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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-25
Hope so
3 reasons the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021<blockquote>股市或许能够在2021年债券收益率上升的情况下生存下来的3个原因</blockquote>
Near-term pullback possible, but that’s not a signal to rush for the exits, says RBC’s Calvasina Ris
3 reasons the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021<blockquote>股市或许能够在2021年债券收益率上升的情况下生存下来的3个原因</blockquote>
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-25
Elon musk spirit [财迷] [财迷]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
Correction day [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]
Why Baidu Stock Crashed Today -- and Then Largely Recovered<blockquote>为什么百度股票今天暴跌，然后基本回升</blockquote>
Tech stock panic was partly countered by analysts' enthusiasm for this company. What happened After
Why Baidu Stock Crashed Today -- and Then Largely Recovered<blockquote>为什么百度股票今天暴跌，然后基本回升</blockquote>
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$
好伤心，希望快点转绿
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
Nice
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
顶
Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候</blockquote>
Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullie
Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候</blockquote>
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
[财迷] [财迷]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-24
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$
🚀🚀🚀
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-22
$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$
hold there
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bryanchow
bryanchow
·
2021-02-22
$Apple(AAPL)$
discount price for
$Apple(AAPL)$
buy more now before it fly
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so","listText":"Hope so","text":"Hope so","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361110609","repostId":"1179628639","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179628639","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614148236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179628639?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 14:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 reasons the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021<blockquote>股市或许能够在2021年债券收益率上升的情况下生存下来的3个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179628639","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Near-term pullback possible, but that’s not a signal to rush for the exits, says RBC’s Calvasina\nRis","content":"<p>Near-term pullback possible, but that’s not a signal to rush for the exits, says RBC’s Calvasina</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行的卡尔瓦西纳表示，近期可能会回调，但这并不是急于退出的信号</blockquote></p><p> Rising Treasury yields have contributed to a selloff by the stock market’s pandemic high-fliers, but probably won’t be enough to spoil the appeal of stocks over bonds in 2021, according to one analyst.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师表示，美国国债收益率上升导致股市因疫情而雄心勃勃的投资者抛售，但可能不足以削弱2021年股票相对于债券的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. equity investors “have become focused on the recent increase in 10-year Treasury yields over the past week, which are all the way back to mid-February 2020 levels,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a Tuesday note. Yields and bond prices have an inverse relationship.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)写道，美国股票投资者“开始关注过去一周10年期国债收益率的近期上涨，该收益率已回到2020年2月中旬的水平”，在周二的一份报告中。收益率和债券价格呈反比关系。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year Treasury yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.332%is coming off its largest rise in six weeks, which has been blamed for sparking a pullback led by tech-oriented stocks that had benefited most from the stay-at-home dynamic created by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.332%正创下六周来的最大涨幅，这被指责引发了由科技型股票领跌的回调，这些股票从COVID-19造成的居家动态中受益最大。-19大流行。</blockquote></p><p> The relationship was on display in reverse Tuesday as therise in yields relentedfollowingtestimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, allowing major benchmarks to erase or trim significant losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite,which has led the way lower,trimmed a loss of nearly 4% to end down 0.5% as yields declined; the S&P 500 eked out a gain to snap a five-day losing streak, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average erased a loss of more than 360 points to end slightly higher.