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IP属地:浙江
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BGXL
BGXL
·
04-03
$小鹏集团-W(09868)$
我管的范围还蛮宽的[得意] 嘿嘿
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BGXL
BGXL
·
04-02
自己战略一个劲的提前往外淘,竞争对手牙都要笑掉,提前占位狙击,优势大打折扣;一天到晚放消息有用吗,没用,该跌照跌,所以不停的说解决不了问题;舆论不控制服务不跟上,设计还理工化,这个盘小鹏控得.......无语。感觉就像是个上班技术族,技术再牛,上司要打压你,一天到晚挑刺说你差,你的舆情就是差的!沉默无作为的代价就是失控和边缘化........
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-26
$上证指数(000001)$
机器人集群 ai智能体是机器人技术的先导,形容其迭代日新月异不为过,军事方面的机器人集群的识别、管控、攻击等技术质量快速跃迁速度,决定GJ的先进战斗力强到什么程度,之前的先手在当前的迭代速度下,分秒间会被他国超越,在ai时代的军事块面,只争朝夕程度决定了是碾压或者被碾压!人才、设备资源、管控模式要求先进性匹配,步子要迈得大一点,某些经济投入需要平衡先放一放,军事才是第一!
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-25
马斯克想法不错
伯恩斯坦“泼冷水”:马斯克超级芯片工厂需5-13万亿美元资本开支,"比登陆火星还难"
伯恩斯坦认为,"Terafab"项目更多停留在炒作层面。据测算,若实现年产1太瓦算力目标,需投入5至13万亿美元资本开支,并新增相当于当前全球半导体总量的产能,难度“堪比再造一个半导体行业”。
伯恩斯坦“泼冷水”:马斯克超级芯片工厂需5-13万亿美元资本开支,"比登陆火星还难"
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-25
一个,你自动这么牛,之前干嘛去了?这么牛,那搞个地平线和其它自驾的比赛,直接随机拉到异地比;另一个,都是成年人,蹭热点就蹭,虚晃一枪又光明正大一套说辞,就有点low了。
疑地平线员工朋友圈“内涵”小鹏智驾,余凯回应:非官方立场
3月24日,针对网传“地平线员工在朋友圈质疑小鹏智驾并非真正端到端、无直出轨迹”一事,地平线创始人余凯正式回应称,该言论不代表地平线官方立场,当事人真实身份不明,此举严重违背公司价值观。余凯强调,地平线乐见包括小鹏在内的行业伙伴取得技术进步,认为“行业越进步,消费者越向往自动驾驶,大家共同做的蛋糕就越大”。此前,该疑似员工言论还调侃了小鹏行车记录仪优化项目。据悉,小鹏汽车已于3月初发布第二代VLA智能驾驶系统,并计划自2026年起加速全球化布局及人形机器人量产。
疑地平线员工朋友圈“内涵”小鹏智驾,余凯回应:非官方立场
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-24
特说不炸了,内塔会愿意?
美伊谈判是真是假,至少华尔街已从特朗普引发的五分钟狂飙获得明确信号
就在特朗普表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后几分钟,油价暴跌超13%,美股美债大涨。尽管伊朗迅速否认特朗普关于谈判的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析称,在华尔街看来,传递的信号明确:特朗普本人正急于结束这场战争。然而,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑,随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅有所回吐。
美伊谈判是真是假,至少华尔街已从特朗普引发的五分钟狂飙获得明确信号
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-23
我们外人看。之前零跑的优势是供应链成本,搞创新任重道远。
零跑汽车欧洲创新中心在德国慕尼黑正式开业
人民财讯3月21日电,德国慕尼黑,3月20日,零跑汽车欧洲创新中心正式开业。这是零跑汽车在海外设立的首个创新中心,标志着品牌从产品出口向设计出海的战略跃升,并推动全球化进程迈入全新阶段。
零跑汽车欧洲创新中心在德国慕尼黑正式开业
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-17
$上证指数(000001)$
当外部在崩溃,战争在扩大,大家再想着股市马上会不断向上,有点不合时宜......
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BGXL
BGXL
·
03-11
$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$
这波走得强,应是新主力资金进来了,不知是长期机构还是量化,量化接下来就玄了……
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BGXL
BGXL
·
01-26
估计还是组合拳,低息多年打趴一遍,再加上低价款覆盖,没实力的话还真竞争不过。
告别“一锤子买卖”!特斯拉、小鹏、理想等品牌相继推出7年期超低息购车方案
2026年1月,中国新能源汽车市场以一场前所未有的金融战役拉开了序幕。1月22日,小鹏汽车正式宣布加入“7年低息购车俱乐部”,推出了覆盖全系车型的7年低息分期方案,将首付门槛降至15%起,月供最低只需1355元,创造了市场新低。这一激进策略彻底点燃了市场,也将这场由特斯拉在月初引爆的“金融战争”推向了白热化。
告别“一锤子买卖”!特斯拉、小鹏、理想等品牌相继推出7年期超低息购车方案
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ai智能体是机器人技术的先导,形容其迭代日新月异不为过,军事方面的机器人集群的识别、管控、攻击等技术质量快速跃迁速度,决定GJ的先进战斗力强到什么程度,之前的先手在当前的迭代速度下,分秒间会被他国超越,在ai时代的军事块面,只争朝夕程度决定了是碾压或者被碾压!人才、设备资源、管控模式要求先进性匹配,步子要迈得大一点,某些经济投入需要平衡先放一放,军事才是第一!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546659555632368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546390745629016,"gmtCreate":1774405611696,"gmtModify":1774405613967,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"马斯克想法不错","listText":"马斯克想法不错","text":"马斯克想法不错","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546390745629016","repostId":"2621608220","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621608220","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1774357624,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2621608220?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-24 21:07","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"伯恩斯坦“泼冷水”:马斯克超级芯片工厂需5-13万亿美元资本开支,\"比登陆火星还难\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621608220","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"伯恩斯坦认为,\"Terafab\"项目更多停留在炒作层面。