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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-20 19:28
只对美国公司。
美国关税退款系统今日上线,消费者能否拿到钱?
分析认为,关税由进口商缴纳,但成本往往已通过涨价转嫁给消费者。退款将直接打回企业账户,企业并无法律义务将这笔钱返还给消费者,仅部分直邮快递客户有望获退。这意味着,普通消费者此前多付的钱,在现行机制下大概率无法追回。
美国关税退款系统今日上线,消费者能否拿到钱?
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-17
这个东西能轻易的让地方银行系统瘫痪?
市场消息:谷歌与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议
4月16日,市场消息:$谷歌(GOOG)$与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议,该公司正重塑与军方的关系。
市场消息:谷歌与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-16
好好看地图学习地理知识。
美国封锁第三天,两艘伊朗相关船只缓缓驶入波斯湾
霍尔木兹封锁进入第三天,伊朗相关船只已摸索出新路线——绕道阿联酋、穿越拉腊克岛与格什姆岛之间水道悄然入湾。过境商船从日均135艘骤降至11艘,伊朗每日170万桶石油出口面临中断。与此同时,伊朗就参与下一轮美伊谈判开出条件,并提议“霍尔木兹海峡阿曼一侧自由通行”。
美国封锁第三天,两艘伊朗相关船只缓缓驶入波斯湾
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-15
就剩嘴了
伊朗军方回应美海上封锁:将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的进出口活动
将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的活动。
伊朗军方回应美海上封锁:将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的进出口活动
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-13
只封锁伊朗港口,其他海湾国家开放。
霍尔木兹再封锁,股市反应意外克制,投资者在定价什么?
美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡致原油重回百美元大关,但股市跌势温和。分析认为,投资者普遍将此封锁视为特朗普“极限施压”的谈判策略,而非系统性战争升级。尽管通胀预期推升美债收益率,但VIX指数暗示最恐慌时期已过。市场正押注外交渠道的延续,防御性仓位也为后续可能的局势降级留出了反弹空间。
霍尔木兹再封锁,股市反应意外克制,投资者在定价什么?
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-11
哈哈哈,找死的节奏
“大空头”Burry增持英伟达看跌期权,买入京东、阿里巴巴
Michael Burry披露最新持仓:增持京东,同时新建阿里巴巴多头仓位,他认为京东近期走弱提供了理想入场点,同时延续对AI板块的谨慎态度,买入英伟达2027年1月到期看跌期权,行权价115美元。此外,他还加仓GameStop并新建仓支付公司Fiserv。
“大空头”Burry增持英伟达看跌期权,买入京东、阿里巴巴
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-10
那如果用这个攻击敌对国家金融系统是不是轻而易举让对方崩溃?
贝森特与鲍威尔召集华尔街紧急开会:Claude新模型对金融业有巨大风险
更多消息,持续更新中
贝森特与鲍威尔召集华尔街紧急开会:Claude新模型对金融业有巨大风险
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-10
这有傻瓜去听他鸭子嘴嘴硬的话
伊朗议会提出永久禁止与美、以有关的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡
还将适用于对抵抗阵线采取行动的国家。
伊朗议会提出永久禁止与美、以有关的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-09
套上路了吗
取代燃气轮机,AI电力的首选答案,是燃气发电机组?
汇丰认为,天然气发电机组凭借交期短、启动快、灵活性高等优势,正快速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源。头部厂商订单已排满至2027年底,预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。
取代燃气轮机,AI电力的首选答案,是燃气发电机组?
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里二外三
里二外三
·
04-03
如果放开,中国人多的是买的
谁在接盘美债?
对冲基金成为美国国债最大境外持有主体!美伊冲突以来,境外央行累计出售820亿美元美债,持仓降至2012年以来最低水平。而对冲基金持仓高达2.4万亿美元,较三年前翻三倍,经济学家认为数据仍低估1.4万亿美元。
谁在接盘美债?
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id=\"id_654462286\">成本已转嫁消费者,退款却不会原路返回</h2><p><strong>这是整个退款机制中最值得关注的结构性问题。</strong>关税由进口商缴纳,但<strong>许多企业已将这部分成本以涨价形式转移给消费者——消费者实际上承担了税负,却不在退款名单之列。</strong></p><p>周一上线的系统将退款直接发放给缴税企业,这些企业在法律上没有义务将款项返还给消费者。</p><p>目前,多起集体诉讼正在美国司法系统中推进,原告方试图迫使Costco、Ray-Ban母公司Essilor Luxottica等企业向消费者退款,但诉讼结果尚不明朗。</p><p><strong>相比之下,普通消费者获得退款的可能性更多来自FedEx、UPS等快递公司——这些公司在跨境直邮业务中直接向消费者收取了关税。</strong></p><p>FedEx已表示,一旦收到CBP退款,将转还给相关客户,并计划于4月20日开始提交申请。"支持客户应对监管变化始终是我们的首要任务,"FedEx在声明中表示。</p><p>分析指出,<strong>对于绝大多数通过零售渠道购物、已默默承受涨价之苦的消费者而言,这笔钱大概率不会再回到他们手中。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3666436217\">最高法院裁定违宪,退款程序随之启动</h2><p>今年2月20日,美国最高法院以6比3的多数裁定,特朗普去年4月援引1977年《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA),以贸易逆差构成"国家紧急状态"为由,对几乎所有贸易伙伴加征进口关税,属于越权行为,侵犯了国会的税收设定权。</p><p>最高法院多数意见未直接涉及退款问题,但美国国际贸易法院随后裁定,受IEEPA关税影响的企业有权获得退款。CBP数据显示,超过33万家进口商在逾5,300万批次货物上共缴纳约1,660亿美元关税。</p><p><strong>不过,并非所有缴税记录都符合首批退款资格。</strong>本次系统首阶段仅受理尚未完成最终核定、或处于最终核定80天窗口期内的关税申报。</p><p>系统上线并不意味着退款唾手可得。律师事务所Ice Miller合伙人Meghann Supino表示,她建议客户在申报时务必逐一列明所有提交给CBP的单据编号,任何一项不符合条件的记录都可能导致整批申报被拒。</p><p><strong>"如果文件中有一条记录不符合资格,可能导致整个申报被驳回,或该行项目被海关拒绝,"她说。她同时预计,系统上线首日可能出现技术故障,"就像任何备受关注的在线系统上线一样,周一可能会有些磕磕绊绊。"</strong></p><p>会计与咨询公司Armanino负责转让定价业务的合伙人Nghi Huynh指出,大多数申请退款的企业进口的是混合商品,并非全部符合条件。"每份文件可能包含数千条记录,但准确性至关重要,格式或数据有误就会被拒。"</p><p><strong>对于中小企业而言,这套退款系统来得迟,走得也慢。</strong>明尼苏达州罗切斯特市雪茄品牌After Action Cigars联合创始人Brad Jackson表示,CBP一宣布上线日期,他就立即开始整理记录、准备录入信息。</p><p>该公司从尼加拉瓜和多米尼加共和国进口雪茄及配件,去年共缴纳3.4万美元关税,为避免流失客户,公司选择自行吸收大部分成本而非提价。</p><p>"我最担心的是周转时间,"Jackson说,"一个需要数月才能完成的退款流程,根本解决不了它本应解决的现金流问题。"他还提到,去年<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600381\">春天</a>曾因一份文件缺失导致货物延误两周,这次他格外谨慎。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国关税退款系统今日上线,消费者能否拿到钱?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国关税退款系统今日上线,消费者能否拿到钱?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-20 15:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>分析认为,关税由进口商缴纳,但成本往往已通过涨价转嫁给消费者。退款将直接打回企业账户,企业并无法律义务将这笔钱返还给消费者,仅部分直邮快递客户有望获退。这意味着,普通消费者此前多付的钱,在现行机制下大概率无法追回。</p></blockquote><p>美国海关与边境保护局(CBP)周一正式开放关税退款申请门户,允许进口商就最高法院裁定违宪的特朗普关税申请退款。然而,这笔总额高达数千亿美元的退款能否真正流回消费者口袋,答案远比系统上线更为复杂。</p><p>根据CBP公告,门户于周一上午8时开放,进口商及其报关行可通过在线系统提交申报。据统计,截至4月14日,已有56497家进口商完成注册,合计可申请退款金额(含利息)约达1270亿美元。CBP表示,审批通过后退款将在60至90天内发放,且将分阶段处理,优先处理较近期的关税缴纳记录。</p><p>问题的核心在于:<strong>关税由进口商缴纳,但成本往往已通过涨价转嫁给消费者。</strong>退款将直接打回企业账户,企业并无法律义务将这笔钱返还给消费者。这意味着,<strong>普通消费者此前多付的钱,在现行机制下大概率无法追回。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_654462286\">成本已转嫁消费者,退款却不会原路返回</h2><p><strong>这是整个退款机制中最值得关注的结构性问题。</strong>关税由进口商缴纳,但<strong>许多企业已将这部分成本以涨价形式转移给消费者——消费者实际上承担了税负,却不在退款名单之列。</strong></p><p>周一上线的系统将退款直接发放给缴税企业,这些企业在法律上没有义务将款项返还给消费者。</p><p>目前,多起集体诉讼正在美国司法系统中推进,原告方试图迫使Costco、Ray-Ban母公司Essilor Luxottica等企业向消费者退款,但诉讼结果尚不明朗。</p><p><strong>相比之下,普通消费者获得退款的可能性更多来自FedEx、UPS等快递公司——这些公司在跨境直邮业务中直接向消费者收取了关税。</strong></p><p>FedEx已表示,一旦收到CBP退款,将转还给相关客户,并计划于4月20日开始提交申请。"支持客户应对监管变化始终是我们的首要任务,"FedEx在声明中表示。</p><p>分析指出,<strong>对于绝大多数通过零售渠道购物、已默默承受涨价之苦的消费者而言,这笔钱大概率不会再回到他们手中。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3666436217\">最高法院裁定违宪,退款程序随之启动</h2><p>今年2月20日,美国最高法院以6比3的多数裁定,特朗普去年4月援引1977年《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA),以贸易逆差构成"国家紧急状态"为由,对几乎所有贸易伙伴加征进口关税,属于越权行为,侵犯了国会的税收设定权。</p><p>最高法院多数意见未直接涉及退款问题,但美国国际贸易法院随后裁定,受IEEPA关税影响的企业有权获得退款。CBP数据显示,超过33万家进口商在逾5,300万批次货物上共缴纳约1,660亿美元关税。</p><p><strong>不过,并非所有缴税记录都符合首批退款资格。</strong>本次系统首阶段仅受理尚未完成最终核定、或处于最终核定80天窗口期内的关税申报。</p><p>系统上线并不意味着退款唾手可得。律师事务所Ice Miller合伙人Meghann Supino表示,她建议客户在申报时务必逐一列明所有提交给CBP的单据编号,任何一项不符合条件的记录都可能导致整批申报被拒。</p><p><strong>"如果文件中有一条记录不符合资格,可能导致整个申报被驳回,或该行项目被海关拒绝,"她说。她同时预计,系统上线首日可能出现技术故障,"就像任何备受关注的在线系统上线一样,周一可能会有些磕磕绊绊。"</strong></p><p>会计与咨询公司Armanino负责转让定价业务的合伙人Nghi Huynh指出,大多数申请退款的企业进口的是混合商品,并非全部符合条件。"每份文件可能包含数千条记录,但准确性至关重要,格式或数据有误就会被拒。"</p><p><strong>对于中小企业而言,这套退款系统来得迟,走得也慢。</strong>明尼苏达州罗切斯特市雪茄品牌After Action Cigars联合创始人Brad Jackson表示,CBP一宣布上线日期,他就立即开始整理记录、准备录入信息。</p><p>该公司从尼加拉瓜和多米尼加共和国进口雪茄及配件,去年共缴纳3.4万美元关税,为避免流失客户,公司选择自行吸收大部分成本而非提价。</p><p>"我最担心的是周转时间,"Jackson说,"一个需要数月才能完成的退款流程,根本解决不了它本应解决的现金流问题。"他还提到,去年<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600381\">春天</a>曾因一份文件缺失导致货物延误两周,这次他格外谨慎。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41f81b99b97a59da55dd70fd1af475cb","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3770387","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2628714012","content_text":"分析认为,关税由进口商缴纳,但成本往往已通过涨价转嫁给消费者。退款将直接打回企业账户,企业并无法律义务将这笔钱返还给消费者,仅部分直邮快递客户有望获退。这意味着,普通消费者此前多付的钱,在现行机制下大概率无法追回。美国海关与边境保护局(CBP)周一正式开放关税退款申请门户,允许进口商就最高法院裁定违宪的特朗普关税申请退款。然而,这笔总额高达数千亿美元的退款能否真正流回消费者口袋,答案远比系统上线更为复杂。根据CBP公告,门户于周一上午8时开放,进口商及其报关行可通过在线系统提交申报。据统计,截至4月14日,已有56497家进口商完成注册,合计可申请退款金额(含利息)约达1270亿美元。CBP表示,审批通过后退款将在60至90天内发放,且将分阶段处理,优先处理较近期的关税缴纳记录。问题的核心在于:关税由进口商缴纳,但成本往往已通过涨价转嫁给消费者。退款将直接打回企业账户,企业并无法律义务将这笔钱返还给消费者。这意味着,普通消费者此前多付的钱,在现行机制下大概率无法追回。成本已转嫁消费者,退款却不会原路返回这是整个退款机制中最值得关注的结构性问题。关税由进口商缴纳,但许多企业已将这部分成本以涨价形式转移给消费者——消费者实际上承担了税负,却不在退款名单之列。周一上线的系统将退款直接发放给缴税企业,这些企业在法律上没有义务将款项返还给消费者。目前,多起集体诉讼正在美国司法系统中推进,原告方试图迫使Costco、Ray-Ban母公司Essilor Luxottica等企业向消费者退款,但诉讼结果尚不明朗。相比之下,普通消费者获得退款的可能性更多来自FedEx、UPS等快递公司——这些公司在跨境直邮业务中直接向消费者收取了关税。FedEx已表示,一旦收到CBP退款,将转还给相关客户,并计划于4月20日开始提交申请。\"支持客户应对监管变化始终是我们的首要任务,\"FedEx在声明中表示。分析指出,对于绝大多数通过零售渠道购物、已默默承受涨价之苦的消费者而言,这笔钱大概率不会再回到他们手中。最高法院裁定违宪,退款程序随之启动今年2月20日,美国最高法院以6比3的多数裁定,特朗普去年4月援引1977年《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA),以贸易逆差构成\"国家紧急状态\"为由,对几乎所有贸易伙伴加征进口关税,属于越权行为,侵犯了国会的税收设定权。最高法院多数意见未直接涉及退款问题,但美国国际贸易法院随后裁定,受IEEPA关税影响的企业有权获得退款。