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美股日内交易,波段交易大师 工号 总指挥大本营
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-27
$英伟达(NVDA)$
一句话 打仗利好美股
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$洛克希德马丁(LMT)$
$苹果(AAPL)$
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-20
$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$
今天几个数据非常差,我认为市场觉得数据是十二月份的 ,具有滞后性,那时候金银都是高位,现在已经回落了,因此今天开盘市场反而上涨📈!
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$苹果(AAPL)$
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
我们一切以市场为准 市场永远是对的!
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-16
$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$
新年快乐🎉
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
$英伟达(NVDA)$
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$微软(MSFT)$
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3
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-09
$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$
预测一下 周一沪盘可能会有一波抛售,因为周五夜间大涨,但是成交量不高 !
$微白银2603(SIL2603)$
$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$
$白银主连 2603(SImain)$
注意关键支撑压力位
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-05
$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$
多头有时候会对空头发动偷袭,十分钟涨百八十个点,空头缓过来多头才会撤退
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-03
$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$
$微白银2603(SIL2603)$
今天就是低位做多了 你看别人买了多少
$白银主连 2603(SImain)$
$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$
$铂金2604(PL2604)$
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
02-02
$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$
今天就看美元指数了 跌破4700 就真的危险了
$微白银2603(SIL2603)$
$铂金2604(PL2604)$
$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$
$白银主连 2603(SImain)$
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
01-30
关于今晚特朗普对美联储主席的任命的几种猜想!对于金银的影响如下,他们的政策立场和市场影响预测: Kevin Warsh · 倾向: 鹰派 · 主要观点/事件: 长期批评极度宽松的货币政策。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利空 · 依据与市场反应: 其鹰派立场很明确。市场消息曾直接导致金银价格下跌。 Christopher Waller · 倾向: 中间偏鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 在2026年1月会议上投票主张立即降息。有分析认为他整体更偏鸽派。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利空概率较低 / 或为利好 · 依据与市场反应: 近期投票记录显示其支持宽松。但作为现任理事,其政策路径受数据制约,可能不如政治任命者鸽派。 Rick Rieder · 倾向: 鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 被认为偏好激进的降息(如主张一次性降息50基点)。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利好 · 依据与市场反应: 市场已将其视为热门候选人,并因此强化了金银的上涨预期。 Kevin Hassett · 倾向: 鸽派(但近期表态中性) · 主要观点/事件: 曾支持更大幅度和持续的降息路径。近期强调政策需依据经济数据。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利好 · 依据与市场反应: 其政策倾向被认为与白宫低利率诉求契合,但最新中性表态削弱了宽松确定性。 💎 总结与核心逻辑 根据以上分析,按对金银的利空程度排序: Kevin Warsh (明确利空) > Christopher Waller (利空概率较低) > Kevin Hassett (利好) > Rick Rieder (明确利好)。 其核心逻辑在于: 1. 利率预期是核心:市场会根据候选人的历史言论或职位,判断其将推行更紧缩(鹰派)还是更宽松(鸽派)的货币政策。 2. 传导路径:鹰派 倾向 → 加息或延缓降息 → 美元走强、实际利率上升 → 利空 金银
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
01-30
$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$
最近的市场不要急于操作,总是有最舒服的点位让你买或者卖
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美股总指挥
美股总指挥
·
01-29
$白银主连 2603(SImain)$
跌破支撑位必须果断止损 才能控制好仓位 保留子弹
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 一句话 打仗利好美股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">$洛克希德马丁(LMT)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 一句话 打仗利好美股 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">$洛克希德马丁(LMT)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> ","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 一句话 打仗利好美股 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $洛克希德马丁(LMT)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68b96883ab679ccc3e412d281b3528f1","width":"1440","height":"2561"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27235fbdb45f9eb40cd8c2da2b9bf4c6","width":"1440","height":"2561"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a2a3f15eeea2cdf9b79355c76958346","width":"1440","height":"2561"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/537320944502288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":534852758479000,"gmtCreate":1771600256102,"gmtModify":1771600985464,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MNQ2603\">$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$</a> 今天几个数据非常差,我认为市场觉得数据是十二月份的 ,具有滞后性,那时候金银都是高位,现在已经回落了,因此今天开盘市场反而上涨📈!