Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?

TheStreet2021-12-27

Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks. Santa Claus almost ...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

koolgal
·2021-12-29
Let's aim for 182 as Apple will then be 3 Trillion dollars in market capitalisation! That will be a very nice Christmas present from Santa! Apple to the moon! 🍎🍎🍎🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙
回复
43
举报
收起
- angeldevil:
  This year able to hit again 180?
  2022-06-13
  回复
  举报
- Teslawonder:
  great apple
  2022-01-14
  回复
  举报
- Teslawonder:
  nice hit 3T for a short while. Next will be 3.5 to go. Great Apple!
  2022-01-05
  回复
  举报
查看更多 2 条评论
RichyRick
·2021-12-28
Up up all the way to at least 180
回复
3
举报
SPOT_ON
·2021-12-28
Think at least $180 is a fair value for apple !!!
回复
2
举报
kino318
·2021-12-28
Please like
回复
3
举报
LifeLearner
·2021-12-28
apple should be a resilent stock.
回复
2
举报
收起
- PengsieX:
  Hold forever
  2021-12-28
  回复
  举报
- kino318:
  yes. agreed
  2021-12-28
  回复
  举报
sinneDteo
·2021-12-28
Good luck everyone
回复
3
举报
KK2021
·2021-12-28
Pls like bk
回复
3
举报
收起
- sinneDteo:
  like
  2021-12-28
  回复
  举报
earthy
·2021-12-28
Like
回复
2
举报
收起
- KK2021:
  done
  2021-12-28
  回复
  举报
WalterTam
·2021-12-28
Dd
回复
1
举报
hotwheels
·2021-12-28
Apple will bounce up
回复
3
举报
RT126
·2021-12-27
Loving a$Apple(AAPL)$
回复
3
举报
收起
- LimYH:
  same same
  2021-12-27
  回复
  举报
szueyann
·2021-12-27
Like and comment. Thanks.
回复
3
举报
收起
- Fam_Fam87:
  👍
  2021-12-28
  回复
  举报
Anni001
·2021-12-27
Please likeThanks
回复
4
举报
收起
- Bluem:
  okkk
  2021-12-27
  回复
  举报

