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2021-05-09

Hmmmm

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2021-06-18

Correction?

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2021-04-09

Wow

Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood 将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索 ETF 和其他股票中</blockquote>

2021-07-16

If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…

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2021-05-31

Nope

Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振疲软的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>

2021-07-18

Lookin g forward

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2021-06-07

Wow

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2021-06-02

Up!

iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone 需求推动阿里巴巴-SW和京东“6.18”启动日销售额创纪录</blockquote>

2021-05-24

Bubbles coming?

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2021-02-25

Should I buy Bitcoin?

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again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","listText":"Ask again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","text":"Ask again when it reach $50, $60, $70…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800578874","repostId":"800545565","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":800545565,"gmtCreate":1627309913757,"gmtModify":1633766253640,"author":{"id":"3583357934408755","authorId":"3583357934408755","name":"popolo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/714c98fe06e9258fa7054d9d3f8b1daa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583357934408755","idStr":"3583357934408755"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>is it too late to buy now?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>is it too late to buy now?","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$is it too late to buy now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800545565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177168069,"gmtCreate":1627187305151,"gmtModify":1633767312195,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NIO?","listText":"NIO?","text":"NIO?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177168069","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177161568,"gmtCreate":1627187279954,"gmtModify":1633767312540,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NIO!","listText":"NIO!","text":"NIO!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177161568","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179454373,"gmtCreate":1626573670992,"gmtModify":1633925800234,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lookin g forward","listText":"Lookin g forward","text":"Lookin g 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is this?","listText":"What is this?","text":"What is this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160420726","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫，届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险，在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中（参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时，对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览，他称之为 “规模庞大，堪比典型的季度”。具体而言，<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期，此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元，仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额（7750 亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力，直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%，为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的（但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天，远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的，即 “一旦头寸更加干净，实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时，SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明，如果市场抛售，投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大，以及零售活动的预测价值，都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票，导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现，过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点，这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是，高盛观察到，短期 SPX 期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期日的临近，其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期日，因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实，<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量： 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围，他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称，“最卖空的名称”，散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫，届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险，在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中（参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时，对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览，他称之为 “规模庞大，堪比典型的季度”。具体而言，<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期，此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元，仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额（7750 亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力，直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%，为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的（但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天，远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的，即 “一旦头寸更加干净，实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时，SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明，如果市场抛售，投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大，以及零售活动的预测价值，都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票，导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现，过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点，这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是，高盛观察到，短期 SPX 期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期日的临近，其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期日，因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实，<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量： 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围，他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称，“最卖空的名称”，散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160467299,"gmtCreate":1623804716211,"gmtModify":1634027947888,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Another cycle?","listText":"Another cycle?","text":"Another cycle?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160467299","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160327441,"gmtCreate":1623773218683,"gmtModify":1634028461587,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Really ?","listText":"Really ?","text":"Really ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160327441","repostId":"1147269544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147269544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770166,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147269544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>迈克尔“大空头”伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫“两个数量级”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147269544","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he p","content":"<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，迈克尔·“大空头”·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为未来的蓝图</b>在一场冗长的推文风暴中，大量抄袭了帕尔森的开创性作品，警告说<b>:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在通过其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通货膨胀。强劲的债务/GDP，M2增加，而零售销售，PMI第五阶段复苏</b>随着员工和供应链成本飙升，更多的刺激措施和重新开放将提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，有其自身明确无误的特征。其中之一是巨大的财富，至少是那些受繁荣青睐的人……许多巨额财富一夜之间涌现……城市里有着漫无目的、肆无忌惮的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股票市场都蒸蒸日上，马克对美元和其他货币的汇率居然一度上涨，马克暂时是全球最强势的货币”，通货膨胀前夕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫穷的口袋。更多的人停留在容易赚钱的外面，往里看却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记载表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，再加上他们对快节奏的厌倦，没有明显的目的，以及他们害怕眼睁睁地看着自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此引人注目地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何类型的生意都能赚钱。企业倒闭和破产变得很少。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，通过这些过程，非必要和无效的生意就会被淘汰出去。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“光是投机，虽然没有给德国的财富增加任何东西，但却成了它最大的活动之一。加入快速转换标记的狂热感染了几乎所有阶层……从电梯操作员到每个人都在玩弄市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“到1923年11月，1922年夏天，世界上所有的印记都不足以买一份报纸或一张电车票。这是经济崩溃最引人注目的部分，但真正的货币财富损失大多发生在更早的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，该结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通胀周期不是持续了一年，而是持续了九年，相当于八年的酝酿，只有一年的#崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：上面是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923年”，然后做出不祥的推断，“<b>2010-2021：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时……管理团队变得有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资有风险的增长机会已经彻底击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，好像是从同一个剧本里读到的，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“在我看来，通货膨胀是暂时的......