Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift

Seeking Alpha2021-12-24

Summary Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy. At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings. The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when ...

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Venus_M
·2021-12-26
I ❤ Shopee!
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- Venus_M回复Wayneqq:
  say yes! to him [LOL]
  2021-12-29
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- Venus_M回复Wayneqq:
  i actually scroll through the comments under community assistant then can see this. omg! this 👽 seems to have a liking for u [LOL] he is putting me down to lift u up [LOL] [LOL]
  2021-12-28
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- Venus_M回复Wayneqq:
  i did reply u that i only c
  saw a small cute little blue box and i was asking u what that was
  2021-12-28
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leemoney
·2021-12-26
Nice
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2
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mtanps
·2021-12-26
Good
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1
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koolgal
·2021-12-26
SEA share price has been hit recently giving potential buyers a chance to get on board. It is still growing and given time it can be a winner. Go SEA! Born in Singapore, Going Global! 🚀🚀🚀🌛🌛🌛
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- koolgal回复b1uesky:
  Thanks. Glad you agree. 👍😊
  2021-12-27
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- koolgal:
  Yes that is a great idea. Thanks for sharing.
  2021-12-27
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- b1uesky:
  maybe can slowly buy.
  2021-12-27
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EugeneCC
·2021-12-25
👌🏻
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1
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Jazim
·2021-12-25
Okay
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2
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saral
·2021-12-25
Good
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2
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- koolgal:
  Thanks
  2021-12-26
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BKT
·2021-12-25
Good. Pls like thanks.
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2
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Tanyl
·2021-12-24
Must invest SE in option way
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2
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CCCH
·2021-12-24
Sea dharez will be back to $300 plus soon
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2
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sjcy
·2021-12-24
Believe SEA has potential to grow as it has a few arms in different areas. It has strength to rebound historically and though it seems badly hit this time, trust that it will pull up strongly in the near future.
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- andy1967:
  Sure, eager to see the reversal coming soon. Hope it will be a shinning star in 2022.
  2021-12-27
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- VivianChua:
  Happy 💚
  2021-12-26
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- KH321:
  OK
  2021-12-25
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BullZai
·2021-12-24
The reviews seems bias towards SEA…. How do we compare SEA with its Giant Competitors like Alibaba who is beaten badly recently in the valuation and growth… if they are staying away from BABA then what is the chances of SEA winning If giant like BABA is beaten on the stock price ?….
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4
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- LimLS:
  Unable to use BABA as comparison as it's hit mainly due to Chinese regulations and many big funds dumping to reduce their risk. But it's true that SEA is high in term of valuation
  2021-12-26
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- HelloKitty55:
  ok
  2021-12-25
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Portfolio50
·2021-12-24
Loss keeps getting wider, keeps diluting its shareholders and its free cash flow is small. I'm staying away for now.
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3
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- KH321:
  OK
  2021-12-25
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dzgunners95
·2021-12-24
Nice
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3
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kohhc
·2021-12-24
Nice
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2
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- dzgunners95:
  cool
  2021-12-24
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gni
·2021-12-24
Sea has much potential. Thanks for the article!
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5
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jc0110
·2021-12-24
Sea to the moon in the next few years
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8
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Jehms
·2021-12-24
Cool
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5
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Newbull
·2021-12-24
Shopee is gaining huge mkt despite loses, just nid to keep the growth momentum n control cost, sea will a good value play.
