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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-12-08
Aple together strong!
Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote>
Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell betwe
Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote>
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-11-01
Cann use vegetable oil instead??
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-10-28
Nice man this knee all the way
These 8 money-losing stocks could bring you big gains come January<blockquote>这8只亏损股票可能会在一月份给你带来巨大收益</blockquote>
How to profit from investors’ year-end tax-loss selling Getty Images Tax-loss selling will disrup
These 8 money-losing stocks could bring you big gains come January<blockquote>这8只亏损股票可能会在一月份给你带来巨大收益</blockquote>
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-10-27
Nope
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-10-20
Chop chip moon rocket
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-10-19
Bull
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JENerousity
JENerousity
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2021-08-24
Nice man moonbois
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-08-23
Cool
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-07-30
Nice
This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的背离是对自满的警告</blockquote>
S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish GETTY IMAGES The S&P 500 index is performing at a far differe
This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的背离是对自满的警告</blockquote>
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JENerousity
JENerousity
·
2021-07-21
Tsla to the moon
Why Tesla Stock Popped Again Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二再次上涨</blockquote>
What happened Six days ago, Tesla Motors stock dropped in response to comments fromwould-be rival Lu
Why Tesla Stock Popped Again Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二再次上涨</blockquote>
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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading<blockquote>部分疫苗股在盘前交易中回调</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 17:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>一些疫苗股在盘前交易中回调。Novavax、BioNTech SE、Moderna和辉瑞下跌3%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5fc2db6a961be0363c3be880585ad0f\" tg-width=\"404\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136716851","content_text":"Some Vaccine stocks corrected in premarket trading.Novavax,BioNTech SE,Moderna and Pfizer fell between 3% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2226,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849835680,"gmtCreate":1635740892968,"gmtModify":1635740892968,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cann use vegetable oil instead??","listText":"Cann use vegetable oil instead??","text":"Cann use vegetable oil instead??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849835680","repostId":"2180220349","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854152954,"gmtCreate":1635429483193,"gmtModify":1635429775326,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice man this knee all the way","listText":"Nice man this knee all the way","text":"Nice man this knee all the way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854152954","repostId":"1180564420","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180564420","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635307299,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180564420?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 12:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 8 money-losing stocks could bring you big gains come January<blockquote>这8只亏损股票可能会在一月份给你带来巨大收益</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180564420","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"How to profit from investors’ year-end tax-loss selling \nGetty Images\n\n\nTax-loss selling will disrup","content":"<p>How to profit from investors’ year-end tax-loss selling </p><p><blockquote>如何从投资者年终税损抛售中获利</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f49f1e24483c4ede88397537fed796\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tax-loss selling will disrupt stock markets between now and the end of the year — and shrewd buyers can profit from the chaos.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到年底，税收损失抛售将扰乱股市——精明的买家可以从混乱中获利。</blockquote></p><p> The cause of this turmoil is year-end tax-loss selling. This occurs when an investor sells a stock at loss in order to offset capital gains realized earlier in the year and on which capital gains tax would otherwise be due. Such selling needs to be completed before Dec. 31 in order to reduce 2021 taxes.</p><p><blockquote>这场动荡的原因是年终税收损失抛售。当投资者亏本出售股票以抵消今年早些时候实现的资本收益（否则应缴纳资本利得税）时，就会发生这种情况。此类出售需要在12月31日之前完成，以减少2021年的税收。</blockquote></p><p> To appreciate the big role that tax-loss selling plays as the new year approaches, consider the performance of a hypothetical portfolio containing the 10% of U.S. stocks with the lowest trailing-12 month returns, rebalanced monthly. The stocks in this portfolio should be the ones most susceptible to tax-loss selling.</p><p><blockquote>为了理解随着新年的临近，税收损失抛售所发挥的重要作用，请考虑一个假设的投资组合的表现，该投资组合包含过去12个月回报率最低的10%的美国股票，并每月重新平衡。该投资组合中的股票应该是最容易受到税收损失抛售影响的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1927, according to data from Dartmouth professor Ken French, this “losers” portfolio does progressively worse as the end of the year approaches, as the chart below indicates.</p><p><blockquote>根据达特茅斯大学教授肯·弗伦奇的数据，自1927年以来，随着年底的临近，这种“失败者”投资组合的表现逐渐恶化，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12e3b59139cb6d4691115a1d40802807\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The investment implication of this pattern depends on your time horizon. If you’re not a short-term trader, then the takeaway is that you should prepare for extra market volatility over the next two months. Resist the inclination to dump a stock because of artificial selling pressure having nothing to do with its fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>这种模式的投资含义取决于你的时间范围。如果你不是短线交易者，那么你应该为未来两个月的额外市场波动做好准备。抵制因与基本面无关的人为抛售压力而抛售股票的倾向。</blockquote></p><p> For traders and short-term investors, there’s a separate investment implication — profit from others’ tax-loss selling. As the chart also shows, the stocks most punished by this selling tend to bounce back sharply in January. That makes sense, because tax-loss selling ends on Dec. 31; in January a huge weight is lifted off these already-beleaguered stocks, and many perform strongly.</p><p><blockquote>对于交易者和短期投资者来说，还有一个单独的投资含义——从其他人的税收损失抛售中获利。正如图表所示，受此次抛售影响最大的股票往往会在一月份大幅反弹。这是有道理的，因为税收损失销售将于12月31日结束；一月份，这些已经陷入困境的股票将摆脱巨大的压力，许多股票表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I constructed a list of stocks with attractive longer-term prospects that are also losers for the year through Oct. 22. There’s a good chance that tax-loss selling will significantly depress their returns between now and the end of the year, enabling traders to pick up a few of them at bargain prices.