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2021-11-04

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Apple Stock: It's Inching Toward All-Time Highs. What Will November Bring?<blockquote>苹果股票：它正在慢慢走向历史高点。11月会带来什么？</blockquote>

With only two months to go in 2021, Apple stock has just breached $150 in share price, and it inches

Apple Stock: It's Inching Toward All-Time Highs. What Will November Bring?<blockquote>苹果股票：它正在慢慢走向历史高点。11月会带来什么？</blockquote>

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What Will November Bring?<blockquote>苹果股票：它正在慢慢走向历史高点。11月会带来什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166681038","media":"TheStreet","summary":"With only two months to go in 2021, Apple stock has just breached $150 in share price, and it inches","content":"With only two months to go in 2021, Apple stock&nbsp;has just breached $150 in share price, and it inches toward all-time highs once again. Today, the Apple Maven talks about what investors should expect of AAPL in November. Is now a good time to hold shares, or should investors look for opportunities elsewhere?<blockquote>距离2021年仅剩两个月，苹果股价刚刚突破150美元，并再次逼近历史高点。今天，这位苹果专家谈论了投资者对11月份AAPL的预期。现在是持股的好时机，还是投资者应该到别处寻找机会？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.<blockquote>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</blockquote> Thinking long term first<blockquote>首先考虑长远</blockquote> When it comes to AAPL, it is&nbsp;not a secret that I care much more&nbsp;about the long-term prospects than about the short-term trade opportunity. From this perspective, I continue to think that AAPL is a good stock to own at next-year earnings multiples of 26 times that I find modest, given strong fundamentals.<blockquote>说到AAPL，众所周知，我更关心长期前景而不是短期交易机会。从这个角度来看，我仍然认为AAPL是一只值得持有的好股票，考虑到强劲的基本面，明年的市盈率为26倍，我认为这个市盈率并不大。</blockquote> To be clear,investors did not seem too happy&nbsp;about Apple’s recent revenue miss – a rarity over the past five years at least. The infamous global supply chain issues of 2021 prevented the Cupertino company from realizing $6 billion in revenues, also putting at risk the results of the crucial holiday quarter.<blockquote>需要明确的是，投资者似乎对苹果最近的营收下滑不太满意——至少在过去五年中是罕见的。2021年臭名昭著的全球供应链问题阻止了这家库比蒂诺公司实现60亿美元的收入，也使关键的假日季度的业绩面临风险。</blockquote> But under the hood, and aside from temporary procurement and logistics challenges, Apple seems to be doing quite well. CEO Tim Cook reemphasized high demand for Apple’s products and services, which he characterized as “enthusiastic”.Average prices for devices&nbsp;seem to be high, and margins remain healthy.<blockquote>但在幕后，除了暂时的采购和物流挑战之外，苹果似乎做得相当好。首席执行官蒂姆·库克再次强调了对苹果产品和服务的高需求，他将其描述为“热情”。设备的平均价格似乎很高，利润率仍然健康。</blockquote> Therefore, buying an arguably great stock at a slight discount to the early September all-time high seems sensible to me.<blockquote>因此，以比9月初历史高点略有折扣的价格购买一只可以说很棒的股票对我来说似乎是明智的。</blockquote> Seasonality is unfavorable<blockquote>季节性不利</blockquote> To answer the question of timing, however, one must consider short term factors. From a seasonality perspective, November is about as bad a month to buy AAPL, as the chart below suggests.<blockquote>然而，要回答时机问题，必须考虑短期因素。从季节性角度来看，11月是购买AAPL的糟糕月份，如下图所示。</blockquote> Since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007, Apple stock has produced an average loss of -0.2% in the second-to-last month of the year. Worse yet, the losses have widened to nearly -2% in December and January combined. This is probably the result of sell-the-news pressures, following the launch of the newest iPhone in the fall and amid the busy holiday shopping weeks.<blockquote>自2007年iPhone推出以来，苹果股票在当年倒数第二个月的平均跌幅为-0.2%。更糟糕的是，12月和1月的损失合计已扩大至近-2%。这可能是秋季最新iPhone发布后以及繁忙的假日购物周期间抛售新闻压力的结果。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d445e7006af8b9873ba75d03c839fa4\" tg-width=\"668\" tg-height=\"349\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.<blockquote>图2：自iPhone推出以来AAPL的平均月回报率。</blockquote> In fact, the holiday season could play an important role in how Apple stock performs in November. Revenue expectations have probably been set lower, given the supply chain disruptions that the management team warned about during the earnings call. Keep an eye on&nbsp;official&nbsp;monthly retail sales data and online shopping&nbsp;reports&nbsp;to see how well consumer product companies perform in Q4.<blockquote>事实上，假期可能会对苹果股票11月份的表现发挥重要作用。考虑到管理团队在财报看涨期权期间警告的供应链中断，收入预期可能会降低。关注官方月度零售销售数据和在线购物报告，了解消费品公司在第四季度的表现如何。</blockquote> What the technicals say<blockquote>技术人员怎么说</blockquote> From a technical (i.e. chart-reading) perspective, the signals seem to be mixed. The first graph below shows that Apple stock currently trades just above its 50-day and 150-day moving averages, suggesting that a bit of positive momentum has started to build since right before earnings. Also, share price has consistently found support at the longer-term moving average, which is currently $140.<blockquote>从技术（即图表阅读）的角度来看，信号似乎是喜忧参半的。