<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> 我们一切以市场为准 市场永远是对的!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MNQ2603\">$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$</a> 今天几个数据非常差,我认为市场觉得数据是十二月份的 ,具有滞后性,那时候金银都是高位,现在已经回落了,因此今天开盘市场反而上涨📈!<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> 我们一切以市场为准 市场永远是对的!","text":"$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$ 今天几个数据非常差,我认为市场觉得数据是十二月份的 ,具有滞后性,那时候金银都是高位,现在已经回落了,因此今天开盘市场反而上涨📈!$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ 我们一切以市场为准 市场永远是对的!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cba598ea2ebc9d1a7a1fb2ebe184641","width":"1080","height":"1440"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/145bd2a3f75e874813de352be5c59434","width":"1080","height":"1440"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b7f68825a3c5c097c6cc360a602822b","width":"1080","height":"1441"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534852758479000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4109653034430630","authorId":"4109653034430630","name":"CocoHong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d2656a77bd9a7861e16b1a10a40ef76","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4109653034430630","idStr":"4109653034430630"},"content":"男人都爱这种的?😅","text":"男人都爱这种的?😅","html":"男人都爱这种的?😅"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533435361437200,"gmtCreate":1771254195250,"gmtModify":1771254384820,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MNQ2603\">$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$</a> 新年快乐🎉<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MNQ2603\">$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$</a> 新年快乐🎉<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a> ","text":"$微型NQ100指数2603(MNQ2603)$ 新年快乐🎉$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $微软(MSFT)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fbd6bb4fdfb914e79c10f13d37fc228","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e541407d646482dd65a2fdcf7277e962","width":"1080","height":"1920"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d928bcfea94d3a28fdd96a873f4d1428","width":"1080","height":"1921"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533435361437200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4103012405740810","authorId":"4103012405740810","name":"我就不要5000万美元Taoist Deity","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8aa9ba5dd1e4e1f2bd15226aa249ab64","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4103012405740810","idStr":"4103012405740810"},"content":"[喷血],在内地吗?","text":"[喷血],在内地吗?","html":"[喷血],在内地吗?"}],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":530725354722184,"gmtCreate":1770592505657,"gmtModify":1770601117281,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 预测一下 周一沪盘可能会有一波抛售,因为周五夜间大涨,但是成交量不高 !<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> 注意关键支撑压力位","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 预测一下 周一沪盘可能会有一波抛售,因为周五夜间大涨,但是成交量不高 !<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> 注意关键支撑压力位","text":"$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$ 预测一下 周一沪盘可能会有一波抛售,因为周五夜间大涨,但是成交量不高 !