纯赌票，亏了的人只能_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

价值投资为王

纯赌票，亏了的人只能愿赌服输，不过说实话，消费型企业，最好吃相别这么难看，亏了钱的散户恐怕再也不会吃你家的菜了 $绿茶集团(06831)$

@价值投资为王：绿茶基本面一般，但最近上市的新股全部上涨，你赌吗？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

windfload
2025-05-15
windfload
对，我也这么想的，消费型企业，上市就割韭菜，以后去她家消费算我输！果然人如其名
- 价值投资为王:
  抵制起来
luckyseven
2025-05-15
luckyseven
中南山铝业国际之后第二支破发的😭
- 价值投资为王:
  基本面不行，也就是行情好，不然肯定破发
- 肖邦的学徒:
  就中过南山铝业[笑哭]
- 老郭头2020:
  我看成了钟南山 [开心]
- wangwx155:
  和我一样[捂脸] 涨的都没中，中了都破发
惠通
2025-05-15
惠通
人如其名啊，绿茶啊，吃相也太难看了吧，暗盘就开始收割，开盘以后的啊，还绿茶呢，不如叫绿婊好了
- 价值投资为王:
  口碑完了
EmmaX
2025-05-20
EmmaX
同意，至少我现在请朋友喝奶茶还是会惦记一下沪上阿姨[害羞]但是绿茶是不可能再吃的了
- 价值投资为王:
  消费股，人缘很重要
黑色的眷恋
2025-05-15
黑色的眷恋
确实，在6.27加仓5手，哈哈
- 价值投资为王:
  牛
- 黑色的眷恋回复我是何某:
  嘿嘿，确实
- 我是何某:
  哈哈哈，就当有人请吃了顿饭
捷克Jack
2025-05-15
捷克Jack
绿茶痛失20000优质客户[笑哭]
- 价值投资为王:
  可不