下面的第一张图显示，苹果股票目前的交易价格略高于50日和150日移动平均线，这表明自财报发布前以来，一些积极的势头已经开始形成。此外，股价一直在长期移动平均线处找到支撑，目前为140美元。</blockquote> On the other hand, shares have been trading largely sideways within a narrow price band of $140 and $157 since the start of Q2, and the stock has yet to breach to the upside. Also, any potential bullishness of late has not been backed up by much volume. In fact, average number of shares traded recently has dipped to pre-COVID bear levels once again (second chart below).<blockquote>另一方面，自第二季度初以来，该股基本上一直在140美元至157美元的窄幅价格区间内横盘整理，尚未突破上行空间。此外，最近任何潜在的看涨情绪都没有得到太多成交量的支持。事实上，最近交易的平均股票数量已再次降至新冠疫情熊市前的水平（下图第二张）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24486ab543e6413994d549ee698bea49\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL price chart and trading volume.<blockquote>图2：AAPL价格图表和交易量。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: It's Inching Toward All-Time Highs. What Will November Bring?<blockquote>苹果股票：它正在慢慢走向历史高点。11月会带来什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: It's Inching Toward All-Time Highs. What Will November Bring?<blockquote>苹果股票：它正在慢慢走向历史高点。11月会带来什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-11-04 15:00\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nWith only two months to go in 2021, Apple stock&nbsp;has just breached $150 in share price, and it inches toward all-time highs once again. Today, the Apple Maven talks about what investors should expect of AAPL in November. Is now a good time to hold shares, or should investors look for opportunities elsewhere?<blockquote>距离2021年仅剩两个月，苹果股价刚刚突破150美元，并再次逼近历史高点。今天，这位苹果专家谈论了投资者对11月份AAPL的预期。现在是持股的好时机，还是投资者应该到别处寻找机会？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.<blockquote>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</blockquote> Thinking long term first<blockquote>首先考虑长远</blockquote> When it comes to AAPL, it is&nbsp;not a secret that I care much more&nbsp;about the long-term prospects than about the short-term trade opportunity. From this perspective, I continue to think that AAPL is a good stock to own at next-year earnings multiples of 26 times that I find modest, given strong fundamentals.<blockquote>说到AAPL，众所周知，我更关心长期前景而不是短期交易机会。从这个角度来看，我仍然认为AAPL是一只值得持有的好股票，考虑到强劲的基本面，明年的市盈率为26倍，我认为这个市盈率并不大。</blockquote> To be clear,investors did not seem too happy&nbsp;about Apple’s recent revenue miss – a rarity over the past five years at least. The infamous global supply chain issues of 2021 prevented the Cupertino company from realizing $6 billion in revenues, also putting at risk the results of the crucial holiday quarter.<blockquote>需要明确的是，投资者似乎对苹果最近的营收下滑不太满意——至少在过去五年中是罕见的。2021年臭名昭著的全球供应链问题阻止了这家库比蒂诺公司实现60亿美元的收入，也使关键的假日季度的业绩面临风险。</blockquote> But under the hood, and aside from temporary procurement and logistics challenges, Apple seems to be doing quite well. CEO Tim Cook reemphasized high demand for Apple’s products and services, which he characterized as “enthusiastic”.Average prices for devices&nbsp;seem to be high, and margins remain healthy.<blockquote>但在幕后，除了暂时的采购和物流挑战之外，苹果似乎做得相当好。首席执行官蒂姆·库克再次强调了对苹果产品和服务的高需求，他将其描述为“热情”。设备的平均价格似乎很高，利润率仍然健康。</blockquote> Therefore, buying an arguably great stock at a slight discount to the early September all-time high seems sensible to me.<blockquote>因此，以比9月初历史高点略有折扣的价格购买一只可以说很棒的股票对我来说似乎是明智的。</blockquote> Seasonality is unfavorable<blockquote>季节性不利</blockquote> To answer the question of timing, however, one must consider short term factors. From a seasonality perspective, November is about as bad a month to buy AAPL, as the chart below suggests.<blockquote>然而，要回答时机问题，必须考虑短期因素。从季节性角度来看，11月是购买AAPL的糟糕月份，如下图所示。</blockquote> Since the launch of the iPhone, in 2007, Apple stock has produced an average loss of -0.2% in the second-to-last month of the year. Worse yet, the losses have widened to nearly -2% in December and January combined. This is probably the result of sell-the-news pressures, following the launch of the newest iPhone in the fall and amid the busy holiday shopping weeks.<blockquote>自2007年iPhone推出以来，苹果股票在当年倒数第二个月的平均跌幅为-0.2%。更糟糕的是，12月和1月的损失合计已扩大至近-2%。这可能是秋季最新iPhone发布后以及繁忙的假日购物周期间抛售新闻压力的结果。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d445e7006af8b9873ba75d03c839fa4\" tg-width=\"668\" tg-height=\"349\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.<blockquote>图2：自iPhone推出以来AAPL的平均月回报率。</blockquote> In fact, the holiday season could play an important role in how Apple stock performs in November. Revenue expectations have probably been set lower, given the supply chain disruptions that the management team warned about during the earnings call. Keep an eye on&nbsp;official&nbsp;monthly retail sales data and online shopping&nbsp;reports&nbsp;to see how well consumer product companies perform in Q4.<blockquote>事实上，假期可能会对苹果股票11月份的表现发挥重要作用。考虑到管理团队在财报看涨期权期间警告的供应链中断，收入预期可能会降低。关注官方月度零售销售数据和在线购物报告，了解消费品公司在第四季度的表现如何。