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我列出了一份具有有吸引力的长期前景的股票名单，这些股票在截至10月22日的一年中也是输家。从现在到年底，税收损失抛售很可能会显着压低他们的回报，使交易者能够以低价买入一些股票。</blockquote></p><p> You might consider placing buy limits well-below the current market on a basket of them, in hopes that a couple of them get filled. If history is any guide, these stocks stand a good chance of rebounding significantly in January.</p><p><blockquote>你可以考虑对一篮子股票设定远低于当前市场的买入限额，希望其中一些股票能被填补。如果以史为鉴，这些股票很有可能在一月份大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> To construct the table below, I started with a list of stocks in the S&P 1500 index that were losers through the close of trading on Oct. 22. I narrowed the list further to include only those that are currently recommended by two or more of the top-performing investment newsletters that my auditing firm monitors.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建下表，我首先列出了截至10月22日收盘时S&P 1500指数中下跌的股票。我进一步缩小了名单，只包括我的审计公司监控的两份或多份表现最佳的投资通讯目前推荐的那些。</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Stock</b></td> <td><b>YTD</b> %</td> <td><b># Newsletters recommending</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bristol-Myers Squibb Company </td> <td>-5.0%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cardinal Health, Inc. </td> <td>-5.0%</td> <td>4</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Walt Disney Company </td> <td>-6.5%</td> <td>3</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amgen Inc. </td> <td>-7.0%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>FedEx Corporation </td> <td>-9.6%</td> <td>4</td> </tr> <tr> <td>PetMed Express, Inc. </td> <td>-13.2%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Activision Blizzard, Inc. </td> <td>-14.2%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Viatris, Inc. </td> <td>-24.5%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>股票</b></td><td><b>年初至今</b>%</td><td><b>#时事通讯推荐</b></td></tr><tr><td>百时美施贵宝公司</td><td>-5.0%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>红衣主教健康公司。</td><td>-5.0%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>迪斯尼公司</td><td>-6.5%</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>安进公司。</td><td>-7.0%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>联邦快递公司</td><td>-9.6%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>PetMed快递公司。</td><td>-13.2%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司。</td><td>-14.2%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>维亚特里斯公司。</td><td>-24.5%</td><td>2</td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p> <i>YTD return as of 10/22/21</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2011年10月22日的年初至今回报</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 8 money-losing stocks could bring you big gains come January<blockquote>这8只亏损股票可能会在一月份给你带来巨大收益</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 8 money-losing stocks could bring you big gains come January<blockquote>这8只亏损股票可能会在一月份给你带来巨大收益</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-27 12:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>How to profit from investors’ year-end tax-loss selling </p><p><blockquote>如何从投资者年终税损抛售中获利</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54f49f1e24483c4ede88397537fed796\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tax-loss selling will disrupt stock markets between now and the end of the year — and shrewd buyers can profit from the chaos.</p><p><blockquote>从现在到年底，税收损失抛售将扰乱股市——精明的买家可以从混乱中获利。</blockquote></p><p> The cause of this turmoil is year-end tax-loss selling. This occurs when an investor sells a stock at loss in order to offset capital gains realized earlier in the year and on which capital gains tax would otherwise be due. Such selling needs to be completed before Dec. 31 in order to reduce 2021 taxes.</p><p><blockquote>这场动荡的原因是年终税收损失抛售。当投资者亏本出售股票以抵消今年早些时候实现的资本收益（否则应缴纳资本利得税）时，就会发生这种情况。此类出售需要在12月31日之前完成，以减少2021年的税收。</blockquote></p><p> To appreciate the big role that tax-loss selling plays as the new year approaches, consider the performance of a hypothetical portfolio containing the 10% of U.S. stocks with the lowest trailing-12 month returns, rebalanced monthly. The stocks in this portfolio should be the ones most susceptible to tax-loss selling.</p><p><blockquote>为了理解随着新年的临近，税收损失抛售所发挥的重要作用，请考虑一个假设的投资组合的表现，该投资组合包含过去12个月回报率最低的10%的美国股票，并每月重新平衡。该投资组合中的股票应该是最容易受到税收损失抛售影响的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1927, according to data from Dartmouth professor Ken French, this “losers” portfolio does progressively worse as the end of the year approaches, as the chart below indicates.</p><p><blockquote>根据达特茅斯大学教授肯·弗伦奇的数据，自1927年以来，随着年底的临近，这种“失败者”投资组合的表现逐渐恶化，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12e3b59139cb6d4691115a1d40802807\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The investment implication of this pattern depends on your time horizon. If you’re not a short-term trader, then the takeaway is that you should prepare for extra market volatility over the next two months. Resist the inclination to dump a stock because of artificial selling pressure having nothing to do with its fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>这种模式的投资含义取决于你的时间范围。如果你不是短线交易者，那么你应该为未来两个月的额外市场波动做好准备。抵制因与基本面无关的人为抛售压力而抛售股票的倾向。</blockquote></p><p> For traders and short-term investors, there’s a separate investment implication — profit from others’ tax-loss selling. As the chart also shows, the stocks most punished by this selling tend to bounce back sharply in January. That makes sense, because tax-loss selling ends on Dec. 31; in January a huge weight is lifted off these already-beleaguered stocks, and many perform strongly.</p><p><blockquote>对于交易者和短期投资者来说，还有一个单独的投资含义——从其他人的税收损失抛售中获利。正如图表所示，受此次抛售影响最大的股票往往会在一月份大幅反弹。这是有道理的，因为税收损失销售将于12月31日结束；一月份，这些已经陷入困境的股票将摆脱巨大的压力，许多股票表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I constructed a list of stocks with attractive longer-term prospects that are also losers for the year through Oct. 22. There’s a good chance that tax-loss selling will significantly depress their returns between now and the end of the year, enabling traders to pick up a few of them at bargain prices.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我列出了一份具有有吸引力的长期前景的股票名单，这些股票在截至10月22日的一年中也是输家。从现在到年底，税收损失抛售很可能会显着压低他们的回报，使交易者能够以低价买入一些股票。</blockquote></p><p> You might consider placing buy limits well-below the current market on a basket of them, in hopes that a couple of them get filled. If history is any guide, these stocks stand a good chance of rebounding significantly in January.</p><p><blockquote>你可以考虑对一篮子股票设定远低于当前市场的买入限额，希望其中一些股票能被填补。如果以史为鉴，这些股票很有可能在一月份大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> To construct the table below, I started with a list of stocks in the S&P 1500 index that were losers through the close of trading on Oct. 22. I narrowed the list further to include only those that are currently recommended by two or more of the top-performing investment newsletters that my auditing firm monitors.