</p><p><blockquote>周二，随着美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔作证后收益率上涨放缓，这种关系出现了逆转，使主要基准指数消除或削减了重大损失。随着收益率下降，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数跌幅收窄近4%，收盘下跌0.5%；标普500在snap连续五天下跌后勉强上涨，而更具周期性的道琼斯工业平均指数则抹去了360多点的跌幅，小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Calvasina said a look at what stocks are offering in terms of dividend and earnings yield relative to bonds, as well as a reminder of what sort of bond moves have spelled trouble for equities, offers some reassurance that 2021 is unlikely to turn into a down year, she said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，卡尔瓦西纳表示，看看股票相对于债券的股息和收益率，以及提醒人们什么样的债券走势给股市带来了麻烦，可以让人放心，2021年不太可能变成这样。她说，这是一个低迷的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股息率</b></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to dividend yield, RBC measured the percentage of companies that continue to exceed the 10-year Treasury yield. While that has fallen to 51.5% from 64% at the beginning of the year, it’s still within a range typically followed by a 17% gain for the S&P 500 over the following 12 months, she said.</p><p><blockquote>在股息收益率方面，加拿大皇家银行衡量了持续超过10年期国债收益率的公司百分比。她表示，虽然这一比例已从年初的64%降至51.5%，但仍处于标普500在接下来12个月内通常会上涨17%的范围内。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings yield</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500’s earnings yield has also deteriorated, moving to the low end of the range in place since the end of the financial crisis. It now stands near the level seen in 2017-’18, but remains in a range that’s been followed by 9.3% average gains by the S&P 500 over the next 12 months, Calvasina said.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的收益率也有所恶化，跌至金融危机结束以来区间的低端。Calvasina表示，目前该指数接近2017-18年的水平，但仍处于未来12个月标普500平均上涨9.3%的区间内。</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, this analysis is acknowledging the case for a short-term pullback in the S&P 500, but isn’t necessarily signaling that longer-term investors should head for the exit,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“换句话说，这一分析承认了标普500短期回调的理由，但并不一定表明长期投资者应该退出。”</blockquote></p><p> Calvasina also highlighted an “important difference” between 2018, when the trade war posed a threat to the U.S. and global economies, and now, when gross domestic product forecasts are rising rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳还强调了2018年和现在之间的“重要区别”，当时贸易战对美国和全球经济构成威胁，而现在国内生产总值预测迅速上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Treasury yields and stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国债收益率和股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, what about the rise in Treasury yields itself? After all, many market watchers have argued that while yields remain low by historical standards, it’s the size of the rise that may be most concerning for equities. Calvasina broke down the relationship between yield moves and stock-market performance in the chart below:</p><p><blockquote>最后，国债收益率的上升本身呢？毕竟，许多市场观察人士认为，虽然按照历史标准来看收益率仍然较低，但股市最令人担忧的可能是上涨的规模。卡尔瓦西纳在下图中分析了收益率变动与股市表现之间的关系：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bb8f243548ebe4120c4314a557bdf28\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"1132\"><span>RBC CAPITAL MARKETS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>加拿大皇家银行资本市场</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Calvasina said U.S. equities have tended to struggle when the 10-year yield rises more than 275 basis points, or 2.75 percentage points. Coming off its low of 0.51%, a 275-basis-point move would take the yield to around 3.26%. The 10-year ended Tuesday at 1.363%.</p><p><blockquote>Calvasina表示，当10年期国债收益率上涨超过275个基点，即2.75个百分点时，美国股市往往会陷入困境。收益率从0.51%的低点上涨275个基点，将升至3.26%左右。10年期国债周二收于1.363%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 reasons the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021<blockquote>股市或许能够在2021年债券收益率上升的情况下生存下来的3个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 reasons the stock market might be able to survive rising bond yields in 2021<blockquote>股市或许能够在2021年债券收益率上升的情况下生存下来的3个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 14:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Near-term pullback possible, but that’s not a signal to rush for the exits, says RBC’s Calvasina</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行的卡尔瓦西纳表示，近期可能会回调，但这并不是急于退出的信号</blockquote></p><p> Rising Treasury yields have contributed to a selloff by the stock market’s pandemic high-fliers, but probably won’t be enough to spoil the appeal of stocks over bonds in 2021, according to one analyst.