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2022-02-26

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Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125 美元的油价明显存在风险</blockquote>

Russia's invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top com

Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125 美元的油价明显存在风险</blockquote>

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Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,&#34; Currie said in a new research note.<blockquote>“我们认为，在快速升级局势的不确定性得到解决之前，大宗商品价格风险仍将偏向上行，进一步升级可能会导致欧洲天然气、小麦、玉米和石油价格从已经升高的水平走高。至关重要的是，面对这些供应担忧，如果全球市场需要在 2022 年夏季之前实现平衡，而不是我们目前的 2023 年夏季基准情况，我们认为原油价格将明显达到 125 美元/桶，因为我们认为，世界各地都需要破坏石油需求，以推动全球石油市场更快地再平衡，”库里在一份新的研究报告中表示。</blockquote>Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a &#34;super spike&#34; in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.<blockquote>柯里本周早些时候告诉雅虎财经直播，在地缘政治混乱中，不能排除大宗商品价格“超级飙升”的可能性。他建议投资者投资石油、铜和铝。</blockquote>To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的局势升级，这就是他们本周所做的。</blockquote>Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world&#39;s third-largest producer of oil.<blockquote>随着俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，布伦特原油价格周四飙升至每桶 105 美元，引发人们对随着西方加强制裁，俄罗斯产量将停止的担忧。俄罗斯是世界第三大石油生产国。</blockquote>Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.<blockquote>周四，欧洲天然气价格飙升两位数。</blockquote>Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.<blockquote>随着全球市场风险情绪趋于稳定，布伦特原油价格周五上午回落至每桶 98 美元。</blockquote>Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.<blockquote>与此同时，黄金、小麦和玉米等领域的价格持续上涨，加剧了全球经济衰退风险。</blockquote>Adds Currie on oil, &#34;While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.&#34;<blockquote>柯里补充道，“虽然近期价格结果的范围很广，但我们长期的看涨投资不足论点在很大程度上完好无损，并因这些事件而得到强化。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ukraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125 美元的油价明显存在风险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUkraine-Russia Crisis: $125 Oil Is a Clear Risk, Says Goldman Sachs<blockquote>乌克兰-俄罗斯危机：高盛表示，125 美元的油价明显存在风险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nReuters2022-02-25 19:48\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>Russia&#39;s invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top commodities strategist Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs on Friday.<blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛首席大宗商品策略师杰弗里·柯里周五警告称，俄罗斯入侵乌克兰可能会导致油价远高于当前水平。</body></html></blockquote>&#34;In our view, until the uncertainty around the rapidly escalating situation is resolved, commodity price risk remains skewed to the upside, with further escalation likely to send European natural gas, wheat, corn and oil prices higher from already-elevated levels. Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,&#34; Currie said in a new research note.<blockquote>“我们认为，在快速升级局势的不确定性得到解决之前，大宗商品价格风险仍将偏向上行，进一步升级可能会导致欧洲天然气、小麦、玉米和石油价格从已经升高的水平走高。至关重要的是，面对这些供应担忧，如果全球市场需要在 2022 年夏季之前实现平衡，而不是我们目前的 2023 年夏季基准情况，我们认为原油价格将明显达到 125 美元/桶，因为我们认为，世界各地都需要破坏石油需求，以推动全球石油市场更快地再平衡，”库里在一份新的研究报告中表示。</blockquote>Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a &#34;super spike&#34; in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.<blockquote>柯里本周早些时候告诉雅虎财经直播，在地缘政治混乱中，不能排除大宗商品价格“超级飙升”的可能性。他建议投资者投资石油、铜和铝。</blockquote>To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.<blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的局势升级，这就是他们本周所做的。</blockquote>Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world&#39;s third-largest producer of oil.<blockquote>随着俄罗斯入侵乌克兰，布伦特原油价格周四飙升至每桶 105 美元，引发人们对随着西方加强制裁，俄罗斯产量将停止的担忧。俄罗斯是世界第三大石油生产国。</blockquote>Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.<blockquote>周四，欧洲天然气价格飙升两位数。</blockquote>Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.<blockquote>随着全球市场风险情绪趋于稳定，布伦特原油价格周五上午回落至每桶 98 美元。</blockquote>Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.<blockquote>与此同时，黄金、小麦和玉米等领域的价格持续上涨，加剧了全球经济衰退风险。</blockquote>Adds Currie on oil, &#34;While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.&#34;<blockquote>柯里补充道，“虽然近期价格结果的范围很广，但我们长期的看涨投资不足论点在很大程度上完好无损，并因这些事件而得到强化。”</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-russia-crisis-125-oil-is-a-clear-risk-warns-goldman-114032293.html\">Reuters</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-russia-crisis-125-oil-is-a-clear-risk-warns-goldman-114032293.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152219361","content_text":"Russia's invasion of Ukraine risks sending oil prices far higher than current levels, warned top commodities strategist Jeffrey Currie at Goldman Sachs on Friday.\"In our view, until the uncertainty around the rapidly escalating situation is resolved, commodity price risk remains skewed to the upside, with further escalation likely to send European natural gas, wheat, corn and oil prices higher from already-elevated levels. Crucially, we see a clear risk of $125/bbl in crude should the global market need to balance by summer 2022, as opposed to our current summer 2023 base case, in the face of these supply concerns, as we believe oil demand destruction would be required around the world to drive the faster rebalancing in global oil markets,\" Currie said in a new research note.Currie told Yahoo Finance Live earlier in the week a \"super spike\" in commodities prices must not be ruled out amid the geopolitical chaos. He recommends investors have exposure to oil, copper and aluminum.To be sure, that is what they have done this week as the situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated.Brent crude oil prices popped to $105 a barrel on Thursday as Russia invaded Ukraine, sparking concern production from Russia would stop as the West ramps up sanctions. Russia is the world's third-largest producer of oil.Natural gas prices surged by double-digit percentages in Europe Thursday.Prices for Brent crude fell back to $98 a barrel Friday morning as risk sentiment in global markets stabilized.Meanwhile, price rallies have persisted in areas such as gold, wheat, and corn, ratcheting up recession risk around the world.Adds Currie on oil, \"While the range of near-term price outcomes is wide, our longer-term, bullish underinvestment thesis is very much intact and reinforced by these events.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3021,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["OMG"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}