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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-31
被沃什wash了一把[捂脸] [捂脸]
沃什提名引爆金银“血洗”！盘中白银创纪录跌超35%、黄金跌超10%
黄金盘中跌幅为四十多年之最、超过2008年金融危机时。市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他美联储主席候选人更为鹰派。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态，只要一点触发因素就能引发周五这样的“血洗”。
沃什提名引爆金银“血洗”！盘中白银创纪录跌超35%、黄金跌超10%
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-22
具体怎么报复[捂脸] [捂脸] 说说看[龇牙] [龇牙]
特朗普：如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复
1月22日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复。
特朗普：如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-21
$甲骨文(ORCL)$
这货还得跌[捂脸] [捂脸]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-07
$英伟达(NVDA)$
感觉像是强弩之末了[喷血] [喷血]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
01-04
目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心]
市值31万亿元，AI泡沫难撼英伟达？
文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后，对AI泡沫争论不休，尤其市值突破4万亿美元后，AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。然而，2025年已经过去，英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元。显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。值得注意的是，科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应，以此减少对英伟达的依赖，尤其瞄向定制化芯片。当然，仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。
市值31万亿元，AI泡沫难撼英伟达？
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-26
审查算个事儿吗[捂脸] [捂脸]
异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌，因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查
特朗普媒体科技集团（DJT）今日盘中大跌5.03%，市场反应强烈。消息面上，该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并，但该交易正面临监管机构的审查，引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet（GOOGL）等大型科技公司，进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。此次合并案价值高达60亿美元，监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻，从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感，导致股价大幅下跌。
异动解读 | 特朗普媒体科技集团盘中大跌，因60亿美元核聚变合并案引发监管审查
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-11
$英伟达(NVDA)$
左脚踩右脚[捂脸] 右脚断了[喷血] [喷血]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-05
纯忽悠[捂脸] [捂脸]
英伟达黄仁勋：也许两三年内，世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成
深度学习可以解决任何问题
英伟达黄仁勋：也许两三年内，世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-04
$英伟达(NVDA)$
如果解不开芯片贸易限制，这个扣儿就是无解[财迷]
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龙腾虎乐
龙腾虎乐
·
2025-12-04
逢高出货吧[捂脸] [捂脸]
报道：黄仁勋游说成功，美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案
英伟达的密集游说取得关键胜利，一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》，目前未被纳入美国年度国防法案。此举是黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿与白宫官员会面后出现的转折。他表示，该法案对美国的潜在危害巨大，国会的做法是“明智的”。
报道：黄仁勋游说成功，美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案
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03:38","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"沃什提名引爆金银“血洗”！盘中白银创纪录跌超35%、黄金跌超10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607262680","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"黄金盘中跌幅为四十多年之最、超过2008年金融危机时。市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他美联储主席候选人更为鹰派。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态，只要一点触发因素就能引发周五这样的“血洗”。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>黄金盘中跌幅为四十多年之最、超过2008年金融危机时。市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他美联储主席人选更为鹰派。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态，只要一点触发因素就能引发周五这样的“血洗”。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国总统特朗普提名沃什（Kevin Warsh）出任美联储主席引爆了贵金属数十年来最惨烈的抛售。