热议股票

7x24

全部

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"data":{"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"1151032995","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?","media":"TheStreet","content":"<div>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost ...\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-27 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally>TheStreet</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost ...\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"AAPL","symbol_name":"苹果","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","article_id":"1151032995","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"thestreet.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"translate_title":"苹果股票：圣诞老人反弹后会发生什么？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9},"content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":696556483,"gmtCreate":1640739423384,"gmtModify":1640741384370,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}],"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorIdStr":"3559581955535845"},"htmlText":"Let's aim for 182 as&nbsp; Apple&nbsp;will then be 3 Trillion dollars in market capitalisation!&nbsp; That will be a very nice Christmas present from Santa! Apple to the moon! 🍎🍎🍎🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","listText":"Let's aim for 182 as&nbsp; Apple&nbsp;will then be 3 Trillion dollars in market capitalisation!&nbsp; That will be a very nice Christmas present from Santa! Apple to the moon! 🍎🍎🍎🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","text":"Let's aim for 182 as Apple will then be 3 Trillion dollars in market capitalisation! That will be a very nice Christmas present from Santa! Apple to the moon! 🍎🍎🍎🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":43,"commentSize":37,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696556483","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7473881,"gmtCreate":1655134133311,"gmtModify":1655134134479,"authorId":4094305397134900,"author":{"id":4094305397134900,"idStr":"4094305397134900","authorId":4094305397134900,"name":"angeldevil","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/518b20b4f0de3e48e69adb09f2650815","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696556483,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"This year able to hit again 180?","text":"This year able to hit again 180?","html":"This year able to hit again 180?"},{"id":7178644,"gmtCreate":1642175757728,"gmtModify":1642175757825,"authorId":3574996021054734,"author":{"id":3574996021054734,"idStr":"3574996021054734","authorId":3574996021054734,"name":"Teslawonder","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696556483,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"great apple","text":"great apple","html":"great apple"},{"id":7157152,"gmtCreate":1641396820998,"gmtModify":1641396821034,"authorId":3574996021054734,"author":{"id":3574996021054734,"idStr":"3574996021054734","authorId":3574996021054734,"name":"Teslawonder","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696556483,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"nice hit 3T for a short while. Next will be 3.5 to go. Great Apple!","text":"nice hit 3T for a short while. Next will be 3.5 to go. Great Apple!","html":"nice hit 3T for a short while. Next will be 3.5 to go. Great Apple!"},{"id":7147949,"gmtCreate":1641052750707,"gmtModify":1641052750740,"authorId":3574996021054734,"author":{"id":3574996021054734,"idStr":"3574996021054734","authorId":3574996021054734,"name":"Teslawonder","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696556483,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"nice and apple to the sky","text":"nice and apple to the sky","html":"nice and apple to the sky"},{"id":7145793,"gmtCreate":1640988490457,"gmtModify":1640988490457,"authorId":9000000000000632,"author":{"id":9000000000000632,"idStr":"9000000000000632","authorId":9000000000000632,"name":"delusion梦碎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696556483,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Bought the $180 Call expiring next week before the close 🤞","text":"Bought the $180 Call expiring next week before the close 🤞","html":"Bought the $180 Call expiring next week before the close 🤞"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696129365,"gmtCreate":1640651931264,"gmtModify":1640651931711,"author":{"id":"3574713327400822","authorId":"3574713327400822","name":"RichyRick","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b86ee481aaeabbd2348ddf829e3a56fe","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3574713327400822","authorIdStr":"3574713327400822"},"htmlText":"Up up all the way to at least 180","listText":"Up up all the way to at least 180","text":"Up up all the way to at least 180","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696129365","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696119006,"gmtCreate":1640648879316,"gmtModify":1640648885305,"author":{"id":"3582922989777578","authorId":"3582922989777578","name":"SPOT_ON","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080f029371339d9db26930961de6adb1","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3582922989777578","authorIdStr":"3582922989777578"},"htmlText":"Think at least $180 is a fair value for apple !!!","listText":"Think at least $180 is a fair value for apple !!!","text":"Think at least $180 is a fair value for apple !!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696119006","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696198748,"gmtCreate":1640647059967,"gmtModify":1640647061072,"author":{"id":"3578134255896974","authorId":"3578134255896974","name":"kino318","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e983f44b7853b7b8c10f1b3f6e19dc68","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3578134255896974","authorIdStr":"3578134255896974"},"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696198748","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696199711,"gmtCreate":1640646531757,"gmtModify":1640646532231,"author":{"id":"4100388417063180","authorId":"4100388417063180","name":"LifeLearner","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4707e55ac97e56f0c605261b2ddcdb","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"4100388417063180","authorIdStr":"4100388417063180"},"htmlText":"apple should be a resilent stock.","listText":"apple should be a resilent stock.","text":"apple should be a resilent stock.