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WealthyRoarz
WealthyRoarz
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2021-10-10
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2021-10-04
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What to know this week:September jobs report, PepsiCo and Levi earnings<blockquote>本周需要了解的内容:9月份就业报告、百事可乐和李维斯收益</blockquote>
The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labor market data, as investors await the release
What to know this week:September jobs report, PepsiCo and Levi earnings<blockquote>本周需要了解的内容:9月份就业报告、百事可乐和李维斯收益</blockquote>
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WealthyRoarz
WealthyRoarz
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2021-09-27
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Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>大麻股周一早盘上涨</blockquote>
Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading as U.S. House approved bill to ease banking for can
Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>大麻股周一早盘上涨</blockquote>
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WealthyRoarz
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2021-09-25
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WealthyRoarz
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2021-09-23
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2021-09-21
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WealthyRoarz
WealthyRoarz
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2021-09-20
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as inve
Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
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2021-09-18
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WealthyRoarz
WealthyRoarz
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2021-09-05
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Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>
Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do
Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>
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2021-09-04
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comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867540021","repostId":"2172203962","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172203962","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633284334,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2172203962?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 02:05","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"What to know this week:September jobs report, PepsiCo and Levi earnings<blockquote>本周需要了解的内容:9月份就业报告、百事可乐和李维斯收益</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172203962","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labor market data, as investors await the release","content":"<p><div> The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labor market data, as investors await the release of the Labor Department's September jobs report on Friday. Several earnings results from major ...</p><p><blockquote><div>本周华尔街的焦点将是劳动力市场数据,投资者等待劳工部周五发布的9月份就业报告。主要公司的几项盈利结果...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What to know this week:September jobs report, PepsiCo and Levi earnings<blockquote>本周需要了解的内容:9月份就业报告、百事可乐和李维斯收益</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat to know this week:September jobs report, PepsiCo and Levi earnings<blockquote>本周需要了解的内容:9月份就业报告、百事可乐和李维斯收益</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-04 02:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labor market data, as investors await the release of the Labor Department's September jobs report on Friday. Several earnings results from major ...</p><p><blockquote><div>本周华尔街的焦点将是劳动力市场数据,投资者等待劳工部周五发布的9月份就业报告。主要公司的几项盈利结果...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PEP":"百事可乐",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/september-jobs-report-pepsi-co-and-levi-earnings-what-to-know-this-week-180534292.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2172203962","content_text":"The spotlight this week for Wall Street will be on labor market data, as investors await the release of the Labor Department's September jobs report on Friday. Several earnings results from major consumer brands are also on tap, and OPEC+.\nAll eyes are focused on the meeting of OPEC+( the group of oil producers)to be held on October 4.The group had been widely expected to keep current plans to raise overall production by 400,000 barrels a day each month in place.On last Thursday, Reuters reported that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, known as OPEC+, is weighing additional production increases, \"beyond its existing deal to boost production by 400,000 barrels per day,\" as prices for crude trade near year three-year highs.