据测算,若实现年产1太瓦算力目标,需投入5至13万亿美元资本开支,并新增相当于当前全球半导体总量的产能,难度“堪比再造一个半导体行业”。","content":"<html><body><p>马斯克雄心勃勃的\"Terafab\"计划遭遇华尔街冷静审视。</p>\n<p>据追风交易台,伯恩斯坦研究在最新报告中以详尽的量化测算指出,<strong>若要实现马斯克所设想的每年1太瓦算力生产目标,所需资本开支高达5至13万亿美元,所需晶圆产能相当于全球现有半导体产能总量,这一挑战\"比登陆火星还难\"。</strong></p>\n<p>马斯克上周末宣布启动\"Terafab\"项目,计划将人类算力生产规模扩张至每年1太瓦,约为当前全球算力供应总量(约20吉瓦)的50倍,并将首先在德克萨斯州奥斯汀建设一座先进晶圆厂,涵盖计算芯片、逻辑芯片、内存、封装及掩模版生产全链条。伯恩斯坦分析师Stacy A. Rasgon领衔的团队随即发布报告,对该计划的可行性进行了系统性量化评估。</p>\n<p>伯恩斯坦指出,若投资者真正相信马斯克能够实现这一目标,半导体设备股将是最直接的受益方向;但就当前而言,<strong>该计划对行业的实质影响\"可能并不大,更多停留在炒作层面\"。</strong></p>\n<h2>天文数字的资本开支测算</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦以现有算力架构(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>机架)为基准,对GPU、HBM内存及CPU三类核心芯片的晶圆需求进行了粗略估算。报告显示,<strong>每年生产1太瓦算力,需要每月700万至1800万片300毫米晶圆启动量,其中HBM内存需求占据主导地位。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>以每月5万片晶圆产能的工厂为单位换算,上述需求相当于新建140至360座此类工厂。按每座工厂350亿美元的资本开支计算,总投入将达5至13万亿美元。</strong>伯恩斯坦在报告中明确标注,上述测算属于\"非常粗略的估算\",且尚未将网络、光学、模拟及电源芯片等其他半导体品类纳入计算范围。</p>\n<h2>产能需求堪比再造一个全球半导体行业</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦的测算揭示了这一计划在产能层面的惊人体量。报告指出,<strong>1太瓦算力所需的晶圆产能,与全球现有半导体产能总量(约每月1600万片300毫米等效晶圆)大体相当。</strong></p>\n<p>若仅聚焦于\"相关\"半导体——即内存加上4纳米及以下先进逻辑晶圆,当前全球已安装产能约为每月500万片300毫米等效晶圆,而1太瓦目标所需产能则是这一数字的数倍之多。换言之,<strong>马斯克的计划实际上要求在现有先进制程产能基础上实现数倍扩张,难度之高不言而喻。</strong></p>\n<h2>行业影响:设备股受益,代工模式暂无威胁</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦认为,Terafab计划对半导体行业的近期实质影响有限,但从投资逻辑角度提供了若干值得关注的方向。</p>\n<p>报告指出,若市场相信马斯克能够推进这一计划,半导体设备(semicap)将是最直接的受益标的。</p>\n<p>对于马斯克自建芯片是否会冲击现有芯片厂商,伯恩斯坦持相对乐观态度,认为在算力需求如此强劲的环境下,任何参与者都将面临远超自身承接能力的上行空间,内存厂商同样如此。</p>\n<p>在商业模式层面,伯恩斯坦指出,Terafab将逻辑、内存、掩模版制造、芯片设计及封装整合于一体,实质上构成一种\"超级IDM\"模式,而这一模式已被证明远不如\"代工+无晶圆厂+专业内存IDM\"的分工体系高效。</p>\n<p>因此,报告认为Terafab对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>等代工厂商目前构成的威胁有限。</p>\n<h2>伯恩斯坦:不否定马斯克,但挑战\"极为艰巨\"</h2>\n<p>尽管测算结果令人咋舌,伯恩斯坦并未将马斯克成功的可能性完全排除在外。</p>\n<p>报告写道,马斯克此前已多次完成外界认为不可能的事情,\"我们不会轻易否定他\"。</p>\n<p>然而,报告同时明确表示,\"真正意义上的Terafab对我们而言感觉像是一种延伸,尤其是在沿用当前算力范式的前提下。\"</p>\n<p>伯恩斯坦提出两种可能的替代路径:</p>\n<p>其一,马斯克在无法独立推进时,或许会寻求与现有芯片制造商建立合作;</p>\n<p>其二,马斯克或许有某种\"更出人意料\"的技术路径来突破现有范式,但报告坦言\"我们不知道那会是什么\"。</p>\n</body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>伯恩斯坦“泼冷水”:马斯克超级芯片工厂需5-13万亿美元资本开支,\"比登陆火星还难\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n伯恩斯坦“泼冷水”:马斯克超级芯片工厂需5-13万亿美元资本开支,\"比登陆火星还难\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-24 21:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>马斯克雄心勃勃的\"Terafab\"计划遭遇华尔街冷静审视。</p>\n<p>据追风交易台,伯恩斯坦研究在最新报告中以详尽的量化测算指出,<strong>若要实现马斯克所设想的每年1太瓦算力生产目标,所需资本开支高达5至13万亿美元,所需晶圆产能相当于全球现有半导体产能总量,这一挑战\"比登陆火星还难\"。</strong></p>\n<p>马斯克上周末宣布启动\"Terafab\"项目,计划将人类算力生产规模扩张至每年1太瓦,约为当前全球算力供应总量(约20吉瓦)的50倍,并将首先在德克萨斯州奥斯汀建设一座先进晶圆厂,涵盖计算芯片、逻辑芯片、内存、封装及掩模版生产全链条。伯恩斯坦分析师Stacy A. Rasgon领衔的团队随即发布报告,对该计划的可行性进行了系统性量化评估。</p>\n<p>伯恩斯坦指出,若投资者真正相信马斯克能够实现这一目标,半导体设备股将是最直接的受益方向;但就当前而言,<strong>该计划对行业的实质影响\"可能并不大,更多停留在炒作层面\"。</strong></p>\n<h2>天文数字的资本开支测算</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦以现有算力架构(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>机架)为基准,对GPU、HBM内存及CPU三类核心芯片的晶圆需求进行了粗略估算。报告显示,<strong>每年生产1太瓦算力,需要每月700万至1800万片300毫米晶圆启动量,其中HBM内存需求占据主导地位。</strong></p>\n<p><strong>以每月5万片晶圆产能的工厂为单位换算,上述需求相当于新建140至360座此类工厂。按每座工厂350亿美元的资本开支计算,总投入将达5至13万亿美元。</strong>伯恩斯坦在报告中明确标注,上述测算属于\"非常粗略的估算\",且尚未将网络、光学、模拟及电源芯片等其他半导体品类纳入计算范围。</p>\n<h2>产能需求堪比再造一个全球半导体行业</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦的测算揭示了这一计划在产能层面的惊人体量。报告指出,<strong>1太瓦算力所需的晶圆产能,与全球现有半导体产能总量(约每月1600万片300毫米等效晶圆)大体相当。</strong></p>\n<p>若仅聚焦于\"相关\"半导体——即内存加上4纳米及以下先进逻辑晶圆,当前全球已安装产能约为每月500万片300毫米等效晶圆,而1太瓦目标所需产能则是这一数字的数倍之多。