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建下表，我首先列出了截至10月22日收盘时S&P 1500指数中下跌的股票。我进一步缩小了名单，只包括我的审计公司监控的两份或多份表现最佳的投资通讯目前推荐的那些。</blockquote></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Stock</b></td> <td><b>YTD</b> %</td> <td><b># Newsletters recommending</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Bristol-Myers Squibb Company </td> <td>-5.0%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cardinal Health, Inc. </td> <td>-5.0%</td> <td>4</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Walt Disney Company </td> <td>-6.5%</td> <td>3</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Amgen Inc. </td> <td>-7.0%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>FedEx Corporation </td> <td>-9.6%</td> <td>4</td> </tr> <tr> <td>PetMed Express, Inc. </td> <td>-13.2%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Activision Blizzard, Inc. </td> <td>-14.2%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Viatris, Inc. </td> <td>-24.5%</td> <td>2</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>股票</b></td><td><b>年初至今</b>%</td><td><b>#时事通讯推荐</b></td></tr><tr><td>百时美施贵宝公司</td><td>-5.0%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>红衣主教健康公司。</td><td>-5.0%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>迪斯尼公司</td><td>-6.5%</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>安进公司。</td><td>-7.0%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>联邦快递公司</td><td>-9.6%</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>PetMed快递公司。</td><td>-13.2%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>动视暴雪公司。</td><td>-14.2%</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>维亚特里斯公司。</td><td>-24.5%</td><td>2</td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p> <i>YTD return as of 10/22/21</i></p><p><blockquote><i>截至2011年10月22日的年初至今回报</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-8-money-losing-stocks-could-bring-you-big-gains-come-january-11635213281?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BMY":"施贵宝","FDX":"联邦快递","AMGN":"安进","ATVI":"动视暴雪","DIS":"迪士尼","CAH":"卡地纳健康","VTRS":"Viatris Inc.","PETS":"PetMed Express"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-8-money-losing-stocks-could-bring-you-big-gains-come-january-11635213281?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180564420","content_text":"How to profit from investors’ year-end tax-loss selling \nGetty Images\n\n\nTax-loss selling will disrupt stock markets between now and the end of the year — and shrewd buyers can profit from the chaos.\nThe cause of this turmoil is year-end tax-loss selling. This occurs when an investor sells a stock at loss in order to offset capital gains realized earlier in the year and on which capital gains tax would otherwise be due. Such selling needs to be completed before Dec. 31 in order to reduce 2021 taxes.\nTo appreciate the big role that tax-loss selling plays as the new year approaches, consider the performance of a hypothetical portfolio containing the 10% of U.S. stocks with the lowest trailing-12 month returns, rebalanced monthly. The stocks in this portfolio should be the ones most susceptible to tax-loss selling.\nSince 1927, according to data from Dartmouth professor Ken French, this “losers” portfolio does progressively worse as the end of the year approaches, as the chart below indicates.\n\n\n\nThe investment implication of this pattern depends on your time horizon. If you’re not a short-term trader, then the takeaway is that you should prepare for extra market volatility over the next two months. Resist the inclination to dump a stock because of artificial selling pressure having nothing to do with its fundamentals.\nFor traders and short-term investors, there’s a separate investment implication — profit from others’ tax-loss selling. As the chart also shows, the stocks most punished by this selling tend to bounce back sharply in January. That makes sense, because tax-loss selling ends on Dec. 31; in January a huge weight is lifted off these already-beleaguered stocks, and many perform strongly.\nWith that in mind, I constructed a list of stocks with attractive longer-term prospects that are also losers for the year through Oct. 22. There’s a good chance that tax-loss selling will significantly depress their returns between now and the end of the year, enabling traders to pick up a few of them at bargain prices.\nYou might consider placing buy limits well-below the current market on a basket of them, in hopes that a couple of them get filled. If history is any guide, these stocks stand a good chance of rebounding significantly in January.\nTo construct the table below, I started with a list of stocks in the S&P 1500 index that were losers through the close of trading on Oct. 22. I narrowed the list further to include only those that are currently recommended by two or more of the top-performing investment newsletters that my auditing firm monitors.\n\n\n\n\nStock\nYTD %\n# Newsletters recommending\n\n\nBristol-Myers Squibb Company \n-5.0%\n2\n\n\nCardinal Health, Inc. \n-5.0%\n4\n\n\nWalt Disney Company \n-6.5%\n3\n\n\nAmgen Inc. \n-7.0%\n2\n\n\nFedEx Corporation \n-9.6%\n4\n\n\nPetMed Express, Inc. \n-13.2%\n2\n\n\nActivision Blizzard, Inc. \n-14.2%\n2\n\n\nViatris, Inc. \n-24.5%\n2\n\n\n\n\nYTD return as of 10/22/21","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9,"CAH":0.9,"VTRS":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,"AMGN":0.9,"PETS":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"BMY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855368603,"gmtCreate":1635337803639,"gmtModify":1635337803639,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nope","listText":"Nope","text":"Nope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855368603","repostId":"1101827695","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2756,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859716009,"gmtCreate":1634734366652,"gmtModify":1634734366773,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Chop chip moon rocket","listText":"Chop chip moon rocket","text":"Chop chip moon 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moonbois","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834298892","repostId":"2161088095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835459275,"gmtCreate":1629734058697,"gmtModify":1631890031188,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835459275","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806219779,"gmtCreate":1627657291491,"gmtModify":1631890031202,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806219779","repostId":"1198838390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198838390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627656767,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198838390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 22:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的背离是对自满的警告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198838390","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish\nGETTY IMAGES\nThe S&P 500 index is performing at a far differe","content":"<p>S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish</p><p><blockquote>标普500的核心前景仍然看涨</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9a9d5fb12a2f91c146699e5be54c5c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数的表现与“平均”股票截然不同。