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师表示，美国国债收益率上升导致股市因疫情而雄心勃勃的投资者抛售，但可能不足以削弱2021年股票相对于债券的吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. equity investors “have become focused on the recent increase in 10-year Treasury yields over the past week, which are all the way back to mid-February 2020 levels,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a Tuesday note. Yields and bond prices have an inverse relationship.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)写道，美国股票投资者“开始关注过去一周10年期国债收益率的近期上涨，该收益率已回到2020年2月中旬的水平”，在周二的一份报告中。收益率和债券价格呈反比关系。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year Treasury yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.332%is coming off its largest rise in six weeks, which has been blamed for sparking a pullback led by tech-oriented stocks that had benefited most from the stay-at-home dynamic created by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.332%正创下六周来的最大涨幅，这被指责引发了由科技型股票领跌的回调，这些股票从COVID-19造成的居家动态中受益最大。-19大流行。</blockquote></p><p> The relationship was on display in reverse Tuesday as therise in yields relentedfollowingtestimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, allowing major benchmarks to erase or trim significant losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite,which has led the way lower,trimmed a loss of nearly 4% to end down 0.5% as yields declined; the S&P 500 eked out a gain to snap a five-day losing streak, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average erased a loss of more than 360 points to end slightly higher.</p><p><blockquote>周二，随着美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔作证后收益率上涨放缓，这种关系出现了逆转，使主要基准指数消除或削减了重大损失。随着收益率下降，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数跌幅收窄近4%，收盘下跌0.5%；标普500在snap连续五天下跌后勉强上涨，而更具周期性的道琼斯工业平均指数则抹去了360多点的跌幅，小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Calvasina said a look at what stocks are offering in terms of dividend and earnings yield relative to bonds, as well as a reminder of what sort of bond moves have spelled trouble for equities, offers some reassurance that 2021 is unlikely to turn into a down year, she said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，卡尔瓦西纳表示，看看股票相对于债券的股息和收益率，以及提醒人们什么样的债券走势给股市带来了麻烦，可以让人放心，2021年不太可能变成这样。她说，这是一个低迷的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dividend yield</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股息率</b></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to dividend yield, RBC measured the percentage of companies that continue to exceed the 10-year Treasury yield. While that has fallen to 51.5% from 64% at the beginning of the year, it’s still within a range typically followed by a 17% gain for the S&P 500 over the following 12 months, she said.</p><p><blockquote>在股息收益率方面，加拿大皇家银行衡量了持续超过10年期国债收益率的公司百分比。她表示，虽然这一比例已从年初的64%降至51.5%，但仍处于标普500在接下来12个月内通常会上涨17%的范围内。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings yield</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率</b></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500’s earnings yield has also deteriorated, moving to the low end of the range in place since the end of the financial crisis. It now stands near the level seen in 2017-’18, but remains in a range that’s been followed by 9.3% average gains by the S&P 500 over the next 12 months, Calvasina said.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的收益率也有所恶化，跌至金融危机结束以来区间的低端。Calvasina表示，目前该指数接近2017-18年的水平，但仍处于未来12个月标普500平均上涨9.3%的区间内。</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, this analysis is acknowledging the case for a short-term pullback in the S&P 500, but isn’t necessarily signaling that longer-term investors should head for the exit,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道：“换句话说，这一分析承认了标普500短期回调的理由，但并不一定表明长期投资者应该退出。”</blockquote></p><p> Calvasina also highlighted an “important difference” between 2018, when the trade war posed a threat to the U.S. and global economies, and now, when gross domestic product forecasts are rising rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳还强调了2018年和现在之间的“重要区别”，当时贸易战对美国和全球经济构成威胁，而现在国内生产总值预测迅速上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Treasury yields and stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国债收益率和股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, what about the rise in Treasury yields itself? After all, many market watchers have argued that while yields remain low by historical standards, it’s the size of the rise that may be most concerning for equities. Calvasina broke down the relationship between yield moves and stock-market performance in the chart below:</p><p><blockquote>最后，国债收益率的上升本身呢？毕竟，许多市场观察人士认为，虽然按照历史标准来看收益率仍然较低，但股市最令人担忧的可能是上涨的规模。