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IP属地：浙江
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momogogo
momogogo
·
06-29
吃饱了撑的吗？
三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格
三星电子、SK海力士和美光科技被美国部分消费者起诉，指控其涉嫌合谋操纵内存价格。原告指控，这三家生产全球绝大部分DRAM的企业自2022年起在供应和定价上进行串通，导致过去四年间价格飙升约700%。他们还表示，苹果近期全面上调产品价格是此次诉讼的导火索。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。
三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-28
$ST华谊(300027)$
在你们创业板IPO第一天，我就知道你们是来圈钱的，今天才被打回原形，还是晚了，这类公司这类人群，应该更早被甄别出来。
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-25
你们累不累啊？大家都懒得叼你们这摊烂泥了
伊媒称伊美尚未达成谅解备忘录，鲁比奥则称协议仍可能于周一签署
仍有条款存在争议。
伊媒称伊美尚未达成谅解备忘录，鲁比奥则称协议仍可能于周一签署
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-21
理华尔街作甚？
英伟达业绩创下最佳的一次“超预期”，为何华尔街还嫌不“完美”？
英伟达盘后下跌，当"超预期"成为常态，市场要的不再是另一张漂亮成绩单，而是能重新抬高长期增长曲线的新故事。
英伟达业绩创下最佳的一次“超预期”，为何华尔街还嫌不“完美”？
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-19
神棍进化为搅屎棍
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-18
我呸
英伟达周三财报夜：决定AI牛市命运的一战来了！
高盛亮起“黄灯”警告：目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最，且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高，期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股，广度存在隐患，英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。
英伟达周三财报夜：决定AI牛市命运的一战来了！
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
第一批要死的空头出现了
期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值！大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动，远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多
英特尔收盘报113.01美元，涨4.49%。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合，押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时，有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权，彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心，并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲，反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。短线交易者押注波动或下跌，而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时，买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。
期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值！大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动，远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
多吃点🍇，蛮酸的
重温泡沫巅峰的感觉？当前的美股涨的比1999年还快！
数据显示，过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健，但分析师警告，股市往往在好消息中见顶，情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。
重温泡沫巅峰的感觉？当前的美股涨的比1999年还快！
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momogogo
momogogo
·
05-07
你们有完没完？差不多得了
美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议，伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”
双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。
美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议，伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”
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momogogo
momogogo
·
04-30
又跌下来了，你能不能稳一点再放P
异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%，光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹
应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%，引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上，此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前，因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单，引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧，导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击，作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商，其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复，股价随之回升。同日内，光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨，呈现出集体反弹的态势。
异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%，光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹
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Dunne正争取将此案定性为集体诉讼，以代表所有购买含DRAM产品的普通消费者和企业。该律所此前曾在一起指控谷歌数字广告串通的案件中胜诉。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。这两家公司均被认定在21世纪初在美国从事价格操纵，不仅被处以巨额罚款，还导致高管被判入狱。不过，包括投资银行杰富瑞（Jefferies）在内的业内机构预计，该诉讼至少在今年年底前不会影响内存价格。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>三星、SK海力士、美光在美遭集体诉讼，涉嫌操纵内存价格</title>\n<style 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left;\">三星电子、SK海力士和美光科技被美国部分消费者起诉，指控其涉嫌合谋操纵内存价格。随着近期“芯片通胀”加剧——包括苹果产品提价——当地消费者和小企业已采取法律行动。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据美国科技媒体Wccftech及法律刊物LAW360报道，14名个人消费者以及包括个人电脑零售商在内的三家小企业，于本月25日向加利福尼亚州联邦法院提起了诉讼。原告指控，这三家生产全球绝大部分DRAM的企业自2022年起在供应和定价上进行串通，导致过去四年间价格飙升约700%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">原告称，这三家公司以向高带宽内存（HBM）转型为由，减少了DRAM的供应。“这些DRAM寡头企业系统性地协调了向HBM的转移，以及DDR3和DDR4的停产。”他们还表示，苹果近期全面上调产品价格是此次诉讼的导火索。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这起诉讼目前规模尚小，但如果法院认可原告主张并正式批准为集体诉讼，规模可能进一步扩大。代表原告的反垄断律师事务所Bathaee Dunne正争取将此案定性为集体诉讼，以代表所有购买含DRAM产品的普通消费者和企业。该律所此前曾在一起指控谷歌数字广告串通的案件中胜诉。若原告最终在集体诉讼中胜诉，被告企业将须支付三倍赔偿。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三星电子和SK海力士此前在美国曾因合谋行为被定罪，这一点也令人担忧。这两家公司均被认定在21世纪初在美国从事价格操纵，不仅被处以巨额罚款，还导致高管被判入狱。不过，包括投资银行杰富瑞（Jefferies）在内的业内机构预计，该诉讼至少在今年年底前不会影响内存价格。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976","relate_stocks":{"07747":"南方两倍做多三星电子","MULL":"2倍做多MU 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在你们创业板IPO第一天，我就知道你们是来圈钱的，今天才被打回原形，还是晚了，这类公司这类人群，应该更早被甄别出来。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/569240516617712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":567949781476104,"gmtCreate":1779680821350,"gmtModify":1779681452412,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"你们累不累啊？大家都懒得叼你们这摊烂泥了","listText":"你们累不累啊？大家都懒得叼你们这摊烂泥了","text":"你们累不累啊？大家都懒得叼你们这摊烂泥了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/567949781476104","repostId":"1152925080","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152925080","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1779679808,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152925080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-25 11:30","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"伊媒称伊美尚未达成谅解备忘录，鲁比奥则称协议仍可能于周一签署","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152925080","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"仍有条款存在争议。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社今天(5月25日)援引一名知情人士的话称，迄今为止美伊双方尚未达成最终谅解备忘录，仍有条款存在争议。鉴于美国过往谈判中屡次失信，伊朗对美方不抱任何乐观预期，即便达成协议，也会密切监督美方履约情况，一旦美方违背承诺，伊朗将保留全部谈判筹码予以反制。(CCTV国际时讯)</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">另一方面，据半岛电视台报道，美国国务卿鲁比奥表示：<strong>仍有希望与伊朗达成协议。在任何与伊朗达成的协议中，以色列都有权进行自卫。随着谈判的继续，与伊朗的潜在协议最早仍可能于周一签署。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伊媒称伊美尚未达成谅解备忘录，鲁比奥则称协议仍可能于周一签署</title>\n<style 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left;\">伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社今天(5月25日)援引一名知情人士的话称，迄今为止美伊双方尚未达成最终谅解备忘录，仍有条款存在争议。鉴于美国过往谈判中屡次失信，伊朗对美方不抱任何乐观预期，即便达成协议，也会密切监督美方履约情况，一旦美方违背承诺，伊朗将保留全部谈判筹码予以反制。(CCTV国际时讯)</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">另一方面，据半岛电视台报道，美国国务卿鲁比奥表示：<strong>仍有希望与伊朗达成协议。在任何与伊朗达成的协议中，以色列都有权进行自卫。随着谈判的继续，与伊朗的潜在协议最早仍可能于周一签署。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f19eed0dfe9b6f15725f2f7a21a5852","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152925080","content_text":"伊朗塔斯尼姆通讯社今天(5月25日)援引一名知情人士的话称，迄今为止美伊双方尚未达成最终谅解备忘录，仍有条款存在争议。鉴于美国过往谈判中屡次失信，伊朗对美方不抱任何乐观预期，即便达成协议，也会密切监督美方履约情况，一旦美方违背承诺，伊朗将保留全部谈判筹码予以反制。(CCTV国际时讯)另一方面，据半岛电视台报道，美国国务卿鲁比奥表示：仍有希望与伊朗达成协议。在任何与伊朗达成的协议中，以色列都有权进行自卫。随着谈判的继续，与伊朗的潜在协议最早仍可能于周一签署。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":566523486848104,"gmtCreate":1779345724539,"gmtModify":1779345726894,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"理华尔街作甚？","listText":"理华尔街作甚？","text":"理华尔街作甚？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/566523486848104","repostId":"2637047068","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2637047068","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1779344091,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2637047068?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-21 14:14","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英伟达业绩创下最佳的一次“超预期”，为何华尔街还嫌不“完美”？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2637047068","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"英伟达盘后下跌，当\"超预期\"成为常态，市场要的不再是另一张漂亮成绩单，而是能重新抬高长期增长曲线的新故事。