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696199711","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7122338,"gmtCreate":1640647659133,"gmtModify":1640647659172,"authorId":3578047933589423,"author":{"id":3578047933589423,"idStr":"3578047933589423","authorId":3578047933589423,"name":"PengsieX","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe92821eba3b91a6431d698b66bbed5","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"80.38%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":0},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1100,"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":0}]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696199711,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hold forever","text":"Hold forever","html":"Hold forever"},{"id":7122207,"gmtCreate":1640647074866,"gmtModify":1640647074900,"authorId":3578134255896974,"author":{"id":3578134255896974,"idStr":"3578134255896974","authorId":3578134255896974,"name":"kino318","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e983f44b7853b7b8c10f1b3f6e19dc68","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696199711,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"yes. agreed","text":"yes. agreed","html":"yes. agreed"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696100247,"gmtCreate":1640644180375,"gmtModify":1640644180570,"author":{"id":"3574190598868333","authorId":"3574190598868333","name":"sinneDteo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/120e946e020025a0f2a0ab36032d4712","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3574190598868333","authorIdStr":"3574190598868333"},"htmlText":"Good luck everyone","listText":"Good luck everyone","text":"Good luck everyone","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696100247","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696347965,"gmtCreate":1640638889238,"gmtModify":1640638889503,"author":{"id":"3575143606799200","authorId":"3575143606799200","name":"KK2021","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57decb2950e37ceb12176c97c9be2c4","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3575143606799200","authorIdStr":"3575143606799200"},"htmlText":"Pls like bk","listText":"Pls like bk","text":"Pls like bk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696347965","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7121847,"gmtCreate":1640644173704,"gmtModify":1640644173737,"authorId":3574190598868333,"author":{"id":3574190598868333,"idStr":"3574190598868333","authorId":3574190598868333,"name":"sinneDteo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/120e946e020025a0f2a0ab36032d4712","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696347965,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"like","text":"like","html":"like"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696343599,"gmtCreate":1640630414794,"gmtModify":1640630414893,"author":{"id":"4101693532426560","authorId":"4101693532426560","name":"earthy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d4580f67ba31b0504ee8d4325d0385d","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"4101693532426560","authorIdStr":"4101693532426560"},"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696343599","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7121453,"gmtCreate":1640638895669,"gmtModify":1640638895781,"authorId":3575143606799200,"author":{"id":3575143606799200,"idStr":"3575143606799200","authorId":3575143606799200,"name":"KK2021","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e57decb2950e37ceb12176c97c9be2c4","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696343599,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"done","text":"done","html":"done"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696351328,"gmtCreate":1640624036559,"gmtModify":1640624764354,"author":{"id":"4097750312224460","authorId":"4097750312224460","name":"WalterTam","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7fb7742720e323386860258ca7af87","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"4097750312224460","authorIdStr":"4097750312224460"},"htmlText":"Dd","listText":"Dd","text":"Dd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696351328","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696353117,"gmtCreate":1640623723607,"gmtModify":1640623723852,"author":{"id":"3555967496683005","authorId":"3555967496683005","name":"hotwheels","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}],"idStr":"3555967496683005","authorIdStr":"3555967496683005"},"htmlText":"Apple will bounce up","listText":"Apple will bounce up","text":"Apple will bounce up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696353117","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696387133,"gmtCreate":1640618677024,"gmtModify":1640618677158,"author":{"id":"4095412450481050","authorId":"4095412450481050","name":"RT126","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71bd4d86dba111820dfaead92c1969c1","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"4095412450481050","authorIdStr":"4095412450481050"},"htmlText":"Loving a<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>","listText":"Loving a<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>","text":"Loving a$Apple(AAPL)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696387133","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7120607,"gmtCreate":1640618838091,"gmtModify":1640618838187,"authorId":3586223575744434,"author":{"id":3586223575744434,"idStr":"3586223575744434","authorId":3586223575744434,"name":"LimYH","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696387133,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"same same","text":"same same","html":"same same"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696387336,"gmtCreate":1640618675534,"gmtModify":1640618677061,"author":{"id":"3573721781255613","authorId":"3573721781255613","name":"szueyann","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cba9c6b1e785a9cf7301a7e6a2ff2354","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3573721781255613","authorIdStr":"3573721781255613"},"htmlText":"Like and comment. Thanks.&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment. Thanks.&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment. Thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696387336","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7121047,"gmtCreate":1640622117266,"gmtModify":1640622117368,"authorId":3574492498982218,"author":{"id":3574492498982218,"idStr":"3574492498982218","authorId":3574492498982218,"name":"Fam_Fam87","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696387336,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"👍","text":"👍","html":"👍"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":696316834,"gmtCreate":1640617188269,"gmtModify":1640617234087,"author":{"id":"3581489684162254","authorId":"3581489684162254","name":"Anni001","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"3581489684162254","authorIdStr":"3581489684162254"},"htmlText":"Please likeThanks&nbsp;","listText":"Please likeThanks&nbsp;","text":"Please likeThanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696316834","repostId":1151032995,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151032995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640617060,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151032995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151032995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.If the “Santa Claus rall","content":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: What Happens After The Santa Claus Rally?