CBP数据显示,超过33万家进口商在逾5,300万批次货物上共缴纳约1,660亿美元关税。不过,并非所有缴税记录都符合首批退款资格。本次系统首阶段仅受理尚未完成最终核定、或处于最终核定80天窗口期内的关税申报。系统上线并不意味着退款唾手可得。律师事务所Ice Miller合伙人Meghann Supino表示,她建议客户在申报时务必逐一列明所有提交给CBP的单据编号,任何一项不符合条件的记录都可能导致整批申报被拒。\"如果文件中有一条记录不符合资格,可能导致整个申报被驳回,或该行项目被海关拒绝,\"她说。她同时预计,系统上线首日可能出现技术故障,\"就像任何备受关注的在线系统上线一样,周一可能会有些磕磕绊绊。\"会计与咨询公司Armanino负责转让定价业务的合伙人Nghi Huynh指出,大多数申请退款的企业进口的是混合商品,并非全部符合条件。\"每份文件可能包含数千条记录,但准确性至关重要,格式或数据有误就会被拒。\"对于中小企业而言,这套退款系统来得迟,走得也慢。明尼苏达州罗切斯特市雪茄品牌After Action Cigars联合创始人Brad Jackson表示,CBP一宣布上线日期,他就立即开始整理记录、准备录入信息。该公司从尼加拉瓜和多米尼加共和国进口雪茄及配件,去年共缴纳3.4万美元关税,为避免流失客户,公司选择自行吸收大部分成本而非提价。\"我最担心的是周转时间,\"Jackson说,\"一个需要数月才能完成的退款流程,根本解决不了它本应解决的现金流问题。\"他还提到,去年春天曾因一份文件缺失导致货物延误两周,这次他格外谨慎。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":554359845459088,"gmtCreate":1776376329733,"gmtModify":1776376332220,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这个东西能轻易的让地方银行系统瘫痪?","listText":"这个东西能轻易的让地方银行系统瘫痪?","text":"这个东西能轻易的让地方银行系统瘫痪?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/554359845459088","repostId":"1127969335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127969335","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1776344701,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127969335?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-16 21:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场消息:谷歌与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127969335","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月16日,市场消息:$谷歌(GOOG)$与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议,该公司正重塑与军方的关系。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月16日,市场消息:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议,洽谈使用Gemini模型,该公司正重塑与军方的关系。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca43e9707e042ca475d03844d49214f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"657\" tg-height=\"852\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场消息:谷歌与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场消息:谷歌与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-16 21:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月16日,市场消息:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>与五角大楼商讨机密人工智能合作协议,洽谈使用Gemini模型,该公司正重塑与军方的关系。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca43e9707e042ca475d03844d49214f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"657\" tg-height=\"852\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f348812ea39b45cad3d64af127992eb9","relate_stocks":{"IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1935043023.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC A","LU1316542783.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD","LU2430703095.HKD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (HKD) INC","LU2430703178.SGD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4H\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) 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Ltd.拥有并管理,据数据库Equasis显示,该公司目前无法联系。Hong Lu的所有人与管理方信息未被数据库收录,这是"影子船队"船只的常见特征。</p>\n<p>在两船之前数小时,散货船Rosalina已走过同一路线,显示其正驶向伊朗港口运送食品。其所有人Pacific Dream Shipping与摩纳哥注册的Sea World Management s.a.m.共用同一地址。</p>\n<h2>双重封锁下,过境量骤降但未归零</h2>\n<p>美国中央司令部周三表示,没有任何船只突破其封锁,并有9艘船只在美军指令下返回伊朗方向。<strong>然而,伊朗方面声称其一艘油轮超级油轮已突破美国封锁,但未点名具体船只。</strong>分析认为,伊朗所指可能是空载的受制裁船只Alicia——该船于周三早些时候经由拉腊克岛附近完成入境过境,早于Hong Lu数小时。</p>\n<p>目前,双重封锁——即美伊两国海军均对过境船只实施管控——使船员和货主在取得安全通行前须同时获得两支海军的许可,大幅提高了通行难度。此外,电子干扰及船只关闭应答器的惯常做法,意味着部分过境行为可能未被追踪记录。</p>\n<p>另有小型成品油轮Nobler于数小时后向东驶出霍尔木兹海峡进入阿曼湾,目的地标注为阿曼苏哈尔港。该船自今年2月初进入波斯湾,在长达七周的冲突期间一直停留于此。此前,两艘伊朗相关集装箱船Golbon与Kashan已于周三离开波斯湾,沿伊朗海岸线向巴基斯坦边境方向行驶。</p>\n<h2>外交斡旋:伊朗评估是否参与下一轮谈判</h2>\n<p>与此同时,外交层面的动向同样值得关注。据新华社援引伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社报道,伊朗在与巴基斯坦陆军参谋长穆尼尔率领的代表团举行会晤后,将进行必要评估,再决定是否与美国开展下一轮谈判。</p>\n<p>知情人士表示,黎巴嫩实现停火将是伊朗参与下一轮谈判的积极信号,同时美方须坚持合理的谈判框架,不得提出过分要求或违反停火前所作承诺。</p>\n<p>伊朗媒体还披露,作为谈判提案的一部分,伊朗提议,若能达成协议以防止冲突再次发生,伊方可能考虑允许船只自由通过霍尔木兹海峡的阿曼一侧。不过,伊朗外交部明确表示,伊方不可能"全盘接受"美国方案,称此举"不符合谈判和对话的逻辑"。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国封锁第三天,两艘伊朗相关船只缓缓驶入波斯湾</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国封锁第三天,两艘伊朗相关船只缓缓驶入波斯湾\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-16 15:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>在美国对霍尔木兹<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002320\">海峡</a>实施封锁进入第三天之际,至少两艘与伊朗相关、受美国制裁的船只绕道阿联酋,取道伊朗拉腊克岛与格什姆岛之间的水道,缓缓驶入波斯湾。这一新路线的出现,表明伊朗相关船只正在寻求规避封锁的替代通道。</p>\n<p>据新华社最新报道,伊朗将使用南部港口以外的替代港口,以绕过美国对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁。据媒体追踪的船舶数据,液化石油气运输船G Summer与超大型原油船Hong Lu于当地时间周三下午相继通过上述水道进入波斯湾。两艘船均处于空载状态,目前分别标注伊拉克科尔祖拜尔港及等待指令为目的地。与此同时,散货船Rosalina在两船之前走了同一路线,显示其正驶向伊朗某港口运送食品。</p>\n<p>封锁并未完全切断通行,但过境船只已大幅减少。媒体数据显示,周二共有11艘商船通过霍尔木兹海峡,而封锁前的周末平均过境量为16艘,战前日均水平则约为135艘。目前尚无满载伊朗油轮被观测到驶出海峡,这使伊朗每日约170万桶的战时石油出口面临中断风险。</p>\n<h2>新路线浮现:绕道阿联酋取道两岛之间</h2>\n<p>据媒体报道,G Summer与Hong Lu本周早些时候抵达阿联酋富查伊拉附近海域,随后向东北方向穿越阿曼湾驶近伊朗海岸线,再向北进入霍尔木兹海峡——这是一条异常迂回的路径。</p>\n<p>G Summer由香港注册的Seaport-Glory Marine Co. Ltd.拥有并管理,据数据库Equasis显示,该公司目前无法联系。Hong Lu的所有人与管理方信息未被数据库收录,这是"影子船队"船只的常见特征。</p>\n<p>在两船之前数小时,散货船Rosalina已走过同一路线,显示其正驶向伊朗港口运送食品。其所有人Pacific Dream Shipping与摩纳哥注册的Sea World Management s.a.m.共用同一地址。</p>\n<h2>双重封锁下,过境量骤降但未归零</h2>\n<p>美国中央司令部周三表示,没有任何船只突破其封锁,并有9艘船只在美军指令下返回伊朗方向。<strong>然而,伊朗方面声称其一艘油轮超级油轮已突破美国封锁,但未点名具体船只。</strong>分析认为,伊朗所指可能是空载的受制裁船只Alicia——该船于周三早些时候经由拉腊克岛附近完成入境过境,早于Hong Lu数小时。</p>\n<p>目前,双重封锁——即美伊两国海军均对过境船只实施管控——使船员和货主在取得安全通行前须同时获得两支海军的许可,大幅提高了通行难度。此外,电子干扰及船只关闭应答器的惯常做法,意味着部分过境行为可能未被追踪记录。</p>\n<p>另有小型成品油轮Nobler于数小时后向东驶出霍尔木兹海峡进入阿曼湾,目的地标注为阿曼苏哈尔港。该船自今年2月初进入波斯湾,在长达七周的冲突期间一直停留于此。此前,两艘伊朗相关集装箱船Golbon与Kashan已于周三离开波斯湾,沿伊朗海岸线向巴基斯坦边境方向行驶。</p>\n<h2>外交斡旋:伊朗评估是否参与下一轮谈判</h2>\n<p>与此同时,外交层面的动向同样值得关注。据新华社援引伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社报道,伊朗在与巴基斯坦陆军参谋长穆尼尔率领的代表团举行会晤后,将进行必要评估,再决定是否与美国开展下一轮谈判。</p>\n<p>知情人士表示,黎巴嫩实现停火将是伊朗参与下一轮谈判的积极信号,同时美方须坚持合理的谈判框架,不得提出过分要求或违反停火前所作承诺。</p>\n<p>伊朗媒体还披露,作为谈判提案的一部分,伊朗提议,若能达成协议以防止冲突再次发生,伊方可能考虑允许船只自由通过霍尔木兹海峡的阿曼一侧。不过,伊朗外交部明确表示,伊方不可能"全盘接受"美国方案,称此举"不符合谈判和对话的逻辑"。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/212c960aaeece26511e050463eddc3b0","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3770126","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2627926229","content_text":"在美国对霍尔木兹海峡实施封锁进入第三天之际,至少两艘与伊朗相关、受美国制裁的船只绕道阿联酋,取道伊朗拉腊克岛与格什姆岛之间的水道,缓缓驶入波斯湾。这一新路线的出现,表明伊朗相关船只正在寻求规避封锁的替代通道。\n据新华社最新报道,伊朗将使用南部港口以外的替代港口,以绕过美国对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁。据媒体追踪的船舶数据,液化石油气运输船G Summer与超大型原油船Hong Lu于当地时间周三下午相继通过上述水道进入波斯湾。两艘船均处于空载状态,目前分别标注伊拉克科尔祖拜尔港及等待指令为目的地。与此同时,散货船Rosalina在两船之前走了同一路线,显示其正驶向伊朗某港口运送食品。\n封锁并未完全切断通行,但过境船只已大幅减少。媒体数据显示,周二共有11艘商船通过霍尔木兹海峡,而封锁前的周末平均过境量为16艘,战前日均水平则约为135艘。目前尚无满载伊朗油轮被观测到驶出海峡,这使伊朗每日约170万桶的战时石油出口面临中断风险。\n新路线浮现:绕道阿联酋取道两岛之间\n据媒体报道,G Summer与Hong Lu本周早些时候抵达阿联酋富查伊拉附近海域,随后向东北方向穿越阿曼湾驶近伊朗海岸线,再向北进入霍尔木兹海峡——这是一条异常迂回的路径。\nG Summer由香港注册的Seaport-Glory Marine Co. Ltd.拥有并管理,据数据库Equasis显示,该公司目前无法联系。Hong Lu的所有人与管理方信息未被数据库收录,这是\"影子船队\"船只的常见特征。\n在两船之前数小时,散货船Rosalina已走过同一路线,显示其正驶向伊朗港口运送食品。其所有人Pacific Dream Shipping与摩纳哥注册的Sea World Management s.a.m.共用同一地址。\n双重封锁下,过境量骤降但未归零\n美国中央司令部周三表示,没有任何船只突破其封锁,并有9艘船只在美军指令下返回伊朗方向。然而,伊朗方面声称其一艘油轮超级油轮已突破美国封锁,但未点名具体船只。分析认为,伊朗所指可能是空载的受制裁船只Alicia——该船于周三早些时候经由拉腊克岛附近完成入境过境,早于Hong Lu数小时。\n目前,双重封锁——即美伊两国海军均对过境船只实施管控——使船员和货主在取得安全通行前须同时获得两支海军的许可,大幅提高了通行难度。此外,电子干扰及船只关闭应答器的惯常做法,意味着部分过境行为可能未被追踪记录。\n另有小型成品油轮Nobler于数小时后向东驶出霍尔木兹海峡进入阿曼湾,目的地标注为阿曼苏哈尔港。该船自今年2月初进入波斯湾,在长达七周的冲突期间一直停留于此。此前,两艘伊朗相关集装箱船Golbon与Kashan已于周三离开波斯湾,沿伊朗海岸线向巴基斯坦边境方向行驶。\n外交斡旋:伊朗评估是否参与下一轮谈判\n与此同时,外交层面的动向同样值得关注。据新华社援引伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社报道,伊朗在与巴基斯坦陆军参谋长穆尼尔率领的代表团举行会晤后,将进行必要评估,再决定是否与美国开展下一轮谈判。\n知情人士表示,黎巴嫩实现停火将是伊朗参与下一轮谈判的积极信号,同时美方须坚持合理的谈判框架,不得提出过分要求或违反停火前所作承诺。\n伊朗媒体还披露,作为谈判提案的一部分,伊朗提议,若能达成协议以防止冲突再次发生,伊方可能考虑允许船只自由通过霍尔木兹海峡的阿曼一侧。不过,伊朗外交部明确表示,伊方不可能\"全盘接受\"美国方案,称此举\"不符合谈判和对话的逻辑\"。