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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-19 15:25
神棍进化为搅屎棍
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-18 23:18
我呸
英伟达周三财报夜:决定AI牛市命运的一战来了!
高盛亮起“黄灯”警告:目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最,且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高,期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股,广度存在隐患,英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。
英伟达周三财报夜:决定AI牛市命运的一战来了!
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
第一批要死的空头出现了
期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值!大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动,远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多
英特尔收盘报113.01美元,涨4.49%。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合,押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时,有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权,彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心,并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲,反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。短线交易者押注波动或下跌,而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时,买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。
期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值!大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动,远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
多吃点🍇,蛮酸的
重温泡沫巅峰的感觉?当前的美股涨的比1999年还快!
数据显示,过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健,但分析师警告,股市往往在好消息中见顶,情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。
重温泡沫巅峰的感觉?当前的美股涨的比1999年还快!
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
你们有完没完?差不多得了
美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议,伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”
双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。
美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议,伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”
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momogogo
momogogo
·
04-30
又跌下来了,你能不能稳一点再放P
异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%,光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹
应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%,引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上,此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前,因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单,引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧,导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击,作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商,其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复,股价随之回升。同日内,光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨,呈现出集体反弹的态势。
异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%,光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹
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momogogo
momogogo
·
04-24
上线后跌幅20%了,哈哈哈哈
广发证券:游戏用户付费意愿增强 《异环》上线表现值得期待
智通财经APP获悉,广发证券发布研报称,双端产品及PC市场的增长,本质上是用户对品质更高、体验更好的游戏的付费意愿增强,头部优质产品的市场空间持续扩大。该行认为,作为二次元游戏核心产品的《异环》,其出海空间同样值得期待。风险提示游戏行业监管加强风险,行业竞争加剧风险,产品上线不及预期的风险。
广发证券:游戏用户付费意愿增强 《异环》上线表现值得期待
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momogogo
momogogo
·
04-07
哈哈哈哈哈哈哈
美媒:特朗普表示可能调整对伊朗的最后期限
目前仍会坚持原定的截止时间。
美媒:特朗普表示可能调整对伊朗的最后期限
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momogogo
momogogo
·
04-01
$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$
阿斗
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momogogo
momogogo
·
03-27
很无语……
特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施,最后期限延至4月6日,称美伊谈判“非常顺利”
特朗普称,应伊朗政府请求,将打击推迟至美东时间4月6日晚8点;美伊谈判正在进行,进展非常顺利,虽然假新闻的说法与其相反。美国总统特朗普宣布再次推迟打击伊朗的能源设施,看来在给美伊谈判留出更多空间。据新华社,特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文,称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天,至美东时间4月6日晚8时。特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。
特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施,最后期限延至4月6日,称美伊谈判“非常顺利”
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15:41","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"英伟达周三财报夜:决定AI牛市命运的一战来了!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2636040182","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高盛亮起“黄灯”警告:目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最,且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高,期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股,广度存在隐患,英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛亮起“黄灯”警告:目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最,且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高,期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股,广度存在隐患,英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达将于美东时间5月20日(周三)盘后发布季报,这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨,加之罕见的"股价与隐含波动率同步走高"信号,使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为"黄灯"的简报,指出纳斯达克100指数(NDX)与费城半导体指数(SOX)上周录得本季度首个下跌周;10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%,创一年多来最大单周涨幅;油价回升至约每桶109美元;VIX同步走高。他指出,<strong>AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是:基本面依然强劲,而技术面压力持续累积。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出,市场正出现罕见的"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升"并行格局——通常而言,二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明,交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%,市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a1e2337b20aeef89405d8a6597f776b\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性,其财报表现无论向好还是向坏,均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。</p><h2 id=\"1999-2000\">技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛数据显示,SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%,沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强;半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而,Peter Callahan特别点出,<strong>SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%,是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。</strong>他还指出,高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动,占全年交易日近15%;杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36f9526614c6a4f937fbc06448114ad\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">"在本周财报季(英伟达5月20日)结束、进入夏季交易之前,牢记这些战术动态是值得的,"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场,但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。</p><h2 id=\"6c5cb624\">英伟达财报:前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观,但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告,分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。<strong>市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引,</strong>当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元,环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括:英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间,以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从近期价格走势来看,英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨,区间涨幅达20%,是近两年来最长连涨周期;自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而,高盛数据同时显示,英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日(T+1),有4次出现下跌,自2022年5月以来,财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88218154fef6886fa8c3c0db1a0ef58a\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"630\"/></p><h2 id=\"16b36633\">期权市场:极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据SpotGamma数据,整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨,交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动,<strong>看涨期权偏斜(call skew)维持在90日历史区间高端,而下行保护需求极为有限。</strong>据22V Research援引数据,上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录,看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%;费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd66cc208451fa186e387522427abbf4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"431\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时,针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出,围绕标普500(SPY)、半导体ETF(SMH)及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加,且集中于深度虚值行权价区间,显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲,而非单纯的方向性押注。"