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2021-05-09

Hmmmm

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2021-06-18

Correction?

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2021-04-09

Wow

Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote>

2021-07-16

If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…

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2021-05-31

Nope

Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振萎靡不振的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>

2021-07-18

Lookin g forward

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2021-06-07

Wow

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2021-06-02

Up!

iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone需求推动阿里巴巴-SW、京东“6.18”启动日销量创历史新高</blockquote>

2021-05-24

Bubbles coming?

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2021-02-25

Should I buy Bitcoin?

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2021-07-25

NIO?

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-25

NIO!

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-05-15

Huh

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2021-05-12

Why? Btc eth all way up

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2021-04-08

Wow

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2021-03-29

Buy or sell?

GameStop swings between gains and losses, capping volatile week<blockquote>游戏驿站在涨跌之间波动，为动荡的一周画上句号</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Wow!

BlackBerry Shorts Could Get Burned If History Repeats<blockquote>如果历史重演，黑莓短裤可能会被烧毁</blockquote>

2021-05-28

Up!

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2021-05-07

Wow

Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>

2021-04-30

Then why drop...

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again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","listText":"Ask again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","text":"Ask again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800578874","repostId":"800545565","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":800545565,"gmtCreate":1627309913757,"gmtModify":1633766253640,"author":{"id":"3583357934408755","authorId":"3583357934408755","name":"popolo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/714c98fe06e9258fa7054d9d3f8b1daa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583357934408755","idStr":"3583357934408755"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>is it too late to buy now?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>is it too late to buy now?","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$is it too late to buy now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800545565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177168069,"gmtCreate":1627187305151,"gmtModify":1633767312195,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO?","listText":"NIO?","text":"NIO?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177168069","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177161568,"gmtCreate":1627187279954,"gmtModify":1633767312540,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO!","listText":"NIO!","text":"NIO!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177161568","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179454373,"gmtCreate":1626573670992,"gmtModify":1633925800234,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lookin g forward","listText":"Lookin g forward","text":"Lookin g 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is this?","listText":"What is this?","text":"What is this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160420726","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160467299,"gmtCreate":1623804716211,"gmtModify":1634027947888,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another cycle?","listText":"Another cycle?","text":"Another cycle?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160467299","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160327441,"gmtCreate":1623773218683,"gmtModify":1634028461587,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really ?","listText":"Really ?","text":"Really ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160327441","repostId":"1147269544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147269544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147269544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147269544","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he p","content":"<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些被繁荣所青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆无忌惮的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年re：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断“<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些被繁荣所青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆无忌惮的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年re：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断“<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147269544","content_text":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes nextin a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that:\n\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus & re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"\n#ParadigmShift\n\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"\n\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.\n\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"\n\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"\n\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"\n\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"\n\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #robinhooddown\n\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single  newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"\n\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"\nHis punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"2010-2021: Gestation\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"\nAnd, as if reading from the same playbook,Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"and if Jay Powell\n\n“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"\n\nAll of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...\n\n\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.#FlyingPigs360\"\n\nIn other words:\"Brace!\"\nSo what are you going to do about it?\nTudor Jones had some simple advice: \"buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185510573,"gmtCreate":1623659530492,"gmtModify":1634030536179,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Elon again","listText":"Elon again","text":"Elon again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185510573","repostId":"1135133788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135133788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623659116,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135133788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135133788","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesl","content":"<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块个股盘前上涨，CAN股价盘前涨超10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk周日表示，一旦确认矿工合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-14 16:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块个股盘前上涨，CAN股价盘前涨超10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官Elon Musk周日表示，一旦确认矿工合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135133788","content_text":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesla CEO Elon Musk on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182061397,"gmtCreate":1623547462419,"gmtModify":1634031977441,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182061397","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183311163,"gmtCreate":1623306738152,"gmtModify":1634034733079,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s late but it’s better than never","listText":"It’s late but it’s better than never","text":"It’s late but it’s better than never","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183311163","repostId":"2142024176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183981966,"gmtCreate":1623300307455,"gmtModify":1634034799934,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ponzi","listText":"Ponzi","text":"Ponzi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183981966","repostId":"2142249628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180476887,"gmtCreate":1623224200849,"gmtModify":1634035631804,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really?","listText":"Really?","text":"Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180476887","repostId":"1158084619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115212807,"gmtCreate":1622998937109,"gmtModify":1634096332460,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115212807","repostId":"2141283409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118537831,"gmtCreate":1622737714723,"gmtModify":1634098514447,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118537831","repostId":"1160289276","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118050608,"gmtCreate":1622709101104,"gmtModify":1634098920934,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ahh. Not bad&nbsp;","listText":"Ahh. Not bad&nbsp;","text":"Ahh. Not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118050608","repostId":"1105752559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105752559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622694904,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105752559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 12:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点：玩AMC股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种选择策略</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105752559","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves,","content":"<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价在轧空中波动极大。期权可以是一种利用波动的方式，但要谨慎。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>在陷入空头挤压后，控股股价再次爆发。</blockquote></p><p>The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)</p><p><blockquote>该股的已实现和隐含波动率正在飙升。AMC<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>今天点涨了一倍多。下面有两种选择策略来尝试利用这一不寻常的举措。（请注意，本文数据截至6月1日收盘。）</blockquote></p><p>The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.</p><p><blockquote>AMCAMC的第一张图表（+95.22%）跟踪了两年的情况，显示该股在2019年的大部分时间里一直在普遍下跌。事实上，自2015年和2016年创下30美元左右的历史高点以来，AMC一直在下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.</p><p><blockquote>随后，由于疫情，该股进一步下跌。然而，当它在2021年1月下旬的空头挤压中反弹时，情况开始发生变化。该股在不到一个月的时间里从2美元飙升至20美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.</p><p><blockquote>现在又一次轧空正在进行中，该股上个月已从9美元上涨至60美元以上。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd994b6947e51ac1dd241aebc098785c\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year, showing the<i>composite</i>implied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)</p><p><blockquote>从基本面甚至技术分析的角度来证明这些举措的合理性是不可能的，但期权市场提供了机会。正如所料，这些选择已经变得极其昂贵。