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2,"QMmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":553855253066896,"gmtCreate":1776253138231,"gmtModify":1776253140627,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"就剩嘴了","listText":"就剩嘴了","text":"就剩嘴了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/553855253066896","repostId":"1100881626","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100881626","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1776249040,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100881626?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-15 18:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"伊朗军方回应美海上封锁:将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的进出口活动","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100881626","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的活动。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>伊朗武装部队哈塔姆安比亚中央总部发言人15日表示,如果美国继续实施海上封锁,造成伊朗商船和油轮的不安全,那么伊朗武装力量将不会允许在波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海继续进行任何进出口活动。(新华社)</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伊朗军方回应美海上封锁:将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的进出口活动</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n伊朗军方回应美海上封锁:将不会允许波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海的进出口活动\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-15 18:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>伊朗武装部队哈塔姆安比亚中央总部发言人15日表示,如果美国继续实施海上封锁,造成伊朗商船和油轮的不安全,那么伊朗武装力量将不会允许在波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海继续进行任何进出口活动。(新华社)</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/38cfb2441cfaaf2a4102f2352eb89787","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100881626","content_text":"伊朗武装部队哈塔姆安比亚中央总部发言人15日表示,如果美国继续实施海上封锁,造成伊朗商船和油轮的不安全,那么伊朗武装力量将不会允许在波斯湾、阿曼湾和红海继续进行任何进出口活动。(新华社)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2,"BZmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":553144166270408,"gmtCreate":1776079536871,"gmtModify":1776079539253,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"只封锁伊朗港口,其他海湾国家开放。","listText":"只封锁伊朗港口,其他海湾国家开放。","text":"只封锁伊朗港口,其他海湾国家开放。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/553144166270408","repostId":"2627381394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2627381394","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1776069222,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2627381394?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-13 16:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"霍尔木兹再封锁,股市反应意外克制,投资者在定价什么?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2627381394","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡致原油重回百美元大关,但股市跌势温和。分析认为,投资者普遍将此封锁视为特朗普“极限施压”的谈判策略,而非系统性战争升级。尽管通胀预期推升美债收益率,但VIX指数暗示最恐慌时期已过。市场正押注外交渠道的延续,防御性仓位也为后续可能的局势降级留出了反弹空间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡致原油重回百美元大关,但股市跌势温和。分析认为,投资者普遍将此封锁视为特朗普“极限施压”的谈判策略,而非系统性战争升级。尽管通胀预期推升美债收益率,但VIX指数暗示最恐慌时期已过。市场正押注外交渠道的延续,防御性仓位也为后续可能的局势降级留出了反弹空间。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡推动原油价格大幅跳升,但股市跌幅却出乎意料地温和——这种分化正在释放一个清晰信号:投资者正将地缘政治冲击视为谈判博弈的组成部分,而非系统性风险升级的起点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周一,布伦特原油单日涨幅达7.4%,升破每桶102美元,美国原油期货也突破104美元。与此同时,标普500指数期货跌0.7%,欧洲股市开盘预计下跌约1.4%。据新华社,美国总统特朗普4月12日在社交平台连发两帖称,美伊会谈“进展顺利,大多数问题已达成一致”,但在核问题这一关键问题上未能谈妥。特朗普宣称,即刻起,美军将“开始对所有试图进入或离开霍尔木兹海峡的船只实施封锁。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9b31e58b18589f6845cc9768b34dfc7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"556\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上周全球股市录得逾两年来最大单周涨幅,布伦特原油则经历2022年以来最大单周跌幅;对照之下,周一克制的回调暗示市场认为谈判破裂仍是议价过程的一部分。Pepperstone策略师Dilin Wu在研报中写道,"在对周末头条的初步反应后,市场情绪有所稳定,但依然保持谨慎韧性,交易员目前聚焦于外交渠道能否得以延续,尽管尚未出现明确进展信号。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Global X ETFs投资策略师Billy Leung将这一现象归结为市场对特朗普风格的重新认知。<strong>"有一种信念认为,这一切都是谈判策略,"</strong>他说,"市场已经达到峰值不确定性,反应函数已不像以前那样极端。"</p><h2 id=\"id_645836864\">恐慌顶点或已过去,VIX暗示情绪企稳</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周一市场格局呈现出明显内部分化:原油价格单边大涨,风险资产的抛售却相对克制。布伦特原油6月合约涨7%至102.17美元/桶,美国原油5月合约涨逾8%至104.93美元/桶。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174bf8af23fb8c2eb1aa0d0068042e57\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"407\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Billy Leung表示,近期市场走势显示投资者正逐渐适应地缘政治冲击,波动性较前几周有所收敛。"我认为市场现在对特朗普的动机有了更好的定价和理解。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ten Cap首席投资组合经理Jun Bei Liu表示,<strong>波动率指标显示最严重的恐慌期或已结束。</strong>"几周前我们看到VIX大幅攀升,那可能就是恐慌与抛售的顶峰……从现在起,市场真正要做的是找到自己的方向。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Billy Leung也持相近看法,但同时提示一个关键的近期风险:<strong>《战争授权决议》的政治时间线。</strong>该决议实际上给特朗普政府留下了有限窗口,须在期限内获得国会授权。"未来几周,我们将看到特朗普政府的迫切程度不断上升,"他表示,"市场可能尚未充分意识到这一约束。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据报道,美国国会议员正再度寻求通过决议,以阻止伊朗战争扩大,并要求特朗普在采取更多军事行动前须先获国会批准。</p><h2 id=\"id_1133314487\">霍尔木兹封锁推升通胀预期,债券持续承压</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">霍尔木兹海峡是全球约五分之一原油流量的咽喉要道。美国宣布封锁后,该海峡的船运量已骤降至涓流之势,进一步强化了供应收紧预期,并在全球范围内加剧通胀担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自本轮战事爆发以来,美国油价累计涨幅已逾55%。通胀预期的升温推迟了市场对降息的预期,并推动债券收益率持续走高——10年期美债收益率自战事开始以来累计上行逾333个基点,美元指数同期累计上涨约1.4%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行Steve Brice表示,<strong>油价走高将推迟货币政策宽松的时机,对债券收益率和美元构成上行压力。</strong>"不过,我们认为这些都是暂时现象,因为我们相信美国正在寻找局势降级的途径。"</p><h2 id=\"id_115960108\">油价料自高位回落,股市防御仓位留有反弹空间</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">部分分析师对油价中期走势持较为乐观的看法,认为美伊最终将达成谈判解决方案,届时当前的风险溢价将被迅速消解。Destination Wealth Management的Michael Yoshikami表示,"我相当确信油价将从这里下跌……我们将再次看到原油价格回到每桶80美元。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行Steve Brice则指出,<strong>当前的股市仓位结构本身支持反弹逻辑。</strong>"我们认为,只要局势不出现实质性恶化,股市近期应能持续走高。"他补充道,投资者目前仍保持防御性仓位,而宏观背景相对正面,一旦冲突开始降温,股市便有条件进一步反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于黄金在高地缘政治风险下的疲软走势,Steve Brice将其归因于新兴市场央行为稳定本币而抛售黄金,但他预计若中东局势逐步缓和,黄金需求将会回归。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Michael Yoshikami总结道,"这不是一个非此即彼的结果,在一段时间内将处于灰色地带。"这也是当前市场环境的真实写照——地缘政治冲击仍然举足轻重,但已不再能触发冲突初期那种程度的恐慌性抛售。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>霍尔木兹再封锁,股市反应意外克制,投资者在定价什么?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n霍尔木兹再封锁,股市反应意外克制,投资者在定价什么?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-13 16:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡致原油重回百美元大关,但股市跌势温和。分析认为,投资者普遍将此封锁视为特朗普“极限施压”的谈判策略,而非系统性战争升级。尽管通胀预期推升美债收益率,但VIX指数暗示最恐慌时期已过。市场正押注外交渠道的延续,防御性仓位也为后续可能的局势降级留出了反弹空间。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡推动原油价格大幅跳升,但股市跌幅却出乎意料地温和——这种分化正在释放一个清晰信号:投资者正将地缘政治冲击视为谈判博弈的组成部分,而非系统性风险升级的起点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周一,布伦特原油单日涨幅达7.4%,升破每桶102美元,美国原油期货也突破104美元。与此同时,标普500指数期货跌0.7%,欧洲股市开盘预计下跌约1.4%。据新华社,美国总统特朗普4月12日在社交平台连发两帖称,美伊会谈“进展顺利,大多数问题已达成一致”,但在核问题这一关键问题上未能谈妥。特朗普宣称,即刻起,美军将“开始对所有试图进入或离开霍尔木兹海峡的船只实施封锁。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9b31e58b18589f6845cc9768b34dfc7\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"556\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上周全球股市录得逾两年来最大单周涨幅,布伦特原油则经历2022年以来最大单周跌幅;对照之下,周一克制的回调暗示市场认为谈判破裂仍是议价过程的一部分。Pepperstone策略师Dilin Wu在研报中写道,"在对周末头条的初步反应后,市场情绪有所稳定,但依然保持谨慎韧性,交易员目前聚焦于外交渠道能否得以延续,尽管尚未出现明确进展信号。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Global X ETFs投资策略师Billy Leung将这一现象归结为市场对特朗普风格的重新认知。<strong>"有一种信念认为,这一切都是谈判策略,"</strong>他说,"市场已经达到峰值不确定性,反应函数已不像以前那样极端。"</p><h2 id=\"id_645836864\">恐慌顶点或已过去,VIX暗示情绪企稳</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周一市场格局呈现出明显内部分化:原油价格单边大涨,风险资产的抛售却相对克制。布伦特原油6月合约涨7%至102.17美元/桶,美国原油5月合约涨逾8%至104.93美元/桶。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174bf8af23fb8c2eb1aa0d0068042e57\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"407\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Billy Leung表示,近期市场走势显示投资者正逐渐适应地缘政治冲击,波动性较前几周有所收敛。"我认为市场现在对特朗普的动机有了更好的定价和理解。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ten Cap首席投资组合经理Jun Bei Liu表示,<strong>波动率指标显示最严重的恐慌期或已结束。</strong>"几周前我们看到VIX大幅攀升,那可能就是恐慌与抛售的顶峰……从现在起,市场真正要做的是找到自己的方向。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Billy Leung也持相近看法,但同时提示一个关键的近期风险:<strong>《战争授权决议》的政治时间线。</strong>该决议实际上给特朗普政府留下了有限窗口,须在期限内获得国会授权。"未来几周,我们将看到特朗普政府的迫切程度不断上升,"他表示,"市场可能尚未充分意识到这一约束。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据报道,美国国会议员正再度寻求通过决议,以阻止伊朗战争扩大,并要求特朗普在采取更多军事行动前须先获国会批准。