SG Visual Research 图解研报
SG Visual Research 图解研报
来自新加坡的华文创作号,用中文整理与解读英文研报和企业信息。
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新交所估值洼地?深度拆解LMS Compliance (SGX: LMS) 的首评研报

$LMS Compliance(LMS.SI)$   针对 LMS Compliance (LMS.SI) 发出的首评研报,逻辑很硬。 作为一家深耕马来西亚的检测合规龙头,几个数据值得关注: 护城河: 85% 以上的经常性收入,现金流极强。 增长引擎: 2025 年新马两地强制性 ESG 披露的最大受益者。 估值: 目前 SGX 整体估值偏低,这类高增长、高派息潜力的标的值得复盘。
新交所估值洼地?深度拆解LMS Compliance (SGX: LMS) 的首评研报

NetEase 3Q25: The Market Is Sleeping on a 25% Deferred Revenue Spike — 2026 Could Surprise Everyone

$网易(NTES)$   $网易-S(09999)$   NetEase’s 3Q25 looked “fine” at first glance — but one number changes everything: 🔥 Deferred revenue +25% YoY This is future profit already locked in and waiting to be recognized. If you follow China gaming, you know: Deferred revenue spikes → earnings beat in the next 1–2 quarters. And the setup looks strong: 🎮 PC games +33% YoY after Blizzard’s return 📱 Mobile still growing with legacy blockbusters + new momentum 🚀 A loaded 2026 pipeline: Forgotten Seas, Unbounded, Starry Abyss, Returning Tang — multiple titles capable of becoming annual hits. Profitability is inflecting too: Non-GAAP NP +26.7% YoY Youdao: 5th consecutive profitable quarter Cloud Music: stable
NetEase 3Q25: The Market Is Sleeping on a 25% Deferred Revenue Spike — 2026 Could Surprise Everyone

GOOGLE正在改掉“搜索赚钱”

$谷歌(GOOG)$   这季 Google 的重点不在超预期。 AI 让搜索从“一问一答”, 变成更长、更接近决策的对话。 真正的变化是: 每一次搜索的商业价值在变大。
GOOGLE正在改掉“搜索赚钱”

Alibaba 2QFY26: Cloud Explodes, but QC Burns the Profits — Turning Point or Trap?

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$   $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$   Alibaba just posted one of its most contradictory quarters in years. ☁ Cloud revenue jumped 34.5% YoY — the strongest growth since the restructuring. 🔥 But adj. EBITA collapsed 78%, dragged down by heavy investment in quick commerce (QC). Here’s the twist: Management says cloud demand is so strong that supply can’t keep up, and QC losses have been cut by 50% per order since August. And Keeta Hong Kong? ➡ Turned profitable in just 29 months, beating its own 36-month target. So the big question: Is Alibaba entering a new “cloud + quick commerce” synergy cycle? Or will QC continue burning profits?
Alibaba 2QFY26: Cloud Explodes, but QC Burns the Profits — Turning Point or Trap?

Adobe 的 AI 故事正在从“功能演示”转向“真金白银”。

$Adobe(ADBE)$   最新财报显示,AI 相关新增 ARR 已占整体超三分之一,生成式积分消耗量单季激增约 3 倍——用户不是在试用,而是在高频使用。 但与此同时,公司首次将 FY26 运营利润率指引下调至 45%,为多年新低。一边是创纪录的 26 亿美元净新增 ARR 指引,一边是利润承压,这究竟是“战略性投入”,还是增长质量在悄悄变化? 值得思考的是:当一家软件公司把超过 1/3 的新收入归因于 AI,我们该如何判断这是可持续变现,还是短期叙事包装? (一图读懂详见正文)
Adobe 的 AI 故事正在从“功能演示”转向“真金白银”。

小鹏,终于走到“技术兑现”的那一步了

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$  $小鹏汽车-W(09868)$   L3 自动驾驶拿到路测牌照,全年交付直接翻倍,毛利率首次站上 20%。 这些信号放在一起,意味着一件事: 技术开始转化成规模,而不是停在 PPT 里。 @小鹏汽车 
小鹏,终于走到“技术兑现”的那一步了

Moore Threads’ IPO just sent China’s local GPU race into overdrive.

$摩尔线程(688795)$  Retail investors piled into the deal with 4,000× subscription, signalling massive appetite for domestic AI chip plays as China pushes to replace Nvidia hardware. The Beijing-based GPU start-up — founded in 2020 by former Nvidia China head James Zhang and staffed with ex-Nvidia/AMD veterans — has launched four generations of GPUs (Sudi, Chunxiao, Quyuan, Pinghu) despite being on the U.S. Entity List. Key numbers investors overlooked: 2024 revenue: RMB 438.5m (+200% 3-yr CAGR) 2024 net loss: RMB –1.5bn (heavy R&D + inventory) 1H25 revenue: RMB 701.8m 1H25 net loss: narrowed to RMB –271m IPO proceeds: RMB 8bn Valuation: RMB 53.7bn Backers include Tencent, ByteDance, Sequoia China, GGV and Shenzhen Capital Group — almost 90 sha
Moore Threads’ IPO just sent China’s local GPU race into overdrive.

中国地产复苏了么?看看贝壳吧

$贝壳(BEKE)$   很多人想知道地产有没有回暖。 贝壳的收入还在同比下滑, 行业 GTV 也只是止跌,没有反弹。
中国地产复苏了么?看看贝壳吧

JD Industrials IPO: China’s No.1 Industrial Supply Chain Platform — Worth Subscribing?

$京东工业(07618)$  JD Industrials (7618.HK) — often called “China’s No.1 industrial supply chain platform” — is finally coming to market. Here are the key takeaways from the latest IPO review: 🔹 Huge Market Opportunity China’s industrial supply chain market is heading toward RMB 1.1 trillion by 2029, with low digital penetration. 🔹 Strong Platform Fundamentals Over 81 million SKUs, 11,000+ enterprise clients, and the largest share in China’s MRO/B2B industrial segment. 🔹 Solid Growth Trend 1H25 revenue +19%, improving gross margin (18.6%), and rising adjusted profit. 🔹 JD Ecosystem Advantage Integrated logistics + supply chain + fulfillment give JD Industrials a real moat. But there are risks: ⚠ Gross margin still lower vs global peers ⚠ Heavy reli
JD Industrials IPO: China’s No.1 Industrial Supply Chain Platform — Worth Subscribing?

NIO 3Q25: Beat or Beware?

$蔚来(NIO)$   $蔚来-SW(09866)$   $蔚来(NIO.SI)$   NIO’s 3Q25 results came in stronger on margins, but the bigger picture remains challenging. Gross margin beat expectations, yet net loss was still RMB 3.66bn. Management also cut 4Q guidance and is less confident about breakeven this year. Competition in China’s EV SUV market is intensifying, and NIO may need price cuts when its new L-series arrives. Key question now: Can NIO protect margins and recover volume in early 2026?
NIO 3Q25: Beat or Beware?

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