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domibest
domibest
·
12-06 08:39
$IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT$
买一个彩票
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1
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domibest
domibest
·
11-27
看戏
$英伟达(NVDA)$
“大空头 vs 英伟达”论战继续!“大空头”逐条反驳英伟达回应:不敢相信这来自全球市值最高公司
“大空头”Burry称,英伟达回应其批评的内部备忘录“读起来像个骗局”,充斥着“稻草人论证”。他直言“没人在意英伟达自己的折旧”,真正的危机在于其客户因技术加速迭代而面临的巨额资产减记风险,焦点是未来的风险。Burry表示“继续持有英伟达和Palantir的看跌期权”,每个头寸约1000万美元。
“大空头 vs 英伟达”论战继续!“大空头”逐条反驳英伟达回应:不敢相信这来自全球市值最高公司
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domibest
domibest
·
11-20
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$
别人走在涨,就你不一样,畜生啊![难过]
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4
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3
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domibest
domibest
·
11-14
$SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$
买在人声鼎沸处。高处不胜寒,瑟瑟发抖
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328
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domibest
domibest
·
11-14
$Red Cat Holdings Inc. 备兑 251114 CALL 11.0$
没时间做不了短线,把投机变成了投资。短线拉成长线[难过]
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domibest
domibest
·
11-12
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$
加仓加仓
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1
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domibest
domibest
·
11-12
$Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF(CWVX)$
这个ETF不能做,直接吃钱的,涨的比例还没正股的多,跌的又比正股翻倍还多,妥妥的吃钱。
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domibest
domibest
·
11-07
$Red Cat Holdings Inc.(RCAT)$
腰斩了,这市场怎么了?
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domibest
domibest
·
11-06
$多邻国(DUOL)$
补了两次仓了,不会再跌了吧!
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domibest
domibest
·
11-01
$Strive(ASST)$
行权买入,拿住,不像bynd那样,放飞了。
$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT\">$IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT$</a> 买一个彩票","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT\">$IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT$</a> 买一个彩票","text":"$IRBT 20260320 1.0 PUT$ 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","text":"看戏$英伟达(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504585276212080","repostId":"2586294677","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2586294677","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1764207802,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2586294677?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-27 09:43","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"“大空头 vs 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left;\">这一最新表态,是Burry近期一系列针对人工智能行业泡沫警告的延续。此前,他已通过社交平台X表达了对AI股票处于泡沫中的看法。而此轮交锋的直接后果是,市场对AI相关公司的审视愈发严苛,英伟达股价已从11月3日的高点回落约14%,显示出投资者情绪的微妙变化。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry在文章中透露,他目前“继续持有针对Palantir和英伟达的看跌期权”。