\nTraders are looking to see payroll gains accelerate in Septembe after a shockingly disappointing August jobs report, when just 235,000 jobs came back versus the more than 700,000 expected. Consensus economists anticipate that 475,000 payrolls returned in September, and that the unemployment rate fell to 5.1%, or the lowest since March 2020.\n\"There is more hope for the labor market. The next few months will be important and we could see greater labor market participation as fear of the virus abates,\" Bank of America U.S. economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note on Friday.\nMeyer also flagged recent comments from Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, who addressed some of the ongoing labor scarcities and issues in bringing individuals back into the workforce.\n\"The decline in labor force participation appears to reflect COVID-related constraints that have been prolonged by Delta rather than permanent structural changes in the economy,\" Brainard said in public remarks in Arlington, Va., last week.\nBut these virus-related risks still remain a point of concern for the labor market's recovery, and for the September jobs report in particular. And the U.S. economy has still lost a net total of over 5 million payrolls since March 2020, underscoring the deficit still left to recoup on employment.\n\"To the downside, we see risk of public payrolls contracting modestly in September as education payrolls could recede modestly due to school closures amid the Delta wave and negative payback from strong hiring over the summer,\" Meyer said. \"Consequently, we think private payrolls growth will be marginally stronger than non-farm payrolls growth. All told, the data flow suggests another soft month of employment activity but a slightly faster pace of job gains compared to August.\"\nImportantly, the September jobs report will be a key factor in informing the Federal Reserve's timing on formally announcing and beginning tapering of its pandemic-era asset purchase program. The central bank signaled last month that it believed the economy was on its way to being able to stand on its own without the extraordinary levels of monetary policy support seen over the course of the year and a half.\nAnd indeed, Fed officials have said the economy has already met the central bank's targeted threshold for inflation, and that only more progress on the labor market's recovery was needed to be enough to trigger the start of tapering.\n\"It wouldn't take a knockout, great, super strong employment report,\" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell saidduring his latest post-FOMC meeting press conference in September. \"It would take a reasonably good employment report for me to feel like that test is met.\"\nConsumer names to report earnings\nA number of companies are set to report quarterly results throughout the week, offering a first look at how corporate profits have held up in the third-quarter before a bigger wave of firms report results in the coming weeks.\nThe names reporting this week will center on major consumer brands including PepsiCo (PEP), Constellation Brands (STZ) and Levi Strauss (LEVI). One of the key themes from these reports and earnings calls will be on commentary around inflation, labor and supply chain challenges, given rising prices and materials shortages already seen across various pockets of the economy.\nResults last week from companies including Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), for instance, already served as a harbinger of the myriad supply-side issues facing the retail industry. The company posted an unexpected drop in same-store sales for its quarter ending in late August, whereas Wall Street had projected same-store sales growth. The drop came both as a result of consumer skittishness over shopping in-person during the Delta variant's spread, and as supply pressures weighed on growth.\nWhen asked during the company earnings call whether these challenges might abate over the balance of the year, Bed Bath & Beyond CEO Mark Tritton said the company was \"not expecting supply chain pressures to ease.\"\n\"We operated under unprecedented supply chain conditions that have continued to increasingly tighten global trade since last year,\" Tritton said.\nCompanies in other industries have highlighted similar concerns. Micron (MU), the biggest domestic memory chipmaker, said in a letter to customers that it was still experiencing cost increases for materials and services and did \"not expect that pressure to ease in the foreseeable future,\" according to a report from Bloomberg last week. And earlier in September, FedEx (FDX) posted a sharp miss on quarterly profits as supply chain pressures and rising labor costs pressured margins for the shipping giant.