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- 吕忠昊吕忠昊
  ·03-12 18:45
  黄金某种角度和远古时期的贝壳没有区别，玩的是稀缺和共识。古代，随着人类能力的增强，贝壳越来越容易获取，最终崩溃。自从二战以后，人类开采的黄金占据总量的2/3，14万吨左右，现在总量才21万吨，而且一年比一年开采量多，这是因为技术的进步和能源综合成本的下降。所以长远看，黄金的结局和贝壳没有区别。也许几十年内黄金还是价值锚，不过时间拉长到50到100年，它的通胀会很高，所以我认为极度稀缺又去中心化的资产，最终会取代黄金成为新的价值锚。
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