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3
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- KLHuat:
  Yes
  2021-12-26
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Nahaha
·2021-12-24
Hehey not bad
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4
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The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":698468780,"gmtCreate":1640497469957,"gmtModify":1640552659309,"author":{"id":"3566385558470298","authorId":"3566385558470298","name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3566385558470298","idStr":"3566385558470298"},"htmlText":"I ❤&nbsp; Shopee!","listText":"I ❤&nbsp; Shopee!","text":"I ❤ Shopee!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":24,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698468780","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7133259,"gmtCreate":1640751306656,"gmtModify":1640751306656,"authorId":3566385558470298,"author":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3574671931921507,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3574671931921507,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorId":3574671931921507,"name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698468780,"type":1,"supId":7112454,"prevId":7120959,"content":"say yes! to him [LOL]","text":"say yes! to him [LOL]","html":"say yes! to him [LOL]"},{"id":7128431,"gmtCreate":1640700864106,"gmtModify":1640702688441,"authorId":3566385558470298,"author":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3574671931921507,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3574671931921507,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorId":3574671931921507,"name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698468780,"type":1,"supId":7112454,"prevId":7120756,"content":"i actually scroll through the comments under community assistant then can see this.&nbsp;&nbsp; omg! this 👽 seems to have a liking for u [LOL]&nbsp; he is putting me down to lift u up [LOL] [LOL]","text":"i actually scroll through the comments under community assistant then can see this.&nbsp;&nbsp; omg! this 👽 seems to have a liking for u [LOL]&nbsp; he is putting me down to lift u up [LOL] [LOL]","html":"i actually scroll through the comments under community assistant then can see this.&nbsp;&nbsp; omg! this 👽 seems to have a liking for u [LOL]&nbsp; he is putting me down to lift u up [LOL] [LOL]"},{"id":7120975,"gmtCreate":1640621277282,"gmtModify":1640621277282,"authorId":3566385558470298,"author":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3574671931921507,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3574671931921507,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorId":3574671931921507,"name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698468780,"type":1,"supId":7112454,"prevId":7120959,"content":"i did reply u that i only c \nsaw a small cute little blue box and i was asking u what that was","text":"i did reply u that i only c \nsaw a small cute little blue box and i was asking u what that was","html":"i did reply u that i only c \nsaw a small cute little blue box and i was asking u what that was"},{"id":7120959,"gmtCreate":1640621193594,"gmtModify":1640621193594,"authorId":3574671931921507,"author":{"id":3574671931921507,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorId":3574671931921507,"name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3566385558470298,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698468780,"type":1,"supId":7112454,"prevId":7120421,"content":"I attached a pic in a reply.. not sure if it got through.. humm.. let me know if you can see...","text":"I attached a pic in a reply.. not sure if it got through.. humm.. let me know if you can see...","html":"I attached a pic in a reply.. not sure if it got through.. humm.. let me know if you can see..."},{"id":7120796,"gmtCreate":1640620027252,"gmtModify":1640620027252,"authorId":3566385558470298,"author":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":3574671931921507,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3574671931921507,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorId":3574671931921507,"name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698468780,"type":1,"supId":7112454,"prevId":7120756,"content":"what is this small blue box? so cute! <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/859c275d7bd85120edb8d1755471fada\"></t-t>","text":"what is this small blue box? so cute! <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/859c275d7bd85120edb8d1755471fada\"></t-t>","html":"what is this small blue box? so cute! <t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/859c275d7bd85120edb8d1755471fada\"></t-t>"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698497329,"gmtCreate":1640486221061,"gmtModify":1640486221061,"author":{"id":"3573369274290933","authorId":"3573369274290933","name":"leemoney","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6a1151f25a904ba29b93dd84a40bb5a","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3573369274290933","idStr":"3573369274290933"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698497329","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698404837,"gmtCreate":1640484531900,"gmtModify":1640484531989,"author":{"id":"4103256100788640","authorId":"4103256100788640","name":"mtanps","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d334eb1c646cc6ebbf13d2e520f954ff","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4103256100788640","idStr":"4103256100788640"},"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698404837","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698408994,"gmtCreate":1640483815522,"gmtModify":1640491349587,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}],"authorIdStr":"3559581955535845","idStr":"3559581955535845"},"htmlText":"SEA share price has been hit recently giving potential buyers a chance to get on board. It is still growing and given time it can be a winner.