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>英伟达盘后下跌，当"超预期"成为常态，市场要的不再是另一张漂亮成绩单，而是能重新抬高长期增长曲线的新故事。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达又一次交出“超预期业绩加上调指引”的成绩单，但市场反应显示，对全球AI龙头而言，强劲增长已不再自动等于股价上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达财年第一季度营收为816亿美元，高于市场预期的790亿美元，同比增长85%；调整后每股收益为1.87美元，高于预期的1.75美元。公司预计7月季度营收为910亿美元，也高于FactSet共识预期的873亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便如此，英伟达股价周三盘后最终下跌约1%。公司给出的调整后毛利率目标为75%，与最近一个季度持平，没有出现市场担忧的利润率收缩，但仍未能推动股价走高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Direxion产品与策略高级副总裁Ryan Lee写道，“市场要求世界最大公司做到完美。”Direxion资本市场负责人Jake Behan补充称，<strong>当预期已经如此之高时，即使一份强劲财报，如果没有实质性抬高长期前景，也可能压制股价。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1105007441\" style=\"text-align: left;\">业绩全面高于预期，但“惊喜”不再稀缺</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达本季度核心指标几乎全面超过华尔街预期。营收同比增速从上一季度的73.2%加快至85%，也高于去年11月季度62%的同比增速。调整后每股收益同样高于市场预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心仍是最大支柱。财年第一季度数据中心收入为752亿美元，同比增长92%，环比增长21%，高于FactSet预期的731亿美元。公司称增长来自Blackwell架构的持续强劲需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Investing.com分析师Thomas Monteiro认为，<strong>这是英伟达最近几个季度中“最干净的一次超预期”，因为业绩不仅跨过了很高的门槛，也回应了市场围绕AI交易的一些更大疑问。</strong>他认为，目前没有看到需求放缓的明显迹象。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但投资者的反应更谨慎。Jefferies交易台分析师Jeffrey Favuzza将盘后走势称为一场<strong>“knife fight”</strong>。他认为，这<strong>份财报之后，买方对2027年和2028年的盈利预期未必会明显上调。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1051977213\" style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心仍在加速，网络业务成为关键支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达增长的质量，更多体现在数据中心内部结构上。除GPU需求外，网络业务正在成为更重要的收入来源。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司本季度数据中心网络收入达到148亿美元，创下纪录，同比增长199%，环比增长35%，高于分析师预期的140亿美元。更广义的计算与网络业务收入为756亿美元，同比增长88%，环比增长21%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">CFO Colette Kress在电话会上表示，<strong>Blackwell架构已经“无处不在”，并被主要超大规模云厂商，云服务商和主要模型开发商采用和部署。她还提到，OpenAI的新GPT-5.5模型依赖Blackwell。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这对市场很重要。AI基础设施支出不再只是购买单一芯片，而是转向系统，网络和集群能力。Monteiro称，英伟达正在捕捉AI建设中更大份额的支出，客户不仅购买芯片，也购买连接和扩展这些芯片的系统。</p><h2 id=\"id_3870000170\" style=\"text-align: left;\">华尔街寻找新叙事：CPU，推理和智能体AI</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达最熟悉的投资叙事是GPU，但华尔街正在要求更多。HSBC的Frank Lee此前写道，GPU动能已经成为“相对不那么有意义”的投资叙事，因为云公司AI资本开支正流向更多领域，包括内存，网络和服务器CPU。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达试图给出新的增长路径。随着AI从训练转向推理，并进一步进入智能体AI阶段，CPU的重要性上升。Jensen Huang在电话会上表示，未来可能会出现数十亿个AI智能体，推理硬件需求将随之增加。他称，“思考”发生在GPU上，而编排基本运行在CPU上。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Colette Kress表示，Vera CPU为英伟达打开了一个全新的2000亿美元可服务市场。</strong>她还称，公司今年对CPU收入已有接近200亿美元的可见度，这将为英伟达成为全球领先CPU供应商奠定基础。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达的Vera CPU将与下一代Rubin GPU协同工作。Jensen Huang表示，公司预计销售“数百万个Rubin”，并且每两个Rubin将连接一个Vera。这意味着CPU并非简单替代GPU，而是嵌入英伟达的系统级销售模式。</p><h2 id=\"id_1963357280\" style=\"text-align: left;\">股东回报大幅提高，但仍有人嫌不够</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达同时试图通过资本回报扩大投资者基础。公司宣布将股票回购计划增加800亿美元，加上此前授权中剩余的385亿美元，回购空间进一步扩大。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财年第一季度，英伟达回购金额为193.1亿美元，是上一季度38.2亿美元的四倍多，也较上年同期增长37%。公司还将季度股息从每股0.01美元提高至0.25美元，隐含股息率从0.02%升至0.45%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这回应了部分投资者诉求。BofA的Vivek Arya此前写道，英伟达股票已被约78%的主动型基金经理持有，较大的既有持仓可能使未来股价上涨面临挑战；其他大型科技公司曾通过提高现金回报吸引股息和收入型投资者。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但回报力度仍未完全满足市场。Jeffrey Favuzza称，<strong>对部分投资者而言，800亿美元回购“略低于预期”。</strong>据Birinyi Associates截至4月中旬的数据，只有苹果曾宣布过规模更大的回购授权。</p><h2 id=\"id_1474008724\" style=\"text-align: left;\">更大的考验在长期预期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这份财报没有显示AI需求放缓，也没有显示毛利率承压，但它没有完全解除华尔街的长期疑虑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Gabelli Funds投资组合经理John Belton此前表示，英伟达是AI资本开支的主要受益者，但未来几年关键问题是这些资本开支是否能产生回报。他称，最新一轮财报后，超大规模云厂商今年AI支出趋势指向约7000亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>客户集中度也是风险点。</strong>Belton表示，英伟达约一半收入来自少数超大规模客户，而这些客户正在显著消耗自由现金流。投资者将关注英伟达是否能扩大客户基础。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达也在调整披露框架。公司将报告结构改为“数据中心”和“边缘计算”两大类，数据中心再细分为超大规模云厂商以及ACIE，即AI云，工业和企业。Founder ETFs投资组合经理Michael Monaghan称，这一变化显示出Jensen Huang眼中的增长方向，主权AI，企业和物理AI已经大到值得单独披露。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">因此，英伟达的问题不是业绩不强，而是强劲已被充分预期。对华尔街而言，下一步需要看到的不是又一次超预期，而是足以重新抬高长期增长曲线的新证据。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达业绩创下最佳的一次“超预期”，为何华尔街还嫌不“完美”？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达业绩创下最佳的一次“超预期”，为何华尔街还嫌不“完美”？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-21 14:14</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>英伟达盘后下跌，当"超预期"成为常态，市场要的不再是另一张漂亮成绩单，而是能重新抬高长期增长曲线的新故事。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达又一次交出“超预期业绩加上调指引”的成绩单，但市场反应显示，对全球AI龙头而言，强劲增长已不再自动等于股价上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达财年第一季度营收为816亿美元，高于市场预期的790亿美元，同比增长85%；调整后每股收益为1.87美元，高于预期的1.75美元。公司预计7月季度营收为910亿美元，也高于FactSet共识预期的873亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便如此，英伟达股价周三盘后最终下跌约1%。公司给出的调整后毛利率目标为75%，与最近一个季度持平，没有出现市场担忧的利润率收缩，但仍未能推动股价走高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Direxion产品与策略高级副总裁Ryan Lee写道，“市场要求世界最大公司做到完美。”Direxion资本市场负责人Jake Behan补充称，<strong>当预期已经如此之高时，即使一份强劲财报，如果没有实质性抬高长期前景，也可能压制股价。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1105007441\" style=\"text-align: left;\">业绩全面高于预期，但“惊喜”不再稀缺</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达本季度核心指标几乎全面超过华尔街预期。营收同比增速从上一季度的73.2%加快至85%，也高于去年11月季度62%的同比增速。调整后每股收益同样高于市场预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心仍是最大支柱。财年第一季度数据中心收入为752亿美元，同比增长92%，环比增长21%，高于FactSet预期的731亿美元。公司称增长来自Blackwell架构的持续强劲需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Investing.com分析师Thomas Monteiro认为，<strong>这是英伟达最近几个季度中“最干净的一次超预期”，因为业绩不仅跨过了很高的门槛，也回应了市场围绕AI交易的一些更大疑问。</strong>他认为，目前没有看到需求放缓的明显迹象。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但投资者的反应更谨慎。Jefferies交易台分析师Jeffrey Favuzza将盘后走势称为一场<strong>“knife fight”</strong>。他认为，这<strong>份财报之后，买方对2027年和2028年的盈利预期未必会明显上调。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_1051977213\" style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心仍在加速，网络业务成为关键支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达增长的质量，更多体现在数据中心内部结构上。除GPU需求外，网络业务正在成为更重要的收入来源。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">公司本季度数据中心网络收入达到148亿美元，创下纪录，同比增长199%，环比增长35%，高于分析师预期的140亿美元。更广义的计算与网络业务收入为756亿美元，同比增长88%，环比增长21%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">CFO Colette Kress在电话会上表示，<strong>Blackwell架构已经“无处不在”，并被主要超大规模云厂商，云服务商和主要模型开发商采用和部署。她还提到，OpenAI的新GPT-5.5模型依赖Blackwell。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这对市场很重要。AI基础设施支出不再只是购买单一芯片，而是转向系统，网络和集群能力。Monteiro称，英伟达正在捕捉AI建设中更大份额的支出，客户不仅购买芯片，也购买连接和扩展这些芯片的系统。</p><h2 id=\"id_3870000170\" style=\"text-align: left;\">华尔街寻找新叙事：CPU，推理和智能体AI</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达最熟悉的投资叙事是GPU，但华尔街正在要求更多。HSBC的Frank Lee此前写道，GPU动能已经成为“相对不那么有意义”的投资叙事，因为云公司AI资本开支正流向更多领域，包括内存，网络和服务器CPU。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达试图给出新的增长路径。随着AI从训练转向推理，并进一步进入智能体AI阶段，CPU的重要性上升。Jensen Huang在电话会上表示，未来可能会出现数十亿个AI智能体，推理硬件需求将随之增加。他称，“思考”发生在GPU上，而编排基本运行在CPU上。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Colette Kress表示，Vera CPU为英伟达打开了一个全新的2000亿美元可服务市场。</strong>她还称，公司今年对CPU收入已有接近200亿美元的可见度，这将为英伟达成为全球领先CPU供应商奠定基础。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达的Vera CPU将与下一代Rubin GPU协同工作。Jensen Huang表示，公司预计销售“数百万个Rubin”，并且每两个Rubin将连接一个Vera。这意味着CPU并非简单替代GPU，而是嵌入英伟达的系统级销售模式。</p><h2 id=\"id_1963357280\" style=\"text-align: left;\">股东回报大幅提高，但仍有人嫌不够</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达同时试图通过资本回报扩大投资者基础。公司宣布将股票回购计划增加800亿美元，加上此前授权中剩余的385亿美元，回购空间进一步扩大。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财年第一季度，英伟达回购金额为193.1亿美元，是上一季度38.2亿美元的四倍多，也较上年同期增长37%。公司还将季度股息从每股0.01美元提高至0.25美元，隐含股息率从0.02%升至0.45%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这回应了部分投资者诉求。