</p><h2 id=\"id_1133314487\">霍尔木兹封锁推升通胀预期,债券持续承压</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">霍尔木兹海峡是全球约五分之一原油流量的咽喉要道。美国宣布封锁后,该海峡的船运量已骤降至涓流之势,进一步强化了供应收紧预期,并在全球范围内加剧通胀担忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自本轮战事爆发以来,美国油价累计涨幅已逾55%。通胀预期的升温推迟了市场对降息的预期,并推动债券收益率持续走高——10年期美债收益率自战事开始以来累计上行逾333个基点,美元指数同期累计上涨约1.4%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行Steve Brice表示,<strong>油价走高将推迟货币政策宽松的时机,对债券收益率和美元构成上行压力。</strong>"不过,我们认为这些都是暂时现象,因为我们相信美国正在寻找局势降级的途径。"</p><h2 id=\"id_115960108\">油价料自高位回落,股市防御仓位留有反弹空间</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">部分分析师对油价中期走势持较为乐观的看法,认为美伊最终将达成谈判解决方案,届时当前的风险溢价将被迅速消解。Destination Wealth Management的Michael Yoshikami表示,"我相当确信油价将从这里下跌……我们将再次看到原油价格回到每桶80美元。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行Steve Brice则指出,<strong>当前的股市仓位结构本身支持反弹逻辑。</strong>"我们认为,只要局势不出现实质性恶化,股市近期应能持续走高。"他补充道,投资者目前仍保持防御性仓位,而宏观背景相对正面,一旦冲突开始降温,股市便有条件进一步反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于黄金在高地缘政治风险下的疲软走势,Steve Brice将其归因于新兴市场央行为稳定本币而抛售黄金,但他预计若中东局势逐步缓和,黄金需求将会回归。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Michael Yoshikami总结道,"这不是一个非此即彼的结果,在一段时间内将处于灰色地带。"这也是当前市场环境的真实写照——地缘政治冲击仍然举足轻重,但已不再能触发冲突初期那种程度的恐慌性抛售。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4588":"碎股","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3769821","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2627381394","content_text":"美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡致原油重回百美元大关,但股市跌势温和。分析认为,投资者普遍将此封锁视为特朗普“极限施压”的谈判策略,而非系统性战争升级。尽管通胀预期推升美债收益率,但VIX指数暗示最恐慌时期已过。市场正押注外交渠道的延续,防御性仓位也为后续可能的局势降级留出了反弹空间。美国宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡推动原油价格大幅跳升,但股市跌幅却出乎意料地温和——这种分化正在释放一个清晰信号:投资者正将地缘政治冲击视为谈判博弈的组成部分,而非系统性风险升级的起点。周一,布伦特原油单日涨幅达7.4%,升破每桶102美元,美国原油期货也突破104美元。与此同时,标普500指数期货跌0.7%,欧洲股市开盘预计下跌约1.4%。据新华社,美国总统特朗普4月12日在社交平台连发两帖称,美伊会谈“进展顺利,大多数问题已达成一致”,但在核问题这一关键问题上未能谈妥。特朗普宣称,即刻起,美军将“开始对所有试图进入或离开霍尔木兹海峡的船只实施封锁。”上周全球股市录得逾两年来最大单周涨幅,布伦特原油则经历2022年以来最大单周跌幅;对照之下,周一克制的回调暗示市场认为谈判破裂仍是议价过程的一部分。Pepperstone策略师Dilin Wu在研报中写道,\"在对周末头条的初步反应后,市场情绪有所稳定,但依然保持谨慎韧性,交易员目前聚焦于外交渠道能否得以延续,尽管尚未出现明确进展信号。\"Global X ETFs投资策略师Billy Leung将这一现象归结为市场对特朗普风格的重新认知。\"有一种信念认为,这一切都是谈判策略,\"他说,\"市场已经达到峰值不确定性,反应函数已不像以前那样极端。\"恐慌顶点或已过去,VIX暗示情绪企稳周一市场格局呈现出明显内部分化:原油价格单边大涨,风险资产的抛售却相对克制。布伦特原油6月合约涨7%至102.17美元/桶,美国原油5月合约涨逾8%至104.93美元/桶。Billy Leung表示,近期市场走势显示投资者正逐渐适应地缘政治冲击,波动性较前几周有所收敛。\"我认为市场现在对特朗普的动机有了更好的定价和理解。\"Ten Cap首席投资组合经理Jun Bei Liu表示,波动率指标显示最严重的恐慌期或已结束。\"几周前我们看到VIX大幅攀升,那可能就是恐慌与抛售的顶峰……从现在起,市场真正要做的是找到自己的方向。\"Billy Leung也持相近看法,但同时提示一个关键的近期风险:《战争授权决议》的政治时间线。该决议实际上给特朗普政府留下了有限窗口,须在期限内获得国会授权。\"未来几周,我们将看到特朗普政府的迫切程度不断上升,\"他表示,\"市场可能尚未充分意识到这一约束。\"据报道,美国国会议员正再度寻求通过决议,以阻止伊朗战争扩大,并要求特朗普在采取更多军事行动前须先获国会批准。霍尔木兹封锁推升通胀预期,债券持续承压霍尔木兹海峡是全球约五分之一原油流量的咽喉要道。美国宣布封锁后,该海峡的船运量已骤降至涓流之势,进一步强化了供应收紧预期,并在全球范围内加剧通胀担忧。自本轮战事爆发以来,美国油价累计涨幅已逾55%。通胀预期的升温推迟了市场对降息的预期,并推动债券收益率持续走高——10年期美债收益率自战事开始以来累计上行逾333个基点,美元指数同期累计上涨约1.4%。渣打银行Steve Brice表示,油价走高将推迟货币政策宽松的时机,对债券收益率和美元构成上行压力。\"不过,我们认为这些都是暂时现象,因为我们相信美国正在寻找局势降级的途径。\"油价料自高位回落,股市防御仓位留有反弹空间部分分析师对油价中期走势持较为乐观的看法,认为美伊最终将达成谈判解决方案,届时当前的风险溢价将被迅速消解。Destination Wealth Management的Michael Yoshikami表示,\"我相当确信油价将从这里下跌……我们将再次看到原油价格回到每桶80美元。\"渣打银行Steve Brice则指出,当前的股市仓位结构本身支持反弹逻辑。\"我们认为,只要局势不出现实质性恶化,股市近期应能持续走高。\"他补充道,投资者目前仍保持防御性仓位,而宏观背景相对正面,一旦冲突开始降温,股市便有条件进一步反弹。对于黄金在高地缘政治风险下的疲软走势,Steve Brice将其归因于新兴市场央行为稳定本币而抛售黄金,但他预计若中东局势逐步缓和,黄金需求将会回归。Michael Yoshikami总结道,\"这不是一个非此即彼的结果,在一段时间内将处于灰色地带。\"这也是当前市场环境的真实写照——地缘政治冲击仍然举足轻重,但已不再能触发冲突初期那种程度的恐慌性抛售。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":2,".SPX":2,"NDX":2,".DJI":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":552465011118296,"gmtCreate":1775913716016,"gmtModify":1775913718696,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哈哈哈,找死的节奏","listText":"哈哈哈,找死的节奏","text":"哈哈哈,找死的节奏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/552465011118296","repostId":"2626145058","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2626145058","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1775862133,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2626145058?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-11 07:02","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"“大空头”Burry增持英伟达看跌期权,买入京东、阿里巴巴","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2626145058","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Michael Burry披露最新持仓:增持京东,同时新建阿里巴巴多头仓位,他认为京东近期走弱提供了理想入场点,同时延续对AI板块的谨慎态度,买入英伟达2027年1月到期看跌期权,行权价115美元。此外,他还加仓GameStop并新建仓支付公司Fiserv。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>Michael Burry披露最新持仓:增持京东,同时新建阿里巴巴多头仓位,他认为京东近期走弱提供了理想入场点,同时延续对AI板块的谨慎态度,买入英伟达2027年1月到期看跌期权,行权价115美元。此外,他还加仓GameStop并新建仓支付公司Fiserv。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">知名投资人Michael Burry披露建仓中国科技股,并增持对英伟达的看跌押注,引发市场广泛关注。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">4月10日,Michael Burry在其Substack平台发文,宣布买入京东和阿里巴巴股票。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>除中国科技股外,Burry还披露增持了英伟达看跌期权,并买入GameStop及支付技术公司Fiserv的股票。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry以精准预判2008年次贷危机而闻名,其一举一动历来受到市场密切追踪。京东ADR周五上涨逾2%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd19b999c82f6c35cbe60d528b0a6860\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><h2 id=\"323af2a0\">大举布局中国电商,增持英伟达看跌期权</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据Burry在Substack发给付费订阅用户的帖子,他当日买入了京东和阿里巴巴的股票。帖子写道:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">京东是重要的加仓,阿里巴巴是新建仓、略高于6%,京东略高于这一比例。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Burry同时表示,京东近期的走弱提供了"极具吸引力的入场点",暗示其此番布局属于逢低买入策略。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在英伟达方面</strong>,Burry表示进一步扩大了看跌期权仓位:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次买入的是2027年1月到期、行权价115美元的看跌期权,成本为3.30美元。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他在帖子中补充道:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另一种理解方式是,我的名义空头敞口约为3%,若英伟达真的开始大幅下跌,借贷成本可能轻松达到甚至超过这一水平。此外,我此前持有的2027年1月到期、行权价100美元的看跌期权仍继续持有。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">今年2月,Burry曾就人工智能热潮的可持续性发出警示,质疑科技巨头大规模数据中心支出,能否在不损伤资产负债表和盈利的情况下长期维系,此番增持看跌期权延续了其对AI板块的谨慎立场。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry还披露,他<strong>买入了GameStop</strong>,称系"在已有相当规模持仓的基础上继续加仓"。此外,他<strong>买入了支付技术公司Fiserv</strong>的股票,并在帖子中表示看好该公司的"新领导层"。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“大空头”Burry增持英伟达看跌期权,买入京东、阿里巴巴</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“大空头”Burry增持英伟达看跌期权,买入京东、阿里巴巴\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-11 07:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>Michael Burry披露最新持仓:增持京东,同时新建阿里巴巴多头仓位,他认为京东近期走弱提供了理想入场点,同时延续对AI板块的谨慎态度,买入英伟达2027年1月到期看跌期权,行权价115美元。此外,他还加仓GameStop并新建仓支付公司Fiserv。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">知名投资人Michael Burry披露建仓中国科技股,并增持对英伟达的看跌押注,引发市场广泛关注。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">4月10日,Michael Burry在其Substack平台发文,宣布买入京东和阿里巴巴股票。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>除中国科技股外,Burry还披露增持了英伟达看跌期权,并买入GameStop及支付技术公司Fiserv的股票。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry以精准预判2008年次贷危机而闻名,其一举一动历来受到市场密切追踪。京东ADR周五上涨逾2%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd19b999c82f6c35cbe60d528b0a6860\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><h2 id=\"323af2a0\">大举布局中国电商,增持英伟达看跌期权</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据Burry在Substack发给付费订阅用户的帖子,他当日买入了京东和阿里巴巴的股票。帖子写道:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">京东是重要的加仓,阿里巴巴是新建仓、略高于6%,京东略高于这一比例。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Burry同时表示,京东近期的走弱提供了"极具吸引力的入场点",暗示其此番布局属于逢低买入策略。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在英伟达方面</strong>,Burry表示进一步扩大了看跌期权仓位:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次买入的是2027年1月到期、行权价115美元的看跌期权,成本为3.30美元。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他在帖子中补充道:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另一种理解方式是,我的名义空头敞口约为3%,若英伟达真的开始大幅下跌,借贷成本可能轻松达到甚至超过这一水平。此外,我此前持有的2027年1月到期、行权价100美元的看跌期权仍继续持有。