&nbsp; Go SEA!&nbsp; Born in Singapore, Going Global! 🚀🚀🚀🌛🌛🌛","listText":"SEA share price has been hit recently giving potential buyers a chance to get on board. It is still growing and given time it can be a winner.&nbsp; Go SEA!&nbsp; Born in Singapore, Going Global! 🚀🚀🚀🌛🌛🌛","text":"SEA share price has been hit recently giving potential buyers a chance to get on board. It is still growing and given time it can be a winner. Go SEA! Born in Singapore, Going Global! 🚀🚀🚀🌛🌛🌛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":22,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698408994","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7114136,"gmtCreate":1640561444924,"gmtModify":1640561444924,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","templateUuid":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1104,"isScarce":1,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":1},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}]},"repliedAuthorId":4096368443831390,"repliedAuthor":{"id":4096368443831390,"idStr":"4096368443831390","authorId":4096368443831390,"name":"b1uesky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87ef9b02e19a8acfaa7ae5b147b70882","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698408994,"type":1,"supId":7110028,"prevId":7114109,"content":"Thanks.&nbsp; Glad you agree. 👍😊","text":"Thanks.&nbsp; Glad you agree. 👍😊","html":"Thanks.&nbsp; Glad you agree. 👍😊"},{"id":7114128,"gmtCreate":1640561416915,"gmtModify":1640561416915,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","templateUuid":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1104,"isScarce":1,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":1},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698408994,"type":1,"supId":7114114,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes that is a great idea. Thanks for sharing.","text":"Yes that is a great idea. Thanks for sharing.","html":"Yes that is a great idea. Thanks for sharing."},{"id":7114114,"gmtCreate":1640561347793,"gmtModify":1640561347828,"authorId":4096368443831390,"author":{"id":4096368443831390,"idStr":"4096368443831390","authorId":4096368443831390,"name":"b1uesky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87ef9b02e19a8acfaa7ae5b147b70882","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698408994,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"maybe can slowly buy.","text":"maybe can slowly buy.","html":"maybe can slowly buy."},{"id":7114109,"gmtCreate":1640561323748,"gmtModify":1640561323783,"authorId":4096368443831390,"author":{"id":4096368443831390,"idStr":"4096368443831390","authorId":4096368443831390,"name":"b1uesky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87ef9b02e19a8acfaa7ae5b147b70882","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698408994,"type":1,"supId":7110028,"prevId":0,"content":"Great idea","text":"Great idea","html":"Great idea"},{"id":7113490,"gmtCreate":1640556299723,"gmtModify":1640556299723,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","templateUuid":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1104,"isScarce":1,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":1},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}]},"repliedAuthorId":3566385558470298,"repliedAuthor":{"id":3566385558470298,"idStr":"3566385558470298","authorId":3566385558470298,"name":"Venus_M","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/525433622d774840840ddaacaf2281d2","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"objectId":698408994,"type":1,"supId":7110552,"prevId":7111903,"content":"Yes his story is very inspirational.&nbsp; Thanks for sharing Sis. ❤️","text":"Yes his story is very inspirational.&nbsp; Thanks for sharing Sis. ❤️","html":"Yes his story is very inspirational.&nbsp; Thanks for sharing Sis. ❤️"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698504600,"gmtCreate":1640433122733,"gmtModify":1640433214733,"author":{"id":"3581329970891754","authorId":"3581329970891754","name":"EugeneCC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3581329970891754","idStr":"3581329970891754"},"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698504600","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698235026,"gmtCreate":1640401732836,"gmtModify":1640402104307,"author":{"id":"4091925166419540","authorId":"4091925166419540","name":"Jazim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85de7ecb80758afc3288fc8bb7e5ef27","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4091925166419540","idStr":"4091925166419540"},"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698235026","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698648889,"gmtCreate":1640393485748,"gmtModify":1640393486601,"author