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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-30
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,216 评论
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-29
  Lets see
  These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst<blockquote>分析师：这3个指标可能预测2022年股市的表现</blockquote>
  Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun. The "Santa Claus Rally
  These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst<blockquote>分析师：这3个指标可能预测2022年股市的表现</blockquote>
  2,794 评论
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-29
  👍
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,475 评论
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-28
  It looks cheap but .....
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-27
  Ok
  The stock market hasn't been this stomach-churning in December since 2018. Here's the set-up for the year's final week.<blockquote>自2018年以来，12月股市从未如此令人反胃。这是今年最后一周的安排。</blockquote>
  What started out as a lump of coal turned into a gift for bullish investors: a record for the S&P 50
  The stock market hasn't been this stomach-churning in December since 2018. Here's the set-up for the year's final week.<blockquote>自2018年以来，12月股市从未如此令人反胃。这是今年最后一周的安排。</blockquote>
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-25
  👍
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-25
  👍
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,948 评论
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-24
  Nice
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-24
  Nice👍
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- AetherCAetherC
  ·2021-12-23
  Ok
  5 Reasons Apple Stock Can Trade Higher From Here<blockquote>苹果股票可以从这里走高的5个原因</blockquote>
  Over the last two years,Apple stock has rallied an extraordinary 141%, driving the company’s market
  5 Reasons Apple Stock Can Trade Higher From Here<blockquote>苹果股票可以从这里走高的5个原因</blockquote>
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see","listText":"Lets see","text":"Lets see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696573950","repostId":"1157924593","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1157924593","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640738343,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157924593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-29 08:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst<blockquote>分析师：这3个指标可能预测2022年股市的表现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157924593","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.\nThe \"Santa Claus Rally","content":"<p>Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.</p><p><blockquote>圣诞节可能已经结束，但对于投资者来说，礼物可能才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> The \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high for the second consecutive day on Tuesday,subsequently falling&nbsp;a bit in light of a small midday tech stock sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>“圣诞老人集会”看起来会让2021年成为股市的高潮。标普500(^GSPC)周二连续第二天创下历史新高，随后因午盘科技股小幅抛售而小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>‘Ho, ho ho’, stocks on the rise?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“嗬，嗬嗬”，股票在上涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> The last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year together are often the biggest week of the year for the market. The 1.2% average growth in the S&amp;P 500 over the period since 1945 is the largest of any seven-day period.</p><p><blockquote>一年的最后五个交易日和下一年的前两个交易日加在一起，往往是市场一年中最大的一周。自1945年以来，标普500 1.2%的平均增长率是任何七天期间最大的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c54ea712b8fce648fa682efa965a15a\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A trader wears a Santa hat as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the day before Christmas in New York December 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2015年12月24日，圣诞节前一天，纽约，一名交易员戴着圣诞帽在纽约证券交易所工作。路透社/卢卡斯·杰克逊</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Why do these days perform so well historically?Animal spirits, as the 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes might put it, have a lot to do with the Santa Clause Rally.</p><p><blockquote>为什么这些日子在历史上表现如此出色？正如20世纪经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯可能会说的那样，动物精神与圣诞老人集会有很大关系。</blockquote></p><p> “It's [the result of] sentiment,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, on the causes of the rally. “Because [investors know that] if the market does well in the month of January, then it usually does well for the full year. But if we find that a lot of money has flowed into the markets, right off the bat, then the indication is that it's likely to be a very good year.”</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall在谈到上涨原因时表示：“这是情绪的结果。”“因为（投资者知道）如果市场在一月份表现良好，那么全年通常都会表现良好。但如果我们发现大量资金立即流入市场，那么有迹象表明今年可能是非常好的一年。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors anticipate that the period is coming, and that equity prices are about to rise, so they are more likely to invest money to earn higher returns, Stovall explained.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔解释说，投资者预计这一时期即将到来，股价即将上涨，因此他们更有可能投资以获得更高的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Though the sentiments behind the Santa Clause Rally may appear to be begging-the-question, there is nothing mythical about its results.</p><p><blockquote>尽管圣诞老人集会背后的情绪似乎是在回避问题，但其结果并没有什么神秘之处。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent research note published by Stovall, years following a Santa Claus Rally period with a price increase, experienced an S&amp;P 500 growth rate of 10.3%, higher than the average rate of 9.2% (since 1945).</p><p><blockquote>根据Stovall最近发布的一份研究报告，在价格上涨的圣诞老人反弹期之后的几年里，标普500增长率为10.3%，高于9.2%的平均增长率（自1945年以来）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>January Barometers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一月晴雨表</b></blockquote></p><p> Two other barometers exist for investors eager to predict the outlook for 2022’s market, both of them involving market performance during the month of January, Stovall wrote. The first five days of January are a great indicator for the rest of the month’s performance.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔写道，对于渴望预测2022年市场前景的投资者来说，还有另外两个晴雨表，这两个晴雨表都涉及1月份的市场表现。一月的前五天是该月剩余时间表现的一个很好的指标。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99e3e7627b845414da42f555bc4db069\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A screen displays a stock update on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2021年12月28日，美国纽约市曼哈顿的纽约证券交易所(NYSE)交易大厅，屏幕显示股票更新。路透社/安德鲁·凯利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> “The first five days offer an early warning signal as to how the market will likely perform during the entire month,” Stovall wrote in the CFRA report. “And it has done so with impressive accuracy, being correct two out of every three years for both up and down signals. What’s more, a positive showing for the equity market during the first five days of January improved the likelihood of an annual price increase by 12.8%, as well as an improvement in the FoA to 82%.”</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔在CFRA报告中写道：“前五天为市场整个月的表现提供了早期预警信号。”“而且它的准确性令人印象深刻，每三年就有两次上涨和下跌信号是正确的。更重要的是，1月份前五天股市的积极表现提高了年度价格上涨的可能性12.8%，FoA提高至82%。”</blockquote></p><p> And as the old Wall Street adage goes, ‘So goes January, so goes the year.’ The third indicator, which Stovall dubbed “the January Barometer,” draws a correlation between the performance of the market in January and the succeeding 11 months.</p><p><blockquote>正如华尔街的一句老话所说，“一月如此，一年也如此。”第三个指标被斯托瓦尔称为“一月晴雨表”，它将1月份的市场表现与随后11个月的表现联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Should the S&amp;P 500 go on to record a positive performance in the entire month of January, it has historically enhanced the possibility of a positive full-year performance, as the average annual price gain rose to 15.9% and the FoA (Frequency of Advance) increased to 87%,” the report noted.</p><p><blockquote>“如果标普500在整个1月份继续录得积极表现，那么从历史上看，全年表现积极的可能性就会增强，因为年均价格涨幅升至15.9%，FoA（提前频率）增加到87%，”报告指出。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest conclusion investors should draw from the barometers is that there is significant enough data to presume a causal relationship between the late December/January market performance and the larger year’s performance, Stovall said.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔表示，投资者应该从晴雨表中得出的最大结论是，有足够重要的数据可以假设12月下旬/1月的市场表现与全年表现之间存在因果关系。