这并不符合我对世界的看法”。</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上最新的推特警告……</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。很简单。这是有史以来最大的投机泡沫。大了两个数量级。”</b></i>#飞猪360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住!”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么做？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>迈克尔“大空头”伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫“两个数量级”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>迈克尔“大空头”伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫“两个数量级”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，迈克尔·“大空头”·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为未来的蓝图</b>在一场冗长的推文风暴中，大量抄袭了帕尔森的开创性作品，警告说<b>:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在通过其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通货膨胀。强劲的债务/GDP，M2增加，而零售销售，PMI第五阶段复苏</b>随着员工和供应链成本飙升，更多的刺激措施和重新开放将提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，有其自身明确无误的特征。其中之一是巨大的财富，至少是那些受繁荣青睐的人……许多巨额财富一夜之间涌现……城市里有着漫无目的、肆无忌惮的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股票市场都蒸蒸日上，马克对美元和其他货币的汇率居然一度上涨，马克暂时是全球最强势的货币”，通货膨胀前夕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫穷的口袋。更多的人停留在容易赚钱的外面，往里看却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记载表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，再加上他们对快节奏的厌倦，没有明显的目的，以及他们害怕眼睁睁地看着自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此引人注目地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何类型的生意都能赚钱。企业倒闭和破产变得很少。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，通过这些过程，非必要和无效的生意就会被淘汰出去。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“光是投机，虽然没有给德国的财富增加任何东西，但却成了它最大的活动之一。加入快速转换标记的狂热感染了几乎所有阶层……从电梯操作员到每个人都在玩弄市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“到1923年11月，1922年夏天，世界上所有的印记都不足以买一份报纸或一张电车票。这是经济崩溃最引人注目的部分，但真正的货币财富损失大多发生在更早的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，该结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通胀周期不是持续了一年，而是持续了九年，相当于八年的酝酿，只有一年的#崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：上面是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923年”，然后做出不祥的推断，“<b>2010-2021：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时……管理团队变得有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资有风险的增长机会已经彻底击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，好像是从同一个剧本里读到的，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“在我看来，通货膨胀是暂时的......这并不符合我对世界的看法”。</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上最新的推特警告……</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。很简单。这是有史以来最大的投机泡沫。大了两个数量级。”</b></i>#飞猪360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住!”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么做？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147269544","content_text":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes nextin a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that:\n\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus & re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"\n#ParadigmShift\n\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"\n\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.\n\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"\n\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"\n\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"\n\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"\n\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #robinhooddown\n\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single  newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"\n\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"\nHis punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"2010-2021: Gestation\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"\nAnd, as if reading from the same playbook,Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"and if Jay Powell\n\n“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"\n\nAll of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...\n\n\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.#FlyingPigs360\"\n\nIn other words:\"Brace!\"\nSo what are you going to do about it?\nTudor Jones had some simple advice: \"buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185510573,"gmtCreate":1623659530492,"gmtModify":1634030536179,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Elon again","listText":"Elon again","text":"Elon again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185510573","repostId":"1135133788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135133788","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623659116,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135133788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135133788","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesl","content":"<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨，CAN股价在盘前涨幅超过10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克周日表示，一旦确认矿商合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading<blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-14 16:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market&nbsp;trading,CAN&nbsp;shares rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than 10% in pre-market.</p><p><blockquote>比特币板块股票在盘前交易中上涨，CAN股价在盘前涨幅超过10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cda23fae4fdb5dd7e0432d6b4d8a397\" tg-width=\"1285\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tesla&nbsp;CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk&nbsp;on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克周日表示，一旦确认矿商合理使用清洁能源，该公司将恢复比特币交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135133788","content_text":"Bitcoin sector stocks gained in pre-market trading,CAN shares rose more than 10% in pre-market.\nTesla CEO Elon Musk on Sunday said the company will resume bitcoin transactions once it confirms there is reasonable clean energy usage by miners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182061397,"gmtCreate":1623547462419,"gmtModify":1634031977441,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182061397","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183311163,"gmtCreate":1623306738152,"gmtModify":1634034733079,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It’s late but it’s better than never","listText":"It’s late but it’s better than never","text":"It’s late but it’s better than never","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183311163","repostId":"2142024176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183981966,"gmtCreate":1623300307455,"gmtModify":1634034799934,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ponzi","listText":"Ponzi","text":"Ponzi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183981966","repostId":"2142249628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180476887,"gmtCreate":1623224200849,"gmtModify":1634035631804,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Really?","listText":"Really?","text":"Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180476887","repostId":"1158084619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115212807,"gmtCreate":1622998937109,"gmtModify":1634096332460,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115212807","repostId":"2141283409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118537831,"gmtCreate":1622737714723,"gmtModify":1634098514447,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118537831","repostId":"1160289276","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1015,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118050608,"gmtCreate":1622709101104,"gmtModify":1634098920934,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574567062675330","idStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ahh. Not bad&nbsp;","listText":"Ahh. Not bad&nbsp;","text":"Ahh. Not bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118050608","repostId":"1105752559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105752559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622694904,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105752559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 12:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点： 玩 AMC 股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种期权策略</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105752559","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves,","content":"<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.</p><p><blockquote>在空头挤压下，AMC 股票波动性极大。在谨慎的前提下，期权可以成为利用这些举措的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>控股股票在陷入空头挤压后再次爆发。</blockquote></p><p>The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)</p><p><blockquote>该股的已实现和隐含波动率正在飙升。AMC在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>今天的积分增加了一倍多。下面有两种期权策略，试图利用这一不寻常的举措。（请注意，本文数据截至6月1日收盘。）</blockquote></p><p>The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.