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周四还齐创盘中历史新高的金银大跳水。黄金在周五亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名沃什任美联储主席的消息后即转跌，欧股盘中已跌破5000美元/盎司关口，美股午盘跌幅扩大，现货黄金日内跌幅曾接近13%、为上世纪80年代初以来四十多年盘中跌幅之最，跌幅超过了2008年金融危机时。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d50c6b55529551971b3c34e4f29683\" tg-width=\"1068\" tg-height=\"701\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周四史上首次涨破120美元的白银周五欧股盘中跌破100美元，美股盘中曾跌至80美元下方。现货白银盘中一度暴跌超35%，创有纪录以来最大跌幅。这场“血洗”波及整个金属市场，周四也创最高纪录的伦铜一度回落近6%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527b82035f1df26969b1022f0b7ff4f8\" tg-width=\"1013\" tg-height=\"672\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场将此次暴跌归因于投资者对美联储政策预期的急剧转变。沃什长期以鹰派立场著称，尽管近期公开支持降息以迎合特朗普，市场仍认为其不太可能激进降息。德国商业银行分析师Thu Lan Nguyen表示：“市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他人选更为鹰派。”这一预期推动美元反弹，令以美元计价的大宗商品对全球买家吸引力下降。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">沃什的提名还缓解了市场对美联储独立性丧失的担忧。此前投资者涌入贵金属避险，部分源于对货币贬值和美联储独立性的担忧。ING外汇策略师Francesco Pesole称，沃什的选择"对美元是好消息，可以消除一些对更鸽派人选的担忧"。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这场暴跌也暴露了贵金属市场的极度脆弱性。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头头寸、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态。Pepperstone高级研究策略师Michael Brown表示：“市场已经非常泡沫化了，只需要一点触发因素就能引发这样的走势。”</p><h2 id=\"64e7716c\">金银遭遇历史性暴跌</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周五美股午盘时段，贵金属市场上演惊心动魄的跳水行情。纽约期银主力合约从周四创出的121.785美元历史高位暴跌至75.44美元，跌幅达34%。现货白银跌破74.60美元，日内跌幅达35.5%，创有纪录以来最大盘中跌幅。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">黄金同样遭遇重创。周四盘中涨至5586.2美元这一历史高位的纽约黄金期货周五美股午盘曾跌至4714.5美元，日内跌近12%。现货黄金在美股午盘逼近4670美元，日内跌超12.7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到美股午盘时段期金收盘，COMEX 2月黄金期货收跌11.37%，报4713.9美元/盎司，创1980年1月22日以来最大单日跌幅。COMEX 2月期银收跌31.35%，报78.29美元/盎司，创1980年3月27日以来最大收盘跌幅。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">工业金属也未能幸免。周四曾涨破1.452万美元创历史新高、涨幅达11%的伦铜周五盘中曾跌破1.285万美元，日内跌近5.7%，收盘跌约3.4%，报13,158美元/吨。到收盘，伦锡跌约5.7%，伦铝和伦镍跌超2%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eeb893d0cc4f7ad861b15008891f3a5a\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"680\"/></p><h2 id=\"414a85f8\">美联储主席提名偏鹰</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场抛售的导火索是沃什被提名的消息。周五亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名沃什任美联储主席的报道，此前连续九个交易日创盘中历史新高的黄金即刻转跌。周五美股盘前，特朗普在旗下社交媒体发文正式宣布提名，自称与沃什相识已久，毫不怀疑他将跻身伟大的美联储主席之列，甚至可能是最优秀的一位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">沃什此前长期以鹰派立场闻名，去年改变论调，响应特朗普的大幅降息呼声，这被视为他获得提名的关键。华尔街投资者和策略师表示，特朗普选择沃什领导美联储是一个相对鹰派的选择，他可能会抵制资产负债表扩张，这将支撑美元并使美国国债收益率曲线更陡峭。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Panmure Liberum分析师Tom Price表示：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“市场认为凯文·沃什是理性的，他不会积极推动降息。那些目标各异的普通投资者——例如保护资本——正在获利了结。”</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">沃什的提名推动了美元大反弹，周五创去年7月以来半年最佳单日表现。追踪美元兑一篮子货币的美元指数周五美股午盘时涨破97.00，日内曾涨近0.9%。更强劲的美元使以美元计价的大宗商品对许多全球买家的吸引力下降，并打击了贵金属可能取代美元成为全球储备货币的理论。</p><h2 id=\"5b4ff6d2\">市场拥挤引发“踩踏”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">虽然沃什提名成为抛售导火索，但分析师普遍认为技术性因素放大了跌幅。媒体认为，飙升的价格和波动性已令交易商的风险模型和资产负债表承压。高盛研报指出，创纪录的看涨期权购买浪潮“机械性地强化了向上的价格动能”，因为期权卖方通过买入更多期货来对冲其敞口。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">黄金的下跌可能被所谓的“伽马挤压”加速。这是指期权交易商在价格上涨时需要买入更多期货以保持投资组合平衡，而在价格下跌时则需要卖出。对于SPDR黄金ETF而言，周五到期的大量头寸集中在465美元和455美元，而Comex上3月和4月的大量期权头寸集中在5300美元、5200美元和5100美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Miller Tabak股票策略师Matt Maley表示：“这太疯狂了。这其中大部分可能是‘强制卖出’。白银最近一直是日内交易者和其他短线交易者最热门的资产，因此白银积累了一些杠杆。随着今天的大幅下跌，追加保证金通知发出了。