</blockquote></p><p> “Not all of the year’s price gains were concentrated in the first month of the year, as a rise for the S&amp;P 500 in January was followed by an average 11.3% climb for the remaining 11 months of the year, with the market posting an 11-month FoA 83% of the time,” he wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>“并非今年的所有价格上涨都集中在今年的第一个月，因为1月份标普500上涨后，今年剩余11个月平均上涨11.3%，市场公布了11个月的FoA 83%的时间，”他在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Though January’s gains appear to set the standard for the rest of the year by setting investor attitudes and expectations, Stovall stressed that these indicators are not guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>尽管1月份的涨幅似乎通过设定投资者的态度和预期为今年剩余时间设定了标准，但斯托瓦尔强调，这些指标并不是保证。</blockquote></p><p> “Investors should always view history as a great guide, but never gospel,” he said. Past performance “gives a pretty strong hint of what might happen, but certainly no guarantee.”</p><p><blockquote>“投资者应该始终将历史视为伟大的指南，但绝不是福音，”他说。过去的表现“很强烈地暗示了可能发生的事情，但肯定不能保证。”</blockquote></p><p> In 2022, the market will likely encounter challenges from the ongoing COVID pandemic as well as high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s attempts to control it.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，市场可能会遇到持续的新冠疫情以及高通胀和美联储控制通胀的努力的挑战。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8c6b1ff968cfd5507f8c17566398310\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NEW YORK, USA - DECEMBER 28: A man is getting a Covid-19 test at a Covid-19 testing center next to the Queens Hospital Center as hundreds of residents line up to get Covid-19 test in Queens of New York, United States on December 28, 2021 as Omicron rises around the country. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)More</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国纽约——12月28日：2021年12月28日，美国纽约皇后区，一名男子正在皇后区医院中心旁边的新冠肺炎检测中心接受新冠肺炎检测，数百名居民排队接受新冠肺炎检测，全国奥密克戎加剧。（摄影：Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency，盖蒂图片社）更多</span></p></blockquote></p><p> “When you think about some of the headwinds that could upset the track record of these different barometers, should they all be triggered,” Stovall said, adding the next COVID variant should be a top concern.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔说：“当你想到一些可能扰乱这些不同晴雨表记录的不利因素时，如果它们都被触发的话。”他补充说，下一个新冠病毒变种应该是最令人担忧的。</blockquote></p><p> The Omicron variant has been the latest strain of the coronavirus to spread throughout&nbsp;all 50 U.S. states. Though recent research suggests that Omicron cases are&nbsp;less severe&nbsp;than previous strains of the virus, it is highly transmissible and has already had an effect on consumer demand insome industries&nbsp;while some remain relatively&nbsp;unaffected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎变种是在美国所有50个州传播的最新冠状病毒株。尽管最近的研究表明，奥密克戎病例没有以前的病毒株严重，但它具有高度传染性，已经对一些行业的消费者需求产生了影响，而另一些行业则相对未受影响。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it intends to raise interest rates in response to high inflation. Many economists expect these rate hikes to begin sometime next year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，美联储明确表示有意加息以应对高通胀。许多经济学家预计这些加息将在明年某个时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> “That's a concern because if the Fed is too aggressive raising rates, that could throw the market into a tailspin,” Stovall said. “Also, historically, we have seen PE multiple contraction in a rising interest rate environment.”</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔表示：“这令人担忧，因为如果美联储过于激进地加息，可能会让市场陷入混乱。”“此外，从历史上看，我们在利率上升的环境下看到PE倍数收缩。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst<blockquote>分析师：这3个指标可能预测2022年股市的表现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 3 Indicators May Predict How the Stock Market Performs in 2022: Analyst<blockquote>分析师：这3个指标可能预测2022年股市的表现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-29 08:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.</p><p><blockquote>圣诞节可能已经结束，但对于投资者来说，礼物可能才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> The \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high for the second consecutive day on Tuesday,subsequently falling&nbsp;a bit in light of a small midday tech stock sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>“圣诞老人集会”看起来会让2021年成为股市的高潮。标普500(^GSPC)周二连续第二天创下历史新高，随后因午盘科技股小幅抛售而小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>‘Ho, ho ho’, stocks on the rise?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“嗬，嗬嗬”，股票在上涨？</b></blockquote></p><p> The last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year together are often the biggest week of the year for the market. The 1.2% average growth in the S&amp;P 500 over the period since 1945 is the largest of any seven-day period.</p><p><blockquote>一年的最后五个交易日和下一年的前两个交易日加在一起，往往是市场一年中最大的一周。自1945年以来，标普500 1.2%的平均增长率是任何七天期间最大的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c54ea712b8fce648fa682efa965a15a\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A trader wears a Santa hat as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the day before Christmas in New York December 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2015年12月24日，圣诞节前一天，纽约，一名交易员戴着圣诞帽在纽约证券交易所工作。路透社/卢卡斯·杰克逊</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Why do these days perform so well historically?Animal spirits, as the 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes might put it, have a lot to do with the Santa Clause Rally.</p><p><blockquote>为什么这些日子在历史上表现如此出色？正如20世纪经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯可能会说的那样，动物精神与圣诞老人集会有很大关系。</blockquote></p><p> “It's [the result of] sentiment,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, on the causes of the rally. “Because [investors know that] if the market does well in the month of January, then it usually does well for the full year. But if we find that a lot of money has flowed into the markets, right off the bat, then the indication is that it's likely to be a very good year.”</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall在谈到上涨原因时表示：“这是情绪的结果。”“因为（投资者知道）如果市场在一月份表现良好，那么全年通常都会表现良好。但如果我们发现大量资金立即流入市场，那么有迹象表明今年可能是非常好的一年。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors anticipate that the period is coming, and that equity prices are about to rise, so they are more likely to invest money to earn higher returns, Stovall explained.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔解释说，投资者预计这一时期即将到来，股价即将上涨，因此他们更有可能投资以获得更高的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Though the sentiments behind the Santa Clause Rally may appear to be begging-the-question, there is nothing mythical about its results.</p><p><blockquote>尽管圣诞老人集会背后的情绪似乎是在回避问题，但其结果并没有什么神秘之处。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent research note published by Stovall, years following a Santa Claus Rally period with a price increase, experienced an S&amp;P 500 growth rate of 10.3%, higher than the average rate of 9.2% (since 1945).</p><p><blockquote>根据Stovall最近发布的一份研究报告，在价格上涨的圣诞老人反弹期之后的几年里，标普500增长率为10.3%，高于9.2%的平均增长率（自1945年以来）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>January Barometers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一月晴雨表</b></blockquote></p><p> Two other barometers exist for investors eager to predict the outlook for 2022’s market, both of them involving market performance during the month of January, Stovall wrote. The first five days of January are a great indicator for the rest of the month’s performance.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔写道，对于渴望预测2022年市场前景的投资者来说，还有另外两个晴雨表，这两个晴雨表都涉及1月份的市场表现。一月的前五天是该月剩余时间表现的一个很好的指标。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99e3e7627b845414da42f555bc4db069\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>A screen displays a stock update on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2021年12月28日，美国纽约市曼哈顿的纽约证券交易所(NYSE)交易大厅，屏幕显示股票更新。路透社/安德鲁·凯利</span></p></blockquote></p><p> “The first five days offer an early warning signal as to how the market will likely perform during the entire month,” Stovall wrote in the CFRA report. “And it has done so with impressive accuracy, being correct two out of every three years for both up and down signals. What’s more, a positive showing for the equity market during the first five days of January improved the likelihood of an annual price increase by 12.8%, as well as an improvement in the FoA to 82%.”</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔在CFRA报告中写道：“前五天为市场整个月的表现提供了早期预警信号。”“而且它的准确性令人印象深刻，每三年就有两次上涨和下跌信号是正确的。更重要的是，1月份前五天股市的积极表现提高了年度价格上涨的可能性12.8%，FoA提高至82%。”</blockquote></p><p> And as the old Wall Street adage goes, ‘So goes January, so goes the year.’ The third indicator, which Stovall dubbed “the January Barometer,” draws a correlation between the performance of the market in January and the succeeding 11 months.</p><p><blockquote>正如华尔街的一句老话所说，“一月如此，一年也如此。”第三个指标被斯托瓦尔称为“一月晴雨表”，它将1月份的市场表现与随后11个月的表现联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Should the S&amp;P 500 go on to record a positive performance in the entire month of January, it has historically enhanced the possibility of a positive full-year performance, as the average annual price gain rose to 15.9% and the FoA (Frequency of Advance) increased to 87%,” the report noted.