</p><p><blockquote>AMCAMC 的第一张图表（+95.22%，下图）追踪了两年，显示该股在 2019 年的大部分时间里一直处于普遍下跌状态。事实上，自 2015 年和 2016 年创下 30 美元左右的历史高点以来，AMC 一直在下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.</p><p><blockquote>随后，由于疫情，该股进一步下跌。然而，当它在 2021 年 1 月下旬的空头挤压中反弹时，情况开始发生变化。该股在不到一个月的时间里从 2 美元暴涨至 20 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.</p><p><blockquote>现在又一次空头挤压正在进行中，该股上个月已从9美元上涨至60美元以上。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd994b6947e51ac1dd241aebc098785c\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year, showing the<i>composite</i>implied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)</p><p><blockquote>从基本面甚至技术分析的角度来看，不可能证明这些走势是合理的，但期权市场提供了机会。正如所料，这些期权已经变得极其昂贵。下一个图表是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-年，显示<i>复合的</i>顶部是 AMC 期权的隐含波动率，底部是股票价格。（综合隐含波动率是 AMC 上最活跃期权的加权波动率。）</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0833b40f70599f8f813f2c0eaa3a7c8b\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is a<i>lot</i>higher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)</p><p><blockquote>综合隐含波动率已升至200%以上。（不要担心这在统计学上意味着什么，只需将其作为一个比较指标——200% 是一个<i>很多</i>高于“正常”波动性，高达大流行前水平的四倍）。</blockquote></p><p>So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.</p><p><blockquote>那么，哪些期权策略有意义呢？信不信由你，在波动性仍然很高的情况下，简单地购买昂贵的期权是合理的。AMC 的 10 天实现（历史）波动性现在达到了惊人的 211%。20天历史波动率（HV）为160%。</blockquote></p><p>However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be.&nbsp;But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,<i>out-of-the-money</i>options are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果股市开始企稳，这些波动性将会迅速下降——不管可能在哪里。但只要它们坚持下去，就隐含波动性而言，平价期权并不比平价期权贵多少。然而，<i>现金外</i>期权要贵得多，而且这些购买通常没有吸引力——当然不是基于统计基础。</blockquote></p><p>Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.</p><p><blockquote>许多交易者想要出售期权，因为他们认为期权定价过高。嗯，它们可能定价过高，但在当前的波动性水平下，股票可能会波动很大的距离，并导致期权销售策略的毁灭。</blockquote></p><p>One can see from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-AMC 年度图显示，上次逼空后，该股迅速下跌，但再也没有回到逼空时的价格。这是做空时的典型行为。</blockquote></p><p>Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).</p><p><blockquote>考虑以下两张图表——Riot BlockchainRIOT，+2.74% 和 GameStopGME，+13.34%——这两张图表都是空头挤压。RIOT 于 2017 年底首次上市时也是一次空头挤压（图表中未显示）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fda30eb7b24e1715b109a7c7f42a2623\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e235888f2cd914eacad62e402d2397c7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，都会出现类似的模式： 空头挤压结束，股票下跌，但不会完全回到 “挤压前 ”的价格，至少在一段时间内不会。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> options strategies could take advantage of this:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">二</a>期权策略可以利用这一点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ol><li><b>A bear put spread.</b>Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock&nbsp; price<i>and</i>sell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.</li><li><b>Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMC</b><b><i>prior</i></b><b>to the short squeeze.</b>AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received.&nbsp;A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.</li></ol>Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>一只熊摊开了。</b>以略低于当前上涨股价的惊人价格购买看跌期权<i>和</i>以明显较低的执行价格出售看跌期权。这种策略通常具有优势，即您买入的看跌期权的隐含波动率低于您卖出的看跌期权的隐含波动率。你损失的钱不会超过你为点差支付的借方，但如果股票继续上涨，而期权到期时一文不值，你可能会损失 100% 的借方。</li><li><b>以 AMC 价格或接近 AMC 价格的价格出售看跌信用利差</b><b><i>先前的</i></b><b>到空头挤压。</b>在最新一轮空头挤压开始之前，AMC 才十几岁。这里的潜在收益将是最初获得的信贷，但保证金要求——等于价差中的风险——是罢工的差额减去获得的信贷。对于极其激进的账户来说，这一策略的衍生产品是在十几岁时出售看跌期权（裸）。</li></ol>显然，可以考虑很多期权组合，但这两种相对简单的价差策略如果 AMC 的行为像其他空头挤压一样，就会得到回报： 最终股票见顶并开始下跌，但跌幅不足以达到 “挤压前 ”水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点： 玩 AMC 股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种期权策略</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies<blockquote>观点： 玩 AMC 股票的明智方法是什么？尝试这两种期权策略</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 12:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.</p><p><blockquote>在空头挤压下，AMC 股票波动性极大。在谨慎的前提下，期权可以成为利用这些举措的一种方式。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>控股股票在陷入空头挤压后再次爆发。</blockquote></p><p>The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)</p><p><blockquote>该股的已实现和隐含波动率正在飙升。AMC在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>今天的积分增加了一倍多。下面有两种期权策略，试图利用这一不寻常的举措。（请注意，本文数据截至6月1日收盘。）</blockquote></p><p>The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.</p><p><blockquote>AMCAMC 的第一张图表（+95.22%，下图）追踪了两年，显示该股在 2019 年的大部分时间里一直处于普遍下跌状态。事实上，自 2015 年和 2016 年创下 30 美元左右的历史高点以来，AMC 一直在下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.</p><p><blockquote>随后，由于疫情，该股进一步下跌。然而，当它在 2021 年 1 月下旬的空头挤压中反弹时，情况开始发生变化。该股在不到一个月的时间里从 2 美元暴涨至 20 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.</p><p><blockquote>现在又一次空头挤压正在进行中，该股上个月已从9美元上涨至60美元以上。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd994b6947e51ac1dd241aebc098785c\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year, showing the<i>composite</i>implied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)</p><p><blockquote>从基本面甚至技术分析的角度来看，不可能证明这些走势是合理的，但期权市场提供了机会。正如所料，这些期权已经变得极其昂贵。下一个图表是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-年，显示<i>复合的</i>顶部是 AMC 期权的隐含波动率，底部是股票价格。（综合隐含波动率是 AMC 上最活跃期权的加权波动率。）</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0833b40f70599f8f813f2c0eaa3a7c8b\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is a<i>lot</i>higher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)</p><p><blockquote>综合隐含波动率已升至200%以上。（不要担心这在统计学上意味着什么，只需将其作为一个比较指标——200% 是一个<i>很多</i>高于“正常”波动性，高达大流行前水平的四倍）。</blockquote></p><p>So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.</p><p><blockquote>那么，哪些期权策略有意义呢？信不信由你，在波动性仍然很高的情况下，简单地购买昂贵的期权是合理的。AMC 的 10 天实现（历史）波动性现在达到了惊人的 211%。20天历史波动率（HV）为160%。</blockquote></p><p>However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be.&nbsp;But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,<i>out-of-the-money</i>options are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果股市开始企稳，这些波动性将会迅速下降——不管可能在哪里。但只要它们坚持下去，就隐含波动性而言，平价期权并不比平价期权贵多少。然而，<i>现金外</i>期权要贵得多，而且这些购买通常没有吸引力——当然不是基于统计基础。</blockquote></p><p>Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.</p><p><blockquote>许多交易者想要出售期权，因为他们认为期权定价过高。嗯，它们可能定价过高，但在当前的波动性水平下，股票可能会波动很大的距离，并导致期权销售策略的毁灭。</blockquote></p><p>One can see from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>-AMC 年度图显示，上次逼空后，该股迅速下跌，但再也没有回到逼空时的价格。这是做空时的典型行为。</blockquote></p><p>Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).</p><p><blockquote>考虑以下两张图表——Riot BlockchainRIOT，+2.74% 和 GameStopGME，+13.34%——这两张图表都是空头挤压。RIOT 于 2017 年底首次上市时也是一次空头挤压（图表中未显示）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fda30eb7b24e1715b109a7c7f42a2623\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e235888f2cd914eacad62e402d2397c7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.</p><p><blockquote>在这两种情况下，都会出现类似的模式： 空头挤压结束，股票下跌，但不会完全回到 “挤压前 ”的价格，至少在一段时间内不会。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> options strategies could take advantage of this:</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">二</a>期权策略可以利用这一点：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ol><li><b>A bear put spread.</b>Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock&nbsp; price<i>and</i>sell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.</li><li><b>Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMC</b><b><i>prior</i></b><b>to the short squeeze.</b>AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received.&nbsp;A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.</li></ol>Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>一只熊摊开了。</b>以略低于当前上涨股价的惊人价格购买看跌期权<i>和</i>以明显较低的执行价格出售看跌期权。这种策略通常具有优势，即您买入的看跌期权的隐含波动率低于您卖出的看跌期权的隐含波动率。你损失的钱不会超过你为点差支付的借方，但如果股票继续上涨，而期权到期时一文不值，你可能会损失 100% 的借方。</li><li><b>以 AMC 价格或接近 AMC 价格的价格出售看跌信用利差</b><b><i>先前的</i></b><b>到空头挤压。</b>在最新一轮空头挤压开始之前，AMC 才十几岁。这里的潜在收益将是最初获得的信贷，但保证金要求——等于价差中的风险——是罢工的差额减去获得的信贷。对于极其激进的账户来说，这一策略的衍生产品是在十几岁时出售看跌期权（裸）。</li></ol>显然，可以考虑很多期权组合，但这两种相对简单的价差策略如果 AMC 的行为像其他空头挤压一样，就会得到回报： 最终股票见顶并开始下跌，但跌幅不足以达到 “挤压前 ”水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105752559","content_text":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.AMC Entertainment Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at one point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a one-year, showing thecompositeimplied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is alothigher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be. But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,out-of-the-moneyoptions are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.One can see from the one-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.Two options strategies could take advantage of this:A bear put spread.Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock  priceandsell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMCpriorto the short squeeze.AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received. A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190919542,"gmtCreate":1620568335986,"gmtModify":1634197994986,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmmm","listText":"Hmmmm","text":"Hmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190919542","repostId":"1106882084","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168972779,"gmtCreate":1623948389691,"gmtModify":1634025356097,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Correction?","listText":"Correction?","text":"Correction?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168972779","repostId":"2144742686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348686487,"gmtCreate":1617926149449,"gmtModify":1634295755236,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348686487","repostId":"1112389819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112389819","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617854410,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112389819?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-08 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood 将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索 ETF 和其他股票中</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112389819","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were ","content":"<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>凯西-伍德（Cathie Wood）的方舟投资管理公司（Ark Investment Management）每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件，列出该公司 ETF 当天买卖的股票。近几个月来，这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的 35 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟空间探索与创新 ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：买入空白支票公司141,100股，约占该ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest 股价周三收盘下跌 1.57%，至 10.06 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.89%。该股52周高点18.60美元，低点9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Jaws Spitfire 收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%：购买空白支票公司241,618股，约占该ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws 股价周三收盘上涨 0.3%，至 10.46 美元，盘后上涨 1.91%。52 周高点为 12.10 美元，低点为 9.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买 35,963 股 the mobile 股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅：Cathie Wood 的 Ark Invest Space ETF 中的首批 39 家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌 2.05%，至 40.07 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点54.65美元，低点19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%：购买空白支票公司140,900股，占该ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent 股价收盘下跌 0.39%，至 10.11 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1%。该股52周高点17美元，低点9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：卖出11,302股设备设计制造公司股票，约占该ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌 0.45%，至 131.78 美元。该股52周高点147.90美元，低点56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌 0.22%，至 374.79 美元。该股52周高点392.42美元，低点117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%：出售这家总部位于加利福尼亚州的国防承包商的 5,100 股股票，约占该 ETF 的 0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment 股价周三收盘下跌 3.44%，至 113.37 美元。52 周高点为 143.72 美元，低点为 53.15 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。共</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票，约占该ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌 2.08%，至 119.89 美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%：在东京购买了这家开发和构建电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票，约占该ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>Base OTC 股票周三收盘上涨 0.97%，至 15.65 美元。52 周高点为 179 美元，低点为 14.61 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>耶卡有限公司</b>YHEKF：在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台股票，约占该ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>Yeahka 股价周三收盘下跌 0.64%，至 7.75 美元。52 周高点为 15.28 美元，低点为 4.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款俱乐部公司</b>LC 0.95%：买入P2P借贷公司204,348股，约占该ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub 股价周三收盘下跌 0.88%，至 15.7 美元。52 周高点为 22.68 美元，低点为 4.32 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款树公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售15,762股在线借贷市场公司股票，约占该ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 股价周三收盘上涨 5.34%，至 229.26 美元。52 周高点为 372.64 美元，低点为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟基因组革命 ETF</b>方框 3.26%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股，约占该ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X 股价周三收盘下跌 6.03%，至 185.34 美元。52 周高点为 201.70 美元，低点为 58.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%：购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票，约占该ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify 股价周三收盘下跌 4.08%，至 26.35 美元，盘后上涨 0.53%。52 周高点为 40.79 美元，低点为 22.13 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%：买入加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股，约占该ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare 股价周三收盘上涨 0.78%，至 30.96 美元。52 周高点为 46.44 美元，低点为 21.45 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%：购买了51,661股专用手持和化学和生物分子分析设备制造商的股票，约占该ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices 股价周三收盘下跌 6.18%，至 46.95 美元。52周高点为79.60美元，低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem 治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%：出售了这家以色列干细胞公司的2,220股股票，约占该ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem 股价周三收盘上涨 2.09%，至 4.89 美元。52 周高点为 13.29 美元，低点为 3.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>方舟 2.33%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%：买入视频通话公司98,500股，约占该ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom 股价周三收盘下跌 2.03%，至 323.08 美元。52 周高点为 588.84 美元，低点为 109.57 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股，约占该ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X 股价周三收盘下跌 6.03%，至 185.34 美元。52 周高点为 201.70 美元，低点为 58.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Trimble公司</b>TRMB 3.84%：购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票，约占该ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble 股价周三收盘下跌 3.84%，至 79.74 美元。52 周高点为 84.86 美元，低点为 30.87 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>帕兰蒂尔技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%：买入大数据分析公司1,045,600股，约占该ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 股价周三收盘下跌 1.59%，至 22.90 美元，盘后上涨 1.05%。52 周高点为 45 美元，低点为 8.90 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU：购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股股票，约占该ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign 股价周三收于 205.71 美元，盘后交易中上涨 0.63%。该股52周高点290.23美元，低点85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%：买入每日幻想体育公司610,847股，约占该ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价周三收盘下跌 2.68%，至 62.09 美元，盘后上涨 0.64%。52 周高点为 74.38 美元，低点为 12.68 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟自主技术与机器人 ETF</b>（蝙蝠：ARKQ）：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：买入空白支票公司71,635股，约占该ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest 股价周三收盘下跌 1.57%，至 10.06 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.89%。该股52周高点18.60美元，低点9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%：出售谷歌母公司 16,651 股 C 类股票，约占该 ETF 的 1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨 1.35%，至 2239.03 美元，盘后上涨 0.40%。该股52周高点2,244.50美元，低点1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买 59,521 股移动设备股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌 2.05%，至 40.07 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点54.65美元，低点19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯国防与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%：购买了美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司313,506股股票，约占该公司0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense 股价周三收盘下跌 2.34%，至 27.97 美元，盘后上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点34.11美元，低点13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。共</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司股票97,700股，约占该ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌 2.08%，至 119.89 美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：卖出98,161股设备设计制造公司股票，约占该ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌 0.45%，至 131.78 美元。该股52周高点147.90美元，低点56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售37,795股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌 0.22%，至 374.79 美元。该股52周高点392.42美元，低点117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%：出售59,610股农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌 0.1%，至 230.41 美元。该股52周高点237.78美元，低点100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易服务台公司</b>TTD 1.23%：为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票，约占该ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk 股价周三收盘上涨 1.23%，至 677.87 美元，盘后上涨 0.31%。52 周高点为 972.80 美元，低点为 190.29 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款俱乐部公司</b>LC 0.95%：买入P2P借贷公司150,245股，约占该ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub 股价周三收盘下跌 0.88%，至 15.7 美元。