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特斯拉加入标普会涨多少

刺客夜行2020-11-17

今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。 SP500 market cap 29 Trillion TELSA market cap 400 Billion 400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX 那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX? 4.6 trillion are ...

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森焱鑫洋
·2020-11-17
这文章思路清晰
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乱涨乱跌全靠搏
·2020-11-17
如果要炒，多少都可能，不可限量
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SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"TSLA","symbol_name":"特斯拉","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg","article_id":"1150558758","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/f76b3cc53dd60ecb6eab407da188d689"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150558758","pubTimestamp":1605601786,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"lsy1605601741946","name":"刺客夜行"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"今天$特斯拉$宣布加入标普。我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。盘后现在特斯拉收在462。如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"translate_title":"How much will Tesla rise when it joins S&P","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e75ddcc89239edbdd6f2eacf17ff6a8","symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9},"content_text":"今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。\n我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。\nSP500 market cap 29 Trillion\nTELSA market cap 400 Billion\n400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are indexed\n11.2 trillion are indexed + benchmarked\nindex不管特斯拉价格多少，必须买\nbenchmarked大多也会买，但是有一定自由度\n这两个我们可以看成上涨空间的上下边界\n4.6 trillion indexed，乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多16%\n11.2 trillion indexed + benchmark, 乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多39%\n所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。换算成dollar, 大概股价在473-566之间。\n盘后现在特斯拉收在462。差不多接近上涨区间的下边界。\n下面我们来考虑其他变量。\n1.\n对于index funds，根本不考虑价格是多少，over valued还是under 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shares会更少些。\n综上，最差情况涨到473，目前已经差不多到了。我想明天开盘一定在这个数之上。最好情况理论值566，加入其他变量。我觉得会在600-700之间。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":307481596,"gmtCreate":1605622258315,"gmtModify":1703838624585,"author":{"id":"3443259955812259","authorId":"3443259955812259","name":"森焱鑫洋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/357b7a5fb495989a98ac3bdd933533b7","vip":2,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3443259955812259","authorIdStr":"3443259955812259"},"htmlText":"这文章思路清晰","listText":"这文章思路清晰","text":"这文章思路清晰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307481596","repostId":1150558758,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150558758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1605601786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150558758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-17 16:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉加入标普会涨多少","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150558758","media":"刺客夜行","summary":"今天$特斯拉$宣布加入标普。我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。盘后现在特斯拉收在462。如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。","content":"<p>今天<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>宣布加入标普。12/21加入。</p>\n<p>我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。</p>\n<p>SP500 market cap&nbsp;29 Trillion</p>\n<p>TELSA market cap&nbsp;400 Billion</p>\n<p>400/ 29000=&nbsp;1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX</p>\n<p>那么有多少fund是indexed&nbsp;or benchmarked to SPX?