卡尔瓦西纳在下图中分析了收益率变动与股市表现之间的关系：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bb8f243548ebe4120c4314a557bdf28\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"1132\"><span>RBC CAPITAL MARKETS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>加拿大皇家银行资本市场</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Calvasina said U.S. equities have tended to struggle when the 10-year yield rises more than 275 basis points, or 2.75 percentage points. Coming off its low of 0.51%, a 275-basis-point move would take the yield to around 3.26%. The 10-year ended Tuesday at 1.363%.</p><p><blockquote>Calvasina表示，当10年期国债收益率上涨超过275个基点，即2.75个百分点时，美国股市往往会陷入困境。收益率从0.51%的低点上涨275个基点，将升至3.26%左右。10年期国债周二收于1.363%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/3-reasons-why-the-stock-market-might-be-able-to-survive-rising-bond-yields-in-2021-11614119111?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/3-reasons-why-the-stock-market-might-be-able-to-survive-rising-bond-yields-in-2021-11614119111?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1179628639","content_text":"Near-term pullback possible, but that’s not a signal to rush for the exits, says RBC’s Calvasina\nRising Treasury yields have contributed to a selloff by the stock market’s pandemic high-fliers, but probably won’t be enough to spoil the appeal of stocks over bonds in 2021, according to one analyst.\nU.S. equity investors “have become focused on the recent increase in 10-year Treasury yields over the past week, which are all the way back to mid-February 2020 levels,” wrote Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a Tuesday note. Yields and bond prices have an inverse relationship.\nThe 10-year Treasury yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.332%is coming off its largest rise in six weeks, which has been blamed for sparking a pullback led by tech-oriented stocks that had benefited most from the stay-at-home dynamic created by the COVID-19 pandemic.\nThe relationship was on display in reverse Tuesday as therise in yields relentedfollowingtestimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, allowing major benchmarks to erase or trim significant losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite,which has led the way lower,trimmed a loss of nearly 4% to end down 0.5% as yields declined; the S&P 500 eked out a gain to snap a five-day losing streak, while the more cyclically oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average erased a loss of more than 360 points to end slightly higher.\nMeanwhile, Calvasina said a look at what stocks are offering in terms of dividend and earnings yield relative to bonds, as well as a reminder of what sort of bond moves have spelled trouble for equities, offers some reassurance that 2021 is unlikely to turn into a down year, she said.\nDividend yield\nWhen it comes to dividend yield, RBC measured the percentage of companies that continue to exceed the 10-year Treasury yield. While that has fallen to 51.5% from 64% at the beginning of the year, it’s still within a range typically followed by a 17% gain for the S&P 500 over the following 12 months, she said.\nEarnings yield\nThe S&P 500’s earnings yield has also deteriorated, moving to the low end of the range in place since the end of the financial crisis. It now stands near the level seen in 2017-’18, but remains in a range that’s been followed by 9.3% average gains by the S&P 500 over the next 12 months, Calvasina said.\n“In other words, this analysis is acknowledging the case for a short-term pullback in the S&P 500, but isn’t necessarily signaling that longer-term investors should head for the exit,” she wrote.\nCalvasina also highlighted an “important difference” between 2018, when the trade war posed a threat to the U.S. and global economies, and now, when gross domestic product forecasts are rising rapidly.\nTreasury yields and stocks\nFinally, what about the rise in Treasury yields itself? After all, many market watchers have argued that while yields remain low by historical standards, it’s the size of the rise that may be most concerning for equities. Calvasina broke down the relationship between yield moves and stock-market performance in the chart below:\nRBC CAPITAL MARKETS\nCalvasina said U.S. equities have tended to struggle when the 10-year yield rises more than 275 basis points, or 2.75 percentage points. Coming off its low of 0.51%, a 275-basis-point move would take the yield to around 3.26%. The 10-year ended Tuesday at 1.363%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361137730,"gmtCreate":1614212701820,"gmtModify":1634550705146,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Elon