市场参与者并非看空英伟达,但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道,"SpotGamma在报告中写道,"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma补充指出,英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%,当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着,一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结,有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。</p><h2 id=\"72e2cbe0\">市场广度隐患:涨势正被少数股票支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下,美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peter Callahan在报告中指出,尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%,但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Callahan坦言,审视这些板块的走势图时,令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体"健康",还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的"资金来源"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出,过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数,离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平,而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门(PB)最新数据亦显示,科技板块近期已出现明显的"风险撤出"动作。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达周三财报夜:决定AI牛市命运的一战来了!</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达周三财报夜:决定AI牛市命运的一战来了!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-18 15:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛亮起“黄灯”警告:目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最,且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高,期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股,广度存在隐患,英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达将于美东时间5月20日(周三)盘后发布季报,这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨,加之罕见的"股价与隐含波动率同步走高"信号,使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为"黄灯"的简报,指出纳斯达克100指数(NDX)与费城半导体指数(SOX)上周录得本季度首个下跌周;10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%,创一年多来最大单周涨幅;油价回升至约每桶109美元;VIX同步走高。他指出,<strong>AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是:基本面依然强劲,而技术面压力持续累积。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出,市场正出现罕见的"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升"并行格局——通常而言,二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明,交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%,市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a1e2337b20aeef89405d8a6597f776b\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性,其财报表现无论向好还是向坏,均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。</p><h2 id=\"1999-2000\">技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛数据显示,SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%,沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强;半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而,Peter Callahan特别点出,<strong>SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%,是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。</strong>他还指出,高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动,占全年交易日近15%;杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36f9526614c6a4f937fbc06448114ad\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">"在本周财报季(英伟达5月20日)结束、进入夏季交易之前,牢记这些战术动态是值得的,"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场,但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。</p><h2 id=\"6c5cb624\">英伟达财报:前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观,但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告,分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。<strong>市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引,</strong>当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元,环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括:英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间,以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从近期价格走势来看,英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨,区间涨幅达20%,是近两年来最长连涨周期;自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而,高盛数据同时显示,英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日(T+1),有4次出现下跌,自2022年5月以来,财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88218154fef6886fa8c3c0db1a0ef58a\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"630\"/></p><h2 id=\"16b36633\">期权市场:极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据SpotGamma数据,整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨,交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动,<strong>看涨期权偏斜(call skew)维持在90日历史区间高端,而下行保护需求极为有限。</strong>据22V Research援引数据,上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录,看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%;费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd66cc208451fa186e387522427abbf4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"431\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时,针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出,围绕标普500(SPY)、半导体ETF(SMH)及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加,且集中于深度虚值行权价区间,显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲,而非单纯的方向性押注。"市场参与者并非看空英伟达,但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道,"SpotGamma在报告中写道,"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma补充指出,英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%,当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着,一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结,有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。</p><h2 id=\"72e2cbe0\">市场广度隐患:涨势正被少数股票支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下,美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peter Callahan在报告中指出,尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%,但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Callahan坦言,审视这些板块的走势图时,令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体"健康",还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的"资金来源"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出,过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数,离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平,而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门(PB)最新数据亦显示,科技板块近期已出现明显的"风险撤出"动作。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"LU0124676726.USD":"AB SICAV I - SUSTAINABLE US THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2028103732.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0528227936.USD":"富达环球人口趋势基金A-ACC","IE0004086264.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2491049909.HKD":"WELLINGTON SUSTAINABLE OUTCOMES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU0985320562.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL STARS EQUITY \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU2491050071.SGD":"WELLINGTON SUSTAINABLE OUTCOMES \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET 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SGD","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","LU0289960550.SGD":"AB FCP I - GLOBAL EQUITY BLEND PORTFOLIO 'A' (SGD) ACC","IE00BD6J9T35.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SGXZ31699556.SGD":"UGDP UNITED GLOBAL QUALITY GROWTH \"C\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2272731865.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INTELLIGENT CITIES INCOME \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2125154935.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"I\" (USD) INC","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","IE00BFSS8Q28.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc SGD-H","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3772508","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2636040182","content_text":"高盛亮起“黄灯”警告:目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最,且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高,期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股,广度存在隐患,英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。