换言之,<strong>马斯克的计划实际上要求在现有先进制程产能基础上实现数倍扩张,难度之高不言而喻。</strong></p>\n<h2>行业影响:设备股受益,代工模式暂无威胁</h2>\n<p>伯恩斯坦认为,Terafab计划对半导体行业的近期实质影响有限,但从投资逻辑角度提供了若干值得关注的方向。</p>\n<p>报告指出,若市场相信马斯克能够推进这一计划,半导体设备(semicap)将是最直接的受益标的。</p>\n<p>对于马斯克自建芯片是否会冲击现有芯片厂商,伯恩斯坦持相对乐观态度,认为在算力需求如此强劲的环境下,任何参与者都将面临远超自身承接能力的上行空间,内存厂商同样如此。</p>\n<p>在商业模式层面,伯恩斯坦指出,Terafab将逻辑、内存、掩模版制造、芯片设计及封装整合于一体,实质上构成一种\"超级IDM\"模式,而这一模式已被证明远不如\"代工+无晶圆厂+专业内存IDM\"的分工体系高效。</p>\n<p>因此,报告认为Terafab对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>等代工厂商目前构成的威胁有限。</p>\n<h2>伯恩斯坦:不否定马斯克,但挑战\"极为艰巨\"</h2>\n<p>尽管测算结果令人咋舌,伯恩斯坦并未将马斯克成功的可能性完全排除在外。</p>\n<p>报告写道,马斯克此前已多次完成外界认为不可能的事情,\"我们不会轻易否定他\"。</p>\n<p>然而,报告同时明确表示,\"真正意义上的Terafab对我们而言感觉像是一种延伸,尤其是在沿用当前算力范式的前提下。\"</p>\n<p>伯恩斯坦提出两种可能的替代路径:</p>\n<p>其一,马斯克在无法独立推进时,或许会寻求与现有芯片制造商建立合作;</p>\n<p>其二,马斯克或许有某种\"更出人意料\"的技术路径来突破现有范式,但报告坦言\"我们不知道那会是什么\"。</p>\n</body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - 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Rasgon领衔的团队随即发布报告,对该计划的可行性进行了系统性量化评估。\n伯恩斯坦指出,若投资者真正相信马斯克能够实现这一目标,半导体设备股将是最直接的受益方向;但就当前而言,该计划对行业的实质影响\"可能并不大,更多停留在炒作层面\"。\n天文数字的资本开支测算\n伯恩斯坦以现有算力架构(英伟达机架)为基准,对GPU、HBM内存及CPU三类核心芯片的晶圆需求进行了粗略估算。报告显示,每年生产1太瓦算力,需要每月700万至1800万片300毫米晶圆启动量,其中HBM内存需求占据主导地位。\n以每月5万片晶圆产能的工厂为单位换算,上述需求相当于新建140至360座此类工厂。按每座工厂350亿美元的资本开支计算,总投入将达5至13万亿美元。伯恩斯坦在报告中明确标注,上述测算属于\"非常粗略的估算\",且尚未将网络、光学、模拟及电源芯片等其他半导体品类纳入计算范围。\n产能需求堪比再造一个全球半导体行业\n伯恩斯坦的测算揭示了这一计划在产能层面的惊人体量。报告指出,1太瓦算力所需的晶圆产能,与全球现有半导体产能总量(约每月1600万片300毫米等效晶圆)大体相当。\n若仅聚焦于\"相关\"半导体——即内存加上4纳米及以下先进逻辑晶圆,当前全球已安装产能约为每月500万片300毫米等效晶圆,而1太瓦目标所需产能则是这一数字的数倍之多。换言之,马斯克的计划实际上要求在现有先进制程产能基础上实现数倍扩张,难度之高不言而喻。\n行业影响:设备股受益,代工模式暂无威胁\n伯恩斯坦认为,Terafab计划对半导体行业的近期实质影响有限,但从投资逻辑角度提供了若干值得关注的方向。\n报告指出,若市场相信马斯克能够推进这一计划,半导体设备(semicap)将是最直接的受益标的。\n对于马斯克自建芯片是否会冲击现有芯片厂商,伯恩斯坦持相对乐观态度,认为在算力需求如此强劲的环境下,任何参与者都将面临远超自身承接能力的上行空间,内存厂商同样如此。\n在商业模式层面,伯恩斯坦指出,Terafab将逻辑、内存、掩模版制造、芯片设计及封装整合于一体,实质上构成一种\"超级IDM\"模式,而这一模式已被证明远不如\"代工+无晶圆厂+专业内存IDM\"的分工体系高效。\n因此,报告认为Terafab对台积电等代工厂商目前构成的威胁有限。\n伯恩斯坦:不否定马斯克,但挑战\"极为艰巨\"\n尽管测算结果令人咋舌,伯恩斯坦并未将马斯克成功的可能性完全排除在外。\n报告写道,马斯克此前已多次完成外界认为不可能的事情,\"我们不会轻易否定他\"。\n然而,报告同时明确表示,\"真正意义上的Terafab对我们而言感觉像是一种延伸,尤其是在沿用当前算力范式的前提下。\"\n伯恩斯坦提出两种可能的替代路径:\n其一,马斯克在无法独立推进时,或许会寻求与现有芯片制造商建立合作;\n其二,马斯克或许有某种\"更出人意料\"的技术路径来突破现有范式,但报告坦言\"我们不知道那会是什么\"。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLO":0.6,"TLA":0.6,"TSLA":1.91,"TSLR":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TEST":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546389757957248,"gmtCreate":1774405303001,"gmtModify":1774405306057,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"一个,你自动这么牛,之前干嘛去了?这么牛,那搞个地平线和其它自驾的比赛,直接随机拉到异地比;另一个,都是成年人,蹭热点就蹭,虚晃一枪又光明正大一套说辞,就有点low了。","listText":"一个,你自动这么牛,之前干嘛去了?这么牛,那搞个地平线和其它自驾的比赛,直接随机拉到异地比;另一个,都是成年人,蹭热点就蹭,虚晃一枪又光明正大一套说辞,就有点low了。","text":"一个,你自动这么牛,之前干嘛去了?这么牛,那搞个地平线和其它自驾的比赛,直接随机拉到异地比;另一个,都是成年人,蹭热点就蹭,虚晃一枪又光明正大一套说辞,就有点low了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546389757957248","repostId":"2621098309","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621098309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1774356514,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2621098309?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-24 20:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"疑地平线员工朋友圈“内涵”小鹏智驾,余凯回应:非官方立场","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621098309","media":"三言财经","summary":"3月24日,针对网传“地平线员工在朋友圈质疑小鹏智驾并非真正端到端、无直出轨迹”一事,地平线创始人余凯正式回应称,该言论不代表地平线官方立场,当事人真实身份不明,此举严重违背公司价值观。余凯强调,地平线乐见包括小鹏在内的行业伙伴取得技术进步,认为“行业越进步,消费者越向往自动驾驶,大家共同做的蛋糕就越大”。此前,该疑似员工言论还调侃了小鹏行车记录仪优化项目。据悉,小鹏汽车已于3月初发布第二代VLA智能驾驶系统,并计划自2026年起加速全球化布局及人形机器人量产。","content":"<html><body><p>3月24日,针对网传“地平线员工在朋友圈质疑小鹏智驾并非真正端到端、无直出轨迹”一事,地平线创始人余凯正式回应称,该言论不代表地平线官方立场,当事人真实身份不明,此举严重违背公司价值观。