":{"id":"3568944508199908","authorId":"3568944508199908","name":"saral","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3568944508199908","idStr":"3568944508199908"},"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698648889","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7108794,"gmtCreate":1640483555386,"gmtModify":1640483555386,"authorId":3559581955535845,"author":{"id":3559581955535845,"idStr":"3559581955535845","authorId":3559581955535845,"name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","templateUuid":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.23","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1104,"isScarce":1,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":1},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"categoryType":1104,"badgeId":"99a38ff64bfd44f891fd016771fc8f64-1","name":"超级披露者","description":"在交易分享中开启超级披露","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e97d213ed3e4f4820224f1366d402f","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/802f4014829adb4e63332fc230b97e42","isScarce":1,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLinkType":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.itigerup.com/activity/forapp/star-investor","redirectLinkValidityFrom":1776816000000,"redirectLinkValidityTo":2156198400000,"sortingWeight":0,"wearable":1}]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698648889,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","html":"Thanks"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698637133,"gmtCreate":1640363832195,"gmtModify":1640363832433,"author":{"id":"3570853427202414","authorId":"3570853427202414","name":"BKT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3570853427202414","idStr":"3570853427202414"},"htmlText":"Good. Pls like thanks.","listText":"Good. Pls like thanks.","text":"Good. Pls like thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698637133","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698693378,"gmtCreate":1640358229612,"gmtModify":1640358230086,"author":{"id":"4087109808120260","authorId":"4087109808120260","name":"Tanyl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/174329973340cf0f5b68791ee5b08afd","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4087109808120260","idStr":"4087109808120260"},"htmlText":"Must invest SE in option way","listText":"Must invest SE in option way","text":"Must invest SE in option way","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698693378","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698840058,"gmtCreate":1640350215796,"gmtModify":1640350216126,"author":{"id":"3579259217271611","authorId":"3579259217271611","name":"CCCH","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3579259217271611","idStr":"3579259217271611"},"htmlText":"Sea dharez&nbsp;will be back to $300 plus soon","listText":"Sea dharez&nbsp;will be back to $300 plus soon","text":"Sea dharez will be back to $300 plus soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698840058","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698862054,"gmtCreate":1640342902868,"gmtModify":1640343494302,"author":{"id":"3574851563436207","authorId":"3574851563436207","name":"sjcy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/487e7915540a102784b62ddbbb7208f1","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3574851563436207","idStr":"3574851563436207"},"htmlText":"Believe SEA has potential to grow as it has a few arms in different areas. It has strength to rebound historically and though it seems badly hit this time, trust that it will pull up strongly in the near future.&nbsp;","listText":"Believe SEA has potential to grow as it has a few arms in different areas. It has strength to rebound historically and though it seems badly hit this time, trust that it will pull up strongly in the near future.&nbsp;","text":"Believe SEA has potential to grow as it has a few arms in different areas. It has strength to rebound historically and though it seems badly hit this time, trust that it will pull up strongly in the near future.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698862054","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7115552,"gmtCreate":1640568344177,"gmtModify":1640568344288,"authorId":3577153253038717,"author":{"id":3577153253038717,"idStr":"3577153253038717","authorId":3577153253038717,"name":"andy1967","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c9eab1ea6730e01c8143915e463cc57","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698862054,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Sure, eager to see the reversal coming soon. Hope it will be a shinning star in 2022.","text":"Sure, eager to see the reversal coming soon. Hope it will be a shinning star in 2022.","html":"Sure, eager to see the reversal coming soon. Hope it will be a shinning star in 2022."