英伟达将于美东时间5月20日(周三)盘后发布季报,这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨,加之罕见的\"股价与隐含波动率同步走高\"信号,使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为\"黄灯\"的简报,指出纳斯达克100指数(NDX)与费城半导体指数(SOX)上周录得本季度首个下跌周;10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%,创一年多来最大单周涨幅;油价回升至约每桶109美元;VIX同步走高。他指出,AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是:基本面依然强劲,而技术面压力持续累积。期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出,市场正出现罕见的\"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升\"并行格局——通常而言,二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明,交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%,市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性,其财报表现无论向好还是向坏,均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。高盛数据显示,SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%,沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强;半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。然而,Peter Callahan特别点出,SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%,是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。他还指出,高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动,占全年交易日近15%;杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。\"在本周财报季(英伟达5月20日)结束、进入夏季交易之前,牢记这些战术动态是值得的,\"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场,但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。英伟达财报:前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观,但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告,分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引,当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元,环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括:英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间,以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。从近期价格走势来看,英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨,区间涨幅达20%,是近两年来最长连涨周期;自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而,高盛数据同时显示,英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日(T+1),有4次出现下跌,自2022年5月以来,财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。期权市场:极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。据SpotGamma数据,整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨,交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动,看涨期权偏斜(call skew)维持在90日历史区间高端,而下行保护需求极为有限。据22V Research援引数据,上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录,看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%;费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。与此同时,针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出,围绕标普500(SPY)、半导体ETF(SMH)及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加,且集中于深度虚值行权价区间,显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲,而非单纯的方向性押注。\"市场参与者并非看空英伟达,但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道,\"SpotGamma在报告中写道,\"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。\"SpotGamma补充指出,英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%,当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着,一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结,有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。市场广度隐患:涨势正被少数股票支撑在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下,美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。Peter Callahan在报告中指出,尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%,但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。Callahan坦言,审视这些板块的走势图时,令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体\"健康\",还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的\"资金来源\"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出,过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数,离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平,而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门(PB)最新数据亦显示,科技板块近期已出现明显的\"风险撤出\"动作。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVII":0.6,"07388":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDA":2,"NVDQ":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561608421303264,"gmtCreate":1778143131331,"gmtModify":1778143133697,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"第一批要死的空头出现了","listText":"第一批要死的空头出现了","text":"第一批要死的空头出现了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561608421303264","repostId":"1162488996","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162488996","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1778141855,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162488996?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-07 16:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值!大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动,远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162488996","media":"期权女巫","summary":"英特尔收盘报113.01美元,涨4.49%。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合,押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时,有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权,彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心,并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲,反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。短线交易者押注波动或下跌,而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时,买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英特尔收盘报113.01美元,涨4.49%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动,呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合,押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时,有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权,彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心,并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲,反映出<strong>市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_3675535337\" style=\"text-align: left;\">期权指标分析</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1. <strong>隐含波动率与成交量分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前英特尔的隐含波动率(IV)高达85.86%,其IV百分位<strong>达到100.00%的极值</strong>,表明期权定价处于历史最高位,市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87,结合大单数据,看涨期权总成交量(8946张)略高于看跌期权(6340张),显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2. <strong>值得关注的未平仓合约</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在2026年5月15日到期的合约中,<strong>行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74e067d311dfee1c2868a6c5db3a4bfa\" tg-width=\"1755\" tg-height=\"717\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。</p><h3 id=\"id_397935552\" style=\"text-align: left;\">大单交易</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>整体方向与结构:</strong>市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌,而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时,买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>关键大单解析:</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>1. 短线偏空押注:熊市看跌组合</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张,净支出约<strong>213万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价(113.01美元)高于行权价,此为买入虚值看跌期权,纯粹押注股价在短期内(至5月15日)下跌或波动率飙升。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91f5c724b0345c1f68a76c531a326439\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"777\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 长期看多彰显信心:深度实值看涨期权</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权,成交额<strong>864万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价远高于行权价,此为深度实值看涨期权,通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号,而非短期投机。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80735a908bfa46ed86ea4e4bf90da8df\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 远月对冲与上行博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:分别买入价值<strong>353.75万美元</strong>的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权(虚值),以及<strong>213.6万美元</strong>的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权(虚值)。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌,后者博取上行突破。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ae16ec1feea19e67ba3795a72018872\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"738\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>4. 