</p>\n<p>4.6 trillion are&nbsp;indexed</p>\n<p>11.2 trillion&nbsp;are indexed&nbsp;+&nbsp;benchmarked</p>\n<p>index不管特斯拉价格多少，必须买</p>\n<p>benchmarked大多也会买，但是有一定自由度</p>\n<p>这两个我们可以看成上涨空间的上下边界</p>\n<p>4.6 trillion indexed，乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多16%</p>\n<p>11.2 trillion indexed + benchmark,&nbsp;乘以1.38%，除以400&nbsp;billion,&nbsp;差不多39%</p>\n<p>所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。换算成dollar, 大概股价在473-566之间。</p>\n<p>盘后现在特斯拉收在462。差不多接近上涨区间的下边界。</p>\n<p>下面我们来考虑其他变量。</p>\n<p>1.</p>\n<p>对于index funds，根本不考虑价格是多少，over valued还是under valued，只要在index里面，就按权重直接买，造成的结果是，盘子越大的股票，要买的越多。</p>\n<p>如果下个月21号前，Tesla的涨幅比标普要大，换句话讲未来一个月特斯拉如果outperform SPX，越outperform，那么权重就会越大，买盘就越大，造成特斯拉的涨幅更大。正向循环。</p>\n<p>如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。</p>\n<p>2.</p>\n<p>12/18正好是今年最后四巫日。Option到期。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。</p>\n<p>3.</p>\n<p>另外还有index rebalance，其他的index也会考虑。</p>\n<p>4.</p>\n<p>别忘了还有好些short的人。所以事实上available for purchase的oustanding shares会更少些。</p>\n<p>综上，最差情况涨到473，目前已经差不多到了。我想明天开盘一定在这个数之上。最好情况理论值566，加入其他变量。我觉得会在600-700之间。</p>","source":"lsy1605601741946","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉加入标普会涨多少\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-17 16:29 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg><strong>刺客夜行</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。\n我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。\nSP500 market cap 29 Trillion\nTELSA market cap 400 Billion\n400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f76b3cc53dd60ecb6eab407da188d689","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150558758","content_text":"今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。\n我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。\nSP500 market cap 29 Trillion\nTELSA market cap 400 Billion\n400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are indexed\n11.2 trillion are indexed + benchmarked\nindex不管特斯拉价格多少，必须买\nbenchmarked大多也会买，但是有一定自由度\n这两个我们可以看成上涨空间的上下边界\n4.6 trillion indexed，乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多16%\n11.2 trillion indexed + benchmark, 乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多39%\n所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。换算成dollar, 大概股价在473-566之间。\n盘后现在特斯拉收在462。差不多接近上涨区间的下边界。\n下面我们来考虑其他变量。\n1.\n对于index funds，根本不考虑价格是多少，over valued还是under valued，只要在index里面，就按权重直接买，造成的结果是，盘子越大的股票，要买的越多。\n如果下个月21号前，Tesla的涨幅比标普要大，换句话讲未来一个月特斯拉如果outperform SPX，越outperform，那么权重就会越大，买盘就越大，造成特斯拉的涨幅更大。正向循环。\n如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。\n2.\n12/18正好是今年最后四巫日。Option到期。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。\n3.\n另外还有index rebalance，其他的index也会考虑。\n4.\n别忘了还有好些short的人。所以事实上available for purchase的oustanding shares会更少些。\n综上，最差情况涨到473，目前已经差不多到了。我想明天开盘一定在这个数之上。最好情况理论值566，加入其他变量。我觉得会在600-700之间。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":307564139,"gmtCreate":1605602499521,"gmtModify":1703838500870,"author":{"id":"3463446769405484","authorId":"3463446769405484","name":"乱涨乱跌 全靠搏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4872d62b52bc24d392619a9db00f4808","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463446769405484","authorIdStr":"3463446769405484"},"htmlText":"如果要炒，多少都可能，不可限量","listText":"如果要炒，多少都可能，不可限量","text":"如果要炒，多少都可能，不可限量","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307564139","repostId":1150558758,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1150558758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1605601786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150558758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-17 16:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉加入标普会涨多少","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150558758","media":"刺客夜行","summary":"今天$特斯拉$宣布加入标普。