musk spirit [财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"Elon musk spirit [财迷] [财迷] ","text":"Elon musk spirit [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361137730","repostId":"1197530704","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361083884,"gmtCreate":1614178996448,"gmtModify":1634550840412,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Correction day [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","listText":"Correction day [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ","text":"Correction day [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361083884","repostId":"1104736316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104736316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614156425,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104736316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 16:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Baidu Stock Crashed Today -- and Then Largely Recovered<blockquote>为什么百度股票今天暴跌，然后基本回升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104736316","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tech stock panic was partly countered by analysts' enthusiasm for this company.\nWhat happened\nAfter ","content":"<p>Tech stock panic was partly countered by analysts' enthusiasm for this company.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对这家公司的热情部分抵消了科技股的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After a couple of days in which four analysts upped their price targets on Chinese search giant <b>Baidu</b>(NASDAQ:BIDU), the stock dropped Tuesday, falling as much as 13% in the middle of atech stockrout on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，四位分析师上调了这家中国搜索巨头的目标价<b>百度</b>（纳斯达克：BIDU），该股周二下跌，在华尔街科技股暴跌期间跌幅高达13%。</blockquote></p><p> However, it clawed back most of those losses in the afternoon, closing the trading day down by 3.9%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该股在下午收复了大部分失地，收盘下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> You can blame the day's loss on Tuesday's sell-off of tech stocks. But things could have ended a lot worse for Baidu, and one of the reasons they didn't was because of all the support the company has been winning on Wall Street lately.</p><p><blockquote>你可以将当天的损失归咎于周二科技股的抛售。但对于百度来说，事情的结局可能会更糟糕，而他们没有这样做的原因之一是该公司最近在华尔街赢得了所有支持。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, both Goldman Sachs and British bank Barclays raised their price targets on Baidu stock, to $383 per share and $400, respectively. Then Susquehanna Financial entered a \"Street high\" price prediction that Baidu will hit $450 a share within a year. And on Tuesday, the cheering continued with KeyBanc posting a $390 price target.</p><p><blockquote>周一，高盛和英国银行Barclays均将百度股票的目标价分别上调至每股383美元和400美元。随后Susquehanna Financial进入了“街头高点”价格预测，百度将在一年内达到每股450美元。周二，KeyBanc公布了390美元的目标价，欢呼声仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna noted that it was impressed with Baidu's fourth-quarter earnings beat last week, and said it expects 2021 to be even better. \"The core business continues to improve,\" noted the firm's analyst, emphasizing that Baidu remains \"a leading player in China's search market\" and also the \"owner of one of the top video assets in the country.\" At the same time, its \"AI businesses are experiencing very strong momentum.\"</p><p><blockquote>Susquehanna指出，百度上周第四季度盈利超出预期给它留下了深刻印象，并表示预计2021年会更好。该公司分析师指出，“核心业务持续改善”，并强调百度仍然是“中国搜索市场的领先者”，也是“中国顶级视频资产之一的所有者”。与此同时，其“人工智能业务正在经历非常强劲的势头”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The analysts had better be right about that, though, because while it's true Baidu \"beat earnings\" in Q4, its sales were still down for the second year running in 2020, and while forecasts about its future growth are strong, even results that meet them may not be enough to support the stock's extreme valuation. Total net income for the year was $3.4 billion, giving Baidu stock a price-to-earnings ratio of more than 32. Weak free cash flow for the year left Baidu's price-to-free-cash-flow ratio at an even steeper 37.9.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师在这一点上最好是正确的，因为虽然百度确实在第四季度“超出了盈利”，但其销售额在2020年仍连续第二年下降，尽管对其未来增长的预测很强劲，但即使业绩满足他们可能不足以支撑该股的极端估值。全年净利润总额为34亿美元，使百度股票的市盈率超过32。今年疲软的自由现金流导致百度的市盈率与自由现金流之比达到了更高的37.9。</blockquote></p><p> With most analysts predicting that Baidu will grow earnings at about 18% annually over the next five years, I'm afraid the stock just doesn't look like much of a bargain to me.