这种情况已经持续了一段时间，不一定是牛市“杀手”，但肯定不是最健康的环境。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔指数、纳斯达克100指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均处于或接近历史高点。但罗素2000指数落后，反映出整体市场内功不佳。内部测量显示看跌期权买盘相当多，多日广度较差，52周新低甚至多于新高。</blockquote></p><p> What is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>推动SPX和窄基指数的是数量相对较少的大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Similar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.</p><p><blockquote>类似的故事在过去已经发生过很多次——有些市场结果很糟糕，有些则没有那么糟糕。但在大多数股票都落后的情况下，维持牛市是极其困难的。</blockquote></p><p> Two rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there never<i>was</i>much of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.</p><p><blockquote>两个相当值得注意的事件，但肯定不是最近发生的，是1)1973年的“漂亮五十”股票，它们似乎“无视地心引力”，在市场其他部分跌跌撞撞的情况下继续上涨；最终，这种情况恶化为1974年的熊市，以及2）1994年的“隐形熊市”，小盘股在这一年的大部分时间里都在下跌，但SPX在此期间基本持平；从来没有<i>什么</i>该指数大幅下跌，直到年底一场不相关的丑闻（奥兰治县灾难）导致该指数短暂下跌。</blockquote></p><p> This situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况并非不可逆转。如果广度提高，它可以“纠正”自己。这仍然是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍处于看涨模式，因为它正在上涨并高于支撑位。本周低点4370附近有小幅支撑。然后在4233点（7月低点）下方有更重要的支撑。只要SPX保持在该水平之上，图表仍将呈现看涨的外观。4160点和4060点的进一步支撑位经过了很好的测试，但远低于当前水平，用处不大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/033187b97fbfadb4f302aff6d1e0e8c6\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.</p><p><blockquote>如随附的SPX图表所示，发出麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号（图表右上角的绿色“S”）。此外，随着标准普尔指数20天历史波动率已升至11%以上，现在也出现了已实现的波动性卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号，因为它们仍在上升。这表明过去一个月看跌期权买盘相对较多。从附图中可以看出，标准比率的上升速度快于加权比率，但两者都在上升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94f1634f122ad3efa266cde27ddd8599\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786b9a1f7118e239186772ceb365b513\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Breadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.</p><p><blockquote>广度一直是当前市场正在经历的内部问题的最突出指标。当SPX创下历史新高时，它已经连续多天为负值。因此，我们的广度振荡器落后于市场。是的，它们发出了买入信号，但远未达到纳斯达克100指数、标普500指数和道琼斯工业指数处于或接近高点时预期的积极水平。</blockquote></p><p> There was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不过，周三有一丝小幅改善，当天大盘持平至下跌，但广度是积极的。我们最近没有看到那么多，但如果这种情况继续下去，这将对股市有利。</blockquote></p><p> The cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.<i>That</i>is a negative divergence.</p><p><blockquote>累积宽度振荡器继续滞后，这是负背离的“官方”衡量标准。截至6月11日（含6月11日）的13个交易日中，累计宽度指标有10个创下历史新高。从那以后，他们没有创下一个新的历史新高。与此同时，自该日以来，SPX已连续13个交易日创下历史新高。<i>那个</i>是负背离。</blockquote></p><p> It can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过改进累积宽度指标来克服——这是今年早些时候完成的。但是，就目前而言，这种负面分歧仍然是一个警告信号，需要保持警惕，不要自满。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Over the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，就纳斯达克数据和“仅股票”数据而言，52周新低多于52周新高。然而，我们使用纽约证券交易所作为指标，新高设法保持对新低的微弱领先。因此，该指标虽然走弱，但仍处于看涨状态。</blockquote></p><p> The one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>市场中没有表现出这些负面趋势的一个领域是隐含波动率——VIX及其交易产品。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。事实上，自5月21日以来，除了两个交易日外，一直存在连续的“尖峰”买入信号。此外，由于200日移动平均线仍在下降，VIX的趋势仍然向下，并且远高于VIX 20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647dc26baa4fe92b852e1a1585a5cc18\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构仍然对股票有利。近月8月VIX期货交易价格较VIX溢价相当大，VIX期货期限结构向上倾斜。此外，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数期限结构向上倾斜。这些加起来对股市来说是一个看涨的情景。8月份VIX期货的交易价格高于9月份VIX期货，这将表明大盘面临任何危险，但这种危险并非迫在眉睫。</blockquote></p><p> So, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于SPX和VIX的趋势，市场的“核心”前景仍然看涨。是的，内部人士警告不要自满，因此我们可以针对这个“核心”看涨位置发出卖出信号，但只要SPX保持在4233点的支撑位之上，多头仍然占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Recommendation: D.R. Horton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：D.R。霍顿</b></blockquote></p><p> D.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.</p><p><blockquote>D.R.HortonDHI,+0.50%从其看跌-看涨期权比率图表中发出了新的买入信号，但我们希望这也能得到上行突破的证实。从下图中，人们可以看到看跌-看涨期权比率图上的局部最大值处于极高的水平（绿色“B”），这是对该股极度悲观的一个例子，尽管它自5月初以来的回调并没有那么陡峭。</blockquote></p><p> Put-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.</p><p><blockquote>看跌-看涨期权比率信号本质上是相反的，因此如果公众极度悲观，我们希望保持乐观。这将以看涨期权买入的形式实现，但前提是DHI能够收于93阻力位上方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF DHI closes above 93,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DHI收于93上方，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买2 DHI 9月（17日）92.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p> DHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.</p><p><blockquote>DHI目前的交易价格高于93，但我们希望在建立多头看涨期权头寸之前看到它接近93。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006888c3a8db8d4a3ffa406ebfc2b2e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> That is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except for<b>Cerner Corp.</b>CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.</p><p><blockquote>这是唯一的新建议。最近没有太多的收购传闻活动，除了<b>塞尔纳公司。</b>CERN，+1.38%然而，我们最近才退出了Cerner的头寸，因为收购传闻已经存在很长时间，以至于超出了我们评级的到期日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 102.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3杜克8月（20日）100评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高到102。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长4 DBX 8月（13日）30.5评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高至30.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:</b>The stop yourself remains at 26.</p><p><blockquote><b>Long 1 Rapt 8月20日30日看涨期权：</b>你自己的止损点保持在26。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:</b>This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）431看涨期权：</b>该头寸是根据7月20日VIX“尖峰”买入信号买入的。自该日起继续持有22天。如果VIX在任何三天内上涨3.00点或以上，则使用收盘价，该头寸将被止损。如果止损，则在随后的买入信号中以平价看涨期权重新入场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to the<b>Sept (17th) 75 calls.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Long 2 HOLX 9月（17日）65评级：</b>自己将跟踪止损提高到68。此外，如果止损点交易在75，则向上滚动至<b>75年9月17日评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:</b>This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）433看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）408看跌：</b>该价差是根据仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号买入的。那些卖出信号仍然存在，所以继续持有这个价差。我们将每周更新情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:</b>These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.</p><p><blockquote><b>长0 AVCT 8月（20日）5评级：</b>当美国虚拟云技术公司AVCT,-1.30%于7月26日收盘低于5时，这些评级被停止。该股因债务削减的消息而开始走弱，然后在该公司申请出售更多股票后大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:</b>Raise the stop to 22.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙5星8月（20日）22.5评级：</b>将止损提高到22.