票逾1000亿美元——这一规模尤为引人注目，因为两个市场均于6月突破5万亿美元市值关口，跻身全球前八大交易所之列，超越英国和加拿大。</p>\n<p>散户投资者填补了外资离场留下的空缺，在韩国市场尤为明显。与受制于持仓约束、须定期削减赢利头寸的主动及被动基金不同，散户账户可以长期持有强势股，甚至在下跌时加仓，从而进一步强化了动量效应。然而，这种行为在趋势逆转时也会成倍放大跌幅。</p>\n<h2>杠杆ETF：从助涨工具到风险放大器</h2>\n<p>散户借助杠杆ETF和融资买入放大押注，而这一工具如今已从动量交易的核心产品，演变为市场的主要风险来源。</p>\n<p><strong>以内存芯片巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKHY\">SK海力士</a>为例，其单股杠杆ETF持仓集中度极高。韩国于5月下旬批准多只挂钩SK海力士和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SSNLF\">三星电子</a>的国内上市单股杠杆ETF，迅速吸引大量资金涌入，提供2倍日收益敞口的相关产品规模急剧膨胀。在峰值时期，仅三只SK海力士杠杆ETF的资产规模合计便超过230亿美元，是该股日均成交额的2.5倍以上。</strong></p>\n<p>这类产品通过互换和期权维持2倍日内杠杆比率。当标的股价下跌时，基金须卖出持仓以将杠杆比率恢复至目标水平，由此形成机械性的被动抛售。这一平仓机制在7月集中触发，成为压制股市动量、加速板块轮动的重要推手。</p>\n<p>韩国监管机构已对此作出回应，宣布暂停新增单股ETF上市，并加强对此类产品交易的监管，以抑制市场波动。</p>\n<h2>地缘风险重燃，亚洲股市腹背受敌</h2>\n<p>动量交易的内部瓦解，与外部宏观环境的恶化同步发生。此前支撑动量因子跑赢的宏观条件——跨资产波动率回落、全球增长韧性持续、油价下行——正在逆转。</p>\n<p>美伊军事冲突重燃推动原油价格走高，美元随之走强，全球加息预期再度升温。亚洲股市对金融条件收紧和地缘政治风险的重新定价尤为敏感，在此轮调整中承压明显。</p>\n<p>Kospi 30日已实现波动率升至历史新高，这一信号表明近期跌势具备进一步延续的动能，并可能持续拖累亚洲整体市场情绪，乃至向全球芯片股蔓延。动量交易的逆转，正从韩国出发，向更广泛的市场传导。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7e5db6aee248490993345f33560e542e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3777178","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2652472053","content_text":"主导亚洲股市上半年行情的动量交易正在瓦解，韩国成为这场逆转的震中。\n韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）的跌势正在加深，30日波动率升至历史新高，预示跌幅仍有进一步扩大的空间。据彭博，杠杆ETF的平仓抛压、外资持续撤离以及散户加杠杆行为的反噬，共同构成了这轮动量交易崩解的核心驱动力。\n这场逆转的影响已蔓延至整个亚洲科技板块，并向全球芯片股传导。费城半导体指数（SOX）较6月高点已累计下跌逾18%，日本股市年初至今同样遭遇逾外资净流出。市场情绪的转向正在重塑整个地区的资金格局。\n动量交易的巅峰与转折\n2026年上半年，动量因子是全球因子投资领域无可争议的王者，亚洲市场尤为突出。彭博Markets Live策略师David Savage指出，6月或已是亚洲股市动量交易的顶点。\n彼时，全球主要指数的定期再平衡为近期与AI主题高度契合的强势股提供了一批价格不敏感的买盘。SpaceX IPO进一步点燃散户热情，带动亚洲市场掀起一轮追涨浪潮。SpaceX、Marvell Technology等新晋纳入基准指数的成分股，如今正经历均值回归式的修正。\n随着再平衡窗口关闭，支撑动量交易的结构性买盘消退，趋势从\"顺风\"骤然转为\"逆风\"。\n外资撤离，散户接盘埋下隐患\n外资的大规模流出早已令亚洲市场对散户资金形成高度依赖。年初至今，海外基金累计抛售韩国股票逾1000亿美元——这一规模尤为引人注目，因为两个市场均于6月突破5万亿美元市值关口，跻身全球前八大交易所之列，超越英国和加拿大。\n散户投资者填补了外资离场留下的空缺，在韩国市场尤为明显。与受制于持仓约束、须定期削减赢利头寸的主动及被动基金不同，散户账户可以长期持有强势股，甚至在下跌时加仓，从而进一步强化了动量效应。然而，这种行为在趋势逆转时也会成倍放大跌幅。\n杠杆ETF：从助涨工具到风险放大器\n散户借助杠杆ETF和融资买入放大押注，而这一工具如今已从动量交易的核心产品，演变为市场的主要风险来源。\n以内存芯片巨头SK海力士为例，其单股杠杆ETF持仓集中度极高。韩国于5月下旬批准多只挂钩SK海力士和三星电子的国内上市单股杠杆ETF，迅速吸引大量资金涌入，提供2倍日收益敞口的相关产品规模急剧膨胀。在峰值时期，仅三只SK海力士杠杆ETF的资产规模合计便超过230亿美元，是该股日均成交额的2.5倍以上。\n这类产品通过互换和期权维持2倍日内杠杆比率。当标的股价下跌时，基金须卖出持仓以将杠杆比率恢复至目标水平，由此形成机械性的被动抛售。这一平仓机制在7月集中触发，成为压制股市动量、加速板块轮动的重要推手。\n韩国监管机构已对此作出回应，宣布暂停新增单股ETF上市，并加强对此类产品交易的监管，以抑制市场波动。