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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2023-01-01
  zjh发的怎么解读
  美股2022大盘点：美联储加息难止，科技股风雨飘摇，美元雄霸一方
  又是一年啊
  美股2022大盘点：美联储加息难止，科技股风雨飘摇，美元雄霸一方
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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2021-07-21
  $NeuroMetrix(NURO)$马上扛不住了
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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2021-07-21
  $NeuroMetrix(NURO)$没止损的下场
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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2021-07-21
  $NeuroMetrix(NURO)$这一把亏了120
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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2021-07-21
  猜猜村吃车载车茶呀茶茶组村里吃点吃车管所-村到哪了城市广场伊川要柠檬村用🈶呀有语音呀。城市广场吃鱼用那个有什么呀城村组
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ..5生生不息5....5生生不息5..
  ·2021-07-21
  @英伟达官方出车城出嘘嘘了猜猜@阿里巴巴BABA @小鹏汽车车祸了到家@思摩尔国际村，@SnowFlake @思摩尔国际 @中通快递说啊擦拭纯纯粹粹鹌鹑行@思摩尔国际 @思摩dd尔国际t
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tg-height=\"1146\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>在惨遭血洗的一众明星科技股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>年累跌超65%、Meta累跌超64%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>、AMD、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>等则惨遭腰斩；微软跌约29%，苹果全年累跌约28%。</p><p>值得一提的是，特斯拉随着2022年股价的缩水，创下了上市以来最差年度表现。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5bc90996addd11daf732368e8abe3a6\" tg-width=\"1117\" tg-height=\"501\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>不过，今年随着能源危机的爆发，<b>美股能源板块领先出圈，油气股更是盆满钵满。</b></p><p>其中，股神巴菲特青睐的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方石油</a>涨近120%，油气巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>涨87.41%和58.46%。除了能源股外，医疗保健板块也有着不错的收益，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">礼来</a>涨幅高达34.26%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生</a>也收涨超5%。</p><p><b>中概股方面，纳斯达克中国金龙指数全年下跌24.63%，中概新能源汽车股跌幅居前</b>，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌幅高达80%领跌“中概新能源造车三傻”，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌近70%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>累跌近38%。阿里累跌超25%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>跌超23%，京东跌超18%。</p><p>不过，也有部分中概股交出了亮眼的成绩，在线教育龙头中，好未来全年累涨超81%，新东方全年涨超近62%，唯品会、涨超60%，拼多多、携程网涨近40%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6eb8e6a8d243174825fe2995a08865b7\" tg-width=\"1718\" tg-height=\"1032\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h3></h3><h3></h3><h3>美元雄霸一方</h3><p>当全球股债双杀之下，美元却冲出”天际“。</p><p>数据显示，2022年美元兑一篮子货币的年度涨幅势将达到7.9%，为七年来最大。</p><p>当全球多地通胀失控、美联储疯狂加息、俄乌冲突爆发、欧洲能源危机肆虐等金融市场黑天鹅席卷开来，全都成为了美元持续飙涨的助推器……</p><p>疯狂一整年后，2023年美元会走向何方？ForexLive分析师Adam Button表示，</p><blockquote>“我认为每个人都在纠结2023年的大问题是增长乏力还是通胀顽固，如果是增长乏力，美元将下跌。如果是高通胀，那么美元就会反弹。”</blockquote><p>汇丰银行则表示美元会在2023年走弱，这是回调，而非结构性贬值的开始。</p><p>在过去18个月里，美元表现非常出色，但推动其达到几十年来最高估值的一些力量正在失去优势。全球增长势头开始出现减弱的迹象，这表明周期的低点可能即将到来，特别是在非常悲观的普遍预期背景下。与其他货币相比，美元汇率仍在升值，但进一步上涨的速度很可能会放缓，这也可能会抑制波动性，从而消除美元的另一个支撑因素。最后，全球增长动力的触底以及收益率的稳定可能提升风险偏好，这可能会进一步拖累美元。