},{"id":7110476,"gmtCreate":1640496440198,"gmtModify":1640496440307,"authorId":3580011914778910,"author":{"id":3580011914778910,"idStr":"3580011914778910","authorId":3580011914778910,"name":"VivianChua","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698862054,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Happy 💚","text":"Happy 💚","html":"Happy 💚"},{"id":7100696,"gmtCreate":1640383841089,"gmtModify":1640383841187,"authorId":3586451610703869,"author":{"id":3586451610703869,"idStr":"3586451610703869","authorId":3586451610703869,"name":"KH321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1bb8bd7d6d5df5f9732871fe60999ea","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698862054,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"OK","text":"OK","html":"OK"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698836899,"gmtCreate":1640334276247,"gmtModify":1640334276423,"author":{"id":"4094967105351070","authorId":"4094967105351070","name":"BullZai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23c6dc9437ded102b967029e7db7697e","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4094967105351070","idStr":"4094967105351070"},"htmlText":"The reviews seems bias towards SEA…. How do we compare SEA with its Giant Competitors like Alibaba who is beaten badly recently in the valuation and growth… if they are staying away from BABA then what is the chances of SEA winning If giant like&nbsp;BABA is beaten on the stock price ?….","listText":"The reviews seems bias towards SEA…. How do we compare SEA with its Giant Competitors like Alibaba who is beaten badly recently in the valuation and growth… if they are staying away from BABA then what is the chances of SEA winning If giant like&nbsp;BABA is beaten on the stock price ?….","text":"The reviews seems bias towards SEA…. How do we compare SEA with its Giant Competitors like Alibaba who is beaten badly recently in the valuation and growth… if they are staying away from BABA then what is the chances of SEA winning If giant like BABA is beaten on the stock price ?….","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698836899","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7108706,"gmtCreate":1640482962785,"gmtModify":1640482962816,"authorId":3572923586954779,"author":{"id":3572923586954779,"idStr":"3572923586954779","authorId":3572923586954779,"name":"LimLS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/217b03b0c4808fb537070ba4e8f9d83f","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698836899,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Unable to use BABA as comparison as it's hit mainly due to Chinese regulations and many big funds dumping to reduce their risk. But it's true that SEA is high in term of valuation","text":"Unable to use BABA as comparison as it's hit mainly due to Chinese regulations and many big funds dumping to reduce their risk. But it's true that SEA is high in term of valuation","html":"Unable to use BABA as comparison as it's hit mainly due to Chinese regulations and many big funds dumping to reduce their risk. But it's true that SEA is high in term of valuation"},{"id":7100622,"gmtCreate":1640383221993,"gmtModify":1640383222028,"authorId":3587095479419511,"author":{"id":3587095479419511,"idStr":"3587095479419511","authorId":3587095479419511,"name":"HelloKitty55","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d60ee63e7e29d36d5bc7561ef9bc3ed6","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698836899,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"ok","text":"ok","html":"ok"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698831239,"gmtCreate":1640333835478,"gmtModify":1640335372898,"author":{"id":"3579922554249988","authorId":"3579922554249988","name":"Portfolio50","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e41399b7d47310e4bf55e2a5917c9da","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3579922554249988","idStr":"3579922554249988"},"htmlText":"Loss keeps&nbsp;getting wider, keeps diluting its shareholders and its free cash flow is small. I'm staying away for now.","listText":"Loss keeps&nbsp;getting wider, keeps diluting its shareholders and its free cash flow is small. I'm staying away for now.","text":"Loss keeps getting wider, keeps diluting its shareholders and its free cash flow is small. I'm staying away for now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698831239","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7100699,"gmtCreate":1640383857592,"gmtModify":1640383857627,"authorId":3586451610703869,"author":{"id":3586451610703869,"idStr":"3586451610703869","authorId":3586451610703869,"name":"KH321","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1bb8bd7d6d5df5f9732871fe60999ea","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698831239,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"OK","text":"OK","html":"OK"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698830379,"gmtCreate":1640333162333,"gmtModify":1640333162670,"author":{"id":"3563319809929304","authorId":"3563319809929304","name":"dzgunners95","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3563319809929304","idStr":"3563319809929304"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698830379","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698897303,"gmtCreate":1640332850208,"gmtModify":1640332850439,"author":{"id":"3575005098665827","authorId":"3575005098665827","name":"kohhc","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c8fa5bd80d29855e42f8dcd3832e0db","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3575005098665827","idStr":"3575005098665827"},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698897303","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7097900,"gmtCreate":1640333157537,"gmtModify":1640333157638,"authorId":3563319809929304,"author":{"id":3563319809929304,"idStr":"3563319809929304","authorId":3563319809929304,"name":"dzgunners95","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698897303,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"cool","text":"cool","html":"cool"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698893944,"gmtCreate":1640331164491,"gmtModify":1640331164710,"author":{"id":"3583162863775152","authorId":"3583162863775152","name":"gni","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd2327989052e9257ef803c07e504e6","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3583162863775152","idStr":"3583162863775152"},"htmlText":"Sea has much potential. Thanks for the article!