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">今年2月,Burry曾就人工智能热潮的可持续性发出警示,质疑科技巨头大规模数据中心支出,能否在不损伤资产负债表和盈利的情况下长期维系,此番增持看跌期权延续了其对AI板块的谨慎立场。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry还披露,他<strong>买入了GameStop</strong>,称系"在已有相当规模持仓的基础上继续加仓"。此外,他<strong>买入了支付技术公司Fiserv</strong>的股票,并在帖子中表示看好该公司的"新领导层"。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"HK0000532082.HKD":"ALLIANZ SELECTION INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0511384066.AUD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (AUDHDG) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"AG\" (USD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU1992135399.USD":"Allianz Global Intelligent Cities AT Acc USD","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2413666699.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT \"CRH\" (HKDHDG) INC","LU0861579265.USD":"联博低波幅策略股票基金A","LU1935042215.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED 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(USD) INC","LU2039709279.SGD":"MANULIFE GF DRAGON GROWTH \"AA\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","IE00BJTD4N35.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Long Short Equity A1 Acc SGD-H","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU0823421416.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3769726","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2626145058","content_text":"Michael Burry披露最新持仓:增持京东,同时新建阿里巴巴多头仓位,他认为京东近期走弱提供了理想入场点,同时延续对AI板块的谨慎态度,买入英伟达2027年1月到期看跌期权,行权价115美元。此外,他还加仓GameStop并新建仓支付公司Fiserv。知名投资人Michael Burry披露建仓中国科技股,并增持对英伟达的看跌押注,引发市场广泛关注。4月10日,Michael Burry在其Substack平台发文,宣布买入京东和阿里巴巴股票。除中国科技股外,Burry还披露增持了英伟达看跌期权,并买入GameStop及支付技术公司Fiserv的股票。Burry以精准预判2008年次贷危机而闻名,其一举一动历来受到市场密切追踪。京东ADR周五上涨逾2%。大举布局中国电商,增持英伟达看跌期权据Burry在Substack发给付费订阅用户的帖子,他当日买入了京东和阿里巴巴的股票。帖子写道:京东是重要的加仓,阿里巴巴是新建仓、略高于6%,京东略高于这一比例。Burry同时表示,京东近期的走弱提供了\"极具吸引力的入场点\",暗示其此番布局属于逢低买入策略。在英伟达方面,Burry表示进一步扩大了看跌期权仓位:此次买入的是2027年1月到期、行权价115美元的看跌期权,成本为3.30美元。他在帖子中补充道:另一种理解方式是,我的名义空头敞口约为3%,若英伟达真的开始大幅下跌,借贷成本可能轻松达到甚至超过这一水平。此外,我此前持有的2027年1月到期、行权价100美元的看跌期权仍继续持有。今年2月,Burry曾就人工智能热潮的可持续性发出警示,质疑科技巨头大规模数据中心支出,能否在不损伤资产负债表和盈利的情况下长期维系,此番增持看跌期权延续了其对AI板块的谨慎立场。Burry还披露,他买入了GameStop,称系\"在已有相当规模持仓的基础上继续加仓\"。此外,他买入了支付技术公司Fiserv的股票,并在帖子中表示看好该公司的\"新领导层\"。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":2,"JD":2,"NVDA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":552101921085136,"gmtCreate":1775825144755,"gmtModify":1775825147586,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"那如果用这个攻击敌对国家金融系统是不是轻而易举让对方崩溃?","listText":"那如果用这个攻击敌对国家金融系统是不是轻而易举让对方崩溃?","text":"那如果用这个攻击敌对国家金融系统是不是轻而易举让对方崩溃?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/552101921085136","repostId":"2626221151","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2626221151","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1775798109,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2626221151?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-10 13:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"贝森特与鲍威尔召集华尔街紧急开会:Claude新模型对金融业有巨大风险","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2626221151","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"更多消息,持续更新中","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>贝森特与鲍威尔紧急召集花旗、高盛、美国银行等系统重要性银行CEO,专题讨论Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos的网络安全威胁。Anthropic自称该模型能识别并利用所有主流操作系统和浏览器漏洞,监管层将此类新型网络攻击视为金融业最大风险之一。因“过于强大”,目前Mythos仅向亚马逊、苹果、摩根大通等少数机构开放。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos引发美国监管层高度警惕——美国两大金融监管核心人物联手,将华尔街顶级银行CEO紧急召至华盛顿。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据彭博最新报道,美国财长贝森特与美联储主席鲍威尔于本周二在华盛顿财政部总部紧急召集华尔街主要银行CEO开会,会议核心议题是Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos可能带来的网络安全威胁。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知情人士透露,此次会议旨在确保各银行充分了解Mythos及同类模型可能带来的潜在风险,并已采取必要的系统防护措施。财政部发言人未立即回应置评请求,美联储发言人则拒绝置评。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次会议临时安排、事先未有公开报道,本身即是一个信号:监管层将新型网络攻击视为金融业当前面临的最大风险之一。所有受邀银行均被顶级监管机构列为系统重要性金融机构,其稳定性直接关乎全球金融体系。</p><h2 id=\"id_509129510\">谁来了,谁没来</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知情人士向媒体透露,出席此次会议的银行CEO包括:花旗集团的Jane Fraser、摩根士丹利的Ted Pick、美国银行的Brian Moynihan、富国银行的Charlie Scharf,以及高盛的David Solomon。摩根大通CEO Jamie Dimon未能出席。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">各银行发言人均拒绝置评,Anthropic代表也未立即回应。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一阵容几乎涵盖美国最大的系统重要性银行。监管层选择直接对话CEO级别,而非技术或合规层面,显示出此次警示的紧迫程度。</p><h2 id=\"id_3455253459\">Mythos究竟有多危险?</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据Anthropic自述,Mythos能够在用户指令下,“识别并利用每一个主流操作系统和网页浏览器中的漏洞”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这意味着,如果该模型落入恶意行为者手中,其攻击面几乎覆盖所有数字基础设施。对于高度依赖数字系统运营的银行而言,这不是抽象风险——一旦核心系统被渗透,交易中断、数据泄露乃至系统性连锁反应均有可能发生。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从实战数据来看,Mythos的能力并非夸大其词。据华尔街见闻此前文章,该模型发现了OpenBSD中一个存在27年的远程崩溃漏洞,以及FFmpeg中一个16年前埋下、此前已被自动化工具扫描逾500万次却从未触发警报的漏洞。此外,它还在Linux内核中自主串联多个漏洞,构建出从普通用户权限提升至完全控制机器的完整攻击链。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">正因如此,Anthropic在发布策略上采取了极为审慎的态度,目前仅向少数头部科技和金融机构开放,包括亚马逊、苹果和摩根大通。这些机构共同参与“Project Glasswing”项目,目标是在同类AI模型更广泛普及之前,率先完成对关键系统的安全加固。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Anthropic表示,在近期发布前已就Mythos的"进攻性与防御性网络能力"与美国官员进行过沟通。</p><h2 id=\"id_2333832576\">“太强了”不敢公开:“Project Glasswing”防御者抢先一步</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街文章提及,4月7日周二,Anthropic宣布成立名为"Project Glasswing"的行业联合项目,联合亚马逊、苹果、微软、思科等公司提供工具,将旗下新一代前沿模型Claude Mythos Preview用于关键软件基础设施的漏洞扫描与修复。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27be85d7784a0c9d4343023e2cc0c41\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Anthropic表示,正是由于这一模型能力过于强大,目前暂无向公众开放的计划。</strong>在这一背景下,Project Glasswing被定位为先发防御行动,在同等能力向更广泛行为者扩散之前,优先将其用于防御目的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根大通首席信息安全官Pat Opet表示,该行将以"严格、独立的方式"评估这一工具在金融关键基础设施防御中的应用价值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,Anthropic目前与特朗普政府存在法律争议。五角大楼将Anthropic列为供应链风险,Anthropic对此提出异议。本周,联邦上诉法院拒绝了Anthropic要求暂停该认定的请求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一背景使得监管层与Anthropic之间的关系更加微妙——一方面,财政部和美联储将其模型视为需要紧急应对的系统性风险;另一方面,Anthropic在政府层面仍面临法律压力。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>贝森特与鲍威尔召集华尔街紧急开会:Claude新模型对金融业有巨大风险</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n贝森特与鲍威尔召集华尔街紧急开会:Claude新模型对金融业有巨大风险\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-10 13:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>贝森特与鲍威尔紧急召集花旗、高盛、美国银行等系统重要性银行CEO,专题讨论Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos的网络安全威胁。Anthropic自称该模型能识别并利用所有主流操作系统和浏览器漏洞,监管层将此类新型网络攻击视为金融业最大风险之一。因“过于强大”,目前Mythos仅向亚马逊、苹果、摩根大通等少数机构开放。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos引发美国监管层高度警惕——美国两大金融监管核心人物联手,将华尔街顶级银行CEO紧急召至华盛顿。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据彭博最新报道,美国财长贝森特与美联储主席鲍威尔于本周二在华盛顿财政部总部紧急召集华尔街主要银行CEO开会,会议核心议题是Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos可能带来的网络安全威胁。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知情人士透露,此次会议旨在确保各银行充分了解Mythos及同类模型可能带来的潜在风险,并已采取必要的系统防护措施。财政部发言人未立即回应置评请求,美联储发言人则拒绝置评。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此次会议临时安排、事先未有公开报道,本身即是一个信号:监管层将新型网络攻击视为金融业当前面临的最大风险之一。所有受邀银行均被顶级监管机构列为系统重要性金融机构,其稳定性直接关乎全球金融体系。</p><h2 id=\"id_509129510\">谁来了,谁没来</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据知情人士向媒体透露,出席此次会议的银行CEO包括:花旗集团的Jane Fraser、摩根士丹利的Ted Pick、美国银行的Brian Moynihan、富国银行的Charlie Scharf,以及高盛的David Solomon。摩根大通CEO Jamie Dimon未能出席。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">各银行发言人均拒绝置评,Anthropic代表也未立即回应。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一阵容几乎涵盖美国最大的系统重要性银行。监管层选择直接对话CEO级别,而非技术或合规层面,显示出此次警示的紧迫程度。</p><h2 id=\"id_3455253459\">Mythos究竟有多危险?</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据Anthropic自述,Mythos能够在用户指令下,“识别并利用每一个主流操作系统和网页浏览器中的漏洞”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这意味着,如果该模型落入恶意行为者手中,其攻击面几乎覆盖所有数字基础设施。对于高度依赖数字系统运营的银行而言,这不是抽象风险——一旦核心系统被渗透,交易中断、数据泄露乃至系统性连锁反应均有可能发生。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从实战数据来看,Mythos的能力并非夸大其词。