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday:Factory orders, August (1.0% expected, 0.4% in July); Durable goods orders, August final (1.8% in prior print); Durable goods orders, excluding transportation, August final (0.2% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, August final (0.5% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders, excluding aircraft, August final (0.7% in prior print)\nTuesday:Trade balance, August (-$70.5 billion expected, -$70.1 billion in July); Markit U.S. services PMI, September final (54.4 expected, 54.4 in prior print); Markit U.S. composite PMI, September final (54.5 in prior print); ISM Services index, September (60.0 expected, 61.7 in August)\nWednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended October 1 (-1.1% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, September (450,000 expected, 374,000 in August)\nThursday:Challenger Job Cuts, year-over-year, September (-86.4% in August); Initial jobless claims, week ended October 2 (349,000 expected, 362,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended September 25 (2.802 million during prior week); Consumer credit, August ($18.000 billion expected, $17.004 billion in July)\nFriday:Change in non-farm payrolls, September (488,000 expected, 235,000 in August); Unemployment rate, September (5.1% expected, 5.2% in August); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.6% in August); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, September (4.6% expected, 4.3% in August); Labor force participation rate, September (61.7% in August); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, August final (1.2% expected, 1.2% in prior estimate)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday:No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday:PepsiCo (PEP) before market open\nWednesday:Constellation Brands (STZ) before market open; Levi Strauss (LEVI) after market close\nThursday:Conagra Brands (CAG), Tilray (TLRY) before market open\nFriday:No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866606884,"gmtCreate":1632757815548,"gmtModify":1632798030550,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866606884","repostId":"1143307489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143307489","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632757396,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143307489?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 23:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>大麻股周一早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143307489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading as U.S. House approved bill to ease banking for can","content":"<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading as U.S. House approved bill to ease banking for cannabis companies.Canopy Growth,Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, Cronos, Sundial Growers and OrganiGram climbed between 2% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在周一早盘交易中上涨,因为美国。众议院批准了放宽大麻公司银行业务的法案。Canopy Growth、Tilray、Aurora Cannabis、Cronos、Sundial Growers和OrganiGram股价上涨2%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7d7c6db300ed6a9e7a2699a1884e853\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The U.S. House of Representatives late last Tuesday night approved a bill that would let banks to do business with cannabis companies without fear of penalty, giving traction to the least-disputed reform sought by the growing industry.</p><p><blockquote>美国众议院上周二晚间批准了一项法案,允许银行与大麻公司开展业务,而不必担心受到处罚,这为不断增长的行业寻求的争议最小的改革提供了动力。</blockquote></p><p> The so-called SAFE Banking Act, which is the least disputed reform sought by the growing industry, got picked up as part of broader legislation, and its inclusion in the National Defense Authorization Act was approved by voice vote late Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether the bill will pass the Senate, but the House action gives it a better shot.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的《安全银行法》是这个不断发展的行业所寻求的争议最少的改革,被作为更广泛立法的一部分,并于周二晚些时候以口头投票方式批准将其纳入《国防授权法》。该法案是否会在参议院获得通过还有待观察,但众议院的行动给了它一个更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> The act would be a boon for marijuana companies, which have so far been stymied by the need to deal in cash because of federal restrictions. That has meant they have extra security costs and logistical problems, even as marijuana increasingly becomes legal. Some three dozen states now allow medical or recreational use, according to New Frontier Data, a cannabis research firm.</p><p><blockquote>该法案对大麻公司来说将是一个福音,由于联邦限制,大麻公司迄今为止一直因需要现金交易而受到阻碍。这意味着他们有额外的安全成本和后勤问题,即使大麻越来越合法。根据大麻研究公司New Frontier Data的数据,现在大约有36个州允许医疗或娱乐用途。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94634a1c93ee67a96440d95391009461\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Representative Ed Perlmutter, a Colorado Democrat, who had re-introduced the bill,has said that allowing cannabis businesses to access the banking system would bring more money into the economy and offer the opportunity to create good-paying jobs. The American cannabis industry had $20.3 billion in legal sales in 2020, according New Frontier Data.</p><p><blockquote>重新提出该法案的科罗拉多州民主党众议员埃德·佩尔穆特表示,允许大麻企业进入银行系统将为经济带来更多资金,并提供创造高薪就业机会的机会。