余凯强调,地平线乐见包括小鹏在内的行业伙伴取得技术进步,认为“行业越进步,消费者越向往自动驾驶,大家共同做的蛋糕就越大”。此前,该疑似员工言论还调侃了小鹏行车记录仪优化项目。据悉,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>已于3月初发布第二代VLA智能驾驶系统,并计划自2026年起加速全球化布局及人形机器人量产。</p></body></html>","source":"fenghuang_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n疑地平线员工朋友圈“内涵”小鹏智驾,余凯回应:非官方立场\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-24 20:48 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8rlKGCBuOkQ><strong>三言财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月24日,针对网传“地平线员工在朋友圈质疑小鹏智驾并非真正端到端、无直出轨迹”一事,地平线创始人余凯正式回应称,该言论不代表地平线官方立场,当事人真实身份不明,此举严重违背公司价值观。余凯强调,地平线乐见包括小鹏在内的行业伙伴取得技术进步,认为“行业越进步,消费者越向往自动驾驶,大家共同做的蛋糕就越大”。此前,该疑似员工言论还调侃了小鹏行车记录仪优化项目。据悉,小鹏汽车已于3月初发布第二代VLA...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8rlKGCBuOkQ\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU0593848301.USD":"未来资产亚洲卓越消费股票基金A","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK1588":"回港中概股","BK1539":"汽车股","BK1119":"汽车制造商","BK1610":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK1587":"次新股","EVS.SI":"MSCI China Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF-NikkoAM","09868":"小鹏集团-W","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","XPEG":"2倍做多XPEV ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4555":"新能源车","BK1575":"同股不同权","XPEV":"小鹏集团","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8rlKGCBuOkQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621098309","content_text":"3月24日,针对网传“地平线员工在朋友圈质疑小鹏智驾并非真正端到端、无直出轨迹”一事,地平线创始人余凯正式回应称,该言论不代表地平线官方立场,当事人真实身份不明,此举严重违背公司价值观。余凯强调,地平线乐见包括小鹏在内的行业伙伴取得技术进步,认为“行业越进步,消费者越向往自动驾驶,大家共同做的蛋糕就越大”。此前,该疑似员工言论还调侃了小鹏行车记录仪优化项目。据悉,小鹏汽车已于3月初发布第二代VLA智能驾驶系统,并计划自2026年起加速全球化布局及人形机器人量产。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"EVS.SI":0.6,"09868":1.88,"XPEV":1.88,"XPEG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546007507390624,"gmtCreate":1774312235724,"gmtModify":1774312238451,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"特说不炸了,内塔会愿意?","listText":"特说不炸了,内塔会愿意?","text":"特说不炸了,内塔会愿意?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546007507390624","repostId":"2621389400","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621389400","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1774308281,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2621389400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-24 07:24","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"美伊谈判是真是假,至少华尔街已从特朗普引发的五分钟狂飙获得明确信号","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621389400","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"就在特朗普表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后几分钟,油价暴跌超13%,美股美债大涨。尽管伊朗迅速否认特朗普关于谈判的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析称,在华尔街看来,传递的信号明确:特朗普本人正急于结束这场战争。然而,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑,随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅有所回吐。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>就在特朗普表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后几分钟,油价暴跌超13%,美股美债大涨。尽管伊朗迅速否认特朗普关于谈判的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析称,在华尔街看来,传递的信号明确:特朗普本人正急于结束这场战争。然而,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑,随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅有所回吐。</p></blockquote><p>周一,就在特朗普在Truth Social上表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后仅几分钟,油价暴跌超过13%,美国国债收益率大幅下行,美股盘前大涨。</p><p>尽管不到一小时后,伊朗方面否认了特朗普关于谈判正在进行的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析指出,之所以市场表现如此,是因为在华尔街看来,传递出的信号非常明确:<strong>至少特朗普本人正急于结束这场由他在三周多前开启、并将全球经济推向危机边缘的战争。</strong></p><p>有分析人士称,如果未来7到10天内无法解决问题,我们可能会看到类似疫情时期的全球经济停摆。今天的表态说明,特朗普意识到实体经济可能面临“悬崖式下跌”的风险。