52 周高点为 22.68 美元，低点为 4.32 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%：卖出电子设计自动化公司股票70,396股，约占该ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys 股价周三收盘下跌 0.14%，至 257 美元。52 周高点为 300.91 美元，低点为 133.27 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款树公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售12,129股在线借贷市场公司股票，约占该ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 股价周三收盘上涨 5.34%，至 229.26 美元。52 周高点为 372.64 美元，低点为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood 将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索 ETF 和其他股票中</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood 将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索 ETF 和其他股票中</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-08 12:00</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>凯西-伍德（Cathie Wood）的方舟投资管理公司（Ark Investment Management）每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件，列出该公司 ETF 当天买卖的股票。近几个月来，这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的 35 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟空间探索与创新 ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：买入空白支票公司141,100股，约占该ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest 股价周三收盘下跌 1.57%，至 10.06 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.89%。该股52周高点18.60美元，低点9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Jaws Spitfire 收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%：购买空白支票公司241,618股，约占该ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws 股价周三收盘上涨 0.3%，至 10.46 美元，盘后上涨 1.91%。52 周高点为 12.10 美元，低点为 9.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买 35,963 股 the mobile 股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅：Cathie Wood 的 Ark Invest Space ETF 中的首批 39 家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌 2.05%，至 40.07 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点54.65美元，低点19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%：购买空白支票公司140,900股，占该ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent 股价收盘下跌 0.39%，至 10.11 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1%。该股52周高点17美元，低点9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：卖出11,302股设备设计制造公司股票，约占该ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌 0.45%，至 131.78 美元。该股52周高点147.90美元，低点56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌 0.22%，至 374.79 美元。该股52周高点392.42美元，低点117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%：出售这家总部位于加利福尼亚州的国防承包商的 5,100 股股票，约占该 ETF 的 0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment 股价周三收盘下跌 3.44%，至 113.37 美元。52 周高点为 143.72 美元，低点为 53.15 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。共</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票，约占该ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌 2.08%，至 119.89 美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%：在东京购买了这家开发和构建电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票，约占该ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>Base OTC 股票周三收盘上涨 0.97%，至 15.65 美元。52 周高点为 179 美元，低点为 14.61 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>耶卡有限公司</b>YHEKF：在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台股票，约占该ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>Yeahka 股价周三收盘下跌 0.64%，至 7.75 美元。52 周高点为 15.28 美元，低点为 4.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款俱乐部公司</b>LC 0.95%：买入P2P借贷公司204,348股，约占该ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub 股价周三收盘下跌 0.88%，至 15.7 美元。52 周高点为 22.68 美元，低点为 4.32 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款树公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售15,762股在线借贷市场公司股票，约占该ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 股价周三收盘上涨 5.34%，至 229.26 美元。52 周高点为 372.64 美元，低点为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟基因组革命 ETF</b>方框 3.26%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股，约占该ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X 股价周三收盘下跌 6.03%，至 185.34 美元。52 周高点为 201.70 美元，低点为 58.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%：购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票，约占该ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify 股价周三收盘下跌 4.08%，至 26.35 美元，盘后上涨 0.53%。52 周高点为 40.79 美元，低点为 22.13 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%：买入加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股，约占该ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare 股价周三收盘上涨 0.78%，至 30.96 美元。52 周高点为 46.44 美元，低点为 21.45 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%：购买了51,661股专用手持和化学和生物分子分析设备制造商的股票，约占该ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices 股价周三收盘下跌 6.18%，至 46.95 美元。52周高点为79.60美元，低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem 治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%：出售了这家以色列干细胞公司的2,220股股票，约占该ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem 股价周三收盘上涨 2.09%，至 4.89 美元。52 周高点为 13.29 美元，低点为 3.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>方舟 2.33%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%：买入视频通话公司98,500股，约占该ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom 股价周三收盘下跌 2.03%，至 323.08 美元。52 周高点为 588.84 美元，低点为 109.57 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%：买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股，约占该ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X 股价周三收盘下跌 6.03%，至 185.34 美元。52 周高点为 201.70 美元，低点为 58.11 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Trimble公司</b>TRMB 3.84%：购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票，约占该ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble 股价周三收盘下跌 3.84%，至 79.74 美元。52 周高点为 84.86 美元，低点为 30.87 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>帕兰蒂尔技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%：买入大数据分析公司1,045,600股，约占该ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir 股价周三收盘下跌 1.59%，至 22.90 美元，盘后上涨 1.05%。52 周高点为 45 美元，低点为 8.90 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU：购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股股票，约占该ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign 股价周三收于 205.71 美元，盘后交易中上涨 0.63%。该股52周高点290.23美元，低点85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%：买入每日幻想体育公司610,847股，约占该ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价周三收盘下跌 2.68%，至 62.09 美元，盘后上涨 0.64%。52 周高点为 74.38 美元，低点为 12.68 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟自主技术与机器人 ETF</b>（蝙蝠：ARKQ）：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%：买入空白支票公司71,635股，约占该ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest 股价周三收盘下跌 1.57%，至 10.06 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.89%。该股52周高点18.60美元，低点9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%：出售谷歌母公司 16,651 股 C 类股票，约占该 ETF 的 1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨 1.35%，至 2239.03 美元，盘后上涨 0.40%。该股52周高点2,244.50美元，低点1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%：购买 59,521 股移动设备股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务，约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌 2.05%，至 40.07 美元，盘后交易中上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点54.65美元，低点19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense &amp; Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯国防与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%：购买了美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司313,506股股票，约占该公司0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense 股价周三收盘下跌 2.34%，至 27.97 美元，盘后上涨 1.07%。该股52周高点34.11美元，低点13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。共</b>TSM 2.06%：出售这家半导体制造和设计公司股票97,700股，约占该ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌 2.08%，至 119.89 美元。52周高点为142.20美元，低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%：卖出98,161股设备设计制造公司股票，约占该ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌 0.45%，至 131.78 美元。该股52周高点147.90美元，低点56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere &amp; Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%：出售37,795股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌 0.22%，至 374.79 美元。该股52周高点392.42美元，低点117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%：出售59,610股农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商股票，约占该ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌 0.1%，至 230.41 美元。该股52周高点237.78美元，低点100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易服务台公司</b>TTD 1.23%：为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票，约占该ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk 股价周三收盘上涨 1.23%，至 677.87 美元，盘后上涨 0.31%。52 周高点为 972.80 美元，低点为 190.29 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款俱乐部公司</b>LC 0.95%：买入P2P借贷公司150,245股，约占该ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub 股价周三收盘下跌 0.88%，至 15.7 美元。52 周高点为 22.68 美元，低点为 4.32 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%：卖出电子设计自动化公司股票70,396股，约占该ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys 股价周三收盘下跌 0.14%，至 257 美元。52 周高点为 300.91 美元，低点为 133.27 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贷款树公司</b>TREE 5.34%：出售12,129股在线借贷市场公司股票，约占该ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 股价周三收盘上涨 5.34%，至 229.26 美元。