根据New Frontier的数据,2020年美国大麻行业的合法销售额为203亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The initiative, which has been passed by the House before with bipartisan support but never advanced to the Senate, is still a far cry from the wish list of legal reforms sought by the industry, which include all-out legalization and relief from tax burdens.</p><p><blockquote>该倡议此前已在两党支持下在众议院获得通过,但从未提交参议院,与该行业寻求的法律改革愿望清单(包括全面合法化和减轻税收负担)仍相去甚远。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Cannabis Council, a trade group, called the current rules that require marijuana firms to be all-cash a security hazard.</p><p><blockquote>贸易组织美国大麻委员会称,目前要求大麻公司全现金的规定存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> “Over $17 billion in legal cannabis was sold in the United States last year, overwhelmingly through cash transactions. Forcing legitimate, well-regulated cannabis businesses to conduct most of their business in cash is anachronistic and a clear threat to public safety,” the council’s chief executive officer, Steven Hawkins, said in a statement before the bill passed.</p><p><blockquote>“去年,美国销售了超过170亿美元的合法大麻,其中绝大多数是通过现金交易。强迫合法、监管良好的大麻企业以现金开展大部分业务是不合时宜的,也是对公共安全的明显威胁,”该委员会首席执行官史蒂文·霍金斯在该法案通过前的一份声明中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “Every step forward is a positive one for the cannabis industry,”BTIGanalyst Camilo Lyon said in a research note Wednesday. He said it isn’t clear whether Senator Chuck Schumer will include the act in the Senate NDAA bill.</p><p><blockquote>BTIGA分析师卡米洛·里昂(Camilo Lyon)在周三的一份研究报告中表示:“每向前迈出一步对大麻行业来说都是积极的一步。”他说,尚不清楚参议员查克·舒默是否会将该法案纳入参议院国防授权法案。</blockquote></p><p> “Discussions with our D.C. contacts suggest it has an easier pathway of getting through the Senate, largely because no senator wants to be viewed as holding up the massive 1,700 page must-pass NDAA simply because of SAFE banking,” Lyon wrote.</p><p><blockquote>里昂写道:“与我们在华盛顿的联系人进行的讨论表明,它有一个更容易通过参议院的途径,很大程度上是因为没有参议员希望仅仅因为银行业安全而被视为搁置1700页的必须通过的国防授权法案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>大麻股周一早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>大麻股周一早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-27 23:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading as U.S. House approved bill to ease banking for cannabis companies.Canopy Growth,Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, Cronos, Sundial Growers and OrganiGram climbed between 2% and 6%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在周一早盘交易中上涨,因为美国。众议院批准了放宽大麻公司银行业务的法案。Canopy Growth、Tilray、Aurora Cannabis、Cronos、Sundial Growers和OrganiGram股价上涨2%至6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7d7c6db300ed6a9e7a2699a1884e853\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The U.S. House of Representatives late last Tuesday night approved a bill that would let banks to do business with cannabis companies without fear of penalty, giving traction to the least-disputed reform sought by the growing industry.</p><p><blockquote>美国众议院上周二晚间批准了一项法案,允许银行与大麻公司开展业务,而不必担心受到处罚,这为不断增长的行业寻求的争议最小的改革提供了动力。</blockquote></p><p> The so-called SAFE Banking Act, which is the least disputed reform sought by the growing industry, got picked up as part of broader legislation, and its inclusion in the National Defense Authorization Act was approved by voice vote late Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether the bill will pass the Senate, but the House action gives it a better shot.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的《安全银行法》是这个不断发展的行业所寻求的争议最少的改革,被作为更广泛立法的一部分,并于周二晚些时候以口头投票方式批准将其纳入《国防授权法》。该法案是否会在参议院获得通过还有待观察,但众议院的行动给了它一个更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> The act would be a boon for marijuana companies, which have so far been stymied by the need to deal in cash because of federal restrictions. That has meant they have extra security costs and logistical problems, even as marijuana increasingly becomes legal. Some three dozen states now allow medical or recreational use, according to New Frontier Data, a cannabis research firm.</p><p><blockquote>该法案对大麻公司来说将是一个福音,由于联邦限制,大麻公司迄今为止一直因需要现金交易而受到阻碍。这意味着他们有额外的安全成本和后勤问题,即使大麻越来越合法。根据大麻研究公司New Frontier Data的数据,现在大约有36个州允许医疗或娱乐用途。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94634a1c93ee67a96440d95391009461\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Representative Ed Perlmutter, a Colorado Democrat, who had re-introduced the bill,has said that allowing cannabis businesses to access the banking system would bring more money into the economy and offer the opportunity to create good-paying jobs. The American cannabis industry had $20.3 billion in legal sales in 2020, according New Frontier Data.</p><p><blockquote>重新提出该法案的科罗拉多州民主党众议员埃德·佩尔穆特表示,允许大麻企业进入银行系统将为经济带来更多资金,并提供创造高薪就业机会的机会。根据New Frontier的数据,2020年美国大麻行业的合法销售额为203亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The initiative, which has been passed by the House before with bipartisan support but never advanced to the Senate, is still a far cry from the wish list of legal reforms sought by the industry, which include all-out legalization and relief from tax burdens.</p><p><blockquote>该倡议此前已在两党支持下在众议院获得通过,但从未提交参议院,与该行业寻求的法律改革愿望清单(包括全面合法化和减轻税收负担)仍相去甚远。