这证实了他并未平仓此前的做空押注,直接向市场传递了他对这两家AI明星公司前景的看空信号。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2336ccbb250e291ea34a12ff01481e0b\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_1326633677\" style=\"text-align: left;\">“稻草人”式辩驳?</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry的核心反驳点在于,他认为英伟达的备忘录曲解了他的批评,攻击了一些他从未提出过的论点。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>首先,Burry指出,他从未质疑过英伟达自身的固定资产(PP&E)折旧政策。</strong>他强调,英伟达主要是一家芯片设计公司,资本支出极小,因此“没人在意英伟达自己的折旧”。他认为英伟达在此问题上的辩解是第一个“被烧掉的稻草人”。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>其次,对于英伟达声称其老一代芯片仍在被使用的说法,Burry同样不以为然。他澄清,自己关注的焦点是未来,即新款芯片可能在2026年至2028年间就变得功能性过时。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">“我向前看,因为我看到了与今天投资者相关的问题,”他写道,并称这是“第二个被烧掉的稻草人”。Burry总结称,英伟达的反驳“表面上不真诚,且令人失望”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/454ee30f236f0a7572547e99baf21afd\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"897\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_172314286\" style=\"text-align: left;\">争论核心:折旧、泡沫与未来减记风险</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry此次论战的核心,直指人工智能公司的会计处理方式,<strong>特别是其客户——那些斥巨资购买AI芯片的“超大规模数据中心”(hyperscalers)——的折旧政策。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他解释说,这些公司正在系统性地延长芯片和服务器的“使用年限”,以便在会计上分摊折旧成本。例如,将折旧期从三年延长至五或六年,可以在短期内美化利润、提高资产账面价值。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">然而,Burry警告,这种做法的风险在于,AI芯片的技术迭代速度极快。他引用微软首席执行官Satya Nadella最近的访谈作为佐证,Nadella表示,他今年早些时候放慢了数据中心的建设速度,正是因为警惕为一代AI芯片过度建设基础设施,因为下一代芯片将有不同的电力和冷却需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry认为,如果芯片的“计划性淘汰”速度加快,那些延长了折旧周期的公司未来将面临巨大的资产减记风险。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d21a130fc600655ad9fae219c18f898\" tg-width=\"470\" tg-height=\"888\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2623422897\" style=\"text-align: left;\">做空头寸细节与市场背景</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry此次不仅重申了看空立场,还披露了其头寸的更多细节。根据其资产管理公司Scion Asset Management在11月3日提交的文件,该公司在9月底持有对英伟达和Palantir的看跌期权。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry在最新的文章中澄清,<strong>尽管这些头寸的名义价值高达11亿美元,但它们的实际成本“每个仅约1000万美元”</strong>。这一细节为投资者评估其押注的真实规模提供了更准确的视角。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这场论战的背景是,市场对人工智能的热情在今年将相关公司股价推至历史高位。然而,自11月初以来,随着财报季的展开和类似Burry等知名投资者的警告,市场的担忧情绪开始浮现。除英伟达外,Palantir的股价也已从近期高点下跌了20%,尽管其年初至今的涨幅依然惊人。Burry的持续发声,无疑为这场关于AI是革命还是泡沫的辩论增添了更多不确定性。</p><h2 id=\"id_2843242110\" style=\"text-align: left;\">英伟达的内部备忘录</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">面对股价压力和市场疑虑,此前英伟达采取了一系列罕见的防御性沟通。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达在上周末向华尔街分析师分发了一份长达七页的备忘录,旨在“逐条”反驳包括“大空头”Burry)在内的批评者所提出的会计欺诈、循环融资和AI泡沫等指控。备忘录澄清:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>会计处理: </strong>英伟达强调其业务在经济上是稳健的,报告是完整和透明的,与历史上的会计欺诈案没有可比性。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>设备折旧:</strong> 针对AI芯片寿命仅2-3年的指责,英伟达回应称,其客户通常将GPU的折旧年限设为4至6年,这符合设备的实际使用寿命。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>循环融资: </strong>对于该指控,英伟达澄清其在第三季度的战略投资仅为37亿美元,占营收的一小部分,所谓循环融资的说法“毫无根据”。