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数分析师预测百度未来五年的盈利将以每年18%左右的速度增长，恐怕这只股票对我来说看起来并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Baidu Stock Crashed Today -- and Then Largely Recovered<blockquote>为什么百度股票今天暴跌，然后基本回升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Baidu Stock Crashed Today -- and Then Largely Recovered<blockquote>为什么百度股票今天暴跌，然后基本回升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 16:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tech stock panic was partly countered by analysts' enthusiasm for this company.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对这家公司的热情部分抵消了科技股的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After a couple of days in which four analysts upped their price targets on Chinese search giant <b>Baidu</b>(NASDAQ:BIDU), the stock dropped Tuesday, falling as much as 13% in the middle of atech stockrout on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，四位分析师上调了这家中国搜索巨头的目标价<b>百度</b>（纳斯达克：BIDU），该股周二下跌，在华尔街科技股暴跌期间跌幅高达13%。</blockquote></p><p> However, it clawed back most of those losses in the afternoon, closing the trading day down by 3.9%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该股在下午收复了大部分失地，收盘下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> You can blame the day's loss on Tuesday's sell-off of tech stocks. But things could have ended a lot worse for Baidu, and one of the reasons they didn't was because of all the support the company has been winning on Wall Street lately.</p><p><blockquote>你可以将当天的损失归咎于周二科技股的抛售。但对于百度来说，事情的结局可能会更糟糕，而他们没有这样做的原因之一是该公司最近在华尔街赢得了所有支持。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, both Goldman Sachs and British bank Barclays raised their price targets on Baidu stock, to $383 per share and $400, respectively. Then Susquehanna Financial entered a \"Street high\" price prediction that Baidu will hit $450 a share within a year. And on Tuesday, the cheering continued with KeyBanc posting a $390 price target.</p><p><blockquote>周一，高盛和英国银行Barclays均将百度股票的目标价分别上调至每股383美元和400美元。随后Susquehanna Financial进入了“街头高点”价格预测，百度将在一年内达到每股450美元。周二，KeyBanc公布了390美元的目标价，欢呼声仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna noted that it was impressed with Baidu's fourth-quarter earnings beat last week, and said it expects 2021 to be even better. \"The core business continues to improve,\" noted the firm's analyst, emphasizing that Baidu remains \"a leading player in China's search market\" and also the \"owner of one of the top video assets in the country.\" At the same time, its \"AI businesses are experiencing very strong momentum.\"</p><p><blockquote>Susquehanna指出，百度上周第四季度盈利超出预期给它留下了深刻印象，并表示预计2021年会更好。该公司分析师指出，“核心业务持续改善”，并强调百度仍然是“中国搜索市场的领先者”，也是“中国顶级视频资产之一的所有者”。与此同时，其“人工智能业务正在经历非常强劲的势头”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The analysts had better be right about that, though, because while it's true Baidu \"beat earnings\" in Q4, its sales were still down for the second year running in 2020, and while forecasts about its future growth are strong, even results that meet them may not be enough to support the stock's extreme valuation. Total net income for the year was $3.4 billion, giving Baidu stock a price-to-earnings ratio of more than 32. Weak free cash flow for the year left Baidu's price-to-free-cash-flow ratio at an even steeper 37.9.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师在这一点上最好是正确的，因为虽然百度确实在第四季度“超出了盈利”，但其销售额在2020年仍连续第二年下降，尽管对其未来增长的预测很强劲，但即使业绩满足他们可能不足以支撑该股的极端估值。全年净利润总额为34亿美元，使百度股票的市盈率超过32。今年疲软的自由现金流导致百度的市盈率与自由现金流之比达到了更高的37.9。</blockquote></p><p> With most analysts predicting that Baidu will grow earnings at about 18% annually over the next five years, I'm afraid the stock just doesn't look like much of a bargain to me.</p><p><blockquote>由于大多数分析师预测百度未来五年的盈利将以每年18%左右的速度增长，恐怕这只股票对我来说看起来并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/23/why-baidu-stock-crashed-today-and-then-largely-rec/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/23/why-baidu-stock-crashed-today-and-then-largely-rec/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104736316","content_text":"Tech stock panic was partly countered by analysts' enthusiasm for this company.\nWhat happened\nAfter a couple of days in which four analysts upped their price targets on Chinese search giant Baidu(NASDAQ:BIDU), the stock dropped Tuesday, falling as much as 13% in the middle of atech stockrout on Wall Street.\nHowever, it clawed back most of those losses in the afternoon, closing the trading day down by 3.9%.\nSo what\nYou can blame the day's loss on Tuesday's sell-off of tech stocks. But things could have ended a lot worse for Baidu, and one of the reasons they didn't was because of all the support the company has been winning on Wall Street lately.