52 周高点为 372.64 美元，低点为 175 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112389819","content_text":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.\nTrades ForArkSpace Exploration & Innovation ETFARKX 1.32%:\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nJaws Spitfire Acquisition CorpSPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.\nJaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.\nSee Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nReinvent Technology PartnersRTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.\nReinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nAeroVironment IncAVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.\nAeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTrades ForArk Fintech Innovation ETFARKF 1.24%:\nBase IncBAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.\nBase OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.\nYeahka LtdYHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.\nYeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.\nTrades ForArk Genomic Revolution ETFARKG 3.26%:\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nSignify Health IncSGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.\nSignify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.\nRepare Therapeutics IncRPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.\nRepare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.\n908 Devices IncMASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.\n908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.\nPluristem Therapeutics IncPSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.\nPluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.\nTrades ForArkInnovation ETFARKK 2.33%:\nZoom Video Communications IncZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.\nZoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nTrimble IncTRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.\nTrimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.\nPalantir Technologies IncPLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.\nPalantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.\nDocusign IncDOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.\nDocusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.\nDraftKings IncDKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.\nDraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.\nTrades forARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(BATS:ARKQ):\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nAlphabet IncGOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.\nAlphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nKratos Defense & Security SolutionsKTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.\nKratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nCaterpillar IncCAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.\nCaterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.\nTrades ForARK Next Generation Internet ETFARKW 1.62%\nTrade Desk IncTTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.\nTrade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nSynopsys IncSNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.\nSynopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170406345,"gmtCreate":1626444481187,"gmtModify":1633926681248,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…&nbsp;","listText":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…&nbsp;","text":"If not mistaken, the short sellers own motleyfool…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170406345","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3087,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110223287,"gmtCreate":1622461959449,"gmtModify":1634101323402,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nope","listText":"Nope","text":"Nope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110223287","repostId":"2138017624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138017624","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622461872,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2138017624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振疲软的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138017624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA\nMARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRA","content":"<p>COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会表示，COVID-19 大流行削减了全球航空公司两年的增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd63b684d9c110ade109b03589496a1e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MARKETWATCH 照片插图/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Cooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.</p><p><blockquote>被困住的美国居民可能渴望再次飞向天空，但夏季前不断增长的航空旅行需求可能不足以让美国航空公司摆脱去年的低迷。</blockquote></p><p> While demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然随着夏季的到来，休闲旅行的需求可能会上升，但美国航空公司的费用在疫情期间有所上升。他们仍然大多被剥夺了关键的收入来源，包括很少打折的商务和头等舱旅行以及充分利用其网络的长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> \"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师斯蒂芬·特伦特 (Stephen Trent) 告诉 MarketWatch：“当然，人们对休闲、探亲和朋友旅行的需求强劲，这很有帮助。”“与此同时，这种上涨空间至少在一定程度上被消化了”，其他担忧依然存在。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.</p><p><blockquote>“情况仍然很艰难，”特伦特说。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a> and United Airlines Holdings Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a> and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司，包括美国航空集团公司等传统航空公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>和联合航空控股公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a>以及捷蓝航空公司等相关新来者。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>，正在追逐相同的、狭窄的客户群体。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他们背负着债务，在疫情期间维持生计，并面临结构性阻力，对通货膨胀和燃油价格上涨的担忧加剧了仍然不稳定的局势。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司在疫情期间获得了约 500 亿美元的一系列政府救助和拨款，主要是为了支付工资，并且只偿还了其中的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> At peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>, United (UAL), and Delta <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a> fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a> dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.</p><p><blockquote>在危机最严重的时候，他们看到运力萎缩了四分之三以上，削减了航班，并在维持生计的竞赛中最大限度地利用了借款。他们的销售额急剧下降：2020 年与 2019 年相比，美国传统航空公司的收入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>、联合航空 (UAL) 和达美航空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(从)$</a>跌幅超过60%。西南航空公司销售。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(爱)$</a>2020 年下降了 60%，捷蓝航空公司 (JBLU) 下降了 62%。</blockquote></p><p> With the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.</p><p><blockquote>随着阵亡将士纪念日假期的临近和几个州对疫情限制的取消，夏季休闲旅游肯定正在如火如荼地进行。</blockquote></p><p> There's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.</p><p><blockquote>旅游网站 Scott's Cheap Flights 的联合创始人斯科特·凯斯 (Scott Keyes) 表示，“过去 12 到 15 个月积累的巨大、被压抑的需求现在正在得到缓解”。</blockquote></p><p> The number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，航班数量仍然低于大流行之前，但飞机更满了，交易，特别是对于更令人垂涎的目的地，很少。</blockquote></p><p> People seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎更喜欢中庸之道的旅行方式。</blockquote></p><p> As the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.</p><p><blockquote>作为许多人一年或更长时间内的第一次大型旅行，“他们不想要‘快速入口’旅行，他们希望这是一次遗愿清单旅行，”凯斯说。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f4822ba679ad33988475421d82d288\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着佛罗里达州、阿拉斯加、夏威夷等美国目的地、国家公园西部景点以及坎昆、墨西哥和牙买加等国际但仍然接近的目的地的交易是目前最令人垂涎的，而这些地方的交易则较少，他说，介于两者之间。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，似乎没有多少人对前往纽约市和芝加哥等城市景点感兴趣，对海外旅行的挥之不去的担忧也削弱了对欧洲目的地的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，重点是那些没有所有便利设施和景点也一样好的地方，这是一种更“户外类型的旅行”。</blockquote></p><p> IATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会本周描绘了一幅充满希望的全球航空旅行需求图景，但即便如此，其演讲仍称“几乎完全恢复”。</blockquote></p><p> Travelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.</p><p><blockquote>旅行者可能会渴望，但也需要继续保持精简运营。国际航空运输协会表示，不同国家和地区将按照自己的速度复苏，这取决于挥之不去的限制、疫苗接种率以及本国国内市场的实力。</blockquote></p><p> IATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会估计，新冠肺炎疫情至少削减了全球航空公司两年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">U.S. Global Jets ETF</a> (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&amp;P 500 index in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空股一直很有弹性。这个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">美国环球喷气式飞机 ETF</a>(JETS) 在过去 12 个月中上涨了 68%，今年上涨了 20%，超过了标普500指数同期 38% 和 12% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情开始以来，花旗的特伦特已经乘坐了五次飞机旅行，都是休闲旅行。他说，他对航空公司为保持飞机清洁和安全而采取的措施以及研究表明飞机上的低传播率充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我可能会尽快再做一次，”他说。“但我认为我们不会在下半年回到大流行前的水平……这是一个总体上具有建设性、更好的环境，但还没有回来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Summer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振疲软的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSummer travel is back, but will it be enough to boost flagging U.S. airlines? Probably not, analysts say<blockquote>夏季旅行又回来了，但这足以提振疲软的美国航空公司吗？