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外,英伟达11月25日通过社交平台X公开宣称:“英伟达目前领先行业一代——我们是唯一一个可以运行所有AI模型、并在各种计算场景中通用的平台。”公司强调,其GPU相比谷歌TPU这类ASIC芯片,能提供“更高的性能、多功能性和互换性”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“大空头 vs 英伟达”论战继续!“大空头”逐条反驳英伟达回应:不敢相信这来自全球市值最高公司</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“大空头 vs 英伟达”论战继续!“大空头”逐条反驳英伟达回应:不敢相信这来自全球市值最高公司\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-27 09:43 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760215><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“大空头”Burry称,英伟达回应其批评的内部备忘录“读起来像个骗局”,充斥着“稻草人论证”。他直言“没人在意英伟达自己的折旧”,真正的危机在于其客户因技术加速迭代而面临的巨额资产减记风险,焦点是未来的风险。Burry表示“继续持有英伟达和Palantir的看跌期权”,每个头寸约1000万美元。“大空头”和英伟达之间的回合战正在升级。《大空头》电影原型Michael Burry再度将矛头指向英伟达...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760215\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a60a3ba26580255646010c2173aae1c0","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760215","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2586294677","content_text":"“大空头”Burry称,英伟达回应其批评的内部备忘录“读起来像个骗局”,充斥着“稻草人论证”。他直言“没人在意英伟达自己的折旧”,真正的危机在于其客户因技术加速迭代而面临的巨额资产减记风险,焦点是未来的风险。Burry表示“继续持有英伟达和Palantir的看跌期权”,每个头寸约1000万美元。“大空头”和英伟达之间的回合战正在升级。《大空头》电影原型Michael Burry再度将矛头指向英伟达,称其为回应自己批评而向华尔街分析师分发的一份内部备忘录“令人失望”,并充斥着“一个接一个的稻草人论证”。11月26日周二,Burry在其新开设的Substack博客平台发文写道,自己“不敢相信”这些回应出自全球市值最高的上市公司之手,并称该文件“读起来几乎像个骗局”。这一最新表态,是Burry近期一系列针对人工智能行业泡沫警告的延续。此前,他已通过社交平台X表达了对AI股票处于泡沫中的看法。而此轮交锋的直接后果是,市场对AI相关公司的审视愈发严苛,英伟达股价已从11月3日的高点回落约14%,显示出投资者情绪的微妙变化。Burry在文章中透露,他目前“继续持有针对Palantir和英伟达的看跌期权”。这证实了他并未平仓此前的做空押注,直接向市场传递了他对这两家AI明星公司前景的看空信号。“稻草人”式辩驳?Burry的核心反驳点在于,他认为英伟达的备忘录曲解了他的批评,攻击了一些他从未提出过的论点。首先,Burry指出,他从未质疑过英伟达自身的固定资产(PP&E)折旧政策。他强调,英伟达主要是一家芯片设计公司,资本支出极小,因此“没人在意英伟达自己的折旧”。他认为英伟达在此问题上的辩解是第一个“被烧掉的稻草人”。其次,对于英伟达声称其老一代芯片仍在被使用的说法,Burry同样不以为然。他澄清,自己关注的焦点是未来,即新款芯片可能在2026年至2028年间就变得功能性过时。“我向前看,因为我看到了与今天投资者相关的问题,”他写道,并称这是“第二个被烧掉的稻草人”。Burry总结称,英伟达的反驳“表面上不真诚,且令人失望”。争论核心:折旧、泡沫与未来减记风险Burry此次论战的核心,直指人工智能公司的会计处理方式,特别是其客户——那些斥巨资购买AI芯片的“超大规模数据中心”(hyperscalers)——的折旧政策。他解释说,这些公司正在系统性地延长芯片和服务器的“使用年限”,以便在会计上分摊折旧成本。例如,将折旧期从三年延长至五或六年,可以在短期内美化利润、提高资产账面价值。然而,Burry警告,这种做法的风险在于,AI芯片的技术迭代速度极快。他引用微软首席执行官Satya Nadella最近的访谈作为佐证,Nadella表示,他今年早些时候放慢了数据中心的建设速度,正是因为警惕为一代AI芯片过度建设基础设施,因为下一代芯片将有不同的电力和冷却需求。Burry认为,如果芯片的“计划性淘汰”速度加快,那些延长了折旧周期的公司未来将面临巨大的资产减记风险。做空头寸细节与市场背景Burry此次不仅重申了看空立场,还披露了其头寸的更多细节。根据其资产管理公司Scion Asset Management在11月3日提交的文件,该公司在9月底持有对英伟达和Palantir的看跌期权。Burry在最新的文章中澄清,尽管这些头寸的名义价值高达11亿美元,但它们的实际成本“每个仅约1000万美元”。这一细节为投资者评估其押注的真实规模提供了更准确的视角。这场论战的背景是,市场对人工智能的热情在今年将相关公司股价推至历史高位。然而,自11月初以来,随着财报季的展开和类似Burry等知名投资者的警告,市场的担忧情绪开始浮现。除英伟达外,Palantir的股价也已从近期高点下跌了20%,尽管其年初至今的涨幅依然惊人。Burry的持续发声,无疑为这场关于AI是革命还是泡沫的辩论增添了更多不确定性。英伟达的内部备忘录面对股价压力和市场疑虑,此前英伟达采取了一系列罕见的防御性沟通。英伟达在上周末向华尔街分析师分发了一份长达七页的备忘录,旨在“逐条”反驳包括“大空头”Burry)在内的批评者所提出的会计欺诈、循环融资和AI泡沫等指控。备忘录澄清:会计处理: 英伟达强调其业务在经济上是稳健的,报告是完整和透明的,与历史上的会计欺诈案没有可比性。设备折旧: 针对AI芯片寿命仅2-3年的指责,英伟达回应称,其客户通常将GPU的折旧年限设为4至6年,这符合设备的实际使用寿命。