</p><p>汇丰银行一直坚信美元强势，但美元走强背后的动能正在减弱，展望2023年，汇丰银行不认为当前极端高估水平仍然合理。因此，预计美元将出现回调，从而扭转这一轮周期中，美元对大多数货币的升势。</p><h3>美联储疯狂加息</h3><h3>2023会否”刹车“？</h3><p>2022年，美国经历了40年来最高的通胀。而伴随通胀高企，美联储也开启自1981年以来最快的加息步伐。</p><p>今年，美联储共进行了7次加息行动，其中连续四次加息75个基点，全年共计425个基点。目前，联邦基金利率目标区间升至4.25%-4.50%，为2007年以来最高水平。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4968afdf8cf80b97b7ae0d77844c4f80\" tg-width=\"1147\" tg-height=\"780\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>一顿操作猛如虎，美联储的疯狂，同时也在全球金融市场掀起了巨浪。虽然当下加息步伐已有所放缓，2023年美联储会否刹车？</p><p>此前，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，近两个月美国通胀的下行和通胀预期的稳定，并不是“值得自满的理由”。</p><p>他强调，<b>本轮高通胀持续时间越长，预期变得根深蒂固的可能性就越大。指标显示本季度经济将温和增长。在一段时间内可能需要采取限制性政策立场。</b>劳动力供需状况将趋于平衡。需要更多通胀下降的证据。FOMC继续认为通胀风险倾向于上升。</p><p>对于通胀问题，Euro Pacific Asset Management策略师Peter Schiff表示，尽管通胀在6月达到9.1%的峰值，但预计其将在2023年进一步攀升超过10%。：</p><blockquote>“通胀率远未接近2%。也许它会在超过10%之前先跌至7%以下，但我认为通胀同比涨幅将在2023年底之前再次突破2022年以来的高位。”</blockquote><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>预计，联储将明年初加息50个基点，明年剩余时间，利率将稳定在4.75%-5.00%。巴克莱预计，美联储将在明年初和3月分别再加息50个和25个基点，而后暂停加息，将利率保持在5.0%-5.25%的峰值直到年底。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席经济学家Jan Hatzius预计2023年将3次加息25个基点，2023年的利率中值在5%-5.25%之间。</p><h3>2023美股能否收复失地？</h3><p>2022年已经行至尾声，新的一年即将开启，美股市场将会如何表现？</p><p>展望来看，B． Riley Wealth首席市场策略师Art Hogan说：</p><blockquote>“我们从未见过这样的市场环境，好消息是，这一年马上将成为历史。坏消息是，2023年可能也将是一个动荡的年份，至少前几个月会是如此。美联储抗击通胀背景下，2023年极大可能会形成经济走弱趋势，无可避免的衰退可能有助于推动美股在下半年取得更好的表现。”</blockquote><p>川财证券指出，当前美国通胀虽然持续下滑，但仍然远超美联储2%的政策目标，或支撑美联储继续加息。再加上美国制造业持续萎缩，美国经济陷入衰退的可能性正在增加。后市来看，在衰退的预期下，美股市场还未企稳。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000776\">广发证券</a>指出，本轮美联储加息周期的结束已经近在咫尺，诸多大类资产即将迎来显著的拐点。在美联储最后一次加息附近：（1）全球主要股指将于美联储最后一次加息前后迎来“触底回升”，因此预计全球主要股指大多都最晚将在23年上半年迎来改善； （2）在此期间，全球权益市场的特征大致概括为：成长弹性优于价值，新兴市场弹性优于发达市场。</p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股2022大盘点：美联储加息难止，科技股风雨飘摇，美元雄霸一方</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股2022大盘点：美联储加息难止，科技股风雨飘摇，美元雄霸一方\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-31 11:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/571742><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2022年最后一天，美股在惨淡中画上年终句号，风雨飘摇又是一年啊。在美联储疯狂加息、俄乌冲突、通胀飙高等多重影响下，今年美股创下了金融危机以来最糟糕表现。截止最后一个交易日，美股三大指数仍以悉数下跌收官。道指收跌0.22%，报33147.25点；纳指跌0.11%，报10466.48点；标普500指数跌0.25%，报3839.50点。全年来看，纳指年度暴跌33.10%，标普500累跌19.44%，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/571742\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c26cf719687699fa329fdf9982ca0c45","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU2095319765.USD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A USD","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","LU2210150020.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","LU2210149790.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Subscription Economy R/A SGD-H","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","03086":"华夏纳指","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/571742","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2295913167","content_text":"2022年最后一天，美股在惨淡中画上年终句号，风雨飘摇又是一年啊。