</p><p><blockquote>“如果标普500在整个1月份继续录得积极表现，那么从历史上看，全年表现积极的可能性就会增强，因为年均价格涨幅升至15.9%，FoA（提前频率）增加到87%，”报告指出。</blockquote></p><p> The biggest conclusion investors should draw from the barometers is that there is significant enough data to presume a causal relationship between the late December/January market performance and the larger year’s performance, Stovall said.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔表示，投资者应该从晴雨表中得出的最大结论是，有足够重要的数据可以假设12月下旬/1月的市场表现与全年表现之间存在因果关系。</blockquote></p><p> “Not all of the year’s price gains were concentrated in the first month of the year, as a rise for the S&amp;P 500 in January was followed by an average 11.3% climb for the remaining 11 months of the year, with the market posting an 11-month FoA 83% of the time,” he wrote in the report.</p><p><blockquote>“并非今年的所有价格上涨都集中在今年的第一个月，因为1月份标普500上涨后，今年剩余11个月平均上涨11.3%，市场公布了11个月的FoA 83%的时间，”他在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Though January’s gains appear to set the standard for the rest of the year by setting investor attitudes and expectations, Stovall stressed that these indicators are not guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>尽管1月份的涨幅似乎通过设定投资者的态度和预期为今年剩余时间设定了标准，但斯托瓦尔强调，这些指标并不是保证。</blockquote></p><p> “Investors should always view history as a great guide, but never gospel,” he said. Past performance “gives a pretty strong hint of what might happen, but certainly no guarantee.”</p><p><blockquote>“投资者应该始终将历史视为伟大的指南，但绝不是福音，”他说。过去的表现“很强烈地暗示了可能发生的事情，但肯定不能保证。”</blockquote></p><p> In 2022, the market will likely encounter challenges from the ongoing COVID pandemic as well as high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s attempts to control it.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，市场可能会遇到持续的新冠疫情以及高通胀和美联储控制通胀的努力的挑战。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8c6b1ff968cfd5507f8c17566398310\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NEW YORK, USA - DECEMBER 28: A man is getting a Covid-19 test at a Covid-19 testing center next to the Queens Hospital Center as hundreds of residents line up to get Covid-19 test in Queens of New York, United States on December 28, 2021 as Omicron rises around the country. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)More</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国纽约——12月28日：2021年12月28日，美国纽约皇后区，一名男子正在皇后区医院中心旁边的新冠肺炎检测中心接受新冠肺炎检测，数百名居民排队接受新冠肺炎检测，全国奥密克戎加剧。（摄影：Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency，盖蒂图片社）更多</span></p></blockquote></p><p> “When you think about some of the headwinds that could upset the track record of these different barometers, should they all be triggered,” Stovall said, adding the next COVID variant should be a top concern.</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔说：“当你想到一些可能扰乱这些不同晴雨表记录的不利因素时，如果它们都被触发的话。”他补充说，下一个新冠病毒变种应该是最令人担忧的。</blockquote></p><p> The Omicron variant has been the latest strain of the coronavirus to spread throughout&nbsp;all 50 U.S. states. Though recent research suggests that Omicron cases are&nbsp;less severe&nbsp;than previous strains of the virus, it is highly transmissible and has already had an effect on consumer demand insome industries&nbsp;while some remain relatively&nbsp;unaffected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎变种是在美国所有50个州传播的最新冠状病毒株。尽管最近的研究表明，奥密克戎病例没有以前的病毒株严重，但它具有高度传染性，已经对一些行业的消费者需求产生了影响，而另一些行业则相对未受影响。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it intends to raise interest rates in response to high inflation. Many economists expect these rate hikes to begin sometime next year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，美联储明确表示有意加息以应对高通胀。许多经济学家预计这些加息将在明年某个时候开始。</blockquote></p><p> “That's a concern because if the Fed is too aggressive raising rates, that could throw the market into a tailspin,” Stovall said. “Also, historically, we have seen PE multiple contraction in a rising interest rate environment.”</p><p><blockquote>斯托瓦尔表示：“这令人担忧，因为如果美联储过于激进地加息，可能会让市场陷入混乱。”“此外，从历史上看，我们在利率上升的环境下看到PE倍数收缩。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-three-indicators-may-predict-how-the-stock-market-performs-in-2022-analyst-201508279.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-three-indicators-may-predict-how-the-stock-market-performs-in-2022-analyst-201508279.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157924593","content_text":"Christmas may be over, but for investors, the gifts may have only just begun.\nThe \"Santa Claus Rally\" looks to send 2021 off on a high note for the stock market. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) set a record high for the second consecutive day on Tuesday,subsequently falling a bit in light of a small midday tech stock sell-off.\n‘Ho, ho ho’, stocks on the rise?\nThe last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year together are often the biggest week of the year for the market. The 1.2% average growth in the S&P 500 over the period since 1945 is the largest of any seven-day period.\nA trader wears a Santa hat as he works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the day before Christmas in New York December 24, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson\nWhy do these days perform so well historically?Animal spirits, as the 20th century economist John Maynard Keynes might put it, have a lot to do with the Santa Clause Rally.\n“It's [the result of] sentiment,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, on the causes of the rally. “Because [investors know that] if the market does well in the month of January, then it usually does well for the full year. But if we find that a lot of money has flowed into the markets, right off the bat, then the indication is that it's likely to be a very good year.”\nInvestors anticipate that the period is coming, and that equity prices are about to rise, so they are more likely to invest money to earn higher returns, Stovall explained.\nThough the sentiments behind the Santa Clause Rally may appear to be begging-the-question, there is nothing mythical about its results.\nAccording to a recent research note published by Stovall, years following a Santa Claus Rally period with a price increase, experienced an S&P 500 growth rate of 10.3%, higher than the average rate of 9.2% (since 1945).\nJanuary Barometers\nTwo other barometers exist for investors eager to predict the outlook for 2022’s market, both of them involving market performance during the month of January, Stovall wrote. The first five days of January are a great indicator for the rest of the month’s performance.\nA screen displays a stock update on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly\n“The first five days offer an early warning signal as to how the market will likely perform during the entire month,” Stovall wrote in the CFRA report. “And it has done so with impressive accuracy, being correct two out of every three years for both up and down signals. What’s more, a positive showing for the equity market during the first five days of January improved the likelihood of an annual price increase by 12.8%, as well as an improvement in the FoA to 82%.”\nAnd as the old Wall Street adage goes, ‘So goes January, so goes the year.’ The third indicator, which Stovall dubbed “the January Barometer,” draws a correlation between the performance of the market in January and the succeeding 11 months.\n“Should the S&P 500 go on to record a positive performance in the entire month of January, it has historically enhanced the possibility of a positive full-year performance, as the average annual price gain rose to 15.9% and the FoA (Frequency of Advance) increased to 87%,” the report noted.\nThe biggest conclusion investors should draw from the barometers is that there is significant enough data to presume a causal relationship between the late December/January market performance and the larger year’s performance, Stovall said.\n“Not all of the year’s price gains were concentrated in the first month of the year, as a rise for the S&P 500 in January was followed by an average 11.3% climb for the remaining 11 months of the year, with the market posting an 11-month FoA 83% of the time,” he wrote in the report.\nThough January’s gains appear to set the standard for the rest of the year by setting investor attitudes and expectations, Stovall stressed that these indicators are not guarantees.\n“Investors should always view history as a great guide, but never gospel,” he said. Past performance “gives a pretty strong hint of what might happen, but certainly no guarantee.”\nIn 2022, the market will likely encounter challenges from the ongoing COVID pandemic as well as high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s attempts to control it.