中信建投：汽车板块景气预期或已筑底特斯拉(TSLA.US)年报强化物理AI拐点_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

中信建投：汽车板块景气预期或已筑底特斯拉(TSLA.US)年报强化物理AI拐点

智通财经02-02

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，当前汽车板块处于淡季弱势表现，但近期来看，市场对销量悲观预期反馈逐步钝化，悲观预期见底，结构性看反内卷及出海预期改善，自动驾驶政策催化落地，人形机器人特斯拉(TSLA.US)V3临近推出节点。26年汽车以旧换新政策支撑内需，商用车或更为受益；结构性看多端侧AI(无人驾驶及机器人)商业化0-1突破带来估值弹性。中信建投主要观点如下：整车板块: 景气延续“弱预期...

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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1400490.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，当前汽车板块处于淡季弱势表现，但近期来看，市场对销量悲观预期反馈逐步钝化，悲观预期见底，结构性看反内卷及出海预期改善，自动驾驶政策催化落地，人形机器人特斯拉(TSLA.US)V3临近推出节点。26年汽车以旧换新政策支撑内需，商用车或更为受益；结构性看多端侧AI(无人驾驶及机器人)商业化0-1突破带来估值弹性。中信建投主要观点如下：整车板块: 景气延续“弱预期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1400490.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1720051017.SGD","symbol_name":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc 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YL带动中国区销售均价提升(亚太区销量创新高)、FSD订阅提升等因素；26年资本支出将超200亿美元，投向将主攻算力基础设施与新工厂产能扩张等。公司宣布将永久停产旗舰车型Model S和Model X，26年上半年重点关注北美Semi和Cybercab新车型量产。自动驾驶：26年有望成为无人驾驶商业化元年特斯拉FSD订阅率随着V14推送持续提升，25年Q1-Q4订阅量分别约80、90、100、110万辆，26年开始FSD订阅取消买断(全部改成月度订阅)，目前月度订阅费99美金/月；截至25年底，FSD累计行驶行驶里程超70亿英里(约115亿km)，持续推动中国及欧洲本地化部署还需中国及欧洲监管许可。战略重心正加速从硬件销售转向物理AI，包括FSD迭代、Robotaxi服务、Cybercab车型量产、Optimus设计定型及量产，持续加大AI云端算力投入。人形机器人：前期T链核心供应商最新进展已逐步落地本周机器人板块调整，板块成交量明显降低及受到非理性传闻干扰等因素影响。新兴产业发展初期板块通常伴急涨急跌，长期仍有明显的超额收益。后续，T链上催化包括：25Q1 Gen3定型发布，下半年进入海外产能建设、规模量产阶段等；此外，宇树上市申报或也将成为重要事件催化。看好三类标的配置价值，包括特斯拉链高胜率、技术迭代升级方向的增量环节、具备预期差的绩优低估值；宇树等其他具备放量能力的国产链。商用车：26年重卡、客车两大板块有望受益于政策托底内需+出海景气持续，建议重点关注低估值强业绩龙头标的重卡方面继续看好潍柴动力，国内大厂恢复招标叠加北美缺电矛盾突出，提振市场对潍柴大缸径产品放量及SOFC扩产预期，看好公司业绩兑现与估值提升。客车方面重点提示宇通客车、金龙汽车左侧布局机会，出口带动量利齐升的中期趋势清晰，考虑到业绩增长确定性(宇通)、困境反转逻辑兑现(金龙)，且估值已具备足够安全边际，建议重视当前配置窗口期。推荐组合：江淮汽车(600418.SH)、恒勃股份(301225.SZ)、隆盛科技(300680.SZ)、潍柴动力(000338.SZ)、宇通客车(600066.SH)、金龙客车(600686.SH)、曹操出行(02643)。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}