<blockquote>苹果股票：圣诞老人集会后会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-12-27 22:57\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSanta Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.<blockquote>圣诞老人集会？苹果投资者有理由对接下来发生的事情更加兴奋。以下是数据显示未来两周 AAPL 股价可能会发生的情况。</blockquote> Santa Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&amp;P 500&nbsp;dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.<blockquote>圣诞老人今年差点跳过华尔街。标普500在 12 月 15 日至 20 日期间下跌了 3.5%，这让一些人对年底的反弹产生了质疑。但很快，看涨情绪又回来了，该指数在短短三天内就上涨了 4%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f29dc35b16bd6dea058ab34fcedeaffc\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"784\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.<blockquote>图1：圣诞主题的苹果手表、iPhone和iPad。</blockquote> If the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock&nbsp;head next?<blockquote>如果 “圣诞老人集会 ”是真的，那么圣诞假期结束后会发生什么？对于苹果专家来说更重要的是：苹果股票接下来会走哪条路？</blockquote> Is Santa Claus real?<blockquote>圣诞老人是真的吗？</blockquote> The first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?<blockquote>第一个要问的问题是，圣诞老人集会在数据中是否显而易见，或者仅仅是一个神话。股市真的会在 12 月 24 日之前飙升吗？</blockquote> There are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&amp;P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.<blockquote>有几种不同的方法来解决这个问题。我首先研究了自 20 世纪 90 年代初以来标普500在任何两周内的表现。然后，我将我的发现与圣诞节假期前两周的市场回报进行了比较。</blockquote> It turns out that yes, the S&amp;P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.<blockquote>事实证明，是的，标普500在节前期间的历史上表现更好，但只是微乎其微：两周平均回报率为+0.54%，而全年平均回报率为+0.45%。如果两周内额外的 9 个基点表现对您来说足够令人兴奋，那么圣诞老人对华尔街来说确实很好。</blockquote> The same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.<blockquote>苹果股票及其投资者就不是这样了。在过去三十年左右的时间里，AAPL 的平均两周回报率为 +1.22%。然而，在圣诞老人到来之前的两周里，回报率却惨淡：平均亏损-1.33%。</blockquote> This observation is consistent with the idea that&nbsp;the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.<blockquote>这一观察结果与假期期间苹果股票往往季节性疲软的观点一致。自2007年推出iPhone以来，12月只是苹果股票今年表现第九好的月份。</blockquote> The most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.<blockquote>最有可能的理由是：投资者可能会在 9 月份推出最新 iPhone 机型和黑色星期五等重大催化剂之前买入 AAPL。在假日购物周期间，投资者 “抛售消息”，抛售了部分 AAPL 股票。</blockquote> What next for AAPL?<blockquote>AAPL的下一步是什么？</blockquote> If Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.<blockquote>如果苹果投资者觉得自己被排除在圣诞老人的名单之外，他们应该对接下来会发生什么更加兴奋。自20世纪90年代初以来，苹果股票在圣诞节后的两周内平均涨幅为+4.83%，远高于平均水平。这可能是传统上沉闷的圣诞老人表演的反弹效应。见下图。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bca749b86e2d2be63accff7a531f64\" tg-width=\"893\" tg-height=\"456\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.<blockquote>图2：AAPL和SPDR标普500指数ETF圣诞节前和圣诞节后两周的回报。</blockquote> Something similar happens to the S&amp;P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.<blockquote>类似的情况也发生在标普500身上，尽管程度不同：圣诞节后0.80%的平均涨幅往往好于圣诞老人集会产生的涨幅。</blockquote> In the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.<blockquote>在接下来的几个交易日里，苹果股票和大盘的表现是否会像往年一样好？我们将在年底假期期间持续监控价格走势，以找出答案。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-what-happens-after-the-santa-claus-rally","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151032995","content_text":"Santa Claus rally? Apple investors have reasons to be more excited about what comes next. Here is what the data suggests might happen to AAPL share price in the next two weeks.\nSanta Claus almost skipped Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 dipped 3.5% between December 15 and 20, putting into question the year-end rally that some expected to see. But quickly, bullishness came flooding back, as the index jumped 4% in only three days.\nFigure 1: Apple's Watch, iPhone and iPad in a Christmas theme.\nIf the “Santa Claus rally” is real, what happens after the Christmas holiday is over? And more importantly for the Apple Maven: which way will Apple stock head next?\nIs Santa Claus real?\nThe first question to ask is whether the Santa Claus rally is even evident in the data, or simply a myth. Do stocks really tend to spike ahead of December 24?\nThere are a few different ways to approach this one. I looked first at the S&P 500’s performance over any two-week period since the early 1990s. Then, I compared my findings against the market returns in the two weeks that precede the Christmas break.\nIt turns out that yes, the S&P 500 has historically performed better during the pre-holiday period — but only minimally: average two week return of +0.54% vs. the year-round average of +0.45%. If an extra 9 basis points of performance in two weeks seems exciting enough to you, then sure, Santa Claus has been good to Wall Street.\nThe same thing can not be said of Apple stock and its investors. For the past three decades or so, AAPL has produced outstanding average two-week returns of +1.22%. However, in the two weeks preceding Santa’s arrival, returns have been dismal: an average loss of -1.33%.\nThis observation is consistent with the idea that the holiday period tends to be seasonally weak for Apple shares. December has only been the ninth best month of performance for Apple stock in the year since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007.\nThe most likely rationale: investors probably buy into AAPL before the big catalysts, namely the launch of the newest iPhone model in September and Black Friday. During the holiday shopping weeks, investors “sell the news” and shed some of their AAPL holdings.\nWhat next for AAPL?\nIf Apple investors feel left out of Santa’s list, they should be more excited about what comes next. Since the early 1990s, Apple stock has produced an average gain of +4.83% in the two weeks following Christmas, which is well above average. This is probably a rebound effect from the traditionally dull, pre-Santa performance. See chart below.\nFigure 2: Pre-Santa and Post-Santa two week Returns in AAPL and SPY.\nSomething similar happens to the S&P 500, although not to the same extent: the average post-Christmas gains of 0.80% tend to be better than those produced by the Santa rally.\nIn the next few trading days, will Apple stock and the broad market perform as well as they have in prior years? We will keep monitoring price action through the year-end holiday to find out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7120428,"gmtCreate":1640617639277,"gmtModify":1640617639376,"authorId":3575980094521663,"author":{"id":3575980094521663,"idStr":"3575980094521663","authorId":3575980094521663,"name":"Bluem","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ea0046117889d9c87b13a313a480e69","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":696316834,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"okkk","text":"okkk","html":"okkk"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":79,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}