BofA的Vivek Arya此前写道，英伟达股票已被约78%的主动型基金经理持有，较大的既有持仓可能使未来股价上涨面临挑战；其他大型科技公司曾通过提高现金回报吸引股息和收入型投资者。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但回报力度仍未完全满足市场。Jeffrey Favuzza称，<strong>对部分投资者而言，800亿美元回购“略低于预期”。</strong>据Birinyi Associates截至4月中旬的数据，只有苹果曾宣布过规模更大的回购授权。</p><h2 id=\"id_1474008724\" style=\"text-align: left;\">更大的考验在长期预期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这份财报没有显示AI需求放缓，也没有显示毛利率承压，但它没有完全解除华尔街的长期疑虑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Gabelli Funds投资组合经理John Belton此前表示，英伟达是AI资本开支的主要受益者，但未来几年关键问题是这些资本开支是否能产生回报。他称，最新一轮财报后，超大规模云厂商今年AI支出趋势指向约7000亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>客户集中度也是风险点。</strong>Belton表示，英伟达约一半收入来自少数超大规模客户，而这些客户正在显著消耗自由现金流。投资者将关注英伟达是否能扩大客户基础。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达也在调整披露框架。公司将报告结构改为“数据中心”和“边缘计算”两大类，数据中心再细分为超大规模云厂商以及ACIE，即AI云，工业和企业。Founder ETFs投资组合经理Michael Monaghan称，这一变化显示出Jensen Huang眼中的增长方向，主权AI，企业和物理AI已经大到值得单独披露。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">因此，英伟达的问题不是业绩不强，而是强劲已被充分预期。对华尔街而言，下一步需要看到的不是又一次超预期，而是足以重新抬高长期增长曲线的新证据。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94518631ea8630131b1a8562c1b55bdd","relate_stocks":{"LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU2505996681.GBP":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4H\" (GBPHDG) INC","DIPS":"做空NVDA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU2463028550.USD":"AB SICAV I AMERICAN MULTI-ASSET PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU2505996509.AUD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4H\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU2237957902.USD":"NIKKO AM GLOBAL EQUITY \"F\" (USD) ACC","LU2552382215.SGD":"WELLINGTON US BRAND POWER \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2237957811.SGD":"NIKKO AM GLOBAL EQUITY \"F\" (SGD) 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ACC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3772797","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2637047068","content_text":"英伟达盘后下跌，当\"超预期\"成为常态，市场要的不再是另一张漂亮成绩单，而是能重新抬高长期增长曲线的新故事。英伟达又一次交出“超预期业绩加上调指引”的成绩单，但市场反应显示，对全球AI龙头而言，强劲增长已不再自动等于股价上涨。英伟达财年第一季度营收为816亿美元，高于市场预期的790亿美元，同比增长85%；调整后每股收益为1.87美元，高于预期的1.75美元。公司预计7月季度营收为910亿美元，也高于FactSet共识预期的873亿美元。即便如此，英伟达股价周三盘后最终下跌约1%。公司给出的调整后毛利率目标为75%，与最近一个季度持平，没有出现市场担忧的利润率收缩，但仍未能推动股价走高。Direxion产品与策略高级副总裁Ryan Lee写道，“市场要求世界最大公司做到完美。”Direxion资本市场负责人Jake Behan补充称，当预期已经如此之高时，即使一份强劲财报，如果没有实质性抬高长期前景，也可能压制股价。业绩全面高于预期，但“惊喜”不再稀缺英伟达本季度核心指标几乎全面超过华尔街预期。营收同比增速从上一季度的73.2%加快至85%，也高于去年11月季度62%的同比增速。调整后每股收益同样高于市场预期。数据中心仍是最大支柱。财年第一季度数据中心收入为752亿美元，同比增长92%，环比增长21%，高于FactSet预期的731亿美元。公司称增长来自Blackwell架构的持续强劲需求。Investing.com分析师Thomas Monteiro认为，这是英伟达最近几个季度中“最干净的一次超预期”，因为业绩不仅跨过了很高的门槛，也回应了市场围绕AI交易的一些更大疑问。他认为，目前没有看到需求放缓的明显迹象。但投资者的反应更谨慎。Jefferies交易台分析师Jeffrey Favuzza将盘后走势称为一场“knife fight”。他认为，这份财报之后，买方对2027年和2028年的盈利预期未必会明显上调。数据中心仍在加速，网络业务成为关键支撑英伟达增长的质量，更多体现在数据中心内部结构上。除GPU需求外，网络业务正在成为更重要的收入来源。公司本季度数据中心网络收入达到148亿美元，创下纪录，同比增长199%，环比增长35%，高于分析师预期的140亿美元。更广义的计算与网络业务收入为756亿美元，同比增长88%，环比增长21%。CFO Colette Kress在电话会上表示，Blackwell架构已经“无处不在”，并被主要超大规模云厂商，云服务商和主要模型开发商采用和部署。她还提到，OpenAI的新GPT-5.5模型依赖Blackwell。这对市场很重要。AI基础设施支出不再只是购买单一芯片，而是转向系统，网络和集群能力。Monteiro称，英伟达正在捕捉AI建设中更大份额的支出，客户不仅购买芯片，也购买连接和扩展这些芯片的系统。华尔街寻找新叙事：CPU，推理和智能体AI英伟达最熟悉的投资叙事是GPU，但华尔街正在要求更多。HSBC的Frank Lee此前写道，GPU动能已经成为“相对不那么有意义”的投资叙事，因为云公司AI资本开支正流向更多领域，包括内存，网络和服务器CPU。英伟达试图给出新的增长路径。随着AI从训练转向推理，并进一步进入智能体AI阶段，CPU的重要性上升。Jensen Huang在电话会上表示，未来可能会出现数十亿个AI智能体，推理硬件需求将随之增加。他称，“思考”发生在GPU上，而编排基本运行在CPU上。Colette Kress表示，Vera CPU为英伟达打开了一个全新的2000亿美元可服务市场。她还称，公司今年对CPU收入已有接近200亿美元的可见度，这将为英伟达成为全球领先CPU供应商奠定基础。英伟达的Vera CPU将与下一代Rubin GPU协同工作。Jensen Huang表示，公司预计销售“数百万个Rubin”，并且每两个Rubin将连接一个Vera。这意味着CPU并非简单替代GPU，而是嵌入英伟达的系统级销售模式。股东回报大幅提高，但仍有人嫌不够英伟达同时试图通过资本回报扩大投资者基础。公司宣布将股票回购计划增加800亿美元，加上此前授权中剩余的385亿美元，回购空间进一步扩大。财年第一季度，英伟达回购金额为193.1亿美元，是上一季度38.2亿美元的四倍多，也较上年同期增长37%。公司还将季度股息从每股0.01美元提高至0.25美元，隐含股息率从0.02%升至0.45%。这回应了部分投资者诉求。BofA的Vivek Arya此前写道，英伟达股票已被约78%的主动型基金经理持有，较大的既有持仓可能使未来股价上涨面临挑战；其他大型科技公司曾通过提高现金回报吸引股息和收入型投资者。但回报力度仍未完全满足市场。Jeffrey Favuzza称，对部分投资者而言，800亿美元回购“略低于预期”。据Birinyi Associates截至4月中旬的数据，只有苹果曾宣布过规模更大的回购授权。更大的考验在长期预期这份财报没有显示AI需求放缓，也没有显示毛利率承压，但它没有完全解除华尔街的长期疑虑。Gabelli Funds投资组合经理John Belton此前表示，英伟达是AI资本开支的主要受益者，但未来几年关键问题是这些资本开支是否能产生回报。他称，最新一轮财报后，超大规模云厂商今年AI支出趋势指向约7000亿美元。客户集中度也是风险点。Belton表示，英伟达约一半收入来自少数超大规模客户，而这些客户正在显著消耗自由现金流。投资者将关注英伟达是否能扩大客户基础。英伟达也在调整披露框架。公司将报告结构改为“数据中心”和“边缘计算”两大类，数据中心再细分为超大规模云厂商以及ACIE，即AI云，工业和企业。Founder ETFs投资组合经理Michael Monaghan称，这一变化显示出Jensen Huang眼中的增长方向，主权AI，企业和物理AI已经大到值得单独披露。因此，英伟达的问题不是业绩不强，而是强劲已被充分预期。对华尔街而言，下一步需要看到的不是又一次超预期，而是足以重新抬高长期增长曲线的新证据。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDO":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"07388":0.6,"NVDA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":565825932980552,"gmtCreate":1779175508973,"gmtModify":1779175943564,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"神棍进化为搅屎棍","listText":"神棍进化为搅屎棍","text":"神棍进化为搅屎棍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/565825932980552","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":565588730515704,"gmtCreate":1779117494384,"gmtModify":1779118323785,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"我呸","listText":"我呸","text":"我呸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/565588730515704","repostId":"2636040182","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2636040182","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1779090103,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2636040182?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-18 15:41","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"英伟达周三财报夜：决定AI牛市命运的一战来了！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2636040182","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高盛亮起“黄灯”警告：目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最，且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高，期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股，广度存在隐患，英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛亮起“黄灯”警告：目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最，且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高，期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股，广度存在隐患，英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达将于美东时间5月20日（周三）盘后发布季报，这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨，加之罕见的"股价与隐含波动率同步走高"信号，使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为"黄灯"的简报，指出纳斯达克100指数（NDX）与费城半导体指数（SOX）上周录得本季度首个下跌周；10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%，创一年多来最大单周涨幅；油价回升至约每桶109美元；VIX同步走高。他指出，<strong>AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是：基本面依然强劲，而技术面压力持续累积。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出，市场正出现罕见的"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升"并行格局——通常而言，二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明，交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%，市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a1e2337b20aeef89405d8a6597f776b\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性，其财报表现无论向好还是向坏，均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。</p><h2 id=\"1999-2000\">技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛数据显示，SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%，沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强；半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，Peter Callahan特别点出，<strong>SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%，是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。</strong>他还指出，高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动，占全年交易日近15%；杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36f9526614c6a4f937fbc06448114ad\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">"在本周财报季（英伟达5月20日）结束、进入夏季交易之前，牢记这些战术动态是值得的，"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场，但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。</p><h2 id=\"6c5cb624\">英伟达财报：前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观，但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告，分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。