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2021-10-08

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‘I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from here,’ says stock-market legend, but U.S. stocks could rise in 2022 if earnings are good<blockquote>股市传奇人物表示，“我认为这里没有太大上涨空间”，但如果盈利良好，美国股市可能会在2022年上涨</blockquote>

It seems like the bulls are back in charge on Wall Street, but legendary investor Byron Wien says th

‘I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from here,’ says stock-market legend, but U.S. stocks could rise in 2022 if earnings are good<blockquote>股市传奇人物表示，“我认为这里没有太大上涨空间”，但如果盈利良好，美国股市可能会在2022年上涨</blockquote>

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He said that he is forecasting that the S&amp;P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.<blockquote>维恩告诉商业网络：“我不认为……比当前水平高出多少价值，”他表示，他预测标普500全年每股收益(EPS)将为225美元，并预测2022年可能为250美元，这可能会鼓励明年更多的购买。FactSet数据显示，2021年每股收益为199美元，预计2022年每股收益为218美元。</blockquote> Meanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.<blockquote>与此同时，Wien估计，10年期国债收益率为2%对于政府债务来说是合理的，但他表示，如果收益率升至3%以上，可能会对华尔街的冒险行为造成打击。</blockquote> But for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.<blockquote>但就目前而言，这位经验丰富的投资者认为市场会断断续续地走高。</blockquote> “A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”<blockquote>“从这里我们将看到适度的上升，”维恩说。他表示，“20%（回报）的岁月已经过去了”。</blockquote> His comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.<blockquote>他发表此番言论之前，股市以明显的负面情绪拉开了10月份第一个完整周的序幕，这让人们对股市能否维持看涨态势产生了怀疑，但迄今为止却出现了反弹。</blockquote> The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.<blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数本周迄今上涨1.3%，标普500指数上涨1%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.6%，此前科技股指数周一下跌2.1%，较9月7日创下历史新高。</blockquote> Wien has been annually offering up&nbsp;a list of potential surprises&nbsp;for decades now.<blockquote>几十年来，维也纳每年都会提供一份潜在惊喜的清单。</blockquote> The Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.<blockquote>这位黑石高管周四还对CNBC表示，市场正在发出信号，认为债务上限问题最终会自行解决，但他个人对拜登政府领导下的“挥霍支出”感到担忧，他担心这可能会增加预算赤字。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from here,’ says stock-market legend, but U.S. stocks could rise in 2022 if earnings are good<blockquote>股市传奇人物表示，“我认为这里没有太大上涨空间”，但如果盈利良好，美国股市可能会在2022年上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-10-08 07:37\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nIt seems like the bulls are back in charge on Wall Street, but legendary investor Byron Wien says that buyers shouldn’t get too euphoric.<blockquote>多头似乎重新掌控了华尔街，但传奇投资者拜伦·维恩表示，买家不应该过于兴奋。</blockquote> In a CNBC interview on Thursday, the legendary investor and Blackstone vice chairman of private wealth solutions cautioned that the upside might be limited for the U.S. stock market from here.<blockquote>这位传奇投资者兼黑石私人财富解决方案副主席周四在接受CNBC采访时警告称，美国股市的上涨空间可能有限。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1fa79c4abd6f1cae76b767cd8dae3a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Byron Wien, vice chairman at Blackstone Bloomberg<blockquote>Byron Wien，Blackstone Bloomberg副主席</blockquote> “I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from…not a lot more value than current levels,” Wien told the business network. He said that he is forecasting that the S&amp;P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.<blockquote>维恩告诉商业网络：“我不认为……比当前水平高出多少价值，”他表示，他预测标普500全年每股收益(EPS)将为225美元，并预测2022年可能为250美元，这可能会鼓励明年更多的购买。FactSet数据显示，2021年每股收益为199美元，预计2022年每股收益为218美元。</blockquote> Meanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.<blockquote>与此同时，Wien估计，10年期国债收益率为2%对于政府债务来说是合理的，但他表示，如果收益率升至3%以上，可能会对华尔街的冒险行为造成打击。</blockquote> But for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.<blockquote>但就目前而言，这位经验丰富的投资者认为市场会断断续续地走高。</blockquote> “A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”<blockquote>“从这里我们将看到适度的上升，”维恩说。他表示，“20%（回报）的岁月已经过去了”。</blockquote> His comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.<blockquote>他发表此番言论之前，股市以明显的负面情绪拉开了10月份第一个完整周的序幕，这让人们对股市能否维持看涨态势产生了怀疑，但迄今为止却出现了反弹。</blockquote> The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.<blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数本周迄今上涨1.3%，标普500指数上涨1%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.6%，此前科技股指数周一下跌2.1%，较9月7日创下历史新高。</blockquote> Wien has been annually offering up&nbsp;a list of potential surprises&nbsp;for decades now.<blockquote>几十年来，维也纳每年都会提供一份潜在惊喜的清单。</blockquote> The Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.<blockquote>这位黑石高管周四还对CNBC表示，市场正在发出信号，认为债务上限问题最终会自行解决，但他个人对拜登政府领导下的“挥霍支出”感到担忧，他担心这可能会增加预算赤字。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/i-dont-think-theres-a-lot-of-upside-from-here-says-stock-market-legend-but-u-s-stocks-could-rise-in-2022-if-earnings-are-good-11633638350?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/i-dont-think-theres-a-lot-of-upside-from-here-says-stock-market-legend-but-u-s-stocks-could-rise-in-2022-if-earnings-are-good-11633638350?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157122773","content_text":"It seems like the bulls are back in charge on Wall Street, but legendary investor Byron Wien says that buyers shouldn’t get too euphoric.\nIn a CNBC interview on Thursday, the legendary investor and Blackstone vice chairman of private wealth solutions cautioned that the upside might be limited for the U.S. stock market from here.\nByron Wien, vice chairman at Blackstone Bloomberg\n“I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from…not a lot more value than current levels,” Wien told the business network. He said that he is forecasting that the S&P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.\nMeanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.\nBut for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.\n“A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”\nHis comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&P 500 index has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.\nWien has been annually offering up a list of potential surprises for decades now.\nThe Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1368,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}