《大空头》原型连发警告：恶性通胀已酝酿十年_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

《大空头》原型连发警告：恶性通胀已酝酿十年

腾讯美股2021-02-22

周末，美国著名投资人、电影《大空头》原型布里就一个主题在社交平台上连续发文多条，警告的主题就是——恶性通货膨胀。布里连珠炮一样地引述了大量《财富的消亡》原文，有心者不难看出，文中描述的魏玛德国，与今日的美国颇有众多神似。“人们都说我上次没有警告他们，但事实是我警告了，却没有人听。因此，我这次要立此存照。我现在依然在警告，依然没有人听，但是我至少留下了证据。”周末，美国著名投资人、电影《大空头》原型...

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Fred_6810
·2021-02-27
空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。
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jianguang
·2021-02-24
啊弥陀佛
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2
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琴心明月
·2021-02-23
货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事
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1
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虎生虎虎虎生威
·2021-02-23
如我所同
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1
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Ray_L
·2021-02-23
德国是因为一战赔款。
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易多多
·2021-02-23
吃不到葡萄说葡萄酸
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2
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猛逃
·2021-02-23
这次经济糟糕是🦠的原因，如果抗病毒🦠有效，经济会很快恢复[财迷]
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- allenz回复猛逃:
  现在的股市行情已经脱离经济基本面了，上涨主要是由于大水漫灌钱没地方去。
  2021-02-23
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- 猛逃:
  经济恢复好了，还怕股市崩盘吗[疑问]
  2021-02-23
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- allenz:
  我倒是觉得，疫情期间全世界各国都疯狂放水，尤其是美国，🦠真控制住了肯定会升息缩表，那时候股市估计直接被带崩。
  2021-02-23
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Ancientones
·2021-02-23
这人后面的话没说出来，战争不远了
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7
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AliciaLing
·2021-02-23
善意提醒
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3
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- Miaw:
  Noted
  2021-02-23
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马甲
·2021-02-23
正确的废话，就和你要死一样。谁不知道你要死啊
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5
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啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦啦
·2021-02-23
所以全仓比特币
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3
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喵喵喵喵喵喵喵喵喵喵喵
·2021-02-23
没听过债多不愁，愁的是债主吗
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4
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飞天老鼠
·2021-02-23
点赞
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六朝何事
·2021-02-23
厉害
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Snakekiller
·2021-02-23
没啥事干，路过看看，看完给赞
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1
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ZackFu
·2021-02-23
就等正真崩盘的那一刻才知晓了
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AKBAR
·2021-02-23
其实大家都知道会崩的大家都以为自己在崩盘之前会跑掉的
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- 杨优秀财神附体:
  是的
  2021-02-23
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popcorn_lin
·2021-02-23
德国马克当年的地位能和如今的美元相比？德马印的多都是他自己国内在消化，美元呢？全球在帮他消化好不啦，美元如果通胀，那全球通胀程度只能比美国还大，谁都别想独善其身，大家还想不想美国还债？想就必须帮美元撑着这面旗不倒。美国就是看到这一点才无限量的宽松和印钱，这也是美元霸权给到美国的福利和优势。那任何历史时期的任何国家都没法和当今社会比。任何一次泡沫破裂有他的相似性，但绝对是不可重复的。现在空头们的预言，无非是在他们抛售股票造成恐慌时更多听过他们预言心有余悸的人们跟风抛售股票从而造成抢到众人推的效应，这才是空头们是不是出来喊泡沫破裂的根本原因。试想如果泡沫不破哪有空头们霍利的空间，所以他们巴不得破裂，破裂的越惨越好，怎么会好心来提醒人们，所以他们的初衷就是矛盾的，还要听他们的？
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22
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- 蘑菇回来了:
  666
  2021-03-30