$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ 注意关键支撑压力位","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c0adbcf79268f23ca85b162e5ceebc8","width":"1080","height":"1919"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/530725354722184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":529347828245984,"gmtCreate":1770271422313,"gmtModify":1770272880863,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 多头有时候会对空头发动偷袭,十分钟涨百八十个点,空头缓过来多头才会撤退","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 多头有时候会对空头发动偷袭,十分钟涨百八十个点,空头缓过来多头才会撤退","text":"$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$ 多头有时候会对空头发动偷袭,十分钟涨百八十个点,空头缓过来多头才会撤退","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55a5c5d256c31ea7e482ae628ae27312","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/529347828245984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528571626410760,"gmtCreate":1770076291207,"gmtModify":1770082683203,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> 今天就是低位做多了 你看别人买了多少<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/PL2604\">$铂金2604(PL2604)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> 今天就是低位做多了 你看别人买了多少<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/PL2604\">$铂金2604(PL2604)$ </a> ","text":"$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$ $微白银2603(SIL2603)$ 今天就是低位做多了 你看别人买了多少$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $铂金2604(PL2604)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/529de5c2d9bcd51ac1ae684a1730597a"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528571626410760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3558216639482033","authorId":"3558216639482033","name":"FocusMK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/402db424f2645807d6279fe3b1b92fc2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3558216639482033","idStr":"3558216639482033"},"content":"确实,暴跌几天的成交量很高","text":"确实,暴跌几天的成交量很高","html":"确实,暴跌几天的成交量很高"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528253208805776,"gmtCreate":1769989037196,"gmtModify":1769996519399,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 今天就看美元指数了 跌破4700 就真的危险了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/PL2604\">$铂金2604(PL2604)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 今天就看美元指数了 跌破4700 就真的危险了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SIL2603\">$微白银2603(SIL2603)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/PL2604\">$铂金2604(PL2604)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> ","text":"$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$ 今天就看美元指数了 跌破4700 就真的危险了 $微白银2603(SIL2603)$ $铂金2604(PL2604)$ $黄金主连 2604(GCmain)$ $白银主连 2603(SImain)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f917d7c389afd7b633ea4a07a32f8749"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528253208805776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527175981584928,"gmtCreate":1769754587945,"gmtModify":1769754791306,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"关于今晚特朗普对美联储主席的任命的几种猜想!对于金银的影响如下,他们的政策立场和市场影响预测: Kevin Warsh · 倾向: 鹰派 · 主要观点/事件: 长期批评极度宽松的货币政策。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利空 · 依据与市场反应: 其鹰派立场很明确。市场消息曾直接导致金银价格下跌。 Christopher Waller · 倾向: 中间偏鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 在2026年1月会议上投票主张立即降息。有分析认为他整体更偏鸽派。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利空概率较低 / 或为利好 · 依据与市场反应: 近期投票记录显示其支持宽松。但作为现任理事,其政策路径受数据制约,可能不如政治任命者鸽派。 Rick Rieder · 倾向: 鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 被认为偏好激进的降息(如主张一次性降息50基点)。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利好 · 依据与市场反应: 市场已将其视为热门候选人,并因此强化了金银的上涨预期。 Kevin Hassett · 倾向: 鸽派(但近期表态中性) · 主要观点/事件: 曾支持更大幅度和持续的降息路径。近期强调政策需依据经济数据。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利好 · 依据与市场反应: 其政策倾向被认为与白宫低利率诉求契合,但最新中性表态削弱了宽松确定性。 💎 总结与核心逻辑 根据以上分析,按对金银的利空程度排序: Kevin Warsh (明确利空) > Christopher Waller (利空概率较低) > Kevin Hassett (利好) > Rick Rieder (明确利好)。 其核心逻辑在于: 1. 利率预期是核心:市场会根据候选人的历史言论或职位,判断其将推行更紧缩(鹰派)还是更宽松(鸽派)的货币政策。 2. 