<strong>市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引，</strong>当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元，环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括：英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间，以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从近期价格走势来看，英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨，区间涨幅达20%，是近两年来最长连涨周期；自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而，高盛数据同时显示，英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日（T+1），有4次出现下跌，自2022年5月以来，财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88218154fef6886fa8c3c0db1a0ef58a\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"630\"/></p><h2 id=\"16b36633\">期权市场：极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据SpotGamma数据，整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨，交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动，<strong>看涨期权偏斜（call skew）维持在90日历史区间高端，而下行保护需求极为有限。</strong>据22V Research援引数据，上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录，看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%；费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd66cc208451fa186e387522427abbf4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"431\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出，围绕标普500（SPY）、半导体ETF（SMH）及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加，且集中于深度虚值行权价区间，显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲，而非单纯的方向性押注。"市场参与者并非看空英伟达，但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道，"SpotGamma在报告中写道，"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma补充指出，英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%，当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着，一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结，有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。</p><h2 id=\"72e2cbe0\">市场广度隐患：涨势正被少数股票支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下，美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peter Callahan在报告中指出，尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%，但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Callahan坦言，审视这些板块的走势图时，令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体"健康"，还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的"资金来源"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出，过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数，离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平，而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门（PB）最新数据亦显示，科技板块近期已出现明显的"风险撤出"动作。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达周三财报夜：决定AI牛市命运的一战来了！</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达周三财报夜：决定AI牛市命运的一战来了！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-18 15:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛亮起“黄灯”警告：目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最，且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高，期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股，广度存在隐患，英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达将于美东时间5月20日（周三）盘后发布季报，这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨，加之罕见的"股价与隐含波动率同步走高"信号，使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为"黄灯"的简报，指出纳斯达克100指数（NDX）与费城半导体指数（SOX）上周录得本季度首个下跌周；10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%，创一年多来最大单周涨幅；油价回升至约每桶109美元；VIX同步走高。他指出，<strong>AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是：基本面依然强劲，而技术面压力持续累积。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出，市场正出现罕见的"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升"并行格局——通常而言，二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明，交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%，市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a1e2337b20aeef89405d8a6597f776b\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"623\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性，其财报表现无论向好还是向坏，均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。</p><h2 id=\"1999-2000\">技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">高盛数据显示，SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%，沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强；半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，Peter Callahan特别点出，<strong>SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%，是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。</strong>他还指出，高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动，占全年交易日近15%；杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a36f9526614c6a4f937fbc06448114ad\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"628\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">"在本周财报季（英伟达5月20日）结束、进入夏季交易之前，牢记这些战术动态是值得的，"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场，但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。</p><h2 id=\"6c5cb624\">英伟达财报：前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观，但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告，分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。<strong>市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引，</strong>当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元，环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括：英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间，以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从近期价格走势来看，英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨，区间涨幅达20%，是近两年来最长连涨周期；自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而，高盛数据同时显示，英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日（T+1），有4次出现下跌，自2022年5月以来，财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88218154fef6886fa8c3c0db1a0ef58a\" tg-width=\"1002\" tg-height=\"630\"/></p><h2 id=\"16b36633\">期权市场：极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据SpotGamma数据，整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨，交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动，<strong>看涨期权偏斜（call skew）维持在90日历史区间高端，而下行保护需求极为有限。</strong>据22V Research援引数据，上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录，看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%；费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd66cc208451fa186e387522427abbf4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"431\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出，围绕标普500（SPY）、半导体ETF（SMH）及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加，且集中于深度虚值行权价区间，显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲，而非单纯的方向性押注。"市场参与者并非看空英伟达，但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道，"SpotGamma在报告中写道，"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma补充指出，英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%，当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着，一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结，有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。</p><h2 id=\"72e2cbe0\">市场广度隐患：涨势正被少数股票支撑</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下，美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peter Callahan在报告中指出，尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%，但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Callahan坦言，审视这些板块的走势图时，令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体"健康"，还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的"资金来源"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出，过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数，离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平，而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门（PB）最新数据亦显示，科技板块近期已出现明显的"风险撤出"动作。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1935042488.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU1633808545.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL EQUITY GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKPKM429.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0251132253.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE000W1ABFV2.