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Money），而布里这次就在社交平台上推荐了这部著作。布里最近在许多问题上都有发言，颇为忙碌，比如他指责Robinhood、看好铀等等，但是他依然要抽出时间来强调这一点，建议大家都了解一下魏玛德国，尤其是其恶性通货膨胀的历史，并且连续发文“盖楼”，显然是有着明确的用意的。以下就是当日时间周日晚间，布里的连续发文。“美国政府正在以其带有现代货币理论色彩的政策创造通货膨胀。债务对国内生产总值比率高企，M2货币供应量增长，而零售销售额和采购经理人指数却依然在V形复苏中。数以万亿计的刺激资金，加上经济的重启，都将推动需求猛增，导致劳动力和供应链成本升破天际。”接下来，布里连珠炮一样地引述了大量《财富的消亡》原文，有心者不难看出，文中描述的魏玛德国，与今日的美国颇有众多神似。“通货膨胀到了成熟阶段，就会形成一场悖论，拥有自己显而易见，绝不会被弄错的各种特质。其中之一就是巨大的财富，至少那些受到青睐的人会暴富。一夜之间，横财从天而降……城市里到处都游荡着漫无目的的，放纵的青年人。”“德国价格稳定，企业和股市都一派繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率一段时间内其实是上扬的，在全球大通胀的前夜，马克甚至曾经短暂居于最强势货币的位置。”“与财富比肩而立的，是穷人空空如也的口袋。许多人依然被排斥在宽松货币的圈子之外，他们虽然也希望雨露均沾，但是却不得其门而入。犯罪率在飞涨。”“通观整个时代，可以看到大众的心情其实是日趋低落的，他们被推动着一路狂奔，到了喘不上气的地步，却看不到有什么明确的目标，这让他们感到疲惫和厌倦，与此同时，目睹着自己辛辛苦苦爬上的地位正在滑落，而别人却变得暴富，这更让他们感到深深的恐惧。”“几乎任何一种企业都能够赚钱，倒闭和破产的案例数量微乎其微。这场繁荣打断了企业正常的物竞天择进程，使得那些本该被淘汰的二三流的，效率低下的企业也得以存活下来。”“投机虽然并不能使得德国的总财富有任何的增加，却成为了最活跃的生意之一。几乎每一个阶层都满心狂热，想要加入进去。包括电梯司机在内，每个人都成为了市场玩家。”“柏林证券交易所的交易周转率如此之高，以至于金融行业的簿记工作都跟不上了……交易所被迫每周关闭若干天，来处理积压订单。”“1922年夏季，世界上全部流通的马克大约有1900亿，而到了1923年11月，1900亿马克已经不够购买一份报纸或者一张电车票了。这是总崩溃看上去最惊人的部分，不过金钱财富损失的主体，发生的时间其实还要早得多。”“这些年来，整个结构一直在静静地向着总崩溃的方向自我建构。德国的通货膨胀周期不是持续了一年，而是整整九年，前面八年都是酝酿，只有一年是总崩溃。”布里的结论是，美国的2010年到2021年，也完全可能是同样的“酝酿期”，余下的问题只是：总崩溃何时来到？","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":366344668,"gmtCreate":1614400515654,"gmtModify":1703477315779,"author":{"id":"3563140991934227","authorId":"3563140991934227","name":"Fred_6810","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbe236f23155302a4dcecbf04d2e9040","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","listText":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","text":"空投一直没挣钱💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰，急死了，可以了解。就是小便不懂。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366344668","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":363156540,"gmtCreate":1614116500280,"gmtModify":1634551145098,"author":{"id":"3561947625505294","authorId":"3561947625505294","name":"jianguang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba8bad94c928a5789228b91d99514252","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"啊弥陀佛","listText":"啊弥陀佛","text":"啊弥陀佛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363156540","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":363905512,"gmtCreate":1614089071136,"gmtModify":1614089071136,"author":{"id":"3540178508833738","authorId":"3540178508833738","name":"琴心明月","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8be11f6998268cdacf558edeba359e9e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","listText":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","text":"货币如此放水，恶性通胀早晚的事","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363905512","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369436582,"gmtCreate":1614069136146,"gmtModify":1614069136146,"author":{"id":"3510917629190397","authorId":"3510917629190397","name":"虎生虎虎虎生威","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1df047cf2d32363b74197d7132bc65d3","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"如我所同","listText":"如我所同","text":"如我所同","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369436582","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369497203,"gmtCreate":1614068362202,"gmtModify":1614068362202,"author":{"id":"3538118824474638","authorId":"3538118824474638","name":"Ray_L","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68d164dae1e6bea40740b3c2782924f9","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"德国是因为一战赔款。","listText":"德国是因为一战赔款。","text":"德国是因为一战赔款。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369497203","repostId":1140389351,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":369409538,"gmtCreate":1614066209924,"gmtModify":1614066209924,"author":{"id":"3531263342349168","authorId":"3531263342349168","name":"易多多","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/020b341bbbd12c250acf2c37c08b7450","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/717a877921e5ed88700305c37737450d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"吃不到葡萄说葡萄酸","listText":"吃不到葡萄说葡萄酸","text":"吃不到葡萄说葡萄酸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8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