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Pepperstone的Michael Brown指出，“一段时间以来，金属市场的状况已经非常泡沫化，而本周早些时候出现的迹象表明情况正变得彻底失序”。他表示，黄金和白银市场的头寸“显然在多头一侧极度拥挤，而波动性已增加到坦白说荒谬的水平”。在交易量如此之高、“杠杆多头”如此紧张的市场中，“不需要太多就能触发”周五这样的走势。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Brown表示：“简单地说，每个人都在同时冲向出口，迫使价格走低，这反过来又引发进一步的强制卖出”，这提醒人们“动能是双向的”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp.策略师Christopher Wong称，黄金的走势“验证了涨得快、跌得快的警示”。虽然沃什提名的报道是触发因素，但他表示回调早就应该发生，"这就像市场一直在等待的那些借口之一，以平仓那些抛物线式的走势"。</p><h2 id=\"50b85992\">技术指标早已发出警告</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在暴跌之前，多个技术指标已发出预警信号。相对强弱指数(RSI)近几周显示，金银可能已超买并面临回调。黄金的RSI最近触及90，是几十年来该贵金属的最高水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Heraeus Precious Metals交易主管Dominik Sperzel表示，波动性非常极端，5000美元和100美元这两个心理阻力位周五被多次突破，“不过我们需要为过山车的继续做好准备。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管周五大跳水，金银1月仍录得可观涨幅。以即月合约收盘价计算，纽约期金1月涨约9%，期银涨超10%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">COMEX 2月黄金期货1月累涨8.98%，创2025年9月以来最大月涨幅，连涨六个月，为2024年10月以来最长连涨月。COMEX 2月白银期货1月累涨11.63%，连涨九个月、创最长月度连涨，九个月内累涨140.66%，为2011年4月以来最大的九个月涨幅。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德国商业银行分析师在周五报告中写道，回调的程度“表明市场参与者只是在等待一个在价格快速上涨后获利了结的机会”。该行的大宗商品研究主管Thu Lan Nguyen指出，</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管“市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他候选人更为鹰派”，“我们仍然认为，美联储很有可能一定程度上屈服于压力，降息幅度将超过市场目前的预期”。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"c026fc91\">矿业股随之重挫</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">贵金属暴跌拖累主要矿业公司股价。周五盘中，美国上市的金矿巨头Newmont（NEM）、Barrick Mining（B）和Agnico Eagle Mines（AEM）均跌超10%，Coeur Mining（CDE）曾跌近19%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">白银ETF遭到更大打击。盘中ProShares Ultra Silver（AGQ）曾跌超60%，iShares Silver Trust ETF（SLV）曾跌超30%，两只基金均创下历史最差单日表现。黄金ETF同样承压。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">虽然矿业股周五惨跌，但部分分析师认为回调对市场健康有利。Amplify ETFs产品开发副总裁Nate Miller表示，白银受益于避险和价值储存需求、工业需求以及全球供应短缺，在如此急剧上涨后的一些整固"是健康的，符合大宗商品市场在价格快速升值后的典型表现"。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Zaner Metals副总裁兼高级金属策略师Peter Grant表示，虽然反弹确实走得太快太远，但现在买入金属还为时不晚。他称跌破100美元是“机会”，特别是在20日移动平均线约93美元附近。不过，“你必须能够承受波动性，这可能会持续保持在高位”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">彭博宏观策略师Simon White指出：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“白银/黄金（价格）比的攀升幅度几乎与1970年代末一样大，今天的戏剧性走势表明这可能标志着一个拒绝点。不过，单独来看黄金和白银到目前为止从未完全匹配1979年的涨势。白银相对黄金是否标志着贵金属历史性涨势的结束，现在下结论还为时过早。价格现在正成为主要驱动因素，基本面暂时将退居次席。”</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沃什提名引爆金银“血洗”！盘中白银创纪录跌超35%、黄金跌超10%</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沃什提名引爆金银“血洗”！盘中白银创纪录跌超35%、黄金跌超10%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-31 03:38 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764625><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>黄金盘中跌幅为四十多年之最、超过2008年金融危机时。市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他美联储主席人选更为鹰派。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态，只要一点触发因素就能引发周五这样的“血洗”。美国总统特朗普提名沃什（Kevin Warsh）出任美联储主席引爆了贵金属数十年来最惨烈的抛售。周四还齐创盘中历史新高的金银大跳水...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764625\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e59b88731b8c06f5f2f331abdc0376b0","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764625","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2607262680","content_text":"黄金盘中跌幅为四十多年之最、超过2008年金融危机时。市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他美联储主席人选更为鹰派。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态，只要一点触发因素就能引发周五这样的“血洗”。