近月方向博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:近月(2026年5月8日到期)买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权,成交额<strong>117万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价接近行权价,属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注,与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/56e740382d8474786bfb25a5e529bde9\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"371\"/></p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_970378957\">总体策略参考</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值,期权价格昂贵,单纯卖出深度虚值(如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put)期权被行权的概率虽低,但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险,且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者,可以考虑构建价差策略(如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差)来限制最大亏损,同时从高波动率环境中获利。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值!大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动,远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值!大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动,远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-07 16:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英特尔收盘报113.01美元,涨4.49%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动,呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合,押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时,有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权,彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心,并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲,反映出<strong>市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_3675535337\" style=\"text-align: left;\">期权指标分析</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1. <strong>隐含波动率与成交量分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前英特尔的隐含波动率(IV)高达85.86%,其IV百分位<strong>达到100.00%的极值</strong>,表明期权定价处于历史最高位,市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87,结合大单数据,看涨期权总成交量(8946张)略高于看跌期权(6340张),显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2. <strong>值得关注的未平仓合约</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在2026年5月15日到期的合约中,<strong>行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74e067d311dfee1c2868a6c5db3a4bfa\" tg-width=\"1755\" tg-height=\"717\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。</p><h3 id=\"id_397935552\" style=\"text-align: left;\">大单交易</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>整体方向与结构:</strong>市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌,而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时,买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>关键大单解析:</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>1. 短线偏空押注:熊市看跌组合</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张,净支出约<strong>213万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价(113.01美元)高于行权价,此为买入虚值看跌期权,纯粹押注股价在短期内(至5月15日)下跌或波动率飙升。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91f5c724b0345c1f68a76c531a326439\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"777\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 长期看多彰显信心:深度实值看涨期权</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权,成交额<strong>864万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价远高于行权价,此为深度实值看涨期权,通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号,而非短期投机。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80735a908bfa46ed86ea4e4bf90da8df\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 远月对冲与上行博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:分别买入价值<strong>353.75万美元</strong>的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权(虚值),以及<strong>213.6万美元</strong>的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权(虚值)。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌,后者博取上行突破。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ae16ec1feea19e67ba3795a72018872\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"738\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>4. 近月方向博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>:近月(2026年5月8日到期)买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权,成交额<strong>117万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>:当前股价接近行权价,属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注,与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/56e740382d8474786bfb25a5e529bde9\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"371\"/></p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_970378957\">总体策略参考</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值,期权价格昂贵,单纯卖出深度虚值(如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put)期权被行权的概率虽低,但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险,且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者,可以考虑构建价差策略(如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差)来限制最大亏损,同时从高波动率环境中获利。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f75603b44290c7d476d289df7f8b04ca","relate_stocks":{"ARMG":"2倍做多ARM ETF- Leverage Shares","ARMU":"2倍做多ARM ETF-T-REX","LINT":"Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF","INTW":"2倍做多INTC ETF-GraniteShares","INTC":"英特尔","ARMW":"Roundhill ARM WeeklyPay ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162488996","content_text":"英特尔收盘报113.01美元,涨4.49%。近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动,呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合,押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时,有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权,彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心,并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲,反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。期权指标分析1. 隐含波动率与成交量分析当前英特尔的隐含波动率(IV)高达85.86%,其IV百分位达到100.00%的极值,表明期权定价处于历史最高位,市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87,结合大单数据,看涨期权总成交量(8946张)略高于看跌期权(6340张),显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。2. 值得关注的未平仓合约在2026年5月15日到期的合约中,行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。大单交易整体方向与结构:市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌,而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时,买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。关键大单解析:1. 短线偏空押注:熊市看跌组合交易构成:同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张,净支出约213万美元。策略解读:当前股价(113.01美元)高于行权价,此为买入虚值看跌期权,纯粹押注股价在短期内(至5月15日)下跌或波动率飙升。$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ 2. 长期看多彰显信心:深度实值看涨期权交易构成:买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权,成交额864万美元。策略解读:当前股价远高于行权价,此为深度实值看涨期权,通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号,而非短期投机。$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ 3. 远月对冲与上行博弈交易构成:分别买入价值353.75万美元的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权(虚值),以及213.6万美元的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权(虚值)。策略解读:进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌,后者博取上行突破。$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ 4. 近月方向博弈交易构成:近月(2026年5月8日到期)买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权,成交额117万美元。策略解读:当前股价接近行权价,属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注,与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ 总体策略参考鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值,期权价格昂贵,单纯卖出深度虚值(如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put)期权被行权的概率虽低,但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险,且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者,可以考虑构建价差策略(如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差)来限制最大亏损,同时从高波动率环境中获利。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTW":0.6,"ARMW":0.6,"ARMU":0.6,"LINT":0.6,"ARMG":0.6,"INTC":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561541531336792,"gmtCreate":1778126888685,"gmtModify":1778126890957,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"多吃点🍇,蛮酸的","listText":"多吃点🍇,蛮酸的","text":"多吃点🍇,蛮酸的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561541531336792","repostId":"2633916161","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2633916161","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1778126126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2633916161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-07 11:55","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"重温泡沫巅峰的感觉?