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:</b>Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>长5华大智造8月（20日）10评级：</b>最初不间断地持有该头寸，看看收购要约是否能够实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的背离是对自满的警告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis eye-catching divergence in the stock market is a warning against complacency<blockquote>股市这种引人注目的背离是对自满的警告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-30 22:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish</p><p><blockquote>标普500的核心前景仍然看涨</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a9a9d5fb12a2f91c146699e5be54c5c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"473\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数的表现与“平均”股票截然不同。这种情况已经持续了一段时间，不一定是牛市“杀手”，但肯定不是最健康的环境。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔指数、纳斯达克100指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均处于或接近历史高点。但罗素2000指数落后，反映出整体市场内功不佳。内部测量显示看跌期权买盘相当多，多日广度较差，52周新低甚至多于新高。</blockquote></p><p> What is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.</p><p><blockquote>推动SPX和窄基指数的是数量相对较少的大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Similar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.</p><p><blockquote>类似的故事在过去已经发生过很多次——有些市场结果很糟糕，有些则没有那么糟糕。但在大多数股票都落后的情况下，维持牛市是极其困难的。</blockquote></p><p> Two rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there never<i>was</i>much of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.</p><p><blockquote>两个相当值得注意的事件，但肯定不是最近发生的，是1)1973年的“漂亮五十”股票，它们似乎“无视地心引力”，在市场其他部分跌跌撞撞的情况下继续上涨；最终，这种情况恶化为1974年的熊市，以及2）1994年的“隐形熊市”，小盘股在这一年的大部分时间里都在下跌，但SPX在此期间基本持平；从来没有<i>什么</i>该指数大幅下跌，直到年底一场不相关的丑闻（奥兰治县灾难）导致该指数短暂下跌。</blockquote></p><p> This situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况并非不可逆转。如果广度提高，它可以“纠正”自己。这仍然是一种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> The SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.</p><p><blockquote>SPX图表仍处于看涨模式，因为它正在上涨并高于支撑位。本周低点4370附近有小幅支撑。然后在4233点（7月低点）下方有更重要的支撑。只要SPX保持在该水平之上，图表仍将呈现看涨的外观。4160点和4060点的进一步支撑位经过了很好的测试，但远低于当前水平，用处不大。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/033187b97fbfadb4f302aff6d1e0e8c6\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.</p><p><blockquote>如随附的SPX图表所示，发出麦克米兰波动带(MVB)卖出信号（图表右上角的绿色“S”）。此外，随着标准普尔指数20天历史波动率已升至11%以上，现在也出现了已实现的波动性卖出信号。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率仍处于卖出信号，因为它们仍在上升。这表明过去一个月看跌期权买盘相对较多。从附图中可以看出，标准比率的上升速度快于加权比率，但两者都在上升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94f1634f122ad3efa266cde27ddd8599\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786b9a1f7118e239186772ceb365b513\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Breadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.</p><p><blockquote>广度一直是当前市场正在经历的内部问题的最突出指标。当SPX创下历史新高时，它已经连续多天为负值。因此，我们的广度振荡器落后于市场。是的，它们发出了买入信号，但远未达到纳斯达克100指数、标普500指数和道琼斯工业指数处于或接近高点时预期的积极水平。</blockquote></p><p> There was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>不过，周三有一丝小幅改善，当天大盘持平至下跌，但广度是积极的。我们最近没有看到那么多，但如果这种情况继续下去，这将对股市有利。</blockquote></p><p> The cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.<i>That</i>is a negative divergence.</p><p><blockquote>累积宽度振荡器继续滞后，这是负背离的“官方”衡量标准。截至6月11日（含6月11日）的13个交易日中，累计宽度指标有10个创下历史新高。从那以后，他们没有创下一个新的历史新高。与此同时，自该日以来，SPX已连续13个交易日创下历史新高。<i>那个</i>是负背离。</blockquote></p><p> It can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过改进累积宽度指标来克服——这是今年早些时候完成的。但是，就目前而言，这种负面分歧仍然是一个警告信号，需要保持警惕，不要自满。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Over the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，就纳斯达克数据和“仅股票”数据而言，52周新低多于52周新高。然而，我们使用纽约证券交易所作为指标，新高设法保持对新低的微弱领先。因此，该指标虽然走弱，但仍处于看涨状态。</blockquote></p><p> The one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>市场中没有表现出这些负面趋势的一个领域是隐含波动率——VIX及其交易产品。7月20日的VIX“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。事实上，自5月21日以来，除了两个交易日外，一直存在连续的“尖峰”买入信号。此外，由于200日移动平均线仍在下降，VIX的趋势仍然向下，并且远高于VIX 20日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/647dc26baa4fe92b852e1a1585a5cc18\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构仍然对股票有利。近月8月VIX期货交易价格较VIX溢价相当大，VIX期货期限结构向上倾斜。此外，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数期限结构向上倾斜。这些加起来对股市来说是一个看涨的情景。8月份VIX期货的交易价格高于9月份VIX期货，这将表明大盘面临任何危险，但这种危险并非迫在眉睫。</blockquote></p><p> So, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于SPX和VIX的趋势，市场的“核心”前景仍然看涨。是的，内部人士警告不要自满，因此我们可以针对这个“核心”看涨位置发出卖出信号，但只要SPX保持在4233点的支撑位之上，多头仍然占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New Recommendation: D.R. Horton</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新建议：D.R。霍顿</b></blockquote></p><p> D.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.</p><p><blockquote>D.R.HortonDHI,+0.50%从其看跌-看涨期权比率图表中发出了新的买入信号，但我们希望这也能得到上行突破的证实。从下图中，人们可以看到看跌-看涨期权比率图上的局部最大值处于极高的水平（绿色“B”），这是对该股极度悲观的一个例子，尽管它自5月初以来的回调并没有那么陡峭。</blockquote></p><p> Put-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.</p><p><blockquote>看跌-看涨期权比率信号本质上是相反的，因此如果公众极度悲观，我们希望保持乐观。这将以看涨期权买入的形式实现，但前提是DHI能够收于93阻力位上方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IF DHI closes above 93,</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如果DHI收于93上方，</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>THEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls</b></p><p><blockquote><b>然后买2 DHI 9月（17日）92.5评级</b></blockquote></p><p> DHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.</p><p><blockquote>DHI目前的交易价格高于93，但我们希望在建立多头看涨期权头寸之前看到它接近93。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/006888c3a8db8d4a3ffa406ebfc2b2e1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> That is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except for<b>Cerner Corp.</b>CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.</p><p><blockquote>这是唯一的新建议。最近没有太多的收购传闻活动，除了<b>塞尔纳公司。</b>CERN，+1.38%然而，我们最近才退出了Cerner的头寸，因为收购传闻已经存在很长时间，以至于超出了我们评级的到期日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后续行动</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>除非另有说明，所有停止都是精神关闭停止。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 102.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙3杜克8月（20日）100评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高到102。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>长4 DBX 8月（13日）30.5评级：</b>将跟踪止损提高至30.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:</b>The stop yourself remains at 26.</p><p><blockquote><b>Long 1 Rapt 8月20日30日看涨期权：</b>你自己的止损点保持在26。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:</b>This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）431看涨期权：</b>该头寸是根据7月20日VIX“尖峰”买入信号买入的。自该日起继续持有22天。如果VIX在任何三天内上涨3.00点或以上，则使用收盘价，该头寸将被止损。如果止损，则在随后的买入信号中以平价看涨期权重新入场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:</b>Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to the<b>Sept (17th) 75 calls.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Long 2 HOLX 9月（17日）65评级：</b>自己将跟踪止损提高到68。此外，如果止损点交易在75，则向上滚动至<b>75年9月17日评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:</b>This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.</p><p><blockquote><b>多头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）433看跌空头1 SPDR标普500指数ETF 8月（20日）408看跌：</b>该价差是根据仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率卖出信号买入的。那些卖出信号仍然存在，所以继续持有这个价差。我们将每周更新情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:</b>These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.</p><p><blockquote><b>长0 AVCT 8月（20日）5评级：</b>当美国虚拟云技术公司AVCT,-1.30%于7月26日收盘低于5时，这些评级被停止。