&nbsp;","listText":"Sea has much potential. Thanks for the article!&nbsp;","text":"Sea has much potential. Thanks for the article!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698893944","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698899910,"gmtCreate":1640330968124,"gmtModify":1640330968595,"author":{"id":"3576885233950935","authorId":"3576885233950935","name":"jc0110","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09e5e2e4ea456938e5df81fb0919107","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3576885233950935","idStr":"3576885233950935"},"htmlText":"Sea to the moon in the next few years","listText":"Sea to the moon in the next few years","text":"Sea to the moon in the next few years","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698899910","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698804795,"gmtCreate":1640330511815,"gmtModify":1640330511815,"author":{"id":"4096119408780510","authorId":"4096119408780510","name":"Jehms","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84c64b2b7d36baf53d2d5bd1dce11972","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4096119408780510","idStr":"4096119408780510"},"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698804795","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698806011,"gmtCreate":1640329855749,"gmtModify":1640331632367,"author":{"id":"4101367049328400","authorId":"4101367049328400","name":"Newbull","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"4101367049328400","idStr":"4101367049328400"},"htmlText":"Shopee is gaining huge mkt despite loses, just nid to keep the growth&nbsp;momentum n control cost, sea will a good value&nbsp;play.&nbsp;","listText":"Shopee is gaining huge mkt despite loses, just nid to keep the growth&nbsp;momentum n control cost, sea will a good value&nbsp;play.&nbsp;","text":"Shopee is gaining huge mkt despite loses, just nid to keep the growth momentum n control cost, sea will a good value play.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698806011","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":7110318,"gmtCreate":1640494266777,"gmtModify":1640494266864,"authorId":3566708403300811,"author":{"id":3566708403300811,"idStr":"3566708403300811","authorId":3566708403300811,"name":"KLHuat","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":698806011,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Yes","text":"Yes","html":"Yes"}],"langContent":"CN"},{"id":698808411,"gmtCreate":1640329836580,"gmtModify":1640329836687,"author":{"id":"3584426330376924","authorId":"3584426330376924","name":"Nahaha","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6122d23f605152925d6165fd09cd752c","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"authorIdStr":"3584426330376924","idStr":"3584426330376924"},"htmlText":"Hehey not bad","listText":"Hehey not bad","text":"Hehey not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698808411","repostId":1107827800,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1107827800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640326128,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107827800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107827800","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be","content":"Summary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: An Early Christmas Gift<blockquote>Sea Limited：一份提前的圣诞礼物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nSeeking Alpha2021-12-24 14:08\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nSummary<blockquote>总结</blockquote> <ul> <li>Sea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.</li> <li>At this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.</li> <li>The recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48c8d49ed462ac489fe8f5fa91f5691\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1031\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images<blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家在不断增长的经济中成长的公司。</li><li>现阶段，应该根据公司的增长而不是盈利来判断公司。</li><li>与类似的增长故事相比，最近的价格下跌使该股看起来很有吸引力。</li></ul>FreshSplash/E+ 来自盖蒂图片社</blockquote> Thesis Summary<blockquote>论文总结</blockquote> Sea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.<blockquote>Sea Limited (SE) 是划分房间的公司之一。该股是 2020/2021 年表现最好的股票之一，但在普遍抛售之后，该股已从历史高点下跌了 30% 以上，这种情况在成长型股票中最为明显。</blockquote> However, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.<blockquote>然而，Sea 的基本面增长故事仍然强劲，目前其亏损的事实不应困扰投资者。如果我们单独看每个细分市场，就会发现有很多值得喜欢的地方，而且可以争论比现在高得多的价格。最后一点，中国央行、中国人民银行和整体宏观经济趋势最近的政策变化也应该有助于Sea。</blockquote> A Quick Recap<blockquote>快速回顾</blockquote> Sea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.<blockquote>Sea Limited 有三个主要部门；数字娱乐（Garena）、金融服务（SeaMoney）和电子商务（Shopee）。这就是他们上个季度的表现。