</p><p>特朗普的举动引发了一波持续约五分钟的剧烈反弹,也为自美以对伊朗开战以来华尔街最动荡的交易日画上注脚。这一幕也让人想起去年4月,当时特朗普发动“美国对抗全球”的关税,将全球金融市场推至边缘,随后又迅速转向。</p><p>媒体援引知情人士称,与当时类似,特朗普此次表态部分也是为了安抚因市场动荡而不安的投资者,避免在新一周开始时出现新一轮剧烈抛售。</p><p>周一美股开盘后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数一度上涨2.2%、为5月以来最大涨幅,两年期美债收益率一度较高点狂泻22个基点至3.79%,布伦特原油暴跌、跌破每桶100美元,美元走弱,欧洲股债市场也由跌转涨并收高。</p><p><strong>然而,在表面之下,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑。随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅逐渐回吐。投资者普遍怀疑,特朗普周一的表态更多只是短期稳定市场的举措。到周一美股收盘时,标普500涨幅已收窄至约1.2%,美债市场的涨势也有所回落。</strong></p><p>上述市场走势也凸显出,仅靠口头安抚难以说服那些已在为中东长期动荡做准备的投资者。一些人担心,这已经不再完全由特朗普决定了,不像关税那样可以随时叫停,那些因为他对市场反应敏感而感到安心的人,可能判断失误。</p><p>在特朗普重返白宫的第一年,交易员逐渐形成一种预期:一旦政策引发市场大跌,他往往会迅速转向。这一现象被称为“TACO交易”(特朗普总会退缩),也助长了“逢低买入”的交易心态——无论是贸易战威胁、提出接管格陵兰,还是抨击美联储。</p><p>但对伊朗的战争削弱了这种信念。过去几周,冲突持续升级:特朗普时而宣称胜利在望,时而指责盟友未提供支持;伊朗方面依然稳固,通过封锁霍尔木兹海峡,伊朗切断了全球关键能源供应。</p><p>中东冲突的影响在上周愈发明显。能源价格飙升带来新的通胀冲击,交易员开始押注全球央行将被迫进一步加息。这加剧了“滞胀”风险,即增长疲弱叠加通胀上升,并导致全球债券市场蒸发超过2.5万亿美元市值,本月或创下三年多来最大月度跌幅。</p><p>这也凸显出战争正在冲击特朗普政府的其他政策目标——包括降低按揭贷款利率、压低油价,以及在今年美国中期选举前展示美国经济稳健的形象。</p><p>尽管特朗普多次抨击美联储主席鲍威尔未能降息,但截至上周五,两年期美债收益率自伊朗冲突开始以来已上升超过0.5个百分点,反映出市场对通胀制约政策空间的担忧。</p><p>有分析人士指出,虽然特朗普显然在努力压制油价,但或许,再一次,是债券市场迫使他做出让步。</p><p>在上周五股市下跌、标普500录得一年最长周度连跌后,特朗普在社交媒体上表示自己“非常接近”实现目标,并考虑缩减在中东的军事行动。</p><p>随后他又威胁称,如果伊朗不在48小时内重开霍尔木兹海峡,将攻击其电力设施。但到周一,他又表示将暂停行动五天,并称谈判取得进展——这一说法遭到伊朗否认。</p><p>在许多人看来,特朗普立场反复以及不准确言论,正在削弱其在金融市场的公信力,这已严重扰乱市场仓位布局。有分析师直言:</p><blockquote><p>最难预测的不是战争本身,而是白宫的沟通方式以及市场对其反应的程度。市场无法判断,这究竟是接近尾声的可信信号,还是又一次几乎完全实现的说法。</p><p>所谓真相取决于认知,而特朗普的反复无常是在不确定性之上叠加不确定性,这反而限制了原本信心十足的空头推动市场进一步下跌的能力。这样的反复在为市场争取时间,同时也抑制了过度自信——无论好坏。</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美伊谈判是真是假,至少华尔街已从特朗普引发的五分钟狂飙获得明确信号</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美伊谈判是真是假,至少华尔街已从特朗普引发的五分钟狂飙获得明确信号\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-24 07:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>就在特朗普表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后几分钟,油价暴跌超13%,美股美债大涨。尽管伊朗迅速否认特朗普关于谈判的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析称,在华尔街看来,传递的信号明确:特朗普本人正急于结束这场战争。然而,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑,随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅有所回吐。</p></blockquote><p>周一,就在特朗普在Truth Social上表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后仅几分钟,油价暴跌超过13%,美国国债收益率大幅下行,美股盘前大涨。</p><p>尽管不到一小时后,伊朗方面否认了特朗普关于谈判正在进行的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析指出,之所以市场表现如此,是因为在华尔街看来,传递出的信号非常明确:<strong>至少特朗普本人正急于结束这场由他在三周多前开启、并将全球经济推向危机边缘的战争。</strong></p><p>有分析人士称,如果未来7到10天内无法解决问题,我们可能会看到类似疫情时期的全球经济停摆。今天的表态说明,特朗普意识到实体经济可能面临“悬崖式下跌”的风险。</p><p>特朗普的举动引发了一波持续约五分钟的剧烈反弹,也为自美以对伊朗开战以来华尔街最动荡的交易日画上注脚。这一幕也让人想起去年4月,当时特朗普发动“美国对抗全球”的关税,将全球金融市场推至边缘,随后又迅速转向。</p><p>媒体援引知情人士称,与当时类似,特朗普此次表态部分也是为了安抚因市场动荡而不安的投资者,避免在新一周开始时出现新一轮剧烈抛售。</p><p>周一美股开盘后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数一度上涨2.2%、为5月以来最大涨幅,两年期美债收益率一度较高点狂泻22个基点至3.79%,布伦特原油暴跌、跌破每桶100美元,美元走弱,欧洲股债市场也由跌转涨并收高。</p><p><strong>然而,在表面之下,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑。随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅逐渐回吐。投资者普遍怀疑,特朗普周一的表态更多只是短期稳定市场的举措。到周一美股收盘时,标普500涨幅已收窄至约1.2%,美债市场的涨势也有所回落。</strong></p><p>上述市场走势也凸显出,仅靠口头安抚难以说服那些已在为中东长期动荡做准备的投资者。一些人担心,这已经不再完全由特朗普决定了,不像关税那样可以随时叫停,那些因为他对市场反应敏感而感到安心的人,可能判断失误。</p><p>在特朗普重返白宫的第一年,交易员逐渐形成一种预期:一旦政策引发市场大跌,他往往会迅速转向。这一现象被称为“TACO交易”(特朗普总会退缩),也助长了“逢低买入”的交易心态——无论是贸易战威胁、提出接管格陵兰,还是抨击美联储。</p><p>但对伊朗的战争削弱了这种信念。过去几周,冲突持续升级:特朗普时而宣称胜利在望,时而指责盟友未提供支持;伊朗方面依然稳固,通过封锁霍尔木兹海峡,伊朗切断了全球关键能源供应。</p><p>中东冲突的影响在上周愈发明显。能源价格飙升带来新的通胀冲击,交易员开始押注全球央行将被迫进一步加息。这加剧了“滞胀”风险,即增长疲弱叠加通胀上升,并导致全球债券市场蒸发超过2.5万亿美元市值,本月或创下三年多来最大月度跌幅。</p><p>这也凸显出战争正在冲击特朗普政府的其他政策目标——包括降低按揭贷款利率、压低油价,以及在今年美国中期选举前展示美国经济稳健的形象。