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"R\" (USD) INC","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY 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SGD"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3772508","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2636040182","content_text":"高盛亮起“黄灯”警告：目前半导体板块技术面超买程度创2000年以来之最，且罕见出现股价与波动率同步走高。市场对英伟达7月指引及算力需求的预期极高，期权市场极端看涨与尾部对冲并存。由于美股今年涨势高度集中于少数AI权重股，广度存在隐患，英伟达财报的双向风险已显著放大。英伟达将于美东时间5月20日（周三）盘后发布季报，这是当前AI牛市周期的一次关键压力测试。半导体板块技术面严重超买、期权仓位高度偏向看涨，加之罕见的\"股价与隐含波动率同步走高\"信号，使这一财报窗口的双向风险较以往显著放大。高盛TMT首席专家Peter Callahan周一发布题为\"黄灯\"的简报，指出纳斯达克100指数（NDX）与费城半导体指数（SOX）上周录得本季度首个下跌周；10年期美债收益率升至约4.60%，创一年多来最大单周涨幅；油价回升至约每桶109美元；VIX同步走高。他指出，AI与半导体主题当前面临的核心矛盾是：基本面依然强劲，而技术面压力持续累积。期权分析机构SpotGamma在近期报告中指出，市场正出现罕见的\"股价上涨、波动率同步攀升\"并行格局——通常而言，二者应呈反向关系。这一信号表明，交易者在追涨的同时也在为大幅波动支付保护溢价。英伟达财报的隐含波动幅度目前已达6%，市场注意力高度聚焦于这一时间节点。财报结果及前瞻指引将直接检验市场对AI算力超级周期的预判成色。鉴于英伟达与半导体及更广泛科技板块的高度相关性，其财报表现无论向好还是向坏，均将在市场层面引发广泛联动。技术面发出1999/2000年以来最极端警示本轮半导体涨势的量级与速度已将技术面推至历史性超买水平。高盛数据显示，SOX指数自3月底低点以来已累计上涨约70%，沿途新增市值逾5万亿美元。驱动因素包括地缘政治紧张情绪的阶段性缓解、超预期的企业盈利——例如AMAT上调全年业绩指引幅度超出预期、CSCO产品订单实现同比35%的增长——以及投资者对AI算力需求的信心增强；半导体行业盈利预期年初至今已被上调逾25%。然而，Peter Callahan特别点出，SOX指数目前已高于其200日均线约60%，是自1999/2000年互联网泡沫高峰以来从未出现过的偏离幅度。他还指出，高盛高动量因子组合今年已有12个交易日出现单日±5%以上的波动，占全年交易日近15%；杠杆ETF及期权产品的快速扩张则进一步放大了这种双向弹性。\"在本周财报季（英伟达5月20日）结束、进入夏季交易之前，牢记这些战术动态是值得的，\"Callahan写道。高盛交易台整体对AI与半导体主题仍持中期建设性立场，但在战术层面建议投资者对技术面挑战保持审慎。英伟达财报：前瞻指引或比当季业绩更关键市场对英伟达的基本面前景依然乐观，但近期股价走势已在一定程度上透支了部分预期。据高盛英伟达财报前瞻报告，分析师普遍预计英伟达本季度收入将超出市场预测约20亿美元——该公司历史上的超预期幅度通常在2%至3%之间。市场更关注的是对下一季度的前瞻指引，当前分析师一致预期约为860亿美元，环比增幅约9%。其他聚焦方向包括：英伟达约1万亿美元的数据中心累计收入指引能否存在进一步上行空间，以及Agentic AI推理需求加速的叙事——尤其是其预计于2026年下半年开始发货的纯CPU机架产品。从近期价格走势来看，英伟达已连续7个交易日上涨，区间涨幅达20%，是近两年来最长连涨周期；自3月底低点以来累计新增市值约1.7万亿美元。然而，高盛数据同时显示，英伟达过去5次财报公布后的次个交易日（T+1），有4次出现下跌，自2022年5月以来，财报触发的大幅单日上涨实际上从未出现过。期权市场：极端看涨押注与尾部对冲同步就位期权仓位结构呈现出一组内在矛盾的信号。据SpotGamma数据，整体持仓方向依然极度偏向看涨，交易者持续将英伟达看涨期权向更高行权价滚动，看涨期权偏斜（call skew）维持在90日历史区间高端，而下行保护需求极为有限。据22V Research援引数据，上周五标普500看涨期权名义成交额创下2.6万亿美元的历史纪录，看涨期权占全部期权成交量的比例高达60%；费城半导体指数RSI亦升至2000年3月以来的高位。与此同时，针对下行风险的对冲布局也在悄然展开。SpotGamma指出，围绕标普500（SPY）、半导体ETF（SMH）及DRAM相关资产的大额看跌期权结构及买入行为明显增加，且集中于深度虚值行权价区间，显示其功能更接近尾部风险对冲，而非单纯的方向性押注。\"市场参与者并非看空英伟达，但对下行情景的准备并非微不足道，\"SpotGamma在报告中写道，\"任何方向性的转变几乎都将迅速波及更广泛的市场。\"SpotGamma补充指出，英伟达自3月低点已累计上涨逾35%，当前看涨期权仓位的规模意味着，一旦财报令市场失望或引发大规模获利了结，有可能触发显著的方向性逆转。市场广度隐患：涨势正被少数股票支撑在半导体与大型科技股的强势表现之下，美股整体参与度的匮乏正在形成结构性隐忧。Peter Callahan在报告中指出，尽管标普500年初至今上涨约8%，但仅约52%的成分股录得正收益。年内明显落后的领域涵盖住宅地产、医疗器械、无政府业务敞口的工程建筑、联邦IT服务、软件与服务、独立发电商、餐饮连锁、商业地产经纪及保险经纪等多个板块。Callahan坦言，审视这些板块的走势图时，令他质疑当前市场的表现究竟体现的是整体\"健康\"，还是不过是投资者被迫将资金集中于少数大市值AI股票的\"资金来源\"效应。Oppenheimer股票衍生品团队同样指出，过去一个月内标普500成分股中仅约五分之一跑赢指数，离散度指数升至逾一年来的最高水平，而隐含相关性则接近年初至今的低点。高盛机构经纪部门（PB）最新数据亦显示，科技板块近期已出现明显的\"风险撤出\"动作。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"07788":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"07388":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDA":2,"NVDQ":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561608421303264,"gmtCreate":1778143131331,"gmtModify":1778143133697,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"第一批要死的空头出现了","listText":"第一批要死的空头出现了","text":"第一批要死的空头出现了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561608421303264","repostId":"1162488996","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162488996","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1778141855,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162488996?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-07 16:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值！大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动，远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162488996","media":"期权女巫","summary":"英特尔收盘报113.01美元，涨4.49%。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合，押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时，有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权，彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心，并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲，反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。短线交易者押注波动或下跌，而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时，买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英特尔收盘报113.01美元，涨4.49%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动，呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合，押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时，有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权，彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心，并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲，反映出<strong>市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_3675535337\" style=\"text-align: left;\">期权指标分析</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1. <strong>隐含波动率与成交量分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前英特尔的隐含波动率（IV）高达85.86%，其IV百分位<strong>达到100.00%的极值</strong>，表明期权定价处于历史最高位，市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87，结合大单数据，看涨期权总成交量（8946张）略高于看跌期权（6340张），显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2. <strong>值得关注的未平仓合约</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在2026年5月15日到期的合约中，<strong>行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74e067d311dfee1c2868a6c5db3a4bfa\" tg-width=\"1755\" tg-height=\"717\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。</p><h3 id=\"id_397935552\" style=\"text-align: left;\">大单交易</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>整体方向与结构：</strong>市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌，而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时，买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>关键大单解析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>1. 短线偏空押注：熊市看跌组合</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张，净支出约<strong>213万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价（113.01美元）高于行权价，此为买入虚值看跌期权，纯粹押注股价在短期内（至5月15日）下跌或波动率飙升。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91f5c724b0345c1f68a76c531a326439\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"777\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 长期看多彰显信心：深度实值看涨期权</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权，成交额<strong>864万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价远高于行权价，此为深度实值看涨期权，通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号，而非短期投机。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80735a908bfa46ed86ea4e4bf90da8df\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 远月对冲与上行博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：分别买入价值<strong>353.75万美元</strong>的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权（虚值），以及<strong>213.6万美元</strong>的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权（虚值）。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌，后者博取上行突破。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ae16ec1feea19e67ba3795a72018872\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"738\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>4. 近月方向博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：近月（2026年5月8日到期）买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权，成交额<strong>117万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价接近行权价，属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注，与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/56e740382d8474786bfb25a5e529bde9\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"371\"/></p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_970378957\">总体策略参考</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值，期权价格昂贵，单纯卖出深度虚值（如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put）期权被行权的概率虽低，但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险，且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者，可以考虑构建价差策略（如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差）来限制最大亏损，同时从高波动率环境中获利。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值！大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动，远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权聚焦 | 英特尔IV百分位飙至100%历史极值！