iPhone 13，战略性“不香”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

iPhone 13，战略性“不香”

IT时报2021-09-08

从去年iPhone 12发布的时候起，“十三香”的段子就没停过。自打iPhone 13定档9月14日发布以来，伴随各种“真机曝光”“大神爆料”，iPhone 13的“香气”似乎已经扑面而来。 iPhone永远是iPhone，就算苹果公司天生具备“牙膏厂”的特质，它也依然能让果粉觉得自家的新品很大方、很敞亮。但需要警惕的是，iPhone的每次新配色发布。因为更多配色是每一代新iPhone最“无脑...

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曹大侠
·2021-09-09
只希望电池容量大一点其他的其实无所谓了每天用得到还是微信刷新闻偶尔拍几张照片而已
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美美滴玩
·2021-09-09
喜欢粉色
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高明兴_8399
·2021-09-09
继续增加镜头啊
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1
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Youn7276
·2021-09-09
阅
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4
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赚钱不易
·2021-09-08
赶快上等买哪
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3
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烦烦躁躁
·2021-09-08
一到发布会，就有一大堆唱衰文章[开心] [开心]
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5
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- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-09-09
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- 小闸蟹:
  [财迷][财迷][财迷]
  2021-09-09
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sallylim
·2021-09-08
哦！
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3
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- MyKhoo:
  K
  2021-09-08
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juanjuanjuan
·2021-09-08
[微笑]
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2
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- juanjuanjuan:
  [微笑]
  2021-09-08
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plaispool
·2021-09-07
阅
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Angleal
·2021-09-06
[呆住]
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猜想图\n看似调侃，但iPhone在利润和销量两大关键问题上始终不会逃开自身的宿命逻辑。苹果公司作为资本市场上的全球地表最强公司，一定会保持其销售业绩不断增长，iPhone是苹果家族的中流砥柱，也是公司业绩的晴雨表，保证iPhone产品线的长远可持续发展就成为蒂姆·库克的最重要战略课题之一。\n不过，站在2021年的秋天，苹果环顾四周之后对自己说：“看来还不是拿出‘杀手锏’的时候！”当前全球手机市场呈现三星、小米、OPPO、vivo大战苹果的“4v1”局面，而无论小米能否在3年内拿下全球市占率第一，最该担心的应该是日益势衰的三星，而非苹果。