</p><p>尽管特朗普多次抨击美联储主席鲍威尔未能降息,但截至上周五,两年期美债收益率自伊朗冲突开始以来已上升超过0.5个百分点,反映出市场对通胀制约政策空间的担忧。</p><p>有分析人士指出,虽然特朗普显然在努力压制油价,但或许,再一次,是债券市场迫使他做出让步。</p><p>在上周五股市下跌、标普500录得一年最长周度连跌后,特朗普在社交媒体上表示自己“非常接近”实现目标,并考虑缩减在中东的军事行动。</p><p>随后他又威胁称,如果伊朗不在48小时内重开霍尔木兹海峡,将攻击其电力设施。但到周一,他又表示将暂停行动五天,并称谈判取得进展——这一说法遭到伊朗否认。</p><p>在许多人看来,特朗普立场反复以及不准确言论,正在削弱其在金融市场的公信力,这已严重扰乱市场仓位布局。有分析师直言:</p><blockquote><p>最难预测的不是战争本身,而是白宫的沟通方式以及市场对其反应的程度。市场无法判断,这究竟是接近尾声的可信信号,还是又一次几乎完全实现的说法。</p><p>所谓真相取决于认知,而特朗普的反复无常是在不确定性之上叠加不确定性,这反而限制了原本信心十足的空头推动市场进一步下跌的能力。这样的反复在为市场争取时间,同时也抑制了过度自信——无论好坏。</p></blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a641ba689741f1e38c3545add5626d8e","relate_stocks":{"EQNR":"Equinor ASA","VLO":"瓦莱罗能源","PBR":"巴西石油公司","BKR":"Baker Hughes Co","PBF":"PBF Energy","BP":"英国石油",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COP":"康菲石油","PSX":"Phillips 66","CVX":"雪佛龙","SLB":"斯伦贝谢",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","USEG":"美国能源","DVN":"德文能源","HAL":"哈里伯顿","OXY":"西方石油","MPC":"马拉松原油","XOM":"埃克森美孚","SHEL":"SHELL PLC SPON ADS EACH REPR 2 ORD SHS","INDO":"Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd.","MUR":"墨菲石油"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768206","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621389400","content_text":"就在特朗普表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后几分钟,油价暴跌超13%,美股美债大涨。尽管伊朗迅速否认特朗普关于谈判的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析称,在华尔街看来,传递的信号明确:特朗普本人正急于结束这场战争。然而,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑,随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅有所回吐。周一,就在特朗普在Truth Social上表示放弃轰炸伊朗能源基础设施后仅几分钟,油价暴跌超过13%,美国国债收益率大幅下行,美股盘前大涨。尽管不到一小时后,伊朗方面否认了特朗普关于谈判正在进行的说法,但这没有扭转周一市场的大体走势。分析指出,之所以市场表现如此,是因为在华尔街看来,传递出的信号非常明确:至少特朗普本人正急于结束这场由他在三周多前开启、并将全球经济推向危机边缘的战争。有分析人士称,如果未来7到10天内无法解决问题,我们可能会看到类似疫情时期的全球经济停摆。今天的表态说明,特朗普意识到实体经济可能面临“悬崖式下跌”的风险。特朗普的举动引发了一波持续约五分钟的剧烈反弹,也为自美以对伊朗开战以来华尔街最动荡的交易日画上注脚。这一幕也让人想起去年4月,当时特朗普发动“美国对抗全球”的关税,将全球金融市场推至边缘,随后又迅速转向。媒体援引知情人士称,与当时类似,特朗普此次表态部分也是为了安抚因市场动荡而不安的投资者,避免在新一周开始时出现新一轮剧烈抛售。周一美股开盘后,标普500指数一度上涨2.2%、为5月以来最大涨幅,两年期美债收益率一度较高点狂泻22个基点至3.79%,布伦特原油暴跌、跌破每桶100美元,美元走弱,欧洲股债市场也由跌转涨并收高。然而,在表面之下,市场仍对特朗普能否轻易结束冲突存疑。随着这种情绪蔓延,各类资产的早盘涨幅逐渐回吐。投资者普遍怀疑,特朗普周一的表态更多只是短期稳定市场的举措。到周一美股收盘时,标普500涨幅已收窄至约1.2%,美债市场的涨势也有所回落。上述市场走势也凸显出,仅靠口头安抚难以说服那些已在为中东长期动荡做准备的投资者。一些人担心,这已经不再完全由特朗普决定了,不像关税那样可以随时叫停,那些因为他对市场反应敏感而感到安心的人,可能判断失误。在特朗普重返白宫的第一年,交易员逐渐形成一种预期:一旦政策引发市场大跌,他往往会迅速转向。这一现象被称为“TACO交易”(特朗普总会退缩),也助长了“逢低买入”的交易心态——无论是贸易战威胁、提出接管格陵兰,还是抨击美联储。但对伊朗的战争削弱了这种信念。过去几周,冲突持续升级:特朗普时而宣称胜利在望,时而指责盟友未提供支持;伊朗方面依然稳固,通过封锁霍尔木兹海峡,伊朗切断了全球关键能源供应。中东冲突的影响在上周愈发明显。能源价格飙升带来新的通胀冲击,交易员开始押注全球央行将被迫进一步加息。这加剧了“滞胀”风险,即增长疲弱叠加通胀上升,并导致全球债券市场蒸发超过2.5万亿美元市值,本月或创下三年多来最大月度跌幅。这也凸显出战争正在冲击特朗普政府的其他政策目标——包括降低按揭贷款利率、压低油价,以及在今年美国中期选举前展示美国经济稳健的形象。尽管特朗普多次抨击美联储主席鲍威尔未能降息,但截至上周五,两年期美债收益率自伊朗冲突开始以来已上升超过0.5个百分点,反映出市场对通胀制约政策空间的担忧。有分析人士指出,虽然特朗普显然在努力压制油价,但或许,再一次,是债券市场迫使他做出让步。在上周五股市下跌、标普500录得一年最长周度连跌后,特朗普在社交媒体上表示自己“非常接近”实现目标,并考虑缩减在中东的军事行动。随后他又威胁称,如果伊朗不在48小时内重开霍尔木兹海峡,将攻击其电力设施。但到周一,他又表示将暂停行动五天,并称谈判取得进展——这一说法遭到伊朗否认。在许多人看来,特朗普立场反复以及不准确言论,正在削弱其在金融市场的公信力,这已严重扰乱市场仓位布局。有分析师直言:最难预测的不是战争本身,而是白宫的沟通方式以及市场对其反应的程度。市场无法判断,这究竟是接近尾声的可信信号,还是又一次几乎完全实现的说法。所谓真相取决于认知,而特朗普的反复无常是在不确定性之上叠加不确定性,这反而限制了原本信心十足的空头推动市场进一步下跌的能力。这样的反复在为市场争取时间,同时也抑制了过度自信——无论好坏。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":2,"SLB":2,"CLmain":2,"MUR":2,"SHEL":2,"USEG":2,"BP":2,"EQNR":2,"DVN":2,"PSX":2,"CVX":2,"ESmain":2,"VLO":2,"BZmain":2,"HAL":2,".DJI":2,"OXY":2,".SPX":1.5,"MPC":2,"INDO":2,"PBF":2,"BKR":2,"NQmain":2,"XOM":2,"YMmain":2,"PBR":2,"COP":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":545678685819320,"gmtCreate":1774231691623,"gmtModify":1774231694151,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"我们外人看。之前零跑的优势是供应链成本,搞创新任重道远。","listText":"我们外人看。