分析师表示，可能不会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-31 19:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会表示，COVID-19 大流行削减了全球航空公司两年的增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd63b684d9c110ade109b03589496a1e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"876\"><span>MARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MARKETWATCH 照片插图/ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Cooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.</p><p><blockquote>被困住的美国居民可能渴望再次飞向天空，但夏季前不断增长的航空旅行需求可能不足以让美国航空公司摆脱去年的低迷。</blockquote></p><p> While demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.</p><p><blockquote>虽然随着夏季的到来，休闲旅行的需求可能会上升，但美国航空公司的费用在疫情期间有所上升。他们仍然大多被剥夺了关键的收入来源，包括很少打折的商务和头等舱旅行以及充分利用其网络的长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> \"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.</p><p><blockquote>花旗分析师斯蒂芬·特伦特 (Stephen Trent) 告诉 MarketWatch：“当然，人们对休闲、探亲和朋友旅行的需求强劲，这很有帮助。”“与此同时，这种上涨空间至少在一定程度上被消化了”，其他担忧依然存在。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.</p><p><blockquote>“情况仍然很艰难，”特伦特说。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a> and United Airlines Holdings Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a> and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司，包括美国航空集团公司等传统航空公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">$(AAL)$</a>和联合航空控股公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UAL\">$(UAL)$</a>以及捷蓝航空公司等相关新来者。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JBLU\">$(JBLU)$</a>，正在追逐相同的、狭窄的客户群体。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他们背负着债务，在疫情期间维持生计，并面临结构性阻力，对通货膨胀和燃油价格上涨的担忧加剧了仍然不稳定的局势。</blockquote></p><p> Major U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.</p><p><blockquote>美国主要航空公司在疫情期间获得了约 500 亿美元的一系列政府救助和拨款，主要是为了支付工资，并且只偿还了其中的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> At peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>, United (UAL), and Delta <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(DAL)$</a> fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(LUV)$</a> dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.</p><p><blockquote>在危机最严重的时候，他们看到运力萎缩了四分之三以上，削减了航班，并在维持生计的竞赛中最大限度地利用了借款。他们的销售额急剧下降：2020 年与 2019 年相比，美国传统航空公司的收入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL.UK\">$(AAL.UK)$</a>、联合航空 (UAL) 和达美航空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$(从)$</a>跌幅超过60%。西南航空公司销售。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">$(爱)$</a>2020 年下降了 60%，捷蓝航空公司 (JBLU) 下降了 62%。</blockquote></p><p> With the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.</p><p><blockquote>随着阵亡将士纪念日假期的临近和几个州对疫情限制的取消，夏季休闲旅游肯定正在如火如荼地进行。</blockquote></p><p> There's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.</p><p><blockquote>旅游网站 Scott's Cheap Flights 的联合创始人斯科特·凯斯 (Scott Keyes) 表示，“过去 12 到 15 个月积累的巨大、被压抑的需求现在正在得到缓解”。</blockquote></p><p> The number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，航班数量仍然低于大流行之前，但飞机更满了，交易，特别是对于更令人垂涎的目的地，很少。</blockquote></p><p> People seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.</p><p><blockquote>人们似乎更喜欢中庸之道的旅行方式。</blockquote></p><p> As the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.</p><p><blockquote>作为许多人一年或更长时间内的第一次大型旅行，“他们不想要‘快速入口’旅行，他们希望这是一次遗愿清单旅行，”凯斯说。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60f4822ba679ad33988475421d82d288\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着佛罗里达州、阿拉斯加、夏威夷等美国目的地、国家公园西部景点以及坎昆、墨西哥和牙买加等国际但仍然接近的目的地的交易是目前最令人垂涎的，而这些地方的交易则较少，他说，介于两者之间。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，似乎没有多少人对前往纽约市和芝加哥等城市景点感兴趣，对海外旅行的挥之不去的担忧也削弱了对欧洲目的地的需求。</blockquote></p><p> The emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，重点是那些没有所有便利设施和景点也一样好的地方，这是一种更“户外类型的旅行”。</blockquote></p><p> IATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会本周描绘了一幅充满希望的全球航空旅行需求图景，但即便如此，其演讲仍称“几乎完全恢复”。</blockquote></p><p> Travelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.</p><p><blockquote>旅行者可能会渴望，但也需要继续保持精简运营。国际航空运输协会表示，不同国家和地区将按照自己的速度复苏，这取决于挥之不去的限制、疫苗接种率以及本国国内市场的实力。</blockquote></p><p> IATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.</p><p><blockquote>国际航空运输协会估计，新冠肺炎疫情至少削减了全球航空公司两年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">U.S. Global Jets ETF</a> (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&amp;P 500 index in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空股一直很有弹性。这个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JETS\">美国环球喷气式飞机 ETF</a>(JETS) 在过去 12 个月中上涨了 68%，今年上涨了 20%，超过了标普500指数同期 38% 和 12% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情开始以来，花旗的特伦特已经乘坐了五次飞机旅行，都是休闲旅行。他说，他对航空公司为保持飞机清洁和安全而采取的措施以及研究表明飞机上的低传播率充满信心。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我可能会尽快再做一次，”他说。“但我认为我们不会在下半年回到大流行前的水平……这是一个总体上具有建设性、更好的环境，但还没有回来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/summer-travel-is-back-but-will-it-be-enough-to-boost-flagging-u-s-airlines-probably-not-analysts-say-11622143131?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DAL":"达美航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空","JBLU":"捷蓝航空","AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/summer-travel-is-back-but-will-it-be-enough-to-boost-flagging-u-s-airlines-probably-not-analysts-say-11622143131?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138017624","content_text":"COVID-19 pandemic shaved two years growth from global airlines, says IATA\nMARKETWATCH PHOTO ILLUSTRATION/ISTOCKPHOTO\nCooped-up U.S. residents may be eager to take to the skies again, but a growing demand for air travel ahead of the summer may not be enough to get U.S. airlines past last year's doldrums.\nWhile demand for leisure trips might be on the upswing with summer here, U.S. air carriers have seen their expenses escalate during the pandemic. They are still mostly deprived of key sources of revenue, including the rarely-discounted business and first-class travel and long-haul flights that make the most of their networks.\n\"Certainly there's strong demand for leisure and visit families and friends travel, and that's helpful,\" Citi analyst Stephen Trent told MarketWatch. \"At the same time, that upside is at least somewhat priced in,\" and other concerns remain.\n\"It's still a tough situation,\" Trent said.\nMajor U.S. airlines, including legacy carriers such as American Airlines Group Inc. $(AAL)$ and United Airlines Holdings Inc. $(UAL)$ and relative newcomers such as JetBlue Airways Corp. $(JBLU)$, are chasing the same, narrow segment of customers.\nMoreover, they got saddled with debt to remain afloat during the pandemic and face structural headwinds, with concerns about inflation and rising fuel prices adding to a still-precarious situation.\nMajor U.S. airlines received about $50 billion in a series of government bailouts and grants during the pandemic, mostly so they could make payroll, and only paid some of that money back.\nAt peak crisis, they saw capacity shrink more than three quarters, cut flights, and maxed out on their borrowings in a race to keep afloat. Their sales dropped precipitously: for 2020 as compared to 2019, revenue for legacy American Airlines $(AAL.UK)$, United (UAL), and Delta $(DAL)$ fell more than 60%. Sales for Southwest Airlines Co. $(LUV)$ dropped 60% in 2020, and Jet Blue Airways Corp.'s (JBLU) fell 62%.\nWith the Memorial Day holiday around the corner and the lifting on pandemic restrictions in several sates, summer leisure travel is certainly in full swing.\nThere's \"a huge, pent-up demand that has amassed in the past 12, 15 months now being relieved,\" said Scott Keyes, co-founder of travel site Scott's Cheap Flights.\nThe number of flights are still lower than before the pandemic, but planes are fuller and deals, especially for the more coveted destinations, are rare, he said.\nPeople seem to be favoring a middle-of-the-road approach to traveling.\nAs the first big trip for many people in a year or more, \"they don't want a 'quick gateway' trip, they want it to be a bucket-list trip,\" Keyes said.\n\nThat means that deals to U.S. destinations such as Florida, Alaska, Hawaii, western spots by national parks, and international but still close destinations such as Cancun, Mexico, and Jamaica are the most coveted right now, and where the deals are fewer and far in between, he said.\nIn contrast, not as many people seem interested in travel to urban spots such as New York City and Chicago, and lingering concerns about travel overseas are also denting demand for European destinations.\nThe emphasis is on places that can be just as good without all the amenities and attractions being available, a more \"outdoorsy type of travel,\" he said.\nIATA this week painted a hopeful picture of air travel demand globally, but even so called its presentation \"an almost full recovery.