美国总统特朗普提名沃什（Kevin Warsh）出任美联储主席引爆了贵金属数十年来最惨烈的抛售。周四还齐创盘中历史新高的金银大跳水。黄金在周五亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名沃什任美联储主席的消息后即转跌，欧股盘中已跌破5000美元/盎司关口，美股午盘跌幅扩大，现货黄金日内跌幅曾接近13%、为上世纪80年代初以来四十多年盘中跌幅之最，跌幅超过了2008年金融危机时。周四史上首次涨破120美元的白银周五欧股盘中跌破100美元，美股盘中曾跌至80美元下方。现货白银盘中一度暴跌超35%，创有纪录以来最大跌幅。这场“血洗”波及整个金属市场，周四也创最高纪录的伦铜一度回落近6%。市场将此次暴跌归因于投资者对美联储政策预期的急剧转变。沃什长期以鹰派立场著称，尽管近期公开支持降息以迎合特朗普，市场仍认为其不太可能激进降息。德国商业银行分析师Thu Lan Nguyen表示：“市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他人选更为鹰派。”这一预期推动美元反弹，令以美元计价的大宗商品对全球买家吸引力下降。沃什的提名还缓解了市场对美联储独立性丧失的担忧。此前投资者涌入贵金属避险，部分源于对货币贬值和美联储独立性的担忧。ING外汇策略师Francesco Pesole称，沃什的选择\"对美元是好消息，可以消除一些对更鸽派人选的担忧\"。这场暴跌也暴露了贵金属市场的极度脆弱性。在近来金银价格连续飙升后，拥挤的多头头寸、创纪录的看涨期权购买量以及极端的杠杆水平，令市场处于随时可能触发“伽马挤压”的状态。Pepperstone高级研究策略师Michael Brown表示：“市场已经非常泡沫化了，只需要一点触发因素就能引发这样的走势。”金银遭遇历史性暴跌周五美股午盘时段，贵金属市场上演惊心动魄的跳水行情。纽约期银主力合约从周四创出的121.785美元历史高位暴跌至75.44美元，跌幅达34%。现货白银跌破74.60美元，日内跌幅达35.5%，创有纪录以来最大盘中跌幅。黄金同样遭遇重创。周四盘中涨至5586.2美元这一历史高位的纽约黄金期货周五美股午盘曾跌至4714.5美元，日内跌近12%。现货黄金在美股午盘逼近4670美元，日内跌超12.7%。到美股午盘时段期金收盘，COMEX 2月黄金期货收跌11.37%，报4713.9美元/盎司，创1980年1月22日以来最大单日跌幅。COMEX 2月期银收跌31.35%，报78.29美元/盎司，创1980年3月27日以来最大收盘跌幅。工业金属也未能幸免。周四曾涨破1.452万美元创历史新高、涨幅达11%的伦铜周五盘中曾跌破1.285万美元，日内跌近5.7%，收盘跌约3.4%，报13,158美元/吨。到收盘，伦锡跌约5.7%，伦铝和伦镍跌超2%。美联储主席提名偏鹰市场抛售的导火索是沃什被提名的消息。周五亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名沃什任美联储主席的报道，此前连续九个交易日创盘中历史新高的黄金即刻转跌。周五美股盘前，特朗普在旗下社交媒体发文正式宣布提名，自称与沃什相识已久，毫不怀疑他将跻身伟大的美联储主席之列，甚至可能是最优秀的一位。沃什此前长期以鹰派立场闻名，去年改变论调，响应特朗普的大幅降息呼声，这被视为他获得提名的关键。华尔街投资者和策略师表示，特朗普选择沃什领导美联储是一个相对鹰派的选择，他可能会抵制资产负债表扩张，这将支撑美元并使美国国债收益率曲线更陡峭。Panmure Liberum分析师Tom Price表示：“市场认为凯文·沃什是理性的，他不会积极推动降息。那些目标各异的普通投资者——例如保护资本——正在获利了结。”沃什的提名推动了美元大反弹，周五创去年7月以来半年最佳单日表现。追踪美元兑一篮子货币的美元指数周五美股午盘时涨破97.00，日内曾涨近0.9%。更强劲的美元使以美元计价的大宗商品对许多全球买家的吸引力下降，并打击了贵金属可能取代美元成为全球储备货币的理论。市场拥挤引发“踩踏”虽然沃什提名成为抛售导火索，但分析师普遍认为技术性因素放大了跌幅。媒体认为，飙升的价格和波动性已令交易商的风险模型和资产负债表承压。高盛研报指出，创纪录的看涨期权购买浪潮“机械性地强化了向上的价格动能”，因为期权卖方通过买入更多期货来对冲其敞口。黄金的下跌可能被所谓的“伽马挤压”加速。这是指期权交易商在价格上涨时需要买入更多期货以保持投资组合平衡，而在价格下跌时则需要卖出。对于SPDR黄金ETF而言，周五到期的大量头寸集中在465美元和455美元，而Comex上3月和4月的大量期权头寸集中在5300美元、5200美元和5100美元。Miller Tabak股票策略师Matt Maley表示：“这太疯狂了。这其中大部分可能是‘强制卖出’。白银最近一直是日内交易者和其他短线交易者最热门的资产，因此白银积累了一些杠杆。随着今天的大幅下跌，追加保证金通知发出了。”Pepperstone的Michael Brown指出，“一段时间以来，金属市场的状况已经非常泡沫化，而本周早些时候出现的迹象表明情况正变得彻底失序”。他表示，黄金和白银市场的头寸“显然在多头一侧极度拥挤，而波动性已增加到坦白说荒谬的水平”。在交易量如此之高、“杠杆多头”如此紧张的市场中，“不需要太多就能触发”周五这样的走势。Brown表示：“简单地说，每个人都在同时冲向出口，迫使价格走低，这反过来又引发进一步的强制卖出”，这提醒人们“动能是双向的”。Overseas-Chinese Banking Corp.策略师Christopher Wong称，黄金的走势“验证了涨得快、跌得快的警示”。虽然沃什提名的报道是触发因素，但他表示回调早就应该发生，\"这就像市场一直在等待的那些借口之一，以平仓那些抛物线式的走势\"。技术指标早已发出警告在暴跌之前，多个技术指标已发出预警信号。相对强弱指数(RSI)近几周显示，金银可能已超买并面临回调。黄金的RSI最近触及90，是几十年来该贵金属的最高水平。Heraeus Precious Metals交易主管Dominik Sperzel表示，波动性非常极端，5000美元和100美元这两个心理阻力位周五被多次突破，“不过我们需要为过山车的继续做好准备。”尽管周五大跳水，金银1月仍录得可观涨幅。以即月合约收盘价计算，纽约期金1月涨约9%，期银涨超10%。COMEX 2月黄金期货1月累涨8.98%，创2025年9月以来最大月涨幅，连涨六个月，为2024年10月以来最长连涨月。COMEX 2月白银期货1月累涨11.63%，连涨九个月、创最长月度连涨，九个月内累涨140.66%，为2011年4月以来最大的九个月涨幅。德国商业银行分析师在周五报告中写道，回调的程度“表明市场参与者只是在等待一个在价格快速上涨后获利了结的机会”。该行的大宗商品研究主管Thu Lan Nguyen指出，尽管“市场认为沃什比哈塞特等其他候选人更为鹰派”，“我们仍然认为，美联储很有可能一定程度上屈服于压力，降息幅度将超过市场目前的预期”。矿业股随之重挫贵金属暴跌拖累主要矿业公司股价。周五盘中，美国上市的金矿巨头Newmont（NEM）、Barrick Mining（B）和Agnico Eagle Mines（AEM）均跌超10%，Coeur Mining（CDE）曾跌近19%。白银ETF遭到更大打击。盘中ProShares Ultra Silver（AGQ）曾跌超60%，iShares Silver Trust ETF（SLV）曾跌超30%，两只基金均创下历史最差单日表现。黄金ETF同样承压。虽然矿业股周五惨跌，但部分分析师认为回调对市场健康有利。Amplify ETFs产品开发副总裁Nate Miller表示，白银受益于避险和价值储存需求、工业需求以及全球供应短缺，在如此急剧上涨后的一些整固\"是健康的，符合大宗商品市场在价格快速升值后的典型表现\"。Zaner Metals副总裁兼高级金属策略师Peter Grant表示，虽然反弹确实走得太快太远，但现在买入金属还为时不晚。他称跌破100美元是“机会”，特别是在20日移动平均线约93美元附近。