当前的美股涨的比1999年还快!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2633916161","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"数据显示,过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健,但分析师警告,股市往往在好消息中见顶,情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>数据显示,过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健,但分析师警告,股市往往在好消息中见顶,情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下,美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情,其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5月7日,彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称,随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象,国际油价大幅下跌,并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时,市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退,加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷,<strong>当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,文章指出,<strong>这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。</strong>据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告,过去一年纳斯达克100指数(NDX)表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这意味着,<strong>当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。</strong>尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期,但分析师警告称<strong>,</strong>市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕:股票往往在好消息中见顶,分析人士警告,半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件,市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p><h2 id=\"id_1219389364\" style=\"text-align: left;\">头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出,当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示,在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%,而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里,前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下,过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从个股表现来看,这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通,涨幅为2600%;在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里,表现最好的股票是Strategy,涨幅为1260%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">而反观当前,过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是,在1999年,闪迪正是表现第二好的股票,当时的涨幅为581%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0ada8f7a385f55ef45fb9d69d1e766\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"257\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是,<strong>作为本轮上涨的引擎,费城半导体指数(SOX)的表现同样逼近历史极值。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在互联网泡沫时期,该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录,但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e7ad13f2d90e668483cd06399eed05\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"394\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在半导体板块内部,细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中,数据中心相关股票上涨了230%,而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25958a7f4a64cccf81fb025b90291e\" tg-width=\"684\" tg-height=\"808\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_51151953\" style=\"text-align: left;\">好消息堆叠,或是见顶信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">文章指出,<strong>从宏观层面来看,地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。</strong>中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫,进而压低了债券收益率,为股市估值提供了支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在流动性预期方面<strong>,市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。</strong>而在企业盈利端,人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现,<strong>AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cameron Crise称,这种宏观与微观层面的完美共振,<strong>让持怀疑态度的投资者感到背脊发凉。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与2000年至2002年互联网泡沫破裂时缺乏基本面支撑、导致半导体指数最终暴跌84%的情况不同,当前市场的基本面显然更为稳健。分析师认为,市场不太可能重演当年那种毁灭性的下跌。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,这并不意味着市场可以免疫于周期性的调整。<strong>BTIG预计,半导体板块可能会出现25%至30%的修正,这一幅度的回调将使费城半导体指数回落至其50日移动平均线附近</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc4ac210d85de8670883e9cc6896166e\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"806\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析指出,历史经验表明,股市往往在好消息中见顶。当前,强劲的盈利数据与中东局势缓和的利好消息交织,可能正在为半导体板块构筑一个波段高点。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重温泡沫巅峰的感觉?当前的美股涨的比1999年还快!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-07 11:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>数据显示,过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健,但分析师警告,股市往往在好消息中见顶,情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下,美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情,其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5月7日,彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称,随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象,国际油价大幅下跌,并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时,市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退,加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷,<strong>当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,文章指出,<strong>这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。</strong>据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告,过去一年纳斯达克100指数(NDX)表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这意味着,<strong>当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。</strong>尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期,但分析师警告称<strong>,</strong>市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕:股票往往在好消息中见顶,分析人士警告,半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件,市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p><h2 id=\"id_1219389364\" style=\"text-align: left;\">头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出,当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示,在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%,而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里,前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下,过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从个股表现来看,这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通,涨幅为2600%;在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里,表现最好的股票是Strategy,涨幅为1260%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">而反观当前,过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是,在1999年,闪迪正是表现第二好的股票,当时的涨幅为581%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0ada8f7a385f55ef45fb9d69d1e766\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"257\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是,<strong>作为本轮上涨的引擎,费城半导体指数(SOX)的表现同样逼近历史极值。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在互联网泡沫时期,该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录,但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e7ad13f2d90e668483cd06399eed05\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"394\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在半导体板块内部,细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中,数据中心相关股票上涨了230%,而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25958a7f4a64cccf81fb025b90291e\" tg-width=\"684\" tg-height=\"808\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_51151953\" style=\"text-align: left;\">好消息堆叠,或是见顶信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">文章指出,<strong>从宏观层面来看,地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。</strong>中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫,进而压低了债券收益率,为股市估值提供了支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在流动性预期方面<strong>,市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。</strong>而在企业盈利端,人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现,<strong>AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cameron Crise称,这种宏观与微观层面的完美共振,<strong>让持怀疑态度的投资者感到背脊发凉。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与2000年至2002年互联网泡沫破裂时缺乏基本面支撑、导致半导体指数最终暴跌84%的情况不同,当前市场的基本面显然更为稳健。分析师认为,市场不太可能重演当年那种毁灭性的下跌。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,这并不意味着市场可以免疫于周期性的调整。