据华尔街见闻此前文章,该模型发现了OpenBSD中一个存在27年的远程崩溃漏洞,以及FFmpeg中一个16年前埋下、此前已被自动化工具扫描逾500万次却从未触发警报的漏洞。此外,它还在Linux内核中自主串联多个漏洞,构建出从普通用户权限提升至完全控制机器的完整攻击链。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">正因如此,Anthropic在发布策略上采取了极为审慎的态度,目前仅向少数头部科技和金融机构开放,包括亚马逊、苹果和摩根大通。这些机构共同参与“Project Glasswing”项目,目标是在同类AI模型更广泛普及之前,率先完成对关键系统的安全加固。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Anthropic表示,在近期发布前已就Mythos的"进攻性与防御性网络能力"与美国官员进行过沟通。</p><h2 id=\"id_2333832576\">“太强了”不敢公开:“Project Glasswing”防御者抢先一步</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街文章提及,4月7日周二,Anthropic宣布成立名为"Project Glasswing"的行业联合项目,联合亚马逊、苹果、微软、思科等公司提供工具,将旗下新一代前沿模型Claude Mythos Preview用于关键软件基础设施的漏洞扫描与修复。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27be85d7784a0c9d4343023e2cc0c41\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"576\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Anthropic表示,正是由于这一模型能力过于强大,目前暂无向公众开放的计划。</strong>在这一背景下,Project Glasswing被定位为先发防御行动,在同等能力向更广泛行为者扩散之前,优先将其用于防御目的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根大通首席信息安全官Pat Opet表示,该行将以"严格、独立的方式"评估这一工具在金融关键基础设施防御中的应用价值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,Anthropic目前与特朗普政府存在法律争议。五角大楼将Anthropic列为供应链风险,Anthropic对此提出异议。本周,联邦上诉法院拒绝了Anthropic要求暂停该认定的请求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一背景使得监管层与Anthropic之间的关系更加微妙——一方面,财政部和美联储将其模型视为需要紧急应对的系统性风险;另一方面,Anthropic在政府层面仍面临法律压力。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2de3c0716b35c37efd32cc058bd12d0","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","GS":"高盛","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3769638","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2626221151","content_text":"贝森特与鲍威尔紧急召集花旗、高盛、美国银行等系统重要性银行CEO,专题讨论Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos的网络安全威胁。Anthropic自称该模型能识别并利用所有主流操作系统和浏览器漏洞,监管层将此类新型网络攻击视为金融业最大风险之一。因“过于强大”,目前Mythos仅向亚马逊、苹果、摩根大通等少数机构开放。Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos引发美国监管层高度警惕——美国两大金融监管核心人物联手,将华尔街顶级银行CEO紧急召至华盛顿。据彭博最新报道,美国财长贝森特与美联储主席鲍威尔于本周二在华盛顿财政部总部紧急召集华尔街主要银行CEO开会,会议核心议题是Anthropic最新AI模型Mythos可能带来的网络安全威胁。据知情人士透露,此次会议旨在确保各银行充分了解Mythos及同类模型可能带来的潜在风险,并已采取必要的系统防护措施。财政部发言人未立即回应置评请求,美联储发言人则拒绝置评。此次会议临时安排、事先未有公开报道,本身即是一个信号:监管层将新型网络攻击视为金融业当前面临的最大风险之一。所有受邀银行均被顶级监管机构列为系统重要性金融机构,其稳定性直接关乎全球金融体系。谁来了,谁没来据知情人士向媒体透露,出席此次会议的银行CEO包括:花旗集团的Jane Fraser、摩根士丹利的Ted Pick、美国银行的Brian Moynihan、富国银行的Charlie Scharf,以及高盛的David Solomon。摩根大通CEO Jamie Dimon未能出席。各银行发言人均拒绝置评,Anthropic代表也未立即回应。这一阵容几乎涵盖美国最大的系统重要性银行。监管层选择直接对话CEO级别,而非技术或合规层面,显示出此次警示的紧迫程度。Mythos究竟有多危险?据Anthropic自述,Mythos能够在用户指令下,“识别并利用每一个主流操作系统和网页浏览器中的漏洞”。这意味着,如果该模型落入恶意行为者手中,其攻击面几乎覆盖所有数字基础设施。对于高度依赖数字系统运营的银行而言,这不是抽象风险——一旦核心系统被渗透,交易中断、数据泄露乃至系统性连锁反应均有可能发生。从实战数据来看,Mythos的能力并非夸大其词。据华尔街见闻此前文章,该模型发现了OpenBSD中一个存在27年的远程崩溃漏洞,以及FFmpeg中一个16年前埋下、此前已被自动化工具扫描逾500万次却从未触发警报的漏洞。此外,它还在Linux内核中自主串联多个漏洞,构建出从普通用户权限提升至完全控制机器的完整攻击链。正因如此,Anthropic在发布策略上采取了极为审慎的态度,目前仅向少数头部科技和金融机构开放,包括亚马逊、苹果和摩根大通。这些机构共同参与“Project Glasswing”项目,目标是在同类AI模型更广泛普及之前,率先完成对关键系统的安全加固。Anthropic表示,在近期发布前已就Mythos的\"进攻性与防御性网络能力\"与美国官员进行过沟通。“太强了”不敢公开:“Project Glasswing”防御者抢先一步华尔街文章提及,4月7日周二,Anthropic宣布成立名为\"Project Glasswing\"的行业联合项目,联合亚马逊、苹果、微软、思科等公司提供工具,将旗下新一代前沿模型Claude Mythos Preview用于关键软件基础设施的漏洞扫描与修复。Anthropic表示,正是由于这一模型能力过于强大,目前暂无向公众开放的计划。在这一背景下,Project Glasswing被定位为先发防御行动,在同等能力向更广泛行为者扩散之前,优先将其用于防御目的。摩根大通首席信息安全官Pat Opet表示,该行将以\"严格、独立的方式\"评估这一工具在金融关键基础设施防御中的应用价值。值得注意的是,Anthropic目前与特朗普政府存在法律争议。五角大楼将Anthropic列为供应链风险,Anthropic对此提出异议。本周,联邦上诉法院拒绝了Anthropic要求暂停该认定的请求。这一背景使得监管层与Anthropic之间的关系更加微妙——一方面,财政部和美联储将其模型视为需要紧急应对的系统性风险;另一方面,Anthropic在政府层面仍面临法律压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":552100740858048,"gmtCreate":1775824861730,"gmtModify":1775825888616,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这有傻瓜去听他鸭子嘴嘴硬的话","listText":"这有傻瓜去听他鸭子嘴嘴硬的话","text":"这有傻瓜去听他鸭子嘴嘴硬的话","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/552100740858048","repostId":"1195838892","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195838892","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1775806339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195838892?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-10 15:32","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"伊朗议会提出永久禁止与美、以有关的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195838892","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"还将适用于对抵抗阵线采取行动的国家。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五,国际油价盘中直线拉升。市场消息:伊朗议会国家安全委员会主席Ebrahim Azizi表示,议会提出一项提案,<strong>将永久禁止与美国和以色列有关联的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与以色列有关联或往返以色列的船只也将被禁止通行,这一禁令还将适用于那些对‘抵抗阵线’采取行动的国家。</strong></p><p>据伊朗学生通讯社报道,伊朗议会国家安全与外交政策委员会主席易卜拉欣·阿齐兹今日表示,以色列油轮不得通过霍尔木兹海峡。他明确表示:“‘绝对禁止’以色列油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与‘犹太复国主义政权’相关的船只及货物,无论军用还是民用,均不得在波斯湾及霍尔木兹海峡通行。”他还指出,其他对伊朗伊斯兰共和国持敌对态度的国家同样被禁止通过该海峡。他补充说,“敌对国家以及与这些国家合作、危害伊朗安全的国家,无权通过霍尔木兹海峡。”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0e0390e5130f0d45c79ba9961f544d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1284\" tg-height=\"633\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03160a750a37489604e037d733ef744e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"639\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伊朗议会提出永久禁止与美、以有关的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n伊朗议会提出永久禁止与美、以有关的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-10 15:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周五,国际油价盘中直线拉升。市场消息:伊朗议会国家安全委员会主席Ebrahim Azizi表示,议会提出一项提案,<strong>将永久禁止与美国和以色列有关联的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与以色列有关联或往返以色列的船只也将被禁止通行,这一禁令还将适用于那些对‘抵抗阵线’采取行动的国家。</strong></p><p>据伊朗学生通讯社报道,伊朗议会国家安全与外交政策委员会主席易卜拉欣·阿齐兹今日表示,以色列油轮不得通过霍尔木兹海峡。他明确表示:“‘绝对禁止’以色列油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与‘犹太复国主义政权’相关的船只及货物,无论军用还是民用,均不得在波斯湾及霍尔木兹海峡通行。”他还指出,其他对伊朗伊斯兰共和国持敌对态度的国家同样被禁止通过该海峡。他补充说,“敌对国家以及与这些国家合作、危害伊朗安全的国家,无权通过霍尔木兹海峡。”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0e0390e5130f0d45c79ba9961f544d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1284\" tg-height=\"633\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03160a750a37489604e037d733ef744e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1287\" tg-height=\"639\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b10617d656159f9b4a642ca98521d59e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195838892","content_text":"周五,国际油价盘中直线拉升。市场消息:伊朗议会国家安全委员会主席Ebrahim Azizi表示,议会提出一项提案,将永久禁止与美国和以色列有关联的油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与以色列有关联或往返以色列的船只也将被禁止通行,这一禁令还将适用于那些对‘抵抗阵线’采取行动的国家。据伊朗学生通讯社报道,伊朗议会国家安全与外交政策委员会主席易卜拉欣·阿齐兹今日表示,以色列油轮不得通过霍尔木兹海峡。他明确表示:“‘绝对禁止’以色列油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。与‘犹太复国主义政权’相关的船只及货物,无论军用还是民用,均不得在波斯湾及霍尔木兹海峡通行。”他还指出,其他对伊朗伊斯兰共和国持敌对态度的国家同样被禁止通过该海峡。他补充说,“敌对国家以及与这些国家合作、危害伊朗安全的国家,无权通过霍尔木兹海峡。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":551562094411808,"gmtCreate":1775680644180,"gmtModify":1775680646773,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"套上路了吗","listText":"套上路了吗","text":"套上路了吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/551562094411808","repostId":"2625176919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2625176919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1775643318,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2625176919?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-08 18:15","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"取代燃气轮机,AI电力的首选答案,是燃气发电机组?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2625176919","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"汇丰认为,天然气发电机组凭借交期短、启动快、灵活性高等优势,正快速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源。头部厂商订单已排满至2027年底,预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>汇丰认为,天然气发电机组凭借交期短、启动快、灵活性高等优势,正快速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源。头部厂商订单已排满至2027年底,预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。</p></blockquote><p>AI数据中心对电力设备的需求正在重塑整个发电设备市场格局。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">汇丰</a>银行最新研究报告指出,<strong>天然气发电机组正迅速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源,供需失衡局面短期内难以缓解。