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Cannabis Council, a trade group, called the current rules that require marijuana firms to be all-cash a security hazard.</p><p><blockquote>贸易组织美国大麻委员会称,目前要求大麻公司全现金的规定存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> “Over $17 billion in legal cannabis was sold in the United States last year, overwhelmingly through cash transactions. Forcing legitimate, well-regulated cannabis businesses to conduct most of their business in cash is anachronistic and a clear threat to public safety,” the council’s chief executive officer, Steven Hawkins, said in a statement before the bill passed.</p><p><blockquote>“去年,美国销售了超过170亿美元的合法大麻,其中绝大多数是通过现金交易。强迫合法、监管良好的大麻企业以现金开展大部分业务是不合时宜的,也是对公共安全的明显威胁,”该委员会首席执行官史蒂文·霍金斯在该法案通过前的一份声明中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “Every step forward is a positive one for the cannabis industry,”BTIGanalyst Camilo Lyon said in a research note Wednesday. He said it isn’t clear whether Senator Chuck Schumer will include the act in the Senate NDAA bill.</p><p><blockquote>BTIGA分析师卡米洛·里昂(Camilo Lyon)在周三的一份研究报告中表示:“每向前迈出一步对大麻行业来说都是积极的一步。”他说,尚不清楚参议员查克·舒默是否会将该法案纳入参议院国防授权法案。</blockquote></p><p> “Discussions with our D.C. contacts suggest it has an easier pathway of getting through the Senate, largely because no senator wants to be viewed as holding up the massive 1,700 page must-pass NDAA simply because of SAFE banking,” Lyon wrote.</p><p><blockquote>里昂写道:“与我们在华盛顿的联系人进行的讨论表明,它有一个更容易通过参议院的途径,很大程度上是因为没有参议员希望仅仅因为银行业安全而被视为搁置1700页的必须通过的国防授权法案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","CRON":"Cronos Group Inc.","ACB":"奥罗拉大麻公司","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","OGI":"ORGANIGRAM HOLD","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","MJ":"Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143307489","content_text":"Cannabis stocks jumped in Monday morning trading as U.S. House approved bill to ease banking for cannabis companies.Canopy Growth,Tilray, Aurora Cannabis, Cronos, Sundial Growers and OrganiGram climbed between 2% and 6%.\n\nThe U.S. House of Representatives late last Tuesday night approved a bill that would let banks to do business with cannabis companies without fear of penalty, giving traction to the least-disputed reform sought by the growing industry.\nThe so-called SAFE Banking Act, which is the least disputed reform sought by the growing industry, got picked up as part of broader legislation, and its inclusion in the National Defense Authorization Act was approved by voice vote late Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether the bill will pass the Senate, but the House action gives it a better shot.\nThe act would be a boon for marijuana companies, which have so far been stymied by the need to deal in cash because of federal restrictions. That has meant they have extra security costs and logistical problems, even as marijuana increasingly becomes legal. Some three dozen states now allow medical or recreational use, according to New Frontier Data, a cannabis research firm.\n\nRepresentative Ed Perlmutter, a Colorado Democrat, who had re-introduced the bill,has said that allowing cannabis businesses to access the banking system would bring more money into the economy and offer the opportunity to create good-paying jobs. The American cannabis industry had $20.3 billion in legal sales in 2020, according New Frontier Data.\nThe initiative, which has been passed by the House before with bipartisan support but never advanced to the Senate, is still a far cry from the wish list of legal reforms sought by the industry, which include all-out legalization and relief from tax burdens.\nThe U.S. Cannabis Council, a trade group, called the current rules that require marijuana firms to be all-cash a security hazard.\n“Over $17 billion in legal cannabis was sold in the United States last year, overwhelmingly through cash transactions. Forcing legitimate, well-regulated cannabis businesses to conduct most of their business in cash is anachronistic and a clear threat to public safety,” the council’s chief executive officer, Steven Hawkins, said in a statement before the bill passed.\n“Every step forward is a positive one for the cannabis industry,”BTIGanalyst Camilo Lyon said in a research note Wednesday. He said it isn’t clear whether Senator Chuck Schumer will include the act in the Senate NDAA bill.\n“Discussions with our D.C. contacts suggest it has an easier pathway of getting through the Senate, largely because no senator wants to be viewed as holding up the massive 1,700 page must-pass NDAA simply because of SAFE banking,” Lyon wrote.