不复当年勇的三星再难直接挑战苹果的霸主地位，蒂姆·库克忽然发现自己才是那个“举着望远镜也看不到对手”的男人。\n不得不说，乔布斯为iPhone和苹果系列产品打一开始就接种了未来许多年的防竞争“疫苗”，这剂疫苗名叫——“封闭生态”，强大的iOS生态得以让iPhone永远和其他所有手机不一样。\n乔布斯是恺撒，库克是屋大维。在继任者库克任上，苹果的硬件继续让人刮目相看，A系列芯片的大获成功，甚至已经衍射到PC市场，并直接带动了ARM架构芯片整体江湖地位的提升。对苹果来说，它还在苦苦等待那个仍在研发中的5G或6G芯片，如果未来3年中，苹果的研发团队能够不辱使命，完成通信基带芯片的自研，那么苹果将建立起一个可怕的“软件+硬件”全封闭生态，与所有其他品牌手机打一场“不同维”的战争。\n从某种意义上来说，苹果是幸运的，在完整生态防御体系搭建完成之前，按理说应该是自身发展较为薄弱的风险期，但偏偏全球市场中，没有出现能在高端市场挑战iPhone的对等对手。这让苹果手机还能藏着几手牌，不到必要关头，甚至都不需要出手。\n库克手里到底还有几张未打出的牌呢？我们不妨来分析一下。\n第一张牌：大屏\n“Bigger than bigger.”这是苹果官网首页已经出现过的广告语，这段咒语的魔力也许已经不如几年前那么强大，但“更大”始终是一个特别好使的卖点。无论消费者使用体验打几分，也无论乔布斯的在天之灵是不是情愿，如果有必要，苹果一定会不失时机推出更大、也更贵的iPhone。\n第二张牌：更多摄像头\n对消费者来说，摄像模组升级最直观的表现就是摄像头变多了！其实所有外观和工艺设计上的变化都能挑动果粉敏感的神经，更别提关键性的拍摄性能得到相应升级，影像性能的“显性升级”一定吸引力难挡。更何况无论Android手机们的影像评分有多高，iPhone的影像功能始终是不输于任何竞争对手的顶级存在。\n\n第三张牌：内容\n这也许是最容易被忽略的一张牌，苹果在内容生态上已经建立起广阔的空间，Apple Music、Apple TV+在不同内容赛道与Spotify和Netflix等形成了激烈竞争，Apple Music还在不断扩大曲库，Apple TV+新片不断，如果苹果在这些内容上开放资源，跟iPhone销售形成更多联动，相信可以拉动一大批用户。当然，中国市场除外。\n第四张牌：降价\n万试万灵的降价策略永远是iPhone的最后一张底牌。其实，近年来，iPhone可以说一直没涨价，算是维持了较有亲和力的价格策略，也让小米、OPPO、vivo的高端机型在价位段上逐渐逼近。如果哪一天iPhone真降价了，那一定是全球手机行业最疯狂的内卷时刻。\n苹果打出的牌越少，就说明iPhone的市场地位越稳。也许对苹果来说，iPhone 13不需要太“香”，或者说，用不着多“香”也能大卖。\n对iPhone 13来说，新配色只是小伎俩，快充和大电池是为了追赶Android阵营，骁龙X60 5G基带是被迫选择的，A15芯片、高刷屏、刘海缩小、WiFi6等只能算是常规升级……即便关注度很高的对低轨卫星的支持，也无法被看成是创新，只能说是苹果的远见或者堆料，不用几个月时间，国产高端手机都会标配这个过去他们认为没啥用的功能。\n你瞧瞧，蒂姆·库克拿出的“诚意”就这么多，你说iPhone 13香不香？\n好吧，战略不香！\n#苹果新产品大预测#\n距离苹果9月14日新品发布会还有不到两周的时间，目前各种爆料和预测已经满天飞。\n《IT时报》记者根据以往苹果的产品更新周期，发布会举办情况，结合市场消息，也来预测一番。至于预测正确与否，就等发布会来揭晓了。\n需要说明的是，因为疫情的原因，苹果的发布会可能分为两场，9月份会率先发布iPhone 13系列，后续10月份的发布会上，iPad mini 6、MacBook Pro等会登场亮相。\niPhone 13\n外观与前代基本一致：刘海变小 摄像头变大\niPhone 13系列将有四款机型，分别是iPhone 13 mini、iPhone 13、iPhonne 13 Pro和iPhone 13 Pro Max，整体尺寸仍然是保持与iPhone 12一样的5.4英寸、6.1英寸和6.7英寸，但厚度略有增加。外观基本与iPhone 12一致，屏幕边缘会采用iPhone 11系列之前的2.5D玻璃方案。\n从正面看，最明显的是iPhone 13的“刘海”相比iPhone 12缩小了几乎一半，听筒采用“隐藏式”设计，Face ID模组所占区域变大。\n\niPhone 13与iPhone 12刘海对比\niPhone 13 Pro与iPhone 13 Pro Max将采用三星提供的高刷新率LTPO OLED屏幕，支持1—120Hz的自适应刷新率切换。出于成本和定价的考虑，iPhone 13和iPhone 13 mini将会继续采用普通的60Hz OLED屏幕。\niPhone 13 系列的后置摄像镜头整体面积比前一代增大，iPhone 13 mini、iPhone 13对角线尺寸增至3.9cm，iPhone 13 Pro、iPhone 13 Pro Max则为4.49cm。