</strong></p><p>据追风交易台,汇丰近日发布报告,由于AI驱动的需求激增,头部天然气发电机组制造商订单已排至2027年底,<strong>2025年设备价格已上涨15%至20%。预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_2794163681\">燃气发电机组:为何成为AI数据中心的新宠</h2><p>天然气发电机组在AI数据中心主电源市场的崛起,<strong>源于其在交货周期、启动性能和灵活性三方面的显著优势。</strong></p><p>首先,天然气发电机组的交货周期为1至2年,明显短于燃气轮机所需的2至4年,能够更快速地匹配数据中心扩张节奏。</p><p>其次,在冷启动时间上,天然气发电机组仅需30至60秒,远快于燃气轮机的5至60分钟,这对负载波动剧烈的AI训练场景至关重要。</p><p>此外,发电机组单机容量在2至8兆瓦之间,模块化程度高,易于按需扩容,且在未来电网接入完成后(预计2030年前后)可灵活转作备用电源。</p><p>相比之下,大型燃气轮机单机容量虽可达100至500兆瓦以上,但部署周期长、灵活性弱,更适合需求稳定的大型云计算设施,而非负载特征激进的AI训练场景。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752c4f79c2408f2ab8991bdab551557e\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"1096\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1999921862\">供需失衡:订单爆满,价格持续攀升</h2><p>在高速天然气发电机组领域,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">卡特彼勒</a>和INNIO Jenbacher合计占据约65%的市场份额,两家公司订单均已排满至2027年底。中速发电机组市场则由Wärtsilä和Everllence主导,市占率合计约75%,同样处于满负荷状态。</p><p>从价格来看,在数据中心部署天然气发电机组的综合资本开支目前约为每千瓦1400至1700美元,其中裸机组本身约600至1000美元,辅助设备约200美元,尾气处理约100美元。</p><p>各主要厂商的裸机组报价差异明显:卡特彼勒、CMI及MTU(2至8兆瓦机型)约为每千瓦600至650美元;Jenbacher约为750至800美元;Wärtsilä和Everllence(20至25兆瓦机型)则高达800至1000美元。</p><p><strong>预计天然气发电机组的供需将在2028至2029年前后趋于再平衡</strong>,届时价格或出现较大幅度回调。相比之下,柴油发电机组的供需拐点预计更早到来,约在2027至2028年出现。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/666551469dcb34f36f0badf01418134c\" tg-width=\"1412\" tg-height=\"1116\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2563126418\">核心受益标的:卡特彼勒与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000338\">潍柴动力</a></h2><p>汇丰在报告中着重推介两只标的,理由各有侧重。</p><p>卡特彼勒被汇丰视为AI数据中心建设中"不可或缺"的供应商。</p><p>公司产品线涵盖柴油发电机组、天然气发电机组及燃气轮机,市场地位强势。在高速天然气发电机组市场,卡特彼勒以约35%的市占率排名第一;在柴油发电机组市场亦居于领先地位。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02338\">潍柴动力</a>则被视为潜在市场份额提升的机会。潍柴具备三大催化剂:</p><p>一是交货周期较短(30至60周,而卡特彼勒和Cummins约需100周);二是天然气发电机组产品计划于2026年下半年推出,2至3兆瓦机型预计2026年6月上市,5兆瓦机型及7兆瓦中速机型预计2026年12月推出;三是固体氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)业务产能持续爬坡。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>取代燃气轮机,AI电力的首选答案,是燃气发电机组?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n取代燃气轮机,AI电力的首选答案,是燃气发电机组?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-08 18:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>汇丰认为,天然气发电机组凭借交期短、启动快、灵活性高等优势,正快速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源。头部厂商订单已排满至2027年底,预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。</p></blockquote><p>AI数据中心对电力设备的需求正在重塑整个发电设备市场格局。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSBC\">汇丰</a>银行最新研究报告指出,<strong>天然气发电机组正迅速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源,供需失衡局面短期内难以缓解。</strong></p><p>据追风交易台,汇丰近日发布报告,由于AI驱动的需求激增,头部天然气发电机组制造商订单已排至2027年底,<strong>2025年设备价格已上涨15%至20%。预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_2794163681\">燃气发电机组:为何成为AI数据中心的新宠</h2><p>天然气发电机组在AI数据中心主电源市场的崛起,<strong>源于其在交货周期、启动性能和灵活性三方面的显著优势。</strong></p><p>首先,天然气发电机组的交货周期为1至2年,明显短于燃气轮机所需的2至4年,能够更快速地匹配数据中心扩张节奏。</p><p>其次,在冷启动时间上,天然气发电机组仅需30至60秒,远快于燃气轮机的5至60分钟,这对负载波动剧烈的AI训练场景至关重要。</p><p>此外,发电机组单机容量在2至8兆瓦之间,模块化程度高,易于按需扩容,且在未来电网接入完成后(预计2030年前后)可灵活转作备用电源。</p><p>相比之下,大型燃气轮机单机容量虽可达100至500兆瓦以上,但部署周期长、灵活性弱,更适合需求稳定的大型云计算设施,而非负载特征激进的AI训练场景。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752c4f79c2408f2ab8991bdab551557e\" tg-width=\"1400\" tg-height=\"1096\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1999921862\">供需失衡:订单爆满,价格持续攀升</h2><p>在高速天然气发电机组领域,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">卡特彼勒</a>和INNIO Jenbacher合计占据约65%的市场份额,两家公司订单均已排满至2027年底。中速发电机组市场则由Wärtsilä和Everllence主导,市占率合计约75%,同样处于满负荷状态。</p><p>从价格来看,在数据中心部署天然气发电机组的综合资本开支目前约为每千瓦1400至1700美元,其中裸机组本身约600至1000美元,辅助设备约200美元,尾气处理约100美元。</p><p>各主要厂商的裸机组报价差异明显:卡特彼勒、CMI及MTU(2至8兆瓦机型)约为每千瓦600至650美元;Jenbacher约为750至800美元;Wärtsilä和Everllence(20至25兆瓦机型)则高达800至1000美元。</p><p><strong>预计天然气发电机组的供需将在2028至2029年前后趋于再平衡</strong>,届时价格或出现较大幅度回调。相比之下,柴油发电机组的供需拐点预计更早到来,约在2027至2028年出现。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/666551469dcb34f36f0badf01418134c\" tg-width=\"1412\" tg-height=\"1116\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2563126418\">核心受益标的:卡特彼勒与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000338\">潍柴动力</a></h2><p>汇丰在报告中着重推介两只标的,理由各有侧重。</p><p>卡特彼勒被汇丰视为AI数据中心建设中"不可或缺"的供应商。</p><p>公司产品线涵盖柴油发电机组、天然气发电机组及燃气轮机,市场地位强势。在高速天然气发电机组市场,卡特彼勒以约35%的市占率排名第一;在柴油发电机组市场亦居于领先地位。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02338\">潍柴动力</a>则被视为潜在市场份额提升的机会。潍柴具备三大催化剂:</p><p>一是交货周期较短(30至60周,而卡特彼勒和Cummins约需100周);二是天然气发电机组产品计划于2026年下半年推出,2至3兆瓦机型预计2026年6月上市,5兆瓦机型及7兆瓦中速机型预计2026年12月推出;三是固体氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)业务产能持续爬坡。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96e30cfe5645b7e4a87e1527e86da349","relate_stocks":{"AIPO":"Defiance AI and Power Infrastructure ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3769482","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2625176919","content_text":"汇丰认为,天然气发电机组凭借交期短、启动快、灵活性高等优势,正快速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源。头部厂商订单已排满至2027年底,预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。AI数据中心对电力设备的需求正在重塑整个发电设备市场格局。汇丰银行最新研究报告指出,天然气发电机组正迅速取代燃气轮机,成为AI数据中心首选的过渡性主电源,供需失衡局面短期内难以缓解。据追风交易台,汇丰近日发布报告,由于AI驱动的需求激增,头部天然气发电机组制造商订单已排至2027年底,2025年设备价格已上涨15%至20%。预计供应紧张态势将延续至2027至2028年,设备价格在此期间每年仍将上涨10%至15%。燃气发电机组:为何成为AI数据中心的新宠天然气发电机组在AI数据中心主电源市场的崛起,源于其在交货周期、启动性能和灵活性三方面的显著优势。首先,天然气发电机组的交货周期为1至2年,明显短于燃气轮机所需的2至4年,能够更快速地匹配数据中心扩张节奏。其次,在冷启动时间上,天然气发电机组仅需30至60秒,远快于燃气轮机的5至60分钟,这对负载波动剧烈的AI训练场景至关重要。此外,发电机组单机容量在2至8兆瓦之间,模块化程度高,易于按需扩容,且在未来电网接入完成后(预计2030年前后)可灵活转作备用电源。相比之下,大型燃气轮机单机容量虽可达100至500兆瓦以上,但部署周期长、灵活性弱,更适合需求稳定的大型云计算设施,而非负载特征激进的AI训练场景。供需失衡:订单爆满,价格持续攀升在高速天然气发电机组领域,卡特彼勒和INNIO Jenbacher合计占据约65%的市场份额,两家公司订单均已排满至2027年底。中速发电机组市场则由Wärtsilä和Everllence主导,市占率合计约75%,同样处于满负荷状态。从价格来看,在数据中心部署天然气发电机组的综合资本开支目前约为每千瓦1400至1700美元,其中裸机组本身约600至1000美元,辅助设备约200美元,尾气处理约100美元。各主要厂商的裸机组报价差异明显:卡特彼勒、CMI及MTU(2至8兆瓦机型)约为每千瓦600至650美元;Jenbacher约为750至800美元;Wärtsilä和Everllence(20至25兆瓦机型)则高达800至1000美元。预计天然气发电机组的供需将在2028至2029年前后趋于再平衡,届时价格或出现较大幅度回调。相比之下,柴油发电机组的供需拐点预计更早到来,约在2027至2028年出现。核心受益标的:卡特彼勒与潍柴动力汇丰在报告中着重推介两只标的,理由各有侧重。卡特彼勒被汇丰视为AI数据中心建设中\"不可或缺\"的供应商。公司产品线涵盖柴油发电机组、天然气发电机组及燃气轮机,市场地位强势。在高速天然气发电机组市场,卡特彼勒以约35%的市占率排名第一;在柴油发电机组市场亦居于领先地位。潍柴动力则被视为潜在市场份额提升的机会。潍柴具备三大催化剂:一是交货周期较短(30至60周,而卡特彼勒和Cummins约需100周);二是天然气发电机组产品计划于2026年下半年推出,2至3兆瓦机型预计2026年6月上市,5兆瓦机型及7兆瓦中速机型预计2026年12月推出;三是固体氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)业务产能持续爬坡。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AIPO":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":549682817327376,"gmtCreate":1775221842087,"gmtModify":1775221844629,"author":{"id":"3544518779726666","authorId":"3544518779726666","name":"里二外三","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544518779726666","idStr":"3544518779726666"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"如果放开,中国人多的是买的","listText":"如果放开,中国人多的是买的","text":"如果放开,中国人多的是买的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/549682817327376","repostId":"2624652563","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2624652563","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1775216088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2624652563?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-03 19:34","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"谁在接盘美债?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2624652563","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"对冲基金成为美国国债最大境外持有主体!美伊冲突以来,境外央行累计出售820亿美元美债,持仓降至2012年以来最低水平。而对冲基金持仓高达2.4万亿美元,较三年前翻三倍,经济学家认为数据仍低估1.4万亿美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>对冲基金成为美国国债最大境外持有主体!美伊冲突以来,境外央行累计出售820亿美元美债,持仓降至2012年以来最低水平。而对冲基金持仓高达2.4万亿美元,较三年前翻三倍,经济学家认为数据仍低估1.4万亿美元。</p></blockquote><p><strong>对冲基金已悄然成为美国国债最大的境外持有主体,其持仓规模甚至超过中国、日本和英国。</strong>这一格局在伊朗战争爆发、传统海外买家撤离的背景下愈发关键,却也因高度依赖纯金融逻辑而潜藏脆弱性。</p><p>伊朗战争爆发以来,10年期美债收益率一度跳升近50个基点,多场国债拍卖表现疲软,市场对非美国政府抛售美债的担忧持续升温。</p><p>据美联储托管数据,<strong>战争爆发后境外央行已累计出售820亿美元美债,其持仓降至2012年以来最低水平2.7万亿美元。