下一张图表是一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-年，显示<i>复合的</i>顶部是AMC期权的隐含波动率，底部是股票价格。（综合隐含波动率是AMC上最活跃期权的加权波动率。）</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0833b40f70599f8f813f2c0eaa3a7c8b\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is a<i>lot</i>higher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)</p><p><blockquote>综合隐含波动率已升至200%以上。（不要担心这在统计学上意味着什么，只需将其用作比较度量——200%是一个<i>很多</i>高于“正常”波动性，高达大流行前水平的四倍。）</blockquote></p><p>So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.</p><p><blockquote>那么，哪些期权策略有意义呢？信不信由你，在波动性仍然很高的情况下，简单地购买昂贵的期权是合理的。AMC的10天已实现（历史）波动性现在达到了惊人的211%。20天历史波动率（HV）为160%。</blockquote></p><p>However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be.&nbsp;But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,<i>out-of-the-money</i>options are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果股票开始企稳，这些波动性将迅速下降——无论这种情况可能在哪里。但只要它们坚持下去，就隐含波动率而言，平值期权并不会比这贵多少。然而，<i>价外</i>期权要贵得多，而且通常没有吸引力——当然不是基于统计数据。</blockquote></p><p>Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.</p><p><blockquote>许多交易者想要出售期权，因为他们认为期权定价过高。好吧，它们的价格可能过高，但在目前的波动水平下，股票可能会大幅波动，并导致期权卖出策略的毁灭。</blockquote></p><p>One can see from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>人们可以从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-AMC的年度图表显示，在上次轧空后，该股迅速下跌，但从未回到轧空启动时的价格。这是轧空中的典型行为。</blockquote></p><p>Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).</p><p><blockquote>考虑以下两张图表——Riot BlockchainRIOT，+2.74%和GameStopGME，+13.34%——这两张图表都是空头挤压。RIOT在2017年底首次上市时也是一次轧空（图表中未显示）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fda30eb7b24e1715b109a7c7f42a2623\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e235888f2cd914eacad62e402d2397c7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，都会出现类似的模式：轧空结束，股票下跌，但不会完全回到“轧空前”的价格，至少暂时不会。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> options strategies could take advantage of this:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>期权策略可以利用这一点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ol><li><b>A bear put spread.</b>Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock&nbsp; price<i>and</i>sell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.</li><li><b>Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMC</b><b><i>prior</i></b><b>to the short squeeze.</b>AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received.&nbsp;A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.</li></ol>Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>看跌看跌价差。</b>买入执行价格略低于当前上涨股价的看跌期权<i>和</i>以明显较低的执行价格卖出看跌期权。这种策略通常有一个优势，即你买入的看跌期权的隐含波动率低于你卖出的看跌期权的隐含波动率。您损失的钱不会超过您为价差支付的借方，但如果股票继续上涨且期权到期时一文不值，您可能会损失100%的借方。</li><li><b>执行价格等于或接近AMC价格的卖出看跌信用利差</b><b><i>先前的</i></b><b>到空头挤压。</b>在最新一轮轧空开始之前，AMC才十几岁。这里的潜在收益将是最初收到的信用，但保证金要求——等于利差中的风险——是罢工的差额，减去收到的信用。对于极其激进的账户，这种策略的一个衍生品是卖出看跌期权（裸），行使价在十几岁。</li></ol>显然，有很多期权组合可以考虑，但这是两种相对简单的价差策略，如果AMC的行为像其他轧空一样，它们将会获得回报：最终股票见顶并开始下跌，但不会下跌太远足以达到“挤压前”水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点：玩AMC股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种选择策略</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点：玩AMC股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种选择策略</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 12:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价在轧空中波动极大。期权可以是一种利用波动的方式，但要谨慎。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>在陷入空头挤压后，控股股价再次爆发。</blockquote></p><p>The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)</p><p><blockquote>该股的已实现和隐含波动率正在飙升。AMC<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>今天点涨了一倍多。下面有两种选择策略来尝试利用这一不寻常的举措。（请注意，本文数据截至6月1日收盘。）</blockquote></p><p>The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.</p><p><blockquote>AMCAMC的第一张图表（+95.22%）跟踪了两年的情况，显示该股在2019年的大部分时间里一直在普遍下跌。事实上，自2015年和2016年创下30美元左右的历史高点以来，AMC一直在下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.</p><p><blockquote>随后，由于疫情，该股进一步下跌。然而，当它在2021年1月下旬的空头挤压中反弹时，情况开始发生变化。该股在不到一个月的时间里从2美元飙升至20美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.</p><p><blockquote>现在又一次轧空正在进行中，该股上个月已从9美元上涨至60美元以上。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd994b6947e51ac1dd241aebc098785c\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year, showing the<i>composite</i>implied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)</p><p><blockquote>从基本面甚至技术分析的角度来证明这些举措的合理性是不可能的，但期权市场提供了机会。正如所料，这些选择已经变得极其昂贵。下一张图表是一个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-年，显示<i>复合的</i>顶部是AMC期权的隐含波动率，底部是股票价格。（综合隐含波动率是AMC上最活跃期权的加权波动率。）</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0833b40f70599f8f813f2c0eaa3a7c8b\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is a<i>lot</i>higher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)</p><p><blockquote>综合隐含波动率已升至200%以上。（不要担心这在统计学上意味着什么，只需将其用作比较度量——200%是一个<i>很多</i>高于“正常”波动性，高达大流行前水平的四倍。）</blockquote></p><p>So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.</p><p><blockquote>那么，哪些期权策略有意义呢？信不信由你，在波动性仍然很高的情况下，简单地购买昂贵的期权是合理的。AMC的10天已实现（历史）波动性现在达到了惊人的211%。20天历史波动率（HV）为160%。</blockquote></p><p>However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be.&nbsp;But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,<i>out-of-the-money</i>options are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果股票开始企稳，这些波动性将迅速下降——无论这种情况可能在哪里。但只要它们坚持下去，就隐含波动率而言，平值期权并不会比这贵多少。然而，<i>价外</i>期权要贵得多，而且通常没有吸引力——当然不是基于统计数据。</blockquote></p><p>Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.</p><p><blockquote>许多交易者想要出售期权，因为他们认为期权定价过高。好吧，它们的价格可能过高，但在目前的波动水平下，股票可能会大幅波动，并导致期权卖出策略的毁灭。</blockquote></p><p>One can see from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>人们可以从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-AMC的年度图表显示，在上次轧空后，该股迅速下跌，但从未回到轧空启动时的价格。这是轧空中的典型行为。</blockquote></p><p>Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).</p><p><blockquote>考虑以下两张图表——Riot BlockchainRIOT，+2.74%和GameStopGME，+13.34%——这两张图表都是空头挤压。RIOT在2017年底首次上市时也是一次轧空（图表中未显示）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fda30eb7b24e1715b109a7c7f42a2623\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e235888f2cd914eacad62e402d2397c7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，都会出现类似的模式：轧空结束，股票下跌，但不会完全回到“轧空前”的价格，至少暂时不会。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> options strategies could take advantage of this:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>期权策略可以利用这一点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ol><li><b>A bear put spread.</b>Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock&nbsp; price<i>and</i>sell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.</li><li><b>Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMC</b><b><i>prior</i></b><b>to the short squeeze.</b>AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received.&nbsp;A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.</li></ol>Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>看跌看跌价差。</b>买入执行价格略低于当前上涨股价的看跌期权<i>和</i>以明显较低的执行价格卖出看跌期权。这种策略通常有一个优势，即你买入的看跌期权的隐含波动率低于你卖出的看跌期权的隐含波动率。您损失的钱不会超过您为价差支付的借方，但如果股票继续上涨且期权到期时一文不值，您可能会损失100%的借方。</li><li><b>执行价格等于或接近AMC价格的卖出看跌信用利差</b><b><i>先前的</i></b><b>到空头挤压。</b>在最新一轮轧空开始之前，AMC才十几岁。这里的潜在收益将是最初收到的信用，但保证金要求——等于利差中的风险——是罢工的差额，减去收到的信用。对于极其激进的账户，这种策略的一个衍生品是卖出看跌期权（裸），行使价在十几岁。</li></ol>显然，有很多期权组合可以考虑，但这是两种相对简单的价差策略，如果AMC的行为像其他轧空一样，它们将会获得回报：最终股票见顶并开始下跌，但不会下跌太远足以达到“挤压前”水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105752559","content_text":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.AMC Entertainment Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at one point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a one-year, showing thecompositeimplied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is alothigher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be. But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,out-of-the-moneyoptions are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.One can see from the one-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.Two options strategies could take advantage of this:A bear put spread.Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock  priceandsell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMCpriorto the short squeeze.AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received. A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190919542,"gmtCreate":1620568335986,"gmtModify":1634197994986,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmmm","listText":"Hmmmm","text":"Hmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190919542","repostId":"1106882084","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168972779,"gmtCreate":1623948389691,"gmtModify":1634025356097,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Correction?","listText":"Correction?","text":"Correction?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168972779","repostId":"2144742686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348686487,"gmtCreate":1617926149449,"gmtModify":1634295755236,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348686487","repostId":"1112389819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112389819","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617854410,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112389819?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-08 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112389819","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were ","content":"<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件，列出该公司ETF当天买入或卖出的股票。近几个月来，众所周知，这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的35只股票的列表。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkSpace探索与创新ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：购买了空白支票公司141,100股股票，约占ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%，至10.06美元，盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元，低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>大白鲨喷火收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%：购买了the blank check company的241,618股股票，约占ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws股价周三收盘上涨0.3%，至10.46美元，盘后上涨1.91%。52周高点为12.10美元，低点为9.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买35,963股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅：Cathie Wood的Ark Invest Space ETF中的前39家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%，至40.07美元，盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元，低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%：购买了空白支票公司140,900股股票，占ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent股价收盘下跌0.39%，至10.11美元，盘后交易中上涨1%。该股52周高点为17美元，低点为9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：出售了这家设备设计和制造公司的11,302股股票，约占ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%，至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元，低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%，至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元，低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%：出售了这家总部位于加州的国防承包商的5,100股股票，约占ETF的0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment股价周三收盘下跌3.44%，至113.37美元。52周高点为143.72美元，低点为53.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票，约占ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%，至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%：购买了东京一家开发和建设电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票，约占ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>周三，基础场外交易股票收盘上涨0.97%，至15.65美元。