\nNEW YORK, USA - DECEMBER 28: A man is getting a Covid-19 test at a Covid-19 testing center next to the Queens Hospital Center as hundreds of residents line up to get Covid-19 test in Queens of New York, United States on December 28, 2021 as Omicron rises around the country. (Photo by Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)More\n“When you think about some of the headwinds that could upset the track record of these different barometers, should they all be triggered,” Stovall said, adding the next COVID variant should be a top concern.\nThe Omicron variant has been the latest strain of the coronavirus to spread throughout all 50 U.S. states. Though recent research suggests that Omicron cases are less severe than previous strains of the virus, it is highly transmissible and has already had an effect on consumer demand insome industries while some remain relatively unaffected.\nSecondly, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it intends to raise interest rates in response to high inflation. Many economists expect these rate hikes to begin sometime next year.\n“That's a concern because if the Fed is too aggressive raising rates, that could throw the market into a tailspin,” Stovall said. “Also, historically, we have seen PE multiple contraction in a rising interest rate environment.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696579490,"gmtCreate":1640741366038,"gmtModify":1640741366323,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696579490","repostId":"1111488964","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696860265,"gmtCreate":1640663539164,"gmtModify":1640663539423,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It looks cheap but .....","listText":"It looks cheap but .....","text":"It looks cheap but .....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696860265","repostId":"1142930961","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696030221,"gmtCreate":1640570944525,"gmtModify":1640570944785,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696030221","repostId":"2193330173","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2193330173","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1640587674,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2193330173?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 14:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market hasn't been this stomach-churning in December since 2018. Here's the set-up for the year's final week.<blockquote>自2018年以来，12月股市从未如此令人反胃。这是今年最后一周的安排。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193330173","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"What started out as a lump of coal turned into a gift for bullish investors: a record for the S&P 50","content":"<p>What started out as a lump of coal turned into a gift for bullish investors: a record for the S&amp;P 500 index to end the week before the Christmas holiday.</p><p><blockquote>最初的一块煤变成了给看涨投资者的礼物：标普500指数在圣诞节假期前一周收盘创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> But if you've got this market figured out, you're among the few.</p><p><blockquote>但是如果你已经了解了这个市场，你就是少数几个之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, the scene on Wall Street may have felt to many investors much like how former UFC champion Tyron Woodley's week ended last Saturday in his contest against the YouTube-star-turned-prizefighter Jake Paul:</p><p><blockquote>周一，华尔街的场景可能对许多投资者来说很像前UFC冠军泰伦·伍德利(Tyron Woodley)上周六结束的一周，他与YouTube明星出身的职业拳击手杰克·保罗(Jake Paul)的比赛：</blockquote></p><p> In Wall Street's case, the omicron variant of the coronavirus, and a host of other worries, including looming monetary-policy tightening by the Federal Reserve, subbed in for Paul's devastating sixth-round overhand blow, leveling the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the Nasdaq Composite Index and the S&amp;P 500 in a bruising session last Monday to start the holiday-abbreviated week. U.S. markets were closed on Friday in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote>就华尔街而言，冠状病毒的omicron变种以及包括美联储即将收紧货币政策在内的一系列其他担忧取代了Paul毁灭性的第六轮上手打击，拖累了道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克综合指数和标普500上周一在假期缩短的一周开始时表现强劲。美国市场周五因圣诞节休市。</blockquote></p><p> However, this is how some investors may feel the week ended, with spectacular aplomb shown by a stock market that had so recently seemed destined to be chopped down to size in the final few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这就是一些投资者在本周结束时的感受，股市表现出惊人的沉着，而最近似乎注定要在2021年最后几周缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the S&amp;P 500 index booked its 68th record close of 2021, finishing the week up 3.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average booked a 4.4% gain and the Nasdaq Composite registered a more quotidian 0.7% gain after sinking more than halfway toward correction level at its lowest point during the volatile trading stretch.</p><p><blockquote>周四，标普500指数创下2021年第68次收盘纪录，本周上涨3.6%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨4.4%，纳斯达克综合指数在下跌一半以上后，每日上涨0.7%。在波动的交易时段，修正水平处于最低点。</blockquote></p><p> Data analysts at Dow Jones observed that the capping of Monday's fall by an end-of-the-week record for S&amp;P 500 also occurred on July 19 when the index fell 1.9% only to end the week at a record high.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯的数据分析师观察到，标普500周一的跌幅也出现在7月19日，当时该指数下跌1.9%，但本周结束时创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> More broadly, the volatility this December so far has been stomach-churning. It's been the choppiest since 2018, the last time interest-rate increases were on the table at the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛地说，今年12月迄今为止的波动性令人反胃。这是自2018年美联储上次讨论加息以来最不稳定的一次。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ed124ff95743264ac45c75737c965a2\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Dow Jones Market Data</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the so-called Santa Claus rally, a seasonally bullish period in the last five trading sessions of a year and the first two in the new year, is yet to commence. That's if Santa deigns to dole out any additional gifts at all after the scintillation of the past three sessions.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的圣诞老人反弹，即一年最后五个交易日和新年前两个交易日的季节性牛市，尚未开始。如果圣诞老人在过去三次会议的闪烁之后屈尊分发任何额外的礼物。</blockquote></p><p> The analysts at Leuthold Group write that, since 1972, the Santa Claus rally has produced an S&amp;P 500 average gain of 1.26%, which is \"60 basis points below the average for Santa Claus rallies from 1928 to 1972.\"</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group的分析师写道，自1972年以来，圣诞老人集会使标普500的平均涨幅为1.26%，“比1928年至1972年圣诞老人集会的平均涨幅低60个基点”。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, confirmed that there is an overwhelming tendency for the market to rally during that period, though it isn't clear what to attribute the bullish uptrend to, other than Old St. Nick himself.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)证实，在此期间市场有压倒性的反弹趋势，尽管目前尚不清楚除了老圣尼克本人之外，看涨上升趋势的原因是什么。</blockquote></p><p> But we didn't come here to marvel at the Santa Claus rally but rather the indefatigability of this market.</p><p><blockquote>但我们来这里并不是为了惊叹圣诞老人的集会，而是为了惊叹这个市场的不知疲倦。</blockquote></p><p> Nothing has changed about the market dynamic besides investors' ability to fade negative headlines, including those centered on omicron and the outlook for inflation in years to come. On Thursday, data showed that the 12-month increase in the U.S. PCE index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, had jumped to 5.7% in November from 5% in the prior month. That's the highest rate since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>除了投资者能够淡化负面头条新闻（包括以奥密克戎和未来几年通胀前景为中心的新闻）之外，市场动态没有任何变化。周四，数据显示，美联储首选的通胀指标美国PCE指数12个月涨幅已从上月的5%跃升至11月的5.7%。这是自1982年以来的最高比率。</blockquote></p><p> Wolf Richter of the popular financial blog Wolf Street sounded as befuddled as many have been about policy from the Federal Reserve in a recent column.</p><p><blockquote>流行金融博客Wolf Street的Wolf Richter在最近的一篇专栏文章中听起来和许多人一样对美联储的政策感到困惑。</blockquote></p><p>   Inflation is shooting higher even as this Fed is still repressing short-term interest rates to near 0% and is still printing money hand over fist, though less than it did two months ago. And the Fed has finally backed off its ridiculous claims that this inflation, caused by enormous historic amounts of money printing and interest rate repression, is just temporary and due to bottlenecks and supply chains.  </p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储仍将短期利率压制在接近0%的水平，并且仍在大量印钞，但通胀仍在飙升，尽管比两个月前有所减少。美联储终于放弃了其荒谬的说法，即这种由历史上巨额印钞和利率抑制引起的通胀只是暂时的，是由瓶颈和供应链造成的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57072949565e1587bb225d8f96f16c9c\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"533\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>via WolfStreet.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过WolfStreet.