不过，“你必须能够承受波动性，这可能会持续保持在高位”。彭博宏观策略师Simon White指出：“白银/黄金（价格）比的攀升幅度几乎与1970年代末一样大，今天的戏剧性走势表明这可能标志着一个拒绝点。不过，单独来看黄金和白银到目前为止从未完全匹配1979年的涨势。白银相对黄金是否标志着贵金属历史性涨势的结束，现在下结论还为时过早。价格现在正成为主要驱动因素，基本面暂时将退居次席。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SILmain":2,"XAGUSD.FOREX":2,"MGC2602":2,"SImain":2,"GCmain":2,"XAUUSD.FOREX":2,"SIL2603":2,"MGCmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524747106394552,"gmtCreate":1769087887078,"gmtModify":1769087889540,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"具体怎么报复[捂脸] [捂脸] 说说看[龇牙] [龇牙] ","listText":"具体怎么报复[捂脸] [捂脸] 说说看[龇牙] [龇牙] ","text":"具体怎么报复[捂脸] [捂脸] 说说看[龇牙] [龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/524747106394552","repostId":"1161773970","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161773970","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1769087408,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161773970?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-22 21:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普：如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161773970","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月22日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>1月22日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普：如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-22 21:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月22日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b4851e57fd1eb2e864dfb47bf85d854d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161773970","content_text":"1月22日，美国总统特朗普表示，如果欧洲抛售美国债券等资产，将面临大规模报复。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZN2603":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3538458176058351","authorId":"3538458176058351","name":"Ruosong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d815eb794e0dfe4ac8a13f8e0d781888","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3538458176058351","idStr":"3538458176058351"},"content":"三角洲部队准备 [贱笑]","text":"三角洲部队准备 [贱笑]","html":"三角洲部队准备 [贱笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524213125308784,"gmtCreate":1769008315765,"gmtModify":1769008317937,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 这货还得跌[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 这货还得跌[捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 这货还得跌[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/524213125308784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":519051646518384,"gmtCreate":1767750849680,"gmtModify":1767750851617,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 感觉像是强弩之末了[喷血] [喷血] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 感觉像是强弩之末了[喷血] [喷血] ","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 感觉像是强弩之末了[喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/519051646518384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":518328121660112,"gmtCreate":1767520259654,"gmtModify":1767520262721,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心] ","listText":"目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心] ","text":"目前老黄最大的竞争压力是政治、谷歌等一批正在搞自己AI芯片的公司[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/518328121660112","repostId":"2600304165","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2600304165","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1767511320,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2600304165?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-04 15:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市值31万亿元，AI泡沫难撼英伟达？