现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！

智通财经10-14

现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素...

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Skyline35
·10-14
涨一年才5000？[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]
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chenx32401
·10-14
太可怕了！！！
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INC"},"translate_title":"Spot gold broke through $4,100 strongly, and Wall Street banks rarely raised their target price to $5,000!","themeId":"7ff052a9e2c5990a5136b5dc62df2aff","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0810584f58df313200f35b8333e359a","symbols_score_info":{"XAUUSD.FOREX":1.1,"GCmain":1.1},"content_text":"现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素推动，金银价格仍具持续上行空间。美国银行大宗商品研究主管Michael Widmer表示，尽管短期内可能受到美联储鹰派立场或贸易政策波动影响，在特朗普政府财政失衡与宏观结构转向的背景下，黄金依旧是投资者首选的避险资产。报告预测，若2026年黄金投资需求增加14%，金价可能升至5000美元以上。数据显示，全球黄金ETF资金流入创纪录激增，9月SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)与iShares Gold Trust(IAU.US)净流入总额高达140亿美元，同比暴增880%。目前，黄金投资需求已占全球股债市场的5%以上，而两年前这一比例仅为2.8%。Widmer指出：“白宫的非传统财政政策路径，包括扩大赤字、加速债务上升、试图缩减经常账户赤字以及在通胀仍维持3%左右的情况下推动降息，整体上将持续支撑金价上行。”该行同时指出，若ETF资金流继续增长28%，金价“甚至有望触及6000美元”，但承认这一水平“挑战极高”。报告亦强调，白银市场的多重结构性因素将导致供应持续紧张。尽管美国银行预计2026年全球白银总需求将下降11%，主要源于太阳能光伏行业银用量减少，但由于矿产供给跟不上需求，市场将连续第五年处于供应赤字。技术进步亦加剧结构变化。报告称，太阳能产业正从高耗银的PERC组件转向TopCon组件，单位用银量下降。而中国为了赶上政策补贴节奏，2025年加速光伏装机建设，提前消耗部分需求。更值得关注的是实物白银市场的“极度紧张”。美国银行指出，“由于此前预期关税将出台，大量白银被转移至纽约，导致伦敦市场库存骤减，租赁利率飙升，市场运作明显受阻。”上周伦敦白银租赁利率急升，显示实物供应趋紧。美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。“我们认为，尽管短期风险犹存，2026年黄金与白银仍有进一步上涨空间，平均价料分别为4400美元/盎司与56.25美元/盎司，最高可达5000美元和65美元。”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":489041500373672,"gmtCreate":1760421994806,"gmtModify":1760421997447,"author":{"id":"3549994723467386","authorId":"3549994723467386","name":"Skyline35","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a48e5e3c03ed544a74ff6cace6a8de0e","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3549994723467386","authorIdStr":"3549994723467386"},"htmlText":"涨一年才5000？[开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"涨一年才5000？[开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"涨一年才5000？[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/489041500373672","repostId":2575288938,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2575288938","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1760396418,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2575288938?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-10-14 07:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2575288938","media":"智通财经","summary":"现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。</p><p>智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素推动，金银价格仍具持续上行空间。</p><p>美国银行大宗商品研究主管Michael Widmer表示，尽管短期内可能受到美联储鹰派立场或贸易政策波动影响，在特朗普政府财政失衡与宏观结构转向的背景下，黄金依旧是投资者首选的避险资产。</p><p>报告预测，若2026年黄金投资需求增加14%，金价可能升至5000美元以上。数据显示，全球黄金ETF资金流入创纪录激增，9月SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust(IAU.US)净流入总额高达140亿美元，同比暴增880%。目前，黄金投资需求已占全球股债市场的5%以上，而两年前这一比例仅为2.8%。