\nOn Monday, both Goldman Sachs and British bank Barclays raised their price targets on Baidu stock, to $383 per share and $400, respectively. Then Susquehanna Financial entered a \"Street high\" price prediction that Baidu will hit $450 a share within a year. And on Tuesday, the cheering continued with KeyBanc posting a $390 price target.\nSusquehanna noted that it was impressed with Baidu's fourth-quarter earnings beat last week, and said it expects 2021 to be even better. \"The core business continues to improve,\" noted the firm's analyst, emphasizing that Baidu remains \"a leading player in China's search market\" and also the \"owner of one of the top video assets in the country.\" At the same time, its \"AI businesses are experiencing very strong momentum.\"\nNow what\nThe analysts had better be right about that, though, because while it's true Baidu \"beat earnings\" in Q4, its sales were still down for the second year running in 2020, and while forecasts about its future growth are strong, even results that meet them may not be enough to support the stock's extreme valuation. Total net income for the year was $3.4 billion, giving Baidu stock a price-to-earnings ratio of more than 32. Weak free cash flow for the year left Baidu's price-to-free-cash-flow ratio at an even steeper 37.9.\nWith most analysts predicting that Baidu will grow earnings at about 18% annually over the next five years, I'm afraid the stock just doesn't look like much of a bargain to me.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BIDU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2004,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361017585,"gmtCreate":1614178890247,"gmtModify":1634550841558,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a> 好伤心，希望快点转绿","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a> 好伤心，希望快点转绿","text":"$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$ 好伤心，希望快点转绿","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/762711e98d9fa2fb6cea4c730349d3d4","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361017585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361012053,"gmtCreate":1614178713372,"gmtModify":1634550842743,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361012053","repostId":"1138795890","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361016064,"gmtCreate":1614178697858,"gmtModify":1634550843104,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"顶","listText":"顶","text":"顶","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361016064","repostId":"1129467108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129467108","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614164417,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129467108?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 19:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129467108","media":"Barrons","summary":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullie","content":"<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。要贪心。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧，股市也受到债券收益率上升的欺负，但J.P.摩根策略师告诉他们的客户，现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数可能在3875点附近徘徊，但该行坚持2021年年底目标价4400点，区间为4200点至4600点。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的一些衍生物。相反，它们反映了美国在Covid-19大流行后的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通衍生品策略师肖恩·奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户，市场实现“这种收益迟早会到来，特别是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及对投资者定位的影响。”</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔·拜登总统的政府支持1.9万亿美元的刺激计划，以及Covid-19感染和住院人数的下降，奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期交易有些出入。随着10年期国债收益率升至1.38%左右，股市下跌，此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划，拜登已经开始为该计划辩护，因为担心该计划规模过大。在各种采访中，总统挑战批评者告诉他，在这个国家如此多的人遭受苦难的时候，应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说，最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划，而是规模太小，因此无法有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升，Quigg建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF（股票代码：SPDR标普500指数ETF）5月353美元的看跌期权之一，并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当ETF价格为392.39美元时，杠杆风险逆转策略——即卖出一份看跌期权并买入更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级——可以免费完成。换句话说，卖出看跌期权收到的钱足以买入15个看涨的评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表明，该ETF（最近交易价格约为387美元）将在5月21日5月期权到期时达到450美元。看涨期权售价460美元，价值10美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>比方说，如果ETF下跌，因为当前的担忧将市场推至353美元的执行价格以下，投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入，或者回补或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>其一，上周晚些时候推荐该交易时成本为零。