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600304165","media":"Ofweek光电信息网","summary":"文/杨剑勇自英伟达在资本市场一路高歌猛进后，对AI泡沫争论不休，尤其市值突破4万亿美元后，AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。然而，2025年已经过去，英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元。显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。值得注意的是，科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应，以此减少对英伟达的依赖，尤其瞄向定制化芯片。当然，仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。","content":"<html><body><article><p>文/杨剑勇</p><p>自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>在资本市场一路高歌猛进后，对AI泡沫争论不休，尤其市值突破4万亿美元后，AI泡沫的质疑声浪亦愈发汹涌。黄仁勋更是感叹，业绩出色，被指助推人工智能泡沫，倘若业绩不佳，又证明AI泡沫破裂。</p><p>然而，2025年已经过去，英伟达的市值依然高达4.53万亿美元（约合人民币31.7万亿元）。</p><p>这一庞大市值规模，比日本、英国、法国等国家的GDP还要高，仅次于美、中、德，位居全球第四。</p><p>英伟达在资本市场狂飙，市值从2023年5月突破1万亿美元，到2025年一度跃升至5万亿美元，缔造了资本市场的空前奇迹，且这种奇迹在商业史上从未有过，是全球第一家市值突破5万亿美元的公司。</p><p>英伟达市值的飙升，在于在大模型时代，AI算力需求的爆发式增长，驱动营收以惊人的速度增长，更是全球最赚钱的科技企业之一。</p><p>截止2025年10月26日的第三季度，英伟达营收570亿美元，相比上一年同期的350.8亿美元增加约220亿美元，同比增长62%；<span>净利润</span>更是高达319亿美元，同比增长65%。</p><p>显示出市场对英伟达的芯片需求旺盛。其中，Blackwell系列销售火爆，成为驱动其营收持续攀升的核心引擎。</p><p>整体来说，AI大模型浪潮席卷全球的背景下，科技巨头们为提升自身的AI大模型竞争力，掀起新一轮AI竞赛，全球大型云服务商对AI基础设施建设资本开支延续扩张趋势。</p><p>仅<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>等巨头2025年人工智能方面的投入预计将达4000亿美元。另外，根据TrendForce预计，2026年云服务商仍将维持积极的投资节奏，合计资本支出将进一步推升至6000亿美元以上。</p><p>科技巨头们对AI基础设施建设，其中数以百亿美元竞相抢购英伟达高性能芯片，驱动营收持续快速增长，不仅成为全球最大芯片厂商，市值更是登顶全球榜首，也让赚的盆满钵满。</p><p>值得注意的是，科技巨头们也在寻求更加多元化的芯片供应，以此减少对英伟达的依赖，尤其瞄向定制化芯片。甚至<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>在与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌</a>洽谈，使用谷歌的TPU芯片，用于训练AI模型。</p><p>在定制芯片领域，最重要的玩家则是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>，客户主要包括谷歌、Meta和字节跳动等科技巨头，并透露一个新用户下达了100亿美元的新订单，外界普遍猜测是OpenAI。</p><p>由于定制化AI芯片市场的强劲增长势头，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600455\">博通</a>AI收入持续高速增长，陈福阳此前表示，定制AI芯片业务，有望在2027年带来600亿-900亿美元的收入，是英伟达最强劲的竞争对手。</p><p>在我国，因一直在封堵国内企业购买英伟达高性能芯片，从而使得我国芯片产业正在加速国产替代，旨在打破对高端芯片受制于人的局面。由此，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688795\">摩尔线程</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688802\">沐曦股份</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06082\">壁仞科技</a>等GPU厂商迎来黄金发展机遇，更是被视为中国版英伟达。</p><p>英伟达一家独大的AI芯片局面，有望得到改变。前有博通阻击，后有摩尔线程、沐曦股份等创新企业追赶。</p><p>不过，英伟达在GPU市场独领风骚，核心在于CUDA生态，形成了一套完整的开发工具链。对于本土GPU芯片厂商而言，仍需面对技术迭代、软硬生态、盈利及国际竞争等多重挑战。</p><p>最后，在大模型时代，全球半导体市场格局正在重塑，英伟达正在推动通用GPU计算向GPU加速计算转型。IDC预计，2025年全球半导体收入将达到8000亿美元。其中，半导体市场的计算部分将增长36%，达到3490亿美元。</p><p>英伟达无疑是这一波AI浪潮最大赢家，营收、净利润、市值等均实现了快速增长。当然，仍然不能忽视AI泡沫的担忧。</p><p>杨剑勇，福布斯中国撰稿人，表达观点仅代表个人。致力于深度解读AI大模型、人工智能、物联网、云计算和智能硬件等前沿科技。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市值31万亿元，AI泡沫难撼英伟达？</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260104153025a49a08b5&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4605":"半导体精选","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","SG9999015358.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Dis SGD-H","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0094547139.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) 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00:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>特朗普媒体科技集团（DJT）今日盘中大跌5.03%，市场反应强烈。</p><p>消息面上，该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE Technologies合并，但该交易正面临监管机构的审查，引发了利益冲突的担忧。TAE的投资者包括Alphabet（GOOGL）等大型科技公司，进一步加剧了市场的不确定性。</p><p>此次合并案价值高达60亿美元，监管机构的审查可能导致交易延迟或受阻，从而影响特朗普媒体科技集团的未来发展计划。