52周高点为179美元，低点为14.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>移卡有限公司</b>YHEKF：在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台，约占ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>移卡股价周三收盘下跌0.64%，至7.75美元。52周高点为15.28美元，低点为4.78美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%：购买了204,348股P2P借贷公司股票，约占ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%，至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元，低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售在线借贷市场公司15,762股股票，约占ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%，至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元，低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟基因组革命ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股，约占ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%，至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元，低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%：购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票，约占ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify股价周三收盘下跌4.08%，至26.35美元，盘后上涨0.53%。52周高点为40.79美元，低点为22.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%：购买了加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股股票，约占ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare股价周三收盘上涨0.78%，至30.96美元。52周高点为46.44美元，低点为21.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%：购买了这家化学和生物分子分析专用手持设备和设备制造商的51,661股股票，约占ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices股价周三收盘下跌6.18%，至46.95美元。52周高点为79.60美元，低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%：出售2,220股以色列干细胞公司股票，约占ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem股价周三收盘上涨2.09%，至4.89美元。52周高点为13.29美元，低点为3.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%：购买了98,500股视频通话公司股票，约占ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom股价周三收盘下跌2.03%，至323.08美元。52周高点为588.84美元，低点为109.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股，约占ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%，至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元，低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>天宝公司</b>TRMB 3.84%：购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票，约占ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble股价周三收盘下跌3.84%，至79.74美元。52周高点为84.86美元，低点为30.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%：购买了这家大数据分析公司1,045,600股股票，约占ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir股价周三收盘下跌1.59%，至22.90美元，盘后上涨1.05%。52周高点为45美元，低点为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU：购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股，约占ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign股价周三收于205.71美元，盘后交易中上涨0.63%。该股52周高点为290.23美元，低点为85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%：购买每日幻想体育公司610,847股，约占ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings股价周三收盘下跌2.68%，至62.09美元，盘后上涨0.64%。52周高点为74.38美元，低点为12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ARK自主技术与机器人ETF</b>（蝙蝠：ARKQ）：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：购买了71,635股空白支票公司股票，约占ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%，至10.06美元，盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元，低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%：出售16,651股谷歌母公司C类股票，约占ETF的1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨1.35%，至2239.03美元，盘后上涨0.40%。该股52周高点为2,244.50美元，低点为1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买59,521股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%，至40.07美元，盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元，低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯防御与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%：购买了这家美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司的313,506股股票，约占该公司的0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense股价周三收盘下跌2.34%，至27.97美元，盘后上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为34.11美元，低点为13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的97,700股股票，约占ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%，至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：出售这家设备设计和制造公司的98,161股，约占ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%，至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元，低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售这家农业、建筑和林业设备制造商的37,795股股票，约占ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%，至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元，低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%：出售了这家农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商的59,610股股票，约占ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌0.1%，至230.41美元。该股52周高点为237.78美元，低点为100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易台公司</b>TTD 1.23%：为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票，约占ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk股价周三收盘上涨1.23%，至677.87美元，盘后上涨0.31%。52周高点为972.80美元，低点为190.29美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%：购买了150,245股P2P借贷公司股票，约占ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%，至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元，低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%：出售70,396股电子设计自动化公司股票，约占ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys股价周三收盘下跌0.14%，至257美元。52周高点为300.91美元，低点为133.27美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售在线借贷市场公司12,129股股票，约占ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%，至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元，低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-08 12:00</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件，列出该公司ETF当天买入或卖出的股票。近几个月来，众所周知，这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的35只股票的列表。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkSpace探索与创新ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：购买了空白支票公司141,100股股票，约占ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%，至10.06美元，盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元，低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>大白鲨喷火收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%：购买了the blank check company的241,618股股票，约占ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws股价周三收盘上涨0.3%，至10.46美元，盘后上涨1.91%。52周高点为12.10美元，低点为9.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买35,963股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅：Cathie Wood的Ark Invest Space ETF中的前39家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%，至40.07美元，盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元，低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%：购买了空白支票公司140,900股股票，占ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent股价收盘下跌0.39%，至10.11美元，盘后交易中上涨1%。该股52周高点为17美元，低点为9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：出售了这家设备设计和制造公司的11,302股股票，约占ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%，至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元，低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%，至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元，低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%：出售了这家总部位于加州的国防承包商的5,100股股票，约占ETF的0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment股价周三收盘下跌3.44%，至113.37美元。52周高点为143.72美元，低点为53.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票，约占ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%，至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%：购买了东京一家开发和建设电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票，约占ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>周三，基础场外交易股票收盘上涨0.97%，至15.65美元。52周高点为179美元，低点为14.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>移卡有限公司</b>YHEKF：在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台，约占ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>移卡股价周三收盘下跌0.64%，至7.75美元。52周高点为15.28美元，低点为4.78美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%：购买了204,348股P2P借贷公司股票，约占ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%，至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元，低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售在线借贷市场公司15,762股股票，约占ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%，至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元，低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟基因组革命ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股，约占ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%，至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元，低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%：购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票，约占ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify股价周三收盘下跌4.08%，至26.35美元，盘后上涨0.53%。52周高点为40.79美元，低点为22.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%：购买了加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股股票，约占ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare股价周三收盘上涨0.78%，至30.96美元。52周高点为46.44美元，低点为21.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%：购买了这家化学和生物分子分析专用手持设备和设备制造商的51,661股股票，约占ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices股价周三收盘下跌6.18%，至46.95美元。52周高点为79.60美元，低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%：出售2,220股以色列干细胞公司股票，约占ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem股价周三收盘上涨2.09%，至4.89美元。52周高点为13.29美元，低点为3.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%：购买了98,500股视频通话公司股票，约占ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom股价周三收盘下跌2.03%，至323.08美元。52周高点为588.84美元，低点为109.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股，约占ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%，至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元，低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>天宝公司</b>TRMB 3.84%：购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票，约占ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble股价周三收盘下跌3.84%，至79.74美元。52周高点为84.86美元，低点为30.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%：购买了这家大数据分析公司1,045,600股股票，约占ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir股价周三收盘下跌1.59%，至22.90美元，盘后上涨1.05%。52周高点为45美元，低点为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU：购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股，约占ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign股价周三收于205.71美元，盘后交易中上涨0.63%。该股52周高点为290.23美元，低点为85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%：购买每日幻想体育公司610,847股，约占ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings股价周三收盘下跌2.68%，至62.09美元，盘后上涨0.64%。52周高点为74.38美元，低点为12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ARK自主技术与机器人ETF</b>（蝙蝠：ARKQ）：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：购买了71,635股空白支票公司股票，约占ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%，至10.06美元，盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元，低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%：出售16,651股谷歌母公司C类股票，约占ETF的1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨1.35%，至2239.03美元，盘后上涨0.40%。