大单现213万美元熊市Put组合押注短线波动，远月864万美元买入深度实值Call彰显长期看多\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-07 16:17</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英特尔收盘报113.01美元，涨4.49%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动，呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合，押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时，有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权，彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心，并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲，反映出<strong>市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。</strong></p><h3 id=\"id_3675535337\" style=\"text-align: left;\">期权指标分析</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">1. <strong>隐含波动率与成交量分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前英特尔的隐含波动率（IV）高达85.86%，其IV百分位<strong>达到100.00%的极值</strong>，表明期权定价处于历史最高位，市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87，结合大单数据，看涨期权总成交量（8946张）略高于看跌期权（6340张），显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2. <strong>值得关注的未平仓合约</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在2026年5月15日到期的合约中，<strong>行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/74e067d311dfee1c2868a6c5db3a4bfa\" tg-width=\"1755\" tg-height=\"717\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。</p><h3 id=\"id_397935552\" style=\"text-align: left;\">大单交易</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>整体方向与结构：</strong>市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌，而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时，买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>关键大单解析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>1. 短线偏空押注：熊市看跌组合</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张，净支出约<strong>213万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价（113.01美元）高于行权价，此为买入虚值看跌期权，纯粹押注股价在短期内（至5月15日）下跌或波动率飙升。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/91f5c724b0345c1f68a76c531a326439\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"777\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 长期看多彰显信心：深度实值看涨期权</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权，成交额<strong>864万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价远高于行权价，此为深度实值看涨期权，通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号，而非短期投机。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/80735a908bfa46ed86ea4e4bf90da8df\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 远月对冲与上行博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：分别买入价值<strong>353.75万美元</strong>的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权（虚值），以及<strong>213.6万美元</strong>的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权（虚值）。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌，后者博取上行突破。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT\" title=\"$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ </a></strong></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1ae16ec1feea19e67ba3795a72018872\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"738\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>4. 近月方向博弈</strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p><strong>交易构成</strong>：近月（2026年5月8日到期）买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权，成交额<strong>117万美元</strong>。</p></li><li><p><strong>策略解读</strong>：当前股价接近行权价，属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注，与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。</p><p><strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$</a></strong><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL\" title=\"$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ \" class=\"immutable-element\"> </a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/56e740382d8474786bfb25a5e529bde9\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"371\"/></p></li></ul><h3 id=\"id_970378957\">总体策略参考</h3><p style=\"text-align: left;\">鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值，期权价格昂贵，单纯卖出深度虚值（如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put）期权被行权的概率虽低，但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险，且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者，可以考虑构建价差策略（如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差）来限制最大亏损，同时从高波动率环境中获利。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f75603b44290c7d476d289df7f8b04ca","relate_stocks":{"INTW":"2倍做多INTC ETF-GraniteShares","LINT":"Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF","INTC":"英特尔","ARMW":"Roundhill ARM WeeklyPay ETF","ARMU":"2倍做多ARM ETF-T-REX","ARMG":"2倍做多ARM ETF- Leverage Shares"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162488996","content_text":"英特尔收盘报113.01美元，涨4.49%。近期英特尔期权市场出现显著的大单交易活动，呈现出短线博弈与长期布局并存的复杂格局。机构交易者构建了价值213万美元的熊市看跌期权组合，押注短期内股价波动或下行。同时，有交易者斥资864万美元买入远月深度实值看涨期权，彰显了对公司长期价值的坚定信心，并辅以超远月看跌期权进行对冲，反映出市场在剧烈波动预期下的多空分歧与谨慎心态。期权指标分析1. 隐含波动率与成交量分析当前英特尔的隐含波动率（IV）高达85.86%，其IV百分位达到100.00%的极值，表明期权定价处于历史最高位，市场预期未来股价将出现剧烈波动。看跌/看涨成交量比率为0.87，结合大单数据，看涨期权总成交量（8946张）略高于看跌期权（6340张），显示多空交投活跃但方向性并不极端。2. 值得关注的未平仓合约在2026年5月15日到期的合约中，行权价120.0美元、100.0美元和95.0美元的看涨期权未平仓合约数分别高达30,770张、16,035张和14,826张。这些高持仓量区域可能成为未来股价上行的重要阻力或支撑位。大单交易整体方向与结构：市场呈现“短线博弈、远月多空对冲”的格局。短线交易者押注波动或下跌，而长线资金则在进行看多布局的同时，买入保护性看跌期权以对冲风险。关键大单解析：1. 短线偏空押注：熊市看跌组合交易构成：同时买入2026年5月15日到期、行权价107.00美元和108.00美元的看跌期权各2,545张，净支出约213万美元。策略解读：当前股价（113.01美元）高于行权价，此为买入虚值看跌期权，纯粹押注股价在短期内（至5月15日）下跌或波动率飙升。$INTC 20260515 107.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260515 108.0 PUT$ 2. 长期看多彰显信心：深度实值看涨期权交易构成：买入1,800张2026年7月17日到期、行权价65.00美元的看涨期权，成交额864万美元。策略解读：当前股价远高于行权价，此为深度实值看涨期权，通常被视为利用杠杆进行长期股票替代或强烈看多的信号，而非短期投机。$INTC 20260717 65.0 CALL$ 3. 远月对冲与上行博弈交易构成：分别买入价值353.75万美元的2027年3月到期、行权价110美元看跌期权（虚值），以及213.6万美元的2026年9月到期、行权价130美元看涨期权（虚值）。策略解读：进一步印证远月期权的多空对冲布局——前者用于长期保护或看跌，后者博取上行突破。$INTC 20270319 110.0 PUT$ $INTC 20260918 130.0 CALL$ 4. 近月方向博弈交易构成：近月（2026年5月8日到期）买入3,646张行权价112美元的看涨期权，成交额117万美元。策略解读：当前股价接近行权价，属于对短期方向或事件性波动的直接押注，与前述看跌组合共同加剧短线不确定性。$INTC 20260508 112.0 CALL$ 总体策略参考鉴于隐含波动率处于历史极值，期权价格昂贵，单纯卖出深度虚值（如行权价140美元以上的Call或90美元以下的Put）期权被行权的概率虽低，但需警惕波动率回落带来的合约价值衰减风险，且需承担高额保证金。对于风险承受能力有限的投资者，可以考虑构建价差策略（如熊市看涨价差或牛市看跌价差）来限制最大亏损，同时从高波动率环境中获利。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARMW":0.6,"INTC":2,"INTW":0.6,"ARMU":0.6,"ARMG":0.6,"LINT":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":561541531336792,"gmtCreate":1778126888685,"gmtModify":1778126890957,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"多吃点🍇，蛮酸的","listText":"多吃点🍇，蛮酸的","text":"多吃点🍇，蛮酸的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/561541531336792","repostId":"2633916161","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2633916161","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1778126126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2633916161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-07 11:55","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"重温泡沫巅峰的感觉？当前的美股涨的比1999年还快！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2633916161","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"数据显示，过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健，但分析师警告，股市往往在好消息中见顶，情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>数据显示，过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健，但分析师警告，股市往往在好消息中见顶，情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下，美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情，其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5月7日，彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称，随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象，国际油价大幅下跌，并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时，市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退，加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷，<strong>当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，文章指出，<strong>这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。</strong>据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告，过去一年纳斯达克100指数（NDX）表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这意味着，<strong>当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。