<strong>BTIG预计,半导体板块可能会出现25%至30%的修正,这一幅度的回调将使费城半导体指数回落至其50日移动平均线附近</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc4ac210d85de8670883e9cc6896166e\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"806\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析指出,历史经验表明,股市往往在好消息中见顶。当前,强劲的盈利数据与中东局势缓和的利好消息交织,可能正在为半导体板块构筑一个波段高点。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{"NJUL":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - July","QQQX":"Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","QDEC":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - December","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","CHPS":"XTRACKERS SEMICONDUCTOR SELECT EQUITY ETF","TQQY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST QQQ ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","VGT":"信息技术ETF-Vanguard","SOXQ":"Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","BK4588":"碎股","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SOXS":"三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily","DIA":"道琼斯ETF","CHPY":"YieldMax Semiconductor Portfolio Option Income ETF","PSI":"INVESCO SEMICONDUCTORS ETF","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","NOCT":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October","GPIQ":"GOLDMAN SACHS NASDAQ 100 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","QQQM":"NASDAQ100指数ETF-Invesco","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","SOXY":"YieldMax Target 12 Semiconductor Option Income ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","FTXL":"First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","NAPR":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - April","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SOXL":"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily","SSG":"Proshares Ultrashort Semiconductors","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","QMAR":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - March","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","USD":"ProShares Ultra Semiconductors","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SMH":"半导体指数ETF-HOLDRs","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","NJAN":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - January","SPY":"标普500ETF","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","XSD":"SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","TEKX":"SPDR Galaxy Transformative Tech Accelerators ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SMHX":"VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3771706","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2633916161","content_text":"数据显示,过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健,但分析师警告,股市往往在好消息中见顶,情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下,美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情,其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。5月7日,彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称,随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象,国际油价大幅下跌,并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时,市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退,加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷,当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。然而,文章指出,这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告,过去一年纳斯达克100指数(NDX)表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%,这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平,也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。这意味着,当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期,但分析师警告称,市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕:股票往往在好消息中见顶,分析人士警告,半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件,市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出,当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。数据显示,在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%,而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里,前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下,过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。从个股表现来看,这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年,纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通,涨幅为2600%;在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里,表现最好的股票是Strategy,涨幅为1260%。而反观当前,过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是,在1999年,闪迪正是表现第二好的股票,当时的涨幅为581%。值得注意的是,作为本轮上涨的引擎,费城半导体指数(SOX)的表现同样逼近历史极值。在互联网泡沫时期,该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录,但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。在半导体板块内部,细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中,数据中心相关股票上涨了230%,而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。好消息堆叠,或是见顶信号当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。文章指出,从宏观层面来看,地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫,进而压低了债券收益率,为股市估值提供了支撑。在流动性预期方面,市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。而在企业盈利端,人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现,AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。Cameron Crise称,这种宏观与微观层面的完美共振,让持怀疑态度的投资者感到背脊发凉。与2000年至2002年互联网泡沫破裂时缺乏基本面支撑、导致半导体指数最终暴跌84%的情况不同,当前市场的基本面显然更为稳健。分析师认为,市场不太可能重演当年那种毁灭性的下跌。然而,这并不意味着市场可以免疫于周期性的调整。BTIG预计,半导体板块可能会出现25%至30%的修正,这一幅度的回调将使费城半导体指数回落至其50日移动平均线附近。分析指出,历史经验表明,股市往往在好消息中见顶。当前,强劲的盈利数据与中东局势缓和的利好消息交织,可能正在为半导体板块构筑一个波段高点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XSD":0.73,"QQQM":0.6,"FTXL":0.83,"CHPS":0.73,"CHPY":0.73,"PSI":0.73,"NJUL":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,".DJI":2,"QQQX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"SOXQ":0.73,"SPUU":0.6,"NAPR":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SH":0.6,".SPX":2,"NDX":2,"TEKX":0.73,"QLD":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"YSPY":0.6,"SMH":0.83,"SQQQ":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,".IXIC":2,"USD":0.73,"SPYU":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,"SOXY":0.73,"PSQ":0.6,"QDEC":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SOXS":0.73,"UPRO":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"NJAN":0.6,"NOCT":0.6,"SOXL":0.73,"TQQY":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SMHX":0.73,"SOXX":0.73,"DIA":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SSG":0.73,"VGT":0.89,"SPXL":0.6,"GPIQ":0.6,"QMAR":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"DXD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561498855494672,"gmtCreate":1778116382755,"gmtModify":1778116385240,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"你们有完没完?差不多得了","listText":"你们有完没完?差不多得了","text":"你们有完没完?差不多得了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561498855494672","repostId":"1124503554","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124503554","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1778116171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124503554?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-07 09:09","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议,伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124503554","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据CNN:<strong>一位消息人士表示,伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查,消息人士称,双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。</strong></p><p>据伊朗Press TV报道,<strong>伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道,称这些报道具有误导性,是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。</strong>周四,伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文,提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道,并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”(假装行动)。他指出,此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式,尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据,而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议,伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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09:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据CNN:<strong>一位消息人士表示,伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查,消息人士称,双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。