该股52周高点为2,244.50美元，低点为1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买59,521股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%，至40.07美元，盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元，低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯防御与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%：购买了这家美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司的313,506股股票，约占该公司的0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense股价周三收盘下跌2.34%，至27.97美元，盘后上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为34.11美元，低点为13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的97,700股股票，约占ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%，至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：出售这家设备设计和制造公司的98,161股，约占ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%，至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元，低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售这家农业、建筑和林业设备制造商的37,795股股票，约占ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%，至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元，低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%：出售了这家农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商的59,610股股票，约占ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌0.1%，至230.41美元。该股52周高点为237.78美元，低点为100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易台公司</b>TTD 1.23%：为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票，约占ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk股价周三收盘上涨1.23%，至677.87美元，盘后上涨0.31%。52周高点为972.80美元，低点为190.29美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%：购买了150,245股P2P借贷公司股票，约占ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%，至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元，低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%：出售70,396股电子设计自动化公司股票，约占ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys股价周三收盘下跌0.14%，至257美元。52周高点为300.91美元，低点为133.27美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售在线借贷市场公司12,129股股票，约占ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%，至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元，低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112389819","content_text":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.\nTrades ForArkSpace Exploration & Innovation ETFARKX 1.32%:\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nJaws Spitfire Acquisition CorpSPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.\nJaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.\nSee Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nReinvent Technology PartnersRTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.\nReinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nAeroVironment IncAVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.\nAeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTrades ForArk Fintech Innovation ETFARKF 1.24%:\nBase IncBAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.\nBase OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.\nYeahka LtdYHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.\nYeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.\nTrades ForArk Genomic Revolution ETFARKG 3.26%:\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nSignify Health IncSGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.\nSignify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.\nRepare Therapeutics IncRPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.\nRepare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.\n908 Devices IncMASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.\n908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.\nPluristem Therapeutics IncPSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.\nPluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.\nTrades ForArkInnovation ETFARKK 2.33%:\nZoom Video Communications IncZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.\nZoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nTrimble IncTRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.\nTrimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.\nPalantir Technologies IncPLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.\nPalantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.\nDocusign IncDOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.\nDocusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.\nDraftKings IncDKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.\nDraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.\nTrades forARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(BATS:ARKQ):\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nAlphabet IncGOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.\nAlphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nKratos Defense & Security SolutionsKTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.\nKratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nCaterpillar IncCAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.\nCaterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.\nTrades ForARK Next Generation Internet ETFARKW 1.62%\nTrade Desk IncTTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.\nTrade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nSynopsys IncSNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.\nSynopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170406345,"gmtCreate":1626444481187,"gmtModify":1633926681248,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…&nbsp;","listText":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…&nbsp;","text":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170406345","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110223287,"gmtCreate":1622461959449,"gmtModify":1634101323402,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nope","listText":"Nope","text":"Nope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110223287","repostId":"2138017624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138017624","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622461872,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138017624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振萎靡不振的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138017624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA\nMARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRA","content":"<p>COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会表示，COVID-19大流行使全球航空公司的增长减少了两年</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd63b684d9c110ade109b03589496a1e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MARKETWATCH照片插图/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Cooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.</p><p><blockquote>被禁闭的美国居民可能渴望再次飞上天空，但夏季前不断增长的航空旅行需求可能不足以让美国航空公司摆脱去年的低迷。</blockquote></p><p> While demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然随着夏季的到来，休闲旅行的需求可能会上升，但美国航空公司在疫情期间的支出有所增加。他们仍然大多被剥夺了关键的收入来源，包括很少打折的商务旅行和头等舱旅行以及充分利用其网络的长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> \"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师斯蒂芬·特伦特(Stephen Trent)告诉MarketWatch：“当然，人们对休闲和探亲访友旅行的需求很强劲，这很有帮助。”“与此同时，这种上行空间至少在一定程度上已被消化”，其他担忧仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.</p><p><blockquote>“这仍然是一个艰难的局面，”特伦特说。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a> and United Airlines Holdings Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a> and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司，包括美国航空集团公司等传统航空公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>和联合航空控股公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$（UAL）$</a>以及捷蓝航空等相对较新的公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>，都在追逐相同的、狭窄的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他们在大流行期间背负着债务以维持生计，并面临结构性阻力，对通货膨胀和燃油价格上涨的担忧加剧了仍然不稳定的局势。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，美国主要航空公司在一系列政府救助和拨款中获得了约500亿美元，主要是为了支付工资，但只偿还了部分资金。</blockquote></p><p> At peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>, United (UAL), and Delta <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a> fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a> dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.</p><p><blockquote>在危机最严重的时候，他们看到运力萎缩了四分之三以上，削减了航班，并为了维持生计而耗尽了借款。他们的销售额急剧下降：2020年与2019年相比，传统美国航空的收入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>、联合航空(UAL)和达美航空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a>跌超60%。西南航空公司的销售。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a>2020年下跌60%，捷蓝航空(JBLU)下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> With the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.</p><p><blockquote>随着阵亡将士纪念日假期即将到来，几个州取消了对疫情的限制，夏季休闲旅游无疑正在如火如荼地进行。</blockquote></p><p> There's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.</p><p><blockquote>旅游网站Scott's Cheap Flights的联合创始人斯科特·凯斯(Scott Keyes)表示，“过去12、15个月积累的巨大、被压抑的需求现在正在得到缓解”。</blockquote></p><p> The number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，航班数量仍低于大流行前，但飞机更满了，而且交易很少，尤其是对于更令人垂涎的目的地。</blockquote></p><p> People seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎更喜欢中庸之道的旅行方式。</blockquote></p><p> As the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.</p><p><blockquote>作为许多人一年或更长时间以来的第一次大型旅行，“他们不想要‘快速门户’旅行，他们希望这是一次遗愿清单上的旅行，”凯斯说。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f4822ba679ad33988475421d82d288\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着飞往佛罗里达、阿拉斯加、夏威夷、西部国家公园景点等美国目的地以及坎昆、墨西哥和牙买加等国际但仍很近的目的地的优惠是目前最令人垂涎的，而这些目的地的优惠较少，而且距离很远。他说，介于两者之间。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，似乎没有多少人对前往纽约市和芝加哥等城市旅游感兴趣，对海外旅游的挥之不去的担忧也削弱了对欧洲目的地的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，重点是那些没有所有便利设施和景点也一样好的地方，这是一种更“户外旅行类型”。</blockquote></p><p> IATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会本周描绘了一幅全球航空旅行需求充满希望的图景，但即便如此，其报告仍称“几乎完全复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> Travelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.</p><p><blockquote>旅行者可能很渴望，但也需要继续保持运营规模。国际航空运输协会表示，不同的国家和地区将按照自己的速度复苏，这取决于挥之不去的限制、疫苗接种率以及本国市场的实力。</blockquote></p><p> IATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会估计，COVID-19大流行使全球航空公司至少失去了两年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">U.S. Global Jets ETF</a> (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&amp;P 500 index in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空股一直具有弹性。The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">美国全球喷气机ETF</a>(JETS)过去12个月上涨68%，今年上涨20%，超过标普500指数同期38%和12%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，花旗的特伦特已经乘坐过五次飞机旅行，而且都是休闲旅行。他说，他对航空公司为保持飞机清洁和安全而采取的措施充满信心，研究表明飞机上的传播率很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我可能会尽快再次这样做，”他说。“但我认为我们不会在下半年回到大流行前的水平……这是一个总体上具有建设性的、更好的环境，但还没有恢复。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振萎靡不振的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSummer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振萎靡不振的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-31 19:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会表示，COVID-19大流行使全球航空公司的增长减少了两年</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd63b684d9c110ade109b03589496a1e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MARKETWATCH照片插图/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Cooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.</p><p><blockquote>被禁闭的美国居民可能渴望再次飞上天空，但夏季前不断增长的航空旅行需求可能不足以让美国航空公司摆脱去年的低迷。</blockquote></p><p> While demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然随着夏季的到来，休闲旅行的需求可能会上升，但美国航空公司在疫情期间的支出有所增加。他们仍然大多被剥夺了关键的收入来源，包括很少打折的商务旅行和头等舱旅行以及充分利用其网络的长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> \"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师斯蒂芬·特伦特(Stephen Trent)告诉MarketWatch：“当然，人们对休闲和探亲访友旅行的需求很强劲，这很有帮助。”