之前零跑的优势是供应链成本,搞创新任重道远。","text":"我们外人看。之前零跑的优势是供应链成本,搞创新任重道远。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/545678685819320","repostId":"2621767220","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2621767220","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1774092180,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2621767220?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-21 19:23","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"零跑汽车欧洲创新中心在德国慕尼黑正式开业","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2621767220","media":"人民财讯","summary":"人民财讯3月21日电,德国慕尼黑,3月20日,零跑汽车欧洲创新中心正式开业。这是零跑汽车在海外设立的首个创新中心,标志着品牌从产品出口向设计出海的战略跃升,并推动全球化进程迈入全新阶段。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p> 人民财讯3月21日电,德国慕尼黑,3月20日,<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09863\">零跑汽车</a></span>欧洲创新中心正式开业。这是<span href=\"http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/116.09863\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">零跑汽车</span>在海外设立的首个创新中心,标志着品牌从产品出口向设计出海的战略跃升,并推动全球化进程迈入全新阶段。 </p><p>(文章来源:人民财讯)</p> </div></body></html>","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>零跑汽车欧洲创新中心在德国慕尼黑正式开业</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202603213679617224.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09863":"零跑汽车","BK1119":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202603213679617224.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2621767220","content_text":"人民财讯3月21日电,德国慕尼黑,3月20日,零跑汽车欧洲创新中心正式开业。这是零跑汽车在海外设立的首个创新中心,标志着品牌从产品出口向设计出海的战略跃升,并推动全球化进程迈入全新阶段。 (文章来源:人民财讯)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09863":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":543549708730808,"gmtCreate":1773728133345,"gmtModify":1773728135582,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001)$ </a>当外部在崩溃,战争在扩大,大家再想着股市马上会不断向上,有点不合时宜......","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001)$ </a>当外部在崩溃,战争在扩大,大家再想着股市马上会不断向上,有点不合时宜......","text":"$上证指数(000001)$ 当外部在崩溃,战争在扩大,大家再想着股市马上会不断向上,有点不合时宜......","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/543549708730808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":541384627422640,"gmtCreate":1773199483069,"gmtModify":1773199485231,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> 这波走得强,应是新主力资金进来了,不知是长期机构还是量化,量化接下来就玄了……","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ </a> 这波走得强,应是新主力资金进来了,不知是长期机构还是量化,量化接下来就玄了……","text":"$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ 这波走得强,应是新主力资金进来了,不知是长期机构还是量化,量化接下来就玄了……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/541384627422640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1093,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":525798786577912,"gmtCreate":1769395519609,"gmtModify":1769395522405,"author":{"id":"3487707251567403","authorId":"3487707251567403","name":"BGXL","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c9fd6c5bac5e2062ea56a3ee503a9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3487707251567403","authorIdStr":"3487707251567403"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"估计还是组合拳,低息多年打趴一遍,再加上低价款覆盖,没实力的话还真竞争不过。","listText":"估计还是组合拳,低息多年打趴一遍,再加上低价款覆盖,没实力的话还真竞争不过。","text":"估计还是组合拳,低息多年打趴一遍,再加上低价款覆盖,没实力的话还真竞争不过。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/525798786577912","repostId":"2606267406","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2606267406","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769393019,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2606267406?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-26 10:03","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"告别“一锤子买卖”!