我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。盘后现在特斯拉收在462。如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。","content":"<p>今天<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>宣布加入标普。12/21加入。</p>\n<p>我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。</p>\n<p>SP500 market cap&nbsp;29 Trillion</p>\n<p>TELSA market cap&nbsp;400 Billion</p>\n<p>400/ 29000=&nbsp;1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX</p>\n<p>那么有多少fund是indexed&nbsp;or benchmarked to SPX?</p>\n<p>4.6 trillion are&nbsp;indexed</p>\n<p>11.2 trillion&nbsp;are indexed&nbsp;+&nbsp;benchmarked</p>\n<p>index不管特斯拉价格多少，必须买</p>\n<p>benchmarked大多也会买，但是有一定自由度</p>\n<p>这两个我们可以看成上涨空间的上下边界</p>\n<p>4.6 trillion indexed，乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多16%</p>\n<p>11.2 trillion indexed + benchmark,&nbsp;乘以1.38%，除以400&nbsp;billion,&nbsp;差不多39%</p>\n<p>所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。换算成dollar, 大概股价在473-566之间。</p>\n<p>盘后现在特斯拉收在462。差不多接近上涨区间的下边界。</p>\n<p>下面我们来考虑其他变量。</p>\n<p>1.</p>\n<p>对于index funds，根本不考虑价格是多少，over valued还是under valued，只要在index里面，就按权重直接买，造成的结果是，盘子越大的股票，要买的越多。</p>\n<p>如果下个月21号前，Tesla的涨幅比标普要大，换句话讲未来一个月特斯拉如果outperform SPX，越outperform，那么权重就会越大，买盘就越大，造成特斯拉的涨幅更大。正向循环。</p>\n<p>如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。</p>\n<p>2.</p>\n<p>12/18正好是今年最后四巫日。Option到期。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。</p>\n<p>3.</p>\n<p>另外还有index rebalance，其他的index也会考虑。</p>\n<p>4.</p>\n<p>别忘了还有好些short的人。所以事实上available for purchase的oustanding shares会更少些。</p>\n<p>综上，最差情况涨到473，目前已经差不多到了。我想明天开盘一定在这个数之上。最好情况理论值566，加入其他变量。我觉得会在600-700之间。</p>","source":"lsy1605601741946","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉加入标普会涨多少</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉加入标普会涨多少\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-17 16:29 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg><strong>刺客夜行</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。\n我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。\nSP500 market cap 29 Trillion\nTELSA market cap 400 Billion\n400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f76b3cc53dd60ecb6eab407da188d689","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Q_NYIugSMAebDgi027vEDg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150558758","content_text":"今天特斯拉宣布加入标普。12/21加入。\n我们来做个小学生数学题，算算特斯拉会涨多少。\nSP500 market cap 29 Trillion\nTELSA market cap 400 Billion\n400/ 29000= 1.38% 特斯拉会占1.38% of SPX\n那么有多少fund是indexed or benchmarked to SPX?\n4.6 trillion are indexed\n11.2 trillion are indexed + benchmarked\nindex不管特斯拉价格多少，必须买\nbenchmarked大多也会买，但是有一定自由度\n这两个我们可以看成上涨空间的上下边界\n4.6 trillion indexed，乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多16%\n11.2 trillion indexed + benchmark, 乘以1.38%，除以400 billion, 差不多39%\n所以如果其他一切是定量，加入标普仅index and benchmark funds的买入会让特斯拉涨16-39%。换算成dollar, 大概股价在473-566之间。\n盘后现在特斯拉收在462。差不多接近上涨区间的下边界。\n下面我们来考虑其他变量。\n1.\n对于index funds，根本不考虑价格是多少，over valued还是under valued，只要在index里面，就按权重直接买，造成的结果是，盘子越大的股票，要买的越多。\n如果下个月21号前，Tesla的涨幅比标普要大，换句话讲未来一个月特斯拉如果outperform SPX，越outperform，那么权重就会越大，买盘就越大，造成特斯拉的涨幅更大。正向循环。\n如果未来一个月SPX跌，特斯拉涨，那么涨幅可能远不止39%。\n2.\n12/18正好是今年最后四巫日。Option到期。特斯拉股价可能会因为option trading被pin在某些数值，涨幅可能不连续，到时候跳跃式上涨。\n3.\n另外还有index rebalance，其他的index也会考虑。\n4.\n别忘了还有好些short的人。所以事实上available for purchase的oustanding shares会更少些。\n综上，最差情况涨到473，目前已经差不多到了。我想明天开盘一定在这个数之上。最好情况理论值566，加入其他变量。我觉得会在600-700之间。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":2,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}