“与此同时，这种上行空间至少在一定程度上已被消化”，其他担忧仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.</p><p><blockquote>“这仍然是一个艰难的局面，”特伦特说。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a> and United Airlines Holdings Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a> and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司，包括美国航空集团公司等传统航空公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>和联合航空控股公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$（UAL）$</a>以及捷蓝航空等相对较新的公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>，都在追逐相同的、狭窄的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他们在大流行期间背负着债务以维持生计，并面临结构性阻力，对通货膨胀和燃油价格上涨的担忧加剧了仍然不稳定的局势。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，美国主要航空公司在一系列政府救助和拨款中获得了约500亿美元，主要是为了支付工资，但只偿还了部分资金。</blockquote></p><p> At peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>, United (UAL), and Delta <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a> fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a> dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.</p><p><blockquote>在危机最严重的时候，他们看到运力萎缩了四分之三以上，削减了航班，并为了维持生计而耗尽了借款。他们的销售额急剧下降：2020年与2019年相比，传统美国航空的收入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>、联合航空(UAL)和达美航空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a>跌超60%。西南航空公司的销售。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a>2020年下跌60%，捷蓝航空(JBLU)下跌62%。</blockquote></p><p> With the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.</p><p><blockquote>随着阵亡将士纪念日假期即将到来，几个州取消了对疫情的限制，夏季休闲旅游无疑正在如火如荼地进行。</blockquote></p><p> There's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.</p><p><blockquote>旅游网站Scott's Cheap Flights的联合创始人斯科特·凯斯(Scott Keyes)表示，“过去12、15个月积累的巨大、被压抑的需求现在正在得到缓解”。</blockquote></p><p> The number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，航班数量仍低于大流行前，但飞机更满了，而且交易很少，尤其是对于更令人垂涎的目的地。</blockquote></p><p> People seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎更喜欢中庸之道的旅行方式。</blockquote></p><p> As the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.</p><p><blockquote>作为许多人一年或更长时间以来的第一次大型旅行，“他们不想要‘快速门户’旅行，他们希望这是一次遗愿清单上的旅行，”凯斯说。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f4822ba679ad33988475421d82d288\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着飞往佛罗里达、阿拉斯加、夏威夷、西部国家公园景点等美国目的地以及坎昆、墨西哥和牙买加等国际但仍很近的目的地的优惠是目前最令人垂涎的，而这些目的地的优惠较少，而且距离很远。他说，介于两者之间。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，似乎没有多少人对前往纽约市和芝加哥等城市旅游感兴趣，对海外旅游的挥之不去的担忧也削弱了对欧洲目的地的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，重点是那些没有所有便利设施和景点也一样好的地方，这是一种更“户外旅行类型”。</blockquote></p><p> IATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会本周描绘了一幅全球航空旅行需求充满希望的图景，但即便如此，其报告仍称“几乎完全复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> Travelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.</p><p><blockquote>旅行者可能很渴望，但也需要继续保持运营规模。国际航空运输协会表示，不同的国家和地区将按照自己的速度复苏，这取决于挥之不去的限制、疫苗接种率以及本国市场的实力。</blockquote></p><p> IATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会估计，COVID-19大流行使全球航空公司至少失去了两年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">U.S. Global Jets ETF</a> (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&amp;P 500 index in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空股一直具有弹性。The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">美国全球喷气机ETF</a>(JETS)过去12个月上涨68%，今年上涨20%，超过标普500指数同期38%和12%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，花旗的特伦特已经乘坐过五次飞机旅行，而且都是休闲旅行。他说，他对航空公司为保持飞机清洁和安全而采取的措施充满信心，研究表明飞机上的传播率很低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我可能会尽快再次这样做，”他说。“但我认为我们不会在下半年回到大流行前的水平……这是一个总体上具有建设性的、更好的环境，但还没有恢复。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/summer-travel-is-back-but-will-it-be-enough-to-boost-flagging-u-s-airlines-probably-not-analysts-say-11622143131?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAL":"美国航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空","JBLU":"捷蓝航空","DAL":"达美航空"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/summer-travel-is-back-but-will-it-be-enough-to-boost-flagging-u-s-airlines-probably-not-analysts-say-11622143131?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138017624","content_text":"COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA\nMARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO\nCooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.\nWhile demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.\n\"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.\n\"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.\nMajor U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. $(AAL)$ and United Airlines Holdings Inc. $(UAL)$ and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. $(JBLU)$, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.\nMoreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.\nMajor U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.\nAt peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines $(AAL.UK)$, United (UAL), and Delta $(DAL)$ fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. $(LUV)$ dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.\nWith the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.\nThere's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.\nThe number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.\nPeople seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.\nAs the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.\n\nThat means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.\nIn contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.\nThe emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.\nIATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"\nTravelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.\nIATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.\nU.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&P 500 index in the same period.\nCiti's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.\n\"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UAL":0.9,"JBLU":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"AAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179454373,"gmtCreate":1626573670992,"gmtModify":1633925800234,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lookin g forward","listText":"Lookin g forward","text":"Lookin g forward","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179454373","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115212807,"gmtCreate":1622998937109,"gmtModify":1634096332460,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115212807","repostId":"2141283409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113560299,"gmtCreate":1622626617511,"gmtModify":1634099811038,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up!","listText":"Up!","text":"Up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113560299","repostId":"1164811736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164811736","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622625088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164811736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 17:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone需求推动阿里巴巴-SW、京东“6.18”启动日销量创历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164811736","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Chinese e-commerce platforms Alibaba Group Holdings and JD.com Inc kicked off the annual mid-year on","content":"<p>Chinese e-commerce platforms&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group Holdings</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>JD.com Inc</b>&nbsp;kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to&nbsp;reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times&nbsp;reported&nbsp;on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团控股</b>和<b>京东公司</b>据中国官方报纸《环球时报》周二报道，随着中国努力从冠状病毒疫情中全面复苏，一年一度的年中网上购物节“6.18”以创纪录的销售额拉开帷幕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>&nbsp;iPhones, the report said.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>受强劲需求提振，京东网上超市京东超市首日销售额同比飙升逾七倍<b>苹果公司</b>报道称，iPhones。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的交易量在短短五秒钟内就突破了1570万美元（1亿元人民币）大关，而小米花了五分钟才达到类似的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Rival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.</p><p><blockquote>报道援引数据称，竞争对手阿里巴巴-SW在其国际渠道的天猫销售额仅在8小时内就超过了去年电影节首日的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Lenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报道称，得益于个人电脑产品的强劲需求，联想的整体销售额在两分钟内突破了1亿元人民币大关，而小米声称其Note 10系列在一小时内售出了50万台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>一年一度的年中购物活动对阿里巴巴-SW和京东来说都是一大吸引力，因为大幅折扣和优惠帮助他们增加了数十亿美元的收入。据《环球时报》报道，今年的优惠券和折扣力度更大，预计在线平台将通过为期20天的活动提供价值100亿元人民币的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Vendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales.&nbsp;The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.</p><p><blockquote>供应商今年也在直播优惠来支撑销售。一年一度的在线销售节将持续到6月20日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>阿里巴巴-SW股价周二收盘上涨2.58%，至219.48美元。京东股价收盘上涨5.94%，至78.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone需求推动阿里巴巴-SW、京东“6.18”启动日销量创历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\niPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone需求推动阿里巴巴-SW、京东“6.18”启动日销量创历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-02 17:11</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese e-commerce platforms&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group Holdings</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>JD.com Inc</b>&nbsp;kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to&nbsp;reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times&nbsp;reported&nbsp;on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团控股</b>和<b>京东公司</b>据中国官方报纸《环球时报》周二报道，随着中国努力从冠状病毒疫情中全面复苏，一年一度的年中网上购物节“6.18”以创纪录的销售额拉开帷幕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>&nbsp;iPhones, the report said.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>受强劲需求提振，京东网上超市京东超市首日销售额同比飙升逾七倍<b>苹果公司</b>报道称，iPhones。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的交易量在短短五秒钟内就突破了1570万美元（1亿元人民币）大关，而小米花了五分钟才达到类似的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Rival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.</p><p><blockquote>报道援引数据称，竞争对手阿里巴巴-SW在其国际渠道的天猫销售额仅在8小时内就超过了去年电影节首日的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Lenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报道称，得益于个人电脑产品的强劲需求，联想的整体销售额在两分钟内突破了1亿元人民币大关，而小米声称其Note 10系列在一小时内售出了50万台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>一年一度的年中购物活动对阿里巴巴-SW和京东来说都是一大吸引力，因为大幅折扣和优惠帮助他们增加了数十亿美元的收入。据《环球时报》报道，今年的优惠券和折扣力度更大，预计在线平台将通过为期20天的活动提供价值100亿元人民币的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Vendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales.&nbsp;The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.</p><p><blockquote>供应商今年也在直播优惠来支撑销售。一年一度的在线销售节将持续到6月20日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>阿里巴巴-SW股价周二收盘上涨2.58%，至219.48美元。京东股价收盘上涨5.94%，至78.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164811736","content_text":"Chinese e-commerce platforms Alibaba Group Holdings and JD.com Inc kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times reported on Tuesday.