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TLRY":0.9,"CRON":0.9,"MJ":0.9,"ACB":0.9,"CGC":0.9,"OGI":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861443858,"gmtCreate":1632534153374,"gmtModify":1632710277820,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861443858","repostId":"2170619785","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863903181,"gmtCreate":1632350729843,"gmtModify":1632801100524,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863903181","repostId":"1146187405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860657986,"gmtCreate":1632178910145,"gmtModify":1632802358805,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860657986","repostId":"2169681424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860190115,"gmtCreate":1632143549537,"gmtModify":1632802571497,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860190115","repostId":"1130418583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130418583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632138209,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130418583?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130418583","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as inve","content":"<p>(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.</p><p><blockquote>(九月二十日)美国。周一上午,随着海外股市的下跌,股指期货遭到抛售,投资者紧张地关注中国一家大型房地产公司违约的潜在连锁反应,以及华盛顿正在进行的债务上限辩论。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:47 a.m. ET, Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午07:47,道指期货早盘下跌逾600点,跌幅1.79%。标普500期货跌幅也超过1%,跌幅较上周扩大。由于各种担忧扰乱了市场,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c25019026526b24ae7ba8fd17ac289\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) China Evergrande Group— Chinese property giant Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets. The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.</p><p><blockquote>1)中国恒大集团——中国房地产巨头恒大在香港证券交易所暴跌超过10%,令亚洲市场感到恐慌。该公司一直在争先恐后地向供应商付款,并在几周内两次警告投资者可能会拖欠债务。恒大上周表示,其房地产销售在连续数月下降后,9月份可能会继续大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a></b>-这家制药巨头周一表示,试验表明其新冠疫苗用于5至11岁儿童是安全有效的。辉瑞和合作伙伴BioNTech表示,他们将“尽快”提交结果以供批准。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">Laredo</a> ,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b> — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">拉雷多</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a></b>-石油和能源股周一盘前交易中下跌。SPDR S&P石油和天然气勘探ETF早盘下跌超过3%,连续第三个交易日下跌。拉雷多石油公司下跌超过8%,卡隆石油公司下跌约6%,西方石油公司下跌近5%。这些损失发生之际,由于担心全球经济放缓与中国房地产市场有关,原油价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">Colgate-Palmolive</a></b> — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">高露洁棕榄</a></b>-德意志银行周日将必需消费品股票评级从持有上调至买入。该投资公司表示,高露洁在通货膨胀和一些国际市场上遇到的困难已经反映在其股票中。</blockquote></p><p> 5) JPMorgan, Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>5)摩根大通、美国银行——由于经济放缓担忧导致债券收益率下降,银行股同步下跌。由于股市将出现数月来最大的抛售,投资者纷纷涌向美国国债寻求安全。由于利率下降可能会抑制利润,大型银行股受到打击。美国银行和摩根大通在盘前交易中均下跌超过2%。公民金融集团下跌3%,花旗集团下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">AstraZeneca Plc</a></b> — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">阿斯利康公司</a></b>-这家总部位于英国的制药公司周一宣布,其乳腺癌药物Enhertu在三期试验中显示出积极的结果。该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> </b>— Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.</p><p><blockquote><b>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">方舟创新ETF</a></b>—Cathie Wood的ARK Innovation ETF盘前下跌2.75%,有望实现连续3天上涨。Compugen、DraftKings、Coinbase和Square是今天上午ETF的最大输家。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者认为,这只是9月份可能发生的正常市场行为。</blockquote></p><p> “The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>创始人Tom Essaye表示:“今天上午下跌的原因与上周相同:中国担忧(恒大、监管、新冠疫情)、美联储缩减购债规模和可能的增税,但本周末没有发生任何新的事情来证明今天上午的下跌是合理的。”Sevens Report在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Other risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他风险资产周一下跌。比特币下跌8%,至44,000美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> Most commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.</p><p><blockquote>大多数大宗商品均出现亏损。黄金是少数上涨的资产之一,上涨0.5%至1,760美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday<blockquote>周一美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-20 19:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.</p><p><blockquote>(九月二十日)美国。周一上午,随着海外股市的下跌,股指期货遭到抛售,投资者紧张地关注中国一家大型房地产公司违约的潜在连锁反应,以及华盛顿正在进行的债务上限辩论。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:47 a.m. ET, Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午07:47,道指期货早盘下跌逾600点,跌幅1.79%。标普500期货跌幅也超过1%,跌幅较上周扩大。由于各种担忧扰乱了市场,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8c25019026526b24ae7ba8fd17ac289\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) China Evergrande Group— Chinese property giant Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets. The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.</p><p><blockquote>1)中国恒大集团——中国房地产巨头恒大在香港证券交易所暴跌超过10%,令亚洲市场感到恐慌。该公司一直在争先恐后地向供应商付款,并在几周内两次警告投资者可能会拖欠债务。恒大上周表示,其房地产销售在连续数月下降后,9月份可能会继续大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a></b> — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a></b>-这家制药巨头周一表示,试验表明其新冠疫苗用于5至11岁儿童是安全有效的。辉瑞和合作伙伴BioNTech表示,他们将“尽快”提交结果以供批准。辉瑞股价在盘前交易中下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">Laredo</a> ,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b> — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.</p><p><blockquote><b>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LPI\">拉雷多</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a></b>-石油和能源股周一盘前交易中下跌。