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd726650027bd5d269b8fe1f0dd0b14\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Investor Presentation<blockquote>资料来源：投资者介绍</blockquote> As we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.<blockquote>正如我们所看到的，数字娱乐是唯一带来经营利润的细分市场。与此同时，电子商务和数字金融正在亏损。然而，目前的增长率证明了投资的合理性。Shopee 的 GMV 同比增长 81%，通过 SeaMoney 处理的 TPV 同比增长 111%。</blockquote> Despite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.<blockquote>尽管全面增长强劲，但 Sea Limited 在过去几周大幅下跌，为我们提供了一个绝佳的机会来购买一只具有令人难以置信的吸引力的基本面增长故事的股票。</blockquote> Growth And Profitability Prospects<blockquote>增长及盈利前景</blockquote> Firstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.<blockquote>首先，我们来谈谈Sea的主要地理市场；东南亚。海洋经济不仅正在经历快速增长，而且正在经历数字化，这对东南亚来说是一个非常好的兆头。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626a6dc7b34175282aeba7740413ede1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"521\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: SEA Economy Report<blockquote>资料来源：海洋经济报告</blockquote> By 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some&nbsp;countries like Brazil.<blockquote>到2025年，互联网经济的GMV有望超过3000亿美元。印度尼西亚、越南和泰国将成为增长最快的互联网经济体，这些都是该公司拥有强大影响力的地区。最重要的是，Sea 还在向拉丁美洲扩张，在巴西等一些国家挑战并超越了 MercadoLibre (MELI)。</blockquote> Shopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.<blockquote>Shopee和SeaMoney将携手成长。随着Shopee的发展，更多的商家和消费者将被拉入SeaMoney生态系统，该生态系统不仅允许数字支付，还可以帮助商家和消费者获得融资。当然，目前该公司正专注于扩张，但我们非常清楚电子商务和数字金融都可能是利润丰厚的领域。</blockquote> Garena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out&nbsp;that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.<blockquote>负责创造Free Fire的Garena正在走另一条道路。用户增长放缓，这是事实，但变现空间依然很大。该公司在这方面朝着正确的方向迈出了一步，发布了该游戏的高级版本Free Fire MAX。JR Research 在最近一篇关于 Seeking Alpha 的文章中指出，Garena 继续提高付费用户与活跃用户的比例，这些用户也在增长，尽管速度较慢。</blockquote> Comparative Valuation<blockquote>比较估值</blockquote> With all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.<blockquote>综上所述，我确实觉得有时 Sea Limited 会受到不公平的评判，正是因为 Free Fire 拥有如此成功且盈利的细分市场。投资者经常查看 Sea 的盈利并抱怨其增长速度不够快，但这不是该公司的目标。如果 Shopee 或 SeaMoney 作为“令人兴奋且快速增长的初创企业”单独交易，投资者对估值的要求就不会那么苛刻了。</blockquote> Sea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:<blockquote>Sea Limited 是一家成长型经济体中的成长型公司，应该根据其增长和收入来判断，而不是根据其盈利来判断：</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dabf7759dd81e88d0603fc2f17137235\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"313\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Data Source: Seeking Alpha<blockquote>数据来源：Seeking Alpha</blockquote> Above we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.<blockquote>上面我们可以看到 Sea 的估值比率以及我认为的一些类似公司，尽管我确信这将是一个有争议的问题。Meli在电子商务和履行领域与Sea正面竞争。Roblox（RBLX）是一款冉冉升起的游戏/平台，堪比Free Fire。Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）具有一些独特的特征，但它在许多方面也与 Sea 相似。它提供了一个电子商务平台，帮助商家销售他们的产品，Shopify Pay与SeaMoney相当。此外，所有这些公司都是高成长性公司，Sea在这方面是最好的。</blockquote> In terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.<blockquote>不过，就市盈率和电动汽车销售额而言，Sea 比其他公司都便宜，除了 Meli。此外，我喜欢Sea的价格/账单与Shopify一致。可以说，这些其他公司可以说被高估了，但这里的想法是将这些公司相互比较。</blockquote> Ultimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.<blockquote>最终，Sea 的增长速度令人难以置信，尽管它并不“盈利”，但我们知道它正在建立一种将会盈利的商业模式。考虑到所有这些，14 的市盈率似乎很有吸引力，而且该比率低于最近 20 左右的平均水平。</blockquote> Other Considerations<blockquote>其他考虑因素</blockquote> Some investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the&nbsp;key benchmark lending rate cut last week.<blockquote>一些投资者可能认为，随着美联储收紧货币政策，现在不是一个好时机。这里的第一个问题是：美联储能收紧多久？我们在2018年之前就看过这场比赛，我们知道它会如何结束。但更重要的是，在美联储收紧的同时，中国人民银行正在放松货币政策，正如我们上周看到的关键基准贷款利率下调。</blockquote> What does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.<blockquote>这对大海意味着什么？效果尚不清楚。该地区的宽松信贷将有助于公司及其客户，但汇率呢？其中一些国家试图保持与主要货币的挂钩，因此这种情况可能不会改变。这表明东南部经济体可能不得不跟随美联储收紧货币政策，以捍卫这一汇率。</blockquote> And lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.<blockquote>最后，如果COVID全面回归怎么办？同样，影响也不清楚。从很多方面来说，即使整体经济受到影响，Sea 的业务也可以因此得到改善。</blockquote> Takeaway<blockquote>外卖</blockquote> Nothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.<blockquote>近几个月来，Sea Limited 除了股价之外没有太大变化，如果我不指出这个买入机会，那就是我的失职。该公司正在所有领域扩张，甚至提高盈利能力，尽管这并不那么重要。我很高兴看到这只股票 2022 年的走势。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift\">Seeking Alpha</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476595-sea-limited-an-early-christmas-gift","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107827800","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited is a growing company in a growing economy.\nAt this stage, the company should be judged on its growth, not earnings.\nThe recent fall in price makes the stock look attractive when compared to similar growth stories.\n\nFreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images\nThesis Summary\nSea Limited (SE) is one of those companies that divide the room. The stock was one of the best performing of 2020/2021 but has now fallen over 30% from its all-time high following a general sell-off which has been most felt in growth stocks.\nHowever, Sea's fundamental growth story remains strong, and the fact that it is running at a loss should not bother investors at this point. If we look at each segment individually, there's a lot to like, and an argument could be made for a much higher price than today. On a final note, Sea should also be aided by the recent policy change coming from China's Central bank, the PBOC, and overall macroeconomic trends.\nA Quick Recap\nSea Limited has three main segments; Digital Entertainment (Garena), Financial Services (SeaMoney) and E-commerce (Shopee). This is how they performed in the last quarter.