英伟达股息狂飙25倍：从1美分到25美分，引爆鲜为人知的股息期货期权市场_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

英伟达股息狂飙25倍：从1美分到25美分，引爆鲜为人知的股息期货期权市场

智通财经06-01

智通财经APP获悉，少数科技巨头在标普500指数中的主导地位，如今正延伸至股息期货和期权这一细分领域。本月早些时候，英伟达(NVDA.US)发布财报，其带来的最大影响并非体现在美国股市上，而是波及了这个规模不大但发展迅猛的市场—— 投资者在此押注标普500指数成分股的整体股息派发情况。多数交易员当时聚焦于每股收益与资本支出计划，而深耕股息赛道的机构投资者则留意到一则意外消息：英伟达每股股息从仅1...

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EAB全球宏观策略师阿米姆・霍尔泽表示：“我们看到，少数几家市值超大的公司贡献了指数收益增长的绝大部分份额，同时它们支付的股息往往低于传统行业。市场似乎正在消化这样一种观点：尽管利率高企、地缘政治压力重重且通胀持续，但人工智能和基础设施资本支出周期仍具备韧性，足以支撑名义增长和企业现金流。”长期以来，美国投资者可与投行通过场外交易私下开展这类股息押注，但场内标准化衍生品如今正迎来快速发展。截至上周四，股息期权未平仓合约数量同比激增超80%，创下523332份的历史新高。芝加哥商品交易所股票、外汇及另类产品全球主管蒂姆・麦考特表示：“在利率波动、经济前景不明的大环境下，股息风险敞口管理已成为投资者的必备策略。业内也逐渐意识到，部分资产类别中，场外互换交易效率低下，场内标准化产品才是更优选择。”对冲基金在该市场中占据主导地位，如今它们也越来越多地借助经纪商，在同业间撮合股息相关头寸。伦敦经纪公司Vantage Capital Markets的董事总经理纳比尔·侯赛因表示：“对冲基金希望对接更多交易对手、获取更充足的流动性，使得股息期权市场愈发依赖经纪商运作。由于银行在股息风险保值方面变得更加谨慎，市场已经演变成对冲基金之间交易日益频繁的模式。”标普500指数股息期权成交量及未平仓合约量指数再平衡带来变数在欧洲，市场焦点已转向即将到来的指数调整，策略师普遍认为，此次调整将稀释欧洲斯托克50指数的股息。摩根大通的策略师近期指出，今年该指数成分股的调入、调出数量异常偏多，相关影响已引发市场提前讨论。法国巴黎银行股票波动率量化投资策略主管亚历山大·阿列欣表示，多家银行已推出围绕欧洲股息期货的结构化量化投资策略(QIS)，并根据预先设定的信号进行投资操作。欧洲斯托克50指数再平衡对股息的影响指数再平衡也给美国股息市场带来变数，小型股罗素2000指数将于6月26日进行调整。该指数中市值增值最成功的公司(约占总市值的17%)将从罗素2000指数调整至罗素1000指数。摩根大通的卡普兰指出：“此次调整的成分股大多不派息。”这些股票包括热门的人工智能和太空领域股票。它们的权重将主要重新分配给那些通常派发较高股息的剩余指数成分股。据摩根大通测算，以指数点位计算，罗素2000指数年度股息总额或将因此提升16.5%。不过，股息市场前景仍存在隐忧，美国市场尤为明显。即将进行的首次公开募股(IPO)，尤其是SpaceX的上市，将改变标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数的成分股构成。纳入一家短期内不太可能支付高额股息的大型公司，可能会拉低平均股息水平。一边是资金充裕的芯片企业派发高于预期的股息，另一边是新股上市对指数股息形成稀释，两者之间的博弈将会成为市场中的一大不稳定因素。Vantage的侯赛因表示：“考虑到其他公司可能会效仿上调股息，而未来上市的公司又可能拉低整体股息，对于市场参与者而言，当下仍是机遇与变数并存的阶段。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"shareholding","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}