\n除了常规的黑白两色外，iPhone 13将另外提供6种不同颜色的版本——日落金、玫瑰金、粉色、绿色、紫色和红色，由此iPhone 13也成为史上配色最多的一代 iPhone。不过由于工艺和材质的更新，颜色名称虽然与以前的iPhone某些版本一样，但色泽效果和手感会有不同。\n\niPhone 13 猜想图\niPhone 13系列将采用苹果最新自研A15仿生芯片，由于采用了台积电第二代5nm制程，运行效能较前代A14芯片有明显提升。同时iPhone 13的电池容量也全面升级，iPhone 13 Pro Max电池容量达到4352mAh，相比iPhone 12 Pro Max多出近700mAh，iPhone 13电池容量为3095mAh，最便宜的iPhone 13 mini电池容量为2406mAh。\n为了继续推动虚拟增强现实的体验和暗光对焦速度，iPhone 13 系列全部都会配备 LiDAR 传感器，苹果官方会演示更多相关玩法。\n比较遗憾的是，在安卓旗舰手机常见侧边的电源指纹解锁功能，此次在iPhone 13系列中仍然没有采用。\n视频拍摄功能大幅提升\n在功能方面，iPhone 13系列将大幅提升视频拍摄功能，重点是ProRes视频和人像模式。\nProRes视频类似于ProRaw照片，用户能以更高质量的格式录制影片，同时还有更多的编辑选项。人像模式可以使人物清晰对焦，同时以散景效果模糊背景，用户可以拍摄出别具效果的Vlog视频。\n另外更新后的Face ID功能将可以正常识别佩戴口罩或者眼镜起雾的用户。但该功能可能来不及在iPhone 13发售同期上线，会待测试成熟后，随着固件升级提供给用户使用。\n至于安卓手机上常见的“息屏显示”，iPhone 13也可能会提供，息屏界面可以展示时间、信息、提醒等。\n最高配价格仍将上涨\niPhone 13系列4 款机型与iPhone 12初发售时相比，对应价格应该会略有上涨，其中最高配的iPhone 13 Pro Max 可能会有1TB存储的版本。\n有传闻称苹果在iPhone 13将会首次引入钛合金版本，此前钛合金已经在Apple Watch上使用。相比iPhone 12 Pro的铝合金外壳，钛合金更轻更硬更耐划。但钛合金的成本不低，估计只有iPhone 13 Pro Max才会使用。\n相比iPhone 12 Pro Max 512GB版发布时的11899元的售价，iPhone 13 Pro Max定价涨幅明显。好消息是，iPhone 13全系列备货比较充足，发布会结束后两周内将全面开售，不会再出现iPhone 12预订要等1个月才拿到的情况。\niPad mini 6\n全面屏 采用USB-C接口\niPad mini 5已经是5年前的产品了，今年终于迎来更新。\n首先iPad mini 6将采用USB-C接口，仍然坚持使用苹果专属lightning端口将只剩iPhone。\n其次，iPad mini 6将启用类似iPad Pro的Liquid Retina全面屏设计，Home键被取消，采用Face ID解锁。边框收窄的同时，屏幕尺寸相应将增大至8.4英寸，采用与iPhone 13同款的A15芯片，支持最新的Apple Pencil 3代。\n\niPad mini 6存储容量最低为128G，颜色会有五种——太空灰、银色、玫瑰金、绿色和天蓝色。至于支持磁吸和无线充电，暂时还不会用在iPad mini 6上。\n关于售价，mini系列是入门产品，估计会比iPad mini 5初始定价略微增加一点。\n另外，还有消息称，苹果还在为学生市场准备价格更低的入门级iPad，但个人判断，这事可能性不大。\nMacBook Pro\n搭载M1X芯片 恢复MagSafe\n新版MacBook Pro除了采用M1X芯片之外，将有14英寸和16英寸两款，均会采用新的 mini LED 屏幕。与LCD屏幕相比，Mini LED屏幕可以提供更暗的黑色、更明亮的亮度、更丰富的色彩和更高的对比度，有助于满足专业人士对色彩显示的需求，但Mini LED屏幕刷新率不如LCD屏幕。另外MacBook Pro将集成1080p FaceTime 摄像头，而Touch Bar将可能会被取消。\n另外针对MacBook接口不足的情况，消费者需要另外购买各种USB-C扩展坞才能使用更多外设的情况。据说新款将部分雷电接口调整为HDMI或MagSafe充电接口。\n已经曝光的示意图中，新版MacBook Pro右侧有一个HDMI、一个雷电3接口，另外还有一个SD读卡器，同时左侧将有MagSafe充电接口以及一个雷电3接口。\n\n此外，最近苹果获批了一项有关MacBook的专利，该专利显示，MacBook将支持Apple Pencil，同时原本Touch Bar的长度大幅缩小，缩小的部分将变成笔槽，供Apple Pencil收纳充电。该专利还提到Apple Pencil可以直接操作MacBook Pro，类似fn功能键。\n耳机 手表都将有新品\nAirPods 3将会采用与AirPods 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