在美联储疯狂加息、俄乌冲突、通胀飙高等多重影响下，今年美股创下了金融危机以来最糟糕表现。截止最后一个交易日，美股三大指数仍以悉数下跌收官。道指收跌0.22%，报33147.25点；纳指跌0.11%，报10466.48点；标普500指数跌0.25%，报3839.50点。全年来看，纳指年度暴跌33.10%，标普500累跌19.44%，道指累跌8.78%，甚是凄惨。明星科技股、中概股表现几何？美股风雨交加，明星科技股们未能幸免于难，“万亿市值俱乐部”也惨遭大洗牌。据数据统计，目前全球总市值万亿美元的公司仅剩下3家，分别是苹果、微软和谷歌母公司Alphabet，市值分别为2.01万亿美元、1.75万亿美元、1.12万亿美元。在惨遭血洗的一众明星科技股中，特斯拉年累跌超65%、Meta累跌超64%，亚马逊、英伟达、英特尔、AMD、奈飞等则惨遭腰斩；微软跌约29%，苹果全年累跌约28%。值得一提的是，特斯拉随着2022年股价的缩水，创下了上市以来最差年度表现。不过，今年随着能源危机的爆发，美股能源板块领先出圈，油气股更是盆满钵满。其中，股神巴菲特青睐的西方石油涨近120%，油气巨头埃克森美孚、雪佛龙涨87.41%和58.46%。除了能源股外，医疗保健板块也有着不错的收益，礼来涨幅高达34.26%，联合健康、强生也收涨超5%。中概股方面，纳斯达克中国金龙指数全年下跌24.63%，中概新能源汽车股跌幅居前，小鹏汽车跌幅高达80%领跌“中概新能源造车三傻”，蔚来跌近70%，理想汽车累跌近38%。阿里累跌超25%，百度跌超23%，京东跌超18%。不过，也有部分中概股交出了亮眼的成绩，在线教育龙头中，好未来全年累涨超81%，新东方全年涨超近62%，唯品会、涨超60%，拼多多、携程网涨近40%。美元雄霸一方当全球股债双杀之下，美元却冲出”天际“。数据显示，2022年美元兑一篮子货币的年度涨幅势将达到7.9%，为七年来最大。当全球多地通胀失控、美联储疯狂加息、俄乌冲突爆发、欧洲能源危机肆虐等金融市场黑天鹅席卷开来，全都成为了美元持续飙涨的助推器……疯狂一整年后，2023年美元会走向何方？ForexLive分析师Adam Button表示，“我认为每个人都在纠结2023年的大问题是增长乏力还是通胀顽固，如果是增长乏力，美元将下跌。如果是高通胀，那么美元就会反弹。”汇丰银行则表示美元会在2023年走弱，这是回调，而非结构性贬值的开始。在过去18个月里，美元表现非常出色，但推动其达到几十年来最高估值的一些力量正在失去优势。全球增长势头开始出现减弱的迹象，这表明周期的低点可能即将到来，特别是在非常悲观的普遍预期背景下。与其他货币相比，美元汇率仍在升值，但进一步上涨的速度很可能会放缓，这也可能会抑制波动性，从而消除美元的另一个支撑因素。最后，全球增长动力的触底以及收益率的稳定可能提升风险偏好，这可能会进一步拖累美元。汇丰银行一直坚信美元强势，但美元走强背后的动能正在减弱，展望2023年，汇丰银行不认为当前极端高估水平仍然合理。因此，预计美元将出现回调，从而扭转这一轮周期中，美元对大多数货币的升势。美联储疯狂加息2023会否”刹车“？2022年，美国经历了40年来最高的通胀。而伴随通胀高企，美联储也开启自1981年以来最快的加息步伐。今年，美联储共进行了7次加息行动，其中连续四次加息75个基点，全年共计425个基点。目前，联邦基金利率目标区间升至4.25%-4.50%，为2007年以来最高水平。一顿操作猛如虎，美联储的疯狂，同时也在全球金融市场掀起了巨浪。虽然当下加息步伐已有所放缓，2023年美联储会否刹车？此前，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，近两个月美国通胀的下行和通胀预期的稳定，并不是“值得自满的理由”。他强调，本轮高通胀持续时间越长，预期变得根深蒂固的可能性就越大。指标显示本季度经济将温和增长。在一段时间内可能需要采取限制性政策立场。劳动力供需状况将趋于平衡。需要更多通胀下降的证据。FOMC继续认为通胀风险倾向于上升。对于通胀问题，Euro Pacific Asset Management策略师Peter Schiff表示，尽管通胀在6月达到9.1%的峰值，但预计其将在2023年进一步攀升超过10%。：“通胀率远未接近2%。也许它会在超过10%之前先跌至7%以下，但我认为通胀同比涨幅将在2023年底之前再次突破2022年以来的高位。”摩根士丹利预计，联储将明年初加息50个基点，明年剩余时间，利率将稳定在4.75%-5.00%。巴克莱预计，美联储将在明年初和3月分别再加息50个和25个基点，而后暂停加息，将利率保持在5.0%-5.25%的峰值直到年底。高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius预计2023年将3次加息25个基点，2023年的利率中值在5%-5.25%之间。2023美股能否收复失地？2022年已经行至尾声，新的一年即将开启，美股市场将会如何表现？展望来看，B． Riley Wealth首席市场策略师Art Hogan说：“我们从未见过这样的市场环境，好消息是，这一年马上将成为历史。坏消息是，2023年可能也将是一个动荡的年份，至少前几个月会是如此。美联储抗击通胀背景下，2023年极大可能会形成经济走弱趋势，无可避免的衰退可能有助于推动美股在下半年取得更好的表现。”川财证券指出，当前美国通胀虽然持续下滑，但仍然远超美联储2%的政策目标，或支撑美联储继续加息。再加上美国制造业持续萎缩，美国经济陷入衰退的可能性正在增加。后市来看，在衰退的预期下，美股市场还未企稳。广发证券指出，本轮美联储加息周期的结束已经近在咫尺，诸多大类资产即将迎来显著的拐点。在美联储最后一次加息附近：（1）全球主要股指将于美联储最后一次加息前后迎来“触底回升”，因此预计全球主要股指大多都最晚将在23年上半年迎来改善； （2）在此期间，全球权益市场的特征大致概括为：成长弹性优于价值，新兴市场弹性优于发达市场。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":176812116,"gmtCreate":1626875902135,"gmtModify":1626875902135,"author":{"id":"3480210851647175","authorId":"3480210851647175","name":"..5生生不息5..","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a557d80420cd07f5a29445a96d6b6aa6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NURO\">$NeuroMetrix(NURO)$</a>马上扛不住了","listText":"<a 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