高盛策略师警告：美股定价处于“完美水平”，很容易出现回调_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

高盛策略师警告：美股定价处于“完美水平”，很容易出现回调

智通财经2025-01-10

智通财经APP获悉，高盛首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer警告称，随着投资者消化债券收益率上升、估值过高和利率进一步下调的不确定性，当前“完美的”赚钱市场环境可能难以持续。Peter Oppenheimer表示：“近期美国股市的强劲反弹使得当前股票市场的估值趋于完美。尽管我们预计全年股市将总体上继续上涨——主要由企业盈利驱动，但股市愈发容易受到回调的冲击，尤其是如果债券收益率...

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Jane olay
·2025-01-10
高盛集团可信度在华已经人尽皆知，何况仅是一个分析师而已。
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Oppenheimer表示：“近期美国股市的强劲反弹使得当前股票市场的估值趋于完美。尽管我们预计全年股市将总体上继续上涨——主要由企业盈利驱动，但股市愈发容易受到回调的冲击，尤其是如果债券收益率进一步上升或经济数据和盈利表现令人失望。”","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer警告称，随着投资者消化债券收益率上升、估值过高和利率进一步下调的不确定性，当前“完美的”赚钱市场环境可能难以持续。</p><p>Peter Oppenheimer表示：“近期美国股市的强劲反弹使得当前股票市场的估值趋于完美。尽管我们预计全年股市将总体上继续上涨——主要由企业盈利驱动，但股市愈发容易受到回调的冲击，尤其是如果债券收益率进一步上升或经济数据和盈利表现令人失望。”</p><p>Peter Oppenheimer表示，有三个因素令2025年的美国股市格局复杂化，包括：股市快速上涨可能已经提前反映了对2025年经济增长的乐观预期;高估值限制了股票的远期回报;异乎寻常的市场高集中度增加了投资组合风险。</p><p>Peter Oppenheimer表示：“将最具周期性的板块与最具防御性的板块进行简单比较，就可以看出，近几个月股市的强势在很大程度上反映了更高的增长预期，尤其是在美国，对特朗普政府放松监管和减税的乐观情绪也发挥了作用。”“这使得股市容易受到任何令人失望的增长的影响，尤其是取决于即将上台的特朗普政府在税收和关税方面的具体政策措施。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛策略师警告：美股定价处于“完美水平”，很容易出现回调\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-01-10 08:23 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1235787.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，高盛首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer警告称，随着投资者消化债券收益率上升、估值过高和利率进一步下调的不确定性，当前“完美的”赚钱市场环境可能难以持续。Peter Oppenheimer表示：“近期美国股市的强劲反弹使得当前股票市场的估值趋于完美。尽管我们预计全年股市将总体上继续上涨——主要由企业盈利驱动，但股市愈发容易受到回调的冲击，尤其是如果债券收益率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1235787.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","BK4516":"特朗普概念","GS":"高盛","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) 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Financials A2 SGD-H"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1235787.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2502079443","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，高盛首席全球股票策略师Peter Oppenheimer警告称，随着投资者消化债券收益率上升、估值过高和利率进一步下调的不确定性，当前“完美的”赚钱市场环境可能难以持续。Peter Oppenheimer表示：“近期美国股市的强劲反弹使得当前股票市场的估值趋于完美。尽管我们预计全年股市将总体上继续上涨——主要由企业盈利驱动，但股市愈发容易受到回调的冲击，尤其是如果债券收益率进一步上升或经济数据和盈利表现令人失望。”Peter Oppenheimer表示，有三个因素令2025年的美国股市格局复杂化，包括：股市快速上涨可能已经提前反映了对2025年经济增长的乐观预期;高估值限制了股票的远期回报;异乎寻常的市场高集中度增加了投资组合风险。Peter Oppenheimer表示：“将最具周期性的板块与最具防御性的板块进行简单比较，就可以看出，近几个月股市的强势在很大程度上反映了更高的增长预期，尤其是在美国，对特朗普政府放松监管和减税的乐观情绪也发挥了作用。”“这使得股市容易受到任何令人失望的增长的影响，尤其是取决于即将上台的特朗普政府在税收和关税方面的具体政策措施。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":1}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}