美联储决议“最后拼图”今夜揭晓！8月CPI或达3.4%，加息概率现已飙破73%_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

美联储决议“最后拼图”今夜揭晓！8月CPI或达3.4%，加息概率现已飙破73%

智通财经09-11

9月11日，美国劳工统计局将于美东时间上午8:30(北京时间今夜20:30)公布8月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告，这份报告将是美联储下周利率决议前获得的最后一块通胀拼图。若道琼斯共识正确，报告将显示上月所有商品和服务价格环比上涨0.4%，年通胀率达3.4%。但剔除食品和能源价格后，核心通胀的环比和同比预期分别为0.2%和2.4%。结合周四公布的生产者价格指数(PPI，衡量批发通胀的指标)，CPI将...

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momogogo
·09-11
就算加息，又能咋地？
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The August CPI may reach 3.4%, and the probability of rate hike has now surpassed 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09:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储决议“最后拼图”今夜揭晓！8月CPI或达3.4%，加息概率现已飙破73%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2666512931","media":"智通财经","summary":"若道琼斯共识正确，报告将显示上月所有商品和服务价格环比上涨0.4%，年通胀率达3.4%。“目前，我们维持美联储9月FOMC会议不加息的预测。但若8月CPI数据，尤其是与PCE相关的分项意外上行，将显著增加下周政策收紧的可能性。”美联储主席凯文·沃什已表示，货币政策方向依赖市场指标。“明天8月CPI报告出现重大意外，或与伊朗达成最后一刻协议，仍可能影响决策。”","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月11日，美国劳工统计局将于美东时间上午8:30(北京时间今夜20:30)公布8月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告，这份报告将是美联储下周利率决议前获得的最后一块通胀拼图。若道琼斯共识正确，报告将显示上月所有商品和服务价格环比上涨0.4%，年通胀率达3.4%。但剔除食品和能源价格后，核心通胀的环比和同比预期分别为0.2%和2.4%。</p><p>结合周四公布的生产者价格指数(PPI，衡量批发通胀的指标)，CPI将有助于美联储官员预判其首选通胀指标——个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数在9月底公布时的表现。</p><p>该数据预计也将在下周三联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的利率决策中占据重要分量，任何一个百分点的变化都可能意味着维持利率不变还是加息。</p><p>“9月FOMC决策最终取决于CPI数据……因为PCE的大部分分项源自CPI，”野村经济学家在报告中表示。“目前，我们维持美联储9月FOMC会议不加息的预测。但若8月CPI数据，尤其是与PCE相关的分项意外上行，将显著增加下周政策收紧的可能性。”</p><p>周四PPI数据发布后，根据芝商所FedWatch对期货价格的衡量，交易员将加息25个基点的概率提升至73%以上。</p><p>然而，预期一直波动不定，高度依赖数据及能源价格走势，这使得周五数据的利害关系更为重大。美联储主席凯文·沃什已表示，货币政策方向依赖市场指标。</p><p>“9月美联储决策在月初看来势均力敌。9月能源价格飙升可能在下周美联储会议时使天平偏向加息，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FITB\">五三银行</a>首席美国经济学家比尔·亚当斯表示。“明天8月CPI报告出现重大意外，或与伊朗达成最后一刻协议，仍可能影响决策。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储决议“最后拼图”今夜揭晓！8月CPI或达3.4%，加息概率现已飙破73%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储决议“最后拼图”今夜揭晓！8月CPI或达3.4%，加息概率现已飙破73%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-09-11 09:30 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1494773.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月11日，美国劳工统计局将于美东时间上午8:30(北京时间今夜20:30)公布8月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告，这份报告将是美联储下周利率决议前获得的最后一块通胀拼图。若道琼斯共识正确，报告将显示上月所有商品和服务价格环比上涨0.4%，年通胀率达3.4%。但剔除食品和能源价格后，核心通胀的环比和同比预期分别为0.2%和2.4%。结合周四公布的生产者价格指数(PPI，衡量批发通胀的指标)，CPI将...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1494773.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8642475395bb363eacb86148917e7b","relate_stocks":{"OOQB":"One+One Bitcoin and Ether ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","LIAJ":"LifeX 2053 Inflation-Protected Longevity Income ETF","LQD":"债券指数ETF-iShares iBoxx投资级公司债","QSWN":"Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury 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