特斯拉、小鹏、理想等品牌相继推出7年期超低息购车方案","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2606267406","media":"华夏时报网","summary":"2026年1月,中国新能源汽车市场以一场前所未有的金融战役拉开了序幕。1月22日,小鹏汽车正式宣布加入“7年低息购车俱乐部”,推出了覆盖全系车型的7年低息分期方案,将首付门槛降至15%起,月供最低只需1355元,创造了市场新低。这一激进策略彻底点燃了市场,也将这场由特斯拉在月初引爆的“金融战争”推向了白热化。","content":"<div>\n<p>2026年1月,中国新能源汽车市场以一场前所未有的金融战役拉开了序幕。1月22日,小鹏汽车正式宣布加入“7年低息购车俱乐部”,推出了覆盖全系车型的7年低息分期方案,将首付门槛降至15%起,月供最低只需1355元,创造了市场新低。这一激进策略彻底点燃了市场,也将这场由特斯拉在月初引爆的“金融战争”推向了白热化。 半个月前,特斯拉率先打破常规,推出“特悠享”限时购车方案,为Model 3和Model...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601263630316820.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>告别“一锤子买卖”!特斯拉、小鹏、理想等品牌相继推出7年期超低息购车方案</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601263630316820.html><strong>华夏时报网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2026年1月,中国新能源汽车市场以一场前所未有的金融战役拉开了序幕。1月22日,小鹏汽车正式宣布加入“7年低息购车俱乐部”,推出了覆盖全系车型的7年低息分期方案,将首付门槛降至15%起,月供最低只需1355元,创造了市场新低。这一激进策略彻底点燃了市场,也将这场由特斯拉在月初引爆的“金融战争”推向了白热化。 半个月前,特斯拉率先打破常规,推出“特悠享”限时购车方案,为Model 3和Model...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202601263630316820.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"07766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉","LU0593848301.USD":"未来资产亚洲卓越消费股票基金A","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) 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这种从“产品参数导向”到“财务方案导向”的转变,正在全国各地的汽车展厅同步上演。在特斯拉体验店,销售顾问王女士告诉记者,她现在大部分时间都在解释各种金融方案。“很多客户原本计划全款购车,但当了解到年化利率仅0.98%时,他们会重新考虑资金的使用效率。” 值得一提的是,不同品牌在销售策略上呈现出鲜明差异。理想汽车的销售团队更侧重家庭财务规划,销售人员向记者分享道:“我们不只是谈论月供数字,而是帮助客户制定7年期的家庭资产配置方案。特别是对选择L9、i8等高配车型的客户,我们会引导他们关注资金的时间价值和机会成本。” 据业内人士透露,多家头部车企在政策推出前组织了全国销售团队的紧急培训,重点并非产品知识更新,而是金融方案讲解技巧和用户财务规划方法。“我们需要确保每位销售都能用通俗语言解释年化利率、等额本息、残值风险这些专业概念,甚至能根据客户的家庭收支状况提供定制化的金融建议。” 市场反应的积极变化直观验证了销售策略转型的有效性,在周末,多家品牌展厅内人流明显增加,不少消费者是专门为详细了解7年期金融方案而首次进店咨询。这种基于长期财务规划的新型购车模式,正在吸引一批过去因一次性支付压力而犹豫的潜在客户。 更深层次的影响在于,一份长达七年的金融合约,从根本上重构了销售人员与客户之间的关系性质。一位拥有十年经验的资深销售顾问坦言:“合约签署远不是服务的终点,而是一段长期关系的起点。我们现在必须思考的是,如何在未来84个月里,持续为客户提供价值、维护良好的体验。因为客户在这七年里的每一次充电、每一次保养、每一次软件更新体验,都会累积成对品牌的整体印象,这直接决定了贷款周期结束后,他是否还会选择我们的品牌,以及会向多少朋友推荐我们。” 这种从“交易达成”到“关系运维”的转变,正在强力推动整个汽车销售体系从传统的一次性交易模式,向以用户全生命周期为中心的持续服务模式转型。销售人员的工作重心,正从短期内促成单次销售,延伸到长期内培养客户忠诚度与品牌信任。这要求企业不仅在前端提供有竞争力的金融产品,更需要在后端构建一套覆盖用车全周期、能够持续创造触点和价值的服务体系,从而将一次购车行为,转化为一个长效用户运营的开端。 金融战逻辑与行业展望 当销售一线用低月供吸引消费者时,车企高层则在下一盘更大的棋。小米集团董事长雷军在直播中坦言决策过程,特斯拉政策一出,我的微博评论区涌入数千条询问“小米是否跟进”的留言。我们团队讨论后,最终决定推出应对方案。值得一提的是,除了7年低息之外,小米汽车此前还为小米YU7提供了3年0息的购车政策。 理想汽车方面对记者进一步阐释了其金融政策的战略考量,强调此次行动并非短期促销,而是一次重构用户购车体验的体系化布局。“我们推出免息与低息政策,核心目标是消除用户在拥有理想汽车过程中的关键决策障碍。通过提供长达7年的分期方案,理想汽车能够将月度还款金额显著降低至与传统家庭消费预算更匹配的区间。” 这场金融战表面上是利率和月供的竞争,实质上是资金成本和融资能力的较量。汽车行业观察员赵永琪对《华夏时报》记者指出:“特斯拉、理想、小鹏等头部新能源车企在资本市场拥有较强融资能力,他们的资金成本比传统车企低1—2个百分点。在7年周期中,这一微小差异会形成显著竞争优势。”资金成本的优势使得头部车企能够承担更激进的金融政策,而这一优势又将进一步扩大市场占有率,形成强者愈强的循环。 从行业格局看,这场金融战正在加速市场洗牌。赵永琪分析道:“资金实力较弱的品牌很难跟进长期低息方案,可能被迫退出主流市场竞争。未来三年,市场集中度将显著提高,头部企业的份额可能增长15—20个百分点。”这一过程将推动资源向更具创新能力和资金效率的企业集中,促进整个行业的升级。 值得一提的是,消费者在这场金融战中也变得更加理性和成熟。互联网从业者张先生表示:“我会仔细计算7年总成本,而不仅仅是月供数字。”家庭用户刘女士则更关注长期价值:“我需要综合考虑月供、利息总额和7年后的车辆残值。”这些理性的声音反映了市场教育的成果,也促使车企提供更加透明和可持续的金融方案。 在赵永琪看来,这场7年低息金融战可能只是汽车产业变革的序章。随着技术迭代加速和商业模式创新,汽车金融可能呈现更多样化形态。残值保障产品可能成为新竞争焦点,弹性还款方案可能满足不同收入群体的需求,而“汽车订阅服务”可能彻底改变车辆拥有和使用方式。这些创新将共同推动汽车产业从制造业向服务业转型,车辆本身不再是主要利润来源,而是连接用户与增值服务的入口。(文章来源:华夏时报网)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLR":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"02015":1.88,"LI":1.88,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"XPEV":1.91,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"EVS.SI":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"09868":1.91,"TSLA":1.95,"07766":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSYY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":false}