投资者对此反应敏感，导致股价大幅下跌。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129615568","content_text":"特朗普媒体科技集团（DJT）今日盘中大跌5.03%，市场反应强烈。消息面上，该公司此前同意与核聚变开发商TAE 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专注与通过细分市场取胜的策略：“与其为每一个3D图形应用制造3D图形芯片，我们决定只为一种应用制造3D图形芯片。我们孤注一掷在视频游戏上。”</p><p>• 在市场不理解时坚持投资(如CUDA)：“如果你相信那个未来而不去做，你会后悔一辈子。……如果它真的非常难做，那就值得做。”</p><p>• 企业的危机意识与生存心态：“‘离倒闭只有30天’这句话我用了33年。……那种脆弱感、不确定感、不安全感。它不会离开你。”</p><p>• 领导者的纠错能力与转型：“如果你把自己放在超能力的位置上，我们就很难转型策略，因为我们本该一直是对的。……如果你总是对的，你怎么可能转型？因为转型要求你是错的。”</p><p>• 应对不确定性的方法论(第一性原理)：“时刻从第一性原理推导事情，总是将事情分解为第一性原理，理解为什么会发生，不断重新评估。”</p><p><img src=\"https://img5.gelonghui.com/live/4f384-998a2494-be2e-4bb4-b16c-e94e725862a1.jpg?guru_height=903&guru_width=1719&guru_size=153142\"/></p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达黄仁勋：也许两三年内，世界上90%的知识可能会由AI生成</title>\n<style 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如果解不开芯片贸易限制，这个扣儿就是无解[财迷] ","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 如果解不开芯片贸易限制，这个扣儿就是无解[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507056513216704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":507279577362600,"gmtCreate":1764823580363,"gmtModify":1764823582737,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482550532367433","idStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"逢高出货吧[捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"逢高出货吧[捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"逢高出货吧[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507279577362600","repostId":"2588073554","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2588073554","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1764808764,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2588073554?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-04 08:39","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"报道：黄仁勋游说成功，美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2588073554","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"英伟达的密集游说取得关键胜利，一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》，目前未被纳入美国年度国防法案。此举是黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿与白宫官员会面后出现的转折。他表示，该法案对美国的潜在危害巨大，国会的做法是“明智的”。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的强力游说取得关键成果，一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》，预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。</p>\n<p>据媒体援引一位知情人士消息，<strong>《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案（NDAA）的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>等芯片制造商，在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前，必须优先满足美国客户的需求。</strong></p>\n<p>尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍有意外生变的可能性，但目前的进展对芯片行业而言无疑是一个积极信号。</p>\n<p>英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随后将国会不将该法案纳入NDAA的决定形容为“明智的”，并表示《GAIN AI法案》对美国的潜在危害巨大。本周三，他曾亲赴华盛顿，与美国总统特朗普及多位关键议员会面。</p>\n<h2><strong>黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿斡旋</strong></h2>\n<p>黄仁勋的个人斡旋，被视为推动事态发展的关键一步。他于周三现身华盛顿，在国会与多名议员会面。在议长迈克·约翰逊的办公室外，黄仁勋告诉记者，他此行的目的是“回答有关AI的问题”。</p>\n<p>黄仁勋一直坚定地主张，允许美国公司服务全球市场最终对美国有利。他的观点显然在行政当局内部获得了共鸣。</p>\n<p>在国会做出初步决定后，黄仁勋公开表示，《GAIN AI法案》“对美国的危害甚至比《AI扩散规则》更大”。华尔街见闻提及，《AI扩散规则》政策由美国商务部于今年1月发布，它将英伟达等公司的芯片出口目的地分为三个大类国家进行监管，意图进一步限制AI芯片和技术的出口。</p>\n<h2><strong>激烈的游说战告一段落</strong></h2>\n<p>《GAIN AI法案》的搁置，为一场围绕AI技术出口管制的激烈游说战画上了句号。</p>\n<p>法案的支持者主要由对国家安全持强硬立场的议员和AI安全倡导人士构成，他们希望通过立法确保美国在国内的AI算力优势。</p>\n<p>而反对方法案的阵营则由英伟达和其他行业参与者组成，他们担心此类限制会扼杀全球竞争，并损害美国企业的市场地位。</p>\n<p>英伟达方面辩称，该法案并无必要性，因为公司不会以牺牲美国客户的供应为代价，同时限制性的贸易政策将阻碍创新。