</strong>尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期，但分析师警告称<strong>，</strong>市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕：股票往往在好消息中见顶，分析人士警告，半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件，市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p><h2 id=\"id_1219389364\" style=\"text-align: left;\">头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出，当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示，在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%，而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里，前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下，过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从个股表现来看，这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通，涨幅为2600%；在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里，表现最好的股票是Strategy，涨幅为1260%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">而反观当前，过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是，在1999年，闪迪正是表现第二好的股票，当时的涨幅为581%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0ada8f7a385f55ef45fb9d69d1e766\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"257\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是，<strong>作为本轮上涨的引擎，费城半导体指数（SOX）的表现同样逼近历史极值。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在互联网泡沫时期，该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录，但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e7ad13f2d90e668483cd06399eed05\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"394\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在半导体板块内部，细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中，数据中心相关股票上涨了230%，而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25958a7f4a64cccf81fb025b90291e\" tg-width=\"684\" tg-height=\"808\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_51151953\" style=\"text-align: left;\">好消息堆叠，或是见顶信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">文章指出，<strong>从宏观层面来看，地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。</strong>中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫，进而压低了债券收益率，为股市估值提供了支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在流动性预期方面<strong>，市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。</strong>而在企业盈利端，人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现，<strong>AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cameron Crise称，这种宏观与微观层面的完美共振，<strong>让持怀疑态度的投资者感到背脊发凉。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与2000年至2002年互联网泡沫破裂时缺乏基本面支撑、导致半导体指数最终暴跌84%的情况不同，当前市场的基本面显然更为稳健。分析师认为，市场不太可能重演当年那种毁灭性的下跌。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，这并不意味着市场可以免疫于周期性的调整。<strong>BTIG预计，半导体板块可能会出现25%至30%的修正，这一幅度的回调将使费城半导体指数回落至其50日移动平均线附近</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc4ac210d85de8670883e9cc6896166e\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"806\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析指出，历史经验表明，股市往往在好消息中见顶。当前，强劲的盈利数据与中东局势缓和的利好消息交织，可能正在为半导体板块构筑一个波段高点。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>重温泡沫巅峰的感觉？当前的美股涨的比1999年还快！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n重温泡沫巅峰的感觉？当前的美股涨的比1999年还快！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-07 11:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>数据显示，过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健，但分析师警告，股市往往在好消息中见顶，情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下，美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情，其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">5月7日，彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称，随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象，国际油价大幅下跌，并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时，市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退，加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷，<strong>当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，文章指出，<strong>这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。</strong>据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告，过去一年纳斯达克100指数（NDX）表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这意味着，<strong>当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。</strong>尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期，但分析师警告称<strong>，</strong>市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕：股票往往在好消息中见顶，分析人士警告，半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件，市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。</p><h2 id=\"id_1219389364\" style=\"text-align: left;\">头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出，当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示，在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%，而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里，前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下，过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从个股表现来看，这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通，涨幅为2600%；在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里，表现最好的股票是Strategy，涨幅为1260%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">而反观当前，过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是，在1999年，闪迪正是表现第二好的股票，当时的涨幅为581%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff0ada8f7a385f55ef45fb9d69d1e766\" tg-width=\"482\" tg-height=\"257\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是，<strong>作为本轮上涨的引擎，费城半导体指数（SOX）的表现同样逼近历史极值。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在互联网泡沫时期，该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录，但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9e7ad13f2d90e668483cd06399eed05\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"394\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在半导体板块内部，细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中，数据中心相关股票上涨了230%，而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c25958a7f4a64cccf81fb025b90291e\" tg-width=\"684\" tg-height=\"808\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_51151953\" style=\"text-align: left;\">好消息堆叠，或是见顶信号</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">文章指出，<strong>从宏观层面来看，地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。</strong>中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫，进而压低了债券收益率，为股市估值提供了支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在流动性预期方面<strong>，市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。</strong>而在企业盈利端，人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现，<strong>AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Cameron Crise称，这种宏观与微观层面的完美共振，<strong>让持怀疑态度的投资者感到背脊发凉。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与2000年至2002年互联网泡沫破裂时缺乏基本面支撑、导致半导体指数最终暴跌84%的情况不同，当前市场的基本面显然更为稳健。分析师认为，市场不太可能重演当年那种毁灭性的下跌。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而，这并不意味着市场可以免疫于周期性的调整。<strong>BTIG预计，半导体板块可能会出现25%至30%的修正，这一幅度的回调将使费城半导体指数回落至其50日移动平均线附近</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc4ac210d85de8670883e9cc6896166e\" tg-width=\"693\" tg-height=\"806\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析指出，历史经验表明，股市往往在好消息中见顶。当前，强劲的盈利数据与中东局势缓和的利好消息交织，可能正在为半导体板块构筑一个波段高点。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{"SSG":"Proshares Ultrashort Semiconductors","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","QQQX":"Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite","SOXQ":"Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF","SOXS":"三倍做空半导体ETF-Direxion Daily","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","QMAR":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - March","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF","NOCT":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October","QDEC":"FT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - December","CHPS":"XTRACKERS SEMICONDUCTOR SELECT EQUITY ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","TEKX":"SPDR Galaxy Transformative Tech Accelerators ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SMHX":"VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","VGT":"信息技术ETF-Vanguard","USD":"ProShares Ultra Semiconductors","SOXL":"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4588":"碎股","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","FTXL":"First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","NJUL":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - July","TQQY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST QQQ ETF","CHPY":"YieldMax Semiconductor Portfolio Option Income ETF","XSD":"SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF","PSI":"INVESCO SEMICONDUCTORS ETF","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","SPY":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DIA":"道琼斯ETF","QQQM":"NASDAQ100指数ETF-Invesco","NJAN":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - January","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","GPIQ":"GOLDMAN SACHS NASDAQ 100 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","NAPR":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - April","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SOXY":"YieldMax Target 12 Semiconductor Option Income ETF","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","SMH":"半导体指数ETF-HOLDRs","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3771706","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2633916161","content_text":"数据显示，过去一年纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。