\nSource: Investor Presentation\nAs we can see, Digital Entertainment is the only segment bringing in operating income. Meanwhile, eCommerce and Digital Finance are running at a loss. However, the growth rates at this point justify the investment. GMV for Shopee was up 81% YoY, and TPV processed through SeaMoney is up 111% YoY.\nDespite strong growth across the board, Sea Limited has come down significantly in the last few weeks, providing us with a perfect opportunity to buy a stock with an incredibly appealing fundamental growth story.\nGrowth And Profitability Prospects\nFirstly, let's talk about Sea's main geographical market; Southeast Asia. SEA economies are experiencing not just a fast level of growth, but also digitalization, which bodes incredibly well for SE.\nSource: SEA Economy Report\nBy 2025, the Internet economy is poised to reach over $300 billion in GMV. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand will be amongst the fastest growing Internet economies, and these are all areas where the company has a strong presence. On top of that, Sea is also expanding into Latin America, where it has challenged and surpassed MercadoLibre (MELI) in some countries like Brazil.\nShopee and SeaMoney will grow hand in hand. As Shopee grows, more merchants and consumers will be pulled into the SeaMoney ecosystem, which not only allows digital payments but also helps merchants and consumers get financing. Of course, at the moment the company is focusing on expansion, but we know full well that both eCommerce and Digital Finance can be lucrative segments.\nGarena, which is responsible for creating Free Fire, is on another path. User growth is slowing down, this is true, but there is still plenty of room for monetization. The company has made moves in the right direction here by releasing Free Fire MAX, a premium version of the game. In a recent article on Seeking Alpha,JR Research pointed out that Garena continues to increase the proportion of paying users to active users, which are also growing, albeit at a slower rate.\nComparative Valuation\nWith all that said, I do feel like sometimes Sea Limited gets judged unfairly, precisely because it has such a successful and profitable segment thanks to Free Fire. Investors often look at Sea's earnings and complain that they aren't growing fast enough, but this is not the company's objective. If Shopee or SeaMoney traded separately as \"exciting and fast-growing start-ups\" investors would be much less harsh with the valuation.\nSea Limited is a growth company in a growth economy, and it should be judged on its growth and revenue, not on its earnings:\nData Source: Seeking Alpha\nAbove we can see valuation ratios for Sea and what I consider to be some similar companies, though I am sure this will be a contentious point. Meli competes head-on with Sea in the eCommerce and fulfilment space. Roblox (RBLX) is an up and coming game/platform, and it is comparable to Free Fire. Shopify Inc.(NYSE:SHOP)has some unique characteristics, but it is also similar in many ways to Sea. It offers an eCommerce platform and helps merchants sell their products, and Shopify Pay is comparable to SeaMoney. Also, all of these companies are high growth companies through Sea is the best in this regard.\nIn terms of P/S and EV/Sales though, Sea is cheaper than the rest of these companies, except for Meli. Also, I like the fact that Sea has a Price/Book in line with that of Shopify. Arguably these other companies could be said to be overvalued, but the idea here is to compare these companies amongst each other.\nUltimately, Sea is growing incredibly fast, and though it isn't \"profitable\", we know that it's building a business model that will be. A P/S of 14 seems attractive given all of this and the ratio is below the more recent average of around 20.\nOther Considerations\nSome investors might think that, with the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, this is not a good time. The first issue here would be; how long can the Fed tighten? We've seen this play out before in 2018, and we know how it ends. More importantly though, while the Fed tightens, the PBOC is loosening monetary policy, as we saw the key benchmark lending rate cut last week.\nWhat does this mean for Sea? The effects are unclear. Easy credit in the area will help the company and its customers, but what about exchange rates? Some of these countries try to keep pegs to major currencies, so this might not change. This would suggest that South Eastern economies might have to follow the Fed in tightening monetary policy to defend this exchange rate.\nAnd lastly, what if COVID returns in full force? Again, the effects would be unclear. In many ways, Sea's business could be improved by this, even if the economy suffers overall.\nTakeaway\nNothing much has changed for Sea Limited in recent months, except for its share price, and I'd be remiss if I didn't point out this buying opportunity. The company is expanding in all areas, and even increasing its profitability, though that is less important. I'm excited to see what 2022 holds for this stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":150,"commentSize":24,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":6,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}