</p>\n<h2><strong>白宫或介入支持行业立场</strong></h2>\n<p>华尔街见闻写道，据媒体援引四位知情人士的报道，白宫在此次立法博弈中扮演了关键角色。报道称，白宫关键官员向国会山施压，要求议员们将《GAIN AI法案》排除在年度国防授权法案之外。</p>\n<p>据悉，此次行动由白宫“AI沙皇”David Sacks带头，并获得了白宫立法事务办公室的支持。他们直接致电众议院多数党领袖Steve Scalise等关键议员，明确表达了反对意见。</p>\n<p>知情人士称，在高层介入后，该限制性条款被纳入最终法案的可能性已降至“几乎为零”。这一干预凸显了行政当局内部对于在当前节点进一步收紧AI芯片出口政策的审慎态度。</p>\n<h2><strong>法案核心争议：优先满足美国客户与“受关注国家”</strong></h2>\n<p>引发争议的《GAIN AI法案》，其核心是重塑AI芯片的全球供应链分配逻辑，要求芯片公司在向“受关注国家”出口产品前，必须优先满足美国客户的订单。</p>\n<p>尽管该法案的修改版本曾获得<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等云服务巨头的积极回应，但对于英伟达这类硬件制造商而言，该法案构成了直接的监管风险和收入威胁。</p>\n<p>因此，该法案未能进入NDAA的最终版本，对英伟达及其他半导体公司来说是好消息，这消除了市场对新一轮出口管制可能扰乱其全球收入来源的担忧。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>报道：黄仁勋游说成功，美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n报道：黄仁勋游说成功，美国国会将否决AI芯片出口法案\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-04 08:39 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>英伟达的强力游说取得关键成果，一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》，预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。\n据媒体援引一位知情人士消息，《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案（NDAA）的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和AMD等芯片制造商，在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前，必须优先满足美国客户的需求。\n尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU0985320562.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL STARS EQUITY \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","NVDA":"英伟达","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","SGXZ23171101.USD":"NIKKO AM SHENTON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES (USD) ACC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0289961442.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (SGD) 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GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760678","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2588073554","content_text":"英伟达的强力游说取得关键成果，一项旨在限制其向部分海外市场销售先进AI芯片的《GAIN AI法案》，预计将不会被纳入美国年度国防法案。\n据媒体援引一位知情人士消息，《GAIN AI法案》的措施目前未被纳入将于周五公布的年度国防政策法案（NDAA）的最终文本中。该法案原计划要求英伟达和AMD等芯片制造商，在向受限制国家出口其强大的AI芯片之前，必须优先满足美国客户的需求。\n尽管该知情人士补充说情况仍有意外生变的可能性，但目前的进展对芯片行业而言无疑是一个积极信号。\n英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随后将国会不将该法案纳入NDAA的决定形容为“明智的”，并表示《GAIN AI法案》对美国的潜在危害巨大。本周三，他曾亲赴华盛顿，与美国总统特朗普及多位关键议员会面。\n黄仁勋亲赴华盛顿斡旋\n黄仁勋的个人斡旋，被视为推动事态发展的关键一步。他于周三现身华盛顿，在国会与多名议员会面。在议长迈克·约翰逊的办公室外，黄仁勋告诉记者，他此行的目的是“回答有关AI的问题”。\n黄仁勋一直坚定地主张，允许美国公司服务全球市场最终对美国有利。他的观点显然在行政当局内部获得了共鸣。\n在国会做出初步决定后，黄仁勋公开表示，《GAIN AI法案》“对美国的危害甚至比《AI扩散规则》更大”。华尔街见闻提及，《AI扩散规则》政策由美国商务部于今年1月发布，它将英伟达等公司的芯片出口目的地分为三个大类国家进行监管，意图进一步限制AI芯片和技术的出口。\n激烈的游说战告一段落\n《GAIN AI法案》的搁置，为一场围绕AI技术出口管制的激烈游说战画上了句号。\n法案的支持者主要由对国家安全持强硬立场的议员和AI安全倡导人士构成，他们希望通过立法确保美国在国内的AI算力优势。\n而反对方法案的阵营则由英伟达和其他行业参与者组成，他们担心此类限制会扼杀全球竞争，并损害美国企业的市场地位。\n英伟达方面辩称，该法案并无必要性，因为公司不会以牺牲美国客户的供应为代价，同时限制性的贸易政策将阻碍创新。\n白宫或介入支持行业立场\n华尔街见闻写道，据媒体援引四位知情人士的报道，白宫在此次立法博弈中扮演了关键角色。报道称，白宫关键官员向国会山施压，要求议员们将《GAIN AI法案》排除在年度国防授权法案之外。\n据悉，此次行动由白宫“AI沙皇”David Sacks带头，并获得了白宫立法事务办公室的支持。他们直接致电众议院多数党领袖Steve Scalise等关键议员，明确表达了反对意见。\n知情人士称，在高层介入后，该限制性条款被纳入最终法案的可能性已降至“几乎为零”。这一干预凸显了行政当局内部对于在当前节点进一步收紧AI芯片出口政策的审慎态度。\n法案核心争议：优先满足美国客户与“受关注国家”\n引发争议的《GAIN AI法案》，其核心是重塑AI芯片的全球供应链分配逻辑，要求芯片公司在向“受关注国家”出口产品前，必须优先满足美国客户的订单。\n尽管该法案的修改版本曾获得亚马逊和微软等云服务巨头的积极回应，但对于英伟达这类硬件制造商而言，该法案构成了直接的监管风险和收入威胁。\n因此，该法案未能进入NDAA的最终版本，对英伟达及其他半导体公司来说是好消息，这消除了市场对新一轮出口管制可能扰乱其全球收入来源的担忧。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDL":2,"NVDA":2,"07788":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}