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Fed announced in mid-December that it is cutting back on its bond buying at a faster clip, and projections from members of the central bank's policy-setting panel of late point to three interest-rate increases in 2022. That move was meant to deflate some of the market's bullishness, but investors continue to read the Fed's hawkish policy pivot as dovish.</p><p><blockquote>美联储在12月中旬宣布将以更快的速度削减债券购买，央行政策制定小组成员最近预测2022年将加息三次。此举旨在抑制市场的部分看涨情绪，但投资者继续将美联储的鹰派政策转向解读为鸽派。</blockquote></p><p> Are fears about the spread of the omicron variant of the coronavirus causing the disease COVID-19 unwarranted because vaccines and remedies can handle it? Are people just too fatigued to consider the impact of lockdowns and mobility restrictions? Has inflation peaked, or is it already priced into stocks and bonds? Who knows?</p><p><blockquote>对导致新冠肺炎病的冠状病毒奥密克戎变种传播的担忧是没有根据的，因为疫苗和药物可以治疗它吗？人们是不是太累了，以至于没有考虑封锁和行动限制的影响？通胀是否已经见顶，或者是否已经反映在股票和债券中？谁知道呢？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Jeremy Siegel, a noted professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, told CNBC on Thursday that he envisioned the Fed raising rates around eight times from its current range of between 0% and 0.25% for benchmark rates.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院著名金融学教授杰里米·西格尔(Jeremy Siegel)周四对CNBC表示，他预计美联储将在目前基准利率0%至0.25%的基础上加息约八次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Believe it or not, we have to get to 2% on fed funds,\" Siegel speculated in conversation with the business news channel. The Wharton professor still saw the possibility of stocks booking low double-digit gains, even if the Fed needs to be more aggressive.</p><p><blockquote>“信不信由你，我们必须将联邦基金的利率提高到2%，”西格尔在与商业新闻频道的对话中推测道。这位沃顿商学院教授仍然认为股市有可能出现两位数的低涨幅，即使美联储需要更加激进。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stocks are still the place to be,\" Siegel said. He said that a rotation in value is what he's betting will play out in 2022 as investors position for higher borrowing costs against a backdrop of richly priced large-cap and growth-oriented investments.</p><p><blockquote>“股票仍然是值得去的地方，”西格尔说。他表示，他押注2022年将出现价值轮动，因为投资者在价格昂贵的大盘股和成长型投资的背景下准备提高借贷成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market hasn't been this stomach-churning in December since 2018. Here's the set-up for the year's final week.<blockquote>自2018年以来，12月股市从未如此令人反胃。这是今年最后一周的安排。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market hasn't been this stomach-churning in December since 2018. Here's the set-up for the year's final week.<blockquote>自2018年以来，12月股市从未如此令人反胃。这是今年最后一周的安排。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 14:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What started out as a lump of coal turned into a gift for bullish investors: a record for the S&amp;P 500 index to end the week before the Christmas holiday.</p><p><blockquote>最初的一块煤变成了给看涨投资者的礼物：标普500指数在圣诞节假期前一周收盘创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> But if you've got this market figured out, you're among the few.</p><p><blockquote>但是如果你已经了解了这个市场，你就是少数几个之一。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, the scene on Wall Street may have felt to many investors much like how former UFC champion Tyron Woodley's week ended last Saturday in his contest against the YouTube-star-turned-prizefighter Jake Paul:</p><p><blockquote>周一，华尔街的场景可能对许多投资者来说很像前UFC冠军泰伦·伍德利(Tyron Woodley)上周六结束的一周，他与YouTube明星出身的职业拳击手杰克·保罗(Jake Paul)的比赛：</blockquote></p><p> In Wall Street's case, the omicron variant of the coronavirus, and a host of other worries, including looming monetary-policy tightening by the Federal Reserve, subbed in for Paul's devastating sixth-round overhand blow, leveling the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the Nasdaq Composite Index and the S&amp;P 500 in a bruising session last Monday to start the holiday-abbreviated week. U.S. markets were closed on Friday in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote>就华尔街而言，冠状病毒的omicron变种以及包括美联储即将收紧货币政策在内的一系列其他担忧取代了Paul毁灭性的第六轮上手打击，拖累了道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克综合指数和标普500上周一在假期缩短的一周开始时表现强劲。美国市场周五因圣诞节休市。</blockquote></p><p> However, this is how some investors may feel the week ended, with spectacular aplomb shown by a stock market that had so recently seemed destined to be chopped down to size in the final few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这就是一些投资者在本周结束时的感受，股市表现出惊人的沉着，而最近似乎注定要在2021年最后几周缩减规模。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the S&amp;P 500 index booked its 68th record close of 2021, finishing the week up 3.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average booked a 4.4% gain and the Nasdaq Composite registered a more quotidian 0.7% gain after sinking more than halfway toward correction level at its lowest point during the volatile trading stretch.</p><p><blockquote>周四，标普500指数创下2021年第68次收盘纪录，本周上涨3.6%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨4.4%，纳斯达克综合指数在下跌一半以上后，每日上涨0.7%。在波动的交易时段，修正水平处于最低点。</blockquote></p><p> Data analysts at Dow Jones observed that the capping of Monday's fall by an end-of-the-week record for S&amp;P 500 also occurred on July 19 when the index fell 1.9% only to end the week at a record high.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯的数据分析师观察到，标普500周一的跌幅也出现在7月19日，当时该指数下跌1.9%，但本周结束时创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> More broadly, the volatility this December so far has been stomach-churning. It's been the choppiest since 2018, the last time interest-rate increases were on the table at the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>更广泛地说，今年12月迄今为止的波动性令人反胃。这是自2018年美联储上次讨论加息以来最不稳定的一次。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ed124ff95743264ac45c75737c965a2\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Dow Jones Market Data</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And the so-called Santa Claus rally, a seasonally bullish period in the last five trading sessions of a year and the first two in the new year, is yet to commence. That's if Santa deigns to dole out any additional gifts at all after the scintillation of the past three sessions.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的圣诞老人反弹，即一年最后五个交易日和新年前两个交易日的季节性牛市，尚未开始。如果圣诞老人在过去三次会议的闪烁之后屈尊分发任何额外的礼物。</blockquote></p><p> The analysts at Leuthold Group write that, since 1972, the Santa Claus rally has produced an S&amp;P 500 average gain of 1.26%, which is \"60 basis points below the average for Santa Claus rallies from 1928 to 1972.\"</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group的分析师写道，自1972年以来，圣诞老人集会使标普500的平均涨幅为1.26%，“比1928年至1972年圣诞老人集会的平均涨幅低60个基点”。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, confirmed that there is an overwhelming tendency for the market to rally during that period, though it isn't clear what to attribute the bullish uptrend to, other than Old St. Nick himself.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)证实，在此期间市场有压倒性的反弹趋势，尽管目前尚不清楚除了老圣尼克本人之外，看涨上升趋势的原因是什么。</blockquote></p><p> But we didn't come here to marvel at the Santa Claus rally but rather the indefatigability of this market.</p><p><blockquote>但我们来这里并不是为了惊叹圣诞老人的集会，而是为了惊叹这个市场的不知疲倦。</blockquote></p><p> Nothing has changed about the market dynamic besides investors' ability to fade negative headlines, including those centered on omicron and the outlook for inflation in years to come. On Thursday, data showed that the 12-month increase in the U.S. PCE index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, had jumped to 5.7% in November from 5% in the prior month. That's the highest rate since 1982.</p><p><blockquote>除了投资者能够淡化负面头条新闻（包括以奥密克戎和未来几年通胀前景为中心的新闻）之外，市场动态没有任何变化。周四，数据显示，美联储首选的通胀指标美国PCE指数12个月涨幅已从上月的5%跃升至11月的5.7%。这是自1982年以来的最高比率。</blockquote></p><p> Wolf Richter of the popular financial blog Wolf Street sounded as befuddled as many have been about policy from the Federal Reserve in a recent column.</p><p><blockquote>流行金融博客Wolf Street的Wolf Richter在最近的一篇专栏文章中听起来和许多人一样对美联储的政策感到困惑。</blockquote></p><p>   Inflation is shooting higher even as this Fed is still repressing short-term interest rates to near 0% and is still printing money hand over fist, though less than it did two months ago. And the Fed has finally backed off its ridiculous claims that this inflation, caused by enormous historic amounts of money printing and interest rate repression, is just temporary and due to bottlenecks and supply chains.  </p><p><blockquote>尽管美联储仍将短期利率压制在接近0%的水平，并且仍在大量印钞，但通胀仍在飙升，尽管比两个月前有所减少。美联储终于放弃了其荒谬的说法，即这种由历史上巨额印钞和利率抑制引起的通胀只是暂时的，是由瓶颈和供应链造成的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57072949565e1587bb225d8f96f16c9c\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"533\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>via WolfStreet.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过WolfStreet.