</strong></p><p>然而,真正值得关注的买家并非央行,而是注册于开曼群岛的对冲基金。<strong>截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。美联储经济学家认为仍存在1.4万亿美元低估。</strong></p><p>然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,<strong>大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3358700526\">央行抛售820亿美元,但影响有限</h2><p>伊朗战争爆发后,境外央行出售美债的动作引发市场广泛关注。</p><p>据美联储托管数据,<strong>非美央行已累计抛售820亿美元美债,存量降至2.7万亿美元,创2012年以来新低。</strong></p><p>不过,这一抛售规模在整体格局中仍属有限。820亿美元相对于美债存量而言微不足道,且该数据与更为权威的TIC跨境资本流动数据之间存在一定出入。</p><p>更重要的是,央行出售美债更可能出于在动荡时期储备外汇弹药的防御性考量,而非出于反美情绪——波兰央行近期出售黄金即属类似逻辑。</p><h2 id=\"id_1900893764\">对冲基金悄然成为最大境外持债主体</h2><p>纽约联储的研究显示,自2018年以来,杠杆型对冲基金大幅增加了对美债的持仓。据美国金融研究办公室数据,截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元、空头头寸达1.6万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。</p><p>这一扩张主要由两类交易驱动:<strong>利用期货与现货价格差异套利的"基差交易",以及近期规模急剧膨胀的"互换"交易。</strong></p><p>更具冲击性的是,美联储经济学家认为,官方TIC数据对对冲基金跨境持仓的统计存在高达1.4万亿美元的低估。据此修正后,"开曼群岛实际上已是美国国债最大的境外持有方,持仓规模显著超过中国、日本和英国。"</p><p>美联储经济学家进一步指出,2022年至2024年间,对冲基金<strong>"吸收了美国中长期国债净发行量的37%,几乎相当于其他所有境外投资者的总和"。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1998998428\">对冲基金的双重角色:稳定器还是风险源</h2><p>Citadel创始人Ken Griffin等业内人士认为,对冲基金的参与为市场提供了有益的流动性支持,在美联储缩减量化宽松期间,其买盘曾有效缓冲了债市压力;</p><p>然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,<strong>一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。</strong></p><p>据悉,伊朗战争爆发之初,部分拥挤的对冲基金头寸已遭到"清洗",但目前局势尚未进一步恶化。保险公司等长期资产持有者也暂未出现显著离场迹象,市场相对平稳。</p><p>无论市场当前如何应对,美国财政部长Scott Bessent面临的再融资压力不容回避。<strong>明年,美国将有相当于美债总量33%的债务到期,需滚动发行约10万亿美元的新债。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谁在接盘美债?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n谁在接盘美债?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-03 19:34</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>对冲基金成为美国国债最大境外持有主体!美伊冲突以来,境外央行累计出售820亿美元美债,持仓降至2012年以来最低水平。而对冲基金持仓高达2.4万亿美元,较三年前翻三倍,经济学家认为数据仍低估1.4万亿美元。</p></blockquote><p><strong>对冲基金已悄然成为美国国债最大的境外持有主体,其持仓规模甚至超过中国、日本和英国。</strong>这一格局在伊朗战争爆发、传统海外买家撤离的背景下愈发关键,却也因高度依赖纯金融逻辑而潜藏脆弱性。</p><p>伊朗战争爆发以来,10年期美债收益率一度跳升近50个基点,多场国债拍卖表现疲软,市场对非美国政府抛售美债的担忧持续升温。</p><p>据美联储托管数据,<strong>战争爆发后境外央行已累计出售820亿美元美债,其持仓降至2012年以来最低水平2.7万亿美元。</strong></p><p>然而,真正值得关注的买家并非央行,而是注册于开曼群岛的对冲基金。<strong>截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。美联储经济学家认为仍存在1.4万亿美元低估。</strong></p><p>然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,<strong>大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3358700526\">央行抛售820亿美元,但影响有限</h2><p>伊朗战争爆发后,境外央行出售美债的动作引发市场广泛关注。</p><p>据美联储托管数据,<strong>非美央行已累计抛售820亿美元美债,存量降至2.7万亿美元,创2012年以来新低。</strong></p><p>不过,这一抛售规模在整体格局中仍属有限。820亿美元相对于美债存量而言微不足道,且该数据与更为权威的TIC跨境资本流动数据之间存在一定出入。</p><p>更重要的是,央行出售美债更可能出于在动荡时期储备外汇弹药的防御性考量,而非出于反美情绪——波兰央行近期出售黄金即属类似逻辑。</p><h2 id=\"id_1900893764\">对冲基金悄然成为最大境外持债主体</h2><p>纽约联储的研究显示,自2018年以来,杠杆型对冲基金大幅增加了对美债的持仓。据美国金融研究办公室数据,截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元、空头头寸达1.6万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。</p><p>这一扩张主要由两类交易驱动:<strong>利用期货与现货价格差异套利的"基差交易",以及近期规模急剧膨胀的"互换"交易。</strong></p><p>更具冲击性的是,美联储经济学家认为,官方TIC数据对对冲基金跨境持仓的统计存在高达1.4万亿美元的低估。据此修正后,"开曼群岛实际上已是美国国债最大的境外持有方,持仓规模显著超过中国、日本和英国。"</p><p>美联储经济学家进一步指出,2022年至2024年间,对冲基金<strong>"吸收了美国中长期国债净发行量的37%,几乎相当于其他所有境外投资者的总和"。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1998998428\">对冲基金的双重角色:稳定器还是风险源</h2><p>Citadel创始人Ken Griffin等业内人士认为,对冲基金的参与为市场提供了有益的流动性支持,在美联储缩减量化宽松期间,其买盘曾有效缓冲了债市压力;</p><p>然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,<strong>一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。</strong></p><p>据悉,伊朗战争爆发之初,部分拥挤的对冲基金头寸已遭到"清洗",但目前局势尚未进一步恶化。保险公司等长期资产持有者也暂未出现显著离场迹象,市场相对平稳。</p><p>无论市场当前如何应对,美国财政部长Scott Bessent面临的再融资压力不容回避。<strong>明年,美国将有相当于美债总量33%的债务到期,需滚动发行约10万亿美元的新债。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb7789abffef4e8a7ef6093738b6ad06","relate_stocks":{"VCIT":"美国中期公司债-Vanguard","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","ZROZ":"PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S","TIP":"通胀债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays","UTWY":"US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF","UFIV":"US Treasury 5 Year Note ETF","BOXX":"ALPHA ARCHITECT 1-3 MONTH BOX ETF","UBT":"债券20+美国债-ProShares两倍做多","TBT":"债券20+美国债指数ETF-ProShares两倍做空","VGIT":"中期国债ETF-Vanguard","BITC":"Bitwise Trendwise Bitcoin and Treasuries Rotation Strategy ETF","BIL":"债券指数ETF-SPDR Barclays美国1-3月国债","USVN":"US TREASURY 7 YEAR NOTE ETF","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","HYG":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx高收益公司债","VGLT":"美国长期国债ETF-Vanguard","BNDW":"Vanguard Total World Bond ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","EDV":"美国延期国债ETF-Vanguard","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","TYO":"3倍做空7-10年期国债ETF-Direxion","BOND":"Pimco Total Return ETF","AGG":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays综合国债","TLH":"iShares安硕10-20年国债ETF","MUB":"美国市政债ETF-iShares","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","JPST":"JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF","SCHO":"嘉信短期美国国债ETF","SGOV":"iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF","UTHY":"US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","GBIL":"Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF","TBIL":"US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF","UTRE":"US Treasury 3 Year Note ETF","BSV":"短期国债指数ETF-Vanguard","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","VCSH":"美国短期公司债-Vanguard","USHY":"iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF","MINT":"PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Exchange-Traded Fund","VGSH":"美国短期国债ETF-Vanguard"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3769199","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2624652563","content_text":"对冲基金成为美国国债最大境外持有主体!美伊冲突以来,境外央行累计出售820亿美元美债,持仓降至2012年以来最低水平。而对冲基金持仓高达2.4万亿美元,较三年前翻三倍,经济学家认为数据仍低估1.4万亿美元。对冲基金已悄然成为美国国债最大的境外持有主体,其持仓规模甚至超过中国、日本和英国。这一格局在伊朗战争爆发、传统海外买家撤离的背景下愈发关键,却也因高度依赖纯金融逻辑而潜藏脆弱性。伊朗战争爆发以来,10年期美债收益率一度跳升近50个基点,多场国债拍卖表现疲软,市场对非美国政府抛售美债的担忧持续升温。据美联储托管数据,战争爆发后境外央行已累计出售820亿美元美债,其持仓降至2012年以来最低水平2.7万亿美元。然而,真正值得关注的买家并非央行,而是注册于开曼群岛的对冲基金。截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。美联储经济学家认为仍存在1.4万亿美元低估。然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。央行抛售820亿美元,但影响有限伊朗战争爆发后,境外央行出售美债的动作引发市场广泛关注。据美联储托管数据,非美央行已累计抛售820亿美元美债,存量降至2.7万亿美元,创2012年以来新低。不过,这一抛售规模在整体格局中仍属有限。820亿美元相对于美债存量而言微不足道,且该数据与更为权威的TIC跨境资本流动数据之间存在一定出入。更重要的是,央行出售美债更可能出于在动荡时期储备外汇弹药的防御性考量,而非出于反美情绪——波兰央行近期出售黄金即属类似逻辑。对冲基金悄然成为最大境外持债主体纽约联储的研究显示,自2018年以来,杠杆型对冲基金大幅增加了对美债的持仓。据美国金融研究办公室数据,截至2025年底,对冲基金持有的美债多头头寸达2.4万亿美元、空头头寸达1.6万亿美元,较三年前近乎翻三倍。这一扩张主要由两类交易驱动:利用期货与现货价格差异套利的\"基差交易\",以及近期规模急剧膨胀的\"互换\"交易。更具冲击性的是,美联储经济学家认为,官方TIC数据对对冲基金跨境持仓的统计存在高达1.4万亿美元的低估。据此修正后,\"开曼群岛实际上已是美国国债最大的境外持有方,持仓规模显著超过中国、日本和英国。\"美联储经济学家进一步指出,2022年至2024年间,对冲基金\"吸收了美国中长期国债净发行量的37%,几乎相当于其他所有境外投资者的总和\"。对冲基金的双重角色:稳定器还是风险源Citadel创始人Ken Griffin等业内人士认为,对冲基金的参与为市场提供了有益的流动性支持,在美联储缩减量化宽松期间,其买盘曾有效缓冲了债市压力;然而,对冲基金的持仓以纯粹的套利逻辑为基础,一旦利率走势或市场条件发生不利变化,大量资金可能同步平仓出逃,引发金融稳定风险。据悉,伊朗战争爆发之初,部分拥挤的对冲基金头寸已遭到\"清洗\",但目前局势尚未进一步恶化。保险公司等长期资产持有者也暂未出现显著离场迹象,市场相对平稳。无论市场当前如何应对,美国财政部长Scott Bessent面临的再融资压力不容回避。明年,美国将有相当于美债总量33%的债务到期,需滚动发行约10万亿美元的新债。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TNmain":1.5,"UTWY":1.5,"VGSH":1.5,"USVN":1.5,"MTNmain":1.5,"VCIT":1.5,"UBT":1.5,"ZBmain":1.5,"MWNmain":1.5,"VGLT":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"UTRE":1.5,"TLT":1.5,"ZFmain":1.5,"MUB":1.5,"UBmain":1.5,"BIL":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"IEF":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"TMF":1.5,"AGG":1.5,"UFIV":1.5,"BOXX":1.5,"HYG":1.5,"TLTW":1.5,"SHY":1.5,"ZNmain":1.5,"BNDW":1.5,"JPST":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"ZTmain":1.5,"BND":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"VGIT":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"TLH":1.5,"SGOV":1.5,"ZROZ":1.5,"LQD":1.5,"TIP":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"BOND":1.5,"BITC":1.5,"UTHY":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}