SPDR S&P石油和天然气勘探ETF早盘下跌超过3%,连续第三个交易日下跌。拉雷多石油公司下跌超过8%,卡隆石油公司下跌约6%,西方石油公司下跌近5%。这些损失发生之际,由于担心全球经济放缓与中国房地产市场有关,原油价格下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">Colgate-Palmolive</a></b> — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CL\">高露洁棕榄</a></b>-德意志银行周日将必需消费品股票评级从持有上调至买入。该投资公司表示,高露洁在通货膨胀和一些国际市场上遇到的困难已经反映在其股票中。</blockquote></p><p> 5) JPMorgan, Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>5)摩根大通、美国银行——由于经济放缓担忧导致债券收益率下降,银行股同步下跌。由于股市将出现数月来最大的抛售,投资者纷纷涌向美国国债寻求安全。由于利率下降可能会抑制利润,大型银行股受到打击。美国银行和摩根大通在盘前交易中均下跌超过2%。公民金融集团下跌3%,花旗集团下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">AstraZeneca Plc</a></b> — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZNCF\">阿斯利康公司</a></b>-这家总部位于英国的制药公司周一宣布,其乳腺癌药物Enhertu在三期试验中显示出积极的结果。该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a> </b>— Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.</p><p><blockquote><b>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">方舟创新ETF</a></b>—Cathie Wood的ARK Innovation ETF盘前下跌2.75%,有望实现连续3天上涨。Compugen、DraftKings、Coinbase和Square是今天上午ETF的最大输家。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者认为,这只是9月份可能发生的正常市场行为。</blockquote></p><p> “The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>创始人Tom Essaye表示:“今天上午下跌的原因与上周相同:中国担忧(恒大、监管、新冠疫情)、美联储缩减购债规模和可能的增税,但本周末没有发生任何新的事情来证明今天上午的下跌是合理的。”Sevens Report在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Other risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.</p><p><blockquote>其他风险资产周一下跌。比特币下跌8%,至44,000美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> Most commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.</p><p><blockquote>大多数大宗商品均出现亏损。黄金是少数上涨的资产之一,上涨0.5%至1,760美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130418583","content_text":"(Sept 20) U.S. stock futures sold off Monday morning, tracking declines in overseas equities as investors nervously eyed the potential ripple effects of the default of a major Chinese real estate company and ongoing debates over the debt limit in Washington.\nAt 07:47 a.m. ET, Dow futures sank by more than 600 points, or 1.79%, in early trading. S&P 500 futures also dropped by more than 1%, adding to losses from last week. The CBOE Volatility Index, or Vix (^VIX), jumped by more than 30% as a confluence of concerns roiled markets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket\n1) China Evergrande Group— Chinese property giant Evergrande tumbled more than 10% on Hong Kong Stock Exchange, spooking Asian markets. The company has been scrambling to pay its suppliers, and warned investors twice in as many weeks that it could default on its debts. Last week Evergrande said its property sales will likely continue to drop significantly in September after declining for months.\n2) Pfizer — The pharmaceutical giantsaid Mondaythat trials showed its Covid vaccine was safe and effective when used in children ages 5 to 11. Pfizer and partner BioNTech said they would submit the results for approval “as soon as possible.” Shares of Pfizer were down about 1% in premarket trading.\n3) Laredo ,Occidental — Oil and energy stocks dipped in premarket trading on Monday. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF is down more than 3% in early trading, on pace for its 3rd straight negative session. Laredo Petroleum is down more than 8%, Callon Petroleum is down roughly 6%, and Occidental Petroleum is down nearly 5%. The losses came as crude oil fell on fears of a global economic slowdown tied to the China property market.\n4) Colgate-Palmolive — The consumer staples stock wasupgradedto buy from hold by Deutsche Bank on Sunday. The investment firm said that Colgate’s difficulties with inflation and in some international markets was already priced in to its stock.\n5) JPMorgan, Bank of America— Bank stocks slid in unison amid a decline in bond yields on slowdown fears. Investors flocked to Treasurys for safety as the stock market is set for its biggest sell-off in months. Big bank stocks took a hit as the falling rates may crimp profits. Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase were each down more than 2% in premarket trading. Citizens Financial Group dropped 3%, while Citigroup declined 2.5%.\n6) AstraZeneca Plc — The United Kingdom-based pharmaceutical company announced on Monday that its breast cancer drug Enhertu showed positive results in a phase-three trial. Shares of the company were up more than 1% in premarket trading.\n7) ARK Innovation ETF — Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is down 2.75% in the premarket, on pace to snap a 3-day winning streak. Compugen, DraftKings, Coinbase and Square are so of the ETF’s biggest losers this morning.\nSome investors believe this is just normal market action that can occur in September.\n“The reasons for drop this morning are the same as last week: China concerns (Evergrande, regulation, COVID), Fed tapering and possible tax hikes, but nothing new occurred this weekend to justify this mornings’ declines,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.