\nWhat Happened:JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for Apple Inc iPhones, the report said.\nThe iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.\nRival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.\nLenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.\nWhy It Matters:The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.\nVendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales. The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.\nPrice Action:Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131023882,"gmtCreate":1621817503046,"gmtModify":1634186420043,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bubbles coming?","listText":"Bubbles coming?","text":"Bubbles coming?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131023882","repostId":"1147158011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368041937,"gmtCreate":1614268033629,"gmtModify":1634550363488,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","listText":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","text":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368041937","repostId":"1189206947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177168069,"gmtCreate":1627187305151,"gmtModify":1633767312195,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO?","listText":"NIO?","text":"NIO?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177168069","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177161568,"gmtCreate":1627187279954,"gmtModify":1633767312540,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO!","listText":"NIO!","text":"NIO!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177161568","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1946,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196301804,"gmtCreate":1621010149608,"gmtModify":1634194565032,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huh","listText":"Huh","text":"Huh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196301804","repostId":"2135710626","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193749753,"gmtCreate":1620823878872,"gmtModify":1634196056684,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why? Btc eth all way up","listText":"Why? Btc eth all way up","text":"Why? Btc eth all way up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193749753","repostId":"1199419646","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348969035,"gmtCreate":1617880386927,"gmtModify":1634296003078,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348969035","repostId":"2125726223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352540016,"gmtCreate":1616987898935,"gmtModify":1634523279443,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy or sell?","listText":"Buy or sell?","text":"Buy or sell?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352540016","repostId":"1148171298","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148171298","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616983687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148171298?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-29 10:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop swings between gains and losses, capping volatile week<blockquote>游戏驿站在涨跌之间波动，为动荡的一周画上句号</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148171298","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"March 26 (Reuters)-\"Meme\" stock-in-chief GameStopGME.Nswung between gains and losses on Friday, with","content":"<p>March 26 (Reuters)-\"Meme\" stock-in-chief GameStopGME.Nswung between gains and losses on Friday, with the shares reversing course after rising 19% earlier in the session.</p><p><blockquote>路透3月26日-“Meme”股票龙头GameStopGME.NS周五在涨跌之间波动，该股在盘中早些时候上涨19%后逆转走势。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the video game retailer were last down4.1% at $176.18in late afternoon trading. The stock, which had hit a record high of $483 in January, tumbled 34% the day after the company's Tuesday earnings report only to roar back more than 50% on Thursday. The shares are on track for a 10.9% weekly loss.</p><p><blockquote>这家视频游戏零售商的股价在下午晚些时候的交易中最后下跌4.1%，至176.18美元。该股曾在1月份创下483美元的历史新高，在该公司周二发布收益报告后的第二天暴跌34%，但周四又飙升超过50%。该股预计每周下跌10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Retail investors on forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets have helped send the company’s shares, which are up 849% year-to-date, on a wild ride in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit的WallStreetBets等论坛上的散户投资者帮助该公司股价在2021年疯狂上涨，该公司今年迄今已上涨849%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock's gyrations have also attracted traders seeking to benefit from its outsize price moves.</p><p><blockquote>该股的波动也吸引了寻求从其大幅价格波动中受益的交易者。</blockquote></p><p> \"I have no problem whatsoever ... trading the volatility that is going on in GameStop right now,\" said Jeff Tomasulo, CEO of Vespula Capital. \"We're not even looking at this fundamentally anymore because it's just gotten so insane.\"</p><p><blockquote>Vespula Capital首席执行官杰夫·托马苏洛(Jeff Tomasulo)表示：“我对游戏驿站目前的波动性没有任何问题……交易。”“我们甚至不再从根本上看待这个问题，因为它已经变得如此疯狂。”</blockquote></p><p> Chewy IncCHWY.Nco-founder Ryan Cohen is seeking to transform the retailer into an e-commerce firm that can take on big-box store rivals such as Target CorpTGT.Nand Walmart IncWMT.N.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy IncCHWY.N联合创始人瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)正在寻求将该零售商转型为一家电子商务公司，能够与塔吉特公司(Target CorpTGT.Nand)和沃尔玛公司(Walmart IncWMT.N)等大型商店竞争对手展开竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Chief Financial Officer Jim Bell has departed and the company said this week it had appointed former Amazon.comAMZN.Oexecutive Jenna Owens as chief operating officer.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官吉姆·贝尔(Jim Bell)已离职，该公司本周表示已任命前亚马逊网站MAMZN.O高管詹娜·欧文斯(Jenna Owens)为首席运营官。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's fascinating because it seems that the Reddit army is doubling down and believing that the company is going to be able to shift their business and pivot to e-commerce,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p><blockquote>OANDA高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示：“这很有趣，因为Reddit大军似乎正在加倍努力，并相信该公司将能够转变业务并转向电子商务。”</blockquote></p><p> Short interest in GameStop has fallen to about 15% of the stock's float from a peak of 141% in the first week of 2021, according to data from financial analytics firm S3 Partners.</p><p><blockquote>金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示，游戏驿站的空头兴趣已从2021年第一周141%的峰值降至该股流通量的15%左右。</blockquote></p><p> A swarm of buying in late January forced bearish investors to unwind their bets against the stock, resulting in a surge of more than 1,600% that month.</p><p><blockquote>1月下旬的大量买盘迫使看跌投资者解除对该股的押注，导致当月股价飙升超过1,600%。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop, which added three new directors including Cohen to its board in January as part of a settlement, said in its annual regulatoryfilingon Tuesday it expects eight incumbent board members to retire at its 2021 annual meeting in June.</p><p><blockquote>作为和解协议的一部分，游戏驿站于1月份在董事会中增加了包括科恩在内的三名新董事，该公司在周二的年度监管文件中表示，预计八名现任董事会成员将在6月份的2021年年会上退休。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Sinead Carew and Aleksandra Michalska; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Steve Orlofsky)</p><p><blockquote>（Susan Mathew在班加罗尔的报道；Sinead Carew和Aleksandra Michalska的补充报道；Saumyadeb Chakrabarty和Steve Orlofsky编辑）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop swings between gains and losses, capping volatile week<blockquote>游戏驿站在涨跌之间波动，为动荡的一周画上句号</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop swings between gains and losses, capping volatile week<blockquote>游戏驿站在涨跌之间波动，为动荡的一周画上句号</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-29 10:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>March 26 (Reuters)-\"Meme\" stock-in-chief GameStopGME.Nswung between gains and losses on Friday, with the shares reversing course after rising 19% earlier in the session.</p><p><blockquote>路透3月26日-“Meme”股票龙头GameStopGME.NS周五在涨跌之间波动，该股在盘中早些时候上涨19%后逆转走势。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the video game retailer were last down4.1% at $176.18in late afternoon trading. The stock, which had hit a record high of $483 in January, tumbled 34% the day after the company's Tuesday earnings report only to roar back more than 50% on Thursday. The shares are on track for a 10.9% weekly loss.</p><p><blockquote>这家视频游戏零售商的股价在下午晚些时候的交易中最后下跌4.1%，至176.18美元。该股曾在1月份创下483美元的历史新高，在该公司周二发布收益报告后的第二天暴跌34%，但周四又飙升超过50%。该股预计每周下跌10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Retail investors on forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets have helped send the company’s shares, which are up 849% year-to-date, on a wild ride in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit的WallStreetBets等论坛上的散户投资者帮助该公司股价在2021年疯狂上涨，该公司今年迄今已上涨849%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock's gyrations have also attracted traders seeking to benefit from its outsize price moves.</p><p><blockquote>该股的波动也吸引了寻求从其大幅价格波动中受益的交易者。</blockquote></p><p> \"I have no problem whatsoever ... trading the volatility that is going on in GameStop right now,\" said Jeff Tomasulo, CEO of Vespula Capital. \"We're not even looking at this fundamentally anymore because it's just gotten so insane.\"</p><p><blockquote>Vespula Capital首席执行官杰夫·托马苏洛(Jeff Tomasulo)表示：“我对游戏驿站目前的波动性没有任何问题……交易。”“我们甚至不再从根本上看待这个问题，因为它已经变得如此疯狂。”</blockquote></p><p> Chewy IncCHWY.Nco-founder Ryan Cohen is seeking to transform the retailer into an e-commerce firm that can take on big-box store rivals such as Target CorpTGT.Nand Walmart IncWMT.N.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy IncCHWY.N联合创始人瑞安·科恩(Ryan Cohen)正在寻求将该零售商转型为一家电子商务公司，能够与塔吉特公司(Target CorpTGT.Nand)和沃尔玛公司(Walmart IncWMT.N)等大型商店竞争对手展开竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Chief Financial Officer Jim Bell has departed and the company said this week it had appointed former Amazon.comAMZN.Oexecutive Jenna Owens as chief operating officer.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官吉姆·贝尔(Jim Bell)已离职，该公司本周表示已任命前亚马逊网站MAMZN.O高管詹娜·欧文斯(Jenna Owens)为首席运营官。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's fascinating because it seems that the Reddit army is doubling down and believing that the company is going to be able to shift their business and pivot to e-commerce,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.</p><p><blockquote>OANDA高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示：“这很有趣，因为Reddit大军似乎正在加倍努力，并相信该公司将能够转变业务并转向电子商务。”</blockquote></p><p> Short interest in GameStop has fallen to about 15% of the stock's float from a peak of 141% in the first week of 2021, according to data from financial analytics firm S3 Partners.</p><p><blockquote>金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示，游戏驿站的空头兴趣已从2021年第一周141%的峰值降至该股流通量的15%左右。</blockquote></p><p> A swarm of buying in late January forced bearish investors to unwind their bets against the stock, resulting in a surge of more than 1,600% that month.</p><p><blockquote>1月下旬的大量买盘迫使看跌投资者解除对该股的押注，导致当月股价飙升超过1,600%。