</p><p>Widmer指出：“白宫的非传统财政政策路径，包括扩大赤字、加速债务上升、试图缩减经常账户赤字以及在通胀仍维持3%左右的情况下推动降息，整体上将持续支撑金价上行。”</p><p>该行同时指出，若ETF资金流继续增长28%，金价“甚至有望触及6000美元”，但承认这一水平“挑战极高”。</p><p>报告亦强调，白银市场的多重结构性因素将导致供应持续紧张。尽管美国银行预计2026年全球白银总需求将下降11%，主要源于太阳能光伏行业银用量减少，但由于矿产供给跟不上需求，市场将连续第五年处于供应赤字。</p><p>技术进步亦加剧结构变化。报告称，太阳能产业正从高耗银的PERC组件转向TopCon组件，单位用银量下降。而中国为了赶上政策补贴节奏，2025年加速光伏装机建设，提前消耗部分需求。</p><p>更值得关注的是实物白银市场的“极度紧张”。美国银行指出，“由于此前预期关税将出台，大量白银被转移至纽约，导致伦敦市场库存骤减，租赁利率飙升，市场运作明显受阻。”上周伦敦白银租赁利率急升，显示实物供应趋紧。</p><p>美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。“我们认为，尽管短期风险犹存，2026年黄金与白银仍有进一步上涨空间，平均价料分别为4400美元/盎司与56.25美元/盎司，最高可达5000美元和65美元。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-14 07:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4be30a3c11bd91e9d1f864c6a098fab1","relate_stocks":{"LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0477156797.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services 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Global Equity RA SGD","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A","LU2129689514.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0306807586.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL DIVIDEND MAXIMISER \"A\" (USD) INC QF","LU1880398471.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0130518102.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"R\" INC"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2575288938","content_text":"现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素推动，金银价格仍具持续上行空间。美国银行大宗商品研究主管Michael Widmer表示，尽管短期内可能受到美联储鹰派立场或贸易政策波动影响，在特朗普政府财政失衡与宏观结构转向的背景下，黄金依旧是投资者首选的避险资产。报告预测，若2026年黄金投资需求增加14%，金价可能升至5000美元以上。数据显示，全球黄金ETF资金流入创纪录激增，9月SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)与iShares Gold Trust(IAU.US)净流入总额高达140亿美元，同比暴增880%。目前，黄金投资需求已占全球股债市场的5%以上，而两年前这一比例仅为2.8%。Widmer指出：“白宫的非传统财政政策路径，包括扩大赤字、加速债务上升、试图缩减经常账户赤字以及在通胀仍维持3%左右的情况下推动降息，整体上将持续支撑金价上行。”该行同时指出，若ETF资金流继续增长28%，金价“甚至有望触及6000美元”，但承认这一水平“挑战极高”。报告亦强调，白银市场的多重结构性因素将导致供应持续紧张。尽管美国银行预计2026年全球白银总需求将下降11%，主要源于太阳能光伏行业银用量减少，但由于矿产供给跟不上需求，市场将连续第五年处于供应赤字。技术进步亦加剧结构变化。报告称，太阳能产业正从高耗银的PERC组件转向TopCon组件，单位用银量下降。而中国为了赶上政策补贴节奏，2025年加速光伏装机建设，提前消耗部分需求。更值得关注的是实物白银市场的“极度紧张”。美国银行指出，“由于此前预期关税将出台，大量白银被转移至纽约，导致伦敦市场库存骤减，租赁利率飙升，市场运作明显受阻。”上周伦敦白银租赁利率急升，显示实物供应趋紧。美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。“我们认为，尽管短期风险犹存，2026年黄金与白银仍有进一步上涨空间，平均价料分别为4400美元/盎司与56.25美元/盎司，最高可达5000美元和65美元。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XAUUSD.FOREX":1.1,"GCmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":488841937105608,"gmtCreate":1760373189933,"gmtModify":1760373192139,"author":{"id":"3472532348212000","authorId":"3472532348212000","name":"chenx32401","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3472532348212000","authorIdStr":"3472532348212000"},"htmlText":"太可怕了 ！！！","listText":"太可怕了 ！！！","text":"太可怕了 ！！！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/488841937105608","repostId":2575288938,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2575288938","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1760396418,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2575288938?