\nOther risky assets declined on Monday.Bitcoinlost 8% tobelow $44,000.\nMost commodities were in the red.Goldwas among the few assets in the green, adding 0.5% to $1,760.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884511776,"gmtCreate":1631918322795,"gmtModify":1632805423029,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884511776","repostId":"2168885573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814211165,"gmtCreate":1630822258157,"gmtModify":1632905681502,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814211165","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。,有一个量化系统,张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详述。(其中包括:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但正如你将看到的,霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中,对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,如果你单干,你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是,成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好,你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化,”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它,”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%,他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正,无论如何我们都会长期持有,”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定,将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多信息见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方,”他说。“他们退出市场,不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时,HCM-买入线会发出买入信号,然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场,在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点,我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力,”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的,因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪,”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边,”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多,那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量的标志,可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西,”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解,我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术,他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品,以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX,+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB,+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT,+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF:HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后,该基金卷土重来,实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,每个经理人,包括沃伦·巴菲特,都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中,”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。,有一个量化系统,张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详述。(其中包括:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但正如你将看到的,霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中,对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,如果你单干,你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是,成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好,你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化,”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它,”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%,他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正,无论如何我们都会长期持有,”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定,将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多信息见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方,”他说。“他们退出市场,不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时,HCM-买入线会发出买入信号,然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场,在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点,我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力,”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的,因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪,”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边,”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多,那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量的标志,可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西,”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解,我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术,他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品,以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX,+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB,+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT,+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF:HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后,该基金卷土重来,实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,每个经理人,包括沃伦·巴菲特,都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中,”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814364487,"gmtCreate":1630766549449,"gmtModify":1632905984146,"author":{"id":"3565696103797503","authorId":"3565696103797503","name":"WealthyRoarz","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565696103797503","idStr":"3565696103797503"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment.","listText":"Pls like and comment.","text":"Pls like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814364487","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}