</strong></p><p>据伊朗Press TV报道,<strong>伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道,称这些报道具有误导性,是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。</strong>周四,伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文,提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道,并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”(假装行动)。他指出,此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式,尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据,而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f667d36a087f6144733e56bd1e3f0377","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124503554","content_text":"据CNN:一位消息人士表示,伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查,消息人士称,双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。据伊朗Press TV报道,伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道,称这些报道具有误导性,是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。周四,伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文,提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道,并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”(假装行动)。他指出,此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式,尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据,而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":336,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":559222754338312,"gmtCreate":1777560704712,"gmtModify":1777562329444,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"又跌下来了,你能不能稳一点再放P","listText":"又跌下来了,你能不能稳一点再放P","text":"又跌下来了,你能不能稳一点再放P","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/559222754338312","repostId":"1130021851","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1130021851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1777475972,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130021851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-29 23:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%,光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130021851","media":"异动解读","summary":"应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%,引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上,此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前,因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单,引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧,导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击,作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商,其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复,股价随之回升。同日内,光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨,呈现出集体反弹的态势。","content":"<p>应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%,引起了市场的广泛关注。</p><p>消息面上,此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前,因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单,引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧,导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击,作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商,其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复,股价随之回升。</p><p>同日内,光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨,呈现出集体反弹的态势。</p>","source":"ai_movement_cn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%,光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%,光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092702339\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">异动解读 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-29 23:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%,引起了市场的广泛关注。</p><p>消息面上,此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前,因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单,引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧,导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击,作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商,其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复,股价随之回升。</p><p>同日内,光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨,呈现出集体反弹的态势。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130021851","content_text":"应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%,引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上,此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前,因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单,引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧,导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击,作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商,其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复,股价随之回升。同日内,光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨,呈现出集体反弹的态势。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAOI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":556923266128064,"gmtCreate":1776996174687,"gmtModify":1776996177005,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"上线后跌幅20%了,哈哈哈哈","listText":"上线后跌幅20%了,哈哈哈哈","text":"上线后跌幅20%了,哈哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/556923266128064","repostId":"2629957660","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2629957660","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1776829577,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2629957660?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-22 11:46","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"广发证券:游戏用户付费意愿增强 《异环》上线表现值得期待","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2629957660","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,广发证券发布研报称,双端产品及PC市场的增长,本质上是用户对品质更高、体验更好的游戏的付费意愿增强,头部优质产品的市场空间持续扩大。该行认为,作为二次元游戏核心产品的《异环》,其出海空间同样值得期待。风险提示游戏行业监管加强风险,行业竞争加剧风险,产品上线不及预期的风险。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000776\">广发证券</a>发布研报称,双端产品及PC市场的增长,本质上是用户对品质更高、体验更好的游戏的付费意愿增强,头部优质产品的市场空间持续扩大。二次元游戏出海空间广阔,二次元文化作为新兴的潮流文化,在海外的潜在用户规模持续扩张。《异环》测试表现突出,玩家获得更加沉浸的游戏体验,产品上线有望实现突出流水表现,首推其研发商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002624\">完美世界</a>(002624.SZ),关注头部公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>(00700)、储备有《无限大》的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">网易-S</a>(09999)等。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01776\">广发证券</a>主要观点如下:</p><p><strong>游戏市场需求持续增长,用户对精品游戏的付费意愿持续提升</strong></p><p>根据伽马数据,2026Q1国内游戏市场实际销售收入971.72亿元,环比增长2.54%,同比增长13.38%。其中,客户端游戏市场实际销售收入为249.76亿元,环比增长11.17%,同比增长39.38%,增速领先于整体市场。报告显示,市场规模的环比提升,主要得益于多款双端互通新品在季度内上线并贡献了收入,例如《明日方舟:终末地》《逆战:未来》《洛克王国:世界》等。该行认为,PC端设备性能及产品沉浸感通常高于移动端,双端产品及PC市场的增长,本质上是用户对品质更高、体验更好的游戏的付费意愿增强,头部优质产品的市场空间持续扩大。</p><p><strong>二次元赛道具备全球属性,出海表现可期</strong></p><p>二次元游戏出海空间广阔,二次元文化作为新兴的潮流文化,在海外的潜在用户规模持续扩张,海外调研机构Cognitive Market Research预计ACGN亚文化(即二次元文化)产业市场规模年均复合增速为11.3%,可以认为,二次元是海外市场重要的文化潮流,具备广泛的潜在受众。该行认为,作为二次元游戏核心产品的《异环》,其出海空间同样值得期待。</p><p><strong>《异环》开启都市开放世界新赛道,有望提供有别于传统二次元大世界的体验</strong></p><p>《异环》拥有头部二次元游戏的关注度,全渠道预约量超过3500万,TapTap关注突破600万,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">B站</a>公测PV播放超过800万,公测前瞻节目播放超200万,该行认为其关注度属于二次元游戏第一梯队。开启预下载后,TapTap端下载量已经超过120万,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09626\">B站</a>渠道下载超过90万(截至4月21日20:00)。从下载数据来看,该行预计产品的首日新进用户规模表现突出。在玩法层面,根据《异环》官方预热PV,除战斗外的玩法包括载具系统、住宅与角色互动、都市大亨等,其体验结合了玩家平时的生活场景。在角色维度,用户与部分角色提升到对应机遇等级后,可发出出游邀请,一起游览花田、欣赏流星等,具备更多的陪伴类交互,提升沉浸感。总体而言,《异环》与传统二次元开放世界有明显差异玩法,有望通过创新带给玩家不同的体验。该行认为,通过“都市”题材与其他二次元的玩法的差异化,产品有望从已经较为同质化的二次元开放世界中找到新的玩法,提升用户留存意愿,推动产品流水规模的提升。</p><p><strong>风险提示</strong></p><p>游戏行业监管加强风险,行业竞争加剧风险,产品上线不及预期的风险。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>广发证券:游戏用户付费意愿增强 《异环》上线表现值得期待</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1431759.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HK0000306685.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) INC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","LU0651946864.USD":"贝莱德新兴市场股票收益A2","LU0106259558.USD":"SCHRODER ISF ASIAN OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" ACC","LU0054450605.