沙特阿美炼油厂遇袭，能源股助力标普500逆转跌势_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

沙特阿美炼油厂遇袭，能源股助力标普500逆转跌势

21世纪经济报道03-03

南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者吴斌报道随着市场普遍预期美伊冲突带来的扰动可能相对有限，美股V型反弹。当地时间3月2日，美股低开，道指盘中一度下跌近600点。但在能源股走强和抄底资金推动下，此后股指反弹，道指挽回早间大部分损失，标普500指数和纳指收高。几大因素推动了此次反弹：能源股、国防股等大幅上涨，包括埃克森美孚和雪佛龙在内的能源股收高；美国油价从当日高点回落，缓解了市场对冲突影响美国经济的...

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Financial首席执行官杰夫-基尔伯格表示，此前期货市场对伊朗冲突反应过度，这为在标普500指数接近2026年低点时买入创造了机会。他1日晚间预测市场将在2日收盘前翻红：“尽管地缘政治紧张局势升级，我们仍处于牛市之中。”能源股走强助标普500指数企稳油价走高带动的能源股上涨助力美股收复跌势，能源股上涨抵消了非必需消费品板块的下跌。能源公司因油价上涨、利润预期改善而普涨，埃克森美孚涨超1%，西方石油涨2.1%，雪佛龙涨1.5%。据央视新闻报道，2日，有消息称，沙特阿拉伯国家石油公司（沙特阿美公司）的一座炼油厂遭无人机袭击。作为预防性措施，沙特阿美已关闭该炼油厂。3月2日，随着载有原油和燃料的油轮几乎停止通行霍尔木兹海峡，汽油期货一度上涨9%。美国汽车协会的数据显示，3月1日美国汽油零售均价升至每加仑3美元，为三个月来最高水平。花旗美国首席股票策略师斯科特·克罗纳特指出，过去40年里，至少从市场角度看，军事冲突的持续时间，以及市场对其持续时间的预期，才是最重要的。“美股需要翻越的忧虑之墙正在变得越来越高。”他表示，油价的反应是显而易见的，但现在必须将其加入困扰美股的日益增长的担忧清单中：人工智能领域资本支出过于激进；AI快速普及可能颠覆大量商业模式以及随之而来的劳动力市场担忧；私人信贷和私募股权市场出现困境信号，带来的不安情绪加剧。冲突持续时间成关键对于美股而言，美伊冲突的时间是影响市场的重要因素，如果形势陷入僵局，霍尔木兹海峡持续关闭，油价暴涨，美股的风险将显著增加。摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson认为，过去中东地区的军事冲突并未导致市场长期下跌，要让这场冲突对美国股市造成重大且持续的打击，油价可能需要跃升至每桶100美元以上。短期内市场或有过度乐观的风险。Miller Tabak + Co.首席市场策略师Matt Maley表示，美国股指收平显示投资者低估了伊朗冲突的市场风险，尤其是在近期其他不利因素令股市承压的情况下。但从长期来看，历史经验显示地缘冲突的影响往往有限。根据摩根士丹利的数据，历史上在“地缘政治风险事件”发生后，标普500指数在1个月、6个月和12个月后的平均涨幅分别为2%、6%和8%。关注同花顺财经（ths518），获取更多机会","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}