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2021-11-26

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Fear, Not Calculated Trading, Is Behind Today’s Covid Market Crash<blockquote>今天新冠市场崩盘的背后是恐惧，而不是经过计算的交易</blockquote>

Gathering over Thanksgiving may have lulled many into feeling that the pandemic is over. Looking at

Fear, Not Calculated Trading, Is Behind Today’s Covid Market Crash<blockquote>今天新冠市场崩盘的背后是恐惧，而不是经过计算的交易</blockquote>

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Looking at ","content":"Gathering over Thanksgiving may have lulled many into feeling that the pandemic is over. Looking at the stock market today will shatter that illusion.<blockquote>感恩节聚会可能会让许多人觉得疫情已经结束。看看今天的股市，这种幻想就会破灭。</blockquote> Concerns around a new, heavily-mutated variant of Covid-19 identified in South Africa have rocked investor confidence. Stocks are plunging around the world, oil prices are dropping, bond yields are sliding—even Bitcoin is feeling the heat. There is a broad reversion to frenzied, theme-based trading. Vaccine stocks and pandemic plays like Zoom are surging while airline stocks are falling.<blockquote>对在南非发现的一种新的、严重突变的Covid-19变种的担忧动摇了投资者的信心。全球股市暴跌，油价下跌，债券收益率下滑——就连比特币也感受到了压力。疯狂的、基于主题的交易普遍回归。疫苗股和Zoom等流行病股正在飙升，而航空股却在下跌。</blockquote> What we are seeing is fear and uncertainty. Sell first, ask questions later. And low trading volumes globally due to the Thanksgiving holiday is likely exacerbating volatility.<blockquote>我们看到的是恐惧和不确定性。先卖，后问问题。感恩节假期导致的全球交易量低迷可能会加剧波动。</blockquote> What we are not seeing is markets intelligently pricing in the impact of this new development. Scientific experts have yet to draw conclusions about the mutation, known for now as B.1.1.529, and there are less than 100 confirmed cases.<blockquote>我们没有看到市场对这一新发展的影响进行明智的定价。科学专家尚未对目前被称为B.1.1.529的突变得出结论，确诊病例不到100例。</blockquote> That’s not to say fear is misplaced. Early indications are that B.1.1.529 is significantly different from other variants, and, truly, the worst case scenario is that it’s more deadly, contagious, and vaccine-resistant than what we’ve already faced.<blockquote>这并不是说恐惧是错误的。早期迹象表明，B.1.1.529与其他变种有很大不同，事实上，最糟糕的情况是它比我们已经面临的更具致命性、传染性和疫苗耐药性。</blockquote> But we don’t know that yet. Similar market shockwaves caused by the Delta variant over the summer eventually subsided. Though it led to a surge in cases around the world, modern science was able to tackle it and move on. Hopefully the same can be said of this variant.<blockquote>但我们还不知道。夏季德尔塔变异毒株引发的类似市场冲击波最终平息。尽管它导致了世界各地病例的激增，但现代科学能够解决它并继续前进。希望这种变体也是如此。</blockquote> But for now investors will have to put up with heightened uncertainty—the markets’ worst enemy.<blockquote>但目前投资者将不得不忍受不确定性的加剧——这是市场最大的敌人。</blockquote>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fear, Not Calculated Trading, Is Behind Today’s Covid Market Crash<blockquote>今天新冠市场崩盘的背后是恐惧，而不是经过计算的交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFear, Not Calculated Trading, Is Behind Today’s Covid Market Crash<blockquote>今天新冠市场崩盘的背后是恐惧，而不是经过计算的交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nBarrons2021-11-26 20:17\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nGathering over Thanksgiving may have lulled many into feeling that the pandemic is over. Looking at the stock market today will shatter that illusion.<blockquote>感恩节聚会可能会让许多人觉得疫情已经结束。看看今天的股市，这种幻想就会破灭。</blockquote> Concerns around a new, heavily-mutated variant of Covid-19 identified in South Africa have rocked investor confidence. Stocks are plunging around the world, oil prices are dropping, bond yields are sliding—even Bitcoin is feeling the heat. There is a broad reversion to frenzied, theme-based trading. Vaccine stocks and pandemic plays like Zoom are surging while airline stocks are falling.<blockquote>对在南非发现的一种新的、严重突变的Covid-19变种的担忧动摇了投资者的信心。全球股市暴跌，油价下跌，债券收益率下滑——就连比特币也感受到了压力。疯狂的、基于主题的交易普遍回归。疫苗股和Zoom等流行病股正在飙升，而航空股却在下跌。</blockquote> What we are seeing is fear and uncertainty. Sell first, ask questions later. And low trading volumes globally due to the Thanksgiving holiday is likely exacerbating volatility.<blockquote>我们看到的是恐惧和不确定性。先卖，后问问题。感恩节假期导致的全球交易量低迷可能会加剧波动。</blockquote> What we are not seeing is markets intelligently pricing in the impact of this new development. Scientific experts have yet to draw conclusions about the mutation, known for now as B.1.1.529, and there are less than 100 confirmed cases.<blockquote>我们没有看到市场对这一新发展的影响进行明智的定价。科学专家尚未对目前被称为B.1.1.529的突变得出结论，确诊病例不到100例。</blockquote> That’s not to say fear is misplaced. Early indications are that B.1.1.529 is significantly different from other variants, and, truly, the worst case scenario is that it’s more deadly, contagious, and vaccine-resistant than what we’ve already faced.<blockquote>这并不是说恐惧是错误的。早期迹象表明，B.1.1.529与其他变种有很大不同，事实上，最糟糕的情况是它比我们已经面临的更具致命性、传染性和疫苗耐药性。</blockquote> But we don’t know that yet. Similar market shockwaves caused by the Delta variant over the summer eventually subsided. Though it led to a surge in cases around the world, modern science was able to tackle it and move on. 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Early indications are that B.1.1.529 is significantly different from other variants, and, truly, the worst case scenario is that it’s more deadly, contagious, and vaccine-resistant than what we’ve already faced.\nBut we don’t know that yet. Similar market shockwaves caused by the Delta variant over the summer eventually subsided. Though it led to a surge in cases around the world, modern science was able to tackle it and move on. 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Fear, Not Calculated Trading, Is Behind Today’s Covid Market Crash<blockquote>今天新冠市场崩盘的背后是恐惧，而不是经过计算的交易</blockquote>

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