2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28% AI相关芯片涨价持续_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28% AI相关芯片涨价持续

东海证券股份有...01-27

电子板块观点：2026年全球服务器出货量年增长率有望达到12.8%，AI服务器出货量同比有望增长28%以上，拉动存储、CPU等相关芯片涨价，三星电子于2026Q1将NAND闪存的供应价格上调100%以上，英特尔和AMD考虑将2026Q1服务器CPU均价调涨10~15%。受益于AI浪潮，国内相关A股标的预估2025全年业绩实现大幅增长。当前电子行业需求持续复苏，供给有效出清，存储芯片价格上涨，我国...

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Flash在内的存储器产业产值逐年创高，预估2026年将同比增长134%达到5516亿美元，2027年则将继续同比增长53%达到8427亿美元。近期，据韩国媒体报道，三星电子于2026Q1将NAND闪存的供应价格上调了100%以上，涨幅远超市场此前预期，凸显了当前半导体市场严重的供需失衡现状。报道称，三星电子目前已着手与客户就第二季度的NAND价格进行新一轮谈判，市场普遍预计价格上涨的势头将在第二季度延续。此外，同样受益于AI热潮，服务器CPU需求增长，头部大厂英特尔、AMD的服务器CPU的供应开始出现紧缺和涨价。KeyBanc调查报告指出，AMD 2026年度的服务器CPU已经快要售罄，随着超大规模云端服务商为保障供应而锁定产能，英特尔和AMD考虑将2026Q1服务器CPU均价调涨10~15%。受益于AI浪潮，国内相关A股标的预估2025全年业绩实现大幅增长，建议关注算力芯片、半导体设备、存储等相关标的。（1）摩尔线程预计2025年营收同比增长230.70%-246.67%，归母净利润同比亏损收窄幅度为34.50%到41.30%，主要受益于市场对高性能GPU的强劲需求，公司旗舰级训推一体全功能GPU智算卡MTTS5000已实现规模量产，基于其构建的大规模集群已完成建设并上线服务，支持万亿参数大模型训练。（2）澜起科技预计2025年度归母净利润同比增长52.29%-66.46%，主要受益于AI产业趋势，行业需求旺盛，公司互连类芯片出货量显著增加。（3）龙芯中科预计2025年营收同比增长26%左右，归母净利润同比减亏28%左右。公司3C6000服务器典型应用落地，探索对外技术授权新商业模式，形成新的可持续收入增长点。（4）中微公司预计2025年营收同比增长约36.62%，归母净利润同比增长约28.74%至34.93%。公司针对先进逻辑和存储器件制造中关键刻蚀工艺的高端产品新增付运量显著。（5）兆易创新预计2025年营收同比增长25%左右，归母净利润同比增长46%左右。AI算力建设提速带动需求显著提升，公司面向PC、服务器、汽车电子等领域产品深度受益。存储行业周期稳步上行，供需结构优化推动产品价量齐升。（6）德明利预计2025年营收同比增长115.82%至136.77%。归母净利润同比增加85.42%至128.21%。2025Q3起，受益于AI需求驱动，存储行业景气度逐步回暖，存储价格进入上行通道，公司产品销售毛利率大幅提升。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}