传导路径:鹰派 倾向 → 加息或延缓降息 → 美元走强、实际利率上升 → 利空 金银","listText":"关于今晚特朗普对美联储主席的任命的几种猜想!对于金银的影响如下,他们的政策立场和市场影响预测: Kevin Warsh · 倾向: 鹰派 · 主要观点/事件: 长期批评极度宽松的货币政策。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利空 · 依据与市场反应: 其鹰派立场很明确。市场消息曾直接导致金银价格下跌。 Christopher Waller · 倾向: 中间偏鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 在2026年1月会议上投票主张立即降息。有分析认为他整体更偏鸽派。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利空概率较低 / 或为利好 · 依据与市场反应: 近期投票记录显示其支持宽松。但作为现任理事,其政策路径受数据制约,可能不如政治任命者鸽派。 Rick Rieder · 倾向: 鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 被认为偏好激进的降息(如主张一次性降息50基点)。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利好 · 依据与市场反应: 市场已将其视为热门候选人,并因此强化了金银的上涨预期。 Kevin Hassett · 倾向: 鸽派(但近期表态中性) · 主要观点/事件: 曾支持更大幅度和持续的降息路径。近期强调政策需依据经济数据。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利好 · 依据与市场反应: 其政策倾向被认为与白宫低利率诉求契合,但最新中性表态削弱了宽松确定性。 💎 总结与核心逻辑 根据以上分析,按对金银的利空程度排序: Kevin Warsh (明确利空) > Christopher Waller (利空概率较低) > Kevin Hassett (利好) > Rick Rieder (明确利好)。 其核心逻辑在于: 1. 利率预期是核心:市场会根据候选人的历史言论或职位,判断其将推行更紧缩(鹰派)还是更宽松(鸽派)的货币政策。 2. 传导路径:鹰派 倾向 → 加息或延缓降息 → 美元走强、实际利率上升 → 利空 金银","text":"关于今晚特朗普对美联储主席的任命的几种猜想!对于金银的影响如下,他们的政策立场和市场影响预测: Kevin Warsh · 倾向: 鹰派 · 主要观点/事件: 长期批评极度宽松的货币政策。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利空 · 依据与市场反应: 其鹰派立场很明确。市场消息曾直接导致金银价格下跌。 Christopher Waller · 倾向: 中间偏鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 在2026年1月会议上投票主张立即降息。有分析认为他整体更偏鸽派。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利空概率较低 / 或为利好 · 依据与市场反应: 近期投票记录显示其支持宽松。但作为现任理事,其政策路径受数据制约,可能不如政治任命者鸽派。 Rick Rieder · 倾向: 鸽派 · 主要观点/事件: 被认为偏好激进的降息(如主张一次性降息50基点)。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 明确利好 · 依据与市场反应: 市场已将其视为热门候选人,并因此强化了金银的上涨预期。 Kevin Hassett · 倾向: 鸽派(但近期表态中性) · 主要观点/事件: 曾支持更大幅度和持续的降息路径。近期强调政策需依据经济数据。 · 对金银的潜在影响: 利好 · 依据与市场反应: 其政策倾向被认为与白宫低利率诉求契合,但最新中性表态削弱了宽松确定性。 💎 总结与核心逻辑 根据以上分析,按对金银的利空程度排序: Kevin Warsh (明确利空) > Christopher Waller (利空概率较低) > Kevin Hassett (利好) > Rick Rieder (明确利好)。 其核心逻辑在于: 1. 利率预期是核心:市场会根据候选人的历史言论或职位,判断其将推行更紧缩(鹰派)还是更宽松(鸽派)的货币政策。 2. 传导路径:鹰派 倾向 → 加息或延缓降息 → 美元走强、实际利率上升 → 利空 金银","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/804cbaa913c3b54cebc85f321d4e0112","width":"736","height":"1104"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ebdc0faaa8125e18b163245920db40c","width":"736","height":"1104"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68990021a6aca43ca28a114d56f1d7c1","width":"736","height":"1104"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527175981584928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527332197287232,"gmtCreate":1769751356906,"gmtModify":1769751763685,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 最近的市场不要急于操作,总是有最舒服的点位让你买或者卖","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/MGC2604\">$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$</a> 最近的市场不要急于操作,总是有最舒服的点位让你买或者卖","text":"$微黄金2604(MGC2604)$ 最近的市场不要急于操作,总是有最舒服的点位让你买或者卖","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bbbccf15701a8e3dad265868b709e32","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527332197287232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527121752473968,"gmtCreate":1769700053643,"gmtModify":1769700530610,"author":{"id":"3563389597151809","authorId":"3563389597151809","name":"美股总指挥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13dadb511630f0e38a7bccb504b8c55","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563389597151809","idStr":"3563389597151809"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> 跌破支撑位必须果断止损 才能控制好仓位 保留子弹","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ </a> 跌破支撑位必须果断止损 才能控制好仓位 保留子弹","text":"$白银主连 2603(SImain)$ 跌破支撑位必须果断止损 才能控制好仓位 保留子弹","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4c458356906f27f67a5b052a4eaf04","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527121752473968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}