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Fed announced in mid-December that it is cutting back on its bond buying at a faster clip, and projections from members of the central bank's policy-setting panel of late point to three interest-rate increases in 2022. That move was meant to deflate some of the market's bullishness, but investors continue to read the Fed's hawkish policy pivot as dovish.</p><p><blockquote>美联储在12月中旬宣布将以更快的速度削减债券购买，央行政策制定小组成员最近预测2022年将加息三次。此举旨在抑制市场的部分看涨情绪，但投资者继续将美联储的鹰派政策转向解读为鸽派。</blockquote></p><p> Are fears about the spread of the omicron variant of the coronavirus causing the disease COVID-19 unwarranted because vaccines and remedies can handle it? Are people just too fatigued to consider the impact of lockdowns and mobility restrictions? Has inflation peaked, or is it already priced into stocks and bonds? Who knows?</p><p><blockquote>对导致新冠肺炎病的冠状病毒奥密克戎变种传播的担忧是没有根据的，因为疫苗和药物可以治疗它吗？人们是不是太累了，以至于没有考虑封锁和行动限制的影响？通胀是否已经见顶，或者是否已经反映在股票和债券中？谁知道呢？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Jeremy Siegel, a noted professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, told CNBC on Thursday that he envisioned the Fed raising rates around eight times from its current range of between 0% and 0.25% for benchmark rates.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院著名金融学教授杰里米·西格尔(Jeremy Siegel)周四对CNBC表示，他预计美联储将在目前基准利率0%至0.25%的基础上加息约八次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Believe it or not, we have to get to 2% on fed funds,\" Siegel speculated in conversation with the business news channel. The Wharton professor still saw the possibility of stocks booking low double-digit gains, even if the Fed needs to be more aggressive.</p><p><blockquote>“信不信由你，我们必须将联邦基金的利率提高到2%，”西格尔在与商业新闻频道的对话中推测道。这位沃顿商学院教授仍然认为股市有可能出现两位数的低涨幅，即使美联储需要更加激进。</blockquote></p><p> \"Stocks are still the place to be,\" Siegel said. He said that a rotation in value is what he's betting will play out in 2022 as investors position for higher borrowing costs against a backdrop of richly priced large-cap and growth-oriented investments.</p><p><blockquote>“股票仍然是值得去的地方，”西格尔说。他表示，他押注2022年将出现价值轮动，因为投资者在价格昂贵的大盘股和成长型投资的背景下准备提高借贷成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-hasnt-been-this-stomach-churning-in-december-since-2018-heres-the-set-up-for-the-years-final-week-11640351848?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1640587337\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-hasnt-been-this-stomach-churning-in-december-since-2018-heres-the-set-up-for-the-years-final-week-11640351848?mod=hp_LATEST&adobe_mc=MCMID%3D03250748340802259633376614514522268876%7CMCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1640587337","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2193330173","content_text":"What started out as a lump of coal turned into a gift for bullish investors: a record for the S&P 500 index to end the week before the Christmas holiday.\nBut if you've got this market figured out, you're among the few.\nOn Monday, the scene on Wall Street may have felt to many investors much like how former UFC champion Tyron Woodley's week ended last Saturday in his contest against the YouTube-star-turned-prizefighter Jake Paul:\nIn Wall Street's case, the omicron variant of the coronavirus, and a host of other worries, including looming monetary-policy tightening by the Federal Reserve, subbed in for Paul's devastating sixth-round overhand blow, leveling the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the Nasdaq Composite Index and the S&P 500 in a bruising session last Monday to start the holiday-abbreviated week. U.S. markets were closed on Friday in observance of Christmas.\nHowever, this is how some investors may feel the week ended, with spectacular aplomb shown by a stock market that had so recently seemed destined to be chopped down to size in the final few weeks of 2021.\nOn Thursday, the S&P 500 index booked its 68th record close of 2021, finishing the week up 3.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average booked a 4.4% gain and the Nasdaq Composite registered a more quotidian 0.7% gain after sinking more than halfway toward correction level at its lowest point during the volatile trading stretch.\nData analysts at Dow Jones observed that the capping of Monday's fall by an end-of-the-week record for S&P 500 also occurred on July 19 when the index fell 1.9% only to end the week at a record high.\nMore broadly, the volatility this December so far has been stomach-churning. It's been the choppiest since 2018, the last time interest-rate increases were on the table at the Federal Reserve.\nDow Jones Market Data\nAnd the so-called Santa Claus rally, a seasonally bullish period in the last five trading sessions of a year and the first two in the new year, is yet to commence. That's if Santa deigns to dole out any additional gifts at all after the scintillation of the past three sessions.\nThe analysts at Leuthold Group write that, since 1972, the Santa Claus rally has produced an S&P 500 average gain of 1.26%, which is \"60 basis points below the average for Santa Claus rallies from 1928 to 1972.\"\nRyan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, confirmed that there is an overwhelming tendency for the market to rally during that period, though it isn't clear what to attribute the bullish uptrend to, other than Old St. Nick himself.\nBut we didn't come here to marvel at the Santa Claus rally but rather the indefatigability of this market.\nNothing has changed about the market dynamic besides investors' ability to fade negative headlines, including those centered on omicron and the outlook for inflation in years to come. On Thursday, data showed that the 12-month increase in the U.S. PCE index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, had jumped to 5.7% in November from 5% in the prior month. That's the highest rate since 1982.\nWolf Richter of the popular financial blog Wolf Street sounded as befuddled as many have been about policy from the Federal Reserve in a recent column.\n\n\n Inflation is shooting higher even as this Fed is still repressing short-term interest rates to near 0% and is still printing money hand over fist, though less than it did two months ago. And the Fed has finally backed off its ridiculous claims that this inflation, caused by enormous historic amounts of money printing and interest rate repression, is just temporary and due to bottlenecks and supply chains.\n\n\nvia WolfStreet.com\nThe Fed announced in mid-December that it is cutting back on its bond buying at a faster clip, and projections from members of the central bank's policy-setting panel of late point to three interest-rate increases in 2022. That move was meant to deflate some of the market's bullishness, but investors continue to read the Fed's hawkish policy pivot as dovish.\nAre fears about the spread of the omicron variant of the coronavirus causing the disease COVID-19 unwarranted because vaccines and remedies can handle it? Are people just too fatigued to consider the impact of lockdowns and mobility restrictions? Has inflation peaked, or is it already priced into stocks and bonds? Who knows?\nJeremy Siegel, a noted professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, told CNBC on Thursday that he envisioned the Fed raising rates around eight times from its current range of between 0% and 0.25% for benchmark rates.\n\"Believe it or not, we have to get to 2% on fed funds,\" Siegel speculated in conversation with the business news channel. The Wharton professor still saw the possibility of stocks booking low double-digit gains, even if the Fed needs to be more aggressive.\n\"Stocks are still the place to be,\" Siegel said. He said that a rotation in value is what he's betting will play out in 2022 as investors position for higher borrowing costs against a backdrop of richly priced large-cap and growth-oriented investments.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698266174,"gmtCreate":1640410408507,"gmtModify":1640410408768,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698266174","repostId":"2194217619","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698266034,"gmtCreate":1640410346624,"gmtModify":1640410346892,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698266034","repostId":"2194179761","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698605375,"gmtCreate":1640357223982,"gmtModify":1640357224265,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698605375","repostId":"1142015669","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698602361,"gmtCreate":1640357081540,"gmtModify":1640357081811,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice👍","listText":"Nice👍","text":"Nice👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698602361","repostId":"2193173153","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691415707,"gmtCreate":1640227160462,"gmtModify":1640227160803,"author":{"id":"3582258408396089","authorId":"3582258408396089","name":"AetherC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9d2b2288d3ec3cb10339c5902876c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582258408396089","idStr":"3582258408396089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691415707","repostId":"1152254856","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152254856","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640223332,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152254856?