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop, which added three new directors including Cohen to its board in January as part of a settlement, said in its annual regulatoryfilingon Tuesday it expects eight incumbent board members to retire at its 2021 annual meeting in June.</p><p><blockquote>作为和解协议的一部分，游戏驿站于1月份在董事会中增加了包括科恩在内的三名新董事，该公司在周二的年度监管文件中表示，预计八名现任董事会成员将在6月份的2021年年会上退休。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Sinead Carew and Aleksandra Michalska; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Steve Orlofsky)</p><p><blockquote>（Susan Mathew在班加罗尔的报道；Sinead Carew和Aleksandra Michalska的补充报道；Saumyadeb Chakrabarty和Steve Orlofsky编辑）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/gamestop-swings-between-gains-and-losses-capping-volatile-week-2021-03-26\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/gamestop-swings-between-gains-and-losses-capping-volatile-week-2021-03-26","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148171298","content_text":"March 26 (Reuters)-\"Meme\" stock-in-chief GameStopGME.Nswung between gains and losses on Friday, with the shares reversing course after rising 19% earlier in the session.\nShares of the video game retailer were last down4.1% at $176.18in late afternoon trading. The stock, which had hit a record high of $483 in January, tumbled 34% the day after the company's Tuesday earnings report only to roar back more than 50% on Thursday. The shares are on track for a 10.9% weekly loss.\nRetail investors on forums such as Reddit’s WallStreetBets have helped send the company’s shares, which are up 849% year-to-date, on a wild ride in 2021.\nThe stock's gyrations have also attracted traders seeking to benefit from its outsize price moves.\n\"I have no problem whatsoever ... trading the volatility that is going on in GameStop right now,\" said Jeff Tomasulo, CEO of Vespula Capital. \"We're not even looking at this fundamentally anymore because it's just gotten so insane.\"\nChewy IncCHWY.Nco-founder Ryan Cohen is seeking to transform the retailer into an e-commerce firm that can take on big-box store rivals such as Target CorpTGT.Nand Walmart IncWMT.N.\nChief Financial Officer Jim Bell has departed and the company said this week it had appointed former Amazon.comAMZN.Oexecutive Jenna Owens as chief operating officer.\n\"It's fascinating because it seems that the Reddit army is doubling down and believing that the company is going to be able to shift their business and pivot to e-commerce,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.\nShort interest in GameStop has fallen to about 15% of the stock's float from a peak of 141% in the first week of 2021, according to data from financial analytics firm S3 Partners.\nA swarm of buying in late January forced bearish investors to unwind their bets against the stock, resulting in a surge of more than 1,600% that month.\nGameStop, which added three new directors including Cohen to its board in January as part of a settlement, said in its annual regulatoryfilingon Tuesday it expects eight incumbent board members to retire at its 2021 annual meeting in June.\n(Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Sinead Carew and Aleksandra Michalska; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Steve Orlofsky)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119446984,"gmtCreate":1622561197548,"gmtModify":1634100445131,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow!","listText":"Wow!","text":"Wow!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119446984","repostId":"1135306683","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1135306683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622559836,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135306683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BlackBerry Shorts Could Get Burned If History Repeats<blockquote>如果历史重演，黑莓短裤可能会被烧毁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135306683","media":"Benzinga","summary":"BlackBerry Limited (NYSE:BB) is set to print its first-quarter 2021 earnings later on June 23 and tr","content":"<p><b>BlackBerry Limited</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:BB) is set to print its first-quarter 2021 earnings later on June 23 and traders may be looking to run the price of its stock up into the event.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BB）将于6月23日晚些时候公布2021年第一季度收益，交易员可能希望在此期间推高其股价。</blockquote></p><p> The Reddit community, led by WallStreetBets although&nbsp;many are now using the subreddit Superstonk, targeted BlackBerry’s stock in January, along with&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corporation</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GME) and&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AMC), in an epic short squeeze. The short squeeze caused BlackBerry’s stock to skyrocket 288% over the course of nine days, peaking at $28.77 on Jan. 27 before plummeting 63% over the following four days.</p><p><blockquote>由WallStreetBets领导的Reddit社区（尽管许多人现在使用subreddit Superstonk）在1月份瞄准了黑莓的股票，以及<b>游戏驿站公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GME）和<b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC），陷入史诗般的轧空。轧空导致黑莓股价在9天内飙升288%，于1月27日达到28.77美元的峰值，随后四天暴跌63%。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and AMC have been hot tickers the past few days, in a second short squeeze attempt, and BlackBerry’s recent action makes it appear the stock may be next on the list.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC在过去几天一直是热门股票，这是第二次轧空尝试，而黑莓最近的行动表明该股可能是名单上的下一个股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BlackBerry Chart:</b>On Friday, BlackBerry smashed into a resistance level at $12.12 after a 21% move on the day and closed under a resistance level at $10.68. BlackBerry’s stock printed an inverted red hammer candlestick on the daily chart indicating a large group of sellers took profits when the stock was unable to pop up over the $12 level. BlackBerry may need a few days of consolidation before another attempt to smash through resistance.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓图表：</b>周五，黑莓在当日上涨21%后跌破12.12美元阻力位，收盘跌破10.68美元阻力位。黑莓的股票在日线图上印有一个倒置的红色锤子烛台，表明当该股无法突破12美元水平时，一大群卖家获利了结。在再次尝试突破阻力之前，黑莓可能需要几天的盘整。</blockquote></p><p> On May 18, BlackBerry broke up bullish through a descending trendline that has been holding it down since Feb. 8. BlackBerry’s stock retested the downward sloping line as support on May 19 and it held as support. BlackBerry then traded sideways for four days before printing a big green bullish engulfing candlestick on May 26,&nbsp;which signaled the stock was headed higher.</p><p><blockquote>5月18日，黑莓突破了自2月8日以来一直压制其的下降趋势线。黑莓的股票在5月19日重新测试了向下倾斜线作为支撑，并保持在支撑位。随后，黑莓横盘交易了四天，然后于5月26日打印出一个巨大的绿色看涨吞没烛台，这表明该股正在走高。</blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), with the eight-day EMA trending above the 21-day EMA which is bullish. BlackBerry is also trading above the 200-day simple moving average, which indicates overall sentiment in the stock is bullish.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓的交易价格高于8日和21日指数移动平均线(EMA)，其中8日均线趋势高于21日均线，看涨。黑莓的交易价格也高于200日简单移动平均线，这表明该股的整体情绪看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1ff4f7d1fb77fab7e0e6b4d53447742\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bulls want to see high levels of bullish volume come back into Blackberry’s stock to push it back up over resistance near the $10 level. If it can regain that level as support, it can make another attempt to push through $12.12.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到高水平的看涨成交量重返黑莓股票，推动其回升至10美元附近的阻力位。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可以再次尝试突破12.12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see BlackBerry’s sellers continue to push the stock down until it loses support of the eight-day and 21-day EMAs. The eight-day and 21-day EMAs could then act as resistance and push BlackBerry’s stock down until it loses another support level at $8.36.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到黑莓的卖家继续压低该股，直到其失去8日和21日均线的支撑。然后，8日和21日均线可能会充当阻力位，推动黑莓股价下跌，直到失去另一个支撑位8.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BB Price Action:</b>BlackBerry’s stock was trading up 5% to $10.57 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>BB价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，黑莓股价上涨5%，至10.57美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BlackBerry Shorts Could Get Burned If History Repeats<blockquote>如果历史重演，黑莓短裤可能会被烧毁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackBerry Shorts Could Get Burned If History Repeats<blockquote>如果历史重演，黑莓短裤可能会被烧毁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-01 23:03</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>BlackBerry Limited</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:BB) is set to print its first-quarter 2021 earnings later on June 23 and traders may be looking to run the price of its stock up into the event.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BB）将于6月23日晚些时候公布2021年第一季度收益，交易员可能希望在此期间推高其股价。</blockquote></p><p> The Reddit community, led by WallStreetBets although&nbsp;many are now using the subreddit Superstonk, targeted BlackBerry’s stock in January, along with&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corporation</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:GME) and&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AMC), in an epic short squeeze. The short squeeze caused BlackBerry’s stock to skyrocket 288% over the course of nine days, peaking at $28.77 on Jan. 27 before plummeting 63% over the following four days.</p><p><blockquote>由WallStreetBets领导的Reddit社区（尽管许多人现在使用subreddit Superstonk）在1月份瞄准了黑莓的股票，以及<b>游戏驿站公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GME）和<b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC），陷入史诗般的轧空。轧空导致黑莓股价在9天内飙升288%，于1月27日达到28.77美元的峰值，随后四天暴跌63%。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop and AMC have been hot tickers the past few days, in a second short squeeze attempt, and BlackBerry’s recent action makes it appear the stock may be next on the list.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC在过去几天一直是热门股票，这是第二次轧空尝试，而黑莓最近的行动表明该股可能是名单上的下一个股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BlackBerry Chart:</b>On Friday, BlackBerry smashed into a resistance level at $12.12 after a 21% move on the day and closed under a resistance level at $10.68. BlackBerry’s stock printed an inverted red hammer candlestick on the daily chart indicating a large group of sellers took profits when the stock was unable to pop up over the $12 level. BlackBerry may need a few days of consolidation before another attempt to smash through resistance.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓图表：</b>周五，黑莓在当日上涨21%后跌破12.12美元阻力位，收盘跌破10.68美元阻力位。黑莓的股票在日线图上印有一个倒置的红色锤子烛台，表明当该股无法突破12美元水平时，一大群卖家获利了结。在再次尝试突破阻力之前，黑莓可能需要几天的盘整。</blockquote></p><p> On May 18, BlackBerry broke up bullish through a descending trendline that has been holding it down since Feb. 8. BlackBerry’s stock retested the downward sloping line as support on May 19 and it held as support. BlackBerry then traded sideways for four days before printing a big green bullish engulfing candlestick on May 26,&nbsp;which signaled the stock was headed higher.