\"\nTravelers may be eager, but there's also the continued need to keep operations slim. Different countries and regions will recover at their own pace, depending on lingering restrictions, vaccination rates, and the strength of their own domestic market, IATA said.\nIATA estimated that the COVID-19 pandemic shaved off at least two years' growth from global airlines.\nU.S. airlines stocks have been resilient. The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS)has gained 68% in the past 12 months and 20% this year, outpacing gains of 38% and 12% for the S&P 500 index in the same period.\nCiti's Trent has taken five plane trips since the pandemic started, all of them leisure. He felt confident with the steps airlines were taken to keep planes clean and safe, and with studies showing low transmission rates aboard airplanes , he said.\n\"I will probably be doing that again sooner rather than later,\" he said. \"But I don't think we will back to pre-pandemic levels in the second half of the year ... it's a generally constructive, better environment, but not back yet.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAL":0.9,"JBLU":0.9,"DAL":0.9,"UAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179454373,"gmtCreate":1626573670992,"gmtModify":1633925800234,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lookin g forward","listText":"Lookin g forward","text":"Lookin g forward","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179454373","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115212807,"gmtCreate":1622998937109,"gmtModify":1634096332460,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115212807","repostId":"2141283409","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113560299,"gmtCreate":1622626617511,"gmtModify":1634099811038,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up!","listText":"Up!","text":"Up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113560299","repostId":"1164811736","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164811736","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622625088,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1164811736?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 17:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone 需求推动阿里巴巴-SW和京东“6.18”启动日销售额创纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164811736","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Chinese e-commerce platforms Alibaba Group Holdings and JD.com Inc kicked off the annual mid-year on","content":"<p>Chinese e-commerce platforms&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group Holdings</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>JD.com Inc</b>&nbsp;kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to&nbsp;reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times&nbsp;reported&nbsp;on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团控股</b>和<b>京东公司</b>据中国官方报纸《环球时报》周二报道，在中国努力从冠状病毒大流行中全面复苏之际，一年一度的年中网上购物节 “6.18 ”以创纪录的销售额拉开帷幕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>&nbsp;iPhones, the report said.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>受强劲需求的推动，京东在线超市京东超市的销售额在第一天就同比飙升了七倍多。<b>苹果公司</b>报告称，iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的交易额仅用了5秒钟就突破了1570万美元（1亿元人民币）大关，而小米花了5分钟才达到类似的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Rival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.</p><p><blockquote>报告援引数据称，竞争对手阿里巴巴-SW天猫国际渠道的销售额仅用了八个小时就超过了去年天猫节首日的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Lenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，在个人电脑产品需求强劲的帮助下，联想的整体销售额在两分钟内突破了1亿元人民币大关，而小米则声称其Note 10系列在一小时内售出了50万部。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>一年一度的年中购物活动对阿里巴巴-SW和京东来说都是一大吸引力，因为大幅折扣和优惠帮助他们增加了数十亿美元的收入。据《环球时报》报道，今年的优惠券和折扣力度更大，预计在线平台将通过为期20天的活动提供价值100亿元人民币的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Vendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales.&nbsp;The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.</p><p><blockquote>今年的供应商还提供直播优惠来支撑销售。一年一度的在线销售节将持续到6月20日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为：</b>阿里巴巴-SW股价周二收盘上涨 2.58%，至 219.48 美元。京东股价收盘上涨 5.94%，至 78.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>iPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone 需求推动阿里巴巴-SW和京东“6.18”启动日销售额创纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\niPhone Demand Drives Record Sales For Alibaba, JD On '6.18' Kickoff Day<blockquote>iPhone 需求推动阿里巴巴-SW和京东“6.18”启动日销售额创纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-02 17:11</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chinese e-commerce platforms&nbsp;<b>Alibaba Group Holdings</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>JD.com Inc</b>&nbsp;kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to&nbsp;reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times&nbsp;reported&nbsp;on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务平台<b>阿里巴巴-SW集团控股</b>和<b>京东公司</b>据中国官方报纸《环球时报》周二报道，在中国努力从冠状病毒大流行中全面复苏之际，一年一度的年中网上购物节 “6.18 ”以创纪录的销售额拉开帷幕。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for&nbsp;<b>Apple Inc</b>&nbsp;iPhones, the report said.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>受强劲需求的推动，京东在线超市京东超市的销售额在第一天就同比飙升了七倍多。<b>苹果公司</b>报告称，iPhone。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的交易额仅用了5秒钟就突破了1570万美元（1亿元人民币）大关，而小米花了5分钟才达到类似的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Rival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.</p><p><blockquote>报告援引数据称，竞争对手阿里巴巴-SW天猫国际渠道的销售额仅用了八个小时就超过了去年天猫节首日的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Lenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，在个人电脑产品需求强劲的帮助下，联想的整体销售额在两分钟内突破了1亿元人民币大关，而小米则声称其Note 10系列在一小时内售出了50万部。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>一年一度的年中购物活动对阿里巴巴-SW和京东来说都是一大吸引力，因为大幅折扣和优惠帮助他们增加了数十亿美元的收入。据《环球时报》报道，今年的优惠券和折扣力度更大，预计在线平台将通过为期20天的活动提供价值100亿元人民币的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Vendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales.&nbsp;The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.</p><p><blockquote>今年的供应商还提供直播优惠来支撑销售。一年一度的在线销售节将持续到6月20日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为：</b>阿里巴巴-SW股价周二收盘上涨 2.58%，至 219.48 美元。京东股价收盘上涨 5.94%，至 78.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164811736","content_text":"Chinese e-commerce platforms Alibaba Group Holdings and JD.com Inc kicked off the annual mid-year online shopping festival “6.18” with record sales as the country struggles to reach full recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, China’s state newspaper Global Times reported on Tuesday.\nWhat Happened:JD.com’s sales on its online supermarket, JD Super, soared more than seven times year-on-year on the first day, lifted by strong demand for Apple Inc iPhones, the report said.\nThe iPhone transaction volume passed the $15.7 million (100 million yuan) mark in just five seconds while it took Xiaomi five minutes to achieve similar numbers.\nRival Alibaba’s Tmall sales on its international channel surpassed last year’s first day sales of the festival in just eight hours, the report said citing data.\nLenovo’s overall sales crossed the RMB 100 million mark in two minutes helped by strong demand for personal computer products while Xiaomi claims to have sold 500,000 of its Note 10 series within an hour, the report said.\nWhy It Matters:The annual mid-year shopping event is a major draw for both Alibaba and JD as steep discounts and offers help them add billions in revenue. According to the Global Times report, coupons and discounts are even steeper this year and the online platforms are expected to offer subsidies worth RMB 10 billion through the 20-day event.\nVendors this year are also live streaming offers to shore up sales. The annual online sales festival will last through June 20.\nPrice Action:Alibaba shares closed 2.58% higher at $219.48 on Tuesday. JD.com shares closed 5.94% higher at $78.33.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131023882,"gmtCreate":1621817503046,"gmtModify":1634186420043,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bubbles coming?","listText":"Bubbles coming?","text":"Bubbles coming?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131023882","repostId":"1147158011","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368041937,"gmtCreate":1614268033629,"gmtModify":1634550363488,"author":{"id":"3574567062675330","authorId":"3574567062675330","name":"Clc2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80838f8bfa83dda6b2b71ab122d80561","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574567062675330","authorIdStr":"3574567062675330"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","listText":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","text":"Should I buy Bitcoin?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368041937","repostId":"1189206947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}