</blockquote> What the technicals say<blockquote>技术人员怎么说</blockquote> From a technical (i.e. chart-reading) perspective, the signals seem to be mixed. The first graph below shows that Apple stock currently trades just above its 50-day and 150-day moving averages, suggesting that a bit of positive momentum has started to build since right before earnings. Also, share price has consistently found support at the longer-term moving average, which is currently $140.<blockquote>从技术（即图表阅读）的角度来看，信号似乎是喜忧参半的。下面的第一张图显示，苹果股票目前的交易价格略高于50日和150日移动平均线，这表明自财报发布前以来，一些积极的势头已经开始形成。此外，股价一直在长期移动平均线处找到支撑，目前为140美元。</blockquote> On the other hand, shares have been trading largely sideways within a narrow price band of $140 and $157 since the start of Q2, and the stock has yet to breach to the upside. Also, any potential bullishness of late has not been backed up by much volume. In fact, average number of shares traded recently has dipped to pre-COVID bear levels once again (second chart below).<blockquote>另一方面，自第二季度初以来，该股基本上一直在140美元至157美元的窄幅价格区间内横盘整理，尚未突破上行空间。此外，最近任何潜在的看涨情绪都没有得到太多成交量的支持。事实上，最近交易的平均股票数量已再次降至新冠疫情熊市前的水平（下图第二张）。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24486ab543e6413994d549ee698bea49\" tg-width=\"738\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Figure 2: AAPL price chart and trading volume.<blockquote>图2：AAPL价格图表和交易量。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/what-to-expect-of-apple-stock-in-november\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/what-to-expect-of-apple-stock-in-november","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166681038","content_text":"With only two months to go in 2021, Apple stock has just breached $150 in share price, and it inches toward all-time highs once again. Today, the Apple Maven talks about what investors should expect of AAPL in November. Is now a good time to hold shares, or should investors look for opportunities elsewhere?\nFigure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.\nThinking long term first\nWhen it comes to AAPL, it is not a secret that I care much more about the long-term prospects than about the short-term trade opportunity. From this perspective, I continue to think that AAPL is a good stock to own at next-year earnings multiples of 26 times that I find modest, given strong fundamentals.\nTo be clear,investors did not seem too happy about Apple’s recent revenue miss – a rarity over the past five years at least. The infamous global supply chain issues of 2021 prevented the Cupertino company from realizing $6 billion in revenues, also putting at risk the results of the crucial holiday quarter.\nBut under the hood, and aside from temporary procurement and logistics challenges, Apple seems to be doing quite well. CEO Tim Cook reemphasized high demand for Apple’s products and services, which he characterized as “enthusiastic”.Average prices for devices seem to be high, and margins remain healthy.\nTherefore, buying an arguably great stock at a slight discount to the early September all-time high seems sensible to me.\nSeasonality is unfavorable\nTo answer the question of timing, however, one must consider short term factors. From a seasonality perspective, November is about as bad a month to buy AAPL, as the chart below suggests.\nSince the launch of the iPhone, in 2007, Apple stock has produced an average loss of -0.2% in the second-to-last month of the year. Worse yet, the losses have widened to nearly -2% in December and January combined. This is probably the result of sell-the-news pressures, following the launch of the newest iPhone in the fall and amid the busy holiday shopping weeks.\nFigure 2: AAPL average monthly return since iPhone launch.\nIn fact, the holiday season could play an important role in how Apple stock performs in November. Revenue expectations have probably been set lower, given the supply chain disruptions that the management team warned about during the earnings call. Keep an eye on official monthly retail sales data and online shopping reports to see how well consumer product companies perform in Q4.\nWhat the technicals say\nFrom a technical (i.e. chart-reading) perspective, the signals seem to be mixed. The first graph below shows that Apple stock currently trades just above its 50-day and 150-day moving averages, suggesting that a bit of positive momentum has started to build since right before earnings. Also, share price has consistently found support at the longer-term moving average, which is currently $140.\nOn the other hand, shares have been trading largely sideways within a narrow price band of $140 and $157 since the start of Q2, and the stock has yet to breach to the upside. Also, any potential bullishness of late has not been backed up by much volume. In fact, average number of shares traded recently has dipped to pre-COVID bear levels once again (second chart below).\nFigure 2: AAPL price chart and trading volume.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1929,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}