尽管当前基本面更稳健，但分析师警告，股市往往在好消息中见顶，情绪亢奋的半导体板块或面临25%至30%的回调风险。在人工智能热潮与宏观环境改善的双重催化下，美国股市正经历一场极端的上涨行情，其头部科技股的涨幅甚至已经超越了1999年互联网泡沫破裂前的巅峰水平。5月7日，彭博宏观策略师Cameron Crise撰文称，随着中东冲突出现缓和迹象，国际油价大幅下跌，并带动债券收益率走低。与此同时，市场对美联储年内紧缩政策的预期已基本消退，加之以AMD为代表的芯片股交出优异答卷，当前的股市环境堪称“完美”。然而，文章指出，这种“好得难以置信”的市场表现正引发投资者的警觉。据BTIG首席技术分析师Jonathan Krinsky的最新报告，过去一年纳斯达克100指数（NDX）表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅高达784%，这一数据不仅击败了1999年的平均水平，也超过了2000年3月市场见顶前一年的表现。这意味着，当前这轮科技股行情在涨幅烈度上已正式超越历史上最著名的泡沫时代。尽管当前的宏观基本面远优于互联网泡沫时期，但分析师警告称，市场情绪的亢奋程度引发警惕：股票往往在好消息中见顶，分析人士警告，半导体板块或已具备形成阶段性高点的全部条件，市场正面临25%至30%的回调风险。头部科技股涨幅超越互联网泡沫时期半导体板块的极端上涨是本轮行情的绝对核心。BTIG 的 Jonathan Krinsky 在报告中通过历史数据对比指出，当前市场的集中爆发程度在某些方面甚至比互联网泡沫时期更为极端。数据显示，在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的前10只股票平均涨幅为559%，而在2000年3月24日见顶前的一年里，前10大牛股的平均涨幅为622%。相比之下，过去一年纳斯达克100指数前10大成分股的平均涨幅达到了惊人的784%。从个股表现来看，这种超越历史的趋势更为明显。在1999年，纳斯达克100指数表现最好的股票是高通，涨幅为2600%；在互联网泡沫见顶前的一年里，表现最好的股票是Strategy，涨幅为1260%。而反观当前，过去一年表现最好的纳斯达克100成分股闪迪涨幅高达3960%。这一成绩比高通在整个互联网泡沫期间创下的最佳52周滚动回报率还要高出1300个基点。有趣的是，在1999年，闪迪正是表现第二好的股票，当时的涨幅为581%。值得注意的是，作为本轮上涨的引擎，费城半导体指数（SOX）的表现同样逼近历史极值。在互联网泡沫时期，该指数的最佳52周滚动回报率为264%。虽然当前该指数145%的滚动回报率尚未打破历史纪录，但这已经是过去26年来最接近该极值的水平。在半导体板块内部，细分领域的涨幅同样惊人。其中，数据中心相关股票上涨了230%，而存储芯片类股票的涨幅更是超过了450%。好消息堆叠，或是见顶信号当前的美股市场似乎正处于所有可能世界中最完美的状态。文章指出，从宏观层面来看，地缘政治风险的降温对资产定价产生了直接的积极影响。中东局势的缓和促使油价下挫，进而压低了债券收益率，为股市估值提供了支撑。在流动性预期方面，市场对美联储进一步收紧货币政策的担忧已迅速消散。而在企业盈利端，人工智能带来的业绩红利正在兑现，AMD等芯片巨头的强劲表现进一步点燃了市场的做多情绪。Cameron 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09:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美媒称伊朗将在周四回应美方提议，伊朗议长斥责其为“虚假媒体叙事”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124503554","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据CNN：<strong>一位消息人士表示，伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查，消息人士称，双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。</strong></p><p>据伊朗Press TV报道，<strong>伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道，称这些报道具有误导性，是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。</strong>周四，伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文，提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道，并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”（假装行动）。他指出，此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式，尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据，而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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09:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据CNN：<strong>一位消息人士表示，伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查，消息人士称，双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。</strong></p><p>据伊朗Press TV报道，<strong>伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道，称这些报道具有误导性，是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。</strong>周四，伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文，提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道，并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”（假装行动）。他指出，此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式，尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据，而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f667d36a087f6144733e56bd1e3f0377","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124503554","content_text":"据CNN：一位消息人士表示，伊朗预计将于周四向调解人提交关于美国提出的结束战争提议的答复。伊朗一直在对美国提出的提议进行审查，消息人士称，双方正在朝着达成一项结束战争的协议而努力。据伊朗Press TV报道，伊朗议会议长驳斥了近期有关德黑兰与华盛顿之间即将达成某种协议的报道，称这些报道具有误导性，是源自美国的、屡见不鲜的虚假媒体叙事的一部分。周四，伊朗议会议长卡利巴夫在社交媒体上发文，提及了美国媒体Axios关于此类安排的报道，并讽刺地将其称为“Operation Fauxios”（假装行动）。他指出，此类报道的流传反映了美国媒体报道中的一种惯常模式，尤其是那些援引匿名消息来源的报道——伊朗官员曾多次驳斥这些报道毫无根据，而事后事实也总是证明这些报道是错误的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":2,"CLmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":559222754338312,"gmtCreate":1777560704712,"gmtModify":1777562329444,"author":{"id":"3514005164997802","authorId":"3514005164997802","name":"momogogo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51bd9eceb7443a57b30ccfc4f705b931","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3514005164997802","authorIdStr":"3514005164997802"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"又跌下来了，你能不能稳一点再放P","listText":"又跌下来了，你能不能稳一点再放P","text":"又跌下来了，你能不能稳一点再放P","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/559222754338312","repostId":"1130021851","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1130021851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1777475972,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130021851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-29 23:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"异动解读 | 应用光电(AAOI)盘中大涨6.55%，光通信板块情绪修复推动技术性反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130021851","media":"异动解读","summary":"应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%，引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上，此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前，因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单，引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧，导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击，作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商，其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复，股价随之回升。同日内，光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨，呈现出集体反弹的态势。","content":"<p>应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%，引起了市场的广泛关注。</p><p>消息面上，此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前，因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单，引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧，导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击，作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商，其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复，股价随之回升。</p><p>同日内，光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨，呈现出集体反弹的态势。</p>","source":"ai_movement_cn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">异动解读 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-29 23:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%，引起了市场的广泛关注。</p><p>消息面上，此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前，因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单，引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧，导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击，作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商，其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复，股价随之回升。</p><p>同日内，光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨，呈现出集体反弹的态势。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130021851","content_text":"应用光电(AAOI)今日盘中大涨6.55%，引起了市场的广泛关注。消息面上，此次上涨主要源于光通信板块的整体情绪修复与技术性反弹。此前，因POET Technologies遭Marvell取消全部采购订单，引发了市场对供应链稳定性的担忧，导致整个板块在前期遭遇了恐慌性抛售并连续下挫。应用光电(AAOI)自身基本面并未受到该事件的直接冲击，作为美国本土稀缺的垂直整合光模块厂商，其800G产品批量交付、1.6T技术同步推进的核心增长逻辑依然稳固。随着市场情绪的逐步修复，股价随之回升。同日内，光通信板块其他个股亦普遍上涨，呈现出集体反弹的态势。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAOI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}