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class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/982854eba76e3aaa81bc3d44f789ba10\" tg-width=\"1084\" tg-height=\"2412\"></p>\n<p>很多人对绿茶都不陌生，2008年绿茶在杭州开了第一家餐厅，到今年已有493家餐厅。</p>\n<p>从餐厅数量上看，2022年绿茶有276家，2023年360家，2024年达到465家：</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cf051409db43233ba9bc2686983dec4\" tg-width=\"1426\" tg-height=\"600\"></p>\n<p>餐厅数量快速增长的情况下，绿茶的收入水涨船高，2022-2024年分别为23.8亿、35.9亿和38.4亿；净利润分别为1.1亿、3亿和3.5亿。</p>\n<p>在招股书中，绿茶表示今年将新开150家店铺，2026年再开200家，2027年开213家。</p>\n<p>从2008年创业开始，绿茶用十多年的时间才开到276家，为了上市，这两年快速扩充至493家。</p>\n<p>餐饮业这两年表现不佳，九毛九、呷哺呷哺等明星餐饮上市公司扑街，绿茶也没好到哪去，从接待总人数上看，2022-2024年分别为3778.6万、5792.2万和6807.1万，人数增加不少。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">$九毛九(09922)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a></p>\n<p>但从人均消费来看，2022-2024年分别为62.9元、61.8元和56.2元。</p>\n<p>翻台率在2024年也有明显的下滑，疫情前的2019年为3.34次，2023年为3.3亿，2024年只有3次。</p>\n<p>运营数据恶化的原因主要是宏观大环境恶化，比如消费者减少外出用餐的支出及次数，这不是绿茶一家的问题，整个餐饮行业都面临下行周期的考验。</p>\n<p>或是为了打消投资者对经营数据恶化的担忧，绿茶给大家画出未来3年快速开店的大饼。</p>\n<p>按照以往，店铺数量快速增长的情况下，绿茶的业绩也会同步大增，但是港股这些年上了不少餐饮类公司，部分公司在上市时也承诺未来大肆开店，比如海伦司，它是一家连锁酒馆上市公司，2021年上市时，曾计划2021年、2022年、2023年分别新开店400家、630家和900家，相比2020年351家的酒馆数量而言，海伦司扩张极为凶猛。</p>\n<p>但是，海伦司上市之后的走势啪啪打脸： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09869\">$海伦司(09869)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e32a00099074829da280e92739cd1762\" tg-width=\"1825\" tg-height=\"826\"></p>\n<p>因此，绿茶承诺未来3年大肆开店，到底是生意真的好，还是为了顺利上市给投资者画的大饼呢？</p>\n<p>抛开这个疑点不谈，绿茶此次上市的市盈率为12.8倍，去除上市开支后的市盈率还要稍低一些。</p>\n<p>目前，在菜品类别及业绩增速上最为相似的是小菜园，目前的市盈率为16.6倍： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00999\">$小菜园(00999)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8099e419261f063ed40e162f1acc27d\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"322\"></p>\n<p>由此来看，绿茶发行的估值不算贵，加上画的大饼，还颇有一些吸引力。</p>\n<p>更牛逼的是，今年以来，港股上市的新股涨多跌少，首日破发的概率只有24%，如果看最近2个月，新股首日上涨的概率接近100%：</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dffa6916d78ec7afc1bc98ca3080de11\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"576\"></p>\n<p>不过，绿茶为了上市有5次递表的记录，而且此次全球发售的1.68亿股，有5050万股老股，占比30%，也就是说这些前期股东急于套现，甚至都等不及公司上市股票解禁后卖出，说明不看好公司未来发展前景。</p>\n<p>最后，绿茶本次IPO发行股份占全部股份比例的25%，按招股价7.19港元算，募资约12.1亿，8名基石锁定6.7港元，流通盘5.4亿，不算小。</p>\n<p>这样的新股，你会赌吗？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06831\">$绿茶集团(06831)$</a></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>开餐厅的绿茶正在招股，热度虽然不高，但老虎证券APP显示已有36倍超额认购：</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/982854eba76e3aaa81bc3d44f789ba10\" tg-width=\"1084\" tg-height=\"2412\"></p>\n<p>很多人对绿茶都不陌生，2008年绿茶在杭州开了第一家餐厅，到今年已有493家餐厅。</p>\n<p>从餐厅数量上看，2022年绿茶有276家，2023年360家，2024年达到465家：</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cf051409db43233ba9bc2686983dec4\" tg-width=\"1426\" tg-height=\"600\"></p>\n<p>餐厅数量快速增长的情况下，绿茶的收入水涨船高，2022-2024年分别为23.8亿、35.9亿和38.4亿；净利润分别为1.1亿、3亿和3.5亿。</p>\n<p>在招股书中，绿茶表示今年将新开150家店铺，2026年再开200家，2027年开213家。</p>\n<p>从2008年创业开始，绿茶用十多年的时间才开到276家，为了上市，这两年快速扩充至493家。</p>\n<p>餐饮业这两年表现不佳，九毛九、呷哺呷哺等明星餐饮上市公司扑街，绿茶也没好到哪去，从接待总人数上看，2022-2024年分别为3778.6万、5792.2万和6807.1万，人数增加不少。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">$九毛九(09922)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a></p>\n<p>但从人均消费来看，2022-2024年分别为62.9元、61.8元和56.2元。</p>\n<p>翻台率在2024年也有明显的下滑，疫情前的2019年为3.34次，2023年为3.3亿，2024年只有3次。</p>\n<p>运营数据恶化的原因主要是宏观大环境恶化，比如消费者减少外出用餐的支出及次数，这不是绿茶一家的问题，整个餐饮行业都面临下行周期的考验。</p>\n<p>或是为了打消投资者对经营数据恶化的担忧，绿茶给大家画出未来3年快速开店的大饼。</p>\n<p>按照以往，店铺数量快速增长的情况下，绿茶的业绩也会同步大增，但是港股这些年上了不少餐饮类公司，部分公司在上市时也承诺未来大肆开店，比如海伦司，它是一家连锁酒馆上市公司，2021年上市时，曾计划2021年、2022年、2023年分别新开店400家、630家和900家，相比2020年351家的酒馆数量而言，海伦司扩张极为凶猛。</p>\n<p>但是，海伦司上市之后的走势啪啪打脸： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09869\">$海伦司(09869)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e32a00099074829da280e92739cd1762\" tg-width=\"1825\" tg-height=\"826\"></p>\n<p>因此，绿茶承诺未来3年大肆开店，到底是生意真的好，还是为了顺利上市给投资者画的大饼呢？</p>\n<p>抛开这个疑点不谈，绿茶此次上市的市盈率为12.8倍，去除上市开支后的市盈率还要稍低一些。</p>\n<p>目前，在菜品类别及业绩增速上最为相似的是小菜园，目前的市盈率为16.6倍： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00999\">$小菜园(00999)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8099e419261f063ed40e162f1acc27d\" tg-width=\"831\" tg-height=\"322\"></p>\n<p>由此来看，绿茶发行的估值不算贵，加上画的大饼，还颇有一些吸引力。</p>\n<p>更牛逼的是，今年以来，港股上市的新股涨多跌少，首日破发的概率只有24%，如果看最近2个月，新股首日上涨的概率接近100%：</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dffa6916d78ec7afc1bc98ca3080de11\" tg-width=\"765\" tg-height=\"576\"></p>\n<p>不过，绿茶为了上市有5次递表的记录，而且此次全球发售的1.68亿股，有5050万股老股，占比30%，也就是说这些前期股东急于套现，甚至都等不及公司上市股票解禁后卖出，说明不看好公司未来发展前景。</p>\n<p>最后，绿茶本次IPO发行股份占全部股份比例的25%，按招股价7.19港元算，募资约12.1亿，8名基石锁定6.7港元，流通盘5.4亿，不算小。</p>\n<p>这样的新股，你会赌吗？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06831\">$绿茶集团(06831)$</a></p></body></html>","text":"开餐厅的绿茶正在招股，热度虽然不高，但老虎证券APP显示已有36倍超额认购： 很多人对绿茶都不陌生，2008年绿茶在杭州开了第一家餐厅，到今年已有493家餐厅。 从餐厅数量上看，2022年绿茶有276家，2023年360家，2024年达到465家： 餐厅数量快速增长的情况下，绿茶的收入水涨船高，2022-2024年分别为23.8亿、35.9亿和38.4亿；净利润分别为1.1亿、3亿和3.5亿。 在招股书中，绿茶表示今年将新开150家店铺，2026年再开200家，2027年开213家。 从2008年创业开始，绿茶用十多年的时间才开到276家，为了上市，这两年快速扩充至493家。 餐饮业这两年表现不佳，九毛九、呷哺呷哺等明星餐饮上市公司扑街，绿茶也没好到哪去，从接待总人数上看，2022-2024年分别为3778.6万、5792.2万和6807.1万，人数增加不少。 $九毛九(09922)$ $海底捞(06862)$ 但从人均消费来看，2022-2024年分别为62.9元、61.8元和56.2元。 翻台率在2024年也有明显的下滑，疫情前的2019年为3.34次，2023年为3.3亿，2024年只有3次。 运营数据恶化的原因主要是宏观大环境恶化，比如消费者减少外出用餐的支出及次数，这不是绿茶一家的问题，整个餐饮行业都面临下行周期的考验。 或是为了打消投资者对经营数据恶化的担忧，绿茶给大家画出未来3年快速开店的大饼。 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