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Reasons Apple Stock Can Trade Higher From Here<blockquote>苹果股票可以从这里走高的5个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152254856","media":"Barrons","summary":"Over the last two years,Apple stock has rallied an extraordinary 141%, driving the company’s market ","content":"<p>Over the last two years,Apple&nbsp;stock has rallied an extraordinary 141%, driving the company’s market capitalization to nearly $3 trillion, as the company saw remarkable growth across every business segment – iPhones, Macs, iPads, wearables and services.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年，苹果股价上涨了141%，推动公司市值达到近3万亿美元，该公司在iPhone、Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备和服务等各个业务领域都实现了显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> There are reasons to expect higher highs—and many new gadgets—ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有理由期待未来会出现更高的高点和许多新产品。</blockquote></p><p> Citi analyst Jim Suva in a new research note repeated his Buy rating on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL). He lifted his price target to $200, from $170, which implies about 15% appreciation from the stock’s current level. Apple shares on Wednesday rose 1.5%, to $175.64.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师Jim Suva在一份新的研究报告中重申了对苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）的买入评级。他将目标价从170美元上调至200美元，这意味着该股较当前水平升值约15%。苹果股价周三上涨1.5%，至175.64美元。</blockquote></p><p> Suva offers a list of five reasons Apple can climb even higher in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Suva列出了苹果在2022年可以爬得更高的五个原因。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, he sees continued revenue growth, driven in particular by strong iPhone demand and growth in related services. While investor sentiment on consumer hardware has turned “very dour” on concerns that demand for PCs and other gear will revert to prepandemic levels, Suva isn’t buying that view. He estimates that the installed base of iPhones has reached more than 1 billion, with replacement cycle times remaining the same or shortening.</p><p><blockquote>首先，他预计收入将持续增长，特别是在强劲的iPhone需求和相关服务增长的推动下。尽管由于担心个人电脑和其他设备的需求将恢复到大流行前的水平，投资者对消费硬件的情绪变得“非常悲观”，但苏瓦并不相信这种观点。他估计，iPhone的装机量已超过10亿部，更换周期时间保持不变或缩短。</blockquote></p><p> “This implies that users value their devices and technology and will likely continue to invest in upgrades on a regular basis,” Suva writes. “Assuming that replacement rates hover around three years for smartphones and modeling for some of these upgrades to be refurbished devices, we believe that this suggests that the installed base upgrades still have room to translate into unit growth ahead, especially as 5G continues to roll out across major economies.”</p><p><blockquote>“这意味着用户重视他们的设备和技术，并且可能会继续定期投资升级，”苏瓦写道。“假设智能手机的更换率徘徊在三年左右，并且将其中一些升级建模为翻新设备，我们认为，这表明安装基础升级仍有空间转化为未来的单位增长，特别是在5G继续推出的情况下。主要经济体。”</blockquote></p><p> Suva thinks iPhone 14, coming next fall, will include a faster processor, longer battery life, and higher-resolution cameras. He sees Apple launching a foldable phone in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Suva认为明年秋天推出的iPhone 14将包括更快的处理器、更长的电池寿命和更高分辨率的摄像头。他预计苹果将于2023年推出可折叠手机。</blockquote></p><p> He’s also bullish on the coming debut of a virtual/augmented reality headset, widely expected in the 2022 second half. Citi believes the AR/VR market “is poised for growth,” he writes. “The technology is the core of Apple’s next big hardware push beyond the iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch.” He expects details on the product to emerge at the company’s annual developers conference in June. He expects a device priced in the $750 to $1,000 range.</p><p><blockquote>他还看好虚拟/增强现实耳机即将推出，人们普遍预计将于2022年下半年推出。他写道，花旗认为AR/VR市场“已蓄势待发”。“这项技术是苹果在iPhone、iPad和苹果手表之外的下一个重大硬件推动的核心。”他预计该产品的细节将在6月份的公司年度开发者大会上公布。他预计这款设备的价格在750美元到1000美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> Another reason for his bullishness is that service revenue growth isn’t likely to be affected by regulatory changes, Suva writes. While litigation has targeted Apple’s limitations on the use of third-party payment systems in apps, Suva thinks the outcome won’t be material to revenue.</p><p><blockquote>苏瓦写道，他乐观的另一个原因是服务收入增长不太可能受到监管变化的影响。虽然诉讼的目标是苹果对在应用程序中使用第三方支付系统的限制，但Suva认为结果不会对收入产生重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “Many users prefer convenience and security over a small amount of financial savings,” he writes. “For developers, chasing higher margins via off-store billing is likely to come at the expense of lower conversion rates and, by extension, lower revenues.”</p><p><blockquote>“许多用户更喜欢便利和安全，而不是少量的财务节省，”他写道。“对于开发商来说，通过店外计费追求更高的利润可能会以降低转化率为代价，进而降低收入。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares, Suva adds, will also continue to benefit from the company’s aggressive posture on returning cash to holders via dividends and especially stock repurchases. With Apple generating more than $100 billion a year in free cash flow, he says, the company is likely to return at least $100 billion a year to holders. He notes that the company has announced new buyback plans in May in each of the last four years, and he sees another $90 billion authorization ahead—and he sees a 10% dividend hike coming.</p><p><blockquote>苏瓦补充说，苹果股票还将继续受益于该公司通过股息，特别是股票回购向持有人返还现金的积极姿态。他表示，由于苹果每年产生超过1000亿美元的自由现金流，该公司每年可能会向持有人返还至少1000亿美元。他指出，过去四年中，该公司每年5月都会宣布新的回购计划，他预计未来还会有900亿美元的授权，并且股息将上调10%。</blockquote></p><p> Not least, Suva is upbeat on the prospect of an Apple Car. He expects a launch in 2025 or sooner.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Suva对苹果汽车的前景持乐观态度。他预计将于2025年或更早推出。</blockquote></p><p> “Apple entering the auto market is a matter not of ‘if’ but ‘when and to what extent,’” he writes. The analyst lays out two scenarios for Apple and cars. The first is that the company goes all in, and builds an Apple Car via outsourced production. The result could be a 10% to 15% boost to overall sales, with a 5% to 11% lift to Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. A more modest scenario has Apple focusing on the IT ecosystem for cars, like CarPlay, with a 2% lift to sales, and a 1% to 2% boost to Ebitda, he writes.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果进入汽车市场不是‘是否’的问题，而是‘何时以及在多大程度上’的问题，”他写道。分析师列出了苹果和汽车的两种情景。首先是该公司全力以赴，通过外包生产制造苹果汽车。其结果可能是整体销售额增长10%至15%，Ebitda（即息税折旧摊销前利润）增长5%至11%。他写道，更温和的情况是，苹果专注于CarPlay等汽车IT生态系统，销售额将增长2%，Ebitda将增长1%至2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Reasons Apple Stock Can Trade Higher From Here<blockquote>苹果股票可以从这里走高的5个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Reasons Apple Stock Can Trade Higher From Here<blockquote>苹果股票可以从这里走高的5个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 09:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Over the last two years,Apple&nbsp;stock has rallied an extraordinary 141%, driving the company’s market capitalization to nearly $3 trillion, as the company saw remarkable growth across every business segment – iPhones, Macs, iPads, wearables and services.</p><p><blockquote>过去两年，苹果股价上涨了141%，推动公司市值达到近3万亿美元，该公司在iPhone、Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备和服务等各个业务领域都实现了显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> There are reasons to expect higher highs—and many new gadgets—ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有理由期待未来会出现更高的高点和许多新产品。</blockquote></p><p> Citi analyst Jim Suva in a new research note repeated his Buy rating on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL). He lifted his price target to $200, from $170, which implies about 15% appreciation from the stock’s current level. Apple shares on Wednesday rose 1.5%, to $175.64.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师Jim Suva在一份新的研究报告中重申了对苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）的买入评级。他将目标价从170美元上调至200美元，这意味着该股较当前水平升值约15%。苹果股价周三上涨1.5%，至175.64美元。</blockquote></p><p> Suva offers a list of five reasons Apple can climb even higher in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>Suva列出了苹果在2022年可以爬得更高的五个原因。