OptionsDelta
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avatarOptionsDelta
2021-12-28

The market is too boring, and you can make money when you sleep.

Not long after the post was posted yesterday, S&P reached a new high. Thanks @雪崩 share experiences.:Yesterday, the consumption data was missed before the market: MasterCard data showed that holiday retail sales increased by 8.5% year-on-year, which was slightly lower than the 8.8% increase predicted by the agency; Compared with 2019 before the epidemic, it increased by 10.7%, the largest annual increase in 17 years. Among them, the sales of clothing and jewelry increased by more than 30%. Compared with 2019, retail sales of stores increased by 2.4%, and online sales increased by 61%. Affected by favorable consumption growth, the index soared as a whole. Today, I woke up and sat in bed staring at the market for a long time, which rose too much! I found that when everyone expects the market to rise this week, the market tends to hit the spot in one step. This is also the performance the day before the Four Witches Day. When you think about it, everyone wants to go together. If you want to buy it together, you want to sell it together, and the result is a sharp rise and fall. I don't have much opinion on this market at present. The monthly salary is changed to the daily salary. What opinion can I have if I count money lying down?​ Sell put pools today: I choose my own Subject code Annualized income Expiration date Exercise price Royalty Implied volatility ​$TSLA 20220107 950.0 PUT $​ 20.0% 2022/1/7 950 6.6 67% ​$NVDA 20220107 290.0 PUT $​ 36.0% 2022/1/7 290 3.4 49% ​$AAPL 20220114 170.0 PUT $​ 12.8% 2022/1/14 170 1.14 29% ​$AMD 20220107 144.0 PUT $​ 32.8% 2022/1/7 144 1.53 49% Yesterday, this kind of market iv can't be unchanged. What appears in today's data results is$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$And$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$, TessThe price of pulling exercise is almost 950, but NVIDIA gives it too low, and the exercise price is 265. So I adjusted according to the market, because the price is relatively high, it is suggested to close the position on Thursday or Friday. The annualized income is still calculated according to the maturity date, which is for reference only, and the actual annualized income should be higher. ​$Apple(AAPL)$And$AMD(AMD)$I added it myself. As far as selling put is concerned, it is harder to do it today than yesterday. Because it has soared for 4 days in a row, the callback and time loss should be considered first when making any long strategy in this position. I will consider lying flat for the put made yesterday, and close the position on Thursday or Friday. It is suggested that the above sell put should be closed on Thursday or Friday. ​$Apple(AAPL)$Apple's option is special and expires on January 14th. I think 170 is the safe price this week. However, in view of the low fluctuation of iv, the option price next week is very low, so selling a long-dated option can better reap the royalties. ​$AMD(AMD)$Don't look at AMD's soaring yesterday, but it hasn't detected iv anomaly yet, so it sold a put with a close exercise price.
The market is too boring, and you can make money when you sleep.
avatarOptionsDelta
2021-12-27

The S&P’s December high happened during the last week of this month in almost half (41 pct) of years

If there is no accident, the last week of December is likely to be bullish. This is not what I said casually, but a law discovered by a lot of research on Wall Street: The Santa Claus rally is a very specific event. It is the tendency for the market to rise in the last five trading days of the current year and the first two days of the new year. First discovered by Yale Hirsch of “Stock Trader’s Almanac,” it has produced positive returns 34 of the past 45 years for an average return of 1.4%. During the month of December, the S&P 500 tends to peak during the last week or even the last day of the month, according to Jessica Rabe, co-founder of DataTrek Research. “Since 1980, the S&P’s December high happened during the last week of this month in almost half (41 pct) of years,” she said in a recent note to clients. Judging from the market situation in these two days, there is really nothing to refute. Anyway, there are only a few days left, so let's watch while walking. Sell put pools today: Like last Thursday, today's data is still 0. Here is my own data。​ I choose my own stock code Annualized income Expiration date Exercise price Royalty Implied volatility $TSLA 20220107 950.0 PUT$ 34.0% 2022/1/7 950 11.95 68% $NVDA 20220107 280.0 PUT$ 46.7% 2022/1/7 280 4.55 52% $AAPL 20220107 170 PUT$ 24.5% 2022/1/7 170 1.42 30% ​​Because the market is very good, so the choice of the right gold price is more radical, Daily MA 10 ~ 20 position. If the market is good, it can drain the time value in two or three days, so there is no need to get the expiration date. All three companies are good, Musk$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Once again, a large number of cars were delivered, and Micron's financial report soared to benefit the chip sector$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ .Analysts boast$Apple(AAPL)$ Stand on three trillion yuan. Although it was written$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Put, but then I thought about it, and I still chose to make a covered call when I held shares:$TSLA 20211231 1200.0 CALL$. Tesla Motors closed at 1,200 on Friday, so 100 positive shares were sold at 1,200 per share and gained $450 royalties. If you don't close at 1200, you will also get a royalty of $450, but you will continue to hold shares. Share an ultimate stop loss trick ​@多算胜 This friend recommended:To put it simply, when it is found that the put exercise price becomes within the price, 100 shares are sold backhand to short, and the short stocks are bought at the exercise price after maturity settlement. For example, if you sell BABA 144put, one day you find that BABA has fallen to 143, then you sell 100 stocks at this time, and on the settlement date, you find that Ali has fallen to 140, but put will not lose money, because short stocks and put will exercise their rights together, put will receive royalties, and the positive shares will be bought at 144, and the positive shares will lose 100.Total loss is royalty-100, effective stop loss. If BABA rebounded back to more than 143 on the same day, it is necessary to close the short stocks in time. Do we have a position to buy and sell stocks? There must be. I have always stressed that when selling put, we must leave enough margin to take over. Combined with this brother's strategy, you can stop the black swan in reverse now.
The S&P’s December high happened during the last week of this month in almost half (41 pct) of years

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