该股因债务削减的消息而开始走弱，然后在该公司申请出售更多股票后大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:</b>Raise the stop to 22.20.</p><p><blockquote><b>龙5星8月（20日）22.5评级：</b>将止损提高到22.20。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:</b>Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>长5华大智造8月（20日）10评级：</b>最初不间断地持有该头寸，看看收购要约是否能够实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-eye-catching-divergence-in-the-stock-market-is-a-warning-against-complacency-01627570780?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-eye-catching-divergence-in-the-stock-market-is-a-warning-against-complacency-01627570780?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198838390","content_text":"S&P 500’s core outlook remains bullish\nGETTY IMAGES\nThe S&P 500 index is performing at a far different rate than the “average” stock. This has been going on for a while and is not necessarily a bull market “killer,” but it is certainly not the healthiest of environments.\nThe S&P,the NASDAQ-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are all at or near all-time highs. But the Russell 2000 is lagging behind, reflective of the poor internal strength of the overall market. The internal measurements show fairly heavy put buying, poor breadth on many days, and even more new 52-week lows than new highs.\nWhat is propelling SPX and the narrow-based indexes is a relatively small number of large-cap tech stocks.\nSimilar stories have unfolded many times in the past – some with dire market results and some not so bad. But it is extremely difficult to keep a bull market going with the majority of stocks lagging behind.\nTwo rather notable, but certainly not recent, occurrences were 1) the “Nifty Fifty” stocks of 1973 that seemed to “defy gravity” and kept going up while the rest of the market was stumbling; eventually that situation deteriorated into a raging bear market in 1974, and 2) the “stealth bear market” of 1994, where small-caps went down for most of the year, yet SPX was essentially flat during that time; there neverwasmuch of a decline in that index until an unrelated scandal (the Orange County debacle) took it down briefly late in the year.\nThis situation is not irreversible. It could “right” itself if breadth were to improve. That is still a possibility.\nThe SPX chart is still in a bullish mode, as it is rising and above support. There is minor support at this week’s lows, near 4370. Then there is more important support below that at 4233 (the July lows). As long as SPX remains above that level, the chart will still have a bullish appearance. Further support levels at 4160 and 4060 were well-tested, but are so far below current levels as to be of little use.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nAs noted on the accompanying SPX chart, a McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is place (green “S” on the upper right of the chart). In addition, there is now a realized volatility sell signal in place, too, as the S&P’s 20-day historical volatility has risen above 11%.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, as they are still rising. This is indicative of relatively heavy put buying over the past month. As one can see from the accompanying charts, the standard ratio is rising faster than the weighted ratio – but both are rising.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nBreadth has been the most prominent indicator of the internal troubles that the current market is experiencing. It has been negative on many days when SPX was making new all-time highs. As a result, our breadth oscillators are lagging behind the market. Yes, they are on buy signals, but are nowhere near the positive levels that one would expect to see with the NASDAQ-100, S&P 500 and Dow industrials at or near their highs.\nThere was one small ray of improvement here on Wednesday, though, when the broad market was flat-to-down on the day, yet breadth was positive. We have not seen that much recently, but if it should continue, that would be bullish for stocks.\nThe cumulative breadth oscillators continue to lag, and that is the “official” measure of a negative divergence. The cumulative breadth indicators made new all-time highs on 10 of 13 trading days leading up to and including June 11. Since then, they have not made a single new all-time high. Meanwhile, SPX has made new all-time highs on 13 separate trading days since that date.Thatis a negative divergence.\nIt can be overcome by an improvement in the cumulative breadth indicators – something which was accomplished earlier this year. But, for now, this negative divergence remains as a warning sign to stay alert and not become complacent.\nOver the past week, new 52-weeks lows were more numerous than new 52-week highs in terms of NASDAQ data and in terms of “stocks only” data. However, it is the NYSE that we use for our indicator, and new highs managed to cling to a narrow lead over new lows there. Thus, this indicator – while weakening – is still in a bullish state.\nThe one area of the market that has not shown these negative tendencies is implied volatility – VIX and its trading products. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20 is still in place. In fact, there has been a continuous “spike peak” buy signal in place since May 21, except for two trading days. Moreover, the trend of VIX remains downward as the 200-day moving average is still declining, and it is well above the VIX 20-day moving average.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nThe construct of volatility derivatives remains positive for stocks. The front-month August VIX futures are trading at a rather large premium to VIX, and the VIX futures term structure slopes upward. Also, the CBOE Volatility Indices term structure slopes upward. These add up to a bullish scenario for stocks. Any danger for the broad market would be signaled by the August VIX futures trading at a higher price than the September VIX futures, but that it is not imminent.\nSo, the “core” outlook for the market remains bullish due to the trends of SPX and VIX. Yes, the internals are warning against complacency, so we can take sell signals against this “core” bullish position, but as long as SPX remains above support at 4233, the bulls remain in charge.\nNew Recommendation: D.R. Horton\nD.R. HortonDHI,+0.50%has a new buy signal from its put-call ratio chart, but we want that to be confirmed by an upside breakout as well. From the chart below, one can see the local maximum at an extremely high level on the put-call ratio chart (the green “B”), and that is an example of extreme pessimism toward this stock, even though its pullback since the beginning of May has not been all that steep.\nPut-call ratio signals are contrary in nature, so if the public is extremely pessimistic, we want to be optimistic. That would materialize in the form of a call buy, but only if DHI can close above resistance at 93.\nIF DHI closes above 93,\nTHEN buy 2 DHI Sept (17th) 92.5 calls\nDHI is currently trading above 93, but we want to see it close there before taking a long call position.