循环融资: 对于该指控,英伟达澄清其在第三季度的战略投资仅为37亿美元,占营收的一小部分,所谓循环融资的说法“毫无根据”。此外,英伟达11月25日通过社交平台X公开宣称:“英伟达目前领先行业一代——我们是唯一一个可以运行所有AI模型、并在各种计算场景中通用的平台。”公司强调,其GPU相比谷歌TPU这类ASIC芯片,能提供“更高的性能、多功能性和互换性”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":2,"NVDS":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":502299699601544,"gmtCreate":1763650499434,"gmtModify":1763651827862,"author":{"id":"4185760841922922","authorId":"4185760841922922","name":"domibest","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4185760841922922","idStr":"4185760841922922"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$</a> 别人走在涨,就你不一样,畜生啊![难过] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$</a> 别人走在涨,就你不一样,畜生啊![难过] ","text":"$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 别人走在涨,就你不一样,畜生啊![难过]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84890ce2de4b319a57d5f1038f727965","width":"1170","height":"3285"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/502299699601544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4203149510724092","authorId":"4203149510724092","name":"明心稳行","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4203149510724092","idStr":"4203149510724092"},"content":"加密货币都在涨,它还继续大跌,管理层一点也不作为,连个不减持都不敢说,看来就是对公司没信心,所以真不知道这什么时候是个底,买了它真是倒了血霉了","text":"加密货币都在涨,它还继续大跌,管理层一点也不作为,连个不减持都不敢说,看来就是对公司没信心,所以真不知道这什么时候是个底,买了它真是倒了血霉了","html":"加密货币都在涨,它还继续大跌,管理层一点也不作为,连个不减持都不敢说,看来就是对公司没信心,所以真不知道这什么时候是个底,买了它真是倒了血霉了"},{"author":{"id":"4203149510724092","authorId":"4203149510724092","name":"明心稳行","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4203149510724092","idStr":"4203149510724092"},"content":"这管理层就是一群废物","text":"这管理层就是一群废物","html":"这管理层就是一群废物"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":500049332043904,"gmtCreate":1763107866676,"gmtModify":1763107878550,"author":{"id":"4185760841922922","authorId":"4185760841922922","name":"domibest","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4185760841922922","idStr":"4185760841922922"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAES\">$SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$ </a> 买在人声鼎沸处。高处不胜寒,瑟瑟发抖","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAES\">$SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$ </a> 买在人声鼎沸处。高处不胜寒,瑟瑟发抖","text":"$SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$ 买在人声鼎沸处。高处不胜寒,瑟瑟发抖","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d122810a1302534839229cd653a3821","width":"972","height":"1631"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/500049332043904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":500048218346320,"gmtCreate":1763107804643,"gmtModify":1763107808466,"author":{"id":"4185760841922922","authorId":"4185760841922922","name":"domibest","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4185760841922922","idStr":"4185760841922922"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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