\n地缘风险重燃，亚洲股市腹背受敌\n动量交易的内部瓦解，与外部宏观环境的恶化同步发生。此前支撑动量因子跑赢的宏观条件——跨资产波动率回落、全球增长韧性持续、油价下行——正在逆转。\n美伊军事冲突重燃推动原油价格走高，美元随之走强，全球加息预期再度升温。亚洲股市对金融条件收紧和地缘政治风险的重新定价尤为敏感，在此轮调整中承压明显。\nKospi 30日已实现波动率升至历史新高，这一信号表明近期跌势具备进一步延续的动能，并可能持续拖累亚洲整体市场情绪，乃至向全球芯片股蔓延。动量交易的逆转，正从韩国出发，向更广泛的市场传导。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPMO":1.5,"FV":1.5,"SKUU":2,"QVML":1.5,"XMMO":1.5,"FDMO":1.5,"07709":2,"GXDW":1.5,"JMOM":1.5,"07747":2,"FLKR":1.5,"ONEO":1.5,"DWAS":1.5,"EWY":1.5,"KORU":1.5,"MKOR":1.5,"SEIM":1.5,"DVLU":1.5,"GLRY":1.5,"THIR":1.5,"DVOL":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284644341403720,"gmtCreate":1710499009362,"gmtModify":1710507908953,"author":{"id":"3572659002480041","authorId":"3572659002480041","name":"Nick2333","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c917451d40952625509dafa774213880","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572659002480041","authorIdStr":"3572659002480041"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价的下跌特斯拉","listText":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价的下跌特斯拉","text":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价的下跌特斯拉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/284644341403720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":82,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284643846815816,"gmtCreate":1710498888613,"gmtModify":1710507902963,"author":{"id":"3572659002480041","authorId":"3572659002480041","name":"Nick2333","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c917451d40952625509dafa774213880","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572659002480041","authorIdStr":"3572659002480041"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价下跌","listText":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价下跌","text":"特斯拉火箭发射也阻止不了股价下跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/284643846815816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":49,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":219459362086976,"gmtCreate":1694616538191,"gmtModify":1694617186784,"author":{"id":"3572659002480041","authorId":"3572659002480041","name":"Nick2333","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c917451d40952625509dafa774213880","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572659002480041","authorIdStr":"3572659002480041"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/219459362086976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}