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-10-14 07:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2575288938","media":"智通财经","summary":"现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。</p><p>智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素推动，金银价格仍具持续上行空间。</p><p>美国银行大宗商品研究主管Michael Widmer表示，尽管短期内可能受到美联储鹰派立场或贸易政策波动影响，在特朗普政府财政失衡与宏观结构转向的背景下，黄金依旧是投资者首选的避险资产。</p><p>报告预测，若2026年黄金投资需求增加14%，金价可能升至5000美元以上。数据显示，全球黄金ETF资金流入创纪录激增，9月SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEMA\">iShares</a> Gold Trust(IAU.US)净流入总额高达140亿美元，同比暴增880%。目前，黄金投资需求已占全球股债市场的5%以上，而两年前这一比例仅为2.8%。</p><p>Widmer指出：“白宫的非传统财政政策路径，包括扩大赤字、加速债务上升、试图缩减经常账户赤字以及在通胀仍维持3%左右的情况下推动降息，整体上将持续支撑金价上行。”</p><p>该行同时指出，若ETF资金流继续增长28%，金价“甚至有望触及6000美元”，但承认这一水平“挑战极高”。</p><p>报告亦强调，白银市场的多重结构性因素将导致供应持续紧张。尽管美国银行预计2026年全球白银总需求将下降11%，主要源于太阳能光伏行业银用量减少，但由于矿产供给跟不上需求，市场将连续第五年处于供应赤字。</p><p>技术进步亦加剧结构变化。报告称，太阳能产业正从高耗银的PERC组件转向TopCon组件，单位用银量下降。而中国为了赶上政策补贴节奏，2025年加速光伏装机建设，提前消耗部分需求。</p><p>更值得关注的是实物白银市场的“极度紧张”。美国银行指出，“由于此前预期关税将出台，大量白银被转移至纽约，导致伦敦市场库存骤减，租赁利率飙升，市场运作明显受阻。”上周伦敦白银租赁利率急升，显示实物供应趋紧。</p><p>美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。“我们认为，尽管短期风险犹存，2026年黄金与白银仍有进一步上涨空间，平均价料分别为4400美元/盎司与56.25美元/盎司，最高可达5000美元和65美元。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n现货黄金强势突破4100美元，华尔街大行罕见大幅上调目标价至5000！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-14 07:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4be30a3c11bd91e9d1f864c6a098fab1","relate_stocks":{"LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0477156797.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES GLOBAL EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services 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INC"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1354528.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2575288938","content_text":"现货黄金周一强势突破4100美元/盎司关口，日内大涨逾90美元，涨幅超过2%，续创历史新高。今年以来，金价累计上涨近1500美元，年内涨幅超过56%，成为全球金融市场最亮眼的资产之一。智通财经APP获悉，美国银行最新发布报告，罕见大幅上调对贵金属的中期预期，将2026年黄金目标价上调至5000美元/盎司，白银目标价上调至65美元/盎司。报告指出，受“供应紧张、政策不确定性与投资需求飙升”三重因素推动，金银价格仍具持续上行空间。美国银行大宗商品研究主管Michael Widmer表示，尽管短期内可能受到美联储鹰派立场或贸易政策波动影响，在特朗普政府财政失衡与宏观结构转向的背景下，黄金依旧是投资者首选的避险资产。报告预测，若2026年黄金投资需求增加14%，金价可能升至5000美元以上。数据显示，全球黄金ETF资金流入创纪录激增，9月SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)与iShares Gold Trust(IAU.US)净流入总额高达140亿美元，同比暴增880%。目前，黄金投资需求已占全球股债市场的5%以上，而两年前这一比例仅为2.8%。Widmer指出：“白宫的非传统财政政策路径，包括扩大赤字、加速债务上升、试图缩减经常账户赤字以及在通胀仍维持3%左右的情况下推动降息，整体上将持续支撑金价上行。”该行同时指出，若ETF资金流继续增长28%，金价“甚至有望触及6000美元”，但承认这一水平“挑战极高”。报告亦强调，白银市场的多重结构性因素将导致供应持续紧张。尽管美国银行预计2026年全球白银总需求将下降11%，主要源于太阳能光伏行业银用量减少，但由于矿产供给跟不上需求，市场将连续第五年处于供应赤字。技术进步亦加剧结构变化。报告称，太阳能产业正从高耗银的PERC组件转向TopCon组件，单位用银量下降。而中国为了赶上政策补贴节奏，2025年加速光伏装机建设，提前消耗部分需求。更值得关注的是实物白银市场的“极度紧张”。美国银行指出，“由于此前预期关税将出台，大量白银被转移至纽约，导致伦敦市场库存骤减，租赁利率飙升，市场运作明显受阻。”上周伦敦白银租赁利率急升，显示实物供应趋紧。美国银行预计，短期可能出现价格波动或修正，但整体趋势依旧向上。“我们认为，尽管短期风险犹存，2026年黄金与白银仍有进一步上涨空间，平均价料分别为4400美元/盎司与56.25美元/盎司，最高可达5000美元和65美元。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XAUUSD.FOREX":1.1,"GCmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}