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nThat is the only new recommendation. There has not been a lot of takeover rumor activity recently except forCerner Corp.CERN,+1.38%However, we only recently exited a position in Cerner, as the takeover rumors had been around so long that they extended beyond the length of the expiration date of our calls.\nFollow-up action\nAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.\nLong 3 DUK Aug (20th) 100 calls:Raise the trailing stop to 102.\nLong 4 DBX Aug (13th) 30.5 calls:Raise the trailing stop to 30.20.\nLong 1 RAPT Aug (20th) 30 call:The stop yourself remains at 26.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 431 call:This position was bought in line with the VIX “spike peak” buy signal of July 20. Continue to hold for 22 days from that date. The position would be stopped out if VIX were to rise 3.00 points or more within any three-day period, using closing prices. If it is stopped out, then re-enter with an at-the-money call on the ensuing buy signal.\nLong 2 HOLX Sept (17th) 65 calls:Raise the trailing stop yourself to 68. Furthermore, if the stop trades at 75, then roll up to theSept (17th) 75 calls.\nLong 1 SPY Aug (20th) 433 put and short 1 SPY Aug (20th) 408 put:This spread was bought in line with the equity-only put-call ratio sell signals. Those sell signals are still in place, so continue to hold this spread. We will update the situation weekly.\nLong 0 AVCT Aug (20th) 5 calls:These calls were stopped out when American Virtual Cloud TechnologiesAVCT,-1.30%closed below 5 on July 26. The stock had begun to weaken on news of debt reduction and then fell sharply after the company filed to sell more shares.\nLong 5 STAR Aug (20th) 22.5 calls:Raise the stop to 22.20.\nLong 5 MGI Aug (20th) 10 calls:Hold this position without a stop initially to see if a takeover bid can materialize.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178786610,"gmtCreate":1626837668530,"gmtModify":1631890031209,"author":{"id":"3580293346761839","authorId":"3580293346761839","name":"JENerousity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c9bfda6699fa5b09a30b10b2634052","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580293346761839","authorIdStr":"3580293346761839"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla to the moon","listText":"Tsla to the moon","text":"Tsla to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178786610","repostId":"1108406839","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108406839","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626835975,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108406839?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 10:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Stock Popped Again Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108406839","media":"The Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nSix days ago, Tesla Motors stock dropped in response to comments fromwould-be rival Lu","content":"<p><h3><b>What happened</b></h3> Six days ago,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> </b>stock dropped in response to comments fromwould-be rival Lucid Motors (coming public via special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCIV\">Churchill Capital Corp IV</a></b> (NYSE:CCIV) soon), whose CEO Peter Rawlinson boasted that his company's new \"Air\" electric vehicle would be more efficient than a Tesla Model S and steal away $900 million in sales that might otherwise have gone to Tesla.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>发生了什么</b></h3>六天前，<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>由于潜在竞争对手Lucid Motors（通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)上市）的评论，股价下跌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCIV\">丘吉尔资本公司IV</a></b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CCIV）很快），其首席执行官彼得·罗林森(Peter Rawlinson)吹嘘说，他公司的新型“Air”电动汽车将比特斯拉Model S更高效，并抢走9亿美元的销售额，否则这些销售额可能会流向特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock dropped on this reminder of increased competition, so I guess it makes sense that today, we're seeing Tesla stock <i>rise</i> in response to news than some <i>other</i> competition is falling further behind in this race.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票因竞争加剧而下跌，所以我想今天我们看到特斯拉股票是有道理的<i>上升</i>回应新闻比一些<i>其他的</i>在这场竞赛中，竞争进一步落后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad37d27c8cc15cca2476a1a109b02e2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>So what</b></h3> As CNBC first reported late last week, and as Tesla fan site Teslarati re-reported today, construction delays and supply-chain disruptions from the pandemic have forcedelectric-truck upstart Rivian to delay deliveries of its ballyhooed R1T electric-pickup truck until September.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>那又怎样</b></h3>正如CNBC上周晚些时候首次报道的那样，以及特斯拉粉丝网站Teslarati今天再次报道的那样，大流行造成的施工延误和供应链中断迫使电动卡车新贵Rivian将其大肆宣传的R1T电动皮卡车的交付推迟到9月份。</blockquote></p><p> Now the good news for Rivian is that it seems to be prioritizing production for its marquee customer <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b> and still plans to put a first installment of 10,000 electric Amazon vans on the road \"as early as next year.\" But the good news for <i>Tesla</i> is that, with Rivian focusing on keeping its most important customer happy, Tesla won't have to compete with a new electric-pickup truck for a few more months now.</p><p><blockquote>现在对Rivian来说，好消息是它似乎正在优先考虑为其大客户生产<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>并且仍计划“最早于明年”将第一批10,000辆电动亚马逊货车上路。但好消息是<i>特斯拉</i>也就是说，随着Rivian专注于让其最重要的客户满意，特斯拉在几个月内将不必与新型电动皮卡车竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Now what</b></h3> This is really unalloyed good news for Tesla. I mean, Amazon had already tapped Rivian to build a total of 100,000 electric-delivery vans for its armies of parcel-toting delivery drivers. This wasn't business Tesla was going to win away even if Rivian had to delay production of these vans.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>现在怎么办</b></h3>这对特斯拉来说确实是个十足的好消息。我的意思是，亚马逊已经利用Rivian为其运送包裹的送货司机大军制造了总共10万辆电动送货车。即使Rivian不得不推迟这些货车的生产，特斯拉也不会赢。</blockquote></p><p> Where Tesla can still compete in the electric-truck (as opposed to the electric-car) market is on sales to individual consumers, and that's the competition that has been pushed back a bit by Rivian's production delays.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在电动卡车（相对于电动汽车）市场上仍然可以竞争的地方是向个人消费者的销售，而这一竞争因Rivian的生产延迟而有所推迟。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, there's still <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a></b>, and a whole host of other would-be electric-car companiesall coming down the pike. For the time being, though, today's news was good enough to help lift Tesla stock 2.2% by the closing bell.</p><p><blockquote>当然，还有<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a></b>以及一大堆其他潜在的电动汽车公司都纷纷效仿。