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, he sees continued revenue growth, driven in particular by strong iPhone demand and growth in related services. While investor sentiment on consumer hardware has turned “very dour” on concerns that demand for PCs and other gear will revert to prepandemic levels, Suva isn’t buying that view. He estimates that the installed base of iPhones has reached more than 1 billion, with replacement cycle times remaining the same or shortening.</p><p><blockquote>首先，他预计收入将持续增长，特别是在强劲的iPhone需求和相关服务增长的推动下。尽管由于担心个人电脑和其他设备的需求将恢复到大流行前的水平，投资者对消费硬件的情绪变得“非常悲观”，但苏瓦并不相信这种观点。他估计，iPhone的装机量已超过10亿部，更换周期时间保持不变或缩短。</blockquote></p><p> “This implies that users value their devices and technology and will likely continue to invest in upgrades on a regular basis,” Suva writes. “Assuming that replacement rates hover around three years for smartphones and modeling for some of these upgrades to be refurbished devices, we believe that this suggests that the installed base upgrades still have room to translate into unit growth ahead, especially as 5G continues to roll out across major economies.”</p><p><blockquote>“这意味着用户重视他们的设备和技术，并且可能会继续定期投资升级，”苏瓦写道。“假设智能手机的更换率徘徊在三年左右，并且将其中一些升级建模为翻新设备，我们认为，这表明安装基础升级仍有空间转化为未来的单位增长，特别是在5G继续推出的情况下。主要经济体。”</blockquote></p><p> Suva thinks iPhone 14, coming next fall, will include a faster processor, longer battery life, and higher-resolution cameras. He sees Apple launching a foldable phone in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>Suva认为明年秋天推出的iPhone 14将包括更快的处理器、更长的电池寿命和更高分辨率的摄像头。他预计苹果将于2023年推出可折叠手机。</blockquote></p><p> He’s also bullish on the coming debut of a virtual/augmented reality headset, widely expected in the 2022 second half. Citi believes the AR/VR market “is poised for growth,” he writes. “The technology is the core of Apple’s next big hardware push beyond the iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch.” He expects details on the product to emerge at the company’s annual developers conference in June. He expects a device priced in the $750 to $1,000 range.</p><p><blockquote>他还看好虚拟/增强现实耳机即将推出，人们普遍预计将于2022年下半年推出。他写道，花旗认为AR/VR市场“已蓄势待发”。“这项技术是苹果在iPhone、iPad和苹果手表之外的下一个重大硬件推动的核心。”他预计该产品的细节将在6月份的公司年度开发者大会上公布。他预计这款设备的价格在750美元到1000美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> Another reason for his bullishness is that service revenue growth isn’t likely to be affected by regulatory changes, Suva writes. While litigation has targeted Apple’s limitations on the use of third-party payment systems in apps, Suva thinks the outcome won’t be material to revenue.</p><p><blockquote>苏瓦写道，他乐观的另一个原因是服务收入增长不太可能受到监管变化的影响。虽然诉讼的目标是苹果对在应用程序中使用第三方支付系统的限制，但Suva认为结果不会对收入产生重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> “Many users prefer convenience and security over a small amount of financial savings,” he writes. “For developers, chasing higher margins via off-store billing is likely to come at the expense of lower conversion rates and, by extension, lower revenues.”</p><p><blockquote>“许多用户更喜欢便利和安全，而不是少量的财务节省，”他写道。“对于开发商来说，通过店外计费追求更高的利润可能会以降低转化率为代价，进而降低收入。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares, Suva adds, will also continue to benefit from the company’s aggressive posture on returning cash to holders via dividends and especially stock repurchases. With Apple generating more than $100 billion a year in free cash flow, he says, the company is likely to return at least $100 billion a year to holders. He notes that the company has announced new buyback plans in May in each of the last four years, and he sees another $90 billion authorization ahead—and he sees a 10% dividend hike coming.</p><p><blockquote>苏瓦补充说，苹果股票还将继续受益于该公司通过股息，特别是股票回购向持有人返还现金的积极姿态。他表示，由于苹果每年产生超过1000亿美元的自由现金流，该公司每年可能会向持有人返还至少1000亿美元。他指出，过去四年中，该公司每年5月都会宣布新的回购计划，他预计未来还会有900亿美元的授权，并且股息将上调10%。</blockquote></p><p> Not least, Suva is upbeat on the prospect of an Apple Car. He expects a launch in 2025 or sooner.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Suva对苹果汽车的前景持乐观态度。他预计将于2025年或更早推出。</blockquote></p><p> “Apple entering the auto market is a matter not of ‘if’ but ‘when and to what extent,’” he writes. The analyst lays out two scenarios for Apple and cars. The first is that the company goes all in, and builds an Apple Car via outsourced production. The result could be a 10% to 15% boost to overall sales, with a 5% to 11% lift to Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. A more modest scenario has Apple focusing on the IT ecosystem for cars, like CarPlay, with a 2% lift to sales, and a 1% to 2% boost to Ebitda, he writes.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果进入汽车市场不是‘是否’的问题，而是‘何时以及在多大程度上’的问题，”他写道。分析师列出了苹果和汽车的两种情景。首先是该公司全力以赴，通过外包生产制造苹果汽车。其结果可能是整体销售额增长10%至15%，Ebitda（即息税折旧摊销前利润）增长5%至11%。他写道，更温和的情况是，苹果专注于CarPlay等汽车IT生态系统，销售额将增长2%，Ebitda将增长1%至2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-higher-51640199308?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-higher-51640199308?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152254856","content_text":"Over the last two years,Apple stock has rallied an extraordinary 141%, driving the company’s market capitalization to nearly $3 trillion, as the company saw remarkable growth across every business segment – iPhones, Macs, iPads, wearables and services.\nThere are reasons to expect higher highs—and many new gadgets—ahead.\nCiti analyst Jim Suva in a new research note repeated his Buy rating on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL). He lifted his price target to $200, from $170, which implies about 15% appreciation from the stock’s current level. Apple shares on Wednesday rose 1.5%, to $175.64.\nSuva offers a list of five reasons Apple can climb even higher in 2022.\nFor starters, he sees continued revenue growth, driven in particular by strong iPhone demand and growth in related services. While investor sentiment on consumer hardware has turned “very dour” on concerns that demand for PCs and other gear will revert to prepandemic levels, Suva isn’t buying that view. He estimates that the installed base of iPhones has reached more than 1 billion, with replacement cycle times remaining the same or shortening.\n“This implies that users value their devices and technology and will likely continue to invest in upgrades on a regular basis,” Suva writes. “Assuming that replacement rates hover around three years for smartphones and modeling for some of these upgrades to be refurbished devices, we believe that this suggests that the installed base upgrades still have room to translate into unit growth ahead, especially as 5G continues to roll out across major economies.”\nSuva thinks iPhone 14, coming next fall, will include a faster processor, longer battery life, and higher-resolution cameras. He sees Apple launching a foldable phone in 2023.\nHe’s also bullish on the coming debut of a virtual/augmented reality headset, widely expected in the 2022 second half. Citi believes the AR/VR market “is poised for growth,” he writes. “The technology is the core of Apple’s next big hardware push beyond the iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch.” He expects details on the product to emerge at the company’s annual developers conference in June. He expects a device priced in the $750 to $1,000 range.\nAnother reason for his bullishness is that service revenue growth isn’t likely to be affected by regulatory changes, Suva writes. While litigation has targeted Apple’s limitations on the use of third-party payment systems in apps, Suva thinks the outcome won’t be material to revenue.\n“Many users prefer convenience and security over a small amount of financial savings,” he writes. “For developers, chasing higher margins via off-store billing is likely to come at the expense of lower conversion rates and, by extension, lower revenues.”\nApple shares, Suva adds, will also continue to benefit from the company’s aggressive posture on returning cash to holders via dividends and especially stock repurchases. With Apple generating more than $100 billion a year in free cash flow, he says, the company is likely to return at least $100 billion a year to holders. He notes that the company has announced new buyback plans in May in each of the last four years, and he sees another $90 billion authorization ahead—and he sees a 10% dividend hike coming.\nNot least, Suva is upbeat on the prospect of an Apple Car. He expects a launch in 2025 or sooner.\n“Apple entering the auto market is a matter not of ‘if’ but ‘when and to what extent,’” he writes. The analyst lays out two scenarios for Apple and cars. The first is that the company goes all in, and builds an Apple Car via outsourced production. The result could be a 10% to 15% boost to overall sales, with a 5% to 11% lift to Ebitda, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. A more modest scenario has Apple focusing on the IT ecosystem for cars, like CarPlay, with a 2% lift to sales, and a 1% to 2% boost to Ebitda, he writes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}