是的，自2月18日的报告发布以来，价格已经发生了变化，但投资者可以重新调整执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化，这就是为什么列出了这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外，如果摩根大通对经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的，那么拥有一批不需要花费任何成本的上行评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前价格走软的担忧，以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 19:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。要贪心。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧，股市也受到债券收益率上升的欺负，但J.P.摩根策略师告诉他们的客户，现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数可能在3875点附近徘徊，但该行坚持2021年年底目标价4400点，区间为4200点至4600点。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的一些衍生物。相反，它们反映了美国在Covid-19大流行后的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通衍生品策略师肖恩·奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户，市场实现“这种收益迟早会到来，特别是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及对投资者定位的影响。”</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔·拜登总统的政府支持1.9万亿美元的刺激计划，以及Covid-19感染和住院人数的下降，奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期交易有些出入。随着10年期国债收益率升至1.38%左右，股市下跌，此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划，拜登已经开始为该计划辩护，因为担心该计划规模过大。在各种采访中，总统挑战批评者告诉他，在这个国家如此多的人遭受苦难的时候，应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说，最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划，而是规模太小，因此无法有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升，Quigg建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF（股票代码：SPDR标普500指数ETF）5月353美元的看跌期权之一，并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当ETF价格为392.39美元时，杠杆风险逆转策略——即卖出一份看跌期权并买入更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级——可以免费完成。换句话说，卖出看跌期权收到的钱足以买入15个看涨的评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表明，该ETF（最近交易价格约为387美元）将在5月21日5月期权到期时达到450美元。看涨期权售价460美元，价值10美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>比方说，如果ETF下跌，因为当前的担忧将市场推至353美元的执行价格以下，投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入，或者回补或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>其一，上周晚些时候推荐该交易时成本为零。是的，自2月18日的报告发布以来，价格已经发生了变化，但投资者可以重新调整执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化，这就是为什么列出了这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外，如果摩根大通对经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的，那么拥有一批不需要花费任何成本的上行评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前价格走软的担忧，以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129467108","content_text":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363776111,"gmtCreate":1614176956733,"gmtModify":1634550860275,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] [财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] [财迷] ","text":"[财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363776111","repostId":"1108395722","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363771761,"gmtCreate":1614176841853,"gmtModify":1634550860985,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a> 🚀🚀🚀<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GNOG\"></a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a> 🚀🚀🚀<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GNOG\"></a>","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363771761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369005212,"gmtCreate":1613985806336,"gmtModify":1631887795767,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNGO\">$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$</a> hold there ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNGO\">$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$</a> hold there ","text":"$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$ hold there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369005212","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369005924,"gmtCreate":1613985752068,"gmtModify":1634551659512,"author":{"id":"3564179469410587","authorId":"3564179469410587","name":"bryanchow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ae4abe5b60baa669f3ee24364b93183","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564179469410587","idStr":"3564179469410587"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> discount price for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> buy more now before it fly","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> discount price for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a> buy more now before it fly","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$ discount price for $Apple(AAPL)$ buy more now before it fly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369005924","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}