不过，就目前而言，今天的消息足以帮助特斯拉股价在收盘时上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Stock Popped Again Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Stock Popped Again Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 10:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><h3><b>What happened</b></h3> Six days ago,<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> </b>stock dropped in response to comments fromwould-be rival Lucid Motors (coming public via special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCIV\">Churchill Capital Corp IV</a></b> (NYSE:CCIV) soon), whose CEO Peter Rawlinson boasted that his company's new \"Air\" electric vehicle would be more efficient than a Tesla Model S and steal away $900 million in sales that might otherwise have gone to Tesla.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>发生了什么</b></h3>六天前，<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>由于潜在竞争对手Lucid Motors（通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)上市）的评论，股价下跌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCIV\">丘吉尔资本公司IV</a></b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CCIV）很快），其首席执行官彼得·罗林森(Peter Rawlinson)吹嘘说，他公司的新型“Air”电动汽车将比特斯拉Model S更高效，并抢走9亿美元的销售额，否则这些销售额可能会流向特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock dropped on this reminder of increased competition, so I guess it makes sense that today, we're seeing Tesla stock <i>rise</i> in response to news than some <i>other</i> competition is falling further behind in this race.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票因竞争加剧而下跌，所以我想今天我们看到特斯拉股票是有道理的<i>上升</i>回应新闻比一些<i>其他的</i>在这场竞赛中，竞争进一步落后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ad37d27c8cc15cca2476a1a109b02e2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"420\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>So what</b></h3> As CNBC first reported late last week, and as Tesla fan site Teslarati re-reported today, construction delays and supply-chain disruptions from the pandemic have forcedelectric-truck upstart Rivian to delay deliveries of its ballyhooed R1T electric-pickup truck until September.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>那又怎样</b></h3>正如CNBC上周晚些时候首次报道的那样，以及特斯拉粉丝网站Teslarati今天再次报道的那样，大流行造成的施工延误和供应链中断迫使电动卡车新贵Rivian将其大肆宣传的R1T电动皮卡车的交付推迟到9月份。</blockquote></p><p> Now the good news for Rivian is that it seems to be prioritizing production for its marquee customer <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a></b> and still plans to put a first installment of 10,000 electric Amazon vans on the road \"as early as next year.\" But the good news for <i>Tesla</i> is that, with Rivian focusing on keeping its most important customer happy, Tesla won't have to compete with a new electric-pickup truck for a few more months now.</p><p><blockquote>现在对Rivian来说，好消息是它似乎正在优先考虑为其大客户生产<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a></b>并且仍计划“最早于明年”将第一批10,000辆电动亚马逊货车上路。但好消息是<i>特斯拉</i>也就是说，随着Rivian专注于让其最重要的客户满意，特斯拉在几个月内将不必与新型电动皮卡车竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Now what</b></h3> This is really unalloyed good news for Tesla. I mean, Amazon had already tapped Rivian to build a total of 100,000 electric-delivery vans for its armies of parcel-toting delivery drivers. This wasn't business Tesla was going to win away even if Rivian had to delay production of these vans.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>现在怎么办</b></h3>这对特斯拉来说确实是个十足的好消息。我的意思是，亚马逊已经利用Rivian为其运送包裹的送货司机大军制造了总共10万辆电动送货车。即使Rivian不得不推迟这些货车的生产，特斯拉也不会赢。</blockquote></p><p> Where Tesla can still compete in the electric-truck (as opposed to the electric-car) market is on sales to individual consumers, and that's the competition that has been pushed back a bit by Rivian's production delays.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在电动卡车（相对于电动汽车）市场上仍然可以竞争的地方是向个人消费者的销售，而这一竞争因Rivian的生产延迟而有所推迟。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, there's still <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a></b>, and a whole host of other would-be electric-car companiesall coming down the pike. For the time being, though, today's news was good enough to help lift Tesla stock 2.2% by the closing bell.</p><p><blockquote>当然，还有<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a></b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a></b>以及一大堆其他潜在的电动汽车公司都纷纷效仿。不过，就目前而言，今天的消息足以帮助特斯拉股价在收盘时上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/20/why-tesla-stock-popped-again-tuesday/\">The Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","F":"福特汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","GM":"通用汽车","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/20/why-tesla-stock-popped-again-tuesday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108406839","content_text":"What happened\nSix days ago, Tesla Motors stock dropped in response to comments fromwould-be rival Lucid Motors (coming public via special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Churchill Capital Corp IV (NYSE:CCIV) soon), whose CEO Peter Rawlinson boasted that his company's new \"Air\" electric vehicle would be more efficient than a Tesla Model S and steal away $900 million in sales that might otherwise have gone to Tesla.\nTesla stock dropped on this reminder of increased competition, so I guess it makes sense that today, we're seeing Tesla stock rise in response to news than some other competition is falling further behind in this race.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSo what\nAs CNBC first reported late last week, and as Tesla fan site Teslarati re-reported today, construction delays and supply-chain disruptions from the pandemic have forcedelectric-truck upstart Rivian to delay deliveries of its ballyhooed R1T electric-pickup truck until September.\nNow the good news for Rivian is that it seems to be prioritizing production for its marquee customer Amazon.com and still plans to put a first installment of 10,000 electric Amazon vans on the road \"as early as next year.\" But the good news for Tesla is that, with Rivian focusing on keeping its most important customer happy, Tesla won't have to compete with a new electric-pickup truck for a few more months now.\nNow what\nThis is really unalloyed good news for Tesla. I mean, Amazon had already tapped Rivian to build a total of 100,000 electric-delivery vans for its armies of parcel-toting delivery drivers. This wasn't business Tesla was going to win away even if Rivian had to delay production of these vans.\nWhere Tesla can still compete in the electric-truck (as opposed to the electric-car) market is on sales to individual consumers, and that's the competition that has been pushed back a bit by Rivian's production delays.\nGranted, there's still Ford, General Motors, and a whole host of other would-be electric-car companiesall coming down the pike. For the time being, though, today's news was good enough to help lift Tesla stock 2.2% by the closing bell.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"GM":0.9,"F":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"CCIV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}