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EMERGING MARKTS EQ \"AD\" INC","LU2237443895.HKD":"abrdn SICAV I - GLOBAL DYNAMIC DIVIDEND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999014674.SGD":"Nikko AM All China Equity A SGD","LU1051768304.USD":"贝莱德新兴市场股票收益A6","LU0049853897.USD":"SCHRODER ISF EMERGING MARKETS \"A\" (USD) INC AV","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","SG9999002463.SGD":"LionGlobal China Growth SGD","LU1008478684.HKD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - CHINA OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (HKD) ACC","HK0000306701.USD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0634319403.HKD":"ALLIANZ HONG KONG EQUITY \"AT\" 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Research预计ACGN亚文化(即二次元文化)产业市场规模年均复合增速为11.3%,可以认为,二次元是海外市场重要的文化潮流,具备广泛的潜在受众。该行认为,作为二次元游戏核心产品的《异环》,其出海空间同样值得期待。《异环》开启都市开放世界新赛道,有望提供有别于传统二次元大世界的体验《异环》拥有头部二次元游戏的关注度,全渠道预约量超过3500万,TapTap关注突破600万,B站公测PV播放超过800万,公测前瞻节目播放超200万,该行认为其关注度属于二次元游戏第一梯队。开启预下载后,TapTap端下载量已经超过120万,B站渠道下载超过90万(截至4月21日20:00)。从下载数据来看,该行预计产品的首日新进用户规模表现突出。在玩法层面,根据《异环》官方预热PV,除战斗外的玩法包括载具系统、住宅与角色互动、都市大亨等,其体验结合了玩家平时的生活场景。在角色维度,用户与部分角色提升到对应机遇等级后,可发出出游邀请,一起游览花田、欣赏流星等,具备更多的陪伴类交互,提升沉浸感。总体而言,《异环》与传统二次元开放世界有明显差异玩法,有望通过创新带给玩家不同的体验。该行认为,通过“都市”题材与其他二次元的玩法的差异化,产品有望从已经较为同质化的二次元开放世界中找到新的玩法,提升用户留存意愿,推动产品流水规模的提升。风险提示游戏行业监管加强风险,行业竞争加剧风险,产品上线不及预期的风险。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HTCD.SI":0.6,"002624":1.9,"TCHmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":551127554328776,"gmtCreate":1775574536177,"gmtModify":1775574538706,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哈哈哈哈哈哈哈","listText":"哈哈哈哈哈哈哈","text":"哈哈哈哈哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/551127554328776","repostId":"1107683205","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107683205","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1775574102,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107683205?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-07 23:01","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美媒:特朗普表示可能调整对伊朗的最后期限","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107683205","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"目前仍会坚持原定的截止时间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国总统特朗普表示,如果谈判取得进展,周二晚上8点的最后期限可能会有所调整,但目前仍会坚持原定的截止时间。</p><p>另据报道,伊朗已终止与美国之间的直接外交联系。中东官员表示,尽管如此,伊朗与停火调解方的谈判仍在继续。此外,三名伊朗高级官员表示,伊朗方面已通知巴基斯坦,不会再参加旨在停火的会谈。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美媒:特朗普表示可能调整对伊朗的最后期限</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美媒:特朗普表示可能调整对伊朗的最后期限\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-07 23:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国总统特朗普表示,如果谈判取得进展,周二晚上8点的最后期限可能会有所调整,但目前仍会坚持原定的截止时间。</p><p>另据报道,伊朗已终止与美国之间的直接外交联系。中东官员表示,尽管如此,伊朗与停火调解方的谈判仍在继续。此外,三名伊朗高级官员表示,伊朗方面已通知巴基斯坦,不会再参加旨在停火的会谈。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/00ab710b18d6c3a0335cf6fa35509b7f","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107683205","content_text":"美国总统特朗普表示,如果谈判取得进展,周二晚上8点的最后期限可能会有所调整,但目前仍会坚持原定的截止时间。另据报道,伊朗已终止与美国之间的直接外交联系。中东官员表示,尽管如此,伊朗与停火调解方的谈判仍在继续。此外,三名伊朗高级官员表示,伊朗方面已通知巴基斯坦,不会再参加旨在停火的会谈。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":2,".IXIC":2,".DJI":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":548897628313696,"gmtCreate":1775030117375,"gmtModify":1775030119548,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ </a> 阿斗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSTECH\">$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ </a> 阿斗","text":"$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ 阿斗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/548897628313696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":547002056794208,"gmtCreate":1774568902987,"gmtModify":1774568905578,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514005164997802","idStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"很无语……","listText":"很无语……","text":"很无语……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/547002056794208","repostId":"1121347585","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121347585","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1774566055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121347585?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施,最后期限延至4月6日,称美伊谈判“非常顺利”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121347585","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"特朗普称,应伊朗政府请求,将打击推迟至美东时间4月6日晚8点;美伊谈判正在进行,进展非常顺利,虽然假新闻的说法与其相反。美国总统特朗普宣布再次推迟打击伊朗的能源设施,看来在给美伊谈判留出更多空间。据新华社,特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文,称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天,至美东时间4月6日晚8时。特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>特朗普称,应伊朗政府请求,将打击推迟至美东时间4月6日晚8点;美伊谈判正在进行,进展非常顺利,虽然假新闻的说法与其相反。盘中曾涨近6%的美油一度转跌。这是特朗普发出袭击威胁后第二次延期,他上周六说给48小时,后将截止期延至本周五。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国总统特朗普宣布再次推迟打击伊朗的能源设施,看来在给美伊谈判留出更多空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据新华社,特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文,称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天,至美东时间4月6日晚8时。据央视,特朗普在其社交媒体“真实社交”上发文表示:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“应伊朗政府请求,特此声明:我将把针对(伊朗)能源设施的打击再推迟10天,至美国东部时间2026年4月6日晚8点。”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">央视提到,特朗普还称:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“(与伊朗的)谈判正在进行中,虽然假新闻媒体及其他方面发表了错误的相反言论,但谈判进展非常顺利。”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普在周四美股盘后发布以上消息后,美元指数涨幅迅速扩大、一度站上100.00,最近三日首次盘中触及这一关口。美油短线跳水。周四美股午盘刷新日高时涨近5.7%的WTI原油一度跌破90.00美元刷新日低,较周三收盘跌近0.6%,后很快重回涨势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。3月21日他曾扬言,若伊朗不迅速重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运,美国将袭击伊朗的发电厂。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。而在本周一,即期限截止前数小时,特朗普就以美伊双方进行了“富有成效的对话”为由,宣布将袭击行动推迟五天,延至本周五。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周四稍早,特朗普在白宫的内阁会议上暗示,本周五这个他给伊朗设定的开放霍尔木兹海峡最后期限有灵活性。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">被问及周五这个截止期是否已推迟时,特朗普在会上表示现在还不清楚。特朗普说,他目前还不确定会不会严格要求伊朗遵守这个截止期,如果参与谈判的总统特使威特科夫等人告知,谈判进展并不顺利,可能就得遵守这个期限。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施,最后期限延至4月6日,称美伊谈判“非常顺利”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普推迟十天打击伊朗能源设施,最后期限延至4月6日,称美伊谈判“非常顺利”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-27 07:00 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768510><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特朗普称,应伊朗政府请求,将打击推迟至美东时间4月6日晚8点;美伊谈判正在进行,进展非常顺利,虽然假新闻的说法与其相反。盘中曾涨近6%的美油一度转跌。这是特朗普发出袭击威胁后第二次延期,他上周六说给48小时,后将截止期延至本周五。美国总统特朗普宣布再次推迟打击伊朗的能源设施,看来在给美伊谈判留出更多空间。据新华社,特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文,称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天,至美东时间4月6日晚...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768510\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/293cf6d3b421281de90df773be4685e8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768510","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121347585","content_text":"特朗普称,应伊朗政府请求,将打击推迟至美东时间4月6日晚8点;美伊谈判正在进行,进展非常顺利,虽然假新闻的说法与其相反。盘中曾涨近6%的美油一度转跌。这是特朗普发出袭击威胁后第二次延期,他上周六说给48小时,后将截止期延至本周五。美国总统特朗普宣布再次推迟打击伊朗的能源设施,看来在给美伊谈判留出更多空间。据新华社,特朗普26日周四在社交媒体发文,称对伊朗能源设施空袭再推迟十天,至美东时间4月6日晚8时。据央视,特朗普在其社交媒体“真实社交”上发文表示:“应伊朗政府请求,特此声明:我将把针对(伊朗)能源设施的打击再推迟10天,至美国东部时间2026年4月6日晚8点。”央视提到,特朗普还称:“(与伊朗的)谈判正在进行中,虽然假新闻媒体及其他方面发表了错误的相反言论,但谈判进展非常顺利。”特朗普在周四美股盘后发布以上消息后,美元指数涨幅迅速扩大、一度站上100.00,最近三日首次盘中触及这一关口。美油短线跳水。周四美股午盘刷新日高时涨近5.7%的WTI原油一度跌破90.00美元刷新日低,较周三收盘跌近0.6%,后很快重回涨势。这是特朗普自3月21日上周六首次发出威胁后第二次延长设定的打击截止期。3月21日他曾扬言,若伊朗不迅速重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运,美国将袭击伊朗的发电厂。特朗普最初给伊朗设定了48小时的最后期限。而在本周一,即期限截止前数小时,特朗普就以美伊双方进行了“富有成效的对话”为由,宣布将袭击行动推迟五天,延至本周五。本周四稍早,特朗普在白宫的内阁会议上暗示,本周五这个他给伊朗设定的开放霍尔木兹海峡最后期限有灵活性。被问及周五这个截止期是否已推迟时,特朗普在会上表示现在还不清楚。特朗普说,他目前还不确定会不会严格要求伊朗遵守这个截止期,如果参与谈判的总统特使威特科夫等人告知,谈判进展并不顺利,可能就得遵守这个期限。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}