</p><p><blockquote>5月18日，黑莓突破了自2月8日以来一直压制其的下降趋势线。黑莓的股票在5月19日重新测试了向下倾斜线作为支撑，并保持在支撑位。随后，黑莓横盘交易了四天，然后于5月26日打印出一个巨大的绿色看涨吞没烛台，这表明该股正在走高。</blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), with the eight-day EMA trending above the 21-day EMA which is bullish. BlackBerry is also trading above the 200-day simple moving average, which indicates overall sentiment in the stock is bullish.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓的交易价格高于8日和21日指数移动平均线(EMA)，其中8日均线趋势高于21日均线，看涨。黑莓的交易价格也高于200日简单移动平均线，这表明该股的整体情绪看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1ff4f7d1fb77fab7e0e6b4d53447742\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bulls want to see high levels of bullish volume come back into Blackberry’s stock to push it back up over resistance near the $10 level. If it can regain that level as support, it can make another attempt to push through $12.12.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到高水平的看涨成交量重返黑莓股票，推动其回升至10美元附近的阻力位。如果它能够重新获得该水平作为支撑，它可以再次尝试突破12.12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see BlackBerry’s sellers continue to push the stock down until it loses support of the eight-day and 21-day EMAs. The eight-day and 21-day EMAs could then act as resistance and push BlackBerry’s stock down until it loses another support level at $8.36.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到黑莓的卖家继续压低该股，直到其失去8日和21日均线的支撑。然后，8日和21日均线可能会充当阻力位，推动黑莓股价下跌，直到失去另一个支撑位8.36美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BB Price Action:</b>BlackBerry’s stock was trading up 5% to $10.57 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>BB价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，黑莓股价上涨5%，至10.57美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135306683","content_text":"BlackBerry Limited (NYSE:BB) is set to print its first-quarter 2021 earnings later on June 23 and traders may be looking to run the price of its stock up into the event.\nThe Reddit community, led by WallStreetBets although many are now using the subreddit Superstonk, targeted BlackBerry’s stock in January, along with GameStop Corporation (NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (NYSE:AMC), in an epic short squeeze. The short squeeze caused BlackBerry’s stock to skyrocket 288% over the course of nine days, peaking at $28.77 on Jan. 27 before plummeting 63% over the following four days.\nGameStop and AMC have been hot tickers the past few days, in a second short squeeze attempt, and BlackBerry’s recent action makes it appear the stock may be next on the list.\nThe BlackBerry Chart:On Friday, BlackBerry smashed into a resistance level at $12.12 after a 21% move on the day and closed under a resistance level at $10.68. BlackBerry’s stock printed an inverted red hammer candlestick on the daily chart indicating a large group of sellers took profits when the stock was unable to pop up over the $12 level. BlackBerry may need a few days of consolidation before another attempt to smash through resistance.\nOn May 18, BlackBerry broke up bullish through a descending trendline that has been holding it down since Feb. 8. BlackBerry’s stock retested the downward sloping line as support on May 19 and it held as support. BlackBerry then traded sideways for four days before printing a big green bullish engulfing candlestick on May 26, which signaled the stock was headed higher.\nBlackBerry is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), with the eight-day EMA trending above the 21-day EMA which is bullish. BlackBerry is also trading above the 200-day simple moving average, which indicates overall sentiment in the stock is bullish.\n\nBulls want to see high levels of bullish volume come back into Blackberry’s stock to push it back up over resistance near the $10 level. If it can regain that level as support, it can make another attempt to push through $12.12.\nBears want to see BlackBerry’s sellers continue to push the stock down until it loses support of the eight-day and 21-day EMAs. The eight-day and 21-day EMAs could then act as resistance and push BlackBerry’s stock down until it loses another support level at $8.36.\nBB Price Action:BlackBerry’s stock was trading up 5% to $10.57 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135511968,"gmtCreate":1622169052854,"gmtModify":1634183182569,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up!","listText":"Up!","text":"Up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135511968","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104904877,"gmtCreate":1620348261999,"gmtModify":1634205908524,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104904877","repostId":"1186778449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186778449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620341777,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186778449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 06:56","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186778449","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Averageclosed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by $Apple$ Inc, the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.$Investors$ were awaiting a mor","content":"<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数（。DJI）周四收于创纪录高位，受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑，而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后，疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&amp;P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)，劳工部报告显示，截至5月1日当周，经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人，而前一周为590,000人，标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告，以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后，制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> &amp; Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc（NVAX.O），所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗制造的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&amp;约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index &lt;.NBI&gt; also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数&lt;.NBI&gt;也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示，即使疫苗专利被放弃，全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗，该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏，”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示，道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%，收于34,545.11点，标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%，收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%，至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&amp;P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示，其4月份销售额飙升33.5%，随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨，此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润，并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司（UBER.N）表示，随着疫情的消退，将向司机支付更多费用，让汽车重新上路，并披露了6亿美元的费用，为英国司机提供福利，股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长，收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓，Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流，AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后，道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 06:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数（。DJI）周四收于创纪录高位，受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑，而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后，疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&amp;P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)，劳工部报告显示，截至5月1日当周，经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人，而前一周为590,000人，标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告，以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后，制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> &amp; Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc（NVAX.O），所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗制造的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&amp;约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index &lt;.NBI&gt; also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数&lt;.NBI&gt;也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示，即使疫苗专利被放弃，全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗，该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏，”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示，道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%，收于34,545.11点，标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%，收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%，至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&amp;P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示，其4月份销售额飙升33.5%，随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨，此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润，并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司（UBER.N）表示，随着疫情的消退，将向司机支付更多费用，让汽车重新上路，并披露了6亿美元的费用，为英国司机提供福利，股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长，收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓，Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流，AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".DJI":"道琼斯","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","REGN":"再生元制药公司","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","AAPL":"苹果","JNJ":"强生","UBER":"优步","MSFT":"微软","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","PFE":"辉瑞",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186778449","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by Apple Inc(AAPL.O), the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.Investors were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.Shares in Pfizer Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and Novavax Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. Johnson & Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.The S&P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the Nasdaq biotechnology index <.NBI> also dropped.Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.The S&P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as one that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and Amazon.com Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.Costco Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&P 500 consumers staple index higher.Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.Uber Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.Square gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slowsRoku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts Guidance Amid Treadmill RecallAMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PTON":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"BYND":0.9,"REGN":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"COST":0.9,"SPSY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103865128,"gmtCreate":1619768723964,"gmtModify":1634210063189,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Then why drop...","listText":"Then why drop...","text":"Then why drop...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103865128","repostId":"2131534297","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}